GEO Group（GEO）株式概要
GEO Group, Inc.は、米国、オーストラリア、南アフリカ、英国において、安全施設、処理センター、地域再入所センターの設計、資金調達、開発、サポートサービスを専門とする、多角的な政府サービスプロバイダーの大手である。 詳細
GEO Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
The GEO Group, Inc. 競合他社
価格と性能
| 過去の株価 | |
|---|---|
| 現在の株価 | US$27.03 |
| 52週高値 | US$27.20 |
| 52週安値 | US$12.51 |
| ベータ | 0.83 |
| 1ヶ月の変化 | 24.22% |
| 3ヶ月変化 | 91.70% |
| 1年変化 | 0.26% |
| 3年間の変化 | 263.80% |
| 5年間の変化 | 308.31% |
| IPOからの変化 | 2,603.00% |
最新ニュース
ナラティブの更新 • May 28
GEO: ICE Detention Demand And Political Scrutiny Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have adjusted their price target for GEO Group to $29.50, with the change primarily reflecting minor updates to the discount rate and expected future P/E, rather than any major shift in the underlying fair value assumptions. What's in the News The House Oversight Committee opened an inquiry into Corey Lewandowski that mentions GEO Group in related reporting (NBC News).Seeking Alpha • May 21
GEO Group: Q1 Results Validate The Turnaround, But Policy Risks Remain
Summary The GEO Group Inc. delivered a strong Q1 '26, with 17% revenue growth, 32% EBITDA growth, and raised full-year guidance across all metrics. Despite operational strength and a robust contract backlog, GEO's valuation at $22 now reflects fair value, not a discount, given persistent policy risk. ICE contracts account for 51% of revenue, and unresolved policy risk can trigger rapid stock repricing, as seen with a 13% drop on a single headline. I rate GEO a hold, as the risk/reward at current levels lacks sufficient margin of safety despite management’s solid execution and capital allocation. Read the full article on Seeking Alphaナラティブの更新 • May 13
GEO: ICE Detention Spending And Political Scrutiny Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed their GEO Group price targets, with recent cuts such as a move to $28 from $35, mainly citing slower than expected growth following the company’s Q4 results and 2026 guidance. Analyst Commentary Recent research comments have focused on how GEO Group’s updated Q4 results and 2026 guidance feed into both growth expectations and the valuation framework that analysts are using.Recent updates
ナラティブの更新 • May 28
GEO: ICE Detention Demand And Political Scrutiny Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have adjusted their price target for GEO Group to $29.50, with the change primarily reflecting minor updates to the discount rate and expected future P/E, rather than any major shift in the underlying fair value assumptions. What's in the News The House Oversight Committee opened an inquiry into Corey Lewandowski that mentions GEO Group in related reporting (NBC News).Seeking Alpha • May 21
GEO Group: Q1 Results Validate The Turnaround, But Policy Risks Remain
Summary The GEO Group Inc. delivered a strong Q1 '26, with 17% revenue growth, 32% EBITDA growth, and raised full-year guidance across all metrics. Despite operational strength and a robust contract backlog, GEO's valuation at $22 now reflects fair value, not a discount, given persistent policy risk. ICE contracts account for 51% of revenue, and unresolved policy risk can trigger rapid stock repricing, as seen with a 13% drop on a single headline. I rate GEO a hold, as the risk/reward at current levels lacks sufficient margin of safety despite management’s solid execution and capital allocation. Read the full article on Seeking Alphaナラティブの更新 • May 13
GEO: ICE Detention Spending And Political Scrutiny Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed their GEO Group price targets, with recent cuts such as a move to $28 from $35, mainly citing slower than expected growth following the company’s Q4 results and 2026 guidance. Analyst Commentary Recent research comments have focused on how GEO Group’s updated Q4 results and 2026 guidance feed into both growth expectations and the valuation framework that analysts are using.
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 28
GEO: ICE Detention Spending And 2026 Guidance Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have trimmed their price targets on GEO Group, with reductions such as from $35 to $28, reflecting slower than anticipated growth following recent Q4 results and 2026 guidance updates. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are trimming price targets on GEO Group, but are still signaling confidence in the company’s long term execution and growth potential despite the slower than anticipated trajectory implied by Q4 results and 2026 guidance.
