First Watch Restaurant Group 過去の業績
過去 基準チェック /46
First Watch Restaurant Groupは、平均年間33.3%の収益成長を遂げていますが、 Hospitality業界の収益は、年間 成長しています。収益は、平均年間24.6% 17.4%収益成長率で 成長しています。 First Watch Restaurant Groupの自己資本利益率は2.8%であり、純利益率は1.4%です。
主要情報
33.31%
収益成長率
34.36%
EPS成長率
| Hospitality 業界の成長 | 19.52% |
| 収益成長率 | 17.41% |
| 株主資本利益率 | 2.81% |
| ネット・マージン | 1.35% |
| 前回の決算情報 | 28 Jun 2026 |
最近の業績更新
Recent updates
分析記事 • Aug 07
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. Just Missed EPS By 18%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
Shareholders might have noticed that First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:FWRG ) filed its quarterly result this...
ナラティブ更新 • Jul 15
FWRG: Better Breakfast Leader Will Rely On Long Runway For Future Upside
The analyst price target for First Watch Restaurant Group has been reduced from $26.00 to $22.00, as analysts factor in a higher discount rate along with updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples following recent Street research that includes both new coverage and modest target cuts. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on First Watch Restaurant Group reflects a mix of target cuts and fresh coverage, but bullish analysts still highlight several positives for the stock, especially around its positioning in the breakfast category and perceived valuation following the recent pullback.分析記事 • Jul 09
Why First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:FWRG) Could Be Worth Watching
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:FWRG ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a significant share...
ナラティブ更新 • Jul 01
FWRG: Index Shift And New CFO Will Support Long-Term Outlook
Analysts have raised the fair value estimate for First Watch Restaurant Group to $17.00 from $15.00, reflecting updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E in light of recent price target revisions across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research on First Watch Restaurant Group shows a cluster of modest price target trims, with several bearish analysts reducing their expectations by US$1 to US$2.Seeking Alpha • Jun 23
First Watch: A Long-Term Buy For Investors With The Stomach For Risk
Summary First Watch Restaurant Group is rated a Modest Buy, reflecting a balance between low current profitability and strong long-term growth potential. FWRG's aggressive expansion has driven revenue CAGR of 18.3% over three years, but operating margins compressed from 4.6% to 2.3% due to rising costs. Valuation is rich on earnings multiples (78x forward P/E), but price-to-sales is modest; the market is betting on future margin expansion. I recommend gradual accumulation via dollar-cost averaging, as near-term catalysts are lacking and margin recovery may take time. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
ナラティブ更新 • Jun 17
FWRG: Geographic Expansion And New Leadership Will Support Long Term Upside
Analysts have lowered their average price targets on First Watch Restaurant Group by $1 to reflect updated views on discount rates, profit margins, and long term P/E assumptions, while keeping fair value estimates broadly in line with prior levels. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on First Watch Restaurant Group points to generally fine tuned views rather than a major reset, with several firms trimming price targets by US$1 to US$2 while keeping overall fair value assessments broadly aligned with prior work.ナラティブ更新 • Jun 03
FWRG: Geographic Portability And 10% Unit Growth Will Drive Long Term Upside
Analysts now set a higher fair value estimate for First Watch Restaurant Group at about $19.45 per share, up from roughly $18.73. This reflects updated assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E, even as several firms recently trimmed their price targets while another initiated coverage with a $17 target and a positive two year outlook.分析記事 • May 12
First Watch Restaurant Group's (NASDAQ:FWRG) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:FWRG ) robust earnings report didn't manage to move the market for its...ナラティブ更新 • May 10
FWRG: Unit Expansion And Marketing Investments Will Support Long Term Upside
The analyst price target for First Watch Restaurant Group has been reduced by roughly $1. Analysts attribute this change to slightly lower revenue growth assumptions, a modestly higher discount rate, and a small adjustment to the projected future P/E multiple, while profit margin expectations remain broadly unchanged.ナラティブ更新 • Apr 25
FWRG: Unit Expansion And Marketing Investments Will Drive Long Term Upside
Analysts have trimmed the blended price target for First Watch Restaurant Group by about $0.17 to $19.33 as they factor in slower same-restaurant sales growth and softer recent EBITDA results, while still highlighting long term plans for unit expansion and brand awareness initiatives. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates paint a mixed picture, with most firms trimming price targets while still highlighting First Watch Restaurant Group's long term expansion plans and brand building efforts.新しいナラティブ • Apr 18
Traffic Pressures And Menu Changes Will Test Expansion Plans Yet Support Long Term Potential
Catalysts About First Watch Restaurant Group First Watch Restaurant Group operates a daytime-focused full service restaurant concept across the United States. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?ナラティブ更新 • Apr 10
FWRG: Ongoing Unit Expansion And Marketing Initiatives Will Support Future Upside
The analyst price target for First Watch Restaurant Group is now set at $19.50, reflecting a modest recalibration as analysts balance reduced same-store sales and EBITDA expectations with continued unit growth, geographic expansion, and ongoing marketing and menu initiatives that they see as supportive for the brand. Analyst Commentary Recent research paints a mixed picture, with many firms trimming price targets while still expressing confidence in First Watch Restaurant Group's long term growth potential and unit expansion.ナラティブ更新 • Mar 27
