View ValuationAquafil 将来の成長Future 基準チェック /36Aquafil利益と収益がそれぞれ年間64.4%と4%増加すると予測されています。EPS は年間 増加すると予想されています。自己資本利益率は 3 年後に12.8% 72.3%なると予測されています。主要情報64.4%収益成長率72.32%EPS成長率Luxury 収益成長13.1%収益成長率4.0%将来の株主資本利益率12.80%アナリストカバレッジLow最終更新日05 May 2026今後の成長に関する最新情報Price Target Changed • Nov 27Price target decreased by 12% to €1.85Down from €2.10, the current price target is an average from 2 analysts. New target price is 31% above last closing price of €1.41. Stock is up 16% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of €0.035 next year compared to a net loss per share of €0.30 last year.分析記事 • Mar 22Earnings Release: Here's Why Analysts Cut Their Aquafil S.p.A. (BIT:ECNL) Price Target To €2.10It's been a pretty great week for Aquafil S.p.A. ( BIT:ECNL ) shareholders, with its shares surging 15% to €1.42 in the...Price Target Changed • Jan 23Price target decreased by 23% to €3.30Down from €4.30, the current price target is an average from 2 analysts. New target price is 137% above last closing price of €1.39. Stock is down 57% over the past year. The company is forecast to post a net loss per share of €0.24 next year compared to a net loss per share of €0.51 last year.Major Estimate Revision • Mar 17Consensus EPS estimates fall by 240%The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2024 has been updated. 2024 expected loss increased from -€0.032 to -€0.11 per share. Revenue forecast unchanged at €606.5m. Luxury industry in Italy expected to see average net income growth of 23% next year. Consensus price target up from €4.30 to €4.45. Share price fell 3.6% to €3.08 over the past week.Major Estimate Revision • Dec 07Consensus EPS estimates fall by 27%The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2023 has deteriorated. 2023 revenue forecast decreased from €605.8m to €594.4m. Losses expected to increase from €0.37 per share to €0.47. Luxury industry in Italy expected to see average net income growth of 19% next year. Consensus price target of €4.30 unchanged from last update. Share price was steady at €2.93 over the past week.Major Estimate Revision • Nov 23Consensus EPS estimates fall by 58%The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2023 has been updated. 2023 expected loss increased from -€0.233 to -€0.369 per share. Revenue forecast unchanged at €605.8m. Luxury industry in Italy expected to see average net income growth of 19% next year. Consensus price target down from €5.15 to €4.30. Share price was steady at €2.78 over the past week.すべての更新を表示Recent updatesBuy Or Sell Opportunity • Mar 20Now 21% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 3.1% to €1.32. The fair value is estimated to be €1.67, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only.お知らせ • Mar 20Aquafil S.p.A., Annual General Meeting, Apr 28, 2026Aquafil S.p.A., Annual General Meeting, Apr 28, 2026, at 14:00 W. Europe Standard Time.Reported Earnings • Mar 15Full year 2025 earnings releasedFull year 2025 results: Revenue: €534.3m (down 1.7% from FY 2024). Net loss: €4.69m (loss narrowed 71% from FY 2024). Revenue is forecast to grow 5.8% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.6% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in Italy. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 56% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 37% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings.New Risk • Mar 13New major risk - Revenue and earnings growthEarnings have declined by 48% per year over the past 5 years. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If profits are declining over an extended period, then in most cases the share price will decline over time unless the company can turn around its fortunes. A trend of falling earnings can be very difficult to turn around. If the company is well already established it may also be a sign the company has matured and is in decline. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (1.0x net interest cover). Earnings have declined by 48% per year over the past 5 years.Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Mar 03Now 21% undervaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock has risen 2.6% to €1.40. The fair value is estimated to be €1.78, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has declined by 10% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company became loss making.お知らせ • Jan 09+ 3 more updatesAquafil S.p.A. to Report First Half, 2026 Results on Aug 27, 2026Aquafil S.p.A. announced that they will report first half, 2026 results on Aug 27, 2026Price Target Changed • Nov 27Price target decreased by 12% to €1.85Down from €2.10, the current price target is an average from 2 analysts. New target price is 31% above last closing price of €1.41. Stock is up 16% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of €0.035 next year compared to a net loss per share of €0.30 last year.分析記事 • Nov 18Aquafil S.p.A.'s (BIT:ECNL) Stock Retreats 25% But Revenues Haven't Escaped The Attention Of InvestorsAquafil S.p.A. ( BIT:ECNL ) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month...Reported Earnings • Nov 17Third quarter 2025 earnings releasedThird quarter 2025 results: €0.021 loss per share. Revenue: €123.6m (down 5.8% from 3Q 2024). Net loss: €1.80m (loss narrowed 32% from 3Q 2024). Revenue is forecast to grow 7.4% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.6% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in Italy.分析記事 • Oct 08Is Aquafil (BIT:ECNL) A Risky Investment?David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...分析記事 • Sep 02Aquafil S.p.A. (BIT:ECNL) Stocks Shoot Up 25% But Its P/S Still Looks ReasonableThe Aquafil S.p.A. ( BIT:ECNL ) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 25...Reported Earnings • Aug 31First half 2025 earnings released: EPS: €0.025 (vs €0.12 loss in 1H 2024)First half 2025 results: EPS: €0.025 (up from €0.12 loss in 1H 2024). Revenue: €282.0m (down 3.2% from 1H 2024). Net income: €2.22m (up €8.36m from 1H 2024). Profit margin: 0.8% (up from net loss in 1H 2024). Revenue is forecast to grow 6.5% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 7.2% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in Italy. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 39 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance.分析記事 • Aug 23Aquafil's (BIT:ECNL) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The BusinessWhat financial metrics can indicate to us that a company is maturing or even in decline? A business that's potentially...分析記事 • May 27Aquafil (BIT:ECNL) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered RiskySome say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...お知らせ • Mar 25Aquafil Breaks New Ground in Textile Recycling by Chemically Separating Elastic Fibers from NylonAfter more than ten years of relentless research and innovation, Aquafil has unveiled a breakthrough in textile recycling: the world’s first demonstration plant capable of chemically separating elastic fibers from nylon. This pioneering technology tackles one of the textile industry’s most complex challenges, opening the door to new possibilities in recycling and circularity, confirming Aquafil’s role at the forefront of responsible innovation. Now, with the launch of this pilot plant, lab successes have translated into real-world application: for the first time ever, elastic fibers can be effectively separated from nylon in blended fabrics. This is a game-changer for recycling notoriously difficult textile waste—particularly from sportswear and swimwear—where different fibers are tightly bound and nearly impossible to recover. For years, these composite textiles have been destined for landfills, despite containing valuable material that could be recycled. Aquafil’s breakthrough process has solved this challenge. By overcoming the fiber separation barrier, the company can now unlock the potential of materials that were once discarded. The next step? Refining and scaling the process to an industrial level in order to process impactful volumes of material. To support this, Aquafil has built a network of strategic partners to secure a steady supply of post-use materials and ensure the development of a robust, efficient recycling supply chain. The nylon recovered through this process will be regenerated at the ECONYL® plant, transforming waste into high-quality regenerated nylon ready for new textile applications—significantly reducing reliance on virgin resources and lowering the environmental footprint of the textile sector.