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Amcor plcNYSE:AMCR 株式レポート

時価総額 US$17.3b
株価
US$38.04
US$50.22
24.3% 割安 内在価値ディスカウント
1Y-16.2%
7D-4.0%
ポートフォリオ価値
​
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Amcor plc

NYSE:AMCR 株式レポート

時価総額：US$17.3b

Amcor（AMCR）株式概要

Amcor plcは、その子会社とともに、ヨーロッパ、北米、中南米、アジア太平洋地域でパッケージング製品の製造・販売を行っている。 詳細

AMCR ファンダメンタル分析
スノーフレーク・スコア
評価3/6
将来の成長3/6
過去の実績0/6
財務の健全性3/6
配当金2/6

報酬

当社が推定した公正価値より49.2%で取引されている

収益は年間21.44%増加すると予測されています

アナリストらは、株価が32%上昇するだろうとほぼ一致している。

リスク分析

負債は営業キャッシュフローで十分にカバーされていない

6.83%の配当は、利益やフリーキャッシュフローによって十分にカバーされていない

財務結果に影響を与える大きな一時的項目

利益率(3%)は昨年より低い(5.9%)


AMCR Community Fair Values

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Analyst Price Targets

Top Community Narratives

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Amcor

[Andy Chopra's Analysis] Cheap on assets but expensive on earnings. Avoid.

