Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.

NasdaqGS:GO 株式レポート

時価総額:US$804.2m

Grocery Outlet Holding 将来の成長

Future 基準チェック /36

Grocery Outlet Holding利益と収益がそれぞれ年間105.2%と4.6%増加すると予測されています。EPS は年間 増加すると予想されています。自己資本利益率は 3 年後に6.1% 116.4%なると予測されています。

主要情報

105.2%

収益成長率

116.38%

EPS成長率

Consumer Retailing 収益成長9.3%
収益成長率4.6%
将来の株主資本利益率6.09%
アナリストカバレッジ

Good

最終更新日15 May 2026

今後の成長に関する最新情報

分析記事 May 09

Earnings Update: Here's Why Analysts Just Lifted Their Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (NASDAQ:GO) Price Target To US$15.62

It's been a mediocre week for Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. ( NASDAQ:GO ) shareholders, with the stock dropping 10% to...

Recent updates

ナラティブの更新 May 05

GO: Store Closures And Legal Overhang Will Shape Balanced Outlook

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Grocery Outlet Holding to $7.62. This reflects slightly lower assumptions for the discount rate and revenue growth, along with a minor change in profit margin and future P/E expectations.
ナラティブの更新 Apr 20

GO: Store Closures And Legal Overhang Will Temper Food Desert Upside Potential

Analysts have adjusted their price view on Grocery Outlet Holding, with the implied fair value holding at about $7.62. Updates to the discount rate and future P/E assumptions reflect a more refined risk and earnings outlook rather than a major shift in fundamentals.
Seeking Alpha Apr 06

Grocery Outlet Holding: Downgrade To Sell On Weakened Fundamentals

Summary Grocery Outlet Holding is downgraded to sell as its value proposition and store growth strategy have deteriorated. GO's core treasure-hunt experience is compromised, with weakened value perception and reduced opportunistic product flow impacting customer engagement. Management's 2026 guidance signals no near-term recovery, with comparable sales guided between -2% and flat and Q1 comps at -2.5% to -1.5%. GO's valuation could fall further, potentially aligning with lower-multiple peers, implying up to 45% downside from current levels. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
ナラティブの更新 Apr 06

GO: Store Optimization And New Openings Will Support Long-Term Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Grocery Outlet Holding to about $10.31 from roughly $12.24. This reflects updated assumptions for slightly lower revenue growth and P/E expectations, which are partly offset by a higher projected profit margin.
ナラティブの更新 Mar 23

GO: Virginia Food Desert Expansion Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts cut their price target on Grocery Outlet Holding from $13.65 to $7.62 as they now apply a higher discount rate, factor in more modest revenue growth and profit margins, and use a lower future P/E assumption in their models. What's in the News Class action lawsuit filed in the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of California alleges misleading statements about store expansion, growth, and restructuring plans, following Fiscal Year 2025 results that did not meet guidance and an earnings call discussing the closure of 36 underperforming stores (Key Developments).
ナラティブの更新 Mar 08

GO: Future Store Openings Will Support Long-Term Upside Potential

Analysts now estimate Grocery Outlet Holding's fair value at about $12.24 per share, reduced from roughly $19.77. This change reflects updated views on the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions.
ナラティブの更新 Feb 22

GO: Virginia Food Desert Expansion And Deep Discounts Will Support Upside

Analysts have trimmed their price target for Grocery Outlet Holding from about $14.12 to around $13.65, reflecting updated assumptions on discount rate, modest revenue growth expectations, slightly adjusted profit margin forecasts, and a lower future P/E multiple. What's in the News Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.
ナラティブの更新 Feb 07

GO: Virginia Expansion And Discount Model Will Support Long Term Upside

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Grocery Outlet Holding slightly to align with an updated fair value of about $14.12. This reflects small tweaks to assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E.
分析記事 Feb 04

These 4 Measures Indicate That Grocery Outlet Holding (NASDAQ:GO) Is Using Debt Extensively

