Alcoa 過去の業績
過去 基準チェック /46
Alcoaは、平均年間20%の収益成長を遂げていますが、 Metals and Mining業界の収益は、年間 減少しています。収益は、平均年間4.6% 1.8%収益成長率で 成長しています。 Alcoaの自己資本利益率は16.8%であり、純利益率は9.4%です。
主要情報
19.95%
収益成長率
11.68%
EPS成長率
| Metals and Mining 業界の成長 | 26.40% |
| 収益成長率 | 1.78% |
| 株主資本利益率 | 16.75% |
| ネット・マージン | 9.35% |
| 前回の決算情報 | 30 Jun 2026 |
最近の業績更新
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • Sep 10
Alcoa: Record Margins Meet Cyclical Realities
Summary Alcoa Corporation (AA) remains a Hold, with a price target 14-15% below current levels due to cyclical risks and earnings pressure. Q2 2026 delivered record revenues and EPS, but missed consensus estimates and highlighted operational divergence between Aluminum and Alumina segments. Upcoming South32 asset acquisition will boost alumina capacity by 53%, but elevated aluminum prices and energy costs threaten future margins and ROIC. Consensus expects FY2027 EPS of $5.80 (8.75x P/E), but mean reversion in aluminum prices and rising power costs could drive further downside. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
ナラティブ更新 • Aug 26
AA: New Gallium Project And Supply Headwinds Will Likely Cap Upside
Analysts have reduced their price target for Alcoa to about $49.70 from roughly $53.99. This reflects updated views on softer revenue growth, a higher discount rate and a stronger profit margin outlook that supports a lower future P/E assumption.
ナラティブ更新 • Aug 12
AA: Long Term Outlook Will Benefit From Wharf 17 Expansion Investment
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Alcoa slightly lower from $82.00 to $80.00, citing updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E expectations. What’s in the News for Alcoa Alcoa updated its 2026 operating guidance, with alumina production now projected between 9.5 and 9.6 million metric tons and alumina shipments between 11.5 and 11.6 million metric tons, citing lower output at the Pinjarra refinery due to gas supply disruptions associated with Cyclone Narelle.
ナラティブ更新 • Jul 29
AA: Higher Margin Outlook And Gallium Expansion Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have revised their price target on Alcoa to $62.98 from $82.25 as updated assumptions reflect lower revenue growth expectations, along with a higher discount rate, partially offset by improved profit margin estimates and a reduced future P/E multiple. What's in the News for Alcoa Alcoa and its government partners in Australia, Japan, and the United States approved construction of a new gallium production facility at the Wagerup alumina refinery in Western Australia, creating an additional source of a key material used in semiconductors and defense technologies.ナラティブ更新 • Jul 15
AA: South32 Asset Deal Will Support Stronger Long Term Outlook
Analysts have adjusted their price target for Alcoa from $127.34 to $82.00, reflecting updated assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E. What's in the News Alcoa agreed to acquire South32’s bauxite, alumina, and aluminum assets across Australia, Brazil, and South Africa in a transaction valued at about US$4.1b in upfront cash and stock, plus a potential US$750 million contingent value right, subject to regulatory and shareholder approvals, with closing targeted for the first half of 2027.ナラティブ更新 • Jul 01
AA: Acquisition And Secured Power Supply Will Support Stronger Long Term Outlook
Analysts have raised their price target for Alcoa from $92.00 to $127.34, citing updated assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple. What’s in the News for Alcoa Alcoa agreed to acquire South32’s bauxite mine, alumina refinery, and aluminum smelter interests for about US$4.1b.ナラティブ更新 • Jun 17
AA: Higher Margin Outlook And Aluminum Price Tailwinds Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have raised their Alcoa price target from $73.87 to $82.25, citing updated assumptions on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E. What’s in the News for Alcoa Alcoa shares dropped nearly 10% after the company revised its Q2 outlook, citing a projected US$60 million unfavorable impact in the Alumina segment from higher production costs at the Pinjarra refinery, cyclone related disruptions, and increased energy prices linked to geopolitical tensions near the Strait of Hormuz.分析記事 • Jun 16
Alcoa (AA) Stock Could Be 14.9% Undervalued on Its Decarbonization Growth Narrative
Alcoa (AA) has drawn renewed attention after recent share price moves, with the stock last closing at $62.87. Investors are weighing this level against the company’s current earnings profile, growth metrics, and broader aluminum exposure. See our latest analysis for Alcoa. Recent weakness in Alcoa’s share price, with a 1-day share price return that declined 2.01% and a 7-day share price return that declined 13.18%, sits against a year-to-date share price return of 11.20% and a 1-year total...ナラティブ更新 • Jun 03
AA: Supply Disruptions And Cost Pressures Will Likely Still Fail To Justify Pricing