分析記事 • Mar 22Earnings Release: Here's Why Analysts Cut Their Aquafil S.p.A. (BIT:ECNL) Price Target To €2.10It's been a pretty great week for Aquafil S.p.A. ( BIT:ECNL ) shareholders, with its shares surging 15% to €1.42 in the...Reported Earnings • Mar 20Full year 2024 earnings releasedFull year 2024 results: Revenue: €551.0m (down 3.6% from FY 2023). Net loss: €16.3m (loss narrowed 37% from FY 2023). Revenue is forecast to grow 6.2% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 8.1% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in Italy. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 49 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance.分析記事 • Feb 25Investors Still Waiting For A Pull Back In Aquafil S.p.A. (BIT:ECNL)It's not a stretch to say that Aquafil S.p.A.'s ( BIT:ECNL ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x right now seems...Price Target Changed • Jan 23Price target decreased by 23% to €3.30Down from €4.30, the current price target is an average from 2 analysts. New target price is 137% above last closing price of €1.39. Stock is down 57% over the past year. The company is forecast to post a net loss per share of €0.24 next year compared to a net loss per share of €0.51 last year.分析記事 • Jan 13Here's What's Concerning About Aquafil's (BIT:ECNL) Returns On CapitalIf you're looking at a mature business that's past the growth phase, what are some of the underlying trends that pop...お知らせ • Jan 08+ 3 more updatesAquafil S.p.A. to Report Q1, 2025 Results on May 15, 2025Aquafil S.p.A. announced that they will report Q1, 2025 results on May 15, 2025New Risk • Dec 19New major risk - Shareholder dilutionThe company's shareholders have been substantially diluted in the past year. Increase in shares outstanding: 73% This is considered a major risk. Shareholder dilution occurs when there is an increase in the number of shares on issue that is not proportionally distributed between all shareholders. Often due to the company raising equity capital or some options being converted into stock. All else being equal, if there are more shares outstanding then each existing share will be entitled to a lower proportion of the company's total earnings, thus reducing earnings per share (EPS). While dilution might not always result in lower EPS (like if the company is using the capital to fund an EPS accretive acquisition) in a lot cases it does, along with lower dividends per share and less voting power at shareholder meetings. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (0.1x net interest cover). Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (8.1% average weekly change). Dividend is not well covered by earnings and cash flows. Payout ratio: 167% Cash payout ratio: 93% Shareholders have been substantially diluted in the past year (73% increase in shares outstanding).分析記事 • Dec 16These 4 Measures Indicate That Aquafil (BIT:ECNL) Is Using Debt In A Risky WayLegendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...分析記事 • Nov 19With A 34% Price Drop For Aquafil S.p.A. (BIT:ECNL) You'll Still Get What You Pay ForTo the annoyance of some shareholders, Aquafil S.p.A. ( BIT:ECNL ) shares are down a considerable 34% in the last...Reported Earnings • Oct 29Third quarter 2024 earnings releasedThird quarter 2024 results: €0.053 loss per share. Revenue: €131.3m (down 1.4% from 3Q 2023). Net loss: €2.65m (loss narrowed 80% from 3Q 2023). Revenue is forecast to grow 6.5% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 7.8% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in Italy.New Risk • Oct 10New minor risk - Market cap sizeThe company's market capitalization is less than US$100m. Market cap: €87.9m (US$96.1m) This is considered a minor risk. Companies with a small market capitalization are most likely businesses that have not yet released a product to market or are simply a very small company without a wide reach. Either way, risk is elevated with these companies because there is a chance the product may not come to fruition or the company's addressable market or demand may not be as large as expected. In addition, if the company's size is the main factor, it is less likely to have many investors and analysts following it and scrutinizing its performance and outlook. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow (15% operating cash flow to total debt). Minor Risks Dividend is not well covered by earnings (167% payout ratio). Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (6.6% average weekly change). Market cap is less than US$100m (€87.9m market cap, or US$96.1m).お知らせ • Sep 19Aquafil S.p.A. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Oct 28, 2024Aquafil S.p.A. announced that they will report Q3, 2024 results on Oct 28, 2024分析記事 • Sep 04Aquafil S.p.A. (BIT:ECNL) May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon With Recent 30% Price PlummetUnfortunately for some shareholders, the Aquafil S.p.A. ( BIT:ECNL ) share price has dived 30% in the last thirty days...New Risk • Aug 30New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Italian stocks, typically moving 3.1% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow (14% operating cash flow to total debt). Minor Risks Dividend is not well covered by earnings (167% payout ratio). Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (3.1% average weekly change).Reported Earnings • Aug 30Second quarter 2024 earnings releasedSecond quarter 2024 results: Revenue: €142.3m (down 2.9% from 2Q 2023). Net loss: €3.03m (loss narrowed 59% from 2Q 2023). Revenue is forecast to grow 6.6% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 8.7% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in Italy. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 53 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance.Reported Earnings • Apr 24Full year 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectationsFull year 2023 results: €0.51 loss per share (down from €0.57 profit in FY 2022). Revenue: €571.7m (down 18% from FY 2022). Net loss: €25.8m (down 189% from profit in FY 2022). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 3.8%. Earnings per share (EPS) also missed analyst estimates by 8.7%. Revenue is forecast to grow 4.6% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 8.3% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in Italy. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 33% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 19% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings.Reported Earnings • Mar 18Full year 2023 earnings releasedFull year 2023 results: Revenue: €580.7m (down 15% from FY 2022). Net loss: €25.8m (down 189% from profit in FY 2022). Revenue is forecast to grow 4.3% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 8.3% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in Italy. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 14% per year whereas the company’s share price has fallen by 16% per year.Major Estimate Revision • Mar 17Consensus EPS estimates fall by 240%The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2024 has been updated. 2024 expected loss increased from -€0.032 to -€0.11 per share. Revenue forecast unchanged at €606.5m. Luxury industry in Italy expected to see average net income growth of 23% next year. Consensus price target up from €4.30 to €4.45. Share price fell 3.6% to €3.08 over the past week.お知らせ • Jan 27+ 3 more updatesAquafil S.p.A. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on May 14, 2024Aquafil S.p.A. announced that they will report Q1, 2024 results on May 14, 2024Major Estimate Revision • Dec 07Consensus EPS estimates fall by 27%The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2023 has deteriorated. 2023 revenue forecast decreased from €605.8m to €594.4m. Losses expected to increase from €0.37 per share to €0.47. Luxury industry in Italy expected to see average net income growth of 19% next year. Consensus price target of €4.30 unchanged from last update. Share price was steady at €2.93 over the past week.Major Estimate Revision • Nov 23Consensus EPS estimates fall by 58%The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2023 has been updated. 