First Watch Restaurant Group (FWRG) Panoramica del titolo
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. gestisce e concede in franchising, attraverso le sue controllate, ristoranti con il nome commerciale First Watch negli Stati Uniti. Maggiori dettagli
| Punteggio fiocco di neve | |
|---|---|
| Valutazione | 1/6 |
| Crescita futura | 1/6 |
| Prestazioni passate | 4/6 |
| Salute finanziaria | 3/6 |
| Dividendi | 0/6 |
FWRG Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
Concorrenti di First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.
Storia dei prezzi e prestazioni
| Prezzi storici delle azioni | |
|---|---|
| Prezzo attuale dell'azione | US$13.09 |
| Massimo di 52 settimane | US$19.53 |
| Minimo di 52 settimane | US$9.97 |
| Beta | 1.04 |
| Variazione di 1 mese | 28.59% |
| Variazione a 3 mesi | 15.23% |
| Variazione di 1 anno | -25.88% |
| Variazione a 3 anni | -21.90% |
| Variazione a 5 anni | n/a |
| Variazione dall'IPO | -40.85% |
Notizie e aggiornamenti recenti
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Jul 01
FWRG: Index Shift And New CFO Will Support Long-Term Outlook
Analysts have raised the fair value estimate for First Watch Restaurant Group to $17.00 from $15.00, reflecting updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E in light of recent price target revisions across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research on First Watch Restaurant Group shows a cluster of modest price target trims, with several bearish analysts reducing their expectations by US$1 to US$2.Seeking Alpha • Jun 23
First Watch: A Long-Term Buy For Investors With The Stomach For Risk
Summary First Watch Restaurant Group is rated a Modest Buy, reflecting a balance between low current profitability and strong long-term growth potential. FWRG's aggressive expansion has driven revenue CAGR of 18.3% over three years, but operating margins compressed from 4.6% to 2.3% due to rising costs. Valuation is rich on earnings multiples (78x forward P/E), but price-to-sales is modest; the market is betting on future margin expansion. I recommend gradual accumulation via dollar-cost averaging, as near-term catalysts are lacking and margin recovery may take time. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Jun 17
FWRG: Geographic Expansion And New Leadership Will Support Long Term Upside
Analysts have lowered their average price targets on First Watch Restaurant Group by $1 to reflect updated views on discount rates, profit margins, and long term P/E assumptions, while keeping fair value estimates broadly in line with prior levels. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on First Watch Restaurant Group points to generally fine tuned views rather than a major reset, with several firms trimming price targets by US$1 to US$2 while keeping overall fair value assessments broadly aligned with prior work.Recent updates
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Jul 01
FWRG: Index Shift And New CFO Will Support Long-Term Outlook
Analysts have raised the fair value estimate for First Watch Restaurant Group to $17.00 from $15.00, reflecting updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E in light of recent price target revisions across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research on First Watch Restaurant Group shows a cluster of modest price target trims, with several bearish analysts reducing their expectations by US$1 to US$2.Seeking Alpha • Jun 23
First Watch: A Long-Term Buy For Investors With The Stomach For Risk
Summary First Watch Restaurant Group is rated a Modest Buy, reflecting a balance between low current profitability and strong long-term growth potential. FWRG's aggressive expansion has driven revenue CAGR of 18.3% over three years, but operating margins compressed from 4.6% to 2.3% due to rising costs. Valuation is rich on earnings multiples (78x forward P/E), but price-to-sales is modest; the market is betting on future margin expansion. I recommend gradual accumulation via dollar-cost averaging, as near-term catalysts are lacking and margin recovery may take time. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAggiornamento della narrazione • Jun 17
FWRG: Geographic Expansion And New Leadership Will Support Long Term Upside
Analysts have lowered their average price targets on First Watch Restaurant Group by $1 to reflect updated views on discount rates, profit margins, and long term P/E assumptions, while keeping fair value estimates broadly in line with prior levels. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on First Watch Restaurant Group points to generally fine tuned views rather than a major reset, with several firms trimming price targets by US$1 to US$2 while keeping overall fair value assessments broadly aligned with prior work.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Jun 03
FWRG: Geographic Portability And 10% Unit Growth Will Drive Long Term Upside
Analysts now set a higher fair value estimate for First Watch Restaurant Group at about $19.45 per share, up from roughly $18.73. This reflects updated assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E, even as several firms recently trimmed their price targets while another initiated coverage with a $17 target and a positive two year outlook.Articolo di analisi • May 12
First Watch Restaurant Group's (NASDAQ:FWRG) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:FWRG ) robust earnings report didn't manage to move the market for its...Aggiornamento della narrazione • May 10
FWRG: Unit Expansion And Marketing Investments Will Support Long Term Upside
The analyst price target for First Watch Restaurant Group has been reduced by roughly $1. Analysts attribute this change to slightly lower revenue growth assumptions, a modestly higher discount rate, and a small adjustment to the projected future P/E multiple, while profit margin expectations remain broadly unchanged.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Apr 25
FWRG: Unit Expansion And Marketing Investments Will Drive Long Term Upside
