XPeng Inc.

NYSE:XPEV 株式レポート

時価総額：US$14.9b

XPeng 将来の成長

Future 基準チェック /46

XPeng利益と収益がそれぞれ年間47%と15.4%増加すると予測されています。EPS は年間 増加すると予想されています。自己資本利益率は 3 年後に12.3% 49.2%なると予測されています。

主要情報

47.0%

収益成長率

49.16%

EPS成長率

Auto 収益成長37.0%
収益成長率15.4%
将来の株主資本利益率12.29%
アナリストカバレッジ

Good

最終更新日11 May 2026

今後の成長に関する最新情報

Recent updates

ナラティブの更新 • May 12

XPEV: 2026 Delivery Execution Risks Will Temper Intelligent Driving And Expansion Hopes

XPeng's analyst fair value estimate has shifted from $16.15 to $15.07 as analysts factor in more cautious views from several recent downgrades and target cuts, while some still highlight the company's product and technology strengths. Analyst Commentary Recent research has leaned more cautious on XPeng, with several bearish analysts cutting price targets or downgrading ratings, while a smaller group highlights product and technology strengths such as intelligent driving systems.
Seeking Alpha • Apr 24

XPeng: Near-Term Growth Pains Meet Solid, Diversified Prospects - Reiterate Buy

Summary XPeng faces near-term delivery and margin headwinds from changing EV regulations and elevated investment/capex guidance, with Q1'26 revenue and earnings likely to be soft. International expansion, autonomous driving, SaaS monetization, & ambitious robotics/flying car initiatives underpin its multi-pronged growth prospects, targeting multi-trillion dollar markets. XPEV trades at a compelling forward EV/Sales of 1.07x with a 3Y revenue growth at a CAGR of +21.5%, aided by the strong balance sheet and positive cash flows. Despite the intermediate term growth pains, I urge readers to focus on their long-term growth opportunities. XPEV remains a long-term winner, worth buying at every dip. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 20

XPEV: 2026 Delivery Uncertainty Will Outweigh Intelligent Driving Enthusiasm

XPeng's analyst price target has been adjusted slightly higher to align with a modestly raised fair value estimate of about $16.15, as analysts balance tempered revenue growth assumptions and a marginally higher discount rate with slightly better profit margin expectations and a small reduction in the assumed future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on XPeng has leaned cautious, with several bearish analysts trimming price targets and cutting ratings, while only a few are modestly more constructive on the shares.
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 05

XPEV: 2026 Volume Ambitions Will Face Mounting Execution Doubts

XPeng’s updated fair value estimate has moved from about $17.05 to $16.03 as analysts reflect a lower blended price target following several recent target cuts and downgrades, partly offset by a smaller number of upward revisions tied to product and technology updates. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on XPeng reflects a split view, with several bearish analysts trimming price targets or issuing downgrades, while a smaller group highlights upside tied to product and technology developments.
ナラティブの更新 • Mar 22

XPEV: Global AI Driving Push And Overseas Expansion Will Test Execution

XPeng's updated analyst price target has inched higher to approximately $17.05 from about $17.02, as analysts balance recent target cuts and a downgrade with ongoing interest in the company's intelligent driving advances and new model initiatives. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on XPeng mixes enthusiasm for its intelligent driving technology with tempered views on valuation and execution.
新しいナラティブ • Mar 19

XPeng Inc. (XPEV): The AI-Mobility Pivot and the "Profitability Milestone"

XPeng (XPEV) is currently at the center of the "Great EV Shakeout," with all eyes on its upcoming Q4 2025 earnings report scheduled for tomorrow, March 20, 2026. The stock closed today, March 19, at $19.16 USD , gaining 2.08% as investors position themselves for what Wall Street expects to be the company’s first-ever quarterly profit.
ナラティブの更新 • Mar 07