Analysts have lifted their price target on Alcoa from about $46.37 to roughly $53.99, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and a slightly higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News UBS upgraded Alcoa to Buy and lifted its price target to $80, citing expectations of prolonged aluminum supply disruptions in the Middle East and a projected global supply gap by 2026.ナラティブ更新 • May 13
AA: Production Stability And Higher Margins Will Support Stronger Long Term Outlook
Analysts have raised Alcoa's fair value estimate from $58.00 to $92.00, citing updated assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple as the main factors supporting the higher price target. What's in the News Alcoa reported first quarter 2026 production results, with Bauxite at 9.1 mdmt compared with 9.5 mdmt a year earlier, Alumina at 2,355 kmt in line with the prior year, and Aluminum at 607 kmt compared with 564 kmt a year earlier (Key Developments).ナラティブ更新 • Apr 29
AA: Higher Margin Outlook And Production Plans Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have lifted their price target for Alcoa to $73.87 from $72.48, reflecting updated expectations around potential revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower assumed future P/E multiple. What's in the News Alcoa reported first quarter 2026 production results, with Bauxite output of 9.1 mdmt compared with 9.5 mdmt a year earlier, Alumina production of 2,355 kmt in line with the prior year, and Aluminum production of 607 kmt compared with 564 kmt a year ago (Key Developments).ナラティブ更新 • Apr 15
AA: Updated Output Plans And Margins Will Shape Measured Future Returns
Analysts have revised their price target for Alcoa to approximately $72, up from about $67, citing updated assumptions around fair value, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels as key drivers of the change. What's in the News Alcoa reported fourth quarter 2025 production with Bauxite at 9.4 mdmt versus 9.3 mdmt a year earlier, Alumina at 2,481 kmt versus 2,390 kmt, and Aluminum at 604 kmt versus 571 kmt (Announcement of Operating Results).ナラティブ更新 • Mar 31
AA: Higher Output And Trading Volumes Will Likely Still Fail To Justify Pricing
Analysts now place Alcoa's price target at about $46.37, compared with the prior $38.00. This reflects updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margin, discount rate, and future P/E levels.ナラティブ更新 • Mar 17
AA: Production Plans And Margin Expectations Will Guide Balanced Future Returns
Analysts have adjusted their fair value estimate for Alcoa to $66.92 from $61.42, reflecting updated assumptions on the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E expectations. What's in the News Alcoa issued production guidance for 2026, targeting total Alumina segment production between 9.7 and 9.9 million metric tons, with shipments between 11.8 and 12.0 million metric tons, reflecting the role of trading volumes and externally sourced alumina in meeting customer contracts (company guidance).ナラティブ更新 • Mar 03
AA: Production Guidance And Margin Assumptions Will Shape Balanced Future Returns
Analysts have nudged their Alcoa price target slightly higher to $61.42 from $61.08, reflecting updated assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and a modestly higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Alcoa issued 2026 production guidance for its Alumina segment, with expected production between 9.7 million and 9.9 million metric tons and shipments between 11.8 million and 12.0 million metric tons, reflecting the use of trading volumes and externally sourced alumina to meet customer contracts (Corporate guidance).ナラティブ更新 • Feb 16
AA: Higher Margins And Production Will Still Likely Fail To Justify Pricing
Analysts have raised their price target on Alcoa from $33.00 to $38.00, citing updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth expectations, profit margin outlook, and a revised future P/E multiple. What's in the News Alcoa issued production guidance for 2025 and outlined expectations for 2026, with the Alumina segment projected to produce between 9.7 and 9.9 million metric tons in 2026, and shipments expected between 11.8 and 12.0 million metric tons, reflecting a mix of internal production, trading volumes, and externally sourced alumina to meet customer contracts (company guidance).ナラティブ更新 • Feb 02
AA: Low Carbon Smelting And Margin Assumptions Will Shape Balanced Future Returns
Analysts have raised their price target on Alcoa from US$45.42 to US$61.08. They cite updates in their models that reflect revised assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples.ナラティブ更新 • Jan 19
AA: Future Decarbonization Benefits Will Likely Fail To Justify Current Pricing
Analysts have lifted their price target on Alcoa from US$27.00 to US$33.00, pointing to updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate, and a lower future P/E as key drivers of the change. What's in the News Alcoa, Ball Corporation and Unilever announced the first use of ELYSIS carbon free smelting technology in consumer personal and home care packaging, using aluminum that eliminates direct smelting greenhouse gas emissions and generates oxygen instead of CO2 (Key Developments).ナラティブ更新 • Jan 05
