First Solar, Inc.

NasdaqGS:FSLR 株式レポート

時価総額：US$23.8b

First Solar 将来の成長

Future 基準チェック /16

First Solar利益と収益がそれぞれ年間15.5%と7.5%増加すると予測されています。EPS は年間 増加すると予想されています。自己資本利益率は 3 年後に19.1% 16.7%なると予測されています。

主要情報

15.5%

収益成長率

16.66%

EPS成長率

Semiconductor 収益成長26.0%
収益成長率7.5%
将来の株主資本利益率19.12%
アナリストカバレッジ

Good

最終更新日19 May 2026

今後の成長に関する最新情報

Recent updates

ナラティブの更新 • May 05

FSLR: Section 232 Tariff Outcome Will Pressure 2026 Pricing Power

Analysts have trimmed the First Solar fair value estimate from $175.45 to $172.84 per share, recalibrating models for softer revenue growth expectations. This is partially offset by slightly higher margin assumptions and a modestly lower discount rate following a wave of reduced price targets across the Street.
Seeking Alpha • May 05

First Solar: Still Providing Plenty Of Downside Risk

Summary First Solar remains a "Sell" due to persistent backlog depletion, a fragile order book, and deteriorating cash flows. FSLR's book-to-bill ratio of 0.42 and ballooning inventories signal mounting operational risks and potential writedowns. Heavy reliance on government grants inflates current earnings, with normalized FWD P/E rising to 46.5x as subsidies phase out. Despite superficially attractive valuation multiples, FSLR faces significant downside risk from weak backlog and poor cash generation. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
新しいナラティブ • Apr 28

First Solar (FSLR): The Domestic Titan Braces for a High-Output Verdict

First Solar, Inc. (FSLR) , the global vanguard of advanced thin-film solar technology and the largest domestic PV manufacturer in the United States, enters the final week of April 2026 in a state of formidable strategic momentum.
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 21

FSLR: Section 232 Tariff Outcome Will Shape Future U.S. Pricing Power

First Solar's analyst price targets have generally moved lower in recent weeks, with cuts ranging from around $9 to more than $100 as analysts respond to Q4 earnings, weaker 2026 guidance, tariff related volume headwinds, and higher uncertainty around future demand and policy outcomes. Analyst Commentary The recent wave of price target cuts and rating changes on First Solar reflects a reset in expectations following Q4 results and updated 2026 guidance.
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 07

FSLR: Section 232 Tariff Decision Will Drive Future U.S. Pricing Power

Narrative Update on First Solar The analyst price target for First Solar has been revised lower from $335.32 to $313.00, as analysts reworked models after Q4 earnings, citing weaker 2026 guidance, softer demand signals in utility-scale solar, tariff related uncertainty, and a greater reliance on potential Section 232 outcomes for the longer term story. Analyst Commentary Street research around First Solar has turned more cautious after Q4 results and 2026 guidance, with many firms cutting price targets and shifting to neutral or Hold stances.
ナラティブの更新 • Mar 24

FSLR: Section 232 Tariff Outcomes Will Support Future U.S. Pricing Power

Narrative Update on First Solar The analyst fair value estimate for First Solar has been adjusted from $347.10 to $335.32 as analysts recalibrated their models after Q4 results, weaker 2026 guidance, lower price targets across several firms, and updated views on demand, margins, tariffs, and policy outcomes. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on First Solar has shifted toward more cautious stances, with several firms moving to Hold or Neutral ratings and trimming price targets after Q4 results and weaker 2026 guidance.
ナラティブの更新 • Mar 09

FSLR: Section 232 Tariffs And 2026 Reset Year Will Shape Pricing Power

We are trimming our fair value estimate for First Solar to $175.45 from $198.37 as analysts lower price targets across the board after weaker Q4 results and 2026 guidance, softer revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a higher implied future P/E despite only a modest adjustment in discount rate. Analyst Commentary Street research has turned more cautious following First Solar's Q4 results and 2026 guidance, with several firms cutting price targets and shifting to more neutral stances.
ナラティブの更新 • Feb 23

FSLR: Utility Scale Projects And U.S. Manufacturing Expansion Will Support Pricing Power

Our updated analyst price target for First Solar edges lower by $9. This reflects a mixed batch of recent research in which some analysts trim expectations on competitive and policy concerns, while others still highlight supportive P/E assumptions and solid margin and growth inputs.
ナラティブの更新 • Feb 09