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
ナラティブの更新 Jan 24

GO: Future Expansion And Higher P/E Expectations Will Support Bullish Outlook

Analysts have kept their price target on Grocery Outlet Holding unchanged, reflecting updated assumptions that combine slightly higher revenue growth expectations with lower profit margin estimates and a higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Grocery Outlet is entering Virginia with a new store in Falls Church, scheduled to open on February 12, 2026.
ナラティブの更新 Jan 10

GO: Higher Future P/E Will Support Upside Despite Softer Guidance

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Grocery Outlet Holding slightly lower to about $14.35 per share from around $14.79, citing updated assumptions for discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels. What's in the News The company reported that, from June 29, 2025 to September 27, 2025, it repurchased 0 shares for $0 million, while completing a total of 4,371,397 shares repurchased for $90.7 million under the buyback first announced on November 9, 2021 (Key Developments).
ナラティブの更新 Dec 26

GO: Higher Future Multiple Will Support Long-Term Upside Despite Softer Outlook

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Grocery Outlet Holding from approximately $17.15 to $14.79 per share. They cite slightly weaker expectations for revenue growth and profit margins, which are only partially offset by a higher projected future price-to-earnings multiple and marginally increased discount rate assumptions.
ナラティブの更新 Dec 12

GO: Future Outlook Will Balance Moderated Guidance With Margin Improvement Expectations

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Grocery Outlet Holding by approximately $1.00 per share. This reflects a slightly higher discount rate and more conservative revenue growth expectations, partly offset by improved margin assumptions and a lower projected future P E multiple.
分析記事 Nov 14

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.'s (NASDAQ:GO) Stock Retreats 28% But Revenues Haven't Escaped The Attention Of Investors

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. ( NASDAQ:GO ) share price has dived 28% in the...
ナラティブの更新 Nov 01

GO: Rising Sales Outlook And Buybacks Will Support Earnings Momentum

Analysts have modestly increased their price target for Grocery Outlet Holding, reflecting updated assumptions on discount rates while maintaining steady projections for revenue growth and profit margins. What's in the News Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.
ナラティブの更新 Oct 17

Consumer Trends Will Constrain Margins But Spur Efficiency

Analysts have slightly raised their price target for Grocery Outlet Holding, increasing it from $16.62 to $17.15. This change is based on minor updates to growth and valuation metrics.
ナラティブの更新 Oct 03

Consumer Trends Will Constrain Margins But Spur Efficiency

Analysts have modestly increased their price target for Grocery Outlet Holding from $16.15 to $16.62. This reflects slight positive updates to fair value and profit margin projections.
分析記事 Aug 07

Even With A 40% Surge, Cautious Investors Are Not Rewarding Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.'s (NASDAQ:GO) Performance Completely

NasdaqGS:GO 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Grocery Outlet Holding's Fair Values from the Community and select...
分析記事 Jul 18

Here's Why Grocery Outlet Holding (NASDAQ:GO) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...
分析記事 Jun 29

We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At Grocery Outlet Holding (NASDAQ:GO)

If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...
分析記事 May 14

Some Investors May Be Willing To Look Past Grocery Outlet Holding's (NASDAQ:GO) Soft Earnings

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.'s ( NASDAQ:GO ) earnings announcement last week didn't impress shareholders. However, our...
分析記事 May 09

Earnings Update: Here's Why Analysts Just Lifted Their Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (NASDAQ:GO) Price Target To US$15.62

It's been a mediocre week for Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. ( NASDAQ:GO ) shareholders, with the stock dropping 10% to...
分析記事 Apr 25

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.'s (NASDAQ:GO) 30% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. ( NASDAQ:GO ) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced...
分析記事 Apr 17

Grocery Outlet Holding (NASDAQ:GO) Seems To Be Using A Lot Of Debt

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...
分析記事 Mar 26

Slowing Rates Of Return At Grocery Outlet Holding (NASDAQ:GO) Leave Little Room For Excitement

Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...
Seeking Alpha Mar 10

Grocery Outlet Q4: The New CEO Has A Lot Of Work Ahead Of Him

Summary Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.'s Q4 earnings showed a sales increase to $1.1B, but EPS missed estimates, and gross margins declined due to inventory shrinkage. The company's financial position is concerning, with a high debt load and an interest coverage ratio below the desired threshold. Management's 2025 outlook disappointed investors, leading to a significant decline in share price and a cautious approach to future performance. I recommend a hold rating, as the new CEO has much to prove, and operational improvements are needed before considering a buy. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
分析記事 Feb 28

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

One of the biggest stories of last week was how Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. ( NASDAQ:GO ) shares plunged 26% in the...
分析記事 Feb 27

More Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.'s (NASDAQ:GO) Shares After Tumbling 35%

To the annoyance of some shareholders, Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. ( NASDAQ:GO ) shares are down a considerable 35% in...

