AppLovin Crescita futura
Criteri Future verificati 6/6
AppLovin prevede che gli utili e i ricavi cresceranno rispettivamente di 21.6% e 20.9% all'anno. Si prevede che l'EPS crescerà di 22.9% all'anno. Si prevede che il ritorno sul capitale proprio sarà di 92.6% in 3 anni.
Informazioni chiave
21.6%
Tasso di crescita degli utili
22.92%
Tasso di crescita dell'EPS
| Software crescita degli utili | 19.6% |
| Tasso di crescita dei ricavi | 20.9% |
| Rendimento futuro del capitale proprio | 92.58% |
| Copertura analitica | Good |
| Ultimo aggiornamento | 15 May 2026 |
Aggiornamenti recenti sulla crescita futura
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • May 15
AppLovin's Breakout Is Nearly Here - Robust Performance Metrics & Bullish Support
Summary APP's dominant ad mediation position, vertical SSP/DSP integration, and expansion into new verticals underpin their highly successful ad-tech prospects at a time of AI boom. Beyond the promising FQ2'26 guidance, the ad-tech company is likely to deliver robust H2'26 numbers, attributed by the potentially robust uptake of AXON 2.0 upon public launch. APP has also demonstrated their accelerating, profitable growth trends through the Rule of 144.2% outperformance in FQ1'26 (+5.7 points YoY), across revenue growth and adj EBITDA margins. Valuations remain compelling at EV/EBITDA of 22.91x and 3Y PEG of 0.72x, with potential P/E re-rating to historical levels triggering an expanded upside potential to my bull-case LTPT of $892.40. APP remains a Great Buy here, with the uptrend technical support and the bottoming trading volumes implying a potential breakout in the near-term. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Aggiornamento della narrazione • May 14
APP: Ongoing Buybacks Will Support Future Upside At Current Pricing
Analysts are keeping their $860.00 price target for AppLovin unchanged, citing adjustments to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions that largely offset each other in their updated models. What's in the News From January 1, 2026 to March 31, 2026, AppLovin repurchased 2,170,000 shares, representing 0.64%, for US$1,004.46m.
Nuova narrazione • May 13
AXON's E-Commerce Expansion Will Unlock AppLovin's Next Growth Chapter
AppLovin has quietly built one of the most profitable AI software platforms in the public markets. The core thesis is simple: AXON, the company's proprietary AI advertising engine, is expanding beyond its proven mobile gaming foundation into e-commerce — a transition that could dramatically expand the total addressable market and re-rate the stock.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Apr 29
APP: Share Repurchases Will Support Future Upside At Current Pricing
Analysts now see AppLovin's fair value holding at $860, with a slightly lower discount rate, a modestly higher revenue growth outlook near 40%, a stable profit margin around 72%, and a marginally lower future P/E closer to 34. Together, these factors support a steady price target narrative rather than a major reset.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Apr 15
APP: Ongoing Buybacks And Strong 2026 Guidance Will Support Further Upside
Analysts have trimmed their average price target for AppLovin slightly, by about $5 per share. This reflects updated assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E that remain broadly consistent with prior views.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Apr 01
APP: Share Buybacks And 2026 Revenue Outlook Will Support Balanced Return Potential
Analysts have lowered their price target on AppLovin from $476.89 to $429.35, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and a reduced future P/E multiple as the main factors behind the revision. What's in the News AppLovin reported that between October 1, 2025 and December 31, 2025 it repurchased 660,000 shares, representing 0.19% of its shares, for US$409.49 million under its ongoing buyback program (Key Developments).Aggiornamento della narrazione • Mar 18
APP: Share Repurchases And Margin Outlook Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts now see higher upside for AppLovin, lifting the fair value estimate from $650.00 to $860.00 as they factor in updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels. What's in the News AppLovin completed a buyback tranche between October 1, 2025 and December 31, 2025, repurchasing 660,000 shares for $409.49 million, equal to 0.19% of its shares under the existing program (Key Developments).Aggiornamento della narrazione • Mar 04
APP: Higher 2026 Guidance And Strong Margins Will Support Further Upside
Analysts have lowered their AppLovin price target to $651.43 from $737.21 as they incorporate updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and a reduced future P/E multiple, which reflects a more balanced view of the company’s risk and return profile. What's in the News AppLovin issued earnings guidance for the first quarter of 2026, with total revenue expected to be in the range of $1.745 billion to $1.775 billion (Key Developments).Aggiornamento della narrazione • Feb 17
APP: Higher 2026 Revenue Outlook And Rich Margins Will Support Upside Potential
