El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.

NasdaqGS:LOCO 株式レポート

時価総額：US$507.5m

El Pollo Loco Holdings 将来の成長

Future 基準チェック /16

El Pollo Loco Holdingsは、4.8%と3.1%でそれぞれ年率4.8%で利益と収益が成長すると予測される一方、EPSはgrowで5.3%年率。

主要情報

4.8%

収益成長率

5.30%

EPS成長率

Hospitality 収益成長18.7%
収益成長率3.1%
将来の株主資本利益率n/a
アナリストカバレッジ

Good

最終更新日30 Jun 2026

今後の成長に関する最新情報

分析記事 • Nov 03

El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Predictions

Last week, you might have seen that El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:LOCO ) released its quarterly result to the...
分析記事 • Aug 04

El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. Just Recorded A 19% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

It's been a good week for El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:LOCO ) shareholders, because the company has just...

Recent updates

ナラティブの更新 • Jul 02

LOCO: New Leadership And Store Expansion Will Drive Future Repricing

Analysts have raised the fair value estimate for El Pollo Loco Holdings from $20.00 to $22.50, citing fresh coverage and higher price targets that point to confidence in new leadership, a turnaround plan, and plans for expanding the store base. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on El Pollo Loco Holdings points to a more constructive tone, with bullish analysts highlighting fresh coverage, higher price targets, and a focus on execution under new leadership.
ナラティブの更新 • Jun 18

LOCO: Lower Risk Outlook And Share Buybacks Will Support Future Upside

Analysts raised their price target on El Pollo Loco Holdings by $2, citing updated assumptions that indicate a modestly lower discount rate and a higher future P/E multiple, while keeping fair value and operating assumptions broadly unchanged. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on El Pollo Loco Holdings focus on how the stock’s valuation compares with analysts’ refreshed assumptions, including a modestly lower discount rate and expectations for a higher future P/E multiple.
ナラティブの更新 • Jun 03

LOCO: Brand Transformation And Expansion Efforts Will Drive A Cautiously Balanced Outlook

Narrative Update on El Pollo Loco Holdings The updated analyst price target for El Pollo Loco Holdings has moved from $13.00 to $15.00, with analysts pointing to consistent same store sales trends, the brand's transformation efforts, and interest in franchised expansion as key reasons for revisiting earnings and P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research has highlighted both constructive and cautious views on El Pollo Loco Holdings, with updated price targets and rating changes tied closely to store level performance, the brand transformation plan, and the pace of franchised expansion.
Seeking Alpha • May 28

El Pollo Loco: Loco Tenders Put Pricing Power To The Test

Summary El Pollo Loco is executing a successful 'Taco Bell-ification' strategy, driving higher average checks and resilient traffic. LOCO's menu innovation—especially bowls, salads, and Baja Tostadas—has boosted same-store sales and restaurant-level margins above long-term targets. Systemwide traffic grew 0.6%, the average check rose 5.2%, and the restaurant-level margin reached 19.2%, supporting robust EBITDA and cash generation. I reiterate a 'Buy' rating with a $17 to $20 short-term target, citing asset-light expansion, strong cost control, and potential for further re-rating. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
ナラティブの更新 • May 11

LOCO: Menu Transformation And Franchised Expansion Will Drive Future Upside

Analysts have raised the fair value estimate for El Pollo Loco Holdings from $15.63 to $17.88, citing higher Street price targets and support from consistent same-store sales trends, menu and marketing initiatives, operational improvements, and early indications of renewed interest in franchised expansion. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts have raised price targets, which supports the higher fair value estimate and reflects growing confidence in execution on the current transformation playbook.
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 26

LOCO: Menu And Store Expansion Efforts Will Drive Future Upside

Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for El Pollo Loco Holdings to $15.63 from $14.00, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rates, profit margins, and future P/E multiples in light of recent price target increases and commentary on consistent same store sales and expansion efforts. Analyst Commentary Recent research reports present a mixed but generally constructive view on El Pollo Loco, with some analysts becoming more optimistic about the company’s execution and others taking a wait and see approach regarding traffic trends and expansion.
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 12

