View ValuationCSL 将来の成長Future 基準チェック /36CSL利益と収益がそれぞれ年間40.1%と3.4%増加すると予測されています。EPS は年間 増加すると予想されています。自己資本利益率は 3 年後に17.4% 36%なると予測されています。主要情報40.1%収益成長率36.00%EPS成長率Biotechs 収益成長39.4%収益成長率3.4%将来の株主資本利益率17.40%アナリストカバレッジGood最終更新日26 May 2026今後の成長に関する最新情報Major Estimate Revision • May 12Consensus EPS estimates have been downgraded.The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2026 has deteriorated. 2026 revenue forecast decreased from US$15.8b to US$15.4b. Now expected to report a loss of US$0.44 per share instead of US$2.76 per share profit previously forecast. Biotechs industry in Australia expected to see average net income growth of 2.8% next year. Consensus price target down from AU$195 to AU$149. Share price fell 21% to AU$98.55 over the past week.お知らせ • Oct 28+ 1 more updateCsl Limited Revises Earnings Guidance for Financial Year 2026CSL Limited revised earnings guidance for financial year 2026. For the year, the company announced that given the factors affecting company's performance in the first half of the year, company is revising financial year 2026 revenue growth outlook to 2% to 3% from 4% to 5% previously forecasted.Major Estimate Revision • Aug 25Consensus EPS estimates fall by 22%The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2026 has deteriorated. 2026 revenue forecast decreased from US$16.8b to US$16.2b. EPS estimate also fell from US$7.10 per share to US$5.50 per share. Net income forecast to shrink 11% next year vs 2.3% decline forecast for Biotechs industry in Australia. Consensus price target down from AU$315 to AU$288. Share price fell 20% to AU$217 over the past week.お知らせ • Aug 19CSL Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year 2026CSL Limited provided earnings guidance for the year 2026. For the year, the company expects 2026 group revenue growth is anticipated to be approximately 4-5% over Financial Year 2025 at constant currency. "CSL's NPATA for FY26, excluding the non-recurring restructuring cost, is anticipated to be in the range of approximately $3.45 billion to $3.55 billion at constant currency, representing growth over FY25 of approximately 7-10%.すべての更新を表示Recent updatesライブニュース • May 21CSL Faces A$7 Billion Write-Down as FY26 Outlook Softens and New Therapies Roll OutCSL announced an A$7 billion non-cash impairment, largely tied to the Vifor kidney treatment business and other assets. It cut its FY26 revenue and net profit forecasts to about A$15.2 billion and A$3.1 billion respectively after a 90-day review. Management highlighted weaker demand for US immunoglobulin, softer albumin pricing in China, competition in iron therapies and geopolitical uncertainty in the Middle East as key operational challenges. CSL Canada reported that the first Canadian patient has received HEMGENIX, its one-time gene therapy for hemophilia B, with public reimbursement now in place in Ontario and British Columbia and other provinces assessing coverage. The combination of a large write-down, reduced FY26 guidance and clear headwinds in core markets indicates a longer, more complex turnaround, while CSL continues to progress new therapies like HEMGENIX that may broaden its treatment portfolio. Investors can consider the risks from pressure on existing product lines and the size of the impairment alongside the potential long-term contribution of gene therapies and other growth initiatives, noting that the timing and scale of any benefits remain uncertain.Major Estimate Revision • May 12Consensus EPS estimates have been downgraded.The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2026 has deteriorated. 2026 revenue forecast decreased from US$15.8b to US$15.4b. Now expected to report a loss of US$0.44 per share instead of US$2.76 per share profit previously forecast. Biotechs industry in Australia expected to see average net income growth of 2.8% next year. Consensus price target down from AU$195 to AU$149. Share price fell 21% to AU$98.55 over the past week.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • May 11Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 19%After last week's 19% share price decline to AU$101, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 15x. Average trailing P/E is 28x in the Biotechs industry globally. Total loss to shareholders of 65% over the past three years.ナラティブの更新 • May 09CSL: U.S. Manufacturing Expansion And CEO Transition Will Support Long Term UpsideCSL's analyst price target has been adjusted slightly lower to A$195.41 from A$198.79 as analysts factor in marginally softer revenue growth, a small reduction in projected profit margins, a slightly lower discount rate, and a modestly lower future P/E assumption. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on the sector, including coverage of CSL peers, points to a mix of optimism about execution and long term growth, alongside pockets of caution on valuation and macro sensitivity.ナラティブの更新 • Apr 22CSL: Manufacturing Expansion And CEO Transition Will Support Long Term Share ReboundThe CSL analyst price target has been trimmed by about A$9, as analysts now factor in slightly lower revenue growth, a modestly softer profit margin outlook, a marginally higher discount rate and a small reset in assumed future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on CSL and peers points to a mixed but useful read on how analysts are thinking about valuation, execution risk and growth expectations.ナラティブの更新 • Apr 08CSL: Manufacturing Expansion And CEO Transition Will Support Future Share RecoveryAnalysts have slightly increased CSL's fair value estimate to A$208.11, citing modest adjustments to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and a higher assumed future P/E multiple as they reassess the stock following recent rating changes. Analyst Commentary Recent rating actions around CSL highlight a split in views on how much investors should pay for the stock at this stage, which feeds directly into the updated fair value estimate of A$208.11.ナラティブの更新 • Mar 25CSL: Manufacturing Expansion And Horizon 2 Rollout Will Support Future Share RecoveryNarrative Update on CSL Analysts have adjusted CSL's fair value estimate from A$205.16 to A$207.81. This reflects updated views on its discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions, alongside recent mixed rating actions on the stock.ナラティブの更新 • Mar 10CSL: Manufacturing Expansion And Leadership Transition Will Support Future Share RecoveryAnalysts have trimmed their CSL price target by about A$6 to reflect slightly lower long term fair value estimates, modestly higher discount rates and more conservative assumptions for revenue growth and profit margins, partially offset by a higher future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around CSL points to a mixed setup, with some firms taking a more constructive stance and others turning cautious.新しいナラティブ • Mar 09CSL: The Dip Is the OpportunityCSL: The Dip Is the Opportunity Most people look at CSL's stock chart right now and see a problem. Down 35% from its highs, margins cut in half, and a company in the middle of its biggest restructuring in decades.Upcoming Dividend • Mar 03Upcoming dividend of US$1.30 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 10 March 2026. Payment date: 09 April 2026. The company is paying out more than 100% of its profits but is generating plenty of cash to support the dividend. Trailing yield: 2.8%. Lower than top quartile of Australian dividend payers (6.0%). Higher than average of industry peers (1.9%).ナラティブの更新 • Feb 24CSL: Execution On Gene Therapy And Leadership Transition Will Support Share RecoveryAnalysts have trimmed their CSL fair value estimate to A$210.90 from A$228.58 as updated assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E feed through into a lower overall price target. Analyst Commentary Recent research views on CSL have been mixed, with some analysts turning more cautious while others have taken a more constructive stance at different points.新しいナラティブ • Feb 22My view on CSL Limited is positive. It’s a high-quality growth stock with strong barriers to entry through its global plasma network.One stock I find particularly compelling is CSL Limited (ASX: CSL), primarily due to its strong competitive positioning, structural growth drivers, and valuation complexity. From a fundamental perspective, CSL operates in the global plasma therapies and specialty pharmaceuticals market, where demand is relatively inelastic and supported by long-term healthcare trends.分析記事 • Feb 17CSL's (ASX:CSL) Soft Earnings Are Actually Better Than They AppearInvestors were disappointed with the weak earnings posted by CSL Limited ( ASX:CSL ). While the headline numbers were...Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Feb 17Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16%After last week's 16% share price decline to AU$152, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 22x. Average trailing P/E is 28x in the Biotechs industry globally. Total loss to shareholders of 47% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at AU$293 per share.Declared Dividend • Feb 16First half dividend of US$1.30 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of US$1.30. Ex-date: 10th March 2026 Payment date: 9th April 2026 Dividend yield will be 2.5%, which is lower than the industry average of 2.8%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is not covered by earnings (101% earnings payout ratio). However, it is covered by cash flows (57% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 8.9% per year over the past 10 years and has been stable with no material reductions to payments, indicating a long track record of dividend growth and stability. The company's earnings per share (EPS) would need to grow by 12% to bring the payout ratio under control. EPS is expected to grow by 115% over the next 3 years, which is sufficient to bring the dividend into a sustainable range.Reported Earnings • Feb 14First half 2026 earnings released: EPS: US$0.83 (vs US$4.15 in 1H 2025)First half 2026 results: EPS: US$0.83 (down from US$4.15 in 1H 2025). Revenue: US$8.33b (down 1.8% from 1H 2025). Net income: US$401.0m (down 80% from 1H 2025). Profit margin: 4.8% (down from 24% in 1H 2025). Revenue is forecast to grow 4.9% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 7.5% growth forecast for the Biotechs industry in Australia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 1% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 20% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.お知らせ • Feb 11CSL Limited Estimates Ordinary Dividend for the Six Months Period Ended December 31, 2025, Payable on April 9, 2026CSL Limited estimated the ordinary dividend of USD 1.30000000 per share for the six months period ended December 31, 2025, payable on April 9, 2026. Ex date is on March 10, 2026 with Record date is on March 11, 2026.New Risk • Feb 11New minor risk - Financial positionThe company has a high level of debt. Net debt to equity ratio: 49% This is considered a minor risk. Having a high level of debt increases the company's balance sheet risk. The company has a higher interest repayment burden, leading to the need to allocate a greater amount of its earnings towards servicing the debt, potentially limiting growth options or shareholder distributions. It can also increase the risk of bankruptcy if business conditions deteriorate enough that the company can no longer meet its debt obligations. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks High level of debt (49% net debt to equity). Dividend is not well covered by earnings (101% payout ratio). Large one-off items impacting financial results. Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (9.1% net profit margin).ナラティブの更新 • Feb 10CSL: Share Recovery Will Be Supported By Execution And Recent UpgradeAnalysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for CSL to about A$228.58 from A$232.54, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on CSL points to a mix of optimism and caution, which helps explain the modest trim in fair value.お知らせ • Feb 10+ 1 more updateCSL Limited Announces Chief Executive Officer ChangesThe Board of Directors of CSL Limited announced that Dr. Paul McKenzie will retire as Chief Executive Officer. Highly experienced former CSL senior executive and non-executive director Gordon Naylor has been appointed interim CEO, effective 11 February 2026. Gordon Naylor has had a long association with CSL. During his 33 years with the company, he was part of a small group that transformed it into a global leader in plasma therapies and vaccines. He helped design and build the Broadmeadows plasma facility and was the first Chief Engineer of that site. He has also served in senior leadership roles including Chief Financial Officer and President of Seqirus, where he led the turnaround of the global influenza business. He is a non-executive director of Orica Limited and has chaired Medical Developments International. He holds a Bachelor of Engineering (Hons), a Graduate Diploma in Computer Science, an MBA from Melbourne Business School, is a fellow of the Australian Academy of Technological Sciences and Engineering and is a Certified Practising Accountant. Dr. McKenzie will step down as CEO on 10 February 2026.新しいナラティブ • Feb 07Seqirus Demerger And Cost Savings Will Shape A Steady Long Term OutlookCatalysts About CSL CSL is a global biopharmaceutical group focused on plasma therapies, vaccines and specialty medicines addressing rare and serious diseases. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?ナラティブの更新 • Jan 26CSL: Share Recovery Will Be Driven By Seqirus Reset And Demerger DeferralAnalysts have raised their fair value target for CSL to A$232.54. This reflects slightly adjusted assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples after recent upgrades and renewed interest in the shares.ナラティブの更新 • Jan 11CSL: Shares Will Recover As Seqirus Reset And Demerger Deferral SettleAnalysts have trimmed their CSL price target slightly, with fair value moving from about A$236.57 to A$232.45, as they factor in softer Seqirus vaccination trends and the deferred vaccine demerger, while still seeing the recent share pullback as an opportunity to re-engage with the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent research on CSL focuses heavily on the updated outlook for Seqirus, the indefinitely deferred vaccine demerger, and where the current share price sits relative to revised fair value estimates.ナラティブの更新 • Dec 17CSL: Shares Will Recover As Seqirus Drag Fades After AGM DowngradeAnalysts have nudged down their price target on CSL by A$5 to reflect slightly softer long term revenue growth assumptions and a modestly higher discount rate, even as they highlight resilient margins and view the recent selloff as an opportunity to re engage with the shares. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary around CSL reflects a more constructive stance on the stock despite near term earnings noise, with valuation support emerging after the sharp pullback.