The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated

NasdaqGS:CAKE 株式レポート

時価総額：US$2.8b

Cheesecake Factory 将来の成長

Future 基準チェック /26

Cheesecake Factory利益と収益がそれぞれ年間15.5%と5.9%増加すると予測されています。EPS は年間 増加すると予想されています。自己資本利益率は 3 年後に34% 13.5%なると予測されています。

主要情報

15.5%

収益成長率

13.49%

EPS成長率

Hospitality 収益成長18.0%
収益成長率5.9%
将来の株主資本利益率33.99%
アナリストカバレッジ

Good

最終更新日14 May 2026

今後の成長に関する最新情報

分析記事 • May 07

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (NASDAQ:CAKE) First-Quarter Results: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For This Year

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated ( NASDAQ:CAKE ) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its...
分析記事 • Oct 30

Results: The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

There's been a notable change in appetite for The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated ( NASDAQ:CAKE ) shares in the week...
分析記事 • Aug 01

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated Just Recorded A 8.4% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

Last week, you might have seen that The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated ( NASDAQ:CAKE ) released its quarterly result...

Recent updates

分析記事 • May 11

We Like The Quality Of Cheesecake Factory's (NASDAQ:CAKE) Earnings

Despite posting healthy earnings, The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated's ( NASDAQ:CAKE ) stock has been quite weak...
ナラティブの更新 • May 10

CAKE: Elevated P/E And 2026 Execution Risks Will Constrain Returns

Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for Cheesecake Factory stock by about $1.81 to $51.81, as recent price target revisions cite updated models following Q4 results, ongoing 2026 outlook assumptions, and adjustments to P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent research has centered on how Cheesecake Factory's valuation lines up with its updated 2026 outlook and the mixed tone around the latest Q4 results.
分析記事 • May 07

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (NASDAQ:CAKE) First-Quarter Results: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For This Year

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated ( NASDAQ:CAKE ) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its...
Seeking Alpha • Apr 30

The Cheesecake Factory Q1 Earnings: Slow And Steady Growth

Summary The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated continues to demonstrate stable growth, with Q1 2026 revenues up 5.6% year-over-year and a 1.6% increase in comparable sales. CAKE margins remain resilient, with food and beverage costs at 21.7% of sales and labor expenses improving 20 basis points from last year, supporting profitability. Q1 2026 adjusted EPS reached $1.05, beating estimates by $0.05, and CAKE management targets 8-10% EPS growth for 2026. I maintain a market perform rating, viewing CAKE stock as fairly valued at 15-16x FWD EPS, with dividend increases and share repurchases enhancing shareholder returns. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 23

CAKE: Elevated P/E And Mixed Q4 Delivery Will Constrain Forward Returns

Analysts have lifted Cheesecake Factory's average price target by several dollars to a range of roughly $58 to $75, as they refresh models after mixed Q4 results and an updated 2026 outlook. They still see a fair value of $50 based on current assumptions for revenue growth, margins and future P/E.
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 07

CAKE: Higher P/E Assumptions Will Support 2026 Outlook Execution

The analyst fair value estimate for Cheesecake Factory has increased from $60.61 to $64.44. This change reflects a series of higher price targets on the stock as analysts update their models following mixed Q4 results and an intact 2026 outlook.
ナラティブの更新 • Mar 24

CAKE: Elevated P/E And Mixed Q4 Execution Will Limit Forward Upside

Analyst price targets for Cheesecake Factory have moved higher into the $58 to $75 range, as analysts update models following mixed Q4 results while largely maintaining 2026 outlook assumptions and pointing to what they see as balanced risk/reward at current P/E levels. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates show a wide spread in views on Cheesecake Factory, even as headline price targets move higher.
ナラティブの更新 • Mar 09

CAKE: Elevated P/E Premium And Sector Headwinds Will Constrain Forward Upside Potential

Analysts have lifted their aggregate price targets on Cheesecake Factory by several dollars into the $58 to $75 range, citing refreshed models after mixed Q4 results, an intact 2026 outlook, and what some see as conservative long term assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research paints a mixed picture for Cheesecake Factory, with several firms lifting price targets after updating models for the latest Q4 report and 2026 outlook.
ナラティブの更新 • Feb 23

CAKE: Elevated P E And Sector Headwinds Are Expected To Limit Upside

Narrative Update: Cheesecake Factory Analysts have raised their average price targets for Cheesecake Factory by several dollars into a broad $58 to $75 range, citing updated post-Q4 models, a largely intact 2026 outlook, and a higher assumed P/E multiple, even as views on risk and reward remain mixed across firms. Analyst Commentary Across recent research, analysts are broadly lifting their price targets for Cheesecake Factory into a higher band, but their views on the stock are far from unanimous.
ナラティブの更新 • Feb 08

