AMERISAFE, Inc.

Report azionario NasdaqGS:AMSF

Capitalizzazione di mercato: US$564.1m

AMERISAFE Crescita futura

Criteri Future verificati 0/6

Si prevede che gli utili di AMERISAFE diminuiranno del 10.6% all'anno, mentre si prevede che il fatturato annuo crescerà del 4.6% all'anno. Si prevede che l'EPS diminuirà del 10.9% all'anno.

Informazioni chiave

-10.6%

Tasso di crescita degli utili

-10.86%

Tasso di crescita dell'EPS

Insurance crescita degli utili1.8%
Tasso di crescita dei ricavi4.6%
Rendimento futuro del capitale proprion/a
Copertura analitica

Low

Ultimo aggiornamento27 Apr 2026

Aggiornamenti recenti sulla crescita futura

Recent updates

Aggiornamento della narrazione • May 13

AMSF: Premium Growth And Dividend Increases Will Support Future Share Returns

Analysts have trimmed their price target on AMERISAFE by $5 to $45, citing updated assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. This follows recent research that highlighted higher accident year losses, partially offset by stronger premium growth, and a view that the stock is fairly valued.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Apr 28

AMSF: Higher Accident Year Losses And Margin Pressure Will Constrain Future Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed AMERISAFE's price target to $31 from $36, citing updated assumptions for slower revenue growth, slightly lower profit margins, and a modestly reduced future P/E outlook after recent research following its Q4 earnings miss and higher accident year losses. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates highlight a more cautious tone around AMERISAFE, with several bearish analysts trimming price targets after the Q4 earnings miss and higher accident year losses.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Apr 14

AMSF: Premium Trends And Rebased P/E Are Expected To Drive Future Repricing

Analysts have reduced their price targets on AMERISAFE by about $11 to around $39. They cite recent earnings results in which higher accident year losses and revised growth and profitability assumptions are partially offset by higher premium growth and a recalibrated future P/E outlook.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Mar 31

AMSF: Higher Accident Year Losses Will Limit Upside As Shares Appear Fairly Valued

Analysts have reset their price target on AMERISAFE to $36, a reduction of $9 from the prior $45 level, citing higher accident year losses partially offset by stronger premium growth and a view that the shares are now fairly valued. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts are recalibrating expectations on AMERISAFE after the recent Q4 earnings miss, with a reset price target of $36 indicating a more cautious stance on the risk and reward tradeoff at current levels.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Mar 16

AMSF: Higher Accident Year Losses Will Cap Upside Despite Ongoing Capital Returns

Analysts cut their price target on AMERISAFE to $36 from $45, citing recent Q4 earnings with higher accident year losses, partly offset by stronger premium growth, and a view that the shares now look fairly valued at this level. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts are signaling a more cautious stance on AMERISAFE after the recent Q4 earnings miss, pointing to a mix of operational and valuation concerns that they believe limit upside at current levels.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Mar 02

AMSF: Premium Stability And Dividend Increases Will Support Future Share Returns

Narrative update on AMERISAFE The analyst price target for AMERISAFE has been revised from $60 to $50, reflecting analysts' lower external targets, including recent cuts from firms citing Q4 earnings pressure and higher accident year losses, partially balanced by premium growth. Analyst Commentary Recent research commentary on AMERISAFE has centered on the Q4 earnings miss and higher accident year losses, with analysts adjusting price targets to reflect a more cautious near term view on profitability.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Feb 16

AMSF: Updated Revenue And P/E Assumptions Will Support Future Repricing Potential

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for AMERISAFE from $47.67 to $50.00, reflecting updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins, the discount rate, and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the revised US$50.00 fair value estimate as consistent with their updated assumptions on revenue growth and profit margins, suggesting the business model still supports a premium to prior internal estimates.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Feb 02

AMSF: Higher Fair Value Will Offset Margin Concerns And Support Multiple

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for AMERISAFE to $45.00 from $43.00, citing updated views on revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions following recent Street research, including the latest price target revision. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts have taken a more cautious stance on AMERISAFE, reflected in at least one price target reduction that pulled the target down by $5.00.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Jan 19

AMSF: Stable Earnings And Capital Returns Will Support Future Repricing

Analysts have trimmed their price targets on AMERISAFE by about $1.67 to reflect slightly lower fair value estimates and a modestly reduced future P/E assumption, while still expecting generally stable profitability. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on AMERISAFE center on trimmed price targets and a valuation reset that analysts link to broader pressure across the property and casualty space, rather than to a major shift in the company’s underlying profitability outlook.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Jan 05