AA: Carbon Free Smelting And Energy Moves Will Support Balanced Long Term Outlook
Analysts have raised their price target on Alcoa from approximately $42 to $58 per share, citing expectations for faster revenue growth, significantly higher profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple. Together, these factors support a meaningfully higher fair value estimate.分析記事 • Dec 30
Alcoa Corporation's (NYSE:AA) Share Price Boosted 29% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too
Despite an already strong run, Alcoa Corporation ( NYSE:AA ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 29% in the...ナラティブ更新 • Dec 20
AA: Low Carbon Smelting Shift Will Likely Pressure Future Returns
Narrative Update on Alcoa Analysts have raised their price target on Alcoa by approximately 10 percent to around 45 dollars per share, citing expectations for modestly stronger revenue growth, materially improved profit margins, and a more attractive forward earnings multiple. What's in the News Alcoa, Ball and Unilever unveiled the first consumer packaging using ELYSIS carbon free smelting technology, combining low carbon primary aluminum with recycled content to create one of the lowest footprint aerosol cans on the market (company announcement).ナラティブ更新 • Dec 06
AA: Low Carbon Initiatives And Portfolio Reshaping Will Define Future Performance
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Alcoa from approximately 39.54 dollars to 41.29 dollars, citing higher long term revenue growth expectations and a richer future earnings multiple, despite a lower projected profit margin and slightly higher discount rate. What's in the News Alcoa, Ball and Unilever unveiled the first consumer packaging using ELYSIS carbon free smelting technology in low carbon aerosol cans ahead of COP30, highlighting a major step toward decarbonized aluminum supply chains (Key Developments).ナラティブ更新 • Nov 22
AA: Measured Shifts in Operations and Partnerships Will Shape Future Performance
Narrative Update on Alcoa: Analyst Price Target Adjustment Analysts have slightly lowered their fair value estimate for Alcoa, revising the price target from $39.63 to $39.54 per share. This change reflects modest adjustments to outlooks on discount rate and growth assumptions.ナラティブ更新 • Nov 05
AA: Future Investments and Facility Upgrades Will Drive Shareholder Value
Analysts have raised their price target for Alcoa slightly. The new target is $39.63, up from $39.21.ナラティブ更新 • Oct 22
Analysts Raise Alcoa Price Target as New Partnerships and Plant Closure Drive Valuation Upward
Alcoa's analyst price target has increased from $36.64 to $39.21. This change reflects improved revenue growth and profit margin projections according to analysts.ナラティブ更新 • Oct 08
Tariff Volatility And Recycled Materials Will Erode Primary Aluminum Margins
Analysts have raised their price target for Alcoa from $34.09 to $36.64. They cite improved forecast profit margins and lower expected future price-to-earnings ratios as key factors in their updated outlook.ナラティブ更新 • Sep 24
Tariff Volatility And Recycled Materials Will Erode Primary Aluminum Margins
Despite a notable downgrade in revenue growth expectations, an improved net profit margin has offset this impact, resulting in a slight increase in Alcoa's analyst price target from $33.55 to $34.09. What's in the News Held Analyst/Investor Day event.
新しいナラティブ • Apr 24
Australia Refinancing And San Ciprián Restart Will Support Stable Operations
Strategic refinancing and joint ventures are expected to enhance cash flow, reduce interest expenses, and stabilize revenue.Seeking Alpha • Apr 18
Alcoa's Q1 2025 Review: Tariff Hurts, But Game Isn't Over
Summary Alcoa's stock is down ~75% from its ATH. Tariff wars and economic uncertainty added fuel to the fire, but Q1 2025 results show strong net income and adjusted EBITDA growth. Despite a 3% QoQ revenue dip, net income more than doubled to $548 million, with adjusted net income beating Street estimates at $568 million. Alcoa refinanced $1 billion in debt, extending maturities and lowering interest expenses, aiming for an adjusted net debt range of $1-1.5 billion. Tariffs on Canadian aluminum imports will significantly impact Alcoa's costs, with a projected unfavorable impact of ~$90 million in Q2 2025. Because current tariffs hinder construction accessibility and will likely be revised (perhaps favorably for Alcoa), the present undervaluation of AA stock provides significant upside potential. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 30
Alcoa And The Aluminum Market: A Point Of Tension And Growth
