Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.

NYSE:AMBP 株式レポート

時価総額:US$2.4b

Ardagh Metal Packaging 過去の業績

過去 基準チェック /06

Ardagh Metal Packagingの収益は年間平均-7.2%の割合で減少していますが、 Packaging業界の収益は年間 減少しています。収益は年間1.7% 7.3%割合で 増加しています。

主要情報

-7.17%

収益成長率

-5.54%

EPS成長率

Packaging 業界の成長12.01%
収益成長率7.27%
株主資本利益率n/a
ネット・マージン-0.087%
前回の決算情報31 Mar 2026

最近の業績更新

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha Apr 18

Ardagh Metal Packaging: Execution Holds, Tailwinds Build, Valuation Undemanding

Summary Ardagh Metal Packaging is reinstated with a buy rating, reflecting 32% upside and a 10% dividend yield. The company continues to deliver, with a 4Q EBITDA beat and Q1 guidance slightly ahead of consensus, suggesting resilient operational performance even as the market remains cautious. While energy exposure remains a focus, hedging and pass-through mechanisms limit downside, and long-term demand is supported by sustainability trends and increasing metal packaging penetration. Valuation remains attractive, while recent hedge fund positioning signals a shift in investor sentiment. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
ナラティブの更新 Apr 11

AMBP: Revised Cash Flow Assumptions Should Support Future Upside Potential

The analyst price target for Ardagh Metal Packaging has been adjusted slightly lower to align with a revised fair value of about $4.66. This reflects updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth and profit margins that analysts have highlighted in recent research.
ナラティブの更新 Mar 28

AMBP: Rising Packaging Demand Should Support Upside Despite Leverage Risk

Analyst price targets for Ardagh Metal Packaging have moved higher to a range of about $4.75 to $6, as analysts cite slightly stronger revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, along with a modestly lower future P/E multiple in their updated models. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a split view on Ardagh Metal Packaging, with several bullish analysts nudging price targets higher while one bearish analyst trims expectations.
新しいナラティブ Mar 22

Tight Can Capacity And Leverage Will Shape Future Earnings Resilience

Catalysts About Ardagh Metal Packaging Ardagh Metal Packaging produces metal beverage cans for soft drinks, beer and a range of other categories across Europe and the Americas. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
ナラティブの更新 Mar 14

AMBP: Beverage Can Demand Should Support Upside Despite Leverage Concerns

Narrative Update on Ardagh Metal Packaging The analyst price target for Ardagh Metal Packaging has edged higher as the fair value estimate moves from about $4.86 to roughly $4.92. This shift is supported by a series of recent target increases from $4.25 to $4.75, $5 to $6, and $4 to $5, partly offset by one cut to $3.60 that reflects ongoing concerns about leverage and potential share loss in North America.
ナラティブの更新 Feb 28

AMBP: Fair Valuation Balances Leverage Risks And Beverage Packaging Demand

Analyst fair value for Ardagh Metal Packaging has edged up from about $4.30 to roughly $4.86, reflecting a series of recent price target increases from $4.25 to $4.75 at UBS, $5 to $6 at Citi, and $4 to $5 at Truist, partially offset by BofA trimming its target to $3.60 because of capital structure and leverage concerns. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Ardagh Metal Packaging reflects a split view, with some analysts lifting price targets and others turning more cautious based on the balance sheet and competitive outlook.
ナラティブの更新 Dec 13

AMBP: Slight EPS Upgrades Will Balance Regional Challenges Ahead

Analysts have nudged their price target on Ardagh Metal Packaging up by $0.10 to $4.00, reflecting modestly higher EPS forecasts after what they described as a solid quarter despite regional operating challenges. Analyst Commentary Analyst reactions to the latest results highlight a nuanced view of Ardagh Metal Packaging, with modestly higher earnings expectations but ongoing concerns about regional performance and the overall risk reward profile.
ナラティブの更新 Oct 25

Resilient Earnings And Sustainable Packaging Will Shape Global Expansion Outlook

Narrative Update on Ardagh Metal Packaging Analysts have modestly increased their price target for Ardagh Metal Packaging to $4.00 from $3.90, citing improved earnings forecasts following the company's solid quarterly performance despite regional headwinds. Analyst Commentary Following the recent quarterly results for Ardagh Metal Packaging, analysts have updated their projections and identified both positive developments and areas of concern that could impact the company's outlook and valuation.
分析記事 Jun 15