Analysts have adjusted their price target on AppLovin to $476.89 from $530.78, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples. What's in the News AppLovin issued new earnings guidance for the first quarter of 2026, setting expected total revenue in a range of US$1.745b to US$1.775b (Key Developments).Articolo di analisi • Feb 04
AppLovin Corporation (NASDAQ:APP) Shares Slammed 25% But Getting In Cheap Might Be Difficult Regardless
AppLovin Corporation ( NASDAQ:APP ) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with...Aggiornamento della narrazione • Feb 03
APP: Ongoing Buybacks And Rich Margins Will Likely Keep Shares Rangebound
Analysts now see lower upside for AppLovin, trimming their price expectations from about US$544.25 to roughly US$530.78, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels. What's in the News AppLovin issued earnings guidance for the fourth quarter of 2025, with expected revenue in a range of US$1,570m to US$1,600m.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Jan 20
APP: Heavy Buybacks And Lofty Margins Will Likely Cap Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for AppLovin to $544.25, a modest move from $538.97. The change reflects refreshed assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate and future P/E multiples.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Jan 06
APP: Rich Buybacks And Margin Assumptions Will Likely Overstretch Future Returns
Analysts have lifted their price target on AppLovin from US$318.43 to US$538.97, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E. They now view these assumptions as more supportive of a higher fair value range.Articolo di analisi • Dec 19
Subdued Growth No Barrier To AppLovin Corporation (NASDAQ:APP) With Shares Advancing 31%
AppLovin Corporation ( NASDAQ:APP ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 31% after a shaky period...Aggiornamento della narrazione • Dec 17
APP: Share Repurchases And Index Additions Will Support Future Measured Upside
Analysts have raised their price target on AppLovin by about 9 dollars to roughly 737 dollars per share, citing slightly stronger long term revenue growth assumptions and a modest uptick in expected valuation multiples, despite a marginally lower projected profit margin. What's in the News AppLovin completed a major share repurchase tranche, buying back 1,187,000 shares in the third quarter of 2025.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Dec 03
APP: Expanded Share Repurchases Will Drive Future Bullish Momentum
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on AppLovin by about 1 percent to approximately 728.25 dollars, citing slightly stronger expected revenue growth, marginally improved profit margins, and a still elevated but easing future earnings multiple. What's in the News AppLovin expanded its share repurchase activity, completing the buyback of 76.6 million shares, or about 21.4% of shares outstanding, for roughly 4.18 billion dollars, including 1.19 million shares repurchased in the latest quarter for 510.29 million dollars (company buyback update).Aggiornamento della narrazione • Nov 19
APP: Share Buyback Authorization Will Drive Increased Bullish Momentum
Analysts have raised their price target for AppLovin from $649.96 to $718.71, citing improved profit margins and a lower discount rate as key drivers for the updated valuation. What's in the News AppLovin completed the repurchase of over 76.6 million shares, representing 21.42% of its outstanding shares for $4.18 billion.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Nov 01
APP: Index Additions And Profit Margin Gains Will Shape Outlook
Analysts have slightly raised their price target for AppLovin from $646.30 to $649.96, citing expectations for higher revenue growth and improved profit margins in the future. What's in the News AppLovin has been added to several major indices, including the S&P Global 1200, S&P 500 Growth, S&P Composite 1500, and S&P 500 (Key Developments) The company was added to the S&P 500 Equal Weighted and S&P 500 Software & Services (Industry Group) indices (Key Developments) AppLovin was removed from the Russell Small Cap Comp Growth Index (Key Developments) The company repurchased 732,000 shares, bringing the total buyback to over 75 million shares under the program announced in 2022 (Key Developments) Earnings guidance for the third quarter of 2025 was provided, with expected revenue between $1,320 million and $1,340 million (Key Developments) Valuation Changes Consensus Analyst Price Target has risen slightly from $646.30 to $649.96.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Oct 18
AXON And Shopify Integration Will Unlock Global Mobile Advertising