LOCO: Same Store Sales And Brand Transformation Will Drive Future Repricing

El Pollo Loco Holdings' analyst price targets have shifted modestly higher, with recent moves to $13 and $14. Analysts point to consistent same store sales, traction from the brand transformation playbook, and interest in franchised expansion, while still flagging the need for more proof of geographic portability and sustained traffic growth.
ナラティブの更新 • Mar 29

LOCO: Brand Transformation Progress And Mixed Expansion Risks Will Shape Balanced Outlook

El Pollo Loco's updated analyst price target edges up from $12 to $13, as analysts point to consistent same store sales, traction from the brand transformation playbook, and improved expected returns on new units as key supports for a slightly higher fair value and modestly lower assumed P/E and discount rate. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around El Pollo Loco centers on two themes that matter to you as an investor.
ナラティブの更新 • Mar 15

LOCO: Same Store Sales Consistency And Franchise Expansion Will Drive Repricing

Our updated narrative raises El Pollo Loco Holdings' fair value estimate to $20.00 from $18.00, reflecting analysts' higher price targets around $13 to $14 and their focus on consistent same store sales, brand transformation efforts, and potential benefits from renewed franchise expansion. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has centered on how El Pollo Loco is executing its brand transformation and what that could mean for valuation as the story evolves.
ナラティブの更新 • Feb 22

LOCO: Higher Protein Menu And Steady Assumptions Will Support Balanced Outlook

Analysts have kept their price target for El Pollo Loco Holdings steady at $12.00. This reflects small adjustments to discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions that together leave their overall valuation view broadly unchanged.
ナラティブの更新 • Feb 08

LOCO: Protein Focus And Stable Assumptions Will Support Measured Upside Potential

Analysts have nudged their price target on El Pollo Loco Holdings to US$12.00, with the adjustment tied to updated assumptions around discount rates, modest revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels. What's in the News El Pollo Loco launched Double Pollo Salads, positioned as higher protein options that aim to keep flavor while focusing on "eating better," featuring double portions of fire grilled, citrus marinated chopped chicken breast.
ナラティブの更新 • Jan 25

LOCO: Margin Outperformance And Unit Expansion Are Expected To Support Upside

Analysts have trimmed their 12 month price target on El Pollo Loco to $12 from $13, citing Q3 margin and EBITDA outperformance, quarter to date same store sales of 2.2%, and expectations for roughly 2% or better same store sales in Q4 and FY26, supported by multiple catalysts and an acceleration in unit growth. Analyst Commentary Recent research has kept a positive rating on El Pollo Loco while trimming the 12 month price target to US$12 from US$13.
ナラティブの更新 • Jan 10

LOCO: Steady Margins And Unit Expansion Expected To Support Future Performance

Analysts have adjusted their fair value estimate for El Pollo Loco Holdings to $12.00 from $11.00, citing recent research that highlights resilient margins, an updated discount rate, modestly revised growth assumptions, and expectations for steady same store sales and unit expansion that support the new price target framework. Analyst Commentary Recent research around El Pollo Loco reflects a more careful stance from some bearish analysts, even with supportive margin and EBITDA data in the latest quarter.
分析記事 • May 29

Earnings Working Against El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:LOCO) Share Price

El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:LOCO ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 11.8x might make it look like a...
Seeking Alpha • Apr 17

El Pollo Loco Holdings: No More Poison Pills

Summary El Pollo Loco Holdings is a potential buyout target, with Sardar Biglari of Biglari Capital offering to acquire remaining shares after accumulating a 15.1% stake. Biglari's proven track record in restaurant takeovers and potential for long-term transformation makes LOCO an attractive investment, with a potential price rise to $12-14. The Board's confidentiality agreement with Biglari Capital, including a standstill condition, indicates serious negotiations and a constructive tone towards a potential buyout. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 20

El Pollo Loco: A Slowdown Is Here, Back Out Of This Stock (Downgrade)

Summary Restaurant stocks have seen a significant slowdown in same-store sales growth, but El Pollo Loco’s deceleration to just 0.5% growth stands out as particularly weak. The company has aggressive expansion plans to open ~10 new locations in FY25, supported by a lower new build cost from a new store blueprint that it pioneered last fall. However, El Pollo Loco failed to meet its original new build guidance for FY24, and may do so again in FY25 if sales are anemic. I’m downgrading El Pollo Loco to a neutral rating and moving to the sidelines. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 13