Estimating The Fair Value Of Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. (NYSE:AMBP)

Key Insights Ardagh Metal Packaging's estimated fair value is US$4.01 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current...
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新しいナラティブ Apr 28

Americas And Europe Capacity Expansions Will Unlock Beverage Potential

Strategic entry into new beverage categories and capacity investments support revenue and margin growth despite tight capacity environments.
Seeking Alpha Apr 26

Ardagh Metal Packaging: I Don't Like The Double-Digit Dividend Yield

Summary I've maintained a long position in Ardagh Metal Packaging despite initial losses, focusing on their strong free cash flow profile over the 11% dividend yield. Q1 2025 saw a revenue increase to $1.27B and a gross profit rise of more than 20%, but a net loss due to high depreciation and amortization expenses. Adjusted for working capital changes, the underlying operating cash flow was $103M, leading to a net free cash flow of $58M for common shareholders. I prefer debt reduction over dividends given the $3.4B net debt, but remain invested as the stock trades at less than 8 times sustaining free cash flow. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
分析記事 Apr 23

Insufficient Growth At Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. (NYSE:AMBP) Hampers Share Price

When you see that almost half of the companies in the Packaging industry in the United States have price-to-sales...
分析記事 Feb 28

Is There An Opportunity With Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.'s (NYSE:AMBP) 48% Undervaluation?

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Ardagh Metal Packaging fair value estimate is US$6.07 Ardagh...
Seeking Alpha Jan 08

Ardagh Metal Packaging: Risk-Reward Looks Promising, But Not Out Of The Woods

Summary Ardagh Metal Packaging has a strong market presence in the metal beverage can industry, with production in 9 countries and multi-year contracts with major brands. AMBP has been a source of wealth destruction both in the short-term and the long-term, and we are in two minds over whether this could change. We proceed to discuss various fundamental sub-plots that could weigh on the movement of AMBP. Tactical traders might find AMBP appealing due to its potential for mean-reversion relative to other Russell 2000 peers, and the attractive risk-reward on the standalone charts. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
分析記事 Dec 21

Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.'s (NYSE:AMBP) Share Price Is Matching Sentiment Around Its Revenues

Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.'s ( NYSE:AMBP ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x may look like a pretty appealing...
Seeking Alpha Oct 28

Ardagh Metal Packaging: What's Next For This 11% Yielding Stock

Summary Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. shows strong growth potential for 2025, with a positive outlook reinforced by Q3 2024 earnings. Q3 2024 saw a 2% increase in metal beverage can shipments and a 15% rise in adjusted EBITDA, driven by margin normalization in Europe and improved manufacturing in the Americas. Resilient beverage consumption trends and strong input cost management contributed to Ardagh's performance, leading to an increased full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance of $650M-$660M. Ardagh expects beverage cans to outperform other containers due to their circularity and decarbonization benefits, supported by customer innovation. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Oct 11

Ardagh Metal Packaging: Canning Future Growth - Strong Buy

Summary Strong growth prospects in key regions like Brazil outweigh short-term sales declines. Management’s plan to reduce leverage from 5.8x to 5.2x strengthens the financial outlook. Institutional investors, including King Street Capital Management, show bullish sentiment, with significant long positions and increased call options in the last quarter. Strong cash flow supports Ardagh’s ability to manage debt and interest payments while funding growth initiatives. I believe Ardagh is undervalued, with strong cash flow and key metrics below industry averages, making it a Strong Buy. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
分析記事 Jun 04

Ardagh Metal Packaging's (NYSE:AMBP) Dividend Will Be $0.10

Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. ( NYSE:AMBP ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.10 per share on the 26th of...
分析記事 May 09

Ardagh Metal Packaging (NYSE:AMBP) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $0.10

The board of Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. ( NYSE:AMBP ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.10 per share on...
Seeking Alpha Apr 29

Ardagh Metal Packaging: Stubbornly Maintaining Its 10% Dividend Yield

Summary Ardagh Metal Packaging reported a strong start to the year with 11% revenue growth in the Americas. The company's operating profit was $14M, resulting in a net loss of $12M. AMBP expects an increase in EBITDA of over 25% for the current quarter and confirms full-year EBITDA at $630-660M. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
分析記事 Apr 22

Ardagh Metal Packaging (NYSE:AMBP) Seems To Be Using A Lot Of Debt

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
分析記事 Feb 25

Investors Interested In Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.'s (NYSE:AMBP) Revenues