Business Model – Company value: Strong; Buffett’s preferred: Simple and understandable; Status: ✅; Explanation: Global packaging leader where the merger with Berry Global consolidates market share in essential consumer sectors. Economic Moat – Company value: Strong; Buffett’s preferred: Strong and durable advantages; Status: ✅; Explanation: Significant economies of scale and proprietary know‑how, with the announced 1‑for‑5 reverse stock split signaling continued restructuring of the combined entity.​ Management Quality – Company value: Moderate; Buffett’s preferred: Shareholder‑friendly; Status: ⚠️; Explanation: Dividend commitment and high yield support income investors, but recent complex M&A and dilution weigh on capital allocation quality.​ Return on Equity – 10‑year average: 23.5%; Buffett’s preferred: Above 15%; Status: ✅; Explanation: Long‑term average ROE remains excellent, though the larger equity base post‑merger will likely dilute future ROE levels.​ Return on Equity – Current: 4.2%; Buffett’s preferred: Above 15%; Status: ❌; Explanation: TTM ROE has dropped sharply to about 4.2% because of merger‑related expenses and the much higher reported equity balance around 11.7 billion dollars.​ Operating Margin – 10‑year average: 11.2%; Buffett’s preferred: Above 12%; Status: ⚠️; Explanation: Historical operating margins average roughly 11%, slightly below Buffett’s preferred threshold for high‑quality manufacturers.​ Operating Margin – Current: 9.8%; Buffett’s preferred: Above 12%; Status: ❌; Explanation: Current operating margin is under pressure around 10% due to integration costs and softer volumes.​ Debt to Equity Ratio – Company value: 1.27; Buffett’s preferred: Below 0.5; Status: ❌; Explanation: Financial leverage is high, with total debt estimated near 14.9 billion dollars versus equity of about 11.7 billion dollars.​ Net Debt to EBITDA – Company value: 3.4x; Buffett’s preferred: Below 2.0x; Status: ❌; Explanation: Net leverage of roughly 3.4 times EBITDA is elevated and implies cash flow must prioritize deleveraging over shareholder returns.​ Current Ratio – Company value: 1.20; Buffett’s preferred: Above 1.5; Status: ⚠️; Explanation: Liquidity is somewhat tight at about 1.2 times current liabilities, leaving limited buffer despite steady operating cash flow.​ Free Cash Flow – 5‑year average: 815 million dollars (described as volatile); Buffett’s preferred: Consistent and growing; Status: ⚠️; Explanation: Five‑year average FCF is solid but TTM free cash flow of roughly 725 million dollars is depressed by integration and transaction costs.​ Earnings Growth – 10‑year CAGR: 2.8%; Buffett’s preferred: Above 10%; Status: ❌; Explanation: Over the past decade earnings have grown in the low single digits, reflecting a mature, slow‑growing packaging market.​ Dividend Yield – Current: 6.29%; Buffett’s preferred: Above 4%; Status: ✅; Explanation: The stock offers an attractive yield above 6%, though the GAAP payout ratio currently exceeds 100% of reported earnings.​ Dividend Growth Streak – Company value: 25+ years; Buffett’s preferred: At least 10 years; Status: ✅; Explanation: Including the Bemis legacy record, Amcor has raised its dividend for more than 25 consecutive years and is recognized among dividend growth names.​ Price to Earnings Ratio – Current TTM: 27.53; Buffett’s preferred: Below 15; Status: ❌; Explanation: Using GAAP EPS of 0.30 dollars, the shares trade at about 27.5 times earnings, which is expensive against Buffett’s value threshold.​ Intrinsic Value (DCF) per share – Estimate: 4.85 dollars; Buffett’s preferred: Not applicable; Status: —; Explanation: A discounted cash flow model using TTM FCF of about 725 million dollars, 0% growth, 9% discount rate and 2.5% terminal growth yields intrinsic value around 4.85 dollars per share.​ Intrinsic Value (P/E) per share – Estimate: 9.60 dollars; Buffett’s preferred: Not applicable; Status: —; Explanation: Applying a 10‑year median P/E of about 18 times to normalized EPS of 0.53 dollars implies fair value near 9.60 dollars per share.​ Intrinsic Value (P/B) per share – Estimate: 12.73 dollars; Buffett’s preferred: Not applicable; Status: —; Explanation: Using an industry median price to book near 2.5 times and current book value of roughly 5.09 dollars per share yields intrinsic value around 12.73 dollars.​ Current Stock Price – Company value: 8.26 dollars; Buffett’s preferred: Not applicable; Status: —; Explanation: The latest close on December 24, 2025 shows Amcor trading at about 8.26 dollars per share.​ Margin of Safety – Range: minus 70% to plus 35%; Buffett’s preferred: Above 25%; Status: ⚠️; Explanation: Relative to the three valuation methods, the stock looks overvalued versus DCF but undervalued versus P/B, producing a wide margin‑of‑safety range from negative 70% to positive 35%.​ Final Recommendation – Company value: HOLD; Buffett’s preferred: Not applicable; Status: ⚠️; Explanation: The shares offer a high yield and appear cheap on asset and normalized earnings metrics, but weak current ROE and high leverage suggest caution until merger synergies clearly lift EPS.
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US$5
FV
660.8% 割高 内在価値ディスカウント
4.19%
Revenue growth p.a.
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An Undervalued 3.3Moz Gold Project in Canada

Key takeaways Upside Gold is developing the Kena Gold Project, near the town of Nelson in the Kootenays region of southern British Columbia. Kena hosts a historical gold resource of 3.33 million ounces (561,000 ounces Indicated and 2.77 million ounces Inferred) across a 10,200-hectare land package.
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Community Contributor
CA$5.07FV • 68.6% 割安 内在価値ディスカウント
4849.4%Revenue growth p.a.
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Amcor plc 競合他社

価格と性能

株価の高値、安値、推移の概要Amcor
過去の株価
現在の株価US$38.04
52週高値US$50.94
52週安値US$37.22
ベータ0.71
1ヶ月の変化-4.30%
3ヶ月変化-14.03%
1年変化-16.21%
3年間の変化-25.48%
5年間の変化-39.09%
IPOからの変化-31.95%

最新ニュース

AMCR: Future Returns Will Hinge On Malaysia Healthcare Packaging Expansion

Amcor's updated analyst price target has eased from about $51.66 to $50.22, as analysts weigh recent target cuts and downgrades against fresh bullish coverage that assumes a slightly higher revenue growth outlook and a modestly lower future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Amcor reflects a mix of optimism about execution and growth, alongside fresh caution on valuation and risk, which explains the modest pullback in the average price target.

