Royal Caribbean Cruises（RCL）株式概要
ロイヤル・カリビアン・クルーズ社は、世界各国でクルーズ事業を展開している。 詳細
RCL Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
Top Community Narratives
US$297.03
FV
5.4% 割安 内在価値ディスカウント7.58%
Revenue growth p.a.
54
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Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. 競合他社
価格と性能
| 過去の株価 | |
|---|---|
| 現在の株価 | US$280.95 |
| 52週高値 | US$366.50 |
| 52週安値 | US$232.10 |
| ベータ | 1.76 |
| 1ヶ月の変化 | 3.29% |
| 3ヶ月変化 | 1.83% |
| 1年変化 | -15.77% |
| 3年間の変化 | 182.90% |
| 5年間の変化 | 268.70% |
| IPOからの変化 | 2,978.90% |
最新ニュース
ナラティブの更新 • Jun 30
RCL: Project And Fuel Headwinds Will Cap Further Upside Potential
Royal Caribbean Cruises' analyst fair value has been adjusted slightly lower from $268.88 to $261.31. This reflects updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth, margins, and a more conservative future P/E, even as several firms revise price targets following shifts in fuel cost expectations and project specific risks around Perfect Day Mexico.Seeking Alpha • Jun 17
Royal Caribbean: The Oil Price Drag And Possible Surprise
Summary Royal Caribbean Cruises's stock price uptick in the past two months has exceeded my expectations even for the full year 2026, as a result its market multiples are stretched now. How the stock performs going forward critically depends on whether the oil price drop can be sustained or not. The price shock resulted in an earnings guidance downgrade. By the same token, a price drop can result in an upgrade. But that remains to be seen. At any rate, this change would only impact the relative short-term. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRecent updates
ナラティブの更新 • Jun 30
RCL: Project And Fuel Headwinds Will Cap Further Upside Potential
Royal Caribbean Cruises' analyst fair value has been adjusted slightly lower from $268.88 to $261.31. This reflects updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth, margins, and a more conservative future P/E, even as several firms revise price targets following shifts in fuel cost expectations and project specific risks around Perfect Day Mexico.Seeking Alpha • Jun 17
Royal Caribbean: The Oil Price Drag And Possible Surprise
Summary Royal Caribbean Cruises's stock price uptick in the past two months has exceeded my expectations even for the full year 2026, as a result its market multiples are stretched now. How the stock performs going forward critically depends on whether the oil price drop can be sustained or not. The price shock resulted in an earnings guidance downgrade. By the same token, a price drop can result in an upgrade. But that remains to be seen. At any rate, this change would only impact the relative short-term. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha分析記事 • Jun 16
Royal Caribbean Cruises (RCL) Stock Could Be 5.6% Overvalued After Travel Sentiment Lift
Royal Caribbean Cruises (RCL) stock moved after renewed optimism around international relations, as a high profile diplomatic agreement lifted sentiment toward global travel, with cruise and airline stocks reacting alongside other beneficiaries of cross border activity. See our latest analysis for Royal Caribbean Cruises. Beyond the latest diplomatic news, Royal Caribbean Cruises has been in the spotlight for operational developments such as the new Seward, Alaska terminal and ongoing...
ナラティブの更新 • Jun 16
RCL: Future Share Performance Will Hinge On Mexico Project Uncertainty
The analyst price target for Royal Caribbean Cruises has edged slightly lower by about $2, reflecting modestly softer fair value, revenue growth, and profit margin assumptions as analysts weigh record demand against project delays, booking headlines, and a still-supportive industry setup for the cruise group. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Royal Caribbean Cruises highlights a mix of enthusiasm around the cruise industry setup and caution around project risk and recent share performance.ナラティブの更新 • Jun 01
RCL: Future Earnings Power Will Depend On Mexico Project Resolution
Royal Caribbean Cruises' analyst price target has been trimmed by about $10 to reflect lower fair value, modestly softer revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a slightly lower future P/E, after analysts highlighted potential earnings and capacity risks tied to the Perfect Day Mexico project and recent booking headwinds in the broader cruise group. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Royal Caribbean has been active, with several firms revisiting their models after project updates, booking trends and earnings guidance changes.ナラティブの更新 • May 04
RCL: Mixed Street Reset And 2026 Outlook Will Keep Upside In Check
Royal Caribbean's updated analyst price target has moved lower, with the fair value estimate shifting from $286.04 to $268.88 as analysts factor in a higher discount rate, slightly softer revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a higher future P/E multiple after a recent mix of target cuts and raises across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research around Royal Caribbean shows a mix of views, but the pattern of price target resets stands out.ナラティブの更新 • Apr 20
RCL: 2026 Margin Profile And Cash Returns Will Support Further Upside
Analyst price targets for Royal Caribbean Cruises have been revised lower by about $13, reflecting updated expectations for slightly softer revenue growth, a modestly lower profit margin profile, a somewhat reduced future P/E, and a higher discount rate. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Royal Caribbean Cruises shows a mixed but active debate on where the shares should trade, with several large firms adjusting their price targets both higher and lower in quick succession.