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 13
GEO: Slower Guidance And Leadership Shifts Set Up Future Detention Upside
Analysts have reduced GEO Group's fair value estimate to $27 from $35, reflecting updated expectations for slower growth and lower profit margins following recent guidance. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts have moved to lower GEO Group's valuation anchors, pointing to slower growth expectations and pressure on profit margins after the latest quarter and 2026 guidance.ナラティブの更新 • Mar 30
GEO: ICE Detention Spending And 2026 Guidance Will Reset Earnings Expectations
Analysts have reduced their price expectations for GEO Group, with recent updates lowering targets to $28. This reflects slower than anticipated growth following the company’s Q4 results and 2026 guidance.ナラティブの更新 • Mar 16
GEO: ICE Detention Spending Upside Will Drive 2026 Earnings Repricing
Analysts have reduced the fair value estimate for GEO Group from $35.00 to $33.00, citing slower than anticipated growth, as reflected in recent price target cuts and updated earnings assumptions. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are framing the recent fair value and price target revisions as a recalibration after updated Q4 results and 2026 guidance, rather than a shift away from a constructive long term view on GEO Group.ナラティブの更新 • Mar 02
GEO: ICE Detention Spending And Buybacks Will Support Path Toward $3b Revenue
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for GEO Group to $29.50 from $32.25, citing slower than anticipated growth, as reflected in recent price target cuts and updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has generally aligned with the trimmed fair value estimate, with price targets recalibrated after the company issued Q4 results and 2026 guidance that pointed to slower than previously assumed growth.ナラティブの更新 • Feb 16
GEO: ICE Detention Spending And Leadership Shift Will Shape 2026 Earnings
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for GEO Group by $2 to $35, citing updated assumptions for growth, profitability, and a lower future P/E multiple reflected in recent Street research. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are framing the latest target changes as a recalibration rather than a shift in view on GEO Group’s underlying thesis.ナラティブの更新 • Feb 02
GEO: Upcoming Contracts And Monitoring Programs Will Underpin 2026 Earnings Profile
Analysts have trimmed their price target on GEO Group to US$37 from US$50, citing revised growth estimates and a softer profit outlook, even as they continue to highlight potential revenue from upcoming contracts and monitoring programs. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are framing the lower US$37 price target as a reset rather than a reversal in their view on GEO Group.ナラティブの更新 • Jan 19
GEO: Upcoming Contracts And Monitoring Will Support Path Toward $3B Revenue
Narrative Update Analysts cut their price target on GEO Group by $13 to $37, citing revised estimates that reflect slower than expected growth toward the projected $3b+ in annualized revenue from upcoming contracts and monitoring. They still expressed a positive view on all business segments, including the Intensive Supervision Appearance Program opportunity.ナラティブの更新 • Jan 05
GEO: Upcoming Monitoring Contracts Will Drive Path Toward $3B Annualized Revenue
Analysts have modestly lowered their price target on GEO Group, trimming expectations by approximately $13 per share to reflect slower than expected growth. They are still emphasizing long term revenue potential from upcoming contracts and monitoring programs.ナラティブの更新 • Dec 21
GEO Will Benefit From Upcoming Contracts And Monitoring Expansion By 2026
Analysts have reduced their price target on GEO Group to $37.00 from $50.00, citing slower than previously expected revenue growth and profitability, despite continued optimism about the company’s long term contract and monitoring opportunities. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts emphasize that the revised $37.00 price target still implies meaningful upside from current trading levels, arguing that the market has not fully reflected GEO Group’s multi year contract pipeline and expanding monitoring footprint in its valuation.ナラティブの更新 • Dec 07
GEO: Upcoming Monitoring And Contract Wins Will Drive Revenue Expansion By 2026
Analysts have modestly trimmed their price target on GEO Group, reflecting a recalibration toward slower near term growth. They continue to highlight multi year contract wins and monitoring opportunities that could support the path to more than $3 billion in annualized revenue and underpin an updated fair value estimate of approximately $32.25 per share.ナラティブの更新 • Nov 23
GEO: Upcoming Contracts Will Significantly Boost Annual Revenue By 2026
Analysts have lowered their price target for GEO Group from $34.25 to $32.25. They cite revised estimates that reflect slower-than-expected growth, although there remains continued optimism around new contract opportunities and segment performance.分析記事 • Nov 14
GEO Group's (NYSE:GEO) Solid Profits Have Weak Fundamentals
Last week's profit announcement from The GEO Group, Inc. ( NYSE:GEO ) was underwhelming for investors, despite headline...ナラティブの更新 • Nov 08