AMCR: Future Returns Will Hinge On Post Reverse Split Multiple Re Rating

Amcor's updated analyst price target edges lower to $51.66 from $52.54 as analysts balance tempered valuation assumptions, including a slightly lower future P/E, against modestly higher modeled revenue growth and profit margins following recent mixed research calls. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Amcor reflects a split view, with some analysts turning more constructive while others are growing more cautious.

Amcor: Dividend Aristocrat With A Great Yield And Below Fair Value

Apr 07

AMCR: Future Returns Will Depend On Berry Integration Synergies After Reverse Split

Amcor's updated analyst price target has moved slightly lower to $52.54 from $53.49, as analysts factor in a modestly higher discount rate and slightly softer margin and P/E assumptions following a mix of recent upgrades, downgrades and revised target prices. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Amcor points to a mixed but useful set of signals for you as an investor, with analysts split between constructive views on earnings potential and caution around valuation, volume trends and integration risk.

Recent updates

AMCR: Future Returns Will Hinge On Malaysia Healthcare Packaging Expansion

Amcor's updated analyst price target has eased from about $51.66 to $50.22, as analysts weigh recent target cuts and downgrades against fresh bullish coverage that assumes a slightly higher revenue growth outlook and a modestly lower future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Amcor reflects a mix of optimism about execution and growth, alongside fresh caution on valuation and risk, which explains the modest pullback in the average price target.

AMCR: Future Returns Will Hinge On Post Reverse Split Multiple Re Rating

Amcor's updated analyst price target edges lower to $51.66 from $52.54 as analysts balance tempered valuation assumptions, including a slightly lower future P/E, against modestly higher modeled revenue growth and profit margins following recent mixed research calls. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Amcor reflects a split view, with some analysts turning more constructive while others are growing more cautious.

Amcor: Dividend Aristocrat With A Great Yield And Below Fair Value

Apr 07

AMCR: Future Returns Will Depend On Berry Integration Synergies After Reverse Split

Amcor's updated analyst price target has moved slightly lower to $52.54 from $53.49, as analysts factor in a modestly higher discount rate and slightly softer margin and P/E assumptions following a mix of recent upgrades, downgrades and revised target prices. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Amcor points to a mixed but useful set of signals for you as an investor, with analysts split between constructive views on earnings potential and caution around valuation, volume trends and integration risk.

AMCR: Future Returns Will Hinge On Berry Synergies And Volume Resilience

Analysts have modestly adjusted their price targets on Amcor, with recent changes ranging from a $4 uplift to a $0.60 reduction, as they balance expectations for earnings growth, synergy potential from the Berry Global deal, and some caution around longer term volume trends. Analyst Commentary Recent research paints a mixed picture, with some analysts highlighting upside from the Berry Global acquisition and others flagging execution and volume risks that could influence where the shares trade relative to their price targets.

AMCR: Future Returns Will Weigh Berry Synergies Against Execution And Volume Risks

Narrative Update on Amcor The updated analyst price targets for Amcor, with moves such as BofA's shift to $9.70 and Truist's increase to $12, reflect a mixed but generally constructive view as analysts weigh potential earnings synergies from the Berry Global deal against more cautious assumptions embedded in slightly revised discount rate and future P/E inputs. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Amcor gives you a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms updating ratings and price targets around the proposed Berry Global acquisition and the outlook for packaging demand.

AMCR: Future Returns Will Reflect Berry Synergies Deleveraging And Mixed Rating Shifts

Analysts have raised their average price target on Amcor by $1.57, supported by updated views on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions following recent mixed rating and target moves across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Amcor reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with multiple firms revisiting price targets alongside fresh views on earnings power, integration of the Berry Global acquisition, and sector demand trends.

AMCR: Future Returns Will Be Driven By Berry Synergies And Deleveraging

Analysts have trimmed their blended fair value estimate for Amcor from about $54.80 to roughly $51.92, reflecting mixed Street price targets and updated assumptions for revenue growth, margins and future P/E multiples tied to views on the Berry deal, packaging demand and potential earnings synergies. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts see the Berry Global acquisition as value creating, with synergy guidance that they view as potentially conservative.