2023 expected loss increased from -€0.233 to -€0.369 per share. Revenue forecast unchanged at €605.8m. Luxury industry in Italy expected to see average net income growth of 19% next year. Consensus price target down from €5.15 to €4.30. Share price was steady at €2.78 over the past week.Reported Earnings • Nov 13Third quarter 2023 earnings releasedThird quarter 2023 results: €0.26 loss per share. Revenue: €133.1m (down 28% from 3Q 2022). Net loss: €12.9m (down 253% from profit in 3Q 2022). Revenue is forecast to grow 4.9% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 8.5% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in Italy. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 14% per year and the company’s share price has also fallen by 14% per year.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Nov 06Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 18%After last week's 18% share price gain to €2.60, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 1269x. Average forward P/E is 19x in the Luxury industry in Italy. Total loss to shareholders of 23% over the past three years.分析記事 • Nov 02Aquafil (BIT:ECNL) May Have Issues Allocating Its CapitalThere are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Amongst other things, we'll want...New Risk • Oct 26New major risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 90% of Italian stocks, typically moving 7.2% a week. This is considered a major risk. Share price volatility increases the risk of potential losses in the short-term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. It may also indicate the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (2.5x net interest cover). Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (7.2% average weekly change). Dividend is not well covered by earnings and cash flows. Payout ratio: 167% Paying a dividend despite having no free cash flows. Minor Risks Large one-off items impacting financial results. Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (1.1% net profit margin).分析記事 • Oct 14Is Now The Time To Look At Buying Aquafil S.p.A. (BIT:ECNL)?Aquafil S.p.A. ( BIT:ECNL ), is not the largest company out there, but it received a lot of attention from a...Reported Earnings • Sep 01Second quarter 2023 earnings releasedSecond quarter 2023 results: Revenue: €146.5m (down 18% from 2Q 2022). Net loss: €7.43m (down 187% from profit in 2Q 2022). Revenue is forecast to grow 4.5% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 9.2% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in Italy. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 80% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 4% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.New Risk • Aug 08New major risk - Revenue and earnings growthEarnings are forecast to decline by an average of 17% per year for the foreseeable future. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If profits are expected to decline, then in most cases the share price will decline over time as well. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow (1.5% operating cash flow to total debt). Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 17% per year for the foreseeable future. Minor Risks Paying a dividend despite having no free cash flows. Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (5.9% average weekly change).Major Estimate Revision • Aug 08Consensus EPS estimates fall by 50%The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2023 has deteriorated. 2023 revenue forecast decreased from €701.1m to €647.1m. EPS estimate also fell from €0.331 per share to €0.165 per share. Net income forecast to shrink 56% next year vs 40% growth forecast for Luxury industry in Italy . Consensus price target down from €8.70 to €5.80. Share price fell 10.0% to €3.30 over the past week.Price Target Changed • Aug 07Price target decreased by 32% to €5.80Down from €8.50, the current price target is provided by 1 analyst. New target price is 70% above last closing price of €3.42. Stock is down 45% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of €0.33 for next year compared to €0.57 last year.分析記事 • May 13Is Aquafil (BIT:ECNL) Using Too Much Debt?Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Reported Earnings • May 12First quarter 2023 earnings releasedFirst quarter 2023 results: EPS: €0.066. Revenue: €169.5m (down 1.6% from 1Q 2022). Net income: €3.29m (down 64% from 1Q 2022). Profit margin: 1.9% (down from 5.3% in 1Q 2022). The decrease in margin was primarily driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 4.6% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 9.6% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in Italy.Upcoming Dividend • May 01Upcoming dividend of €0.24 per share at 4.8% yieldEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 08 May 2023. Payment date: 10 May 2023. Payout ratio is a comfortable 42% but the company is not cash flow positive. Trailing yield: 4.8%. Lower than top quartile of Italian dividend payers (5.1%). Higher than average of industry peers (1.6%).Reported Earnings • Mar 18Full year 2022 earnings releasedFull year 2022 results: Revenue: €696.9m (up 22% from FY 2021). Net income: €29.2m (up 173% from FY 2021). Profit margin: 4.2% (up from 1.9% in FY 2021). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 1.7% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 9.1% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in Italy.お知らせ • Jan 27+ 4 more updatesAquafil S.p.A. to Report Fiscal Year 2022 Results on Mar 16, 2023Aquafil S.p.A. announced that they will report fiscal year 2022 results on Mar 16, 2023Buying Opportunity • Jan 02Now 21% undervaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock is up 9.0%. The fair value is estimated to be €7.51, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 8.2% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 37%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 4.8% in 2 years. Earnings is forecast to grow by 14% in the next 2 years.Buying Opportunity • Dec 16Now 23% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock is down 10%. The fair value is estimated to be €7.18, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 8.2% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 37%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 4.8% in 2 years. Earnings is forecast to grow by 14% in the next 2 years.Board Change • Nov 16Less than half of directors are independentFollowing the recent departure of a director, there are only 4 independent directors on the board. The company's board is composed of: 4 independent directors. 5 non-independent directors. Independent Director Ilaria Maria Riva was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2020. The company's minority of independent directors is a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.Reported Earnings • Nov 13Third quarter 2022 earnings releasedThird quarter 2022 results: EPS: €0.17. Revenue: €185.0m (up 27% from 3Q 2021). Net income: €8.46m (up 58% from 3Q 2021). Profit margin: 4.6% (up from 3.7% in 3Q 2021). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 3.5% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 8.8% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in Italy. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 37% per year but the company’s share price has remained flat, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.分析記事 • Sep 25At €5.40, Is Aquafil S.p.A. (BIT:ECNL) Worth Looking At Closely?While Aquafil S.p.A. ( BIT:ECNL ) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it received a lot of...Reported Earnings • Sep 01Second quarter 2022 earnings releasedSecond quarter 2022 results: Revenue: €181.1m (up 26% from 2Q 2021). Net income: €8.55m (up 58% from 2Q 2021). Profit margin: 4.7% (up from 3.8% in 2Q 2021). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 6.7%, compared to a 13% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in Italy.分析記事 • May 20Be Wary Of Aquafil (BIT:ECNL) And Its Returns On CapitalIf you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. One common approach is to try and...Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • May 19Investor sentiment improved over the past weekAfter last week's 18% share price gain to €6.89, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 17x. Average forward P/E is 23x in the Luxury industry in Italy. Total loss to shareholders of 16% over the past three years.Board Change • May 17Less than half of directors are independentFollowing the recent departure of a director, there are only 4 independent directors on the board. The company's board is composed of: 4 independent directors. 