El Pollo Loco: Exploiting Restaurant Shutdowns For Nationwide Growth Of Pollo Loco

Summary Pollo Loco's Q4 FY 2024 results beat expectations with EPS of $0.20 and revenue of $114.28 million, despite market pessimism and recession fears. Pollo Loco plans to expand beyond California, focusing on franchise growth and repurposing closed restaurant sites to reduce construction costs and improve ROI. FY 2025 guidance includes 4.56% revenue growth, 10 new restaurant openings, and an EPS of $0.94, indicating strong future performance. Pollo Loco remains undervalued with a P/E of 11.26x, offering a significant margin of safety and a potential 51% upside, justifying a 'Buy' rating. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
分析記事 • Feb 27

What Does El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:LOCO) Share Price Indicate?

While El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:LOCO ) might not have the largest market cap around , it received a lot of...
Seeking Alpha • Jan 23

El Pollo Loco: Channeling Taco Bell's Playbook With A Unique Twist For 2025

Summary El Pollo Loco improved margins to 16.7% despite labor inflation, focusing on price increases and operational efficiencies. FY 2025 promises a stronger marketing calendar with new product launches inspired by Taco Bell's successful strategy. The new lean prototype model aims to boost franchise expansion with reduced construction costs and shorter payback periods. Despite current challenges, the stock is undervalued with a potential 25% margin of safety, making it an attractive medium-term investment. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 27

El Pollo Loco: Already Marinating, Now Offering A 25%+ Safety Margin (Upgrade)

Summary El Pollo Loco's stock price drop to around $11 offers a +25% margin of safety, making it a safer entry point for investors. Despite declining traffic and higher menu prices, value promotions and a strong 2025 calendar could drive growth and recovery. The worst-case scenario still suggests a price target above current levels, justifying a rating change from 'Hold' to 'Buy'. El Pollo Loco's focus on value offerings and digital-first initiatives positions it well for a potential rebound in FY 2025. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 19

El Pollo Loco: Tremendous Value Not To Be Ignored

Summary Initiating El Pollo Loco at a buy rating. This small-cap grilled chicken chain is a great value play for 2025. The company posted ~3% same-store sales growth in its most recent quarter, outperforming many "unhealthy" fast-food chain rivals. It has found success in drawing customers to a value-conscious, healthy menu offering priced between $9-10. The company is planning on reducing its new build costs, which may trigger more franchisee development. The stock trades at a very appealing <8x forward adjusted EBITDA multiple, less than half of where peers like McDonald's and Yum Brands are trading. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
分析記事 • Nov 03

El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Predictions

Last week, you might have seen that El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:LOCO ) released its quarterly result to the...
Seeking Alpha • Sep 25

El Pollo Loco Stock: 3 Reasons To Stay Bullish

Summary El Pollo Loco stock is at a near three-year high amid strong financial results. The company's effort to transfer restaurants to franchisees is supporting higher profitability margins. We see good value in LOCO and expect shares to climb higher. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
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新しいナラティブ • Sep 24

Revitalized Fire-grilled Burritos And Digital First Strategy Propel Margins And Customer Loyalty

Revamped Fire-grilled Burritos and digital-first strategies aim to boost customer attraction and retention, enhancing revenue through better value and loyalty programs.
分析記事 • Aug 19

Returns On Capital At El Pollo Loco Holdings (NASDAQ:LOCO) Have Stalled

Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Ideally, a business...
分析記事 • Aug 04

El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. Just Recorded A 19% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

It's been a good week for El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:LOCO ) shareholders, because the company has just...
Seeking Alpha • Jul 12

El Pollo Loco: Franchising Growth Drives An Undervalued Growth Strategy

Summary El Pollo Loco operates and franchises restaurants, with the strategy turning more into franchised restaurants. The franchising growth provides capital light, low-risk earnings growth with proceeds from company-owned restaurant divestitures into franchisees. The downward long-term margins should reverse with greater franchising margins, franchised locations' better long-term comparable sales performance, and identified cost savings. Q1 showed an impressive comparable restaurant growth in a slowly performing restaurant industry, with the momentum carrying onto April as well. The stock's valuation seems to undervalue the expansion strategy. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
分析記事 • May 04

There Are Reasons To Feel Uneasy About El Pollo Loco Holdings' (NASDAQ:LOCO) Returns On Capital

If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...
分析記事 • Mar 16

We Think That There Are Some Issues For El Pollo Loco Holdings (NASDAQ:LOCO) Beyond Its Promising Earnings

El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:LOCO ) healthy profit numbers didn't contain any surprises for investors...

