COVER Corporation

TSE:5253 株式レポート

時価総額:JP¥115.5b

COVER 将来の成長

Future 基準チェック /56

COVER利益と収益がそれぞれ年間29.7%と11.7%増加すると予測されています。EPS は年間 増加すると予想されています。自己資本利益率は 3 年後に24.4% 30.1%なると予測されています。

主要情報

29.7%

収益成長率

30.05%

EPS成長率

Entertainment 収益成長6.6%
収益成長率11.7%
将来の株主資本利益率24.40%
アナリストカバレッジ

Good

最終更新日14 May 2026

今後の成長に関する最新情報

Recent updates

分析記事 May 22

Some Investors May Be Willing To Look Past COVER's (TSE:5253) Soft Earnings

COVER Corporation's ( TSE:5253 ) recent soft profit numbers didn't appear to worry shareholders, as the stock price...
ナラティブの更新 May 21

(Reissued due to editing errors in previous update)

(Fair Value adjusted to 13%, matching in-line with company Net Revenue forecast and accounting for a conservative outlook due to current headwinds.) Multi-model Intrinsic Value estimates: EPV: ¥1291 EV/EBITDA (Relative): ¥1480 P/E (Relative): ¥1150 DCF - EBITDA Exit: ¥2280 DCF - Growth Exit: ¥3640 Major headwinds: Rebounding by salvaging applicable technology from HoloEarth Reallocation of resources, staff or evaluation of necessary workforce reduction SG&A Continues to grow as management believes more talent managers and support staff or needed to make their talent more productive. Several new labor laws and standards came into effect in 2026 directly affecting Entrusted Business Operators (AKA the talent/VTubers) - These laws require companies be in compliance and in some cases, significantly their signed agreements which can significantly affect future terms and agreements made with the company.
ナラティブの更新 May 18

Large 1 time write downs clears FY27 and F28 for refocused direction

(Fair Value adjusted to 13%, matching in-line with company Net Revenue forecast and accounting for a conservative outlook due to current headwinds.) Multi-model Intrinsic Value estimates: EPV: ¥1291 EV/EBITDA (Relative): ¥1480 P/E (Relative): ¥1150 DCF - EBITDA Exit: ¥2280 DCF - Growth Exit: ¥3640 Major headwinds: Rebounding by salvaging applicable technology from HoloEarth Reallocation of resources, staff or evaluation of necessary workforce reduction SG&A Continues to grow as management believes more talent managers and support staff or needed to make their talent more productive. Several new labor laws and standards came into effect in 2026 directly affecting Entrusted Business Operators (AKA the talent/VTubers) - These laws require companies be in compliance and in some cases, significantly their signed agreements which can significantly affect future terms and agreements made with the company.
新しいナラティブ May 14

Significant headwinds will temper expectations for FY2027

12-month forecast for 2026-2027: 1150-1480 Yen a share DCF 5 year Exit forecast: 2280-3640 Yen a share Cover Corporation's annual fiscal report was soul crushing as missteps from management, wasted production time and unfocused effort all led to a significant amount of waste in workloads and investment potential. Cover's "Metaverse" project with HoloEarth is officially dead in the water and will be discontinued after spending over 3 Billion Yen in development/support costs over the past 2 1/2 years.
ナラティブの更新 Apr 28

Trading Multiple Forecast shows decreased Faire Value

Current P/E models project Cover Corporation's fair price at approximately 1466 JPY with a 6.6% upside. EV / EBITDA models are bearish with Cover's fair price at current levels hovering 1333 to 1376 JPY with a -3.1% upside.
ナラティブの更新 Apr 04

Margin compression will persist through FY 2028

*Effects of joint venture between Cover Corporation and NERD Inc expected to add margin compression no greater than 9% but worth watching given current spending levels.* News and statements made over the past 7 days have raised news doubts regarding the sticker price of Cover Corporation over the next 2-5 years. With new Japanese laws implemented in 2026 upending overwhelming control between talent and company, combined with the joint venture announcement between Cover and private talent management agency NERD Inc., the blindsiding announcement related to their male talent group "Holostars" shortly after the beginning of their new fiscal year shows a winding down of current contracts and expected exits sans further announcements over transition or control of management to a similar joint venture company or agency.
ナラティブの更新 Feb 12

Mixed signals; potential hints of year end miss

Q3 delivered a mixed result picture with increased foreshadowing of risk over the next 6 weeks. Total revenue fell short of analyst forecasts while forecasted EPS beat its target.
ナラティブの更新 Jan 09

Price cliff ahead! Watch the short selling

Price (Valuation): unchanged Rationale: Valuation update " Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 26%" is severely misleading. Updated "Investor sentiment" is from major short selling ahead of Cover Corporation's Q3 report.
ナラティブの更新 Jan 08

Q3 Déjà vu?