5 non-independent directors. Independent Director Ilaria Maria Riva was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2020. The company's minority of independent directors is a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.Reported Earnings • May 15First quarter 2022 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behindFirst quarter 2022 results: EPS: €0.18. Net income: €9.12m (up 161% from 1Q 2021). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 2.8%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 24%. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 25% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 10% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings.Upcoming Dividend • May 02Upcoming dividend of €0.12 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 09 May 2022. Payment date: 11 May 2022. Trailing yield: 2.0%. Lower than top quartile of Italian dividend payers (4.7%). Higher than average of industry peers (1.3%).Buying Opportunity • Apr 06Now 20% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock is down 19%. The fair value is estimated to be €7.93, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 8.0% per annum. Earnings is also forecast to grow by 27% per annum over the same time period.分析記事 • Mar 23Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Aquafil S.p.A. (BIT:ECNL)How far off is Aquafil S.p.A. ( BIT:ECNL ) from its intrinsic value? Using the most recent financial data, we'll take a...Reported Earnings • Mar 17Full year 2021 earnings: Revenues exceed analyst expectationsFull year 2021 results: Revenue: €573.6m (up 31% from FY 2020). Net income: €10.7m (up €10.1m from FY 2020). Profit margin: 1.9% (up from 0.1% in FY 2020). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 2.8%. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 2.9%, compared to a 15% growth forecast for the industry in Italy.Buying Opportunity • Mar 17Now 22% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock is down 16%. The fair value is estimated to be €8.18, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has declined by 4.2% per annum over the last 3 years.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Mar 04Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past weekAfter last week's 17% share price decline to €5.50, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 15x. Average forward P/E is 20x in the Luxury industry in Italy. Total loss to shareholders of 37% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at €5.61 per share.Reported Earnings • Nov 14Third quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS €0.10The company reported a strong third quarter result with improved earnings, revenues and profit margins. Third quarter 2021 results: Revenue: €146.5m (up 38% from 3Q 2020). Net income: €5.35m (up €6.31m from 3Q 2020). Profit margin: 3.7% (up from net loss in 3Q 2020). The move to profitability was driven by higher revenue. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 45% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 5% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings.分析記事 • Nov 04These 4 Measures Indicate That Aquafil (BIT:ECNL) Is Using Debt Reasonably WellDavid Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...分析記事 • Oct 16Here's What's Concerning About Aquafil's (BIT:ECNL) Returns On CapitalThere are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Firstly, we'd want to identify a...Reported Earnings • Sep 02Second quarter 2021 earnings releasedThe company reported a strong second quarter result with improved earnings, revenues and profit margins. Second quarter 2021 results: Revenue: €145.9m (up 79% from 2Q 2020). Net income: €5.42m (up €11.4m from 2Q 2020). Profit margin: 3.7% (up from net loss in 2Q 2020). The move to profitability was driven by higher revenue. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 70 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance.Major Estimate Revision • Jul 30Consensus EPS estimates increase to €0.22The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in 2021 has improved. 2021 revenue forecast increased from €501.0m to €523.5m. EPS estimate increased from €0.18 to €0.22 per share. Net income forecast to grow 90,800% next year vs 24% growth forecast for Luxury industry in Italy. Consensus price target of €8.55 unchanged from last update. Share price was steady at €7.48 over the past week.分析記事 • Jul 22At €7.20, Is It Time To Put Aquafil S.p.A. (BIT:ECNL) On Your Watch List?While Aquafil S.p.A. ( BIT:ECNL ) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it led the BIT gainers with a...Executive Departure • Jul 13GM & Executive Director Fabrizio Calenti has left the companyOn the 30th of June, Fabrizio Calenti's tenure as GM & Executive Director ended. We don't have any record of a personal shareholding under Fabrizio's name. Fabrizio is the only executive to leave the company over the last 12 months.分析記事 • Jun 09Aquafil (BIT:ECNL) May Have Issues Allocating Its CapitalWhat trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Typically...分析記事 • May 22Aquafil S.p.A. (BIT:ECNL) Shares Could Be 41% Below Their Intrinsic Value EstimateToday we'll do a simple run through of a valuation method used to estimate the attractiveness of Aquafil S.p.A...Price Target Changed • May 15Price target increased to €7.20Up from €6.50, the current price target is an average from 2 analysts. New target price is 14% above last closing price of €6.29. Stock is up 98% over the past year.Reported Earnings • May 04Full year 2020 earnings released: EPS €0.012 (vs €0.18 in FY 2019)The company reported a poor full year result with weaker earnings, revenues and profit margins. Full year 2020 results: Revenue: €438.5m (down 21% from FY 2019). Net income: €596.0k (down 93% from FY 2019). Profit margin: 0.1% (down from 1.6% in FY 2019). Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 45 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance.分析記事 • Mar 26Is Now The Time To Look At Buying Aquafil S.p.A. (BIT:ECNL)?Aquafil S.p.A. ( BIT:ECNL ), is not the largest company out there, but it received a lot of attention from a...Reported Earnings • Mar 14Full year 2020 earnings releasedThe company reported a poor full year result with weaker earnings, revenues and profit margins. Full year 2020 results: Revenue: €446.7m (down 19% from FY 2019). Net income: €595.0k (down 93% from FY 2019). Profit margin: 0.1% (down from 1.6% in FY 2019).分析記事 • Mar 07Returns On Capital At Aquafil (BIT:ECNL) Paint An Interesting PictureIf we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...Price Target Changed • Feb 20Price target raised to €6.50Up from €5.25, the current price target is an average from 2 analysts. The new target price is 17% above the current share price of €5.57. As of last close, the stock is down 0.2% over the past year.分析記事 • Feb 17Calculating The Fair Value Of Aquafil S.p.A. (BIT:ECNL)Does the February share price for Aquafil S.p.A. ( BIT:ECNL ) reflect what it's really worth? Today, we will estimate...Is New 90 Day High Low • Feb 12New 90-day high: €5.18The company is up 43% from its price of €3.63 on 13 November 2020. The Italian market is up 11% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Luxury industry, which is up 26% over the same period. According to the Simply Wall St valuation model, the estimated intrinsic value of the company is €4.69 per share.分析記事 • Jan 31Aquafil (BIT:ECNL) Seems To Be Using A Lot Of DebtLegendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...分析記事 • Jan 13If You Had Bought Aquafil's (BIT:ECNL) Shares Three Years Ago You Would Be Down 62%Aquafil S.p.A. ( BIT:ECNL ) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 27% in the last quarter. Meanwhile...分析記事 • Dec 26What Kind Of Shareholders Own Aquafil S.p.A. (BIT:ECNL)?A look at the shareholders of Aquafil S.p.A. ( BIT:ECNL ) can tell us which group is most powerful. Institutions will...