Ardagh Metal Packaging 将来の成長
Future 基準チェック /36
Ardagh Metal Packagingは、74.7%と3.1%でそれぞれ年率74.7%で利益と収益が成長すると予測される一方、EPSはgrowで71.9%年率。
主要情報
74.7%
収益成長率
71.91%
EPS成長率
| Packaging 収益成長 | 23.1% |
| 収益成長率 | 3.1% |
| 将来の株主資本利益率 | n/a |
| アナリストカバレッジ | Good |
| 最終更新日 | 26 Apr 2026 |
今後の成長に関する最新情報
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • Apr 18
Ardagh Metal Packaging: Execution Holds, Tailwinds Build, Valuation Undemanding
Summary Ardagh Metal Packaging is reinstated with a buy rating, reflecting 32% upside and a 10% dividend yield. The company continues to deliver, with a 4Q EBITDA beat and Q1 guidance slightly ahead of consensus, suggesting resilient operational performance even as the market remains cautious. While energy exposure remains a focus, hedging and pass-through mechanisms limit downside, and long-term demand is supported by sustainability trends and increasing metal packaging penetration. Valuation remains attractive, while recent hedge fund positioning signals a shift in investor sentiment. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 11
AMBP: Revised Cash Flow Assumptions Should Support Future Upside Potential
The analyst price target for Ardagh Metal Packaging has been adjusted slightly lower to align with a revised fair value of about $4.66. This reflects updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth and profit margins that analysts have highlighted in recent research.ナラティブの更新 • Mar 28
AMBP: Rising Packaging Demand Should Support Upside Despite Leverage Risk
Analyst price targets for Ardagh Metal Packaging have moved higher to a range of about $4.75 to $6, as analysts cite slightly stronger revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, along with a modestly lower future P/E multiple in their updated models. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a split view on Ardagh Metal Packaging, with several bullish analysts nudging price targets higher while one bearish analyst trims expectations.
新しいナラティブ • Mar 22
Tight Can Capacity And Leverage Will Shape Future Earnings Resilience
Catalysts About Ardagh Metal Packaging Ardagh Metal Packaging produces metal beverage cans for soft drinks, beer and a range of other categories across Europe and the Americas. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?ナラティブの更新 • Mar 14
AMBP: Beverage Can Demand Should Support Upside Despite Leverage Concerns
Narrative Update on Ardagh Metal Packaging The analyst price target for Ardagh Metal Packaging has edged higher as the fair value estimate moves from about $4.86 to roughly $4.92. This shift is supported by a series of recent target increases from $4.25 to $4.75, $5 to $6, and $4 to $5, partly offset by one cut to $3.60 that reflects ongoing concerns about leverage and potential share loss in North America.ナラティブの更新 • Feb 28
AMBP: Fair Valuation Balances Leverage Risks And Beverage Packaging Demand
Analyst fair value for Ardagh Metal Packaging has edged up from about $4.30 to roughly $4.86, reflecting a series of recent price target increases from $4.25 to $4.75 at UBS, $5 to $6 at Citi, and $4 to $5 at Truist, partially offset by BofA trimming its target to $3.60 because of capital structure and leverage concerns. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Ardagh Metal Packaging reflects a split view, with some analysts lifting price targets and others turning more cautious based on the balance sheet and competitive outlook.ナラティブの更新 • Dec 13
AMBP: Slight EPS Upgrades Will Balance Regional Challenges Ahead
Analysts have nudged their price target on Ardagh Metal Packaging up by $0.10 to $4.00, reflecting modestly higher EPS forecasts after what they described as a solid quarter despite regional operating challenges. Analyst Commentary Analyst reactions to the latest results highlight a nuanced view of Ardagh Metal Packaging, with modestly higher earnings expectations but ongoing concerns about regional performance and the overall risk reward profile.ナラティブの更新 • Oct 25
Resilient Earnings And Sustainable Packaging Will Shape Global Expansion Outlook
Narrative Update on Ardagh Metal Packaging Analysts have modestly increased their price target for Ardagh Metal Packaging to $4.00 from $3.90, citing improved earnings forecasts following the company's solid quarterly performance despite regional headwinds. Analyst Commentary Following the recent quarterly results for Ardagh Metal Packaging, analysts have updated their projections and identified both positive developments and areas of concern that could impact the company's outlook and valuation.分析記事 • Jun 15
Estimating The Fair Value Of Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. (NYSE:AMBP)
Key Insights Ardagh Metal Packaging's estimated fair value is US$4.01 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current...