Summary Alcoa's financial results have been volatile, with losses in 2022-2023 and profits in 2024 due to aluminum price recovery and strategic asset restructuring. The company focuses on high-quality assets, vertical integration, and technological advancements, aiming for efficiency and sustainability without aggressive expansion. Despite positive developments, Alcoa remains vulnerable to raw material price fluctuations and high energy costs, impacting its financial stability. Alcoa shares are fairly valued at $34; I recommend considering a purchase closer to $25, assigning a "Hold" rating due to limited upside. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha収支内訳
収支内訳
Alcoa の稼ぎ方とお金の使い方。LTMベースの直近の報告された収益に基づく。
収益と収入の歴史
| 日付 | 収益 | 収益 | G+A経費 | 研究開発費 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 26 | 13,603 | 1,272 | 360 | 21 |
| 31 Mar 26 | 12,655 | 1,027 | 339 | 22 |
| 31 Dec 25 | 12,831 | 1,141 | 325 | 24 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 12,868 | 1,129 | 335 | 52 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 12,777 | 989 | 320 | 57 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 12,665 | 847 | 304 | 58 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 11,895 | 56 | 291 | 57 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 11,004 | -293 | 274 | 54 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 10,702 | -550 | 264 | 47 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 10,480 | -672 | 246 | 40 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 10,551 | -651 | 239 | 39 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 10,619 | -896 | 252 | 34 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 10,868 | -1,474 | 249 | 32 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 11,828 | -823 | 261 | 33 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 12,451 | -123 | 264 | 32 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 13,128 | -120 | 262 | 33 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 13,386 | 963 | 271 | 34 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 12,575 | 723 | 269 | 33 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 12,152 | 429 | 274 | 31 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 11,204 | 817 | 279 | 30 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 10,460 | 431 | 288 | 28 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 9,775 | -75 | 294 | 27 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 9,286 | -170 | 314 | 27 |
| 30 Sep 20 | 9,330 | -469 | 319 | 24 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 9,532 | -641 | 340 | 25 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 10,095 | -846 | 367 | 27 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 10,433 | -1,125 | 395 | 27 |
| 30 Sep 19 | 11,341 | -771 | 396 | 28 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 12,164 | -556 | 390 | 28 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 13,032 | -144 | 395 | 30 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 13,403 | 250 | 387 | 31 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 13,233 | 3 | 388 | 33 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 12,807 | 122 | 432 | 34 |
| 31 Mar 18 | 12,087 | 187 | 399 | 33 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 11,652 | 279 | 365 | 32 |
| 30 Sep 17 | 11,015 | 288 | 353 | 30 |
| 30 Jun 17 | 10,380 | 165 | 288 | 30 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 9,844 | 35 | 286 | 29 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 9,318 | -400 | 312 | 33 |
| 30 Sep 16 | 9,232 | -1,101 | 299 | 41 |
| 30 Jun 16 | 9,582 | -1,215 | 319 | 47 |
| 31 Mar 16 | 10,223 | -1,239 | 333 | 59 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 11,199 | -863 | 341 | 69 |
質の高い収益: AAは 高品質の収益 を持っています。
利益率の向上: AAの現在の純利益率 (9.4%)は、昨年(7.7%)よりも高くなっています。
フリー・キャッシュフローと収益の比較
過去の収益成長分析
収益動向: AA過去 5 年間で収益を上げており、収益は年間20%増加しています。
成長の加速: AAの過去 1 年間の収益成長率 ( 28.6% ) は、5 年間の平均 ( 年間20%を上回っています。
収益対業界: AAの過去 1 年間の収益成長率 ( 28.6% ) Metals and Mining業界86.1%を上回りませんでした。
株主資本利益率
高いROE: AAの 自己資本利益率 ( 16.8% ) は 低い とみなされます。
総資産利益率
使用総資本利益率
過去の好業績企業の発掘
企業分析と財務データの現状
| データ | 最終更新日（UTC時間） |
|---|---|
| 企業分析 | 2026/09/13 04:36 |
| 終値 | 2026/09/11 00:00 |
| 収益 | 2026/06/30 |
| 年間収益 | 2025/12/31 |
データソース
企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。
| パッケージ | データ | タイムフレーム | 米国ソース例 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 会社財務 | 10年 |
| |
| アナリストのコンセンサス予想 | +プラス3年 |
|
|
| 市場価格 | 30年 |
| |
| 所有権 | 10年 |
| |
| マネジメント | 10年 |
| |
| 主な進展 | 10年 |
|
* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。
特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。
分析モデルとスノーフレーク
このレポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は、当社のGitHubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの活用方法に関するガイドやYouTubeのチュートリアルも用意しています。
シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した ご紹介します。
業界およびセクターの指標
私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。
アナリスト筋
Alcoa Corporation 11 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。28
| アナリスト | 機関 |
|---|---|
| David Coleman | Argus Research Company |
| Dale Koenders | Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited |
| Paretosh Misra | Berenberg |