お知らせ • Dec 09CSL Announces Five-Year (60-Month) Results from the Pivotal Phase 3 Hope-B StudyCSL announced five-year (60-month) results from the pivotal Phase 3 HOPE-B study, confirming the long-term Durability and safety of a one-time infusion of HEMGENIX®? (etranacogene dezaparvovec-drlb) in adults living with hemophilia B. Published in the New England Journal of Medicine (NEJM) and presented simultaneously at the American Society of Hematology (ASH) Annual Meeting, the data reaffirm HEMGENIX's consistent performance over time to deliver durable factor IX activity levels, sustained bleed protection compared to prophylaxis treatment, and continued freedom from routine prophylaxis. HEMGENIX remains the only commercially available gene therapy for adults with hemophilia B and can be used in patients with or without AAV5 neutralizing antibodies. In the Phase 3, open-label, single-dose, single-arm HOPE-B trial, 54 adult male participants with severe or moderately severe hemophilia B, with or without preexisting AAV5 neutralizing antibodies, were infused with a single dose of HEMGENIX. Of the 54 participants, 50 completed five years of follow-up. The five-year follow-up analysis demonstrated: Durable Factor IX Activity: Mean factor IX activity levels were sustained at greater than 36% during years one through five post-infusion: mean factor IX activity levels of 41.5 IU/dL (n=50) at year one, 36.7 IU/dL (n= 50) at year two, 38.6 IU/dL (n=48) at year three, 37.4 IU/dL (n=47) at year four, and 36.1 IU/dL (n= 48) at year five. Sustained Bleed Protection: The mean adjusted annualized bleeding rate (ABR) for all bleeds was reduced by approximately 90% from the lead-in (4.16, n=54) compared to year five (0.40, n=51) post-infusion. Additionally, joint bleeds were reduced by 93% from lead-in (mean ABR of 2.34 at lead-in to 0.16 at year five) and spontaneous bleeds were reduced by 94% (mean ABR of 1.52 during lead-in versus 0.09 during year five). Freedom from Prophylaxis: 94% of patients remained free of continuous prophylaxis treatment following their one-time gene therapy infusion. This rate has remained consistent over time, with only one participant resuming continuous factor IX prophylaxis at month 30 post-infusion. Favorable Safety Profile: No serious adverse events were related to treatment with HEMGENIX. HEMGENIX was generally well-tolerated, with a total of 100 treatment-related adverse events (TRAEs), most of which occurred in the first four months post-infusion. Only five TRAEs were reported between years four and five. The most common adverse events were reported between years four and 5. The most common adverse events was reported between years four and five".ナラティブの更新 • Dec 03CSL: Shares Will Recover As Seqirus Headwinds Ease After Recent PullbackAnalysts have trimmed their price target on CSL slightly, from about A$230 to A$225, reflecting tempered expectations for Seqirus amid weaker U.S. vaccination trends and the indefinite deferral of the planned vaccine business demerger, even as they note that the recent share price correction has opened a more attractive entry point. Analyst Commentary Analyst views on CSL have turned more constructive following the share price pullback, even as earnings expectations have been nudged lower to reflect the softer outlook for Seqirus.ナラティブの更新 • Nov 19CSL: Share Price Will Rebound After Vaccine Demerger Deferral And Segment HeadwindsAnalysts have marginally increased their fair value estimate for CSL from $246.49 to $246.96. This reflects a cautiously optimistic outlook as concerns over segment performance and revised vaccination forecasts are balanced by expectations of a market overreaction and longer-term recovery potential.ナラティブの更新 • Nov 04CSL: Share Price Correction Will Present Opportunity As Vaccine Uncertainty EasesCSL's analyst price target has been lowered from A$280.61 to A$246.49, reflecting analysts' revised expectations following recent updates about weaker revenue growth, a more cautious profit margin outlook, and continued challenges in key business units. Analyst Commentary Market analysts have offered mixed perspectives on CSL following recent trading updates and management commentary, resulting in shifts in both ratings and price targets.Board Change • Nov 01High number of new directorsThere are 6 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. Independent Non- Executive Director Cameron Price was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2025. The company’s lack of board continuity is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.お知らせ • Oct 28+ 1 more updateCsl Limited Revises Earnings Guidance for Financial Year 2026CSL Limited revised earnings guidance for financial year 2026. For the year, the company announced that given the factors affecting company's performance in the first half of the year, company is revising financial year 2026 revenue growth outlook to 2% to 3% from 4% to 5% previously forecasted.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Oct 28Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 19%After last week's 19% share price decline to AU$178, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 21x. Average trailing P/E is 31x in the Biotechs industry globally. Total loss to shareholders of 34% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at AU$311 per share.ナラティブの更新 • Oct 21Analysts Adjust CSL Outlook as Valuation Rises Amid Mixed Market Sentiment and Company UpdatesCSL's fair value estimate has increased modestly by $0.23 to $280.61, as analysts factor in softened revenue and profit margin assumptions in light of near-term challenges in end-market demand and distributor activity. Analyst Commentary Recent street research reflects both cautious and optimistic views toward CSL's near-term execution and longer-term prospects.ナラティブの更新 • Oct 03Operational Improvements Will Unlock Biotech Potential And China Market ExpansionThe analyst consensus price target for CSL has been revised downward by 1.5% to $280.38. Analysts cite near-term uncertainties in end-market demand and distribution dynamics as key factors in the updated valuation.分析記事 • Sep 25CSL Limited's (ASX:CSL) Share Price Not Quite Adding UpWith a median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of close to 21x in Australia, you could be forgiven for feeling...お知らせ • Sep 17CSL Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 28, 2025CSL Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 28, 2025. Location: racv city club, level 17, 501 bourke street, and, melbourne 3000 Australiaナラティブの更新 • Sep 04Operational Improvements Will Unlock Biotech Potential And China Market ExpansionDespite the consensus Analyst Price Target for CSL remaining largely unchanged, the significant increase in Future P/E from 26.27x to 40.16x indicates investor expectations for higher earnings growth or a premium valuation, resulting in only a marginal fair value decrease to A$284.79. What's in the News CSL plans to demerge its influenza vaccine division, CSL Seqirus, into a separately listed company by end of FY26, along with job cuts and a share repurchase program to allow strategic autonomy.Upcoming Dividend • Sep 04Upcoming dividend of US$1.62 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 09 September 2025. Payment date: 03 October 2025. Payout ratio is a comfortable 47% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 2.1%. Lower than top quartile of Australian dividend payers (5.6%). In line with average of industry peers (2.2%).Major Estimate Revision • Aug 25Consensus EPS estimates fall by 22%The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2026 has deteriorated. 2026 revenue forecast decreased from US$16.8b to US$16.2b. EPS estimate also fell from US$7.10 per share to US$5.50 per share. Net income forecast to shrink 11% next year vs 2.3% decline forecast for Biotechs industry in Australia. Consensus price target down from AU$315 to AU$288. Share price fell 20% to AU$217 over the past week.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Aug 25Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 20%After last week's 20% share price decline to AU$217, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 26x. Average trailing P/E is 28x in the Biotechs industry globally. Total loss to shareholders of 24% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at AU$342 per share.お知らせ • Aug 25+ 1 more updateCSL Limited to Report First Half, 2026 Results on Feb 02, 2026CSL Limited announced that they will report first half, 2026 results on Feb 02, 2026Board Change • Aug 22High number of new directorsThere are 5 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. Independent Non-executive Director Brian Daniels was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2024. The company’s lack of board continuity is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.お知らせ • Aug 21CSL Limited Announces Unfranked Dividend for the Period of Six Months Ended June 30, 2025, Payable on October 03, 2025CSL Limited announced unfranked dividend of USD 1.62000000 for the period of six months ended June 30, 2025. Record Date is September 10, 2025. Ex- date is September 09, 2025. Payment date is October 03, 2025.Declared Dividend • Aug 21Final dividend of US$1.62 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of US$1.62. Ex-date: 9th September 2025 Payment date: 3rd October 2025 Dividend yield will be 1.6%, which is lower than the industry average of 2.8%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is covered by both earnings (47% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (55% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 8.5% per year over the past 10 years and has been stable with no material reductions to payments, indicating a long track record of dividend growth and stability. EPS is expected to grow by 41% over the next 3 years, which should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover.ナラティブの更新 • Aug 20Advancements In iNOMi Technology And HEMGENIX Will Strengthen Market PositionCSL's consensus price target has been revised downward, reflecting a material drop in expected revenue growth alongside a sharply higher future P/E ratio, with fair value now set at A$291.99. What's in the News CSL expects group revenue growth of approximately 4-5% and NPATA growth of 7-10% for FY26, excluding non-recurring restructuring costs.お知らせ • Aug 19CSL Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year 2026CSL Limited provided earnings guidance for the year 2026. For the year, the company expects 2026 group revenue growth is anticipated to be approximately 4-5% over Financial Year 2025 at constant currency. "CSL's NPATA for FY26, excluding the non-recurring restructuring cost, is anticipated to be in the range of approximately $3.45 billion to $3.55 billion at constant currency, representing growth over FY25 of approximately 7-10%.Reported Earnings • Aug 19Full year 2025 earnings released: EPS: US$6.20 (vs US$5.47 in FY 2024)Full year 2025 results: EPS: US$6.20 (up from US$5.47 in FY 2024). Revenue: US$15.6b (up 5.1% from FY 2024). Net income: US$3.00b (up 14% from FY 2024). Profit margin: 19% (up from 18% in FY 2024). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 6.9% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 8.2% growth forecast for the Biotechs industry in Australia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 11% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 8% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.お知らせ • Aug 08Health Canada Authorized CSL's Andembry (Garadacimab) as Once-Monthly Treatment for Hereditary Angioedema (Hae)CSL announced that Health Canada has granted a marketing authorization for ANDEMBRY (garadacimab) for routine prevention of attacks of hereditary angioedema (HAE) in adult and pediatric patients aged 12 years and older. ANDEMBRY is a monoclonal antibody designed to target activated FXII (FXIIa), a plasma protein at the top of the HAE cascade that plays a key role in attacks of swelling in people with HAE. ANDEMBRY reinforces CSL's decades-long commitment to advancing innovation for the HAE community and is authorized with a prefilled pen for subcutaneous self-injection. HAE is a rare, chronic, and potentially life-threatening genetic disorder characterized by recurrent and predictable attacks of angioedema. Attacks of HAE are often painful and can affect multiple sites of the body, including the abdomen, larynx, face, and extremities. ANDEMBRY inhibits the top of the HAE Cascade while other HAE therapies target downstream mediators. The Health Canada authorization is based on data from the pivotal placebo-controlled Phase 3 VANGUARD trial evaluating the efficacy and safety of ANDEMBRY. The pivotal study (The Lancet, April 2023) demonstrated that treatment with ANDEMBRY: Reduced HAE attacks by a median of more than 99% and a reduced least squares mean of 89.2%, compared to placebo. Led to 62% of ANDEMBRY-treated patients remaining attack-free throughout the treatment period. The most common adverse reactions in the pivotal trial were injection site erythema, injection site bruising, injection site pruritus, injection site urticaria, headache, and abdominal pain. A published interim analysis (Allergy, Oct 2024) of the ongoing open-label extension study (median ANDEMBRY exposure of 13.8 months) showed that ANDEMBRY has a favorable long-term safety profile and provides sustained reductions in HAE attacks.分析記事 • Aug 07Is CSL Limited (ASX:CSL) Trading At A 43% Discount?ASX:CSL 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore CSL's Fair Values from the Community and select yours Key Insights The...お知らせ • Jun 18CSL Limited announces U.S. Food and Drug Administration Approves Csl's Andembry®? (Garadacimab-Gxii) Treatment Targeting Factor Xiia with Once-Monthly Dosing for All Patients from the StartCSL announced the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approved ANDEMBRY®? (garadacimab-gxii), the only treatment targeting factor XIIa for prophylactic use to prevent attacks of hereditary angioedema (HAE) in adult and pediatric patients aged 12 years and older. By targeting factor XIIa, a plasma protein that plays a key role in attacks of swelling in people with HAE, ANDEMBRY inhibits the top of the HAE cascade to prevent HAE attacks. ANDEMBRY, the only treatment to offer once-monthly dosing from the start for all patients, is a subcutaneous self-injection delivered in 15 seconds or less via an autoinjector with a citrate-free formula. HAE is a rare, chronic, and potentially life-threatening genetic disorder characterized by recurrent and predictable attacks of angioedema. This regulatory approval for ANDEMBRY is another crucial step in building toward the global availability of ANDEMBRY, which was recently approved in Australia, the United Kingdon (UK), the European Union (EU), Japan, Switzerland, and United Arab Emirates. CSL Behring will launch ANDEMBRY commercially immediately, with availability before the end of June. Healthcare professionals and patients interested in learning more about ANDEMBRY or accessing the therapy are encouraged to utilize ANDEMBRY ConnectSM, designed to offer comprehensive support and assistance through various programs. Patients who have abdominal attacks of HAE can experience extreme pain, diarrhea, nausea, and vomiting caused by swelling of the intestinal wall. HAE attacks that involve the face or throat can result in airway closure, asphyxiation and, if left untreated, death. ANDEMBRY is a novel monoclonal antibody inhibiting factor XIIa (anti-FXIIa mAb) that has completed the Phase 3 pivotal study as a new type of once-monthly subcutaneous prophylactic treatment for attacks related to HAE, a form of bradykinin-mediated angioedema. ANDEMBRY is CSL's first homegrown recombinant monoclonal antibody to gain FDA approval. It was discovered and optimized by scientists at CSL's Bio21-based research site, with formulation and manufacturing for the clinical programs completed at the CSL Broadmeadows Biotech Manufacturing Facility. ANDEMBRY uniquely inhibits the plasma protein, FXIIa. FXII is the first protein activated in the HAE pathway, initiating the cascade of events leading to an HAE attack. What are the possible side effects of ANDEMBRY? The most common side effects of ANDEMBRy include: Redness, itchiness, and bruising (injection-site reactions) Stomach (dominal) pain; Runny or stuffy nose, sneezing, watery eyes (nasopharyngitis).