Current short term "Fair Value" price maintained at 1.72k. Long term Fair Value and price forecast will depend on the results from their Q3 report.
ナラティブの更新 Dec 20

Cover approaching critical Q3 report

Cover continues to lavishly spend while failing to produce any trackable data involving current live services still under development (ie. HoloEarth, Hololive RECORDS, and their (third) attempt at a "Fanclub" premium service).
分析記事 Nov 20

There Are Some Holes In COVER's (TSE:5253) Solid Earnings Release

Investors appear disappointed with COVER Corporation's ( TSE:5253 ) recent earnings, despite the decent statutory...
分析記事 Jun 12

Here's Why We Think COVER (TSE:5253) Might Deserve Your Attention Today

For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to...
分析記事 May 21

COVER's (TSE:5253) Earnings Are Built On Soft Foundations

Investors appear disappointed with COVER Corporation's ( TSE:5253 ) recent earnings, despite the decent statutory...
分析記事 Apr 30

Capital Investments At COVER (TSE:5253) Point To A Promising Future

There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Firstly, we'll want to see a...
分析記事 Apr 08

What You Can Learn From COVER Corporation's (TSE:5253) P/E After Its 25% Share Price Crash

COVER Corporation ( TSE:5253 ) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 25...
分析記事 Nov 19

We Think You Should Be Aware Of Some Concerning Factors In COVER's (TSE:5253) Earnings

Following the solid earnings report from COVER Corporation ( TSE:5253 ), the market responded by bidding up the stock...
分析記事 Aug 12

The Price Is Right For COVER Corporation (TSE:5253) Even After Diving 29%

COVER Corporation ( TSE:5253 ) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month...
分析記事 Jun 24

COVER Corporation's (TSE:5253) P/E Is Still On The Mark Following 31% Share Price Bounce

Those holding COVER Corporation ( TSE:5253 ) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 31% in the...
分析記事 May 14

With EPS Growth And More, COVER (TSE:5253) Makes An Interesting Case

For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to...
分析記事 Apr 21

Why We're Not Concerned Yet About COVER Corporation's (TSE:5253) 26% Share Price Plunge

COVER Corporation ( TSE:5253 ) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 26...
分析記事 Apr 16

COVER Corporation's (TSE:5253) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 68% Above Its Share Price

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, COVER fair value estimate is JP¥3,193 COVER's JP¥1,905 share...
分析記事 Mar 07

COVER Corporation's (TSE:5253) Share Price Matching Investor Opinion

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 38.1x COVER Corporation ( TSE:5253 ) may be sending very bearish signals...

業績と収益の成長予測

TSE:5253 - アナリストの将来予測と過去の財務データ ( )JPY Millions
日付収益収益フリー・キャッシュフロー営業活動によるキャッシュ平均アナリスト数
3/31/202968,0009,9009,50012,6001
3/31/202867,2858,8407,79711,0106
3/31/202755,5356,7726,0008,9373
3/31/202649,3303,0164,6697,204N/A
12/31/202549,2195,709N/AN/AN/A
9/30/202548,0515,4382,8025,335N/A
6/30/202546,6145,632N/AN/AN/A
3/31/202543,4015,5592,8105,285N/A
12/31/202439,8045,289N/AN/AN/A
9/30/202434,9944,6002,7314,881N/A
6/30/202431,4404,136N/AN/AN/A
3/31/202430,1664,1371,0694,765N/A
12/31/202326,8743,852N/AN/AN/A
3/31/202320,4512,5082,5044,866N/A
3/31/202213,6631,244N/AN/AN/A
3/31/20215,7241,220N/AN/AN/A

アナリストによる今後の成長予測

収入対貯蓄率: 5253の予測収益成長率 (年間29.7% ) は 貯蓄率 ( 0.8% ) を上回っています。

収益対市場: 5253の収益 ( 29.7% ) はJP市場 ( 8.7% ) よりも速いペースで成長すると予測されています。

高成長収益: 5253の収益は今後 3 年間で 大幅に 増加すると予想されています。

収益対市場: 5253の収益 ( 11.7% ) JP市場 ( 5.4% ) よりも速いペースで成長すると予測されています。

高い収益成長: 5253の収益 ( 11.7% ) 20%よりも低い成長が予測されています。


一株当たり利益成長率予想


将来の株主資本利益率

将来のROE: 5253の 自己資本利益率 は、3年後には高くなると予測されています ( 24.4 %)


成長企業の発掘

企業分析と財務データの現状

データ最終更新日(UTC時間)
企業分析2026/05/24 01:50
終値2026/05/22 00:00
収益2026/03/31
年間収益2026/03/31

データソース

企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。

パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例
会社財務10年
  • 損益計算書
  • キャッシュ・フロー計算書
  • 貸借対照表
アナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年
  • 予想財務
  • アナリストの目標株価
市場価格30年
  • 株価
  • 配当、分割、措置
所有権10年
  • トップ株主
  • インサイダー取引
マネジメント10年
  • リーダーシップ・チーム
  • 取締役会
主な進展10年
  • 会社からのお知らせ

* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用

特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM(Trailing Twelve Month)またはLTM(Last Twelve Month)データとして知られています。詳細はこちら

分析モデルとスノーフレーク

本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。

シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。

業界およびセクターの指標

私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。

アナリスト筋

COVER Corporation 6 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。9

アナリスト機関
Kazuki SakaguchiDaiwa Securities Co. Ltd.
Norihiro MiyazakiGoldman Sachs
Yasuyoshi MimuraIchiyoshi Research Institute Inc.