Analysts have trimmed the blended price target for First Watch Restaurant Group by about $0.17 to $19.33 as they factor in slower same-restaurant sales growth and softer recent EBITDA results, while still highlighting long term plans for unit expansion and brand awareness initiatives. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates paint a mixed picture, with most firms trimming price targets while still highlighting First Watch Restaurant Group's long term expansion plans and brand building efforts.Nuova narrazione • Apr 18
Traffic Pressures And Menu Changes Will Test Expansion Plans Yet Support Long Term Potential
Catalysts About First Watch Restaurant Group First Watch Restaurant Group operates a daytime-focused full service restaurant concept across the United States. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Aggiornamento della narrazione • Apr 10
FWRG: Ongoing Unit Expansion And Marketing Initiatives Will Support Future Upside
The analyst price target for First Watch Restaurant Group is now set at $19.50, reflecting a modest recalibration as analysts balance reduced same-store sales and EBITDA expectations with continued unit growth, geographic expansion, and ongoing marketing and menu initiatives that they see as supportive for the brand. Analyst Commentary Recent research paints a mixed picture, with many firms trimming price targets while still expressing confidence in First Watch Restaurant Group's long term growth potential and unit expansion.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Mar 27
FWRG: Ongoing Unit Expansion And New Store Economics Will Support Future Upside
Narrative Update The analyst price target for First Watch Restaurant Group has been revised to $19.50. Analysts cite recent same-store sales and EBITDA estimate adjustments, along with ongoing unit growth, digital and paid marketing efforts, and new store economics as key factors in their updated views.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Mar 12
FWRG: Unit Expansion And New Store Openings Will Drive Future Upside
Our updated narrative price target for First Watch Restaurant Group edges down from about $19.91 to $19.50 per share, as analysts generally trim targets across the sector on softer recent EBITDA and same-store sales expectations. They still point to unit growth, menu and marketing initiatives, and what they view as mispricing as key supports for the long term story.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Feb 26
FWRG: Long Term Unit Expansion Will Drive Future Upside Potential
The analyst price target for First Watch Restaurant Group has been revised lower to about $19.91 from $22, as analysts factor in slower expected same-restaurant sales growth, softer recent EBITDA results, and more conservative assumptions for margins and revenue growth. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates show a cluster of lower price targets for First Watch Restaurant Group, with most analysts pointing to softer adjusted EBITDA, more modest same restaurant sales expectations, and reduced pricing assumptions.
Nuova narrazione • Feb 25
Expanding Daytime Dining Footprint Will Unlock Long Runway For Breakfast And Brunch
Catalysts About First Watch Restaurant Group First Watch Restaurant Group operates a growing, full service daytime dining concept focused on breakfast, brunch and lunch across the United States. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Articolo di analisi • Nov 08
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. Just Missed EPS By 25%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
It's been a good week for First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:FWRG ) shareholders, because the company has just...Articolo di analisi • Jul 31
First Watch Restaurant Group (NASDAQ:FWRG) Is Looking To Continue Growing Its Returns On Capital
What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Amongst...Articolo di analisi • Jul 04
Here's Why First Watch Restaurant Group (NASDAQ:FWRG) Is Weighed Down By Its Debt Load
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Articolo di analisi • Jun 13
Market Cool On First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:FWRG) Revenues
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:FWRG ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.9x might make it look like a...Articolo di analisi • May 09
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. Just Reported A Surprise Loss: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
There's been a notable change in appetite for First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:FWRG ) shares in the week...Articolo di analisi • May 07
Calculating The Fair Value Of First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:FWRG)
Key Insights First Watch Restaurant Group's estimated fair value is US$14.81 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity...Articolo di analisi • Apr 19
First Watch Restaurant Group (NASDAQ:FWRG) Shareholders Will Want The ROCE Trajectory To Continue
If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an...Articolo di analisi • Apr 03
Is First Watch Restaurant Group (NASDAQ:FWRG) Using Too Much Debt?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Seeking Alpha • Mar 16
First Watch Restaurant: Why Daytime Meals Aren't My Bet For Q1
Summary First Watch's traffic and same-store sales are declining, with breakfast seeing the steepest drop, raising concerns about its premium positioning and value-per-dollar equation. Despite revenue growth driven by new openings, First Watch faces negative free cash flow and increasing debt, complicating its financial stability and ability to return capital to shareholders. FWRG stock is not cheap, trading at high multiples with a PEG ratio that doesn't justify its growth prospects, making it a hold rather than a buy. Economic uncertainties, including fears of stagflation and tariffs, further cloud the outlook for consumer discretionary stocks like First Watch, suggesting caution before investing. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaArticolo di analisi • Mar 12
Is It Too Late To Consider Buying First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:FWRG)?