CAKE: Higher P/E Assumptions Will Balance Margin Pressure And Sector Headwinds

Analysts have nudged their price targets for Cheesecake Factory higher, reflecting slightly richer P/E assumptions and a modest lift in fair value to about $60.61, even as they acknowledge mixed sector views and ongoing earnings constraints in recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Cheesecake Factory points to a split view, with some analysts lifting price targets on higher valuation multiples while others stay cautious on the operating backdrop for casual dining.
ナラティブの更新 • Jan 25

CAKE: Softer Sales Trends And Sector Headwinds Are Expected To Pressure Returns

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Cheesecake Factory to $50, a $1 adjustment that reflects slightly updated views on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and the appropriate future P/E multiple in light of recent mixed price target changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Cheesecake Factory has been mixed, with several firms adjusting price targets and, in at least one case, downgrading the stock.
ナラティブの更新 • Jan 11

CAKE: Softer Same Store Sales And Sector Pressure Will Constrain Near Term Outlook

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for The Cheesecake Factory higher to $49.00 from $48.00. This reflects updated price targets that balance recent cuts and raises across the Street and factor in modest tweaks to revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions.
ナラティブの更新 • Dec 26

CAKE: Softer Same Store Sales Trends Will Shape Near Term Outlook

Cheesecake Factory's analyst-derived fair value has been trimmed from about $50.41 to $48.00, as analysts factor in softer same-store sales trends, modest demand slowdowns into next year, and a slightly weaker growth and margin outlook, despite the brand's still solid positioning in a choppier macro environment. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts continue to recalibrate their expectations for Cheesecake Factory, cutting price targets across the board as they reassess near term growth and margin assumptions.
ナラティブの更新 • Dec 12

CAKE: Margin Discipline Will Support Earnings Stability Amid Choppy Demand

Analysts have nudged their blended price target for Cheesecake Factory modestly lower, trimming expectations by a few dollars per share to reflect softer same store sales trends, choppier demand into Q3, and a slightly more cautious view on the restaurant sector backdrop. Analyst Commentary Street research reflects a more nuanced stance on Cheesecake Factory, with both optimistic and cautious voices acknowledging a tougher near term operating backdrop while debating the durability of demand and margin resilience.
ナラティブの更新 • Nov 28

CAKE: Margin Resilience Will Support Recovery Despite Sales Headwinds Ahead

Cheesecake Factory's average analyst price target has declined slightly. Recent reductions have been attributed to softer sales trends and persistent industry demand headwinds.
ナラティブの更新 • Nov 14

CAKE: Sustained Margin Improvement Is Expected To Support Long-Term Upside

The consensus analyst price target for Cheesecake Factory has been lowered by approximately $0.56. Analysts cite recent weaker same-store sales trends and persistent demand headwinds as key drivers of the adjustment.
ナラティブの更新 • Oct 30

CAKE: Share Repurchase Program And Brand Resilience Will Drive Positive Momentum

The consensus analyst price target for Cheesecake Factory has decreased by just over $5 to around $60. Analysts cite softer sales trends and persistent macroeconomic challenges impacting growth expectations.
分析記事 • Oct 30

Results: The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

There's been a notable change in appetite for The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated ( NASDAQ:CAKE ) shares in the week...
ナラティブの更新 • Oct 16

Flower Child And North Italia Concepts Will Expand Market Appeal

The consensus analyst price target for Cheesecake Factory has been reduced from approximately $73 to $68 as analysts cite a challenging industry backdrop and updated company outlooks, particularly with an anticipated mixed and volatile earnings season ahead. Analyst Commentary Recent research from major firms reflects both optimism and caution regarding Cheesecake Factory's performance in the upcoming quarter.
分析記事 • Sep 24

Weekly Picks: ⛏️ The Gold Play With Permits, A Plan And Real Momentum And 2 More Picks

This week’s picks cover: Why most people don’t understand The Cheesecake Factory’s potential, how fully permitted gold miner, 1911 Gold, could offer 50x return, why rate cuts benefit dividend plays like Coca Cola immensely.
分析記事 • Sep 09

Is Now The Time To Look At Buying The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (NASDAQ:CAKE)?