XPEV: Global Expansion And AI Vehicle Rollout Will Test Execution And Pricing

XPeng's analyst fair value estimate has inched down by about $0.03 to $17.02, as analysts factor in a series of reduced price targets from several firms alongside mixed views on growth, margins, and upcoming guidance, partially balanced by at least one more optimistic upgrade. Analyst Commentary Recent research has tilted more cautious, with several bearish analysts trimming their price targets on XPeng as they reassess the balance between execution risks and the current valuation.
ナラティブの更新 • Feb 20

XPEV: Global Expansion And Robotaxi Optionality Will Test Execution And Repricing

Analysts have trimmed their average price target on XPeng to about $17 from roughly $18.80, reflecting a lower assumed future P/E multiple, even as they factor in slightly higher revenue growth and profit margins supported by recent research on the Mona sub brand and premium vehicle pricing. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on XPeng points to a more cautious tone, with several bearish analysts cutting price targets even as some highlight operational progress and product expansion.
ナラティブの更新 • Feb 06

XPEV: Future Robotaxi And Robotics Optionality May Drive Re-Rating

XPeng's updated fair value estimate edges up to US$18.81 from US$18.24 as analysts factor in stronger projected revenue growth, higher profit margins and a lower assumed discount rate, even as some recent price targets on the stock have been revised and others raised on product and new business initiatives. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on XPeng sends a mixed message, with some firms lifting targets and ratings while others trim expectations.
ナラティブの更新 • Jan 23

XPEV: Robotaxis And Physical AI Will Drive Future Upside Potential

XPeng's updated analyst price target edges slightly lower to US$28.16 from US$28.24, as analysts factor in modestly softer revenue growth assumptions, a smaller discount rate, improved profit margin expectations, and a lower future P/E multiple aligned with recent mixed guidance and product pipeline updates. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on XPeng shows a wide range of views, with some bullish analysts lifting targets sharply on product and AI progress, while more cautious voices focus on execution risks and guidance.
ナラティブの更新 • Jan 09

XPEV: AI Robotaxis And Physical AI Will Shape Future Mobility Upside

XPeng's analyst fair value estimate is now essentially unchanged at about $40.56, as analysts balance more cautious assumptions on revenue growth and margins with higher assumed future P/E multiples. These are supported by recent price target increases tied to performance trends, new model launches and emerging opportunities in areas like robotaxis and "Physical AI" applications.
ナラティブの更新 • Dec 26

XPEV: AI Robotaxis Will Drive Future Mobility Upside Narrative

The analyst price target for XPeng has been modestly increased by approximately $0.19 as analysts factor in stronger long term revenue growth and profit margin prospects, supported by rising volume forecasts, AI enabled model launches, and incremental opportunities in robotaxis and robotics. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have turned increasingly constructive on XPeng, pointing to expanding total addressable markets, stronger than expected AI capabilities, and improving long term delivery trajectories as key drivers of upside to the equity story.
ナラティブの更新 • Dec 12

XPEV AI Robotaxis Will Drive Long Term Mobility Upside

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for XPeng to about $40.51 from $33.26. This reflects increased confidence in long term profitability and new total addressable market opportunities from AI enabled models, robotaxis, and robotics, despite slightly moderated near term growth assumptions.
ナラティブの更新 • Nov 28

XPEV: International Expansion And Robotaxi Launches Will Drive Upside Despite Recall Hurdles

XPeng's analyst price target has increased from $26.95 to $28.24 per share, as analysts cite stronger future profit margins and expanding opportunities in AI-driven mobility solutions. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst updates reflect diverging perspectives on XPeng's outlook, with both bullish and cautious views surfacing around the company's strategic direction and growth potential.
ナラティブの更新 • Nov 13

XPEV: New Model Launches And Supply Chain Progress Will Balance Recall Challenges

XPeng's analyst price target has increased modestly from $26.49 to $26.95 per share, as analysts cite slight lifts in volume and revenue estimates following recent product updates and improved guidance. Analyst Commentary Analyst sentiment on XPeng remains mixed, with several firms recently updating their price targets or ratings in response to company developments and broader industry factors.
分析記事 • Nov 12