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 05
RCL: Future Upside Will Rely On Enduring Cruise Demand Strength
Analysts maintained the Royal Caribbean Cruises fair value estimate at $425.00 and slightly adjusted underlying assumptions such as the discount rate and revenue growth, reflecting a mix of recent price target increases and trims across the Street while still leaning on expectations for solid demand and operational execution. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Royal Caribbean reflects a generally constructive tone, with most updates pointing to confidence in the company’s ability to execute on demand trends, pricing and capacity additions, even as some firms fine tune targets around shorter term Caribbean and geopolitical considerations.ナラティブの更新 • Mar 21
RCL: Future Upside Will Rely On Sustained Cruise Demand Strength
Analysts have nudged Royal Caribbean Cruises' target higher to $376, reflecting tweaks to slightly lower discount rates, modestly stronger projected revenue growth and margins, and a small adjustment to future P/E assumptions supported by recent research that points to ongoing cruise demand and double digit revenue expectations into fiscal 2026. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Royal Caribbean points to an increasingly constructive tone, with several firms lifting price targets and highlighting supportive demand data, even as some acknowledge near term headwinds in specific regions such as the Caribbean.ナラティブの更新 • Mar 07
RCL: Future Profitability And Buybacks Are Expected To Drive Upside
The analyst price target for Royal Caribbean Cruises has been raised to $425.00 from $414.78, with analysts pointing to stronger projected profit margins and a lower assumed future P/E multiple, even as revenue growth expectations are adjusted. Analyst Commentary Street research on Royal Caribbean Cruises has been active, with a cluster of price target revisions signaling how closely the stock is being tracked.ナラティブの更新 • Feb 21
RCL: Elevated Expectations And Caribbean Yield Pressures Will Restrain Share Upside
Analysts have lifted their aggregate price target for Royal Caribbean Cruises, reflecting a move from about $245 to roughly $286 as they factor in updated expectations around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples following a series of recent target changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Street research on Royal Caribbean Cruises has been active, with several firms revisiting their price targets and near term views.ナラティブの更新 • Feb 06
RCL: 2026 Guidance And Margin Outlook Will Support Measured Upside Potential
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Royal Caribbean Cruises by about $31 to $362, citing updated research that reflects slightly lower growth assumptions alongside firmer profit margin expectations and a broadly higher set of Street price targets. Analyst Commentary Street research on Royal Caribbean Cruises has been active, with several firms adjusting price targets in both directions.ナラティブの更新 • Jan 23
RCL: Strong Demand And Buybacks Are Expected To Drive Upside
Analysts nudged their price targets higher on Royal Caribbean Cruises, with our fair value estimate moving from US$411.61 to about US$414.78 as they weighed stronger cruise demand data alongside mixed views on yields and costs. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Royal Caribbean Cruises points to a split tape, but the more optimistic voices highlight demand strength, supportive spend data, and confidence in the company’s ability to execute through near term headwinds.ナラティブの更新 • Jan 09
RCL: Softer Revenue Yields And 2026 EPS Guidance Will Pressure Shares
Analysts have trimmed their price target for Royal Caribbean Cruises by about $23 to reflect a combination of slightly higher required returns, a modestly lower assumed profit margin and valuation multiple, and updated views on revenue growth and earnings visibility following recent Q3 commentary and 2026 guidance. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Royal Caribbean point to a more cautious tone, even as analysts continue to engage with the story following Q3 results and the release of 2026 guidance.ナラティブの更新 • Dec 25
RCL: Share Repurchases And Efficient Fleet Are Expected To Drive Upside
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Royal Caribbean Cruises to about $411.61 from $420, citing slightly slower expected revenue growth, modestly lower profit margins, and a higher discount rate, even as they still see robust long term EPS expansion supported by the company's hardware advantages. Analyst Commentary Despite the modest recalibration in price targets, bullish analysts continue to emphasize Royal Caribbean's structural advantages, disciplined capacity growth, and strong earnings trajectory through the back half of the decade.ナラティブの更新 • Dec 11