業績と収益の成長予測BIT:ECNL - アナリストの将来予測と過去の財務データ ( )EUR Millions日付収益収益フリー・キャッシュフロー営業活動によるキャッシュ平均アナリスト数12/31/2028589172156212/31/2027565142156312/31/202654982249312/31/2025521-5830N/A9/30/2025532-7-125N/A6/30/2025534-8-1018N/A3/31/2025535-12-126N/A12/31/2024551-16-223N/A9/30/2024545-182247N/A6/30/2024558-283156N/A3/31/2024551-323362N/A12/31/2023580-263973N/A9/30/2023596-14-1423N/A6/30/20236577-3110N/A3/31/202368223-346N/A12/31/202269729-52-13N/A9/30/202268523-2320N/A6/30/202265019649N/A3/31/2022610162264N/A12/31/2021574114989N/A9/30/2021529186595N/A6/30/2021490116592N/A3/31/202142904468N/A12/31/202043913664N/A9/30/2020460-32157N/A6/30/2020489-41856N/A3/31/202054453987N/A12/31/20195519-1640N/A9/30/201954515N/A40N/A6/30/201955321N/A33N/A3/31/201956128N/A34N/A12/31/201855730N/A35N/A9/30/201857732N/A47N/A6/30/201854131N/A37N/A3/31/201855227N/A65N/A12/31/201752825N/A50N/A9/30/201751822N/A29N/A6/30/201750922N/A59N/A3/31/201750123N/A23N/A12/31/201648220N/A52N/A12/31/201550314N/A16N/Aもっと見るアナリストによる今後の成長予測収入対貯蓄率: ECNLは今後 3 年間で収益性が向上すると予測されており、これは 貯蓄率 ( 3.3% ) よりも高い成長率であると考えられます。収益対市場: ECNL今後 3 年間で収益性が向上すると予想されており、これは市場平均を上回る成長と考えられます。高成長収益: ECNL今後 3 年以内に収益を上げることが予想されます。収益対市場: ECNLの収益 ( 4% ) Italian市場 ( 5.9% ) よりも低い成長が予測されています。高い収益成長: ECNLの収益 ( 4% ) 20%よりも低い成長が予測されています。一株当たり利益成長率予想将来の株主資本利益率将来のROE: ECNLの 自己資本利益率 は、3年後には低くなると予測されています ( 12.8 %)。成長企業の発掘7D1Y7D1Y7D1YConsumer-durables 業界の高成長企業。View Past Performance企業分析と財務データの現状データ最終更新日（UTC時間）企業分析2026/05/07 03:20終値2026/05/07 00:00収益2025/12/31年間収益2025/12/31データソース企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例会社財務10年損益計算書キャッシュ・フロー計算書貸借対照表SECフォーム10-KSECフォーム10-Qアナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年予想財務アナリストの目標株価アナリストリサーチレポートBlue Matrix市場価格30年株価配当、分割、措置ICEマーケットデータSECフォームS-1所有権10年トップ株主インサイダー取引SECフォーム4SECフォーム13Dマネジメント10年リーダーシップ・チーム取締役会SECフォーム10-KSECフォームDEF 14A主な進展10年会社からのお知らせSECフォーム8-K* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。分析モデルとスノーフレーク本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドやYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。業界およびセクターの指標私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。アナリスト筋Aquafil S.p.A. 3 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。4 アナリスト機関Enrico EspostiBanca Akros S.p.A. (ESN)Francesco TaddeiBanca Akros S.p.A. (ESN)Carlo MaritanoIntermonte SIM S.p.A.1 その他のアナリストを表示
Price Target Changed • Nov 27Price target decreased by 12% to €1.85Down from €2.10, the current price target is an average from 2 analysts. New target price is 31% above last closing price of €1.41. Stock is up 16% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of €0.035 next year compared to a net loss per share of €0.30 last year.
分析記事 • Mar 22Earnings Release: Here's Why Analysts Cut Their Aquafil S.p.A. (BIT:ECNL) Price Target To €2.10It's been a pretty great week for Aquafil S.p.A. ( BIT:ECNL ) shareholders, with its shares surging 15% to €1.42 in the...
Price Target Changed • Jan 23Price target decreased by 23% to €3.30Down from €4.30, the current price target is an average from 2 analysts. New target price is 137% above last closing price of €1.39. Stock is down 57% over the past year. The company is forecast to post a net loss per share of €0.24 next year compared to a net loss per share of €0.51 last year.
Major Estimate Revision • Mar 17Consensus EPS estimates fall by 240%The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2024 has been updated. 2024 expected loss increased from -€0.032 to -€0.11 per share. Revenue forecast unchanged at €606.5m. Luxury industry in Italy expected to see average net income growth of 23% next year. Consensus price target up from €4.30 to €4.45. Share price fell 3.6% to €3.08 over the past week.
Major Estimate Revision • Dec 07Consensus EPS estimates fall by 27%The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2023 has deteriorated. 2023 revenue forecast decreased from €605.8m to €594.4m. Losses expected to increase from €0.37 per share to €0.47. Luxury industry in Italy expected to see average net income growth of 19% next year. Consensus price target of €4.30 unchanged from last update. Share price was steady at €2.93 over the past week.
Major Estimate Revision • Nov 23Consensus EPS estimates fall by 58%The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2023 has been updated. 2023 expected loss increased from -€0.233 to -€0.369 per share. Revenue forecast unchanged at €605.8m. Luxury industry in Italy expected to see average net income growth of 19% next year. Consensus price target down from €5.15 to €4.30. Share price was steady at €2.78 over the past week.
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Mar 20Now 21% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 3.1% to €1.32. The fair value is estimated to be €1.67, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only.
お知らせ • Mar 20Aquafil S.p.A., Annual General Meeting, Apr 28, 2026Aquafil S.p.A., Annual General Meeting, Apr 28, 2026, at 14:00 W. Europe Standard Time.
Reported Earnings • Mar 15Full year 2025 earnings releasedFull year 2025 results: Revenue: €534.3m (down 1.7% from FY 2024). Net loss: €4.69m (loss narrowed 71% from FY 2024). Revenue is forecast to grow 5.8% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.6% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in Italy. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 56% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 37% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings.
New Risk • Mar 13New major risk - Revenue and earnings growthEarnings have declined by 48% per year over the past 5 years. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If profits are declining over an extended period, then in most cases the share price will decline over time unless the company can turn around its fortunes. A trend of falling earnings can be very difficult to turn around. If the company is well already established it may also be a sign the company has matured and is in decline. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (1.0x net interest cover). Earnings have declined by 48% per year over the past 5 years.
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Mar 03Now 21% undervaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock has risen 2.6% to €1.40. The fair value is estimated to be €1.78, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has declined by 10% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company became loss making.
お知らせ • Jan 09+ 3 more updatesAquafil S.p.A. to Report First Half, 2026 Results on Aug 27, 2026Aquafil S.p.A. announced that they will report first half, 2026 results on Aug 27, 2026
Price Target Changed • Nov 27Price target decreased by 12% to €1.85Down from €2.10, the current price target is an average from 2 analysts. New target price is 31% above last closing price of €1.41. Stock is up 16% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of €0.035 next year compared to a net loss per share of €0.30 last year.
分析記事 • Nov 18Aquafil S.p.A.'s (BIT:ECNL) Stock Retreats 25% But Revenues Haven't Escaped The Attention Of InvestorsAquafil S.p.A. ( BIT:ECNL ) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month...
Reported Earnings • Nov 17Third quarter 2025 earnings releasedThird quarter 2025 results: €0.021 loss per share. Revenue: €123.6m (down 5.8% from 3Q 2024). Net loss: €1.80m (loss narrowed 32% from 3Q 2024). Revenue is forecast to grow 7.4% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.6% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in Italy.
分析記事 • Oct 08Is Aquafil (BIT:ECNL) A Risky Investment?David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
分析記事 • Sep 02Aquafil S.p.A. (BIT:ECNL) Stocks Shoot Up 25% But Its P/S Still Looks ReasonableThe Aquafil S.p.A. ( BIT:ECNL ) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 25...
Reported Earnings • Aug 31First half 2025 earnings released: EPS: €0.025 (vs €0.12 loss in 1H 2024)First half 2025 results: EPS: €0.025 (up from €0.12 loss in 1H 2024). Revenue: €282.0m (down 3.2% from 1H 2024). Net income: €2.22m (up €8.36m from 1H 2024). Profit margin: 0.8% (up from net loss in 1H 2024). Revenue is forecast to grow 6.5% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 7.2% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in Italy. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 39 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance.
分析記事 • Aug 23Aquafil's (BIT:ECNL) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The BusinessWhat financial metrics can indicate to us that a company is maturing or even in decline? A business that's potentially...