Market Participants Recognise XPeng Inc.'s (NYSE:XPEV) Revenues Pushing Shares 34% Higher

XPeng Inc. ( NYSE:XPEV ) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 34% share price jump in the last month...
ナラティブの更新 • Oct 29

International Expansion And Margin Improvement Will Drive Long-Term Profit Prospects

XPeng’s analyst price target has been modestly increased from $26.29 to $26.49. This adjustment is driven by improved vehicle margins and a resilient outlook for net profit despite near-term challenges, according to analysts.
ナラティブの更新 • Aug 30

Proprietary AI And International Expansion Will Advance Autonomous Mobility

XPeng's consensus price target increased modestly to $26.43, reflecting analysts' optimism on improved vehicle margins, higher volume forecasts from new model launches, and recent earnings outperformance. Analyst Commentary Improvement in vehicle margin driven by better product mix, supply chain optimization, and economies of scale.
分析記事 • Aug 27

XPeng Inc. (NYSE:XPEV) Looks Just Right With A 28% Price Jump

XPeng Inc. ( NYSE:XPEV ) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 28% share price jump in the last month...
分析記事 • Aug 21

Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For XPeng Inc. (NYSE:XPEV) After Its Second-Quarter Results

XPeng Inc. ( NYSE:XPEV ) came out with its quarterly results last week, and we wanted to see how the business is...
分析記事 • May 22

Can XPeng's Record Deliveries and Tech Advancements Reshape Its Investment Thesis?

XPeng's positive earnings report and improved delivery figures marked significant operational improvements, resulting in a noteworthy reduction in net loss. The announcement of surpassing vehicle delivery guidance and setting record gross margins highlighted strong market performance and future growth potential. The implications of XPeng's recent performance improvements on AI and automotive investments will shape their evolving investment narrative.
Seeking Alpha • Apr 21

XPeng Almost A Buy,  But Hold On Expansion Slowdown

Summary XPeng (XPEV) remains a "Hold" due to potential long-term gains despite recent momentum loss; suitable for investors with risk tolerance and willingness to buy on dips. Financials show promise with improving gross margins, but profitability remains a concern amid a competitive EV market. Risks include price wars, tariff impacts, and China's economic slowdown, - strategic partnerships and tech advancements provide a competitive edge. Valuation, despite contraction, appears to have valued in the tech edge; if you consider short-term downside due to international expansion slowdown. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 19

XPeng: Growth And Margin Upside

Summary XPeng's strong Q4'24 performance, supported by Mona M03 deliveries, led to a 52% year-over-year increase in delivery volume. Despite improving vehicle margins, XPeng's valuation remains high compared to rivals like Li Auto, which offers higher margins and a lower price-to-revenue ratio. XPeng's growth in low-cost EV deliveries is promising, but Li Auto and BYD present more attractive risk-return profiles due to higher margins and profitability. XPeng submitted a strong delivery outlook for Q1'25. Deliveries should continue to grow after Q1 when delivery volumes normalized after the Chinese New Year holidays. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 11

XPeng Earnings Preview: Stock Value Rising On A Key Breakthrough Bet

Summary XPeng Inc. has seen a 99% stock increase in 2025, driven by potential breakthroughs in FY 2024 earnings due on March 18. Despite flat vehicle sales, higher average selling prices and reduced costs have led to a significant reduction in net loss relative to revenue. Investor conviction in XPeng is stronger in Hong Kong, with daily traded volumes 2.3 times higher than in the U.S. in 2025. Future growth hinges on profitability in the upcoming earnings release and the feasibility of ambitious projects such as humanoid robots and flying vehicles. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 13