RCL: Reset 2026 Guidance Will Unlock Upside From Conservative Earnings Outlook
Analysts have nudged down their Royal Caribbean Cruises price target by about $5 per share, reflecting slightly higher discount rates and more conservative long term earnings and yield assumptions, even as they still expect robust EPS growth through 2028. Analyst Commentary Analysts are recalibrating their views on Royal Caribbean Cruises following the latest earnings update, trimming price targets but generally maintaining expectations for solid medium term growth and balance sheet progress.ナラティブの更新 • Nov 27
RCL: Upside Will Emerge As 2026 Guidance Resets Market Expectations
Royal Caribbean’s analyst price target has been modestly reduced from $337 to $333, as analysts cite more cautious outlooks on future yield growth and mixed booking trends. This comes despite continued recognition of the company’s long-term strengths.ナラティブの更新 • Nov 13
RCL: Earnings Upside Will Emerge As Conservative 2026 Guidance Resets Expectations
Analysts have modestly reduced their price target for Royal Caribbean Cruises, trimming it from approximately $344 to $337. They cite a slightly higher discount rate, marginally slower revenue growth and profit margin projections, as well as recent indications of softer yield momentum in upcoming quarters.ナラティブの更新 • Oct 29
Earnings Momentum Will Recover As New Vessel Deliveries Accelerate Through 2028
Royal Caribbean Cruises' analyst price target has shifted downward by $11.78 to $344.09, as analysts cite conservative earnings guidance, softer-than-expected revenue yield trends, and mixed forward booking indicators. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst coverage of Royal Caribbean Cruises highlights both confidence in the company’s execution and caution around its future earnings trajectory.ナラティブの更新 • Sep 19
New Cruise Ships And Private Destinations Will Expand Markets
Analysts have raised Royal Caribbean Cruises' price target to $355.87, citing strong forward demand, robust pricing power, industry-leading margins, and accretive land-based initiatives, while recent share gains leave some caution on tactical positioning. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite strong forward demand and robust pricing power driving significant upward EPS revisions for Royal Caribbean through 2027/2028.ナラティブの更新 • Sep 04
New Cruise Ships And Private Destinations Will Expand Markets
Despite a less attractive near-term tactical setup following a sector rally, analysts cite strong demand, robust pricing, and superior margins as drivers for Royal Caribbean's long-term EPS and market share growth, resulting in the consensus price target remaining unchanged at $351.65. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight strong forward demand, robust pricing, and optionality from land-based projects as drivers for increased price targets.分析記事 • Jul 16
An Intrinsic Calculation For Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (NYSE:RCL) Suggests It's 44% Undervalued
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Royal Caribbean Cruises fair value estimate is US$604 Current...Seeking Alpha • Mar 26
Royal Caribbean Cruises' Selloff Is Finally Here - Upgrade To Buy
Summary RCL has had the much needed correction from recent heights, with it triggering the cheaper valuations and richer double digits upside potential. Combined with the growing net yields, expanding profit margins, and healthier balance sheet, we believe that the company is well positioned to outperform moving forward. With many of its cruise/ travel peers still reporting excellent performance metrics, we believe that RCL is likely to deliver a beat and raise earnings call in FQ1'25. We shall further discuss why we are finally upgrading the stock to a Buy here, significantly aided by the moderating CBOE Volatility Index, lower short interest, and robust bullish support at the 200 DMA. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 05
Royal Caribbean: Margin Expansion Will Drive Shares Higher
Summary Royal Caribbean will continue to grow revenue in 2025 while costs per APCD/berth will likely decline, resulting in significant margin expansion. I calculate Royal Caribbean's cruise pricing increased 3.9% in Q4 and industry sources suggest pricing is now 5.0% above year-ago levels. Based on the quarterly seasonality of 2024 earnings, first quarter earnings of $2.60 per share should translate into full year earnings of $17.36 per share. Royal Caribbean's history of exceeding full year earnings guidance suggests $2.00 to $3.00 EPS upside is possible in 2025. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 19
