CF Industries Holdings, Inc.

NYSE:CF 株式レポート

時価総額：US$15.7b

CF Industries Holdings 将来の成長

Future 基準チェック /06

CF Industries Holdingsの収益と利益は、それぞれ年間4.5%と18%減少すると予測されています。EPS は年間11.3%で 減少すると予想されています。自己資本利益率は 3 年後に13.3%になると予測されています。

主要情報

-18.0%

収益成長率

-11.35%

EPS成長率

Chemicals 収益成長16.7%
収益成長率-4.5%
将来の株主資本利益率13.25%
アナリストカバレッジ

Good

最終更新日23 Jun 2026

今後の成長に関する最新情報

Recent updates

ナラティブの更新 • Jun 23

CF: Higher Nitrogen Prices And Buybacks Will Drive Future Upside

The updated fair value estimate for CF Industries Holdings edges down by about $1.50 to roughly $126 per share, even as analysts cite higher nitrogen prices, potential benefits from supply dislocations, and an active buyback program in their recent price target revisions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on CF Industries Holdings shows a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms lifting price targets while keeping a range of ratings from Underperform to Buy.
ナラティブの更新 • Jun 04

CF: Tight Nitrogen Markets And Buybacks Will Shape Future Returns

Analyst fair value for CF Industries Holdings has moved higher by about $6.68 per share to $127.63, with recent research citing higher nitrogen pricing, buyback activity and sector wide target resets as key supports for the updated price targets for the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on CF Industries Holdings reflects a clear reset higher in price targets, but with a split view on how much upside remains for the stock at current levels.
Seeking Alpha • May 22

CF Industries: The Fertilizer Rally Is Far From Over

Summary CF Industries benefits from a structurally tight nitrogen fertilizer market, driven by geopolitical disruptions and limited new capacity until 2030. CF's North American asset base and low-cost position provide a competitive advantage as global supply remains constrained, supporting elevated pricing. With natural gas feedstock costs down 11% y/y and robust production, Q2 is poised for strong results, with EPS projected at $5.83 versus street at $5.61. I target 29% upside to $156 (7x EV/EBITDA), as CF's higher growth and margins versus peers should close the current valuation gap. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
ナラティブの更新 • May 11

CF: Tight Nitrogen Markets And DOJ Probe Will Shape Future Returns

Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for CF Industries Holdings by about $2.90 to $120.95, reflecting updated views on nitrogen pricing, geopolitical risk to supply, and sector valuation multiples that underpin recent Street price target increases across the fertilizer group. Analyst Commentary Street research on CF Industries has leaned toward higher price targets, but the reasoning behind those moves is mixed, with different firms weighing nitrogen pricing, geopolitical risks, and medium term demand in distinct ways.
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 26

CF Industries Delivers Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Amid Tight Nitrogen Markets and Robust Cash Generation

Executive Summary Analyst: Qudus Adebara (Founder of Wane Investment House) CF Industries Holdings, Inc. delivered a solid operating and financial performance in the third quarter ended September 30, 2025, reflecting favorable nitrogen market fundamentals, disciplined cost management, and high asset utilization.
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 22

CF: Tighter Nitrogen Markets And DOJ Probe Will Shape Future Premium

CF Industries Holdings' analyst fair value estimate has been adjusted from $112.58 to $118.05, reflecting a series of higher Street price targets as analysts factor in tighter nitrogen markets, geopolitical supply risks, and refined assumptions for revenue trends, margins, and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on CF Industries points to a mix of optimism on earnings power in tighter nitrogen markets and caution around geopolitical risk, fertilizer demand trends, and valuation after a strong sector move.
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 07

CF: DOJ Price Fixing Probe Will Eventually Pressure Elevated Nitrogen Premium

CF Industries' updated analyst price target has moved about $7 higher, as analysts weigh higher implied fair value, slightly lower discount rates, firmer margin expectations, and a lower assumed future P/E against mixed views on nitrogen pricing and geopolitical risk. Analyst Commentary Recent research on CF Industries shows a cluster of higher price targets, but with a split view on how durable current conditions may be and how much upside is already reflected in the share price.
新しいナラティブ • Mar 27