分析記事 • Jun 14Here's Why CSL (ASX:CSL) Can Manage Its Debt ResponsiblyHoward Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...お知らせ • May 23CSL Vifor Announces England's Nice Recommends Filspari®? (Sparsentan) as A Treatment Option for IgA NephropathyCSL Vifor announced that the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) has published final draft guidance recommending that sparsentan can be used in the NHS in England as an option to treat primary IgA nephropathy in adults with a urine protein excretion of 1.0 g/day or more, or a urine protein-to-creatinine ratio of 0.75 g/g or more. NICE has provided guidance to ensure that only patients responding to treatment continue. The decision follows authorisation from the UK's Medicines and Healthcare products Regulatory Agency (MHRA) in April 2025. What this means in practice is that there is enough evidence to show that sparsentan provides benefits and value for money, so it can be used routinely if it is considered the most suitable treatment option in this population. Sparsentan must be funded in England within 90 days of final publication of this guidance which is expected to be 27 June 2025.新しいナラティブ • Apr 15CSL is undervalued in High Tax ScenarioCSL Behring: This is CSL's largest segment and the global leader (#1) in plasma therapies within an estimated US$30 billion industry.11 It focuses on researching, developing, manufacturing, and distriUpcoming Dividend • Mar 03Upcoming dividend of US$1.30 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 10 March 2025. Payment date: 09 April 2025. Payout ratio is a comfortable 48% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 1.6%. Lower than top quartile of Australian dividend payers (6.2%). In line with average of industry peers (1.6%).新しいナラティブ • Feb 23Advancements In iNOMi Technology And HEMGENIX Will Strengthen Market Position Advancements in plasma collection and operational efficiencies are set to reduce costs and improve CSL Behring's margins, potentially boosting overall earnings. お知らせ • Feb 15CSL and Arcturus Therapeutics Announces Marketing Authorization Grant by European Commission Marketing Authorization for Kostaive (Arct-154), A Self-Amplifying Mrna Covid-19 VaccineCSL and Arcturus Therapeutics announced that the European Commission has granted marketing authorization for KOSTAIVE (ARCT-154), a self-amplifying mRNA COVID-19 vaccine, for individuals 18 years and older. KOSTAIVE is the first sa-mRNA COVID-19 vaccine to receive approval from the European Commission (EC). KOSTAIVE is currently marketed in Japan against COVID-19. The European Commission approval follows a positive opinion adopted by the Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use (CHMP) of the European Medicines Agency (EMA) on December 12, 2024. CSL - including three businesses: CSL Behring, CSL Seqirus and CSL Vifor - provides lifesaving products to patients in more than 100 countries and employs 32,000 people.お知らせ • Feb 14European Commission Approves CSL's ANDEMBRY®? (Garadacimab) for the Prevention of Recurrent Attacks of Hereditary Angioedema (HAE)CSL announced that the European Commission (EC) has approved ANDEMBRY®? (garadacimab), the first and only once-monthly treatment targeting factor XIIa to prevent attacks of hereditary angioedema (HAE) in adult and adolescent patients aged 12 years and older. ANDEMBRY inhibits plasma protein factor XIIa, which initiates the cascade of events leading to angioedema at various sites of the body. ANDEMBRY reinforces CSL's decades-long commitment to delivering innovative treatment modalities to the HAE community and comes with a convenient patient-centric pre-filled pen (auto-injector) enabling subcutaneous self-injection. The approval of ANDEMBRY is based on the efficacy and safety data from the pivotal international Phase 3 VANGUARD trial and its open-label extension study. The detailed results of the VANGUARD trial were published in The Lancet in April 2023 and the primary results of the ongoing open-label extension study were published in Allergy (October 2024). ANDEMBRY (garadacimab) is a novel Factor XIIa-inhibitory monoclonal antibody (anti-FXIIa mAb) that has completed Phase 3 clinical development as a new type of once-monthly subcutaneous prophylactic treatment for attacks related to HAE, a form of bradykinin-mediated angioedema. ANDEMBRY is CSL's first homegrown recombinant monoclonal antibody to gain approval. It was discovered and optimized by scientists at CSL's Bio21-based research site, with formulation and manufacturing for the clinical programs completed at the CSL Broadmeadows Biotech Manufacturing Facility. ANDEMBRY uniquely inhibits the plasma protein, FXIIa. Interactions: Patients should inform their doctor if they are taking any other medicines, including any medicines, vitamins or supplements that buy without a prescription from pharmacy, supermarket or health food shop. Side effects: The most commonly observed side effects associated with ANDEMBRY in the phase 3 clinical trial were injection site reactions (2/39, 5.1%) including red reactions (2/39,5.1%) including red reactions.Declared Dividend • Feb 13First half dividend of US$1.30 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of US$1.30. Ex-date: 10th March 2025 Payment date: 9th April 2025 Dividend yield will be 1.4%, which is lower than the industry average of 2.8%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is covered by both earnings (48% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (69% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 8.2% per year over the past 10 years and has been stable with no material reductions to payments, indicating a long track record of dividend growth and stability. EPS is expected to grow by 44% over the next 3 years, which should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover.Reported Earnings • Feb 12First half 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectationsFirst half 2025 results: EPS: US$4.15 (up from US$3.94 in 1H 2024). Revenue: US$8.48b (up 5.3% from 1H 2024). Net income: US$2.01b (up 5.6% from 1H 2024). Profit margin: 24% (in line with 1H 2024). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 1.1%. Earnings per share (EPS) also missed analyst estimates by 4.4%. Revenue is forecast to grow 6.6% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 9.1% growth forecast for the Biotechs industry in Australia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 6% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 1% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.お知らせ • Feb 11+ 2 more updatesJoy Linton Resumes the Role of Chief Financial Officer of CSL LimitedCSL Limited announced that Mr. Andy Schmeltz will resume the role of Executive Vice President, CSL Behring in March 2025. Ms. Joy Linton, who has been filling this role on an interim basis, will resume the role of Chief Financial Officer.お知らせ • Feb 08CSL Behring's Gene Therapy HEMGENIX®? (etranacogene dezaparvovec-drlb) Four Years Post-Infusion Data Continue to Show Sustained Efficacy and Safety in Adults with Hemophilia BCSL announced the four-year results from the pivotal HOPE-B study confirming the long-term durability and safety of a one-time infusion of HEMGENIX®? (etranacogene dezaparvovec-drlb) for adults living with hemophilia B. In an oral presentation at the 18th Annual Congress of the European Association for Haemophilia and Allied Disorders (EAHAD), data showed that through four years, HEMGENIX continues to deliver elevated and sustained factor IX activity levels, can offer long-term and greater bleed protection compared to prophylactic treatment, can eliminate the need for routine factor IX prophylaxis, and maintains a favorable safety profile. Approved in 2022 by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA), HEMGENIX is the first gene therapy for the treatment of adults with hemophilia B who currently use factor IX prophylaxis therapy, or have current or historical life-threatening bleeding, or have repeated, serious spontaneous bleeding episodes. It is also the only approved gene therapy for hemophilia B that can treat adult patients with and without AAV5 neutralizing antibodies thereby providing the potential for a greater number of eligible patients to be treated. The multi-year clinical development of HEMGENIX was led by uniQure and sponsorship of the clinical trials transitioned to CSL after it licensed global rights to commercialize the treatment. Additionally, CSL established a post-marketing registry, which will be informative to all stakeholders and will generate additional evidence on the long-term safety, efficacy, and durability of gene therapy. HEMGENIX has also been granted conditional marketing authorization by the European Commission (EC) for the European Union and European Economic Area, the UK's Medicines and Healthcare products Regulatory Agency (MHRA), as well as authorization by Health Canada, Switzerland'sSwissmedic and provisional approval by Australia'sTherapeutic Goods Administration (TGA). To determine eligibility to receive HEMGENIX, will be tested for Factor IX inhibitors. If this test result is positive, a retest will be performed 2 weeks later. If both tests are positive for Factor IX inhibitors, doctor will not administer HEMGENIX to the company. Treatment for elevated liver enzymes could include corticosteroids.お知らせ • Dec 14CSL Receives Positive CHMP Opinion for Garadacimab in Hereditary Angioedema (HAE)CSL announced the European Medicines Agency's (EMA) Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use (CHMP) adopted a positive opinion, recommending granting a marketing authorization for garadacimab as a once-monthly prophylactic treatment for hereditary angioedema (HAE) in adult and adolescent patients aged 12 years and older. Garadacimab is a monoclonal antibody that targets activated factor XII (factor XIIa), a plasma protein that plays a key role in attacks of swelling in people with HAE, thereby inhibiting the HAE cascade at the top to prevent HAE attacks. The final European Commission (EC) decision is expected in First Quarter 2025. Attacks of HAE are often painful and can spread to multiple sites of the body, including the abdomen, larynx, face, and extremities. Current HAE preventive therapies work at various downstream steps in the cascade, but none prevent the cascade at its start. The CHMP positive opinion is based on data from the pivotal placebo-controlled Phase 3 VANGUARD trial and its open-label extension study, both evaluating the efficacy and safety of garadacimab. The pivotal study met its primary endpoint and showed that garadacimab led to 62 percent of patients achieving attack-free status throughout the treatment period, reduced the median number of HAE attacks to zero and reduced the mean number of HAE attacks per month by 86.5% compared to placebo. Interim analysis of the ongoing open-label extension study (median garadacimab exposure 13.8 months) showed that garadacimab has a favorable long-term safety profile and provides sustained HAE attack reduction. The full results from VANGUARD were published in The Lancet (April 2023) and the primary results of the ongoing open-label extension study were published in Allergy (October 2024). If granted, the centralized marketing authorization of garadacimab would be valid in all EU member states. The final opinion was published in the CHMP meeting highlights on the EMA website.Recent Insider Transactions • Nov 07MD, CEO & Executive Director recently sold AU$1.1m worth of stockOn the 31st of October, Paul McKenzie sold around 4k shares on-market at roughly AU$287 per share. This transaction amounted to 15% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest sale by an insider in the last 3 months. This was Paul's only on-market trade for the last 12 months.お知らせ • Oct 17CSL Vifor and Travere Therapeutics Announces Swissmedic Approval of FILSPARI (Sparsentan) for the Treatment of IgA NephropathyCSL Vifor and Travere Therapeutics, Inc. announced that Swissmedic has granted temporary marketing authorization for FILSPARI for the treatment of adults with primary IgA nephropathy (IgAN) with a urine protein excretion =1.0 g/day (or urine protein-to-creatinine ratio =0.75 g/g). Swissmedic approval was supported by results from the pivotal phase-III PROTECT study of FILSPARI in IgAN and follows full marketing approval by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration in September 2024 and conditional marketing authorization by the European Medicines Agency in April 2024.