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated ( NASDAQ:CAKE ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw significant share price...
分析記事 • Aug 04

Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ:CAKE) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.27

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated ( NASDAQ:CAKE ) will pay a dividend of $0.27 on the 26th of August. This means the...
新しいナラティブ • Aug 02

Cheesecake Factory offers an enticing opportunity for long-term growth by leveraging new concepts

The Cheesecake Factory is a stock that I believe most people do not understand it's actual potential; or really what makes this stock so attractive for long term growth. Here is a brief description of the company according to Benzinga: "Cheesecake Factory Inc owns and operates restaurants in the United States and Canada under brands that include The Cheesecake Factory, North Italia, and a collection within the Fox Restaurants Concepts subsidiary.
分析記事 • Aug 01

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated Just Recorded A 8.4% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

Last week, you might have seen that The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated ( NASDAQ:CAKE ) released its quarterly result...
分析記事 • Jul 02

Cheesecake Factory's (NASDAQ:CAKE) Returns On Capital Are Heading Higher

What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term...
分析記事 • Jun 18

Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated's (NASDAQ:CAKE) P/E Ratio

There wouldn't be many who think The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated's ( NASDAQ:CAKE ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E...
分析記事 • May 25

Is Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ:CAKE) A Risky Investment?

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
分析記事 • May 12

Cheesecake Factory's (NASDAQ:CAKE) Earnings May Just Be The Starting Point

Even though The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated's ( NASDAQ:CAKE ) recent earnings release was robust, the market didn't...
分析記事 • Apr 15

Should You Investigate The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (NASDAQ:CAKE) At US$46.99?

While The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated ( NASDAQ:CAKE ) might not have the largest market cap around , it received a...
Seeking Alpha • Mar 28

The Cheesecake Factory: Downgrade To Sell As The Macro Environment Is Too Challenging

Summary I am downgrading The Cheesecake Factory from hold to sell due to worsening macro conditions and poor consumer sentiment affecting discretionary spending. CAKE's traffic growth has been negative for seven consecutive quarters, and price increases are no longer a viable strategy for SSS growth. Limited unit growth and high G&A expenses further constrain CAKE's ability to drive revenue and margin expansion in FY25. Valuation at 13x forward P/E is too high given the headwinds, with the potential for multiple re-rating if revenue or margins decline. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
分析記事 • Mar 21

Estimating The Fair Value Of The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (NASDAQ:CAKE)

Key Insights Cheesecake Factory's estimated fair value is US$46.97 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current...
分析記事 • Mar 09

Market Participants Recognise The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated's (NASDAQ:CAKE) Earnings

With a median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of close to 18x in the United States, you could be forgiven for...
分析記事 • Feb 25

Cheesecake Factory's (NASDAQ:CAKE) Dividend Will Be $0.27

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated's ( NASDAQ:CAKE ) investors are due to receive a payment of $0.27 per share on 18th...
Seeking Alpha • Feb 20

The Cheesecake Factory: A Winning Restaurant Stock

Summary We continue to rate The Cheesecake Factory a hold, highlighting its strong revenue growth, margin improvements, and positive comparable sales trends. The company's strategic cost management and easing inflation have led to improved margins, with food and labor expenses showing notable reductions. CAKE's earnings growth is robust, with Q4 adjusted EPS rising significantly year-over-year, and the stock remains attractively valued at less than 15X forward earnings. With manageable debt, ongoing share repurchases, and expected dividend increases, we see long-term upside, projecting EPS of $3.70-3.85 for 2025. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
分析記事 • Feb 10

Returns At Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ:CAKE) Appear To Be Weighed Down

What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Firstly...
Seeking Alpha • Feb 03

The Cheesecake Factory: Maintaining My Buy Rating

Summary The Cheesecake Factory has outperformed the market with over a 50% return since April 2024, driven by strong fundamentals and positive earnings momentum. Despite the current fair valuation, CAKE's consistent revenue, margin improvements, and strong consumer base suggest potential for further appreciation. Risks include historical underperformance prior to this past year, inconsistent quarterly fundamentals, and potential economic downturns, but CAKE's strong consumer base and earnings resilience offer optimism. Fair value for CAKE is estimated between $42-$59 per share, with a 2% dividend yield, making it a long-term cautious buy. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
分析記事 • Jan 29

We Ran A Stock Scan For Earnings Growth And Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ:CAKE) Passed With Ease

Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks...
分析記事 • Jan 17

Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ:CAKE) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...
Seeking Alpha • Jan 15

The Cheesecake Factory: Earnings Growth Is Underappreciated

Summary The Cheesecake Factory is an attractive investment for 2025, offering a ~2% dividend yield and trading at a below-market valuation. The company recently increased prices without denting low single-digit comparable sales growth. In turn, the company's net profit margins have nearly doubled. The company has a diversified restaurant portfolio, with other brands including Flower Child and North Italia alongside a handful of boutique restaurants. Trading at a 13.6x forward P/E ratio, the stock trades well below the S&P 500 as well as many of its restaurant peers. It also offers a ~2% dividend yield. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 07