GEO: New Contracts Will Drive Annualized Revenue Past $3 Billion
Analysts have lowered their price target for GEO Group from $39 to $34.25 per share, citing slower-than-expected revenue growth and profit margins based on recent research updates. However, they remain optimistic about the company's long-term opportunities.ナラティブの更新 • Sep 04
Federal Funding Will Expand ICE Facility Activations
Analyst sentiment on GEO Group is mixed, with bulls citing favorable immigration policy momentum and likely funding increases while bears flag slower growth in alternatives to detention, resulting in the consensus price target holding steady at $39.00. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts expect significant demand tailwinds for GEO Group due to major U.S. immigration policy proposals, including anticipated funding increases for detention and monitoring services.分析記事 • Aug 08
Earnings Beat: The GEO Group, Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models
The GEO Group, Inc. ( NYSE:GEO ) just released its second-quarter report and things are looking bullish. It was overall...分析記事 • Jul 10
GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to...分析記事 • Jun 22
Investors Will Want GEO Group's (NYSE:GEO) Growth In ROCE To Persist
If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...分析記事 • May 14
Investors Can Find Comfort In GEO Group's (NYSE:GEO) Earnings Quality
The GEO Group, Inc.'s ( NYSE:GEO ) earnings announcement last week didn't impress shareholders. Despite the soft profit...分析記事 • Apr 27
The GEO Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:GEO) Business Is Yet to Catch Up With Its Share Price
The GEO Group, Inc.'s ( NYSE:GEO ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.8x may not look like an appealing investment...分析記事 • Mar 22
GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Is Experiencing Growth In Returns On Capital
What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term...Seeking Alpha • Mar 21
The GEO Group: The Stock Has Re-Priced And No Longer Offers Attractive Risk/Reward
Summary GEO Group's EBITDA declined in 2024, and missed my expectations. Refinancing in April 2024 lowered interest expenses but increased share count by 15%, diluting stock value. The market cap is $3.6 billion with an EV/EBITDA ratio over 11x, making the stock overvalued compared to my initial target. The stock no longer offers favorable risk/reward, as it missed EBITDA expectations and has a higher share count. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha分析記事 • Mar 04
The GEO Group, Inc. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models
It's been a good week for The GEO Group, Inc. ( NYSE:GEO ) shareholders, because the company has just released its...分析記事 • Feb 25
These 4 Measures Indicate That GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Is Using Debt Extensively
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Seeking Alpha • Feb 10
GEO Group: Shares Have Gotten Ahead Of Growth Potential
Summary GEO Group's stock surged post-Trump election but has eased back down recently. Financial stability is evident with $166 million free cash flow in YTD 2024, despite a slight decline from the previous year. Debt reduction commitment is strong, with plans to cut $150-$175 million annually, enhancing earnings and potential future dividends. Earnings growth through government contracts and debt reduction is likely, but 2025 earnings are estimated at $1.20 per share, suggesting patience for better pricing. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha分析記事 • Jan 18
The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO) Stock Rockets 34% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected
The GEO Group, Inc. ( NYSE:GEO ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 34% gain in the last month alone...Seeking Alpha • Jan 13
The GEO Group: Further Upside Potential From Trump's Immigration Policy
Summary In Q3 2024, The GEO Group posted flat revenue growth and generated $603 million in revenues. Margins showed varied trends, with operating margin deteriorating to 18.91% but net income margin improving to 4.31%. GEO may be in a position to support a possible increase in demand coming from any changes in immigration policy. Investors should not expect capital returns from share repurchases or dividends, as the company remains focus on deleveraging. Additionally, capacity expansion to meet demand may also affect cash liquidity. Despite GEO stock's recent rally, valuation analysis suggests that there's a potential upside of between 29.94% and 45.74% for investors to capitalize on. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha分析記事 • Dec 31
When Should You Buy The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO)?
While The GEO Group, Inc. ( NYSE:GEO ) might not have the largest market cap around , it led the NYSE gainers with a...分析記事 • Dec 16
We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At GEO Group (NYSE:GEO)
Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Amongst other things...分析記事 • Dec 04
Are Investors Undervaluing The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO) By 31%?