FSLR: U.S. Manufacturing Expansion Will Support Long-Term Pricing Power

The analyst price target for First Solar has been raised by about US$12 to US$347.10. Analysts are balancing lower modeled revenue growth with higher profit margin expectations, a slightly reduced discount rate and a higher assumed future P/E.
ナラティブの更新 • Jan 25

FSLR: Elevated Pricing Power Will Likely Struggle With Section 232 Tariff Outcomes

Our updated analyst price target for First Solar edges lower by about US$1 to US$198, as analysts weigh slightly softer modeled revenue growth and a higher discount rate against firmer profit margin expectations and mixed recent research, including both target hikes and a key downgrade. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on First Solar has turned more mixed, with some bullish price target lifts offset by cautious views and at least one downgrade.
ナラティブの更新 • Jan 11

FSLR: U.S. Manufacturing Buildout And Section 232 Policies Will Shape Upside

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for First Solar higher from about US$271.61 to roughly US$281.65. This reflects updated views on policy driven demand, tariff risks and the company's position as a U.S. focused utility scale supplier within clean energy.
ナラティブの更新 • Dec 27

FSLR: Domestic Finishing Capacity Expansion Will Drive Long-Term Pricing Power

We raise our First Solar fair value estimate to $335 from $287, reflecting analysts' higher price targets following Q3 results and their view that the company remains a structurally advantaged U.S. solar manufacturer with durable pricing power, policy tailwinds, and expanded domestic finishing capacity that offset near term guidance and margin headwinds. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research highlights a broad and constructive shift in sentiment toward First Solar, with multiple bullish analysts lifting price targets in the wake of Q3 results and updated guidance.
ナラティブの更新 • Dec 13

FSLR: Elevated Pricing Power Will Face Policy And Tariff Headwinds

We are lifting our First Solar fair value estimate to $199 from $142, reflecting analysts' broad price target increases into the mid $200s to $300 range, as they highlight the company's structurally advantaged U.S. manufacturing footprint, durable pricing power, and policy driven tailwinds, despite near term supply and tariff headwinds. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a broadly constructive stance on First Solar, with multiple firms lifting price targets into the mid $200s and even approaching $300.
ナラティブの更新 • Nov 29

FSLR: U.S. Manufacturing Expansion And Policy Trends Will Guide Balanced Outlook

The analyst price target for First Solar rose modestly to $271.61 from $269.64. Analysts cited supportive factors such as recent Q3 results, expanding U.S. capacity, and policy tailwinds.
ナラティブの更新 • Nov 15

FSLR: U.S. Expansion And Policy Will Shape Upside Amid Changing Industry Support

First Solar's analyst price target has risen significantly, increasing from approximately $259 to about $270 per share. Analysts point to durable pricing advantage, supportive government policy, and robust supply chain initiatives as key drivers behind the upgrade.
ナラティブの更新 • Nov 01

FSLR: Domestic Manufacturing Expansion And Policy Tailwinds Will Offset Sector Risks

First Solar's analyst price target has increased from $238.59 to $259.11 per share, as analysts cite the company's resilient market position, margin stability, and favorable policy developments, even though expectations for near-term revenue growth have been somewhat tempered. Analyst Commentary Analyst reactions to First Solar's latest results and updated guidance reflect a mix of continued optimism for the company's long-term positioning and acknowledgement of industry headwinds affecting near-term performance.
ナラティブの更新 • Oct 17

US Manufacturing Expansion Will Secure Future Solar Leadership

First Solar's analyst price target has been raised from $224 to approximately $239. This reflects analyst confidence in the company's U.S. manufacturing expansion, favorable policy developments, and consistent bookings momentum despite near-term industry headwinds.
ナラティブの更新 • Oct 03

US Manufacturing Expansion Will Secure Future Solar Leadership

Analysts have raised their price target for First Solar, increasing it by nearly $4 to $224. Improved bookings, favorable policy developments, and potential market share gains support a more optimistic outlook for the company.
分析記事 • Sep 06

First Solar, Inc. (NASDAQ:FSLR) Shares Could Be 30% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, First Solar fair value estimate is US$292 First Solar is...
ナラティブの更新 • Aug 27

US Manufacturing Expansion Will Secure Future Solar Leadership

Upward revisions in First Solar’s price target reflect bullish analyst sentiment driven by supportive U.S. policy developments, legislative incentives (notably 45X tax credits), and strong Q2 results, offsetting some lingering risks and resulting in a modest consensus price target increase from $215.56 to $218.66. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite "One Big Beautiful Bill" (OBBB) and related legislative developments—especially retention and extension of 45X tax credits and advanced manufacturing incentives—as major demand and margin tailwinds for First Solar.
ナラティブの更新 • Aug 06