業績と収益の成長予測

NasdaqGS:GO - アナリストの将来予測と過去の財務データ ( )USD Millions
日付収益収益フリー・キャッシュフロー営業活動によるキャッシュ平均アナリスト数
12/31/20285,13932N/A1786
12/31/20274,875452433514
12/31/20264,660-67-422214
4/4/20264,730-3824216N/A
1/3/20264,689-2252222N/A
9/27/20254,571-4-52189N/A
6/28/20254,5118-51195N/A
3/29/20254,46017-60163N/A
12/28/20244,37239-95112N/A
9/28/20244,26351-102100N/A
6/29/20244,15954-10196N/A
3/30/20244,0416523224N/A
12/30/20233,96979111303N/A
9/30/20233,91081142322N/A
7/1/20233,8257297258N/A
4/1/20233,7126784237N/A
12/31/20223,5786538186N/A
10/1/20223,4305627164N/A
7/2/20223,2815535165N/A
4/2/20223,1595545176N/A
1/1/20223,0806232166N/A
10/2/20213,1048088224N/A
7/3/20213,09910330176N/A
4/3/20213,1271131140N/A
1/2/20213,13510750181N/A
9/26/20202,9839212128N/A
6/27/20202,8726472183N/A
3/28/20202,71424N/A178N/A
12/28/20192,56015N/A133N/A
9/28/20192,4891N/A125N/A
6/29/20192,414-4N/A90N/A
3/30/20192,34314N/A97N/A
12/29/20182,28816N/A106N/A
12/30/20172,07521N/A85N/A
12/31/20161,83210N/A71N/A

アナリストによる今後の成長予測

収入対貯蓄率: GOは今後 3 年間で収益性が向上すると予測されており、これは 貯蓄率 ( 3.5% ) よりも高い成長率であると考えられます。

収益対市場: GO今後 3 年間で収益性が向上すると予想されており、これは市場平均を上回る成長と考えられます。

高成長収益: GO今後 3 年以内に収益を上げることが予想されます。

収益対市場: GOの収益 ( 4.6% ) US市場 ( 11.6% ) よりも低い成長が予測されています。

高い収益成長: GOの収益 ( 4.6% ) 20%よりも低い成長が予測されています。


一株当たり利益成長率予想


将来の株主資本利益率

将来のROE: GOの 自己資本利益率 は、3年後には低くなると予測されています ( 6.1 %)。


成長企業の発掘

企業分析と財務データの現状

データ最終更新日(UTC時間)
企業分析2026/05/21 06:01
終値2026/05/21 00:00
収益2026/04/04
年間収益2026/01/03

データソース

企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。

パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例
会社財務10年
  • 損益計算書
  • キャッシュ・フロー計算書
  • 貸借対照表
アナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年
  • 予想財務
  • アナリストの目標株価
市場価格30年
  • 株価
  • 配当、分割、措置
所有権10年
  • トップ株主
  • インサイダー取引
マネジメント10年
  • リーダーシップ・チーム
  • 取締役会
主な進展10年
  • 会社からのお知らせ

* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用

特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM(Trailing Twelve Month)またはLTM(Last Twelve Month)データとして知られています。詳細はこちら

分析モデルとスノーフレーク

本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。

シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。

業界およびセクターの指標

私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。

アナリスト筋

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. 14 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。15

アナリスト機関
Brian McNamaraBerenberg
Robert OhmesBofA Global Research
Jeremy HamblinCraig-Hallum Capital Group LLC