Narrative Update: AppLovin Analyst Price Target Revised Upward Analysts have raised their fair value price target for AppLovin from $613.59 to $646.30, citing improved revenue growth projections and a slight increase in expected profit margins. What's in the News AppLovin Corporation was added to the S&P Global 1200 index (Key Developments) AppLovin joined the S&P 500 Equal Weighted index (Key Developments) The company was dropped from the Russell Small Cap Comp Growth Index (Key Developments) A repurchase of 732,000 shares was completed between April and June 2025, marking over 21% completed under the buyback program (Key Developments) The company issued earnings guidance for the third quarter of 2025, with expected revenue between $1,320 million and $1,340 million (Key Developments) Valuation Changes Consensus Analyst Price Target increased from $613.59 to $646.30, reflecting a higher valuation outlook.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Oct 03
AXON And Shopify Integration Will Unlock Global Mobile Advertising
AppLovin's analyst price target has been revised upward by analysts, increasing from $517.81 to $613.59. This reflects continued optimism about the company's revenue growth and future earnings outlook.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Sep 17
AXON And Shopify Integration Will Unlock Global Mobile Advertising
The upward revision in AppLovin’s price target reflects a modest increase in its expected future P/E multiple while revenue growth forecasts remain largely unchanged, resulting in a new consensus target of $517.81. What's in the News Repurchased 732,000 shares for $270.03 million from April to June, completing the buyback of 75.45 million shares (21.07%) for $3.67 billion.Articolo di analisi • Sep 05
Investors Appear Satisfied With AppLovin Corporation's (NASDAQ:APP) Prospects As Shares Rocket 32%
AppLovin Corporation ( NASDAQ:APP ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 32% after a shaky period...Aggiornamento della narrazione • Sep 02
AXON And Shopify Integration Will Unlock Global Mobile Advertising
AppLovin’s valuation outlook remains stable, with both its future P/E and discount rate essentially unchanged, resulting in only a slight increase in the consensus analyst price target from $493.19 to $499.14. What's in the News Repurchased 732,000 shares for $270.03 million, completing 75,452,556 shares or 21.07% under the buyback program since February 2022.Seeking Alpha • Apr 23
It's Time To Start Loving AppLovin Shares Again!
Summary AppLovin's shares are undervalued due to a 50% drawdown, despite strong growth in its core in-game advertising business and promising expansion into e-commerce advertising. Three catalysts could drive a rerating: potential earnings surprise, a report refuting short-seller allegations, and the sale of the game studio business. AppLovin's Axon platform, leveraging AI for targeted advertising, has shown exceptional ROI for game developers and is gaining traction in e-commerce. Despite macroeconomic uncertainties, AppLovin's strong profitability and growth prospects make it a compelling buy at current valuations. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 28
AppLovin: A High-Growth Play In A Trillion-Dollar Market
Summary AppLovin has outperformed competitors like Unity and large tech firms by capturing significant market share in the mobile app ad space. Despite recent short-seller reports, AppLovin's growth prospects remain strong, with expected revenue growth of 21% and EPS growth of more than double that. The current valuation, with a forward P/E ratio of 41x and a PEG ratio of 0.77x, is justified given the growth rate. Investors should be prepared for volatility but consider the recent dip an attractive entry point for long-term growth. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 21
AppLovin: Misplaced Priorities And Wild Overvaluation
Summary AppLovin is poised to face fierce competition over the next few years, which will be difficult to overcome given questionable priorities in capital allocation. It is almost certain that a niche that allows AppLovin to generate close to 80% EBITDA margin will attract numerous competitors, including digital advertising monsters like Google and Meta. APP's valuation is disconnected from fundamentals, with forward P/E ratios higher than Nvidia's and the DCF model flagging massive overvaluation. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 14
AppLovin's Stock Can't Outrun The Broader Selloff - Rating Downgraded
Summary I foresee continued downside for AppLovin, possibly testing the mid-$100s support levels, despite seeing no major changes in the company's internal operations. I believe AppLovin's premium valuation is unsustainable in a market downturn. Paying 39x operating cash flow doesn’t make sense compared to cheaper competitors like Unity. The stock has declined 5.6x more than the S&P 500 since February 20, indicating the potential for steeper losses if the broader selloff continues toward SPY’s $480 support. I am not particularly excited by the CEO's insider selling activity at the end of February. If the $900M app segment deal closes, I anticipate a temporary share price boost, but I believe macro pressures will ultimately outweigh investor enthusiasm. I downgrade APP stock to a strong sell. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaPrevisioni di crescita degli utili e dei ricavi
| Data | Ricavi | Utili | Flusso di cassa libero | Liquidità dell'operazione | Avg. Numero di analisti |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 13,353 | 8,919 | 9,296 | 8,834 | 17 |