分析記事 • May 27Aquafil (BIT:ECNL) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered RiskySome say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...
お知らせ • Mar 25Aquafil Breaks New Ground in Textile Recycling by Chemically Separating Elastic Fibers from NylonAfter more than ten years of relentless research and innovation, Aquafil has unveiled a breakthrough in textile recycling: the world’s first demonstration plant capable of chemically separating elastic fibers from nylon. This pioneering technology tackles one of the textile industry’s most complex challenges, opening the door to new possibilities in recycling and circularity, confirming Aquafil’s role at the forefront of responsible innovation. Now, with the launch of this pilot plant, lab successes have translated into real-world application: for the first time ever, elastic fibers can be effectively separated from nylon in blended fabrics. This is a game-changer for recycling notoriously difficult textile waste—particularly from sportswear and swimwear—where different fibers are tightly bound and nearly impossible to recover. For years, these composite textiles have been destined for landfills, despite containing valuable material that could be recycled. Aquafil’s breakthrough process has solved this challenge. By overcoming the fiber separation barrier, the company can now unlock the potential of materials that were once discarded. The next step? Refining and scaling the process to an industrial level in order to process impactful volumes of material. To support this, Aquafil has built a network of strategic partners to secure a steady supply of post-use materials and ensure the development of a robust, efficient recycling supply chain. The nylon recovered through this process will be regenerated at the ECONYL® plant, transforming waste into high-quality regenerated nylon ready for new textile applications—significantly reducing reliance on virgin resources and lowering the environmental footprint of the textile sector.
分析記事 • Mar 22Earnings Release: Here's Why Analysts Cut Their Aquafil S.p.A. (BIT:ECNL) Price Target To €2.10It's been a pretty great week for Aquafil S.p.A. ( BIT:ECNL ) shareholders, with its shares surging 15% to €1.42 in the...
Reported Earnings • Mar 20Full year 2024 earnings releasedFull year 2024 results: Revenue: €551.0m (down 3.6% from FY 2023). Net loss: €16.3m (loss narrowed 37% from FY 2023). Revenue is forecast to grow 6.2% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 8.1% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in Italy. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 49 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance.
分析記事 • Feb 25Investors Still Waiting For A Pull Back In Aquafil S.p.A. (BIT:ECNL)It's not a stretch to say that Aquafil S.p.A.'s ( BIT:ECNL ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x right now seems...
Price Target Changed • Jan 23Price target decreased by 23% to €3.30Down from €4.30, the current price target is an average from 2 analysts. New target price is 137% above last closing price of €1.39. Stock is down 57% over the past year. The company is forecast to post a net loss per share of €0.24 next year compared to a net loss per share of €0.51 last year.
分析記事 • Jan 13Here's What's Concerning About Aquafil's (BIT:ECNL) Returns On CapitalIf you're looking at a mature business that's past the growth phase, what are some of the underlying trends that pop...
お知らせ • Jan 08+ 3 more updatesAquafil S.p.A. to Report Q1, 2025 Results on May 15, 2025Aquafil S.p.A. announced that they will report Q1, 2025 results on May 15, 2025
New Risk • Dec 19New major risk - Shareholder dilutionThe company's shareholders have been substantially diluted in the past year. Increase in shares outstanding: 73% This is considered a major risk. Shareholder dilution occurs when there is an increase in the number of shares on issue that is not proportionally distributed between all shareholders. Often due to the company raising equity capital or some options being converted into stock. All else being equal, if there are more shares outstanding then each existing share will be entitled to a lower proportion of the company's total earnings, thus reducing earnings per share (EPS). While dilution might not always result in lower EPS (like if the company is using the capital to fund an EPS accretive acquisition) in a lot cases it does, along with lower dividends per share and less voting power at shareholder meetings. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (0.1x net interest cover). Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (8.1% average weekly change). Dividend is not well covered by earnings and cash flows. Payout ratio: 167% Cash payout ratio: 93% Shareholders have been substantially diluted in the past year (73% increase in shares outstanding).
分析記事 • Dec 16These 4 Measures Indicate That Aquafil (BIT:ECNL) Is Using Debt In A Risky WayLegendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...
分析記事 • Nov 19With A 34% Price Drop For Aquafil S.p.A. (BIT:ECNL) You'll Still Get What You Pay ForTo the annoyance of some shareholders, Aquafil S.p.A. ( BIT:ECNL ) shares are down a considerable 34% in the last...
Reported Earnings • Oct 29Third quarter 2024 earnings releasedThird quarter 2024 results: €0.053 loss per share. Revenue: €131.3m (down 1.4% from 3Q 2023). Net loss: €2.65m (loss narrowed 80% from 3Q 2023). Revenue is forecast to grow 6.5% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 7.8% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in Italy.
New Risk • Oct 10New minor risk - Market cap sizeThe company's market capitalization is less than US$100m. Market cap: €87.9m (US$96.1m) This is considered a minor risk. Companies with a small market capitalization are most likely businesses that have not yet released a product to market or are simply a very small company without a wide reach. Either way, risk is elevated with these companies because there is a chance the product may not come to fruition or the company's addressable market or demand may not be as large as expected. In addition, if the company's size is the main factor, it is less likely to have many investors and analysts following it and scrutinizing its performance and outlook. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow (15% operating cash flow to total debt). Minor Risks Dividend is not well covered by earnings (167% payout ratio). Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (6.6% average weekly change). Market cap is less than US$100m (€87.9m market cap, or US$96.1m).
お知らせ • Sep 19Aquafil S.p.A. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Oct 28, 2024Aquafil S.p.A. announced that they will report Q3, 2024 results on Oct 28, 2024
分析記事 • Sep 04Aquafil S.p.A. (BIT:ECNL) May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon With Recent 30% Price PlummetUnfortunately for some shareholders, the Aquafil S.p.A. ( BIT:ECNL ) share price has dived 30% in the last thirty days...
New Risk • Aug 30New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Italian stocks, typically moving 3.1% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow (14% operating cash flow to total debt). Minor Risks Dividend is not well covered by earnings (167% payout ratio). Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (3.1% average weekly change).
Reported Earnings • Aug 30Second quarter 2024 earnings releasedSecond quarter 2024 results: Revenue: €142.3m (down 2.9% from 2Q 2023). Net loss: €3.03m (loss narrowed 59% from 2Q 2023). Revenue is forecast to grow 6.6% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 8.7% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in Italy. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 53 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance.
Reported Earnings • Apr 24Full year 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectationsFull year 2023 results: €0.51 loss per share (down from €0.57 profit in FY 2022). Revenue: €571.7m (down 18% from FY 2022). Net loss: €25.8m (down 189% from profit in FY 2022). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 3.8%. Earnings per share (EPS) also missed analyst estimates by 8.7%. Revenue is forecast to grow 4.6% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 8.3% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in Italy. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 33% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 19% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings.
Reported Earnings • Mar 18Full year 2023 earnings releasedFull year 2023 results: Revenue: €580.7m (down 15% from FY 2022). Net loss: €25.8m (down 189% from profit in FY 2022). Revenue is forecast to grow 4.3% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 8.3% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in Italy. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 14% per year whereas the company’s share price has fallen by 16% per year.