Low Carbon Ammonia Ambitions And Gas Spreads Will Pressure Future Earnings And Margins

Catalysts About CF Industries Holdings CF Industries Holdings produces nitrogen based fertilizers and low carbon ammonia for agricultural and industrial customers. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
ナラティブの更新 • Mar 23

CF: DOJ Fertilizer Probe Will Constrain Returns Despite Tight Nitrogen Markets

Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for CF Industries to about $106 from roughly $98. This reflects higher price targets across the Street as they factor in firmer nitrogen pricing, improved profit margins, and a slightly lower assumed P/E multiple, despite some mixed ratings and geopolitical risks.
新しいナラティブ • Mar 13

Low Carbon Ammonia And CCS Projects Will Support A Stronger Long Term Outlook

Catalysts About CF Industries Holdings CF Industries Holdings produces nitrogen based fertilizers and low carbon ammonia for agricultural and industrial customers worldwide. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
ナラティブの更新 • Mar 08

CF: Tighter Nitrogen Markets And DOJ Probe Will Pressure Future Returns

Analysts have nudged their average price target for CF Industries higher to $97.74 from $95.68, reflecting updated views on tighter near term nitrogen markets, geopolitical risks that could support pricing into 2026, and emerging interest in the company's low carbon ammonia exposure. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a mix of optimism and caution on CF Industries, with several firms lifting price targets while keeping a close eye on nitrogen pricing, geopolitical risk, and the company’s execution on low carbon projects.
ナラティブの更新 • Feb 22

CF: Tight Nitrogen Markets And Low Carbon Projects Will Guide Balanced Outlook

Analysts have lifted their blended fair value estimate for CF Industries to about $95.68 from $91.21, reflecting higher price targets around $94 to $103 and updated views on tight nitrogen markets, strong free cash flow, and a modestly higher assumed future P/E multiple despite mixed opinions on medium term catalysts. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around CF Industries points to a mixed but generally balanced view, with several firms adjusting price targets while maintaining a cautious stance on the shares.
ナラティブの更新 • Feb 07

CF: Tight Nitrogen Outlook And Clean Energy Efforts Will Shape Balanced Outlook

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for CF Industries Holdings by about $0.40 to $91.21, reflecting slightly softer revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, partly offset by higher expected future P/E multiples and updated sector views from recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent research on CF Industries Holdings reflects a mixed but useful set of signals for you to weigh, with some analysts focusing on upside tied to nitrogen fundamentals and cash generation, and others leaning cautious around sector headwinds and valuation reset.
分析記事 • Jan 31

CF Industries Holdings (NYSE:CF) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.50

The board of CF Industries Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:CF ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.50 per share on...
ナラティブの更新 • Jan 24

CF: Tight Ammonia Markets And Clean Energy Projects Will Shape Balanced Outlook

Analysts made a small upward adjustment to their fair value estimate for CF Industries to about $91.61 per share, reflecting slightly firmer profit margin assumptions and a marginally lower future P/E expectation, even as recent price target moves across the Street remain mixed. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on CF Industries presents a mix of constructive and cautious views, with price targets spread roughly between the high $70s and $100.
ナラティブの更新 • Jan 10

CF: Tight Ammonia Markets And Clean Energy Projects Will Support Returns

Analysts have trimmed their blended fair value estimate for CF Industries Holdings by about US$0.30 per share to roughly US$91.44. This reflects a mix of lower price targets tied to concerns about potential nitrogen oversupply and uneven industrial demand, partly offset by more constructive views on tight ammonia markets, shareholder returns, and the company’s clean energy buildout.
ナラティブの更新 • Dec 25