業績と収益の成長予測

NasdaqGS:LOCO - アナリストの将来予測と過去の財務データ ( )USD Millions
日付収益収益フリー・キャッシュフロー営業活動によるキャッシュ平均アナリスト数
12/31/20275243225696
12/31/20265042918546
4/1/2026497292756N/A
12/31/2025490262548N/A
9/24/2025481262140N/A
6/25/2025480252138N/A
3/26/2025476252240N/A
12/25/2024473262847N/A
9/25/2024471242949N/A
6/26/2024471272447N/A
3/27/2024470272948N/A
12/27/2023469261941N/A
9/27/2023472282749N/A
6/28/2023472242849N/A
3/29/2023474242345N/A
12/28/2022470211939N/A
9/28/2022463201432N/A
6/29/2022459262037N/A
3/30/2022457272742N/A
12/29/2021454293552N/A
9/29/2021456283449N/A
6/30/2021451284356N/A
3/31/2021429254555N/A
12/30/2020426243441N/A
9/23/2020423232938N/A
6/24/2020424192234N/A
3/25/202043928N/A19N/A
12/25/201944225N/A36N/A
9/25/2019441-2N/A36N/A
6/26/2019441-2N/A33N/A
3/27/2019439-11N/A43N/A
12/26/2018436-9N/A45N/A
9/26/201842514N/A43N/A
6/27/20184144N/A49N/A
3/28/20184086N/A47N/A
12/27/20174029N/A54N/A
9/27/20173999N/A62N/A
6/28/201739418N/A59N/A
3/29/201738618N/A57N/A
12/28/201638018N/A49N/A
9/28/201637423N/A54N/A
6/29/201636723N/A49N/A
3/30/201635923N/A55N/A
12/30/201535524N/A58N/A
9/30/201535923N/A40N/A

アナリストによる今後の成長予測

収入対貯蓄率: LOCOの予測収益成長率 (年間4.8% ) は 貯蓄率 ( 3.5% ) を上回っています。

収益対市場: LOCOの収益 ( 4.8% ) US市場 ( 18.6% ) よりも低い成長が予測されています。

高成長収益: LOCOの収益は増加すると予測されていますが、大幅には増加しません。

収益対市場: LOCOの収益 ( 3.1% ) US市場 ( 12.7% ) よりも低い成長が予測されています。

高い収益成長: LOCOの収益 ( 3.1% ) 20%よりも低い成長が予測されています。

一株当たり利益成長率予想

将来の株主資本利益率

将来のROE: LOCOの 自己資本利益率 が 3 年後に高くなると予測されるかどうかを判断するにはデータが不十分です

成長企業の発掘

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

企業分析と財務データの現状

データ最終更新日（UTC時間）
企業分析2026/07/03 11:28
終値2026/07/02 00:00
収益2026/04/01
年間収益2025/12/31

データソース

企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。

パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例
会社財務10年
  • 損益計算書
  • キャッシュ・フロー計算書
  • 貸借対照表
アナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年
  • 予想財務
  • アナリストの目標株価
市場価格30年
  • 株価
  • 配当、分割、措置
所有権10年
  • トップ株主
  • インサイダー取引
マネジメント10年
  • リーダーシップ・チーム
  • 取締役会
主な進展10年
  • 会社からのお知らせ

* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。

特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。

分析モデルとスノーフレーク

このレポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は、当社の Github ページ でご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使い方に関する ガイド や YouTube の チュートリアル もご用意しています。

シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。

業界およびセクターの指標

私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。

アナリスト筋

El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. 6 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。12

アナリスト機関
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Todd BrooksCL King & Associates, Inc.
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