お知らせ • Sep 14Japan's Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare Approves CSL and Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc.'s Updated Self-Amplifying mRNA Covid-19 Vaccine for Protection Against JN.1 StrainCSL and Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc. announced that Japan's Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare (MHLWs) granted approval and authorization for their updated self-amplifying mRNA (sa-mRNA) COVID-19 vaccine, KOSTAIVE. The updated vaccine is targeted to protect against the JN.1 lineage of Omicron subvariants for adults 18 years of age and older. CSL's exclusive partner in Japan, Meiji Seika Pharma, will begin distributing the updated vaccine in time for the October COVID-19 vaccination campaign, marking the commercially available sa-mRNA COVID-19 vaccine for adults 18 and older. In May 2024, a Japanese health ministry panel recommended that COVID-19 vaccines be updated to target the JN.1 lineage of Omicron subvariants for the 2024/2025 national immunization program. This aligns with recent recommendations from the World Health Organization. The approval is based on clinical evidence supporting the safety and effectiveness of CSL and Arcturus Therapeutics’ sa-mRNA COVID-19 vaccine, including published data demonstrating superior immunogenicity to Omicron BA 4/5 compared to a conventional mRNA COVID-19 vaccine booster and follow-up data demonstrating duration of immunity lasting up to one year.Recent Insider Transactions Derivative • Sep 07MD, CEO & Executive Director exercised options and sold AU$1.1m worth of stockOn the 3rd of September, Paul McKenzie exercised options to acquire 4k shares at no cost and sold these for an average price of AU$304 per share. This trade did not impact their existing holding. For the year to June 2020, Paul's total compensation was 23% salary and 77% other compensation. This indicates that these sales could comprise a meaningful part of their income for the year. Since December 2023, Paul's direct individual holding has increased from 22.46k shares to 26.95k. Company insiders have collectively sold AU$1.1m more than they bought, via options and on-market transactions in the last 12 months.Upcoming Dividend • Sep 02Upcoming dividend of US$1.45 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 09 September 2024. Payment date: 02 October 2024. Payout ratio is a comfortable 48% and the cash payout ratio is 79%. Trailing yield: 1.3%. Lower than top quartile of Australian dividend payers (6.3%). Lower than average of industry peers (2.0%).Declared Dividend • Aug 15Final dividend of US$1.45 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of US$1.45. Ex-date: 9th September 2024 Payment date: 2nd October 2024 Dividend yield will be 1.1%, which is lower than the industry average of 2.8%. Payout Ratios Payout ratio: 48%. Cash payout ratio: 85%.Reported Earnings • Aug 13Full year 2024 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectationsFull year 2024 results: EPS: US$5.47 (up from US$4.55 in FY 2023). Revenue: US$14.8b (up 11% from FY 2023). Net income: US$2.64b (up 20% from FY 2023). Profit margin: 18% (up from 17% in FY 2023). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 3.2%. Revenue is forecast to grow 6.7% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 8.1% growth forecast for the Biotechs industry in Australia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 1% per year whereas the company’s share price has remained flat.お知らせ • Aug 13+ 2 more updatesCSL Limited to Report First Half, 2025 Results on Feb 11, 2025CSL Limited announced that they will report first half, 2025 results on Feb 11, 2025お知らせ • May 23Nature Communications Publishes Pivotal Data Demonstrating Efficacy and Tolerability of CSL and Arcturus Therapeutics' COVID-19 VaccineCSL and Arcturus Therapeutics announced Nature Communications has published results from an integrated phase 1/2/3a/3b study evaluating the safety, immunogenicity, and efficacy of ARCT, 154, a novel self-amplifying (sa-mRNA) COVID-19 vaccine and the world's first approved sa-mRNA COVID-19 vaccine. The results demonstrate that two 5 mg doses of ARCT-154, sa-mRNA vaccine, were well-tolerated, immunogenic and provided significant protection against multiple strains of COVID-19. The efficacy of ARCT-154 against severe COVID-19 was 100% in healthy persons aged 18-59 and more than 90% in persons at risk of severe consequences of the disease due to co-morbidities or older age. During the observer-blind, randomized, controlled phase 1, 2, 3a and 3b integrated study, adults =18 years old receive two 5 µg doses of ARCT-154 or saline placebo 28 days apart. Phase 2/3a/3b participants were stratified by age (< 60 or = 60 years of age) and by risk of severe COVID-19 prior to being randomized 3:1 (phase 1/2/3a) or 1:1 (phase 3b) to vaccine or placebo groups. The primary endpoints were vaccine efficacy up to 2 months after dose 2, reactogenicity within up to 7 days of each dose, safety within up to 28 days after each dose, and immunogenicity measured 28 days after each dose From August 15 to January 12, 2023, 1,001 participants were randomized (748 ARCT-154 and 253 placebo) in the integrated phase 1/2/3a study, and 16,100 participants (8,056 ARCT-154 and 8,044 placebo) in the phase 3b study. In the phase 1/2/3a studies, ARCT-154 was safe and well tolerated. Most solicited adverse events were mild or moderate and resolved quickly, and rates of related or severe unsolicited adverse events were similar in the ARCT-154 and placebo groups. The phase 3b study confirmed these observations. Four weeks after the second ARCT-154 dose in phase 3b, the neutralizing antibody seroconversion rate was 94.1% (95% CI: 92•1–95•8). There were 640 confirmed, protocol-defined COVID-19 cases, mainly of the Delta variant, that were determined to be eligible for analysis, including 43 severe cases and 10 deaths attributed to COVID-19. ARCT-154 absolute efficacy was 56.6% (95% CI: 48.7– 63.3) against any COVID-19, 95•3% (80.5–98.9) against severe COVID-19 and 86.5% (-7.4–98.3) against death due to COVID-19. Efficacy against severe COVID-19 was 100% in healthy 18-59-year-olds and 91.9% (37.9-98.9) in participants in that age group with underlying co-morbidities, which put them at risk for severe disease. In adults aged 60 years or older, efficacy was 54.3% (28.2–70.9) against COVID-19 of any severity and 94.4% (58.2–99.3) against severe COVID-19.Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Apr 27Now 21% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 6.7% to AU$273. The fair value is estimated to be AU$347, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 12% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has declined by 6.4%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 7.3% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 15% per annum over the same time period.お知らせ • Apr 24CSL Vifor and Travere Therapeutics Announces European Commission Approves FILSPARI® (sparsentan) for the Treatment of IgA NephropathyCSL Vifor and Travere Therapeutics, Inc. announced that the European Commission has granted conditional marketing authorization (CMA) for FILSPARI (sparsentan) for the treatment of adults with primary IgAN with a urine protein excretion =1.0 g/day (or urine protein-to-creatinine ratio =0.75 g/g). The CMA is granted for all member states of the European Union, as well as in Iceland, Liechtenstein and Norway. The European Commission's decision follows the Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use (CHMP)'s positive opinion in February 2024, based on results from the pivotal phase-III PROTECT study of FILSPARI in IgAN. The PROTECT study met its primary endpoint at the pre-specified interim analysis with statistical significance. After 36 weeks of treatment, patients receiving FILSPARI achieved a mean reduction in proteinuria from baseline of 49.8 percent, compared to a mean reduction in proteinuria from baseline of 15.1 percent for irbesartan-treated patients. The two-year confirmatory results from the study showed treatment with FILSPARI achieved statistical significance on the eGFR chronic slope endpoint versus irbesartan and demonstrated clinically meaningful kidney function preservation.Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Mar 11Now 20% undervaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock has risen 4.3% to AU$281. The fair value is estimated to be AU$352, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 12% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has declined by 6.4%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 7.3% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 15% per annum over the same time period.お知らせ • Mar 06CSL Seqirus Confirms Full Preparation to Implement the Fda's Vaccines and Related Biological Products Advisory CommitteeCSL Seqirus confirmed it is fully prepared to deliver its influenza vaccine portfolio for the 2024/25 U.S. season, based on the trivalent strains recommended this week by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration's (FDA) Vaccines and Related Biological Products Advisory Committee (VRBPAC). During the meeting, the committee confirmed the viral strain selection of influenza vaccines for the Northern Hemisphere 2024/25 season, which aligns with the February 2024World Health Organization (WHO) annual recommendations and is unchanged from the Southern Hemisphere 2024 season. The VRBPAC's recommendation follows the October 2023 VRBPAC meeting, where the committee strongly supported the WHO's recommendation to expeditiously remove the B/Yamagata influenza virus strain from quadrivalent influenza vaccines and transition to trivalent influenza vaccines for the 2024/25 season. The recommendation was grounded in data from the WHO's global influenza response and surveillance system, which detected a decline in B/Yamagata circulation before the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic and no further circulation of B/Yamagata lineage viruses since March of 2020. The strain selection for the 2024/25 influenza season reflects the removal of B/YamagATA and it will not be included in the vaccines manufactured and delivered by CSL Seqirus. CSL Seqirus worked closely with the FDA during 2023 to align on a path forward and is fully prepared to transition its complete portfolio of seasonal influenza vaccines in the U.S. market from quadrivalent to trivalent formulations for the 2024/25 influenza year. CSL Seqirus completed its transition plan for the 2024/2025 season by December 2023 and regulatory and manufacturing teams are on track to convert the full U.S. portfolio. As a result of this effort, CSL Seqirus received FDA approval on March 4, 2024 for all of its U.S. trivalent influenza vaccines. Across the world, CSL Seqirus is collaborating with regulatory bodies and public health authorities on an appropriate transition timeline for each country that aims to ensure a smooth transition, increase vaccine confidence and improve immunization rates. The undetectable circulation of B/YamAGata is a testament to the critical role of widely implemented influenza immunization programs, amongst other contributing factors such as the inherent characteristics and epidemiology of the B/YamagATA virus and the unique environment created by the COVID-19 pand pandemic.Upcoming Dividend • Mar 04Upcoming dividend of US$1.19 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 11 March 2024. Payment date: 03 April 2024. Payout ratio is a comfortable 48% and the cash payout ratio is 98%. Trailing yield: 1.3%. Lower than top quartile of Australian dividend payers (6.3%). Lower than average of industry peers (2.7%).Declared Dividend • Feb 16First half dividend of US$1.19 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of US$1.19. Ex-date: 11th March 2024 Payment date: 3rd April 2024 Dividend yield will be 1.1%, which is lower than the industry average of 2.8%. Payout Ratios Payout ratio: 48%. Cash payout ratio: 98%.Reported Earnings • Feb 14First half 2024 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectationsFirst half 2024 results: EPS: US$3.94 (up from US$3.37 in 1H 2023). Revenue: US$8.05b (up 12% from 1H 2023). Net income: US$1.90b (up 17% from 1H 2023). Profit margin: 24% (in line with 1H 2023). Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 8.0%. Revenue is forecast to grow 7.4% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 8.4% growth forecast for the Biotechs industry in Australia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 6% per year but the company’s share price has remained flat, which means it is well ahead of earnings.お知らせ • Feb 13+ 1 more updateCSL Limited Announces Estimate Distribution for the Six Months Ended December 31, 2023, Payable on April 3, 2024CSL Limited announced estimated distribution of USD 1.19000000 per share for the six months ended December 31, 2023. Record date is March 12, 2024. Ex-date is March 11, 2024. Payment date is April 3, 2024.業績と収益の成長予測ASX:CSL - アナリストの将来予測と過去の財務データ ( )USD Millions日付収益収益フリー・キャッシュフロー営業活動によるキャッシュ平均アナリスト数6/30/202816,4143,1152,9253,993156/30/202715,7701,4522,9843,939166/30/202615,399-6472,7953,7011612/31/202515,4071,3962,4833,604N/A9/30/202515,4832,1992,5233,583N/A6/30/202515,5583,0022,5633,561N/A3/31/202515,3942,8752,2153,258N/A12/31/202415,2302,7481,8672,954N/A9/30/202415,0152,6951,6882,859N/A6/30/202414,8002,6421,5082,764N/A3/31/202414,4902,5571,3332,727N/A12/31/202314,1792,4721,1582,690N/A9/30/202313,7452,3331,0342,646N/A6/30/202313,3102,1949092,601N/A3/31/202312,5072,1567652,392N/A12/31/202211,7052,1186222,182N/A9/30/202211,1332,1861,0012,406N/A6/30/202210,5622,2551,3812,629N/A3/31/202210,5872,2901,2512,679N/A12/31/202110,6122,3251,1212,728N/A9/30/202110,4612,3501,5383,175N/A6/30/202110,3102,3751,9553,622N/A3/31/202110,1452,5202,1273,597N/A12/31/20209,9802,6652,2993,571N/A9/30/20209,5652,3841,7103,030N/A6/30/20209,1512,1031,1212,488N/A3/31/20209,0482,0541,0092,418N/A12/31/20198,9442,0068972,347N/A9/30/20198,7421,962N/A1,996N/A6/30/20198,5391,919N/A1,644N/A3/31/20198,4061,861N/A1,621N/A12/31/20188,2741,803N/A1,597N/A9/30/20188,0941,766N/A1,750N/A6/30/20187,9151,729N/A1,902N/A3/31/20187,6661,674N/A1,662N/A12/31/20177,4171,618N/A1,422N/A9/30/20177,1821,478N/A1,335N/A6/30/20176,9471,337N/A1,247N/A3/31/20176,8021,333N/A1,192N/A12/31/20166,6561,329N/A1,138N/A9/30/20166,3861,286N/A1,158N/A6/30/20166,1151,242N/A1,179N/A3/31/20165,9831,324N/A1,296N/A12/31/20155,8501,406N/A1,413N/A9/30/20155,6541,392N/A1,388N/A6/30/20155,4591,379N/A1,364N/Aもっと見るアナリストによる今後の成長予測収入対貯蓄率: CSLの予測収益成長率 (年間40.1% ) は 貯蓄率 ( 3.6% ) を上回っています。収益対市場: CSLの収益 ( 40.1% ) はAustralian市場 ( 12% ) よりも速いペースで成長すると予測されています。高成長収益: CSLの収益は今後 3 年間で 大幅に 増加すると予想されています。収益対市場: CSLの収益 ( 3.4% ) Australian市場 ( 6.2% ) よりも低い成長が予測されています。高い収益成長: CSLの収益 ( 3.4% ) 20%よりも低い成長が予測されています。一株当たり利益成長率予想将来の株主資本利益率将来のROE: CSLの 自己資本利益率 は、3年後には低くなると予測されています ( 17.4 %)。成長企業の発掘7D1Y7D1Y7D1YPharmaceuticals-biotech 業界の高成長企業。View Past Performance企業分析と財務データの現状データ最終更新日（UTC時間）企業分析2026/05/26 17:08終値2026/05/26 00:00収益2025/12/31年間収益2025/06/30データソース企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例会社財務10年損益計算書キャッシュ・フロー計算書貸借対照表SECフォーム10-KSECフォーム10-Qアナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年予想財務アナリストの目標株価アナリストリサーチレポートBlue Matrix市場価格30年株価配当、分割、措置ICEマーケットデータSECフォームS-1所有権10年トップ株主インサイダー取引SECフォーム4SECフォーム13Dマネジメント10年リーダーシップ・チーム取締役会SECフォーム10-KSECフォームDEF 14A主な進展10年会社からのお知らせSECフォーム8-K* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。分析モデルとスノーフレーク本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドやYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。業界およびセクターの指標私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。アナリスト筋CSL Limited 16 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。27 アナリスト機関Saul HadassinBarrenjoey Markets Pty LimitedThomas WakimBell PotterLyanne HarrisonBofA Global Research24 その他のアナリストを表示
Major Estimate Revision • May 12Consensus EPS estimates have been downgraded.The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2026 has deteriorated. 2026 revenue forecast decreased from US$15.8b to US$15.4b. Now expected to report a loss of US$0.44 per share instead of US$2.76 per share profit previously forecast. Biotechs industry in Australia expected to see average net income growth of 2.8% next year. Consensus price target down from AU$195 to AU$149. Share price fell 21% to AU$98.55 over the past week.