新しいナラティブ • Apr 28
Americas And Europe Capacity Expansions Will Unlock Beverage Potential
Strategic entry into new beverage categories and capacity investments support revenue and margin growth despite tight capacity environments.Seeking Alpha • Apr 26
Ardagh Metal Packaging: I Don't Like The Double-Digit Dividend Yield
Summary I've maintained a long position in Ardagh Metal Packaging despite initial losses, focusing on their strong free cash flow profile over the 11% dividend yield. Q1 2025 saw a revenue increase to $1.27B and a gross profit rise of more than 20%, but a net loss due to high depreciation and amortization expenses. Adjusted for working capital changes, the underlying operating cash flow was $103M, leading to a net free cash flow of $58M for common shareholders. I prefer debt reduction over dividends given the $3.4B net debt, but remain invested as the stock trades at less than 8 times sustaining free cash flow. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha分析記事 • Apr 23
Insufficient Growth At Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. (NYSE:AMBP) Hampers Share Price
When you see that almost half of the companies in the Packaging industry in the United States have price-to-sales...分析記事 • Feb 28
Is There An Opportunity With Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.'s (NYSE:AMBP) 48% Undervaluation?
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Ardagh Metal Packaging fair value estimate is US$6.07 Ardagh...Seeking Alpha • Jan 08
Ardagh Metal Packaging: Risk-Reward Looks Promising, But Not Out Of The Woods
Summary Ardagh Metal Packaging has a strong market presence in the metal beverage can industry, with production in 9 countries and multi-year contracts with major brands. AMBP has been a source of wealth destruction both in the short-term and the long-term, and we are in two minds over whether this could change. We proceed to discuss various fundamental sub-plots that could weigh on the movement of AMBP. Tactical traders might find AMBP appealing due to its potential for mean-reversion relative to other Russell 2000 peers, and the attractive risk-reward on the standalone charts. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha分析記事 • Dec 21
Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.'s (NYSE:AMBP) Share Price Is Matching Sentiment Around Its Revenues
Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.'s ( NYSE:AMBP ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x may look like a pretty appealing...Seeking Alpha • Oct 28
Ardagh Metal Packaging: What's Next For This 11% Yielding Stock
Summary Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. shows strong growth potential for 2025, with a positive outlook reinforced by Q3 2024 earnings. Q3 2024 saw a 2% increase in metal beverage can shipments and a 15% rise in adjusted EBITDA, driven by margin normalization in Europe and improved manufacturing in the Americas. Resilient beverage consumption trends and strong input cost management contributed to Ardagh's performance, leading to an increased full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance of $650M-$660M. Ardagh expects beverage cans to outperform other containers due to their circularity and decarbonization benefits, supported by customer innovation. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 11
Ardagh Metal Packaging: Canning Future Growth - Strong Buy
Summary Strong growth prospects in key regions like Brazil outweigh short-term sales declines. Management’s plan to reduce leverage from 5.8x to 5.2x strengthens the financial outlook. Institutional investors, including King Street Capital Management, show bullish sentiment, with significant long positions and increased call options in the last quarter. Strong cash flow supports Ardagh’s ability to manage debt and interest payments while funding growth initiatives. I believe Ardagh is undervalued, with strong cash flow and key metrics below industry averages, making it a Strong Buy. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha分析記事 • Jun 04
Ardagh Metal Packaging's (NYSE:AMBP) Dividend Will Be $0.10
Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. ( NYSE:AMBP ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.10 per share on the 26th of...分析記事 • May 09
Ardagh Metal Packaging (NYSE:AMBP) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $0.10
The board of Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. ( NYSE:AMBP ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.10 per share on...Seeking Alpha • Apr 29
Ardagh Metal Packaging: Stubbornly Maintaining Its 10% Dividend Yield
Summary Ardagh Metal Packaging reported a strong start to the year with 11% revenue growth in the Americas. The company's operating profit was $14M, resulting in a net loss of $12M. AMBP expects an increase in EBITDA of over 25% for the current quarter and confirms full-year EBITDA at $630-660M. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha分析記事 • Apr 22
Ardagh Metal Packaging (NYSE:AMBP) Seems To Be Using A Lot Of Debt
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...分析記事 • Feb 25
Investors Interested In Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.'s (NYSE:AMBP) Revenues
With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 0.8x in the Packaging industry in the United States, you...分析記事 • Feb 25
Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. Just Missed Earnings; Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now
Last week, you might have seen that Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. ( NYSE:AMBP ) released its yearly result to the market...分析記事 • Nov 09
A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.'s (NYSE:AMBP) 26% Share Price Climb
Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. ( NYSE:AMBP ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 26% after a shaky period...Seeking Alpha • Oct 30
Ardagh Metal Packaging: The 12% Yield Is Now Fully Covered
Summary Ardagh Metal Packaging meets Q3 EBITDA guidance, leading to a positive market reaction. The company reduced its full-year adjusted EBITDA target, slightly disappointing but not negatively impacting the market. Ardagh's dividend is sustainable and fully covered by sustaining free cash flow, with plans to reduce debt and improve debt ratios. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha分析記事 • Sep 26
An Intrinsic Calculation For Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. (NYSE:AMBP) Suggests It's 32% Undervalued
Key Insights Using the Dividend Discount Model, Ardagh Metal Packaging fair value estimate is US$4.66 Ardagh Metal...Seeking Alpha • Aug 24
Ardagh Metal Packaging: Debt Levels Pose A Risk
Summary Ardagh Metal Packaging manufactures metal cans for beverage producers. The company's stock has seen a large decrease in price since going public in 2021, as the company's operating margin has fell from its historical level. Ardagh's financials have shown growth as the company has had heavy investments, but as investments slow down the company should see a more static future. The current stock level seems to price the stock near my DCF model's estimated fair value, constituting a hold-rating. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha業績と収益の成長予測
| 日付 | 収益 | 収益 | フリー・キャッシュフロー | 営業活動によるキャッシュ | 平均アナリスト数 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 6,246 | 126 | 299 | N/A | 4 |
| 12/31/2027 | 6,101 | 76 | 290 | 616 | 7 |
| 12/31/2026 | 5,959 | 40 | 174 | 337 | 7 |
| 3/31/2026 | 5,733 | -5 | 209 | 413 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 5,497 | -11 | 265 | 449 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 5,346 | -8 | 289 | 466 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 5,231 | -17 | 285 | 454 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 5,035 | -20 | 315 | 478 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 4,908 | -27 | 263 | 450 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 4,845 | -72 | 288 | 503 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 4,826 | -73 | 290 | 546 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 4,822 | -85 | 219 | 535 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 4,812 | -74 | 237 | 616 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 4,756 | -5 | -27 | 461 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 4,635 | 46 | -222 | 310 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 4,683 | 162 | -463 | 142 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 4,689 | 226 | -391 | 205 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 4,700 | 235 | -490 | 182 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 4,565 | -5 | -425 | 259 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 4,253 | -79 | -279 | 357 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 4,055 | -210 | -229 | 458 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 3,861 | -162 | -181 | 338 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 3,722 | 68 | -37 | 406 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 3,561 | 40 | -132 | 247 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 3,451 | 111 | 66 | 334 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 3,344 | -40 | N/A | 377 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 3,338 | -75 | N/A | 272 | N/A |
アナリストによる今後の成長予測
収入対貯蓄率: AMBPは今後 3 年間で収益性が向上すると予測されており、これは 貯蓄率 ( 3.5% ) よりも高い成長率であると考えられます。
収益対市場: AMBP今後 3 年間で収益性が向上すると予想されており、これは市場平均を上回る成長と考えられます。
高成長収益: AMBP今後 3 年以内に収益を上げることが予想されます。
収益対市場: AMBPの収益 ( 3.1% ) US市場 ( 11.7% ) よりも低い成長が予測されています。
高い収益成長: AMBPの収益 ( 3.1% ) 20%よりも低い成長が予測されています。
一株当たり利益成長率予想
将来の株主資本利益率
将来のROE: AMBPの 自己資本利益率 が 3 年後に高くなると予測されるかどうかを判断するにはデータが不十分です
成長企業の発掘
企業分析と財務データの現状
| データ | 最終更新日（UTC時間） |
|---|---|
| 企業分析 | 2026/05/17 03:44 |
| 終値 | 2026/05/15 00:00 |
| 収益 | 2026/03/31 |
| 年間収益 | 2025/12/31 |
データソース
企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。
| パッケージ | データ | タイムフレーム | 米国ソース例 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 会社財務 | 10年 |
| |
| アナリストのコンセンサス予想 | +プラス3年 |
|
|
| 市場価格 | 30年 |
| |
| 所有権 | 10年 |
| |
| マネジメント | 10年 |
| |
| 主な進展 | 10年 |
|
* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。
特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。
分析モデルとスノーフレーク
本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドやYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。
シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。
業界およびセクターの指標
私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。
アナリスト筋
Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. 7 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。11
| アナリスト | 機関 |
|---|---|
| Michael Leithead | Barclays |
| Patrick Duffy Fischer | Barclays |
| Mark Wilde | BMO Capital Markets Equity Research |