Alarm.com Holdings（ALRM）株式概要
Alarm.comホールディングスは、北米および海外でコネクテッド・プロパティのプラットフォームを運営している。 詳細
報酬
リスク分析
ALRM リスクチェックを通過した。
ALRM Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
Software opportunity
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Fair Value from
US$6.8569.3% 割安 内在価値ディスカウント
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Read full narrativeAlarm.com Holdings, Inc. 競合他社
価格と性能
| 過去の株価 | |
|---|---|
| 現在の株価 | US$47.00 |
| 52週高値 | US$60.76 |
| 52週安値 | US$41.50 |
| ベータ | 0.79 |
| 1ヶ月の変化 | 5.78% |
| 3ヶ月変化 | -2.53% |
| 1年変化 | -15.02% |
| 3年間の変化 | -5.49% |
| 5年間の変化 | -41.44% |
| IPOからの変化 | 178.44% |
最新ニュース
ナラティブ更新 • Apr 26
ALRM: AI Disruption Concerns Will Test But Not Break Future Earnings Power
Alarm.com Holdings' latest analyst price targets have shifted lower, with recent cuts such as $56 to $50 and $55 to $40 reflecting updated models after the Q4 report and wider concerns about software sector competitive moats in light of rapid AI adoption. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Alarm.com highlights a mix of company specific considerations and broader sector questions, with price targets reset to $50 and $40 after the Q4 report and a relook at vertical software valuations.
ナラティブ更新 • Apr 10
ALRM: AI Proliferation And Reset Expectations Will Shape Fair Value Outlook
Analysts have lowered Alarm.com Holdings' average price target significantly. Recent revisions to $50 and $40 reflect updated Q4 modeling and broader concerns about vertical software valuations and competitive moats as AI adoption accelerates.Recent updates
ナラティブ更新 • Apr 26
ALRM: AI Disruption Concerns Will Test But Not Break Future Earnings Power
Alarm.com Holdings' latest analyst price targets have shifted lower, with recent cuts such as $56 to $50 and $55 to $40 reflecting updated models after the Q4 report and wider concerns about software sector competitive moats in light of rapid AI adoption. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Alarm.com highlights a mix of company specific considerations and broader sector questions, with price targets reset to $50 and $40 after the Q4 report and a relook at vertical software valuations.ナラティブ更新 • Apr 10
ALRM: AI Proliferation And Reset Expectations Will Shape Fair Value Outlook
Analysts have lowered Alarm.com Holdings' average price target significantly. Recent revisions to $50 and $40 reflect updated Q4 modeling and broader concerns about vertical software valuations and competitive moats as AI adoption accelerates.ナラティブ更新 • Mar 27
ALRM: AI Proliferation And Fair Value Outlook Will Shape Sector Multiple
Alarm.com Holdings' analyst price targets have been reset lower, with recent cuts to $50 and $40. These changes reflect updated models after the Q4 report and broader concern from analysts about vertical software valuations and the impact of rapid AI adoption on competitive moats.ナラティブ更新 • Mar 12
ALRM: Future Earnings Power Will Be Tested By AI Moat Concerns
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Alarm.com Holdings to $58.00 from $68.71, reflecting updated assumptions on the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E following recent price target cuts from $56 to $50 and from $55 to $40 in Street research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research highlights a mix of caution and recalibration around Alarm.com Holdings, with price targets reset following the latest Q4 report and broader reassessments in software valuations.ナラティブ更新 • Feb 25
ALRM: AI Moat Uncertainty Will Pressure Vertical Software Multiple
Narrative Update: Alarm.com Holdings Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Alarm.com Holdings to $40 from $55, pointing to updated sector views, revised P/E assumptions, and recent research that includes reduced price targets of $40 and $50 following the latest Q4 report. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a more cautious stance on Alarm.com Holdings, with multiple bearish analysts trimming price targets after the latest Q4 report and sector review.ナラティブ更新 • Feb 11
ALRM: Expanding Connected Security Offerings Will Support Constructive Long Term Outlook
Analysts have maintained their price target for Alarm.com Holdings at $55.00, noting that only minor adjustments to assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E were made, which do not materially change their overall view. What's in the News Alarm.com released a low cost Video Intercom Mobile Directory that replaces traditional intercom hardware with a mobile based, QR code enabled visitor management system for multi-tenant residential and commercial properties, using the company’s existing professionally installed and monitored infrastructure (Key Developments).分析記事 • Feb 10
Is Alarm.com Holdings (NASDAQ:ALRM) A Risky Investment?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...ナラティブ更新 • Jan 27
ALRM: Expanding Security Platform And Disciplined Guidance Will Support Balanced Outlook
Analysts kept their price target for Alarm.com Holdings steady at US$55.00, citing only small model adjustments to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions rather than any major change in the outlook. What's in the News Launched the ADC-V730, the company's first Wi-Fi spotlight camera.ナラティブ更新 • Jan 11
ALRM: Expanding Security Platform And Steady Guidance Will Support Balanced Outlook
Analysts have maintained their fair value estimate for Alarm.com Holdings at $55.00. This reflects only slight adjustments in inputs such as the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions, rather than a change in their overall price view.分析記事 • Jan 08
Is There Now An Opportunity In Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:ALRM)?
Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:ALRM ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a double-digit share price...ナラティブ更新 • Dec 27
ALRM: Expanded Security Offerings And Buybacks Will Support Steady Outlook
Narrative Update Analysts have maintained their price target for Alarm.com Holdings at 55.00 dollars, with only marginal model refinements to discount rates, revenue growth, profit margin, and future valuation multiples. These refinements support a steady outlook rather than a material reassessment of the company’s fair value.ナラティブ更新 • Dec 12
ALRM: Product Expansion And Share Buybacks Will Support Balanced Outlook
Analysts have raised their price target on Alarm.com Holdings by 10.0 percent, from 50 dollars to 55 dollars, citing slightly higher long term profit margin and valuation assumptions despite somewhat slower projected revenue growth. What's in the News Launched a low cost Video Intercom Mobile Directory that modernizes multi tenant visitor management with QR code access, mobile video calling, and remote door control, reducing the need for in unit hardware (Key Developments).分析記事 • Oct 08
Is Alarm.com Holdings (NASDAQ:ALRM) Using Too Much Debt?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...分析記事 • Jul 17
Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:ALRM)?
Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:ALRM ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a double-digit share price...分析記事 • Jul 04
Some Investors May Be Worried About Alarm.com Holdings' (NASDAQ:ALRM) Returns On Capital
If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Firstly, we'll...Seeking Alpha • Jun 24
Alarm.com Has Twin Challenges Of Sustainable Growth And Tariff Pricing Pass-Through
Summary Alarm.com delivered better-than-expected Q1 2025 results, but US residential growth remains challenged and tariff uncertainties will likely pressure hardware margins. SaaS and international segments are driving higher margins and growth, yet the sustainability of these trends is still uncertain for the second half of 2025. ALRM's capital allocation has been conservative, with opportunistic buybacks offsetting stock-based compensation, but management's future plans remain unclear. I maintain a neutral Hold rating until we see more durable international/commercial growth and the resolution of tariff risks impacting hardware profitability. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha分析記事 • Jun 14
Is There An Opportunity With Alarm.com Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ALRM) 24% Undervaluation?
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Alarm.com Holdings fair value estimate is US$74.34 Alarm.com...分析記事 • May 29
Most Shareholders Will Probably Agree With Alarm.com Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ALRM) CEO Compensation
Key Insights Alarm.com Holdings to hold its Annual General Meeting on 4th of June Salary of US$238.3k is part of CEO...分析記事 • May 13
Alarm.com Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ALRM) Shareholders Might Be Looking For Exit
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 23.2x Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:ALRM ) may be sending bearish...Seeking Alpha • Apr 21
Alarm.com: Strong Financials And Solid Results, But Rising Market Competition Poses Risks
Summary Alarm.com Holdings is a market leader in cloud-based IoT security solutions, with strong financials and a revenue CAGR of 11.05% from FY20 to FY24. Despite growth, Alarm faces challenges from tech giants like Google and Amazon, and high revenue concentration from top ten customers. Management's growth strategy focuses on commercial surveillance, smart energy, and international expansion, but ADT's partnership with Google poses significant risks. A DCF analysis indicates a potential downside of over 10%, leading to a "Hold" rating due to rising competition and valuation concerns. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha分析記事 • Apr 16
What Does Alarm.com Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ALRM) Share Price Indicate?
While Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:ALRM ) might not have the largest market cap around , it received a lot of...分析記事 • Mar 21
Returns On Capital Signal Tricky Times Ahead For Alarm.com Holdings (NASDAQ:ALRM)
If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...分析記事 • Mar 04
Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:ALRM)
Key Insights The projected fair value for Alarm.com Holdings is US$64.51 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity With...分析記事 • Feb 19
These 4 Measures Indicate That Alarm.com Holdings (NASDAQ:ALRM) Is Using Debt Safely
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that...分析記事 • Dec 19
Alarm.com Holdings (NASDAQ:ALRM) Is Reinvesting At Lower Rates Of Return
There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. In a perfect world, we'd like to...分析記事 • Dec 05
Alarm.com Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ALRM) Shares Climb 28% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up
Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:ALRM ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great...分析記事 • Nov 26
Calculating The Fair Value Of Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:ALRM)
Key Insights The projected fair value for Alarm.com Holdings is US$57.23 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity With...分析記事 • Nov 14
We Think Alarm.com Holdings' (NASDAQ:ALRM) Profit Is Only A Baseline For What They Can Achieve
Alarm.com Holdings, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:ALRM ) strong earnings report was rewarded with a positive stock price move. We...分析記事 • Nov 13
These 4 Measures Indicate That Alarm.com Holdings (NASDAQ:ALRM) Is Using Debt Safely
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...分析記事 • Nov 01
Is There Now An Opportunity In Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:ALRM)?
Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:ALRM ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw significant share price...Seeking Alpha • Sep 11
Alarm.com: There Are Likely Better Entry Points On The Horizon
Summary Alarm.com is expanding internationally and into commercial markets, but its EPS and revenue growth rates are currently a contraction from historical levels. Despite a contraction in top-line and bottom-line growth, its PE and PS ratios have not contracted enough. Therefore, I consider the stock to have a vulnerable valuation at the moment. I expect we could see a near-term stock price decline, but I believe the consensus estimates could begin to expand long-term as management consolidates its position in new markets. My conclusion is that there are better entry points for buying into Alarm.com, but it is certainly a strong company with robust long-term prospects if management continues to operate well. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha分析記事 • Sep 09
There's Reason For Concern Over Alarm.com Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ALRM) Price
When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 17x, you may...
新しいナラティブ • Sep 05
Cloud Expansion And Generative AI Propel Growth Amid Market And Profit Margin Challenges
Expansion through cloud-based solutions and generative AI adoption indicates growth in the commercial segment and operational efficiency.分析記事 • Aug 21
Calculating The Fair Value Of Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:ALRM)
Key Insights The projected fair value for Alarm.com Holdings is US$63.87 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity With...分析記事 • Aug 06
Alarm.com Holdings (NASDAQ:ALRM) Will Want To Turn Around Its Return Trends
There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Amongst other things, we'll want...分析記事 • Jul 25
Is Now The Time To Put Alarm.com Holdings (NASDAQ:ALRM) On Your Watchlist?
Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks...分析記事 • Jul 12
Why Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:ALRM) Could Be Worth Watching
While Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:ALRM ) might not have the largest market cap around , it saw significant share...Seeking Alpha • Jul 09
Alarm.com Holdings: Strong Partnerships To Meet Demand For Security
Summary ALRM benefits from strong partnerships with top home security provider in US and 12,000 partners, giving it competitive advantage. Huge addressable market for security solutions, with TAM of ~$52 billion/year. ALRM's B2B2C model, partnerships with ADT and 12,000 service providers, and focus on innovation position it for long-term growth. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha分析記事 • Jun 10
Alarm.com Holdings (NASDAQ:ALRM) Could Easily Take On More Debt
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...分析記事 • May 02
Earnings Not Telling The Story For Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:ALRM)
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 41.4x Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:ALRM ) may be sending very bearish...株主還元
| ALRM | US Software | US 市場 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 5.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
| 1Y | -15.0% | -6.3% | 30.6% |
業界別リターン: ALRM過去 1 年間で-6.3 % の収益を上げたUS Software業界を下回りました。
リターン対市場: ALRMは、過去 1 年間で30.6 % のリターンを上げたUS市場を下回りました。
価格変動
| ALRM volatility | |
|---|---|
| ALRM Average Weekly Movement | 4.9% |
| Software Industry Average Movement | 9.7% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.1% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.2% |
安定した株価: ALRM 、 US市場と比較して、過去 3 か月間で大きな価格変動はありませんでした。
時間の経過による変動: ALRMの 週次ボラティリティ ( 5% ) は過去 1 年間安定しています。
会社概要
| 設立 | 従業員 | CEO（最高経営責任者 | ウェブサイト |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 2,058 | Steve Trundle | www.alarm.com |
北米および海外でコネクテッド・プロパティのプラットフォームを運営。Alarm.comとその他の2つのセグメントで事業を展開している。同社は、アラーム送信、スマート信号、スマート武装、個人の安全と認識、リアルタイムアラートと常時監視などの住宅ソリューション、ビデオ分析、遠隔ビデオ監視、AI抑止、ビデオドアベル、インテリジェント統合、セルコネクターなどのビデオ監視ソリューション、シーン、ビデオ分析トリガー、スマートサーモスタットスケジュール、応答性の高い節約、精密な快適さ、HVAC監視サービス、場所機能、家庭全体の水安全ソリューション、エネルギー使用量とソーラー監視ソリューションなどを提供している。また、クリーンエネルギーソフトウェアとサービスSaaSプラットフォーム、商用グレードビデオソリューション、商用ビデオ分析、よりスマートなアクセスコントロール、エンタープライズダッシュボードとマルチサイト管理、コネクテッドフリートソリューション、省エネ、貴重品や在庫の事前保護、温度監視、毎日のセーフガード、専門的にサポートされた低コストの所有権ソリューションも提供しています。さらに、サービスとしてのビデオ監視、カメラ、レコーダー、ビデオアプリケーション用に設計されたその他の周辺機器からなるオープンアイ・ソフトウェア、フォレンジックビデオ検索、POSシステム統合、顧客サイトマッピング、企業レベルの要件に対応した大規模なカメラ配備、犯人検知システム、サービスプロバイダーポータル、サービスダッシュボード、設置・サポートサービスプロバイダーソリューション、専門的な監視と誤報削減のためのAIを活用した機能強化を提供している。さらに、事業管理サービス、販売、マーケティング、トレーニングサービス、住宅建設業者向けプログラムのハードウェアとサービスも提供している。同社は2000年に設立され、バージニア州タイソンズに本社を置いている。
Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. 基礎のまとめ
| ALRM 基礎統計学 | |
|---|---|
| 時価総額 | US$2.24b |
| 収益（TTM） | US$132.57m |
| 売上高(TTM) | US$1.01b |
17.5x
PER（株価収益率2.3x
P/SレシオALRM は割高か？
公正価値と評価分析を参照収益と収入
| ALRM 損益計算書（TTM） | |
|---|---|
| 収益 | US$1.01b |
| 売上原価 | US$342.30m |
| 売上総利益 | US$668.89m |
| その他の費用 | US$536.32m |
| 収益 | US$132.57m |
直近の収益報告
Dec 31, 2025
次回決算日
該当なし
| 一株当たり利益（EPS） | 2.68 |
| グロス・マージン | 66.15% |
| 純利益率 | 13.11% |
| 有利子負債／自己資本比率 | 111.1% |
ALRM の長期的なパフォーマンスは？
過去の実績と比較を見る企業分析と財務データの現状
| データ | 最終更新日（UTC時間） |
|---|---|
| 企業分析 | 2026/05/07 18:34 |
| 終値 | 2026/05/07 00:00 |
| 収益 | 2025/12/31 |
| 年間収益 | 2025/12/31 |
データソース
企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。
| パッケージ | データ | タイムフレーム | 米国ソース例 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 会社財務 | 10年 |
| |
| アナリストのコンセンサス予想 | +プラス3年 |
|
|
| 市場価格 | 30年 |
| |
| 所有権 | 10年 |
| |
| マネジメント | 10年 |
| |
| 主な進展 | 10年 |
|
* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。
特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。
分析モデルとスノーフレーク
本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドやYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。
シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。
業界およびセクターの指標
私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。
アナリスト筋
Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. 6 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。10
| アナリスト | 機関 |
|---|---|
| Saket Kalia | Barclays |
| Adam Hotchkiss | Goldman Sachs |
| Samad Samana | Jefferies LLC |