お知らせ • Oct 28+ 1 more updateCsl Limited Revises Earnings Guidance for Financial Year 2026CSL Limited revised earnings guidance for financial year 2026. For the year, the company announced that given the factors affecting company's performance in the first half of the year, company is revising financial year 2026 revenue growth outlook to 2% to 3% from 4% to 5% previously forecasted.
Major Estimate Revision • Aug 25Consensus EPS estimates fall by 22%The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2026 has deteriorated. 2026 revenue forecast decreased from US$16.8b to US$16.2b. EPS estimate also fell from US$7.10 per share to US$5.50 per share. Net income forecast to shrink 11% next year vs 2.3% decline forecast for Biotechs industry in Australia. Consensus price target down from AU$315 to AU$288. Share price fell 20% to AU$217 over the past week.
お知らせ • Aug 19CSL Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year 2026CSL Limited provided earnings guidance for the year 2026. For the year, the company expects 2026 group revenue growth is anticipated to be approximately 4-5% over Financial Year 2025 at constant currency. "CSL's NPATA for FY26, excluding the non-recurring restructuring cost, is anticipated to be in the range of approximately $3.45 billion to $3.55 billion at constant currency, representing growth over FY25 of approximately 7-10%.
ライブニュース • May 21CSL Faces A$7 Billion Write-Down as FY26 Outlook Softens and New Therapies Roll OutCSL announced an A$7 billion non-cash impairment, largely tied to the Vifor kidney treatment business and other assets. It cut its FY26 revenue and net profit forecasts to about A$15.2 billion and A$3.1 billion respectively after a 90-day review. Management highlighted weaker demand for US immunoglobulin, softer albumin pricing in China, competition in iron therapies and geopolitical uncertainty in the Middle East as key operational challenges. CSL Canada reported that the first Canadian patient has received HEMGENIX, its one-time gene therapy for hemophilia B, with public reimbursement now in place in Ontario and British Columbia and other provinces assessing coverage. The combination of a large write-down, reduced FY26 guidance and clear headwinds in core markets indicates a longer, more complex turnaround, while CSL continues to progress new therapies like HEMGENIX that may broaden its treatment portfolio. Investors can consider the risks from pressure on existing product lines and the size of the impairment alongside the potential long-term contribution of gene therapies and other growth initiatives, noting that the timing and scale of any benefits remain uncertain.
Major Estimate Revision • May 12Consensus EPS estimates have been downgraded.The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2026 has deteriorated. 2026 revenue forecast decreased from US$15.8b to US$15.4b. Now expected to report a loss of US$0.44 per share instead of US$2.76 per share profit previously forecast. Biotechs industry in Australia expected to see average net income growth of 2.8% next year. Consensus price target down from AU$195 to AU$149. Share price fell 21% to AU$98.55 over the past week.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • May 11Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 19%After last week's 19% share price decline to AU$101, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 15x. Average trailing P/E is 28x in the Biotechs industry globally. Total loss to shareholders of 65% over the past three years.
ナラティブの更新 • May 09CSL: U.S. Manufacturing Expansion And CEO Transition Will Support Long Term UpsideCSL's analyst price target has been adjusted slightly lower to A$195.41 from A$198.79 as analysts factor in marginally softer revenue growth, a small reduction in projected profit margins, a slightly lower discount rate, and a modestly lower future P/E assumption. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on the sector, including coverage of CSL peers, points to a mix of optimism about execution and long term growth, alongside pockets of caution on valuation and macro sensitivity.
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 22CSL: Manufacturing Expansion And CEO Transition Will Support Long Term Share ReboundThe CSL analyst price target has been trimmed by about A$9, as analysts now factor in slightly lower revenue growth, a modestly softer profit margin outlook, a marginally higher discount rate and a small reset in assumed future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on CSL and peers points to a mixed but useful read on how analysts are thinking about valuation, execution risk and growth expectations.
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 08CSL: Manufacturing Expansion And CEO Transition Will Support Future Share RecoveryAnalysts have slightly increased CSL's fair value estimate to A$208.11, citing modest adjustments to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and a higher assumed future P/E multiple as they reassess the stock following recent rating changes. Analyst Commentary Recent rating actions around CSL highlight a split in views on how much investors should pay for the stock at this stage, which feeds directly into the updated fair value estimate of A$208.11.
ナラティブの更新 • Mar 25CSL: Manufacturing Expansion And Horizon 2 Rollout Will Support Future Share RecoveryNarrative Update on CSL Analysts have adjusted CSL's fair value estimate from A$205.16 to A$207.81. This reflects updated views on its discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions, alongside recent mixed rating actions on the stock.
ナラティブの更新 • Mar 10CSL: Manufacturing Expansion And Leadership Transition Will Support Future Share RecoveryAnalysts have trimmed their CSL price target by about A$6 to reflect slightly lower long term fair value estimates, modestly higher discount rates and more conservative assumptions for revenue growth and profit margins, partially offset by a higher future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around CSL points to a mixed setup, with some firms taking a more constructive stance and others turning cautious.
新しいナラティブ • Mar 09CSL: The Dip Is the OpportunityCSL: The Dip Is the Opportunity Most people look at CSL's stock chart right now and see a problem. Down 35% from its highs, margins cut in half, and a company in the middle of its biggest restructuring in decades.
Upcoming Dividend • Mar 03Upcoming dividend of US$1.30 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 10 March 2026. Payment date: 09 April 2026. The company is paying out more than 100% of its profits but is generating plenty of cash to support the dividend. Trailing yield: 2.8%. Lower than top quartile of Australian dividend payers (6.0%). Higher than average of industry peers (1.9%).
ナラティブの更新 • Feb 24CSL: Execution On Gene Therapy And Leadership Transition Will Support Share RecoveryAnalysts have trimmed their CSL fair value estimate to A$210.90 from A$228.58 as updated assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E feed through into a lower overall price target. Analyst Commentary Recent research views on CSL have been mixed, with some analysts turning more cautious while others have taken a more constructive stance at different points.
新しいナラティブ • Feb 22My view on CSL Limited is positive. It’s a high-quality growth stock with strong barriers to entry through its global plasma network.One stock I find particularly compelling is CSL Limited (ASX: CSL), primarily due to its strong competitive positioning, structural growth drivers, and valuation complexity. From a fundamental perspective, CSL operates in the global plasma therapies and specialty pharmaceuticals market, where demand is relatively inelastic and supported by long-term healthcare trends.
分析記事 • Feb 17CSL's (ASX:CSL) Soft Earnings Are Actually Better Than They AppearInvestors were disappointed with the weak earnings posted by CSL Limited ( ASX:CSL ). While the headline numbers were...
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Feb 17Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16%After last week's 16% share price decline to AU$152, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 22x. Average trailing P/E is 28x in the Biotechs industry globally. Total loss to shareholders of 47% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at AU$293 per share.
Declared Dividend • Feb 16First half dividend of US$1.30 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of US$1.30. Ex-date: 10th March 2026 Payment date: 9th April 2026 Dividend yield will be 2.5%, which is lower than the industry average of 2.8%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is not covered by earnings (101% earnings payout ratio). However, it is covered by cash flows (57% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 8.9% per year over the past 10 years and has been stable with no material reductions to payments, indicating a long track record of dividend growth and stability. The company's earnings per share (EPS) would need to grow by 12% to bring the payout ratio under control. EPS is expected to grow by 115% over the next 3 years, which is sufficient to bring the dividend into a sustainable range.
Reported Earnings • Feb 14First half 2026 earnings released: EPS: US$0.83 (vs US$4.15 in 1H 2025)First half 2026 results: EPS: US$0.83 (down from US$4.15 in 1H 2025). Revenue: US$8.33b (down 1.8% from 1H 2025). Net income: US$401.0m (down 80% from 1H 2025). Profit margin: 4.8% (down from 24% in 1H 2025). Revenue is forecast to grow 4.9% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 7.5% growth forecast for the Biotechs industry in Australia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 1% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 20% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.
お知らせ • Feb 11CSL Limited Estimates Ordinary Dividend for the Six Months Period Ended December 31, 2025, Payable on April 9, 2026CSL Limited estimated the ordinary dividend of USD 1.30000000 per share for the six months period ended December 31, 2025, payable on April 9, 2026. Ex date is on March 10, 2026 with Record date is on March 11, 2026.
New Risk • Feb 11New minor risk - Financial positionThe company has a high level of debt. Net debt to equity ratio: 49% This is considered a minor risk. Having a high level of debt increases the company's balance sheet risk. The company has a higher interest repayment burden, leading to the need to allocate a greater amount of its earnings towards servicing the debt, potentially limiting growth options or shareholder distributions. It can also increase the risk of bankruptcy if business conditions deteriorate enough that the company can no longer meet its debt obligations. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks High level of debt (49% net debt to equity). Dividend is not well covered by earnings (101% payout ratio). Large one-off items impacting financial results. Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (9.1% net profit margin).
ナラティブの更新 • Feb 10CSL: Share Recovery Will Be Supported By Execution And Recent UpgradeAnalysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for CSL to about A$228.58 from A$232.54, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on CSL points to a mix of optimism and caution, which helps explain the modest trim in fair value.
お知らせ • Feb 10+ 1 more updateCSL Limited Announces Chief Executive Officer ChangesThe Board of Directors of CSL Limited announced that Dr. Paul McKenzie will retire as Chief Executive Officer. Highly experienced former CSL senior executive and non-executive director Gordon Naylor has been appointed interim CEO, effective 11 February 2026. Gordon Naylor has had a long association with CSL. During his 33 years with the company, he was part of a small group that transformed it into a global leader in plasma therapies and vaccines. He helped design and build the Broadmeadows plasma facility and was the first Chief Engineer of that site. He has also served in senior leadership roles including Chief Financial Officer and President of Seqirus, where he led the turnaround of the global influenza business. He is a non-executive director of Orica Limited and has chaired Medical Developments International. He holds a Bachelor of Engineering (Hons), a Graduate Diploma in Computer Science, an MBA from Melbourne Business School, is a fellow of the Australian Academy of Technological Sciences and Engineering and is a Certified Practising Accountant. Dr. McKenzie will step down as CEO on 10 February 2026.