While First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:FWRG ) might not have the largest market cap around , it received a...Articolo di analisi • Feb 19
Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:FWRG) 25% Share Price Surge
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:FWRG ) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 25% share price...Seeking Alpha • Jan 21
First Watch Restaurant: A Dull Morning In Q4 Overshadowed By Other Family Dining Competitors
Summary First Watch is a unique, fast-growing family dining chain with a focus on breakfast, brunch, and lunch, avoiding discounts and maintaining high unit-level margins. Despite industry recovery, First Watch's same-store sales fell 0.3% in Q4 FY 2024, with traffic declining 3% year-over-year, raising concerns about future growth. The chain's valuation appears stretched, trading at a P/E of 41.67, significantly above the industry median, making it potentially overvalued compared to peers. I recommend waiting for a better entry point around $15-$14, considering ongoing traffic declines and competitive pressures in the family dining sector. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaArticolo di analisi • Dec 11
When Should You Buy First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:FWRG)?
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:FWRG ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a significant share...Seeking Alpha • Nov 18
First Watch Restaurant: Between Hurricanes And Acquisitions, The Sun Shines
Summary First Watch Restaurant Group maintains its stance against value promotions, focusing on targeted advertising, resulting in a 1.9% year-over-year decline in comparable sales due to lower traffic. The company is aggressively expanding by acquiring franchises and opening new restaurants, aiming for 10% net year-over-year growth and a long-term goal of 2,200 locations. Hurricanes in key operating areas significantly impacted Q4 traffic, but recovery is expected as headwinds subside, with a focus on improving on-premise sales. Despite high-growth potential, First Watch's valuation appears inflated; a more appropriate price target is $16, leading to a 'Hold' rating amid current macroeconomic pressures. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaArticolo di analisi • Nov 12
Market Participants Recognise First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:FWRG) Earnings Pushing Shares 53% Higher
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:FWRG ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a...Articolo di analisi • Oct 18
Investors Will Want First Watch Restaurant Group's (NASDAQ:FWRG) Growth In ROCE To Persist
There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. In a perfect world, we'd like to...
Nuova narrazione • Sep 16
Tech-Driven Efficiency And Expansion Fuel Restaurant Chain's Robust Growth Outlook
Implementation of technology and analytics is poised to enhance operational efficiency and improve customer engagement, impacting revenue growth positively.Seeking Alpha • Sep 14
First Watch Restaurant: A Non-Traditional Recipe For Dealing With Traffic
Summary First Watch's strategy of avoiding value promotions in a price-sensitive market is risky, potentially leading to negative comparable sales in Q3 and Q4. The company’s focus on menu innovations and premium pricing has helped maintain resilience, but hasn't fully offset declining traffic and average check growth. Recent acquisitions and debt levels are manageable, but continued high capital expenditures and economic risks could increase financial risk in the medium term. Despite strong growth and operational improvements, First Watch's current stock price appears overvalued, leading to a 'Hold' recommendation with a target price of $13.50 to $14.50. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaArticolo di analisi • Sep 04
Why We're Not Concerned About First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:FWRG) Share Price
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 39.2x First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:FWRG ) may be sending...Articolo di analisi • Aug 09
Is It Too Late To Consider Buying First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:FWRG)?
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:FWRG ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a decent share...Rendimenti per gli azionisti
| FWRG | US Hospitality | US Mercato | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 2.7% | -0.1% | 1.6% |
| 1Y | -25.9% | -8.1% | 18.6% |
Ritorno vs Industria: FWRG ha avuto una performance inferiore rispetto al US Hospitality che ha registrato un rendimento -8.1 % nell'ultimo anno.