Royal Caribbean Cruises: This Company Is Built To Withstand A Slowdown
Summary Royal Caribbean's strong recovery post-COVID, with a 203% total return over three years, demonstrates robust demand and effective management. The company’s Q4 earnings beat expectations, with $2.52 per share and strong booking numbers at higher pricing, despite rising cruise costs. Royal Caribbean's financial health is solid, with improved debt ratios, strong liquidity, and increasing cash flow, positioning it well for future growth. The cruise market's expected 12.9% compound growth rate through 2030 and RCL's premium brand status make it undervalued at 17.69x forward GAAP earnings. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 10
Royal Caribbean Cruises: Fade The Rally - Consumer Spending Trends May Reverse Soon
Summary Royal Caribbean Cruises has had an eye-watering rally as consumer spending trends remain robust across commerce/ e-commerce/ retail/ travel, with the same sentiments reiterated by numerous market leaders. Despite the uncertain macroeconomic outlook, RCL continues to report growing top/ bottom-lines and increasing deposits, significantly aided by the raised prices and growing capacity. Even so, it is undeniable that the stock is now trading at a notable premium, with the pulled forward upside potential triggering a minimal margin of safety. If anything, FY2025 may bring forth a tougher YoY comparison and impacted consumer affordability, attributed to the potentially higher for longer inflationary pressure. This is also why we believe that RCL's growth derived from price hikes is unlikely to be replicated ahead, with it contributing to its incrementally tougher future growth opportunity. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha株主還元
| RCL | US Hospitality | US 市場 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | -8.3% | -2.3% | -0.4% |
| 1Y | -15.8% | -11.0% | 18.4% |
業界別リターン: RCL過去 1 年間で-11 % の収益を上げたUS Hospitality業界を下回りました。
リターン対市場: RCLは、過去 1 年間で18.4 % のリターンを上げたUS市場を下回りました。
価格変動
| RCL volatility | |
|---|---|
| RCL Average Weekly Movement | 7.0% |
| Hospitality Industry Average Movement | 7.5% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.3% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.6% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.2% |
安定した株価: RCL 、 US市場と比較して、過去 3 か月間で大きな価格変動はありませんでした。
時間の経過による変動: RCLの 週次ボラティリティ ( 7% ) は過去 1 年間安定しています。
会社概要
| 設立 | 従業員 | CEO（最高経営責任者 | ウェブサイト |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1968 | 107,975 | Jason Liberty | www.rclinvestor.com |
ロイヤル・カリビアン・クルーズ社は、世界各国でクルーズ事業を展開している。同社はロイヤル・カリビアン・インターナショナル、セレブリティ・クルーズ、シルバーシー・クルーズのブランドでクルーズを運航しており、その旅程は多岐にわたる。2025年12月31日現在、69隻の客船を運航している。ロイヤル・カリビアン・クルーズ社は1968年に設立され、フロリダ州マイアミに本社を置いている。
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. 基礎のまとめ
| RCL 基礎統計学 | |
|---|---|
| 時価総額 | US$75.70b |
| 収益（TTM） | US$4.48b |
| 売上高(TTM) | US$18.39b |
16.8x
PER（株価収益率4.1x
P/SレシオRCL は割高か？
公正価値と評価分析を参照収益と収入
| RCL 損益計算書（TTM） | |
|---|---|
| 収益 | US$18.39b |
| 売上原価 | US$9.03b |
| 売上総利益 | US$9.36b |
| その他の費用 | US$4.88b |
| 収益 | US$4.48b |
直近の収益報告
Mar 31, 2026
次回決算日
該当なし
| 一株当たり利益（EPS） | 16.70 |
| グロス・マージン | 50.91% |
| 純利益率 | 24.36% |
| 有利子負債／自己資本比率 | 209.0% |
RCL の長期的なパフォーマンスは？
過去の実績と比較を見る配当金
2.1%
現在の配当利回り26%
配当性向企業分析と財務データの現状
| データ | 最終更新日（UTC時間） |
|---|---|
| 企業分析 | 2026/07/08 16:06 |
| 終値 | 2026/07/08 00:00 |
| 収益 | 2026/03/31 |
| 年間収益 | 2025/12/31 |
データソース
企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。
| パッケージ | データ | タイムフレーム | 米国ソース例 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 会社財務 | 10年 |
| |
| アナリストのコンセンサス予想 | +プラス3年 |
|
|
| 市場価格 | 30年 |
| |
| 所有権 | 10年 |
| |
| マネジメント | 10年 |
| |
| 主な進展 | 10年 |
|
* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。
特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。
分析モデルとスノーフレーク
このレポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は、当社の Github ページ でご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使い方に関する ガイド や YouTube の チュートリアル もご用意しています。
シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。
業界およびセクターの指標
私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。
アナリスト筋
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. 27 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。47
| アナリスト | 機関 |
|---|---|
| John Staszak | Argus Research Company |
| Felicia Kantor Hendrix | Barclays |
| Brandt Montour | Barclays |