新しいナラティブ • Feb 07Seqirus Demerger And Cost Savings Will Shape A Steady Long Term OutlookCatalysts About CSL CSL is a global biopharmaceutical group focused on plasma therapies, vaccines and specialty medicines addressing rare and serious diseases. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
ナラティブの更新 • Jan 26CSL: Share Recovery Will Be Driven By Seqirus Reset And Demerger DeferralAnalysts have raised their fair value target for CSL to A$232.54. This reflects slightly adjusted assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples after recent upgrades and renewed interest in the shares.
ナラティブの更新 • Jan 11CSL: Shares Will Recover As Seqirus Reset And Demerger Deferral SettleAnalysts have trimmed their CSL price target slightly, with fair value moving from about A$236.57 to A$232.45, as they factor in softer Seqirus vaccination trends and the deferred vaccine demerger, while still seeing the recent share pullback as an opportunity to re-engage with the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent research on CSL focuses heavily on the updated outlook for Seqirus, the indefinitely deferred vaccine demerger, and where the current share price sits relative to revised fair value estimates.
ナラティブの更新 • Dec 17CSL: Shares Will Recover As Seqirus Drag Fades After AGM DowngradeAnalysts have nudged down their price target on CSL by A$5 to reflect slightly softer long term revenue growth assumptions and a modestly higher discount rate, even as they highlight resilient margins and view the recent selloff as an opportunity to re engage with the shares. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary around CSL reflects a more constructive stance on the stock despite near term earnings noise, with valuation support emerging after the sharp pullback.
お知らせ • Dec 09CSL Announces Five-Year (60-Month) Results from the Pivotal Phase 3 Hope-B StudyCSL announced five-year (60-month) results from the pivotal Phase 3 HOPE-B study, confirming the long-term Durability and safety of a one-time infusion of HEMGENIX®? (etranacogene dezaparvovec-drlb) in adults living with hemophilia B. Published in the New England Journal of Medicine (NEJM) and presented simultaneously at the American Society of Hematology (ASH) Annual Meeting, the data reaffirm HEMGENIX's consistent performance over time to deliver durable factor IX activity levels, sustained bleed protection compared to prophylaxis treatment, and continued freedom from routine prophylaxis. HEMGENIX remains the only commercially available gene therapy for adults with hemophilia B and can be used in patients with or without AAV5 neutralizing antibodies. In the Phase 3, open-label, single-dose, single-arm HOPE-B trial, 54 adult male participants with severe or moderately severe hemophilia B, with or without preexisting AAV5 neutralizing antibodies, were infused with a single dose of HEMGENIX. Of the 54 participants, 50 completed five years of follow-up. The five-year follow-up analysis demonstrated: Durable Factor IX Activity: Mean factor IX activity levels were sustained at greater than 36% during years one through five post-infusion: mean factor IX activity levels of 41.5 IU/dL (n=50) at year one, 36.7 IU/dL (n= 50) at year two, 38.6 IU/dL (n=48) at year three, 37.4 IU/dL (n=47) at year four, and 36.1 IU/dL (n= 48) at year five. Sustained Bleed Protection: The mean adjusted annualized bleeding rate (ABR) for all bleeds was reduced by approximately 90% from the lead-in (4.16, n=54) compared to year five (0.40, n=51) post-infusion. Additionally, joint bleeds were reduced by 93% from lead-in (mean ABR of 2.34 at lead-in to 0.16 at year five) and spontaneous bleeds were reduced by 94% (mean ABR of 1.52 during lead-in versus 0.09 during year five). Freedom from Prophylaxis: 94% of patients remained free of continuous prophylaxis treatment following their one-time gene therapy infusion. This rate has remained consistent over time, with only one participant resuming continuous factor IX prophylaxis at month 30 post-infusion. Favorable Safety Profile: No serious adverse events were related to treatment with HEMGENIX. HEMGENIX was generally well-tolerated, with a total of 100 treatment-related adverse events (TRAEs), most of which occurred in the first four months post-infusion. Only five TRAEs were reported between years four and five. The most common adverse events were reported between years four and 5. The most common adverse events was reported between years four and five".
ナラティブの更新 • Dec 03CSL: Shares Will Recover As Seqirus Headwinds Ease After Recent PullbackAnalysts have trimmed their price target on CSL slightly, from about A$230 to A$225, reflecting tempered expectations for Seqirus amid weaker U.S. vaccination trends and the indefinite deferral of the planned vaccine business demerger, even as they note that the recent share price correction has opened a more attractive entry point. Analyst Commentary Analyst views on CSL have turned more constructive following the share price pullback, even as earnings expectations have been nudged lower to reflect the softer outlook for Seqirus.
ナラティブの更新 • Nov 19CSL: Share Price Will Rebound After Vaccine Demerger Deferral And Segment HeadwindsAnalysts have marginally increased their fair value estimate for CSL from $246.49 to $246.96. This reflects a cautiously optimistic outlook as concerns over segment performance and revised vaccination forecasts are balanced by expectations of a market overreaction and longer-term recovery potential.
ナラティブの更新 • Nov 04CSL: Share Price Correction Will Present Opportunity As Vaccine Uncertainty EasesCSL's analyst price target has been lowered from A$280.61 to A$246.49, reflecting analysts' revised expectations following recent updates about weaker revenue growth, a more cautious profit margin outlook, and continued challenges in key business units. Analyst Commentary Market analysts have offered mixed perspectives on CSL following recent trading updates and management commentary, resulting in shifts in both ratings and price targets.
Board Change • Nov 01High number of new directorsThere are 6 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. Independent Non- Executive Director Cameron Price was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2025. The company’s lack of board continuity is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.
お知らせ • Oct 28+ 1 more updateCsl Limited Revises Earnings Guidance for Financial Year 2026CSL Limited revised earnings guidance for financial year 2026. For the year, the company announced that given the factors affecting company's performance in the first half of the year, company is revising financial year 2026 revenue growth outlook to 2% to 3% from 4% to 5% previously forecasted.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Oct 28Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 19%After last week's 19% share price decline to AU$178, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 21x. Average trailing P/E is 31x in the Biotechs industry globally. Total loss to shareholders of 34% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at AU$311 per share.
ナラティブの更新 • Oct 21Analysts Adjust CSL Outlook as Valuation Rises Amid Mixed Market Sentiment and Company UpdatesCSL's fair value estimate has increased modestly by $0.23 to $280.61, as analysts factor in softened revenue and profit margin assumptions in light of near-term challenges in end-market demand and distributor activity. Analyst Commentary Recent street research reflects both cautious and optimistic views toward CSL's near-term execution and longer-term prospects.
ナラティブの更新 • Oct 03Operational Improvements Will Unlock Biotech Potential And China Market ExpansionThe analyst consensus price target for CSL has been revised downward by 1.5% to $280.38. Analysts cite near-term uncertainties in end-market demand and distribution dynamics as key factors in the updated valuation.
分析記事 • Sep 25CSL Limited's (ASX:CSL) Share Price Not Quite Adding UpWith a median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of close to 21x in Australia, you could be forgiven for feeling...
お知らせ • Sep 17CSL Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 28, 2025CSL Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 28, 2025. Location: racv city club, level 17, 501 bourke street, and, melbourne 3000 Australia
ナラティブの更新 • Sep 04Operational Improvements Will Unlock Biotech Potential And China Market ExpansionDespite the consensus Analyst Price Target for CSL remaining largely unchanged, the significant increase in Future P/E from 26.27x to 40.16x indicates investor expectations for higher earnings growth or a premium valuation, resulting in only a marginal fair value decrease to A$284.79. What's in the News CSL plans to demerge its influenza vaccine division, CSL Seqirus, into a separately listed company by end of FY26, along with job cuts and a share repurchase program to allow strategic autonomy.
Upcoming Dividend • Sep 04Upcoming dividend of US$1.62 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 09 September 2025. Payment date: 03 October 2025. Payout ratio is a comfortable 47% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 2.1%. Lower than top quartile of Australian dividend payers (5.6%). In line with average of industry peers (2.2%).
Major Estimate Revision • Aug 25Consensus EPS estimates fall by 22%The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2026 has deteriorated. 2026 revenue forecast decreased from US$16.8b to US$16.2b. EPS estimate also fell from US$7.10 per share to US$5.50 per share. Net income forecast to shrink 11% next year vs 2.3% decline forecast for Biotechs industry in Australia. Consensus price target down from AU$315 to AU$288. Share price fell 20% to AU$217 over the past week.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Aug 25Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 20%After last week's 20% share price decline to AU$217, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 26x. Average trailing P/E is 28x in the Biotechs industry globally. Total loss to shareholders of 24% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at AU$342 per share.
お知らせ • Aug 25+ 1 more updateCSL Limited to Report First Half, 2026 Results on Feb 02, 2026CSL Limited announced that they will report first half, 2026 results on Feb 02, 2026
Board Change • Aug 22High number of new directorsThere are 5 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. Independent Non-executive Director Brian Daniels was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2024. The company’s lack of board continuity is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.
お知らせ • Aug 21CSL Limited Announces Unfranked Dividend for the Period of Six Months Ended June 30, 2025, Payable on October 03, 2025CSL Limited announced unfranked dividend of USD 1.62000000 for the period of six months ended June 30, 2025. Record Date is September 10, 2025. Ex- date is September 09, 2025. Payment date is October 03, 2025.
Declared Dividend • Aug 21Final dividend of US$1.62 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of US$1.62. Ex-date: 9th September 2025 Payment date: 3rd October 2025 Dividend yield will be 1.6%, which is lower than the industry average of 2.8%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is covered by both earnings (47% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (55% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 8.5% per year over the past 10 years and has been stable with no material reductions to payments, indicating a long track record of dividend growth and stability. EPS is expected to grow by 41% over the next 3 years, which should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover.
ナラティブの更新 • Aug 20Advancements In iNOMi Technology And HEMGENIX Will Strengthen Market PositionCSL's consensus price target has been revised downward, reflecting a material drop in expected revenue growth alongside a sharply higher future P/E ratio, with fair value now set at A$291.99. What's in the News CSL expects group revenue growth of approximately 4-5% and NPATA growth of 7-10% for FY26, excluding non-recurring restructuring costs.
お知らせ • Aug 19CSL Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year 2026CSL Limited provided earnings guidance for the year 2026. For the year, the company expects 2026 group revenue growth is anticipated to be approximately 4-5% over Financial Year 2025 at constant currency. "CSL's NPATA for FY26, excluding the non-recurring restructuring cost, is anticipated to be in the range of approximately $3.45 billion to $3.55 billion at constant currency, representing growth over FY25 of approximately 7-10%.
Reported Earnings • Aug 19Full year 2025 earnings released: EPS: US$6.20 (vs US$5.47 in FY 2024)Full year 2025 results: EPS: US$6.20 (up from US$5.47 in FY 2024). Revenue: US$15.6b (up 5.1% from FY 2024). Net income: US$3.00b (up 14% from FY 2024). Profit margin: 19% (up from 18% in FY 2024). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 6.9% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 8.2% growth forecast for the Biotechs industry in Australia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 11% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 8% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.
お知らせ • Aug 08Health Canada Authorized CSL's Andembry (Garadacimab) as Once-Monthly Treatment for Hereditary Angioedema (Hae)CSL announced that Health Canada has granted a marketing authorization for ANDEMBRY (garadacimab) for routine prevention of attacks of hereditary angioedema (HAE) in adult and pediatric patients aged 12 years and older. ANDEMBRY is a monoclonal antibody designed to target activated FXII (FXIIa), a plasma protein at the top of the HAE cascade that plays a key role in attacks of swelling in people with HAE. ANDEMBRY reinforces CSL's decades-long commitment to advancing innovation for the HAE community and is authorized with a prefilled pen for subcutaneous self-injection. HAE is a rare, chronic, and potentially life-threatening genetic disorder characterized by recurrent and predictable attacks of angioedema. Attacks of HAE are often painful and can affect multiple sites of the body, including the abdomen, larynx, face, and extremities. ANDEMBRY inhibits the top of the HAE Cascade while other HAE therapies target downstream mediators. The Health Canada authorization is based on data from the pivotal placebo-controlled Phase 3 VANGUARD trial evaluating the efficacy and safety of ANDEMBRY. The pivotal study (The Lancet, April 2023) demonstrated that treatment with ANDEMBRY: Reduced HAE attacks by a median of more than 99% and a reduced least squares mean of 89.2%, compared to placebo. Led to 62% of ANDEMBRY-treated patients remaining attack-free throughout the treatment period. The most common adverse reactions in the pivotal trial were injection site erythema, injection site bruising, injection site pruritus, injection site urticaria, headache, and abdominal pain. A published interim analysis (Allergy, Oct 2024) of the ongoing open-label extension study (median ANDEMBRY exposure of 13.8 months) showed that ANDEMBRY has a favorable long-term safety profile and provides sustained reductions in HAE attacks.