FWRG: Ongoing Unit Expansion And New Store Economics Will Support Future Upside
Narrative Update The analyst price target for First Watch Restaurant Group has been revised to $19.50. Analysts cite recent same-store sales and EBITDA estimate adjustments, along with ongoing unit growth, digital and paid marketing efforts, and new store economics as key factors in their updated views.ナラティブ更新 • Mar 12
FWRG: Unit Expansion And New Store Openings Will Drive Future Upside
Our updated narrative price target for First Watch Restaurant Group edges down from about $19.91 to $19.50 per share, as analysts generally trim targets across the sector on softer recent EBITDA and same-store sales expectations. They still point to unit growth, menu and marketing initiatives, and what they view as mispricing as key supports for the long term story.ナラティブ更新 • Feb 26
FWRG: Long Term Unit Expansion Will Drive Future Upside Potential
The analyst price target for First Watch Restaurant Group has been revised lower to about $19.91 from $22, as analysts factor in slower expected same-restaurant sales growth, softer recent EBITDA results, and more conservative assumptions for margins and revenue growth. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates show a cluster of lower price targets for First Watch Restaurant Group, with most analysts pointing to softer adjusted EBITDA, more modest same restaurant sales expectations, and reduced pricing assumptions.新しいナラティブ • Feb 25
Expanding Daytime Dining Footprint Will Unlock Long Runway For Breakfast And Brunch
Catalysts About First Watch Restaurant Group First Watch Restaurant Group operates a growing, full service daytime dining concept focused on breakfast, brunch and lunch across the United States. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?分析記事 • Nov 08
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. Just Missed EPS By 25%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
It's been a good week for First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:FWRG ) shareholders, because the company has just...分析記事 • Jul 31
First Watch Restaurant Group (NASDAQ:FWRG) Is Looking To Continue Growing Its Returns On Capital
What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Amongst...分析記事 • Jul 04
Here's Why First Watch Restaurant Group (NASDAQ:FWRG) Is Weighed Down By Its Debt Load
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...分析記事 • Jun 13
Market Cool On First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:FWRG) Revenues
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:FWRG ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.9x might make it look like a...分析記事 • May 09
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. Just Reported A Surprise Loss: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
There's been a notable change in appetite for First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:FWRG ) shares in the week...分析記事 • May 07
Calculating The Fair Value Of First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:FWRG)
Key Insights First Watch Restaurant Group's estimated fair value is US$14.81 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity...分析記事 • Apr 19
First Watch Restaurant Group (NASDAQ:FWRG) Shareholders Will Want The ROCE Trajectory To Continue
If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an...分析記事 • Apr 03
Is First Watch Restaurant Group (NASDAQ:FWRG) Using Too Much Debt?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Seeking Alpha • Mar 16
First Watch Restaurant: Why Daytime Meals Aren't My Bet For Q1
Summary First Watch's traffic and same-store sales are declining, with breakfast seeing the steepest drop, raising concerns about its premium positioning and value-per-dollar equation. Despite revenue growth driven by new openings, First Watch faces negative free cash flow and increasing debt, complicating its financial stability and ability to return capital to shareholders. FWRG stock is not cheap, trading at high multiples with a PEG ratio that doesn't justify its growth prospects, making it a hold rather than a buy. Economic uncertainties, including fears of stagflation and tariffs, further cloud the outlook for consumer discretionary stocks like First Watch, suggesting caution before investing. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha分析記事 • Mar 12
Is It Too Late To Consider Buying First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:FWRG)?
While First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:FWRG ) might not have the largest market cap around , it received a...分析記事 • Feb 19
Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:FWRG) 25% Share Price Surge
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:FWRG ) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 25% share price...Seeking Alpha • Jan 21
First Watch Restaurant: A Dull Morning In Q4 Overshadowed By Other Family Dining Competitors
Summary First Watch is a unique, fast-growing family dining chain with a focus on breakfast, brunch, and lunch, avoiding discounts and maintaining high unit-level margins. Despite industry recovery, First Watch's same-store sales fell 0.3% in Q4 FY 2024, with traffic declining 3% year-over-year, raising concerns about future growth. The chain's valuation appears stretched, trading at a P/E of 41.67, significantly above the industry median, making it potentially overvalued compared to peers. I recommend waiting for a better entry point around $15-$14, considering ongoing traffic declines and competitive pressures in the family dining sector. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha分析記事 • Dec 11
When Should You Buy First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:FWRG)?