CF: Tight Nitrogen And Ammonia Markets Will Support Future Shareholder Returns

Analysts have nudged their blended price target for CF Industries Holdings slightly lower, trimming it by about $0.45 to reflect a modestly softer valuation backdrop. At the same time, they highlight supportive nitrogen fundamentals, tight ammonia markets, and continued free cash flow and clean energy investment as key offsets.
ナラティブの更新 • Dec 11

CF: Tight Nitrogen And Ammonia Markets Will Drive Long-Term Upside

Analysts have modestly trimmed their price target on CF Industries Holdings to reflect a slightly lower fair value estimate of about $92, incorporating a mix of reduced targets from firms citing a cautious macro and commodity backdrop, and higher targets from those highlighting tight ammonia markets, strong free cash flow, and long term clean energy growth initiatives. Analyst Commentary Analyst views on CF Industries remain mixed, with a generally constructive stance on the company’s strategic positioning but tempered by concerns around the broader macro and commodity backdrop.
ナラティブの更新 • Nov 27

CF: Tight Nitrogen Markets And Clean Energy Advances Will Drive Long-Term Upside

The analyst price target for CF Industries Holdings has been adjusted slightly lower. This change reflects a modest decrease as analysts acknowledge both headwinds in profit margin expectations and ongoing support from industry fundamentals such as free cash flow generation and operational progress.
ナラティブの更新 • Nov 07

CF: Continued Share Repurchases And Low-Carbon Progress Will Support Future Gains

The consensus analyst price target for CF Industries Holdings has shifted modestly lower, dropping from approximately $93.56 to $92.94. Analysts cite a more cautious outlook on revenue growth and industry fundamentals, despite recent adjustments in sector forecasts.
分析記事 • Oct 05

CF Industries Holdings (NYSE:CF) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.50

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:CF ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.50 per share on the 28th of...
分析記事 • Sep 03

When Should You Buy CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:CF)?

Let's talk about the popular CF Industries Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:CF ). The company's shares received a lot of attention...
分析記事 • Jul 25

CF Industries Holdings' (NYSE:CF) Dividend Will Be $0.50

The board of CF Industries Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:CF ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 29th of August...
Seeking Alpha • Mar 19

CF Industries: The Cash King Of The Fertilizer Industry

Summary CF Industries, the world's largest nitrogen fertilizer producer, boasts an economic moat with low-cost operations and superior logistics, ensuring consistent shareholder value. The company's strategic focus on nitrogen-based products and disciplined capital reinvestment have led to substantial free cash flow and shareholder returns. Future growth is bolstered by ventures into blue and green ammonia, positioning CF ahead of regulatory trends and opening new market opportunities. At $76 per share, CF Industries offers a 36% margin of safety, making it a compelling buy with a 10% yield on owner earnings. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 02

CF Industries: A Trump 2.0 Bellwether

Summary CF Industries, the largest nitrogen fertilizer producer, benefits from low U.S. natural gas prices and strategic export capabilities, positioning it well for growth. Despite risks from energy volatility and global competition, CF's unique location and Trump 2.0 policies mitigate these challenges. Strong agricultural production forecasts in the U.S., particularly for corn and soybeans, bolster CF's market position and growth prospects. Trading at an attractive multiple, CF Industries offers a relatively safe investment with significant free cash flow and long-term shareholder value growth potential. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Nov 26

CF Industries: Setup Playing Out As Drawn Up - Here's What's Next (Technical Analysis)

Summary Our methodology helps us identify high-probability trading setups, providing guidance and potential risk versus reward on each chart we study, like CF Industries. This approach offers a structured way to analyze markets, helping investors objectively understand price movements and adjust quickly when wrong. We share these levels for CF. The current setup shows key near-term support and an alternative scenario as well. Our system ranks probabilistic market movements and provides alternative perspectives, aiming to keep investors on the right side of trades. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