分析記事 • Aug 07Is CSL Limited (ASX:CSL) Trading At A 43% Discount?ASX:CSL 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore CSL's Fair Values from the Community and select yours Key Insights The...
お知らせ • Jun 18CSL Limited announces U.S. Food and Drug Administration Approves Csl's Andembry®? (Garadacimab-Gxii) Treatment Targeting Factor Xiia with Once-Monthly Dosing for All Patients from the StartCSL announced the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approved ANDEMBRY®? (garadacimab-gxii), the only treatment targeting factor XIIa for prophylactic use to prevent attacks of hereditary angioedema (HAE) in adult and pediatric patients aged 12 years and older. By targeting factor XIIa, a plasma protein that plays a key role in attacks of swelling in people with HAE, ANDEMBRY inhibits the top of the HAE cascade to prevent HAE attacks. ANDEMBRY, the only treatment to offer once-monthly dosing from the start for all patients, is a subcutaneous self-injection delivered in 15 seconds or less via an autoinjector with a citrate-free formula. HAE is a rare, chronic, and potentially life-threatening genetic disorder characterized by recurrent and predictable attacks of angioedema. This regulatory approval for ANDEMBRY is another crucial step in building toward the global availability of ANDEMBRY, which was recently approved in Australia, the United Kingdon (UK), the European Union (EU), Japan, Switzerland, and United Arab Emirates. CSL Behring will launch ANDEMBRY commercially immediately, with availability before the end of June. Healthcare professionals and patients interested in learning more about ANDEMBRY or accessing the therapy are encouraged to utilize ANDEMBRY ConnectSM, designed to offer comprehensive support and assistance through various programs. Patients who have abdominal attacks of HAE can experience extreme pain, diarrhea, nausea, and vomiting caused by swelling of the intestinal wall. HAE attacks that involve the face or throat can result in airway closure, asphyxiation and, if left untreated, death. ANDEMBRY is a novel monoclonal antibody inhibiting factor XIIa (anti-FXIIa mAb) that has completed the Phase 3 pivotal study as a new type of once-monthly subcutaneous prophylactic treatment for attacks related to HAE, a form of bradykinin-mediated angioedema. ANDEMBRY is CSL's first homegrown recombinant monoclonal antibody to gain FDA approval. It was discovered and optimized by scientists at CSL's Bio21-based research site, with formulation and manufacturing for the clinical programs completed at the CSL Broadmeadows Biotech Manufacturing Facility. ANDEMBRY uniquely inhibits the plasma protein, FXIIa. FXII is the first protein activated in the HAE pathway, initiating the cascade of events leading to an HAE attack. What are the possible side effects of ANDEMBRY? The most common side effects of ANDEMBRy include: Redness, itchiness, and bruising (injection-site reactions) Stomach (dominal) pain; Runny or stuffy nose, sneezing, watery eyes (nasopharyngitis).
分析記事 • Jun 14Here's Why CSL (ASX:CSL) Can Manage Its Debt ResponsiblyHoward Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
お知らせ • May 23CSL Vifor Announces England's Nice Recommends Filspari®? (Sparsentan) as A Treatment Option for IgA NephropathyCSL Vifor announced that the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) has published final draft guidance recommending that sparsentan can be used in the NHS in England as an option to treat primary IgA nephropathy in adults with a urine protein excretion of 1.0 g/day or more, or a urine protein-to-creatinine ratio of 0.75 g/g or more. NICE has provided guidance to ensure that only patients responding to treatment continue. The decision follows authorisation from the UK's Medicines and Healthcare products Regulatory Agency (MHRA) in April 2025. What this means in practice is that there is enough evidence to show that sparsentan provides benefits and value for money, so it can be used routinely if it is considered the most suitable treatment option in this population. Sparsentan must be funded in England within 90 days of final publication of this guidance which is expected to be 27 June 2025.
新しいナラティブ • Apr 15CSL is undervalued in High Tax ScenarioCSL Behring: This is CSL's largest segment and the global leader (#1) in plasma therapies within an estimated US$30 billion industry.11 It focuses on researching, developing, manufacturing, and distri
Upcoming Dividend • Mar 03Upcoming dividend of US$1.30 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 10 March 2025. Payment date: 09 April 2025. Payout ratio is a comfortable 48% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 1.6%. Lower than top quartile of Australian dividend payers (6.2%). In line with average of industry peers (1.6%).
新しいナラティブ • Feb 23Advancements In iNOMi Technology And HEMGENIX Will Strengthen Market Position Advancements in plasma collection and operational efficiencies are set to reduce costs and improve CSL Behring's margins, potentially boosting overall earnings.
お知らせ • Feb 15CSL and Arcturus Therapeutics Announces Marketing Authorization Grant by European Commission Marketing Authorization for Kostaive (Arct-154), A Self-Amplifying Mrna Covid-19 VaccineCSL and Arcturus Therapeutics announced that the European Commission has granted marketing authorization for KOSTAIVE (ARCT-154), a self-amplifying mRNA COVID-19 vaccine, for individuals 18 years and older. KOSTAIVE is the first sa-mRNA COVID-19 vaccine to receive approval from the European Commission (EC). KOSTAIVE is currently marketed in Japan against COVID-19. The European Commission approval follows a positive opinion adopted by the Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use (CHMP) of the European Medicines Agency (EMA) on December 12, 2024. CSL - including three businesses: CSL Behring, CSL Seqirus and CSL Vifor - provides lifesaving products to patients in more than 100 countries and employs 32,000 people.
お知らせ • Feb 14European Commission Approves CSL's ANDEMBRY®? (Garadacimab) for the Prevention of Recurrent Attacks of Hereditary Angioedema (HAE)CSL announced that the European Commission (EC) has approved ANDEMBRY®? (garadacimab), the first and only once-monthly treatment targeting factor XIIa to prevent attacks of hereditary angioedema (HAE) in adult and adolescent patients aged 12 years and older. ANDEMBRY inhibits plasma protein factor XIIa, which initiates the cascade of events leading to angioedema at various sites of the body. ANDEMBRY reinforces CSL's decades-long commitment to delivering innovative treatment modalities to the HAE community and comes with a convenient patient-centric pre-filled pen (auto-injector) enabling subcutaneous self-injection. The approval of ANDEMBRY is based on the efficacy and safety data from the pivotal international Phase 3 VANGUARD trial and its open-label extension study. The detailed results of the VANGUARD trial were published in The Lancet in April 2023 and the primary results of the ongoing open-label extension study were published in Allergy (October 2024). ANDEMBRY (garadacimab) is a novel Factor XIIa-inhibitory monoclonal antibody (anti-FXIIa mAb) that has completed Phase 3 clinical development as a new type of once-monthly subcutaneous prophylactic treatment for attacks related to HAE, a form of bradykinin-mediated angioedema. ANDEMBRY is CSL's first homegrown recombinant monoclonal antibody to gain approval. It was discovered and optimized by scientists at CSL's Bio21-based research site, with formulation and manufacturing for the clinical programs completed at the CSL Broadmeadows Biotech Manufacturing Facility. ANDEMBRY uniquely inhibits the plasma protein, FXIIa. Interactions: Patients should inform their doctor if they are taking any other medicines, including any medicines, vitamins or supplements that buy without a prescription from pharmacy, supermarket or health food shop. Side effects: The most commonly observed side effects associated with ANDEMBRY in the phase 3 clinical trial were injection site reactions (2/39, 5.1%) including red reactions (2/39,5.1%) including red reactions.
Declared Dividend • Feb 13First half dividend of US$1.30 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of US$1.30. Ex-date: 10th March 2025 Payment date: 9th April 2025 Dividend yield will be 1.4%, which is lower than the industry average of 2.8%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is covered by both earnings (48% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (69% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 8.2% per year over the past 10 years and has been stable with no material reductions to payments, indicating a long track record of dividend growth and stability. EPS is expected to grow by 44% over the next 3 years, which should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover.
Reported Earnings • Feb 12First half 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectationsFirst half 2025 results: EPS: US$4.15 (up from US$3.94 in 1H 2024). Revenue: US$8.48b (up 5.3% from 1H 2024). Net income: US$2.01b (up 5.6% from 1H 2024). Profit margin: 24% (in line with 1H 2024). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 1.1%. Earnings per share (EPS) also missed analyst estimates by 4.4%. Revenue is forecast to grow 6.6% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 9.1% growth forecast for the Biotechs industry in Australia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 6% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 1% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.
お知らせ • Feb 11+ 2 more updatesJoy Linton Resumes the Role of Chief Financial Officer of CSL LimitedCSL Limited announced that Mr. Andy Schmeltz will resume the role of Executive Vice President, CSL Behring in March 2025. Ms. Joy Linton, who has been filling this role on an interim basis, will resume the role of Chief Financial Officer.
お知らせ • Feb 08CSL Behring's Gene Therapy HEMGENIX®? (etranacogene dezaparvovec-drlb) Four Years Post-Infusion Data Continue to Show Sustained Efficacy and Safety in Adults with Hemophilia BCSL announced the four-year results from the pivotal HOPE-B study confirming the long-term durability and safety of a one-time infusion of HEMGENIX®? (etranacogene dezaparvovec-drlb) for adults living with hemophilia B. In an oral presentation at the 18th Annual Congress of the European Association for Haemophilia and Allied Disorders (EAHAD), data showed that through four years, HEMGENIX continues to deliver elevated and sustained factor IX activity levels, can offer long-term and greater bleed protection compared to prophylactic treatment, can eliminate the need for routine factor IX prophylaxis, and maintains a favorable safety profile. Approved in 2022 by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA), HEMGENIX is the first gene therapy for the treatment of adults with hemophilia B who currently use factor IX prophylaxis therapy, or have current or historical life-threatening bleeding, or have repeated, serious spontaneous bleeding episodes. It is also the only approved gene therapy for hemophilia B that can treat adult patients with and without AAV5 neutralizing antibodies thereby providing the potential for a greater number of eligible patients to be treated. The multi-year clinical development of HEMGENIX was led by uniQure and sponsorship of the clinical trials transitioned to CSL after it licensed global rights to commercialize the treatment. Additionally, CSL established a post-marketing registry, which will be informative to all stakeholders and will generate additional evidence on the long-term safety, efficacy, and durability of gene therapy. HEMGENIX has also been granted conditional marketing authorization by the European Commission (EC) for the European Union and European Economic Area, the UK's Medicines and Healthcare products Regulatory Agency (MHRA), as well as authorization by Health Canada, Switzerland'sSwissmedic and provisional approval by Australia'sTherapeutic Goods Administration (TGA). To determine eligibility to receive HEMGENIX, will be tested for Factor IX inhibitors. If this test result is positive, a retest will be performed 2 weeks later. If both tests are positive for Factor IX inhibitors, doctor will not administer HEMGENIX to the company. Treatment for elevated liver enzymes could include corticosteroids.
お知らせ • Dec 14CSL Receives Positive CHMP Opinion for Garadacimab in Hereditary Angioedema (HAE)CSL announced the European Medicines Agency's (EMA) Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use (CHMP) adopted a positive opinion, recommending granting a marketing authorization for garadacimab as a once-monthly prophylactic treatment for hereditary angioedema (HAE) in adult and adolescent patients aged 12 years and older. Garadacimab is a monoclonal antibody that targets activated factor XII (factor XIIa), a plasma protein that plays a key role in attacks of swelling in people with HAE, thereby inhibiting the HAE cascade at the top to prevent HAE attacks. The final European Commission (EC) decision is expected in First Quarter 2025. Attacks of HAE are often painful and can spread to multiple sites of the body, including the abdomen, larynx, face, and extremities. Current HAE preventive therapies work at various downstream steps in the cascade, but none prevent the cascade at its start. The CHMP positive opinion is based on data from the pivotal placebo-controlled Phase 3 VANGUARD trial and its open-label extension study, both evaluating the efficacy and safety of garadacimab. The pivotal study met its primary endpoint and showed that garadacimab led to 62 percent of patients achieving attack-free status throughout the treatment period, reduced the median number of HAE attacks to zero and reduced the mean number of HAE attacks per month by 86.5% compared to placebo. Interim analysis of the ongoing open-label extension study (median garadacimab exposure 13.8 months) showed that garadacimab has a favorable long-term safety profile and provides sustained HAE attack reduction. The full results from VANGUARD were published in The Lancet (April 2023) and the primary results of the ongoing open-label extension study were published in Allergy (October 2024). If granted, the centralized marketing authorization of garadacimab would be valid in all EU member states. The final opinion was published in the CHMP meeting highlights on the EMA website.