With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 0.8x in the Packaging industry in the United States, you...
分析記事 Feb 25

Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. Just Missed Earnings; Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

Last week, you might have seen that Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. ( NYSE:AMBP ) released its yearly result to the market...
分析記事 Nov 09

A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.'s (NYSE:AMBP) 26% Share Price Climb

Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. ( NYSE:AMBP ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 26% after a shaky period...
Seeking Alpha Oct 30

Ardagh Metal Packaging: The 12% Yield Is Now Fully Covered

Summary Ardagh Metal Packaging meets Q3 EBITDA guidance, leading to a positive market reaction. The company reduced its full-year adjusted EBITDA target, slightly disappointing but not negatively impacting the market. Ardagh's dividend is sustainable and fully covered by sustaining free cash flow, with plans to reduce debt and improve debt ratios. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
分析記事 Sep 26

An Intrinsic Calculation For Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. (NYSE:AMBP) Suggests It's 32% Undervalued

Key Insights Using the Dividend Discount Model, Ardagh Metal Packaging fair value estimate is US$4.66 Ardagh Metal...
Seeking Alpha Aug 24

Ardagh Metal Packaging: Debt Levels Pose A Risk

Summary Ardagh Metal Packaging manufactures metal cans for beverage producers. The company's stock has seen a large decrease in price since going public in 2021, as the company's operating margin has fell from its historical level. Ardagh's financials have shown growth as the company has had heavy investments, but as investments slow down the company should see a more static future. The current stock level seems to price the stock near my DCF model's estimated fair value, constituting a hold-rating. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

収支内訳

Ardagh Metal Packaging の稼ぎ方とお金の使い方。LTMベースの直近の報告された収益に基づく。


収益と収入の歴史

NYSE:AMBP 収益、費用、利益 ( )USD Millions
日付収益収益G+A経費研究開発費
31 Mar 265,733-52960
31 Dec 255,497-112880
30 Sep 255,346-82860
30 Jun 255,231-172840
31 Mar 255,035-202930
31 Dec 244,908-272880
30 Sep 244,845-722860
30 Jun 244,826-732760
31 Mar 244,822-852600
31 Dec 234,812-742460
30 Sep 234,756-52220
30 Jun 234,635461990
31 Mar 234,6831621920
31 Dec 224,6892261920
30 Sep 224,7002351920
30 Jun 224,565-51950
31 Mar 224,253-791860
31 Dec 214,055-2101790
30 Sep 213,861-1621870
30 Jun 213,722681870
31 Mar 213,561401860
31 Dec 203,4511111790
31 Dec 193,344-401580
31 Dec 183,338-751490

質の高い収益: AMBPは現在利益が出ていません。

利益率の向上: AMBPは現在利益が出ていません。


フリー・キャッシュフローと収益の比較


過去の収益成長分析

収益動向: AMBPは利益が出ておらず、過去 5 年間で損失は年間7.2%の割合で増加しています。

成長の加速: AMBPの過去 1 年間の収益成長を 5 年間の平均と比較することはできません。現在は利益が出ていないためです。

収益対業界: AMBPは利益が出ていないため、過去 1 年間の収益成長をPackaging業界 ( -1.6% ) と比較することは困難です。


株主資本利益率

高いROE: AMBPの負債は資産を上回っているため、自己資本利益率を計算することは困難です。


総資産利益率


使用総資本利益率


過去の好業績企業の発掘

企業分析と財務データの現状

データ最終更新日(UTC時間)
企業分析2026/05/26 07:16
終値2026/05/26 00:00
収益2026/03/31
年間収益2025/12/31

データソース

企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。

パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例
会社財務10年
  • 損益計算書
  • キャッシュ・フロー計算書
  • 貸借対照表
アナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年
  • 予想財務
  • アナリストの目標株価
市場価格30年
  • 株価
  • 配当、分割、措置
所有権10年
  • トップ株主
  • インサイダー取引
マネジメント10年
  • リーダーシップ・チーム
  • 取締役会
主な進展10年
  • 会社からのお知らせ

* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用

特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM(Trailing Twelve Month)またはLTM(Last Twelve Month)データとして知られています。詳細はこちら

分析モデルとスノーフレーク

本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。

シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。

業界およびセクターの指標

私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。

アナリスト筋

Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. 7 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。11

アナリスト機関
Michael LeitheadBarclays
Patrick Duffy FischerBarclays
Mark WildeBMO Capital Markets Equity Research