XPeng: On The Road To Profitability, But BYD's Free ADAS May Hit The Brakes

Summary I initiated coverage on XPeng with a Hold rating after a 7% drop driven by BYD’s free ADAS announcement, raising concerns on margins and pricing strategy. I see growing institutional interest and options market optimism, but I remain cautious as competitive pricing from BYD and others could pressure profits. EV delivery growth and improving margins show positive improvements, yet the bull run may slow if management follows BYD's strategy in a race to the bottom in terms of profitability. I prefer waiting until the next earnings Q&A to see if XPeng avoids a pricing war and meets its path to break even by late 2025. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 03

XPeng: Positive Outlook Backed By Robust Deliveries Growth

Summary I maintain a “Buy” rating on XPeng due to expected deliveries growth and improved fundamentals driven by expansionary policies in 2025. XPeng's Q3 2024 results showed a 16.3% increase in vehicle deliveries and positive gross and vehicle margins, indicating strong operational performance. XPEV's robust cash buffer of $5.09 billion supports aggressive expansion plans, including entering 60 markets and launching four new models in 2025. Despite operating losses, XPeng's technological advancements and focus on AI-driven smart car technology position it well for future growth and market penetration. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Nov 22

Don't Miss This Emerging Risk From XPeng's Q3 2024 Earnings

Summary XPeng Inc.'s eye-watering rally since August was dampened after the company reported a tempered sales outlook for Q4 this week. Despite optimism for accelerating volume growth, the comparatively softer strength in XPeng's revenue prospects highlights imminent ASP pressures. Looking ahead, the introduction of four new models next year, alongside the implementation of an EREV strategy, is likely to reduce visibility on its longer-term fundamental trajectory. The related execution risks remain underappreciated at current levels, and will likely diminish the durability of XPEV's valuation premium over its comparable Chinese EV peers in the near-term. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
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新しいナラティブ • Nov 19

AI-Driven Innovation And Global Expansion Propel Future Growth For The Auto Industry Pioneer

Investment in AI and new energy vehicle technology aims to enhance product experience, driving revenue and profitability through innovation and market expansion.
Seeking Alpha • Oct 18

XPeng: The Pullback Is Almost Complete - Nearing The Buy Zone

Summary XPeng has demonstrated its successful turnaround through growing profit margins along with the robust mass market model sales in September 2024. With a rich balance sheet, we believe that the automaker remains well positioned to grow its presence globally before the supposed break even point by the end of 2025. At the same time, readers must not forget XPEV's well diversified capabilities across the XNGP ADAS platform and the flying car, boosting its long-term growth prospects. Even so, with the recent rally overly fast/furious and traders already taking their gains off the table, interested investors may want to wait for the pullback to be completed. Given the numerous risks arising from its global expansion, Chinese ADR status, and import tariffs, XPEV is also not for the faint-hearted. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Oct 10

XPeng: Cautious Optimism Backed By Aggressive Global Expansion

Summary Initiating coverage on XPeng stock with a "Buy" rating and a 24-month horizon with the possibility of growth acceleration and narrowing of EBITDA level losses. XPeng's low-priced MONA MO3 EV targets a significant market, supporting sales growth despite potential margin compression, with encouraging initial response. Aggressive international expansion, particularly in Europe, and strategic partnerships, such as with Volkswagen, are key growth catalysts for XPeng. XPeng's financials show improving vehicle margins and a strong cash buffer, with potential for positive free cash flows and significant upside in 2025 and beyond. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 11

XPeng: Inferior EV Investment Choice

Summary XPeng's Q2 vehicle margins improved marginally, but they still lag behind NIO and Li Auto, making it a less attractive investment choice. XPeng's vehicle margin of 6.4% is significantly lower than Li Auto's vehicle margin of 18.7% and NIO's 12.2% margin, highlighting its profitability challenges. XPeng's Q3 delivery outlook remains weak, with projected growth of only 2.5% to 12.5% year-over-year. XPeng's higher price-to-revenue ratio compared to more profitable rivals like Li Auto makes it a riskier investment in the Chinese EV market. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Aug 28