Recent Insider Transactions • Nov 07MD, CEO & Executive Director recently sold AU$1.1m worth of stockOn the 31st of October, Paul McKenzie sold around 4k shares on-market at roughly AU$287 per share. This transaction amounted to 15% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest sale by an insider in the last 3 months. This was Paul's only on-market trade for the last 12 months.
お知らせ • Oct 17CSL Vifor and Travere Therapeutics Announces Swissmedic Approval of FILSPARI (Sparsentan) for the Treatment of IgA NephropathyCSL Vifor and Travere Therapeutics, Inc. announced that Swissmedic has granted temporary marketing authorization for FILSPARI for the treatment of adults with primary IgA nephropathy (IgAN) with a urine protein excretion =1.0 g/day (or urine protein-to-creatinine ratio =0.75 g/g). Swissmedic approval was supported by results from the pivotal phase-III PROTECT study of FILSPARI in IgAN and follows full marketing approval by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration in September 2024 and conditional marketing authorization by the European Medicines Agency in April 2024.
お知らせ • Sep 14Japan's Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare Approves CSL and Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc.'s Updated Self-Amplifying mRNA Covid-19 Vaccine for Protection Against JN.1 StrainCSL and Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc. announced that Japan's Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare (MHLWs) granted approval and authorization for their updated self-amplifying mRNA (sa-mRNA) COVID-19 vaccine, KOSTAIVE. The updated vaccine is targeted to protect against the JN.1 lineage of Omicron subvariants for adults 18 years of age and older. CSL's exclusive partner in Japan, Meiji Seika Pharma, will begin distributing the updated vaccine in time for the October COVID-19 vaccination campaign, marking the commercially available sa-mRNA COVID-19 vaccine for adults 18 and older. In May 2024, a Japanese health ministry panel recommended that COVID-19 vaccines be updated to target the JN.1 lineage of Omicron subvariants for the 2024/2025 national immunization program. This aligns with recent recommendations from the World Health Organization. The approval is based on clinical evidence supporting the safety and effectiveness of CSL and Arcturus Therapeutics’ sa-mRNA COVID-19 vaccine, including published data demonstrating superior immunogenicity to Omicron BA 4/5 compared to a conventional mRNA COVID-19 vaccine booster and follow-up data demonstrating duration of immunity lasting up to one year.
Recent Insider Transactions Derivative • Sep 07MD, CEO & Executive Director exercised options and sold AU$1.1m worth of stockOn the 3rd of September, Paul McKenzie exercised options to acquire 4k shares at no cost and sold these for an average price of AU$304 per share. This trade did not impact their existing holding. For the year to June 2020, Paul's total compensation was 23% salary and 77% other compensation. This indicates that these sales could comprise a meaningful part of their income for the year. Since December 2023, Paul's direct individual holding has increased from 22.46k shares to 26.95k. Company insiders have collectively sold AU$1.1m more than they bought, via options and on-market transactions in the last 12 months.
Upcoming Dividend • Sep 02Upcoming dividend of US$1.45 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 09 September 2024. Payment date: 02 October 2024. Payout ratio is a comfortable 48% and the cash payout ratio is 79%. Trailing yield: 1.3%. Lower than top quartile of Australian dividend payers (6.3%). Lower than average of industry peers (2.0%).
Declared Dividend • Aug 15Final dividend of US$1.45 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of US$1.45. Ex-date: 9th September 2024 Payment date: 2nd October 2024 Dividend yield will be 1.1%, which is lower than the industry average of 2.8%. Payout Ratios Payout ratio: 48%. Cash payout ratio: 85%.
Reported Earnings • Aug 13Full year 2024 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectationsFull year 2024 results: EPS: US$5.47 (up from US$4.55 in FY 2023). Revenue: US$14.8b (up 11% from FY 2023). Net income: US$2.64b (up 20% from FY 2023). Profit margin: 18% (up from 17% in FY 2023). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 3.2%. Revenue is forecast to grow 6.7% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 8.1% growth forecast for the Biotechs industry in Australia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 1% per year whereas the company’s share price has remained flat.
お知らせ • Aug 13+ 2 more updatesCSL Limited to Report First Half, 2025 Results on Feb 11, 2025CSL Limited announced that they will report first half, 2025 results on Feb 11, 2025
お知らせ • May 23Nature Communications Publishes Pivotal Data Demonstrating Efficacy and Tolerability of CSL and Arcturus Therapeutics' COVID-19 VaccineCSL and Arcturus Therapeutics announced Nature Communications has published results from an integrated phase 1/2/3a/3b study evaluating the safety, immunogenicity, and efficacy of ARCT, 154, a novel self-amplifying (sa-mRNA) COVID-19 vaccine and the world's first approved sa-mRNA COVID-19 vaccine. The results demonstrate that two 5 mg doses of ARCT-154, sa-mRNA vaccine, were well-tolerated, immunogenic and provided significant protection against multiple strains of COVID-19. The efficacy of ARCT-154 against severe COVID-19 was 100% in healthy persons aged 18-59 and more than 90% in persons at risk of severe consequences of the disease due to co-morbidities or older age. During the observer-blind, randomized, controlled phase 1, 2, 3a and 3b integrated study, adults =18 years old receive two 5 µg doses of ARCT-154 or saline placebo 28 days apart. Phase 2/3a/3b participants were stratified by age (< 60 or = 60 years of age) and by risk of severe COVID-19 prior to being randomized 3:1 (phase 1/2/3a) or 1:1 (phase 3b) to vaccine or placebo groups. The primary endpoints were vaccine efficacy up to 2 months after dose 2, reactogenicity within up to 7 days of each dose, safety within up to 28 days after each dose, and immunogenicity measured 28 days after each dose From August 15 to January 12, 2023, 1,001 participants were randomized (748 ARCT-154 and 253 placebo) in the integrated phase 1/2/3a study, and 16,100 participants (8,056 ARCT-154 and 8,044 placebo) in the phase 3b study. In the phase 1/2/3a studies, ARCT-154 was safe and well tolerated. Most solicited adverse events were mild or moderate and resolved quickly, and rates of related or severe unsolicited adverse events were similar in the ARCT-154 and placebo groups. The phase 3b study confirmed these observations. Four weeks after the second ARCT-154 dose in phase 3b, the neutralizing antibody seroconversion rate was 94.1% (95% CI: 92•1–95•8). There were 640 confirmed, protocol-defined COVID-19 cases, mainly of the Delta variant, that were determined to be eligible for analysis, including 43 severe cases and 10 deaths attributed to COVID-19. ARCT-154 absolute efficacy was 56.6% (95% CI: 48.7– 63.3) against any COVID-19, 95•3% (80.5–98.9) against severe COVID-19 and 86.5% (-7.4–98.3) against death due to COVID-19. Efficacy against severe COVID-19 was 100% in healthy 18-59-year-olds and 91.9% (37.9-98.9) in participants in that age group with underlying co-morbidities, which put them at risk for severe disease. In adults aged 60 years or older, efficacy was 54.3% (28.2–70.9) against COVID-19 of any severity and 94.4% (58.2–99.3) against severe COVID-19.
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Apr 27Now 21% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 6.7% to AU$273. The fair value is estimated to be AU$347, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 12% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has declined by 6.4%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 7.3% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 15% per annum over the same time period.
お知らせ • Apr 24CSL Vifor and Travere Therapeutics Announces European Commission Approves FILSPARI® (sparsentan) for the Treatment of IgA NephropathyCSL Vifor and Travere Therapeutics, Inc. announced that the European Commission has granted conditional marketing authorization (CMA) for FILSPARI (sparsentan) for the treatment of adults with primary IgAN with a urine protein excretion =1.0 g/day (or urine protein-to-creatinine ratio =0.75 g/g). The CMA is granted for all member states of the European Union, as well as in Iceland, Liechtenstein and Norway. The European Commission's decision follows the Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use (CHMP)'s positive opinion in February 2024, based on results from the pivotal phase-III PROTECT study of FILSPARI in IgAN. The PROTECT study met its primary endpoint at the pre-specified interim analysis with statistical significance. After 36 weeks of treatment, patients receiving FILSPARI achieved a mean reduction in proteinuria from baseline of 49.8 percent, compared to a mean reduction in proteinuria from baseline of 15.1 percent for irbesartan-treated patients. The two-year confirmatory results from the study showed treatment with FILSPARI achieved statistical significance on the eGFR chronic slope endpoint versus irbesartan and demonstrated clinically meaningful kidney function preservation.
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Mar 11Now 20% undervaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock has risen 4.3% to AU$281. The fair value is estimated to be AU$352, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 12% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has declined by 6.4%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 7.3% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 15% per annum over the same time period.
お知らせ • Mar 06CSL Seqirus Confirms Full Preparation to Implement the Fda's Vaccines and Related Biological Products Advisory CommitteeCSL Seqirus confirmed it is fully prepared to deliver its influenza vaccine portfolio for the 2024/25 U.S. season, based on the trivalent strains recommended this week by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration's (FDA) Vaccines and Related Biological Products Advisory Committee (VRBPAC). During the meeting, the committee confirmed the viral strain selection of influenza vaccines for the Northern Hemisphere 2024/25 season, which aligns with the February 2024World Health Organization (WHO) annual recommendations and is unchanged from the Southern Hemisphere 2024 season. The VRBPAC's recommendation follows the October 2023 VRBPAC meeting, where the committee strongly supported the WHO's recommendation to expeditiously remove the B/Yamagata influenza virus strain from quadrivalent influenza vaccines and transition to trivalent influenza vaccines for the 2024/25 season. The recommendation was grounded in data from the WHO's global influenza response and surveillance system, which detected a decline in B/Yamagata circulation before the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic and no further circulation of B/Yamagata lineage viruses since March of 2020. The strain selection for the 2024/25 influenza season reflects the removal of B/YamagATA and it will not be included in the vaccines manufactured and delivered by CSL Seqirus. CSL Seqirus worked closely with the FDA during 2023 to align on a path forward and is fully prepared to transition its complete portfolio of seasonal influenza vaccines in the U.S. market from quadrivalent to trivalent formulations for the 2024/25 influenza year. CSL Seqirus completed its transition plan for the 2024/2025 season by December 2023 and regulatory and manufacturing teams are on track to convert the full U.S. portfolio. As a result of this effort, CSL Seqirus received FDA approval on March 4, 2024 for all of its U.S. trivalent influenza vaccines. Across the world, CSL Seqirus is collaborating with regulatory bodies and public health authorities on an appropriate transition timeline for each country that aims to ensure a smooth transition, increase vaccine confidence and improve immunization rates. The undetectable circulation of B/YamAGata is a testament to the critical role of widely implemented influenza immunization programs, amongst other contributing factors such as the inherent characteristics and epidemiology of the B/YamagATA virus and the unique environment created by the COVID-19 pand pandemic.
Upcoming Dividend • Mar 04Upcoming dividend of US$1.19 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 11 March 2024. Payment date: 03 April 2024. Payout ratio is a comfortable 48% and the cash payout ratio is 98%. Trailing yield: 1.3%. Lower than top quartile of Australian dividend payers (6.3%). Lower than average of industry peers (2.7%).
Declared Dividend • Feb 16First half dividend of US$1.19 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of US$1.19. Ex-date: 11th March 2024 Payment date: 3rd April 2024 Dividend yield will be 1.1%, which is lower than the industry average of 2.8%. Payout Ratios Payout ratio: 48%. Cash payout ratio: 98%.
Reported Earnings • Feb 14First half 2024 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectationsFirst half 2024 results: EPS: US$3.94 (up from US$3.37 in 1H 2023). Revenue: US$8.05b (up 12% from 1H 2023). Net income: US$1.90b (up 17% from 1H 2023). Profit margin: 24% (in line with 1H 2023). Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 8.0%. Revenue is forecast to grow 7.4% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 8.4% growth forecast for the Biotechs industry in Australia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 6% per year but the company’s share price has remained flat, which means it is well ahead of earnings.
お知らせ • Feb 13+ 1 more updateCSL Limited Announces Estimate Distribution for the Six Months Ended December 31, 2023, Payable on April 3, 2024CSL Limited announced estimated distribution of USD 1.19000000 per share for the six months ended December 31, 2023. Record date is March 12, 2024. Ex-date is March 11, 2024. Payment date is April 3, 2024.