US Manufacturing Expansion Will Secure Future Solar Leadership

Driven by a significant expansion in net profit margin despite a modestly higher discount rate, analyst fair value estimates for First Solar have increased, raising the consensus price target from $204.38 to $215.77. What's in the News First Solar raised 2025 net sales guidance to $4.9–$5.7 billion (from $4.5–$5.5 billion); narrowed operating income guidance to $1.53–$1.87 billion (from $1.45–$2.00 billion); and lifted EPS outlook to $13.50–$16.50 (from $12.50–$17.50).
Seeking Alpha • Apr 25

First Solar: Very Cheap And Industry Outlook Is Still Solid

Summary First Solar is undervalued and poised to benefit from Trump's onshore manufacturing push and long-term renewable energy demand despite the current solar market downturn. FSLR leads U.S. solar manufacturing with strong financials and less exposure to China's supply chain vs. competitors, making it a strategic investment. Risks include potential margin compression from tariffs and tech disruption, but FSLR's high R&D spending aims to mitigate innovation threats. With a PEG ratio of 0.21x and strong revenue growth, FSLR offers a compelling buy opportunity, though gradual investment is recommended due to market uncertainties. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Apr 15

First Solar: Made In America, High Growth, And Dirt Cheap

Summary First Solar has over half of their manufacturing capacity in the US with more capacity coming online this year, and their international capacity isn’t in China. President Trump’s energy sector deregulation policies will also help solar developers by reducing permitting time. First Solar has experienced high growth over the past few years and growth is likely to continue. Reshoring of manufacturing and renewable energy investments will lead to more demand. First Solar is a value stock with substantial upside potential. EPS is expected to increase around 50% in 2025, but the trailing P/E ratio is just over 10. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 24

First Solar: Limited Impact Of IRA Overhang, Focus On Healthy Balance Sheet

Summary First Solar benefits from the Inflation Reduction Act but faces headwinds from potential Trump policies and China's export controls, impacting stock sentiment. Despite strong revenue growth and a healthy balance sheet, FSLR reported a mixed 4Q FY2024, missing earnings estimates due to warranty costs from Series 7 shipments. While a potential cut to 45X tax credits would largely impact cash flow, I believe earnings will not be significantly affected in the near term. We are expected to see more clarity on the fate of the IRA in 2H 2025. FSLR's valuation remains attractive, with a non-GAAP fwd P/E of 6.9x and a fwd EV/sales of 2.3x, presenting a long-term buying opportunity after a 30% YTD decline. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 07

First Solar Q4: Policy Uncertainty Creates A Rare Value Opportunity

Summary First Solar is significantly undervalued amid policy fears; robust U.S. revenue exposure (93%), strategic agility, and tariff protection under Trump strongly support ~90% upside through 2026. Despite IRA uncertainty, the Trump administration's likely long-term geopolitical support and recognition of solar's role in U.S. energy independence and economic stability favor First Solar's near-term growth. First Solar's deep oversold sentiment (RSI ~28), growing quarterly earnings, and proactive supply chain considerations position it well as a geopolitical and financial winner through 2026. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 26

First Solar: Radiating Quality Following Robust 2025 Guidance

Summary First Solar has outperformed peers like SolarEdge Technologies and Sunrun, showing stable growth and strong margins, making it a reliable investment. FSLR's advanced thin-film PV solar modules and significant manufacturing capacity expansion position it well for future growth, especially with U.S. government incentives. 2025 guidance was strong and points to a robust market environment for FSLR. FSLR's valuation is attractive compared to peers and the energy sector, with a price target of $276, reflecting an 87% upside from current levels. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 19

First Solar Stock: Deep Analysis Reveals Solar's Geopolitical Importance

Summary First Solar, Inc.'s U.S. dominance and vertically integrated model ensure long-term resilience, with tariff protections and market expansion offsetting potential IRA tax credit risks. Trump's stance on solar is unclear, but energy security concerns and U.S.-China competition suggest policy support may emerge, stabilizing sentiment and boosting First Solar’s valuation. Despite the short-term downtrend, strong earnings growth, increased production capacity, and strategic positioning in domestic energy security make FSLR a long-term Strong Buy with significant upside. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 24

First Solar: Don't Let This Buying Opportunity Go To Waste

Summary First Solar investors likely aren't celebrating Trump's return to the White House. FSLR has taken a 45% decline since June 2024. Most of the gains over the past one year have been given back. The stock's cheap valuation is a silver lining, but not immune to a further decline if headwinds intensity. I explain why the long-term thesis remains intact, even as oil and gas could reassert itself in the near term. I argue why FSLR investors shouldn't panic, but instead consider the amazing opportunity that the fearful market has presented you. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 14