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:FWRG ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a significant share...Seeking Alpha • Nov 18
First Watch Restaurant: Between Hurricanes And Acquisitions, The Sun Shines
Summary First Watch Restaurant Group maintains its stance against value promotions, focusing on targeted advertising, resulting in a 1.9% year-over-year decline in comparable sales due to lower traffic. The company is aggressively expanding by acquiring franchises and opening new restaurants, aiming for 10% net year-over-year growth and a long-term goal of 2,200 locations. Hurricanes in key operating areas significantly impacted Q4 traffic, but recovery is expected as headwinds subside, with a focus on improving on-premise sales. Despite high-growth potential, First Watch's valuation appears inflated; a more appropriate price target is $16, leading to a 'Hold' rating amid current macroeconomic pressures. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha分析記事 • Nov 12
Market Participants Recognise First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:FWRG) Earnings Pushing Shares 53% Higher
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:FWRG ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a...分析記事 • Oct 18
Investors Will Want First Watch Restaurant Group's (NASDAQ:FWRG) Growth In ROCE To Persist
There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. In a perfect world, we'd like to...収支内訳
収支内訳
First Watch Restaurant Group の稼ぎ方とお金の使い方。LTMベースの直近の報告された収益に基づく。
収益と収入の歴史
| 日付 | 収益 | 収益 | G+A経費 | 研究開発費 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun 26 | 1,318 | 18 | 156 | 0 |
| 29 Mar 26 | 1,271 | 18 | 150 | 0 |
| 28 Dec 25 | 1,223 | 19 | 139 | 0 |
| 28 Sep 25 | 1,169 | 5 | 138 | 0 |
| 29 Jun 25 | 1,105 | 4 | 131 | 0 |
| 30 Mar 25 | 1,056 | 11 | 124 | 0 |
| 29 Dec 24 | 1,016 | 19 | 121 | 0 |
| 29 Sep 24 | 997 | 21 | 119 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 965 | 24 | 116 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 923 | 23 | 114 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 892 | 25 | 109 | 0 |
| 24 Sep 23 | 833 | 22 | 100 | 0 |
| 25 Jun 23 | 800 | 17 | 96 | 0 |
| 26 Mar 23 | 768 | 12 | 94 | 0 |
| 25 Dec 22 | 730 | 7 | 88 | 0 |
| 25 Sep 22 | 707 | 3 | 88 | 0 |
| 26 Jun 22 | 678 | 3 | 82 | 0 |
| 27 Mar 22 | 647 | 5 | 75 | 0 |
| 26 Dec 21 | 601 | -2 | 68 | 0 |
| 26 Sep 21 | 548 | -5 | 63 | 0 |
| 27 Jun 21 | 490 | -16 | 57 | 0 |
| 28 Mar 21 | 403 | -36 | 51 | 0 |
| 27 Dec 20 | 342 | -50 | 50 | 0 |
| 29 Dec 19 | 436 | -45 | 61 | 0 |
| 30 Dec 18 | 350 | -12 | 38 | 0 |
質の高い収益: FWRGには$4.5M } という大きな 一回限りの 損失があり、過去 12 か月の財務実績が28th June, 2026に影響を及ぼしています。
利益率の向上: FWRGの現在の純利益率 (1.4%)は、昨年(0.4%)よりも高くなっています。
フリー・キャッシュフローと収益の比較
過去の収益成長分析
収益動向: FWRG過去 5 年間で収益を上げており、収益は年間33.3%増加しています。
成長の加速: FWRGの過去 1 年間の収益成長率 ( 327.8% ) は、5 年間の平均 ( 年間33.3%を上回っています。
収益対業界: FWRGの過去 1 年間の収益成長率 ( 327.8% ) はHospitality業界21.5%を上回りました。
株主資本利益率
高いROE: FWRGの 自己資本利益率 ( 2.8% ) は 低い とみなされます。
総資産利益率
使用総資本利益率
過去の好業績企業の発掘
企業分析と財務データの現状
| データ | 最終更新日（UTC時間） |
|---|---|
| 企業分析 | 2026/09/18 20:35 |
| 終値 | 2026/09/18 00:00 |
| 収益 | 2026/06/28 |
| 年間収益 | 2025/12/28 |
データソース
企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。
| パッケージ | データ | タイムフレーム | 米国ソース例 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 会社財務 | 10年 |
| |
| アナリストのコンセンサス予想 | +プラス3年 |
|
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| 市場価格 | 30年 |
| |
| 所有権 | 10年 |
| |
| マネジメント | 10年 |
| |
| 主な進展 | 10年 |
|
* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。
特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。
分析モデルとスノーフレーク
このレポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は、当社のGitHubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの活用方法に関するガイドやYouTubeのチュートリアルも用意しています。
シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した ご紹介します。
業界およびセクターの指標
私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。
アナリスト筋
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. 11 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。13
| アナリスト | 機関 |
|---|---|
| Jeffrey Bernstein | Barclays |
| Sara Senatore | BofA Global Research |
| Jon Tower | Citigroup Inc |