Major Estimate Revision • Mar 17Consensus EPS estimates fall by 240%The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2024 has been updated. 2024 expected loss increased from -€0.032 to -€0.11 per share. Revenue forecast unchanged at €606.5m. Luxury industry in Italy expected to see average net income growth of 23% next year. Consensus price target up from €4.30 to €4.45. Share price fell 3.6% to €3.08 over the past week.
お知らせ • Jan 27+ 3 more updatesAquafil S.p.A. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on May 14, 2024Aquafil S.p.A. announced that they will report Q1, 2024 results on May 14, 2024
Major Estimate Revision • Dec 07Consensus EPS estimates fall by 27%The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2023 has deteriorated. 2023 revenue forecast decreased from €605.8m to €594.4m. Losses expected to increase from €0.37 per share to €0.47. Luxury industry in Italy expected to see average net income growth of 19% next year. Consensus price target of €4.30 unchanged from last update. Share price was steady at €2.93 over the past week.
Major Estimate Revision • Nov 23Consensus EPS estimates fall by 58%The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2023 has been updated. 2023 expected loss increased from -€0.233 to -€0.369 per share. Revenue forecast unchanged at €605.8m. Luxury industry in Italy expected to see average net income growth of 19% next year. Consensus price target down from €5.15 to €4.30. Share price was steady at €2.78 over the past week.
Reported Earnings • Nov 13Third quarter 2023 earnings releasedThird quarter 2023 results: €0.26 loss per share. Revenue: €133.1m (down 28% from 3Q 2022). Net loss: €12.9m (down 253% from profit in 3Q 2022). Revenue is forecast to grow 4.9% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 8.5% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in Italy. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 14% per year and the company’s share price has also fallen by 14% per year.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Nov 06Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 18%After last week's 18% share price gain to €2.60, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 1269x. Average forward P/E is 19x in the Luxury industry in Italy. Total loss to shareholders of 23% over the past three years.
分析記事 • Nov 02Aquafil (BIT:ECNL) May Have Issues Allocating Its CapitalThere are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Amongst other things, we'll want...
New Risk • Oct 26New major risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 90% of Italian stocks, typically moving 7.2% a week. This is considered a major risk. Share price volatility increases the risk of potential losses in the short-term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. It may also indicate the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (2.5x net interest cover). Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (7.2% average weekly change). Dividend is not well covered by earnings and cash flows. Payout ratio: 167% Paying a dividend despite having no free cash flows. Minor Risks Large one-off items impacting financial results. Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (1.1% net profit margin).
分析記事 • Oct 14Is Now The Time To Look At Buying Aquafil S.p.A. (BIT:ECNL)?Aquafil S.p.A. ( BIT:ECNL ), is not the largest company out there, but it received a lot of attention from a...
Reported Earnings • Sep 01Second quarter 2023 earnings releasedSecond quarter 2023 results: Revenue: €146.5m (down 18% from 2Q 2022). Net loss: €7.43m (down 187% from profit in 2Q 2022). Revenue is forecast to grow 4.5% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 9.2% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in Italy. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 80% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 4% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.
New Risk • Aug 08New major risk - Revenue and earnings growthEarnings are forecast to decline by an average of 17% per year for the foreseeable future. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If profits are expected to decline, then in most cases the share price will decline over time as well. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow (1.5% operating cash flow to total debt). Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 17% per year for the foreseeable future. Minor Risks Paying a dividend despite having no free cash flows. Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (5.9% average weekly change).
Major Estimate Revision • Aug 08Consensus EPS estimates fall by 50%The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2023 has deteriorated. 2023 revenue forecast decreased from €701.1m to €647.1m. EPS estimate also fell from €0.331 per share to €0.165 per share. Net income forecast to shrink 56% next year vs 40% growth forecast for Luxury industry in Italy . Consensus price target down from €8.70 to €5.80. Share price fell 10.0% to €3.30 over the past week.
Price Target Changed • Aug 07Price target decreased by 32% to €5.80Down from €8.50, the current price target is provided by 1 analyst. New target price is 70% above last closing price of €3.42. Stock is down 45% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of €0.33 for next year compared to €0.57 last year.
分析記事 • May 13Is Aquafil (BIT:ECNL) Using Too Much Debt?Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
Reported Earnings • May 12First quarter 2023 earnings releasedFirst quarter 2023 results: EPS: €0.066. Revenue: €169.5m (down 1.6% from 1Q 2022). Net income: €3.29m (down 64% from 1Q 2022). Profit margin: 1.9% (down from 5.3% in 1Q 2022). The decrease in margin was primarily driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 4.6% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 9.6% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in Italy.
Upcoming Dividend • May 01Upcoming dividend of €0.24 per share at 4.8% yieldEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 08 May 2023. Payment date: 10 May 2023. Payout ratio is a comfortable 42% but the company is not cash flow positive. Trailing yield: 4.8%. Lower than top quartile of Italian dividend payers (5.1%). Higher than average of industry peers (1.6%).
Reported Earnings • Mar 18Full year 2022 earnings releasedFull year 2022 results: Revenue: €696.9m (up 22% from FY 2021). Net income: €29.2m (up 173% from FY 2021). Profit margin: 4.2% (up from 1.9% in FY 2021). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 1.7% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 9.1% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in Italy.
お知らせ • Jan 27+ 4 more updatesAquafil S.p.A. to Report Fiscal Year 2022 Results on Mar 16, 2023Aquafil S.p.A. announced that they will report fiscal year 2022 results on Mar 16, 2023
Buying Opportunity • Jan 02Now 21% undervaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock is up 9.0%. The fair value is estimated to be €7.51, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 8.2% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 37%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 4.8% in 2 years. Earnings is forecast to grow by 14% in the next 2 years.
Buying Opportunity • Dec 16Now 23% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock is down 10%. The fair value is estimated to be €7.18, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 8.2% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 37%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 4.8% in 2 years. Earnings is forecast to grow by 14% in the next 2 years.
Board Change • Nov 16Less than half of directors are independentFollowing the recent departure of a director, there are only 4 independent directors on the board. The company's board is composed of: 4 independent directors. 5 non-independent directors. Independent Director Ilaria Maria Riva was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2020. The company's minority of independent directors is a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.
Reported Earnings • Nov 13Third quarter 2022 earnings releasedThird quarter 2022 results: EPS: €0.17. Revenue: €185.0m (up 27% from 3Q 2021). Net income: €8.46m (up 58% from 3Q 2021). Profit margin: 4.6% (up from 3.7% in 3Q 2021). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 3.5% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 8.8% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in Italy. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 37% per year but the company’s share price has remained flat, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.
分析記事 • Sep 25At €5.40, Is Aquafil S.p.A. (BIT:ECNL) Worth Looking At Closely?While Aquafil S.p.A. ( BIT:ECNL ) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it received a lot of...
Reported Earnings • Sep 01Second quarter 2022 earnings releasedSecond quarter 2022 results: Revenue: €181.1m (up 26% from 2Q 2021). Net income: €8.55m (up 58% from 2Q 2021). Profit margin: 4.7% (up from 3.8% in 2Q 2021). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 6.7%, compared to a 13% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in Italy.
分析記事 • May 20Be Wary Of Aquafil (BIT:ECNL) And Its Returns On CapitalIf you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. One common approach is to try and...