AMCR: Future Returns Will Be Led By Berry Synergies And Deleveraging

Narrative Update on Amcor The analyst price target for Amcor has been updated to US$54.80, reflecting analysts' focus on potential earnings benefits tied to Berry Global synergies, debt reduction and expectations for packaging demand trends into 2026. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Amcor highlights a mix of optimism around earnings potential and synergy capture, alongside some caution on volume trends and longer term growth assumptions.

AMCR: Future Returns Will Be Driven By Berry Synergies And Free Cash Flow

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Amcor to $10.00 from $11.10, reflecting slightly higher discount rate assumptions and a modestly lower future P/E multiple, while still pointing to improving margins, robust free cash flow and sizable Berry Global synergy potential as support for long term value. Analyst Commentary Street research on Amcor reflects a mix of optimism about long term value creation from the Berry Global acquisition and caution around near term operational and balance sheet risks.

AMCR: Future Earnings Will Benefit From Berry Global Acquisition Synergies

Analysts have revised Amcor's average price target downward by $0.02, citing lowered revenue growth expectations and ongoing challenges in packaging volumes. However, they note that synergy gains from the Berry Global acquisition may help offset near-term pressures.

Amcor (NYSE:AMCR) Is Increasing Its Dividend To $0.13

Nov 17
Amcor (NYSE:AMCR) Is Increasing Its Dividend To $0.13

Amcor's (NYSE:AMCR) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Nov 13
Amcor's (NYSE:AMCR) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

AMCR: Cost Synergies From Berry Deal Will Drive Medium-Term Upside

Amcor's analyst price target has been revised downward from $11.10 to $10, as analysts cite ongoing volume pressures, debt concerns, and cautious optimism about prospective cost synergies from the Berry Global acquisition. Analyst Commentary Recent street research offers a mixed outlook on Amcor in light of the company’s ongoing strategic moves, shifting market conditions, and the planned Berry Global acquisition.

Berry Integration And Portfolio Optimization Will Fuel Eco-Friendly Packaging

Amcor's analyst price target has been revised downward from $10.59 to $10.43, a change of $0.16 per share. Analysts are weighing ongoing volume pressures, debt concerns, and evolving synergy expectations from the Berry Global acquisition.

Berry Integration And Portfolio Optimization Will Fuel Eco-Friendly Packaging

Analysts have revised Amcor's price target downward from $10.80 to $10.59, citing persistent headwinds in packaging volumes and debt concerns. However, expectations for synergy realization from recent acquisitions continue to support the company's long-term value outlook.

Berry Integration And Portfolio Optimization Will Fuel Eco-Friendly Packaging

Amcor’s consensus price target edged down from $10.91 to $10.80 as analysts balanced optimism over Berry Global synergies and free cash flow improvements against persistent integration concerns and weak demand volumes. Analyst Commentary Anticipated cost synergies and free cash flow improvements stemming from the Berry Global acquisition are seen as significant positives for medium-term growth.

Berry Integration And Portfolio Optimization Will Fuel Eco-Friendly Packaging

Amcor’s consensus price target was lowered to $10.79 due to analyst concerns over ongoing volume weakness and lowered revenue expectations, though some see improved valuation upside, reflecting a mixed market outlook. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts point to continued volume weakness as a primary drag on Amcor’s near-term outlook.

Amcor (NYSE:AMCR) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.1275

Aug 18
Amcor (NYSE:AMCR) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.1275

Earnings Miss: Amcor plc Missed EPS By 46% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

Aug 16
Earnings Miss: Amcor plc Missed EPS By 46% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

Amcor: Dividend Aristocrat Executing A Major Acquisition

Apr 08

Amcor: Rare Buying Opportunity With Strong Yield And Potential Massive Growth

Mar 20

Amcor Investors Await Berry Global's Buyout, As Dip-Buying Opportunity Arises

Jan 29

Amcor: Creating A Consumer Packaging Giant With Berry Global Group

Nov 19

Amcor: Adds To My Belief That This Is A Trader's Market (Technical Analysis)

Sep 12
User avatar

Harnessing Safety, Efficiency, And Strategic Growth To Propel Market Presence And Revenue Streams

Amcor's commitment to operational efficiency and safety measures is set to improve its operational margins through ongoing initiatives.