The Cheesecake Factory: A Recipe For Growth, But Too High A Price

Summary The Cheesecake Factory has shown strong performance with a 33% stock increase, but elevated capex concerns limit upside potential, leading to a 'hold' rating. Q3 results were solid, with a 49% EPS increase and positive same-store sales growth, driven mainly by pricing rather than traffic. However, investors should watch the reliance on pricing for growth, potential inflationary pressures, and economic downturn impacts, which could affect profitability and expansion plans, which are causes for concern. Despite improved margins, CAKE's high capex costs and valuation concerns (P/FCF over 25x) suggest limited value, so I'm maintaining the current rating for now. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

業績と収益の成長予測

NasdaqGS:CAKE - アナリストの将来予測と過去の財務データ ( )USD Millions
日付収益収益フリー・キャッシュフロー営業活動によるキャッシュ平均アナリスト数
12/31/20284,488N/AN/AN/A7
12/31/20274,17921818338219
12/31/20263,92219716231919
3/31/20263,803165171319N/A
12/30/20253,752148154301N/A
9/30/20253,711161158320N/A
7/1/20253,669159130310N/A
4/1/20253,618157113280N/A
12/31/20243,582157107268N/A
10/1/20243,53812868242N/A
7/2/20243,50211654211N/A
4/2/20243,46510668220N/A
1/2/20243,44010165218N/A
10/3/20233,4558578214N/A
7/4/20233,4096546176N/A
4/4/20233,3764871193N/A
1/3/20233,3034349162N/A
9/27/20223,1875096193N/A
6/28/20223,1588587170N/A
3/29/20223,09473136225N/A
12/28/20212,92849145213N/A
9/28/20212,705993155N/A
6/29/20212,469-57117169N/A
3/30/20211,996-1421558N/A
12/29/20201,983-277-483N/A
9/29/20202,123-191270N/A
6/30/20202,192-1422399N/A
3/31/20202,498-3674152N/A
12/31/20192,483127N/A219N/A
10/1/20192,37495N/A225N/A
7/2/20192,362107N/A235N/A
4/2/20192,347100N/A250N/A
1/1/20192,33299N/A291N/A
10/2/20182,319141N/A267N/A
7/3/20182,299139N/A265N/A
4/3/20182,282148N/A266N/A
1/2/20182,261157N/A239N/A
10/3/20172,292132N/A246N/A
7/4/20172,296140N/A272N/A
4/4/20172,285141N/A282N/A
1/3/20172,276139N/A316N/A
9/27/20162,199134N/A299N/A
6/28/20162,166126N/A273N/A
3/29/20162,136122N/A252N/A
12/29/20152,101117N/A248N/A
9/29/20152,073114N/A240N/A
6/30/20152,046112N/A239N/A

アナリストによる今後の成長予測

収入対貯蓄率: CAKEの予測収益成長率 (年間15.5% ) は 貯蓄率 ( 3.5% ) を上回っています。

収益対市場: CAKEの収益 ( 15.5% ) US市場 ( 16.7% ) よりも低い成長が予測されています。

高成長収益: CAKEの収益は増加すると予測されていますが、大幅には増加しません。

収益対市場: CAKEの収益 ( 5.9% ) US市場 ( 11.6% ) よりも低い成長が予測されています。

高い収益成長: CAKEの収益 ( 5.9% ) 20%よりも低い成長が予測されています。

一株当たり利益成長率予想

将来の株主資本利益率

将来のROE: CAKEの 自己資本利益率 は、3年後には高くなると予測されています ( 34 %)

成長企業の発掘

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

企業分析と財務データの現状

データ最終更新日（UTC時間）
企業分析2026/05/14 01:58
終値2026/05/14 00:00
収益2026/03/31
年間収益2025/12/30

データソース

企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。

パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例
会社財務10年
  • 損益計算書
  • キャッシュ・フロー計算書
  • 貸借対照表
アナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年
  • 予想財務
  • アナリストの目標株価
市場価格30年
  • 株価
  • 配当、分割、措置
所有権10年
  • トップ株主
  • インサイダー取引
マネジメント10年
  • リーダーシップ・チーム
  • 取締役会
主な進展10年
  • 会社からのお知らせ

* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。

特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。

分析モデルとスノーフレーク

本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドやYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。

シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。

業界およびセクターの指標

私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。

アナリスト筋

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated 19 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。41

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