| 12/31/2027 | 10,593 | 7,016 | 7,117 | 6,909 | 31 |
| 12/31/2026 | 8,201 | 5,409 | 5,575 | 5,486 | 25 |
| 3/31/2026 | 6,164 | 3,915 | 4,411 | 4,439 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 5,481 | 3,433 | 3,987 | 4,015 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 4,822 | 2,926 | 3,377 | 3,403 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 4,252 | 2,523 | 2,874 | 2,900 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 3,705 | 2,052 | 2,548 | 2,574 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 3,224 | 1,587 | 2,073 | 2,099 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 3,178 | 1,163 | 1,790 | 1,742 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 3,207 | 838 | 1,424 | 1,390 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 3,246 | 617 | 1,161 | 1,166 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 1,842 | 456 | 998 | 1,062 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 3,032 | 104 | 833 | 881 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 2,881 | 20 | 820 | 856 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 2,907 | -82 | 734 | 733 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 2,817 | -193 | 412 | 413 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 2,908 | -85 | 328 | 335 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 2,922 | -108 | 278 | 285 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 2,815 | -73 | 261 | 268 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 2,793 | 32 | 360 | 362 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 2,509 | -15 | 373 | 377 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 2,164 | -105 | 286 | 290 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 1,795 | -140 | 236 | 239 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 1,451 | -125 | 220 | 223 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 994 | 76 | N/A | 198 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 483 | -260 | N/A | 139 | N/A |
Previsioni di crescita futura degli analisti
Guadagni vs tasso di risparmio: La crescita prevista degli utili di APP ( 21.6% all'anno) è superiore al tasso di risparmio ( 3.5% ).
Guadagni vs Mercato: Si prevede che gli utili di APP ( 21.6% all'anno) cresceranno più rapidamente del mercato US ( 16.8% all'anno).
Guadagni ad alta crescita: Si prevede che gli utili di APP cresceranno in modo significativo nei prossimi 3 anni.
Ricavi vs Mercato: Si prevede che il fatturato di APP ( 20.9% all'anno) crescerà più rapidamente del mercato US ( 11.6% all'anno).
Ricavi ad alta crescita: Si prevede che il fatturato di APP ( 20.9% all'anno) crescerà più rapidamente di 20% all'anno.
Previsioni di crescita dell'utile per azione
Rendimento futuro del capitale proprio
ROE futuro: Si prevede che il Return on Equity di APP sarà molto alto tra 3 anni ( 92.6 %).
Scoprire le aziende in crescita
Analisi aziendale e situazione dei dati finanziari
| Dati | Ultimo aggiornamento (ora UTC) |
|---|---|
| Analisi dell'azienda | 2026/05/19 18:49 |
| Prezzo dell'azione a fine giornata | 2026/05/19 00:00 |
| Utili | 2026/03/31 |
| Utili annuali | 2025/12/31 |
Fonti dei dati
I dati utilizzati nella nostra analisi aziendale provengono da S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. I seguenti dati sono utilizzati nel nostro modello di analisi per generare questo report. I dati sono normalizzati, il che può comportare un ritardo nella disponibilità della fonte.
| Pacchetto | Dati | Tempistica | Esempio Fonte USA * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dati finanziari della società | 10 anni |
| |
| Stime di consenso degli analisti | +3 anni |
|
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| Prezzi di mercato | 30 anni |
| |
| Proprietà | 10 anni |
| |
| Gestione | 10 anni |
| |
| Sviluppi principali | 10 anni |
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* Esempio per i titoli statunitensi, per i titoli non statunitensi si utilizzano forme e fonti normative equivalenti.
Se non specificato, tutti i dati finanziari si basano su un periodo annuale ma vengono aggiornati trimestralmente. Si tratta dei cosiddetti dati TTM (Trailing Twelve Month) o LTM (Last Twelve Month). Per saperne di più.
Modello di analisi e Snowflake
I dettagli del modello di analisi utilizzato per generare questo report sono disponibili sulla nostra pagina Github; abbiamo anche guide su come utilizzare i nostri report e tutorial su Youtube.
Scoprite il team di livello mondiale che ha progettato e realizzato il modello di analisi Simply Wall St.
Metriche di settore e industriali
Le nostre metriche di settore e di sezione sono calcolate ogni 6 ore da Simply Wall St; i dettagli del nostro processo sono disponibili su Github.
Fonti analitiche
AppLovin Corporation è coperta da 49 analisti. 31 di questi analisti ha fornito le stime di fatturato o di utile utilizzate come input per il nostro report. Le stime degli analisti vengono aggiornate nel corso della giornata.
| Analista | Istituzione |
|---|---|
| David Mak | Arete Research Services LLP |
| Michael Hickey | Benchmark Company |
| Omar Dessouky | BofA Global Research |