First Solar Shines Through Cloudy Market

Summary First Solar is undervalued due to market fears over IRA repeal and Chinese oversupply, but long-term renewable energy trends support strong earnings growth. Estimated fair value for FSLR is $406.80, based on 2026 EPS of $18.00 and a P/E ratio of 22.6x. FSLR's CdTe modules offer longer life and lower costs compared to c-Si, with ongoing advancements in perovskite research for future efficiency gains. Strong balance sheet with minimal debt and conservative management positions FSLR well amidst cyclical solar market and geopolitical risks. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 20

First Solar Could Be Well Poised As A Future Leader In Renewable Energy

Summary First Solar's unique CdTe technology offers higher efficiency in warmer climates, lower carbon impact, and reduced reliance on polysilicon, making it a strong investment. The company's U.S.-based production benefits from the Inflation Reduction Act and avoids Chinese tariffs, ensuring a competitive edge in the domestic market. A robust bookings backlog ensures stable income through 2030, with growing demand for sustainable energy driving utility-scale project value to $21.7 billion. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 07

First Solar: Quick Gains Likely Behind Us - Slow & Steady Ahead

Summary FSLR's robust backlog through 2030 and strategic US manufacturing position support its robust investment thesis amid uncertainties in the US renewables policy and polysilicon dumping. The growing demand for its cadmium tellurium panels has been exemplified in the growing thin film module installations in the US utility sector in 2023. FSLR is also targeting further upside in its ASPs through the next-gen CuRe product, with it potentially generating additional revenues over the next few years. This is on top of the company's expanding manufacturing capacity through H2'25, with these efforts naturally being top/ bottom-line accretive. These reasons are also why FSLR remains dirt cheap, with it offering a more than doubling upside potential from current levels. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Nov 19

First Solar: Dominant Market Position

Summary First Solar's proprietary thin-film technology offers superior efficiency, lower costs, and environmental benefits compared to traditional silicon-based panels. Government policies and tax credits, especially from the Inflation Reduction Act, enhance First Solar's competitive position and market dominance in the U.S. The company's robust financial performance, with significant revenue growth, improved margins, and a substantial backlog, underscores its strong market position and future earnings potential. Despite risks like quality control issues and potential policy changes, First Solar's technological leadership and solid balance sheet make it a compelling long-term investment. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Nov 04

First Solar Q3: Set Your Sights On 2025 And 2026

Summary Despite underperforming in Q3 2024, First Solar will capitalize on high demand in 2025–2026; the stock is 27% undervalued per a two-year discounted EBITDA model. Reaffirming a Strong Buy rating, the intrinsic enterprise value is calculated at $29.22B today—26.9% above the current value—based on 2026 projections, expanded capacity, new technologies like CuRe, and favorable macroeconomics. Risks include potential contract terminations, political uncertainty affecting the IRA, oversupply pressures, and manufacturing issues; selling in late 2026 is advised to mitigate long-term cyclical risks. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Oct 26

First Solar Q3 Preview: Robust Growth And Strategic Expansions

Summary First Solar is a compelling buy due to its advanced technology, financial stability, and strategic expansions, positioning it well in the renewable energy sector. Q3 earnings are anticipated to show significant year-over-year growth, with a focus on revenue, EPS, tech advancements, and strategic expansions. Despite risks like policy changes and supply chain issues, First Solar's valuation metrics indicate it is undervalued compared to peers, presenting a lucrative buying opportunity. The company's technological edge, long-term contracts, and proactive market strategy make it an attractive long-term investment regardless of short-term earnings outcomes. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Oct 07

First Solar: Expected To Thrive Regardless Of The 2024 Election Results (Reiterate Buy)

Summary First Solar's stock price has been volatile in advance of the upcoming 2024 US Election as investors weigh the opportunities and risks of each potential election outcome. While these opportunities and risks pose serious potential implications, I argue that the company is well-positioned to thrive under either party's rule. First Solar is an industry leader with a strong competitive and financial position, and it has proven its ability to influence policymakers in a beneficial way. The stock's valuation remains attractive with a forward P/E of 17 and a DCF fair value estimate close to its current market price. I reiterate a "Buy" rating as I believe that this business will reward long-term shareholders regardless of the 2024 Election results. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 16