業績と収益の成長予測

NYSE:CF - アナリストの将来予測と過去の財務データ ( )USD Millions
日付収益収益フリー・キャッシュフロー営業活動によるキャッシュ平均アナリスト数
12/31/20286,7271,2291,6752,34714
12/31/20277,2991,6361,9112,82520
12/31/20268,5652,6862,8493,88220
3/31/20267,4071,7581,6212,662N/A
12/31/20257,0841,4551,8022,752N/A
9/30/20256,7361,3791,7122,633N/A
6/30/20256,4471,3021,7872,500N/A
3/31/20256,1291,3361,8602,412N/A
12/31/20245,9361,2181,7532,271N/A
9/30/20245,9831,1641,8222,331N/A
6/30/20245,8861,0521,5012,018N/A
3/31/20246,0891,1591,7272,255N/A
12/31/20236,6311,5252,2582,757N/A
9/30/20237,6682,1112,4172,862N/A
6/30/20238,7162,3852,7463,234N/A
3/31/202310,3303,0232,9523,411N/A
12/31/202211,1863,3463,4023,855N/A
9/30/202211,1183,1914,2994,750N/A
6/30/202210,1592,5683,9854,447N/A
3/31/20228,3581,6493,1803,686N/A
12/31/20216,5389172,3592,873N/A
9/30/20215,1002991,1981,683N/A
6/30/20214,5854568481,219N/A
3/31/20214,2014001,2041,517N/A
12/31/20204,1243179221,231N/A
9/30/20204,0712859301,243N/A
6/30/20204,2623781,1611,530N/A
3/31/20204,5604711,1001,491N/A
12/31/20194,590493N/A1,505N/A
9/30/20194,673487N/A1,457N/A
6/30/20194,675452N/A1,592N/A
3/31/20194,473317N/A1,521N/A
12/31/20184,429290N/A1,497N/A
9/30/20184,396706N/A1,473N/A
6/30/20184,226589N/A1,042N/A
3/31/20184,050444N/A1,557N/A
12/31/20174,130358N/A1,631N/A
9/30/20173,898-427N/A1,427N/A
6/30/20173,708-370N/A1,358N/A
3/31/20173,718-326N/A627N/A
12/31/20163,685-277N/A617N/A
9/30/20163,93370N/A724N/A
6/30/20164,181190N/A1,154N/A
3/31/20164,358495N/A1,022N/A
12/31/20154,308700N/A1,207N/A
9/30/20154,410911N/A1,306N/A
6/30/20154,403952N/A1,352N/A

アナリストによる今後の成長予測

収入対貯蓄率: CFの収益は今後 3 年間で減少すると予測されています (年間-18% )。

収益対市場: CFの収益は今後 3 年間で減少すると予測されています (年間-18% )。

高成長収益: CFの収益は今後 3 年間で減少すると予測されています。

収益対市場: CFの収益は今後 3 年間で減少すると予想されています (年間-4.5% )。

高い収益成長: CFの収益は今後 3 年間で減少すると予測されています (年間-4.5% )。

一株当たり利益成長率予想

将来の株主資本利益率

将来のROE: CFの 自己資本利益率 は、3年後には低くなると予測されています ( 13.3 %)。

成長企業の発掘

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

企業分析と財務データの現状

データ最終更新日（UTC時間）
企業分析2026/06/24 08:19
終値2026/06/24 00:00
収益2026/03/31
年間収益2025/12/31

データソース

企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。

パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例
会社財務10年
  • 損益計算書
  • キャッシュ・フロー計算書
  • 貸借対照表
アナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年
  • 予想財務
  • アナリストの目標株価
市場価格30年
  • 株価
  • 配当、分割、措置
所有権10年
  • トップ株主
  • インサイダー取引
マネジメント10年
  • リーダーシップ・チーム
  • 取締役会
主な進展10年
  • 会社からのお知らせ

* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。

特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。

分析モデルとスノーフレーク

このレポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は、当社の Github ページ でご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使い方に関する ガイド や YouTube の チュートリアル もご用意しています。

シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。

業界およびセクターの指標

私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。

アナリスト筋

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. 20 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。42

アナリスト機関
Harriet LiAccountability Research Corporation
null nullArgus Research Company
Benjamin TheurerBarclays