株主還元

AMCRUS PackagingUS 市場
7D-4.0%-3.6%0.6%
1Y-16.2%-7.9%28.7%

業界別リターン: AMCR過去 1 年間で-7.9 % の収益を上げたUS Packaging業界を下回りました。

リターン対市場: AMCRは、過去 1 年間で28.7 % のリターンを上げたUS市場を下回りました。

価格変動

Is AMCR's price volatile compared to industry and market?
AMCR volatility
AMCR Average Weekly Movement5.7%
Packaging Industry Average Movement5.7%
Market Average Movement7.2%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.2%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.3%

安定した株価: AMCR 、 US市場と比較して、過去 3 か月間で大きな価格変動はありませんでした。

時間の経過による変動: AMCRの 週次ボラティリティ ( 6% ) は過去 1 年間安定しています。

会社概要

設立従業員CEO（最高経営責任者ウェブサイト
192677,000Peter Koniecznywww.amcor.com

Amcor plc はその子会社とともに、欧州、北米、中南米、アジア太平洋地域でパッケージング製品の製造・販売を行っている。同社はグローバル・フレキシブル・パッケージング・ソリューションズとグローバル・リジッド・パッケージング・ソリューションズの2つのセグメントで事業を展開している。グローバル・フレキシブル・パッケージング・ソリューションズ部門は、食品・飲料、医療・医薬品、生鮮食品、スナック菓子、パーソナルケア、その他の業界向けに、ポリマー樹脂、アルミニウム、繊維をベースとしたフレキシブル・パッケージング製品を開発・供給している。グローバル・リジッド・パッケージング・ソリューションズ部門は、食品・飲料用途の硬質包装容器、クロージャー、ディスペンサー、製薬機器、関連製品を製造している。同社は直販部隊を通じて製品を販売している。同社は1926年に設立され、スイスのチューリッヒに本社を置いている。

Amcor plc 基礎のまとめ

Amcor の収益と売上を時価総額と比較するとどうか。
AMCR 基礎統計学
時価総額US$17.26b
収益（TTM）US$596.00m
売上高(TTM)US$19.61b
29.5x
PER（株価収益率
0.9x
P/Sレシオ

AMCR は割高か？

公正価値と評価分析を参照

収益と収入

最新の決算報告書（TTM）に基づく主な収益性統計
AMCR 損益計算書（TTM）
収益US$19.61b
売上原価US$15.90b
売上総利益US$3.71b
その他の費用US$3.12b
収益US$596.00m

直近の収益報告

Dec 31, 2025

次回決算日

May 06, 2026

一株当たり利益（EPS）1.29
グロス・マージン18.93%
純利益率3.04%
有利子負債／自己資本比率131.2%

AMCR の長期的なパフォーマンスは？

過去の実績と比較を見る

配当金

6.8%
現在の配当利回り
175%
配当性向

企業分析と財務データの現状

データ最終更新日（UTC時間）
企業分析2026/04/30 23:22
終値2026/04/30 00:00
収益2025/12/31
年間収益2025/06/30

データソース

企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。

パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例
会社財務10年
  • 損益計算書
  • キャッシュ・フロー計算書
  • 貸借対照表
アナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年
  • 予想財務
  • アナリストの目標株価
市場価格30年
  • 株価
  • 配当、分割、措置
所有権10年
  • トップ株主
  • インサイダー取引
マネジメント10年
  • リーダーシップ・チーム
  • 取締役会
主な進展10年
  • 会社からのお知らせ

* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。

特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。

分析モデルとスノーフレーク

本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドやYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。

シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。

業界およびセクターの指標

私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。

アナリスト筋

Amcor plc 20 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。39

アナリスト機関
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