Growing Revenue, Improving Margins Combine For A Boom Time For First Solar

Summary First Solar is a leading thin film photovoltaic solar module manufacturer with strong growth and improving margins, making it a compelling investment. The company boasts a responsible balance sheet with little debt, strong cash position, and a current ratio of 2.17, providing market flexibility. Despite competition and reliance on U.S. incentives, First Solar's technological advancements and international growth potential are promising. With projected revenue and earnings growth, FSLR is rated a buy, as it is well-positioned to capitalize on the expanding solar energy market. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

業績と収益の成長予測

NasdaqGS:FSLR - アナリストの将来予測と過去の財務データ ( )USD Millions
日付収益収益フリー・キャッシュフロー営業活動によるキャッシュ平均アナリスト数
12/31/20286,5103,0533,0793,37723
12/31/20275,9632,5292,3062,77029
12/31/20265,1001,8806669828
3/31/20265,4191,6651,6682,450N/A
12/31/20255,2191,5281,1872,057N/A
9/30/20255,0511,4006151,626N/A
6/30/20254,3431,257-943299N/A
3/31/20254,2571,265-976342N/A
12/31/20244,2061,292-3081,218N/A
9/30/20243,8511,248-591968N/A
6/30/20243,7641,204-2241,187N/A
3/31/20243,5641,025-525905N/A
12/31/20233,319831-785602N/A
9/30/20233,162474-530836N/A
6/30/20232,990156-504800N/A
3/31/20232,80142-142978N/A
12/31/20222,619-44-30873N/A
9/30/20222,52495-659113N/A
6/30/20222,479189-424289N/A
3/31/20222,487216-227378N/A
12/31/20212,923469-303238N/A
9/30/20212,625453-45389N/A
6/30/20212,969563-84292N/A
3/31/20212,983517-132263N/A
12/31/20202,711398-38037N/A
9/30/20203,501223147632N/A
6/30/20203,12199-455107N/A
3/31/20203,06343-659-27N/A
12/31/20193,063-115N/A174N/A
9/30/20192,355-3N/A-793N/A
6/30/20192,48424N/A-701N/A
3/31/20192,209-6N/A-585N/A
12/31/20182,244144N/A-327N/A
9/30/20181,892-340N/A293N/A
6/30/20182,303-192N/A1,099N/A
3/31/20182,617-92N/A802N/A
12/31/20172,941-166N/A1,341N/A
9/30/20172,933-484N/A1,175N/A
6/30/20172,527-539N/A510N/A
3/31/20172,920-603N/A616N/A
12/31/20162,905-416N/A207N/A
9/30/20163,516499N/A27N/A
6/30/20164,106698N/A132N/A
3/31/20163,986803N/A184N/A
12/31/20154,113593N/A-325N/A
9/30/20153,645576N/A514N/A
6/30/20153,264316N/A446N/A

アナリストによる今後の成長予測

収入対貯蓄率: FSLRの予測収益成長率 (年間15.5% ) は 貯蓄率 ( 3.5% ) を上回っています。

収益対市場: FSLRの収益 ( 15.5% ) US市場 ( 16.8% ) よりも低い成長が予測されています。

高成長収益: FSLRの収益は増加すると予測されていますが、大幅には増加しません。

収益対市場: FSLRの収益 ( 7.5% ) US市場 ( 11.6% ) よりも低い成長が予測されています。

高い収益成長: FSLRの収益 ( 7.5% ) 20%よりも低い成長が予測されています。

一株当たり利益成長率予想

将来の株主資本利益率

将来のROE: FSLRの 自己資本利益率 は、3年後には低くなると予測されています ( 19.1 %)。

成長企業の発掘

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

企業分析と財務データの現状

データ最終更新日（UTC時間）
企業分析2026/05/20 07:58
終値2026/05/20 00:00
収益2026/03/31
年間収益2025/12/31

データソース

企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。

パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例
会社財務10年
  • 損益計算書
  • キャッシュ・フロー計算書
  • 貸借対照表
アナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年
  • 予想財務
  • アナリストの目標株価
市場価格30年
  • 株価
  • 配当、分割、措置
所有権10年
  • トップ株主
  • インサイダー取引
マネジメント10年
  • リーダーシップ・チーム
  • 取締役会
主な進展10年
  • 会社からのお知らせ

* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。

特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。

分析モデルとスノーフレーク

本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドやYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。

シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。

業界およびセクターの指標

私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。

アナリスト筋

First Solar, Inc. 29 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。67

アナリスト機関
James FontanelliArete Research Services LLP
null nullArgus Research Company
Benjamin KalloBaird