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • May 19Investor sentiment improved over the past weekAfter last week's 18% share price gain to €6.89, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 17x. Average forward P/E is 23x in the Luxury industry in Italy. Total loss to shareholders of 16% over the past three years.
Board Change • May 17Less than half of directors are independentFollowing the recent departure of a director, there are only 4 independent directors on the board. The company's board is composed of: 4 independent directors. 5 non-independent directors. Independent Director Ilaria Maria Riva was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2020. The company's minority of independent directors is a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.
Reported Earnings • May 15First quarter 2022 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behindFirst quarter 2022 results: EPS: €0.18. Net income: €9.12m (up 161% from 1Q 2021). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 2.8%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 24%. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 25% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 10% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings.
Upcoming Dividend • May 02Upcoming dividend of €0.12 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 09 May 2022. Payment date: 11 May 2022. Trailing yield: 2.0%. Lower than top quartile of Italian dividend payers (4.7%). Higher than average of industry peers (1.3%).
Buying Opportunity • Apr 06Now 20% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock is down 19%. The fair value is estimated to be €7.93, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 8.0% per annum. Earnings is also forecast to grow by 27% per annum over the same time period.
分析記事 • Mar 23Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Aquafil S.p.A. (BIT:ECNL)How far off is Aquafil S.p.A. ( BIT:ECNL ) from its intrinsic value? Using the most recent financial data, we'll take a...
Reported Earnings • Mar 17Full year 2021 earnings: Revenues exceed analyst expectationsFull year 2021 results: Revenue: €573.6m (up 31% from FY 2020). Net income: €10.7m (up €10.1m from FY 2020). Profit margin: 1.9% (up from 0.1% in FY 2020). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 2.8%. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 2.9%, compared to a 15% growth forecast for the industry in Italy.
Buying Opportunity • Mar 17Now 22% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock is down 16%. The fair value is estimated to be €8.18, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has declined by 4.2% per annum over the last 3 years.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Mar 04Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past weekAfter last week's 17% share price decline to €5.50, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 15x. Average forward P/E is 20x in the Luxury industry in Italy. Total loss to shareholders of 37% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at €5.61 per share.
Reported Earnings • Nov 14Third quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS €0.10The company reported a strong third quarter result with improved earnings, revenues and profit margins. Third quarter 2021 results: Revenue: €146.5m (up 38% from 3Q 2020). Net income: €5.35m (up €6.31m from 3Q 2020). Profit margin: 3.7% (up from net loss in 3Q 2020). The move to profitability was driven by higher revenue. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 45% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 5% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings.
分析記事 • Nov 04These 4 Measures Indicate That Aquafil (BIT:ECNL) Is Using Debt Reasonably WellDavid Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
分析記事 • Oct 16Here's What's Concerning About Aquafil's (BIT:ECNL) Returns On CapitalThere are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Firstly, we'd want to identify a...
Reported Earnings • Sep 02Second quarter 2021 earnings releasedThe company reported a strong second quarter result with improved earnings, revenues and profit margins. Second quarter 2021 results: Revenue: €145.9m (up 79% from 2Q 2020). Net income: €5.42m (up €11.4m from 2Q 2020). Profit margin: 3.7% (up from net loss in 2Q 2020). The move to profitability was driven by higher revenue. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 70 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance.
Major Estimate Revision • Jul 30Consensus EPS estimates increase to €0.22The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in 2021 has improved. 2021 revenue forecast increased from €501.0m to €523.5m. EPS estimate increased from €0.18 to €0.22 per share. Net income forecast to grow 90,800% next year vs 24% growth forecast for Luxury industry in Italy. Consensus price target of €8.55 unchanged from last update. Share price was steady at €7.48 over the past week.
分析記事 • Jul 22At €7.20, Is It Time To Put Aquafil S.p.A. (BIT:ECNL) On Your Watch List?While Aquafil S.p.A. ( BIT:ECNL ) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it led the BIT gainers with a...
Executive Departure • Jul 13GM & Executive Director Fabrizio Calenti has left the companyOn the 30th of June, Fabrizio Calenti's tenure as GM & Executive Director ended. We don't have any record of a personal shareholding under Fabrizio's name. Fabrizio is the only executive to leave the company over the last 12 months.
分析記事 • Jun 09Aquafil (BIT:ECNL) May Have Issues Allocating Its CapitalWhat trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Typically...
分析記事 • May 22Aquafil S.p.A. (BIT:ECNL) Shares Could Be 41% Below Their Intrinsic Value EstimateToday we'll do a simple run through of a valuation method used to estimate the attractiveness of Aquafil S.p.A...
Price Target Changed • May 15Price target increased to €7.20Up from €6.50, the current price target is an average from 2 analysts. New target price is 14% above last closing price of €6.29. Stock is up 98% over the past year.
Reported Earnings • May 04Full year 2020 earnings released: EPS €0.012 (vs €0.18 in FY 2019)The company reported a poor full year result with weaker earnings, revenues and profit margins. Full year 2020 results: Revenue: €438.5m (down 21% from FY 2019). Net income: €596.0k (down 93% from FY 2019). Profit margin: 0.1% (down from 1.6% in FY 2019). Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 45 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance.
分析記事 • Mar 26Is Now The Time To Look At Buying Aquafil S.p.A. (BIT:ECNL)?Aquafil S.p.A. ( BIT:ECNL ), is not the largest company out there, but it received a lot of attention from a...
Reported Earnings • Mar 14Full year 2020 earnings releasedThe company reported a poor full year result with weaker earnings, revenues and profit margins. Full year 2020 results: Revenue: €446.7m (down 19% from FY 2019). Net income: €595.0k (down 93% from FY 2019). Profit margin: 0.1% (down from 1.6% in FY 2019).
分析記事 • Mar 07Returns On Capital At Aquafil (BIT:ECNL) Paint An Interesting PictureIf we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...
Price Target Changed • Feb 20Price target raised to €6.50Up from €5.25, the current price target is an average from 2 analysts. The new target price is 17% above the current share price of €5.57. As of last close, the stock is down 0.2% over the past year.
分析記事 • Feb 17Calculating The Fair Value Of Aquafil S.p.A. (BIT:ECNL)Does the February share price for Aquafil S.p.A. ( BIT:ECNL ) reflect what it's really worth? Today, we will estimate...
Is New 90 Day High Low • Feb 12New 90-day high: €5.18The company is up 43% from its price of €3.63 on 13 November 2020. The Italian market is up 11% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Luxury industry, which is up 26% over the same period. According to the Simply Wall St valuation model, the estimated intrinsic value of the company is €4.69 per share.
分析記事 • Jan 31Aquafil (BIT:ECNL) Seems To Be Using A Lot Of DebtLegendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...
分析記事 • Jan 13If You Had Bought Aquafil's (BIT:ECNL) Shares Three Years Ago You Would Be Down 62%Aquafil S.p.A. ( BIT:ECNL ) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 27% in the last quarter. Meanwhile...
分析記事 • Dec 26What Kind Of Shareholders Own Aquafil S.p.A. (BIT:ECNL)?A look at the shareholders of Aquafil S.p.A. ( BIT:ECNL ) can tell us which group is most powerful. Institutions will...