Rendimento vs Mercato: FWRG ha avuto una performance inferiore al mercato US che ha registrato un rendimento 18.6 % nell'ultimo anno.
Volatilità dei prezzi
| FWRG volatility | |
|---|---|
| FWRG Average Weekly Movement | 7.6% |
| Hospitality Industry Average Movement | 7.6% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.3% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.7% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.2% |
Prezzo delle azioni stabile: FWRG non ha avuto una volatilità dei prezzi significativa negli ultimi 3 mesi rispetto al mercato US.
Volatilità nel tempo: La volatilità settimanale ( 8% ) di FWRG è rimasta stabile nell'ultimo anno.
Informazioni sull'azienda
| Fondato | I dipendenti | AMMINISTRATORE DELEGATO | Sito web |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1983 | 17,500 | Chris Tomasso | www.firstwatch.com |
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. gestisce e concede in franchising, attraverso le sue controllate, ristoranti con il nome commerciale First Watch negli Stati Uniti. La società era precedentemente nota come AI Fresh Super Holdco, Inc. e ha cambiato nome in First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. nel dicembre 2019. First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. è stata fondata nel 1983 e ha sede a Bradenton, in Florida.
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. Riepilogo dei fondamenti
| FWRG statistiche fondamentali | |
|---|---|
| Capitalizzazione di mercato | US$806.93m |
| Utili (TTM) | US$17.58m |
| Ricavi(TTM) | US$1.27b |
45.9x
Rapporto P/E0.6x
Rapporto P/SFWRG è sopravvalutato?
Vedi Fair Value e analisi di valutazioneUtili e ricavi
| FWRG Conto economico (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Ricavi | US$1.27b |
| Costo del fatturato | US$1.01b |
| Profitto lordo | US$262.68m |
| Altre spese | US$245.11m |
| Utili | US$17.58m |
Ultimi utili riportati
Mar 29, 2026
Prossima data di guadagno
n/a
| Utile per azione (EPS) | 0.29 |
| Margine lordo | 20.66% |
| Margine di profitto netto | 1.38% |
| Rapporto debito/patrimonio netto | 42.2% |
Come si è comportato FWRG nel lungo periodo?
Vedi performance storica e confrontoAnalisi aziendale e situazione dei dati finanziari
| Dati | Ultimo aggiornamento (ora UTC) |
|---|---|
| Analisi dell'azienda | 2026/07/05 17:52 |
| Prezzo dell'azione a fine giornata | 2026/07/02 00:00 |
| Utili | 2026/03/29 |
| Utili annuali | 2025/12/28 |
Fonti dei dati
I dati utilizzati nella nostra analisi aziendale provengono da S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. I seguenti dati sono utilizzati nel nostro modello di analisi per generare questo report. I dati sono normalizzati, il che può comportare un ritardo nella disponibilità della fonte.
| Pacchetto | Dati | Tempistica | Esempio Fonte USA * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dati finanziari della società | 10 anni |
| |
| Stime di consenso degli analisti | +3 anni |
|
|
| Prezzi di mercato | 30 anni |
| |
| Proprietà | 10 anni |
| |
| Gestione | 10 anni |
| |
| Sviluppi principali | 10 anni |
|
* Esempio per i titoli statunitensi, per i titoli non statunitensi si utilizzano forme e fonti normative equivalenti.
Se non specificato, tutti i dati finanziari si basano su un periodo annuale ma vengono aggiornati trimestralmente. Si tratta dei cosiddetti dati TTM (Trailing Twelve Month) o LTM (Last Twelve Month). Per saperne di più.
Modello di analisi e Snowflake
I dettagli del modello di analisi utilizzato per generare questo report sono disponibili sulla nostra pagina Github; disponiamo inoltre di guide su come utilizzare i nostri report e di tutorial su Youtube.
Scoprite il team di livello mondiale che ha progettato e realizzato il modello di analisi Simply Wall St.
Metriche di settore e industriali
Le nostre metriche di settore e di sezione sono calcolate ogni 6 ore da Simply Wall St; i dettagli del nostro processo sono disponibili su Github.
Fonti analitiche
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. è coperta da 14 analisti. 11 di questi analisti ha fornito le stime di fatturato o di utile utilizzate come input per il nostro report. Le stime degli analisti vengono aggiornate nel corso della giornata.
| Analista | Istituzione |
|---|---|
| Jeffrey Bernstein | Barclays |
| Todd Brooks | Benchmark Company |
| Sara Senatore | BofA Global Research |