XPeng Stock Should Get A Boost From ADAS Advances, Increased Exports, New EVs

Summary XPeng reported impressive Q2 results, with its deliveries up 30% versus Q2 of 2023 and its revenue climbing 60% year-over-year. XPeng's ADAS improvements make it a leader in the industry. The automaker has plans to deploy high-level ADAS in affordable vehicles. XPeng's export growth and new EV models, along with its low valuation, position it well for future success despite its tough competition and significant risks. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

業績と収益の成長予測

NYSE:XPEV - アナリストの将来予測と過去の財務データ ( )CNY Millions
日付収益収益フリー・キャッシュフロー営業活動によるキャッシュ平均アナリスト数
12/31/2028134,0774,3366,38710,20722
12/31/2027119,1183,3618,05110,03129
12/31/202693,728-1,1805,2557,42727
12/31/202576,720-1,1394,9118,259N/A
9/30/202570,571-2,853N/AN/AN/A
6/30/202560,292-4,279N/AN/AN/A
3/31/202550,129-5,086N/AN/AN/A
12/31/202440,866-5,790-4,440-2,012N/A
9/30/202437,812-5,808N/AN/AN/A
6/30/202436,239-7,887N/AN/AN/A
3/31/202433,191-9,407N/AN/AN/A
12/31/202330,676-10,376-1,865956N/A
9/30/202322,766-11,389N/AN/AN/A
6/30/202321,060-9,879-15,894-12,168N/A
3/31/202323,434-9,775N/AN/AN/A
12/31/202226,855-9,139-12,912-8,232N/A
9/30/202230,271-8,065N/AN/AN/A
6/30/202229,167-7,284N/AN/AN/A
3/31/202225,492-5,777N/AN/AN/A
12/31/202120,988-4,863-5,436-1,095N/A
9/30/202115,283-4,363N/AN/AN/A
6/30/202111,554-4,794N/AN/AN/A
3/31/20218,383-4,741-1,331-17N/A
12/31/20205,844-4,890-1,502-140N/A
9/30/20203,633-5,457-2,338-922N/A
6/30/20202,093-4,414-4,592-3,201N/A
3/31/20202,118-4,425-5,181-3,469N/A
12/31/20192,321-4,643-5,571-3,563N/A
12/31/201810-2,255N/A-1,573N/A

アナリストによる今後の成長予測

収入対貯蓄率: XPEVは今後 3 年間で収益性が向上すると予測されており、これは 貯蓄率 ( 3.5% ) よりも高い成長率であると考えられます。

収益対市場: XPEV今後 3 年間で収益性が向上すると予想されており、これは市場平均を上回る成長と考えられます。

高成長収益: XPEV今後 3 年以内に収益を上げることが予想されます。

収益対市場: XPEVの収益 ( 15.4% ) US市場 ( 11.7% ) よりも速いペースで成長すると予測されています。

高い収益成長: XPEVの収益 ( 15.4% ) 20%よりも低い成長が予測されています。

一株当たり利益成長率予想

将来の株主資本利益率

将来のROE: XPEVの 自己資本利益率 は、3年後には低くなると予測されています ( 12.3 %)。

成長企業の発掘

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

企業分析と財務データの現状

データ最終更新日（UTC時間）
企業分析2026/05/17 17:08
終値2026/05/15 00:00
収益2025/12/31
年間収益2025/12/31

データソース

企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。

パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例
会社財務10年
  • 損益計算書
  • キャッシュ・フロー計算書
  • 貸借対照表
アナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年
  • 予想財務
  • アナリストの目標株価
市場価格30年
  • 株価
  • 配当、分割、措置
所有権10年
  • トップ株主
  • インサイダー取引
マネジメント10年
  • リーダーシップ・チーム
  • 取締役会
主な進展10年
  • 会社からのお知らせ

* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。

特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。

分析モデルとスノーフレーク

本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドやYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。

シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。

業界およびセクターの指標

私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。

アナリスト筋

XPeng Inc. 29 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。51

アナリスト機関
Jiong ShaoBarclays
Yuet LeeBernstein
James KanBNP Paribas