AMSF: Lighter Catastrophe Activity And Book Value Trends Will Support Shares

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for AMERISAFE to $60 from $65, tying the lower target to higher assumed discount rates, slightly softer profit margin expectations, and updated industry views on pricing and valuations in the P&C space. Analyst Commentary Recent research on AMERISAFE points to a more cautious stance on valuation across the P&C insurance space, even as expectations for generally stable profitability remain in place.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Dec 14

AMSF: Sector Pressures Will Keep Multiple Constrained Despite Stable Profitability

Analysts have trimmed their price target on AMERISAFE to about $45 from roughly $50, reflecting pressure on broader P and C insurance valuations, even as they expect generally stable profitability and modest earnings tailwinds from a benign catastrophe loss environment. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts see the latest price target cuts as a signal that AMERISAFE's valuation has less room for multiple expansion in the near term, even as fundamentals remain relatively stable.
Articolo di analisi • Dec 06

AMERISAFE, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AMSF) Prospects Need A Boost To Lift Shares

AMERISAFE, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:AMSF ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 14.1x might make it look like a buy right now...
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Nov 30

AMSF: Stable Profitability Will Persist Despite Sector Headwinds And CFO Transition

Analysts have revised AMERISAFE's price target downward, with the consensus fair value decreasing by about $1 to $49.33. They cite ongoing valuation pressures and a stable but modest financial outlook for the insurance sector.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Nov 16

AMSF: Profitability Will Remain Resilient Despite Industry Valuation Headwinds

Analysts have lowered their average price target for AMERISAFE, citing industry-wide valuation pressures and expectations for stable profitability. Recent targets have been reduced by $5 to $20 compared to previous estimates.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Nov 01

AMSF: Financial Tailwinds And Reduced Catastrophe Losses Will Support Share Performance

AMERISAFE's analyst price target has been revised downward by approximately $1.67 to $50.33. Analysts cite ongoing concerns about casualty loss reserves and a cautious pricing environment, despite modest financial tailwinds.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Oct 16

Technology Investments Will Improve Underwriting Even As Pricing Pressures Mount

Analysts have lowered their price target for AMERISAFE from $54.33 to $52.00, citing a modestly improved profit margin. However, there is ongoing sector-wide caution regarding casualty loss reserves and pricing conditions.
Articolo di analisi • Mar 02

AMERISAFE (NASDAQ:AMSF) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.39

AMERISAFE, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AMSF ) will pay a dividend of $0.39 on the 21st of March. This makes the dividend yield 8.9...
Seeking Alpha • Nov 20

Amerisafe Has A Premium Worth Paying

Summary Amerisafe's core profits have declined since 2019, but the company generates more profit per dollar invested, increasing its long-term corporate value. Specializing in workers' compensation insurance for hazardous industries, AMSF maintains high client satisfaction with a 94.1% policy renewal rate and a low expense ratio. Despite a drop in NOPAT, Amerisafe's ROIC has improved, indicating better balance sheet efficiency and potential for future profit growth. Trading at a modest premium, Amerisafe's rising ROIC justifies investment, with market expectations of NOPAT growth at no more than 17%. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
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Nuova narrazione • Sep 24

Rising Premiums And Customer Loyalty Meet Analysts' Gloomy Earnings Forecast And Shrinking Margins

Enhanced agent engagement and strategic underwriting practices are improving profitability and financial stability.
Articolo di analisi • Aug 30

AMERISAFE's (NASDAQ:AMSF) Dividend Will Be $0.37

The board of AMERISAFE, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AMSF ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.37 per share on the 20th...
Articolo di analisi • Apr 28

AMERISAFE (NASDAQ:AMSF) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.37

AMERISAFE, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AMSF ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.37 per share on the 21st of June. This...
Articolo di analisi • Feb 28

AMERISAFE (NASDAQ:AMSF) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.37

The board of AMERISAFE, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AMSF ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 22nd of March, with...