Key Insights GEO Group's estimated fair value is US$38.92 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity GEO Group's...分析記事 • Oct 29
The GEO Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:GEO) P/E Is Still On The Mark Following 28% Share Price Bounce
The GEO Group, Inc. ( NYSE:GEO ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 28% after a shaky period...Seeking Alpha • Oct 24
GEO Group: Financial Deterioration Amid Debt Reduction Focus
Summary In 2024, GEO Group's revenue grew by 2%, driven by new contracts, despite a decline in electronic monitoring revenue and deteriorating operating margins. The potential expansion of ICE's detention beds and mandatory GPS monitoring could significantly boost GEO Group's revenue, pending congressional approval. Ultimately, the company's financial performance has been deteriorating and shows no signs of abating. Both operating margin and FCF margin have declined considerably. Valuation analysis suggests that GEO is fairly priced. There is a huge upside potential exists if the company is able to improve its growth and optimize its margins. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
新しいナラティブ • Sep 12
Calculated Contracts And Legislative Developments Fuel Growth In Managed Services And Tech Solutions
New contracts with ICE and in Australia are poised to drive revenue growth in the managed-only segment from increased contract activations.株主還元
| GEO | US Commercial Services | US 市場 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 15.6% | 3.7% | -3.3% |
| 1Y | 0.3% | -13.7% | 22.3% |
業界別リターン: GEO過去 1 年間で-13.7 % の収益を上げたUS Commercial Services業界を上回りました。
リターン対市場: GEOは、過去 1 年間で22.3 % のリターンを上げたUS市場を下回りました。
価格変動
| GEO volatility | |
|---|---|
| GEO Average Weekly Movement | 8.0% |
| Commercial Services Industry Average Movement | 8.0% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.6% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.1% |
安定した株価: GEO 、 US市場と比較して、過去 3 か月間で大きな価格変動はありませんでした。
時間の経過による変動: GEOの 週次ボラティリティ ( 8% ) は過去 1 年間安定しています。
会社概要
| 設立 | 従業員 | CEO（最高経営責任者 | ウェブサイト |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1984 | 18,000 | George Zoley | www.geogroup.com |
GEOグループは、米国、オーストラリア、南アフリカ、英国において、安全な施設、処理センター、地域社会復帰センターの設計、融資、開発、サポートサービスを専門とする、多角的な政府サービスの大手プロバイダーである。ゲオの多様なサービスには、受賞歴のあるGEO Continuum of Care、安全な輸送、電子監視、地域密着型プログラム、矯正医療と精神医療を通じた、刑務所内でのリハビリテーションと出所後のサポートの強化が含まれる。ゲオの世界的な事業には、遊休施設や開発中のプロジェクトを含む、合計約75,000床の95施設の所有および／または支援サービスの提供が含まれ、最大約20,000人の従業員が働いている。ゲオグループは1984年に設立され、米国ボカラトンに本社を置いている。
The GEO Group, Inc. 基礎のまとめ
| GEO 基礎統計学 | |
|---|---|
| 時価総額 | US$3.50b |
| 収益（TTM） | US$273.15m |
| 売上高(TTM) | US$2.73b |
13.0x
PER（株価収益率1.3x
P/SレシオGEO は割高か？
公正価値と評価分析を参照収益と収入
| GEO 損益計算書（TTM） | |
|---|---|
| 収益 | US$2.73b |
| 売上原価 | US$2.04b |
| 売上総利益 | US$695.90m |
| その他の費用 | US$422.76m |
| 収益 | US$273.15m |
直近の収益報告
Mar 31, 2026
次回決算日
該当なし
| 一株当たり利益（EPS） | 2.08 |
| グロス・マージン | 25.47% |
| 純利益率 | 10.00% |
| 有利子負債／自己資本比率 | 106.3% |
GEO の長期的なパフォーマンスは？
過去の実績と比較を見る企業分析と財務データの現状
| データ | 最終更新日（UTC時間） |
|---|---|
| 企業分析 | 2026/06/09 08:26 |
| 終値 | 2026/06/09 00:00 |
| 収益 | 2026/03/31 |
| 年間収益 | 2025/12/31 |
データソース
企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。
| パッケージ | データ | タイムフレーム | 米国ソース例 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 会社財務 | 10年 |
| |
| アナリストのコンセンサス予想 | +プラス3年 |
|
|
| 市場価格 | 30年 |
| |
| 所有権 | 10年 |
| |
| マネジメント | 10年 |
| |
| 主な進展 | 10年 |
|
* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。
特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。
分析モデルとスノーフレーク
本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドやYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。
シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。
業界およびセクターの指標
私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。
アナリスト筋
The GEO Group, Inc. 4 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。14
| アナリスト | 機関 |
|---|---|
| Manav Patnaik | Barclays |
| Ryan Meliker | Canaccord Genuity |
| Tan Wei | Deutsche Bank |