Previsioni di crescita degli utili e dei ricavi

NasdaqGS:AMSF - Stime future degli analisti e dati finanziari passati (USD Millions )
DataRicaviUtiliFlusso di cassa liberoLiquidità dell'operazioneAvg. Numero di analisti
12/31/202735238N/AN/A2
12/31/202633338N/AN/A2
3/31/202632546810N/A
12/31/202531747911N/A
9/30/202531050911N/A
6/30/20253065089N/A
3/31/2025301471515N/A
12/31/2024309552324N/A
9/30/2024315611617N/A
6/30/2024309571314N/A
3/31/2024309622324N/A
12/31/2023307622930N/A
9/30/2023307641718N/A
6/30/2023305652324N/A
3/31/2023298563335N/A
12/31/2022295562628N/A
9/30/2022293384245N/A
6/30/2022295463537N/A
3/31/2022308642729N/A
12/31/2021316663738N/A
9/30/2021326914142N/A
6/30/2021336954647N/A
3/31/2021344956465N/A
12/31/2020340876263N/A
9/30/2020343926667N/A
6/30/2020352908081N/A
3/31/2020354847374N/A
12/31/201937093N/A79N/A
9/30/201937377N/A90N/A
6/30/201937576N/A101N/A
3/31/201937975N/A106N/A
12/31/201837872N/A98N/A
9/30/201837853N/A99N/A
6/30/201837750N/A127N/A
3/31/201837249N/A120N/A
12/31/201737546N/A131N/A
9/30/201737965N/A134N/A
6/30/201738466N/A99N/A
3/31/201739267N/A108N/A
12/31/201639778N/A114N/A
9/30/201640182N/A113N/A
6/30/201640082N/A123N/A
3/31/201640280N/A91N/A
12/31/201540270N/A93N/A
9/30/201540464N/A101N/A
6/30/201540960N/A107N/A

Previsioni di crescita futura degli analisti

Guadagni vs tasso di risparmio: Si prevede che gli utili di AMSF diminuiranno nei prossimi 3 anni ( -10.6% all'anno).

Guadagni vs Mercato: Si prevede che gli utili di AMSF diminuiranno nei prossimi 3 anni ( -10.6% all'anno).

Guadagni ad alta crescita: Si prevede che gli utili di AMSF diminuiranno nei prossimi 3 anni.

Ricavi vs Mercato: Si prevede che il fatturato di AMSF ( 4.6% all'anno) crescerà più lentamente rispetto al mercato US ( 11.6% all'anno).

Ricavi ad alta crescita: Si prevede che il fatturato di AMSF ( 4.6% all'anno) crescerà più lentamente di 20% all'anno.

Previsioni di crescita dell'utile per azione

Rendimento futuro del capitale proprio

ROE futuro: Dati insufficienti per determinare se il Return on Equity di AMSF è previsto essere elevato tra 3 anni

Scoprire le aziende in crescita

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Analisi aziendale e situazione dei dati finanziari

DatiUltimo aggiornamento (ora UTC)
Analisi dell'azienda2026/05/14 22:52
Prezzo dell'azione a fine giornata2026/05/14 00:00
Utili2026/03/31
Utili annuali2025/12/31

Fonti dei dati

I dati utilizzati nella nostra analisi aziendale provengono da S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. I seguenti dati sono utilizzati nel nostro modello di analisi per generare questo report. I dati sono normalizzati, il che può comportare un ritardo nella disponibilità della fonte.

PacchettoDatiTempisticaEsempio Fonte USA *
Dati finanziari della società10 anni
  • Conto economico
  • Rendiconto finanziario
  • Bilancio
Stime di consenso degli analisti+3 anni
  • Previsioni finanziarie
  • Obiettivi di prezzo degli analisti
Prezzi di mercato30 anni
  • Prezzi delle azioni
  • Dividendi, scissioni e azioni
Proprietà10 anni
  • Top azionisti
  • Insider trading
Gestione10 anni
  • Team di leadership
  • Consiglio di amministrazione
Sviluppi principali10 anni
  • Annunci aziendali

* Esempio per i titoli statunitensi, per i titoli non statunitensi si utilizzano forme e fonti normative equivalenti.

Se non specificato, tutti i dati finanziari si basano su un periodo annuale ma vengono aggiornati trimestralmente. Si tratta dei cosiddetti dati TTM (Trailing Twelve Month) o LTM (Last Twelve Month). Per saperne di più.

Modello di analisi e Snowflake

I dettagli del modello di analisi utilizzato per generare questo report sono disponibili sulla nostra pagina Github; abbiamo anche guide su come utilizzare i nostri report e tutorial su Youtube.

Scoprite il team di livello mondiale che ha progettato e realizzato il modello di analisi Simply Wall St.

Metriche di settore e industriali

Le nostre metriche di settore e di sezione sono calcolate ogni 6 ore da Simply Wall St; i dettagli del nostro processo sono disponibili su Github.

Fonti analitiche

AMERISAFE, Inc. è coperta da 10 analisti. 3 di questi analisti ha fornito le stime di fatturato o di utile utilizzate come input per il nostro report. Le stime degli analisti vengono aggiornate nel corso della giornata.

AnalistaIstituzione
Randy BinnerB. Riley Securities, Inc.
Matthew CarlettiCitizens JMP Securities, LLC
Meyer ShieldsKeefe, Bruyette, & Woods