The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated

Report azionario NasdaqGS:CAKE

Capitalizzazione di mercato: US$3.0b

Cheesecake Factory Crescita futura

Criteri Future verificati 2/6

Cheesecake Factory prevede che gli utili e i ricavi cresceranno rispettivamente di 15.5% e 5.9% all'anno. Si prevede che l'EPS crescerà di 13.5% all'anno. Si prevede che il ritorno sul capitale proprio sarà di 33.8% in 3 anni.

Informazioni chiave

15.5%

Tasso di crescita degli utili

13.48%

Tasso di crescita dell'EPS

Hospitality crescita degli utili18.0%
Tasso di crescita dei ricavi5.9%
Rendimento futuro del capitale proprio33.76%
Copertura analitica

Good

Ultimo aggiornamento05 May 2026

Aggiornamenti recenti sulla crescita futura

Articolo di analisi May 07

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (NASDAQ:CAKE) First-Quarter Results: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For This Year

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated ( NASDAQ:CAKE ) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its...
Articolo di analisi Oct 30

Results: The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

There's been a notable change in appetite for The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated ( NASDAQ:CAKE ) shares in the week...
Articolo di analisi Aug 01

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated Just Recorded A 8.4% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

Last week, you might have seen that The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated ( NASDAQ:CAKE ) released its quarterly result...

Recent updates

Articolo di analisi May 11

We Like The Quality Of Cheesecake Factory's (NASDAQ:CAKE) Earnings

Despite posting healthy earnings, The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated's ( NASDAQ:CAKE ) stock has been quite weak...
Aggiornamento della narrazione May 10

CAKE: Elevated P/E And 2026 Execution Risks Will Constrain Returns

Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for Cheesecake Factory stock by about $1.81 to $51.81, as recent price target revisions cite updated models following Q4 results, ongoing 2026 outlook assumptions, and adjustments to P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent research has centered on how Cheesecake Factory's valuation lines up with its updated 2026 outlook and the mixed tone around the latest Q4 results.
Articolo di analisi May 07

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (NASDAQ:CAKE) First-Quarter Results: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For This Year

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated ( NASDAQ:CAKE ) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its...
Seeking Alpha Apr 30

The Cheesecake Factory Q1 Earnings: Slow And Steady Growth

Summary The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated continues to demonstrate stable growth, with Q1 2026 revenues up 5.6% year-over-year and a 1.6% increase in comparable sales. CAKE margins remain resilient, with food and beverage costs at 21.7% of sales and labor expenses improving 20 basis points from last year, supporting profitability. Q1 2026 adjusted EPS reached $1.05, beating estimates by $0.05, and CAKE management targets 8-10% EPS growth for 2026. I maintain a market perform rating, viewing CAKE stock as fairly valued at 15-16x FWD EPS, with dividend increases and share repurchases enhancing shareholder returns. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Aggiornamento della narrazione Apr 23

CAKE: Elevated P/E And Mixed Q4 Delivery Will Constrain Forward Returns

Analysts have lifted Cheesecake Factory's average price target by several dollars to a range of roughly $58 to $75, as they refresh models after mixed Q4 results and an updated 2026 outlook. They still see a fair value of $50 based on current assumptions for revenue growth, margins and future P/E.
Aggiornamento della narrazione Apr 07

CAKE: Higher P/E Assumptions Will Support 2026 Outlook Execution

The analyst fair value estimate for Cheesecake Factory has increased from $60.61 to $64.44. This change reflects a series of higher price targets on the stock as analysts update their models following mixed Q4 results and an intact 2026 outlook.
Aggiornamento della narrazione Mar 24

CAKE: Elevated P/E And Mixed Q4 Execution Will Limit Forward Upside

Analyst price targets for Cheesecake Factory have moved higher into the $58 to $75 range, as analysts update models following mixed Q4 results while largely maintaining 2026 outlook assumptions and pointing to what they see as balanced risk/reward at current P/E levels. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates show a wide spread in views on Cheesecake Factory, even as headline price targets move higher.
Aggiornamento della narrazione Mar 09

CAKE: Elevated P/E Premium And Sector Headwinds Will Constrain Forward Upside Potential

Analysts have lifted their aggregate price targets on Cheesecake Factory by several dollars into the $58 to $75 range, citing refreshed models after mixed Q4 results, an intact 2026 outlook, and what some see as conservative long term assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research paints a mixed picture for Cheesecake Factory, with several firms lifting price targets after updating models for the latest Q4 report and 2026 outlook.
Aggiornamento della narrazione Feb 23

CAKE: Elevated P E And Sector Headwinds Are Expected To Limit Upside

Narrative Update: Cheesecake Factory Analysts have raised their average price targets for Cheesecake Factory by several dollars into a broad $58 to $75 range, citing updated post-Q4 models, a largely intact 2026 outlook, and a higher assumed P/E multiple, even as views on risk and reward remain mixed across firms. Analyst Commentary Across recent research, analysts are broadly lifting their price targets for Cheesecake Factory into a higher band, but their views on the stock are far from unanimous.
Aggiornamento della narrazione Feb 08

CAKE: Higher P/E Assumptions Will Balance Margin Pressure And Sector Headwinds

Analysts have nudged their price targets for Cheesecake Factory higher, reflecting slightly richer P/E assumptions and a modest lift in fair value to about $60.61, even as they acknowledge mixed sector views and ongoing earnings constraints in recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Cheesecake Factory points to a split view, with some analysts lifting price targets on higher valuation multiples while others stay cautious on the operating backdrop for casual dining.
Aggiornamento della narrazione Jan 25

CAKE: Softer Sales Trends And Sector Headwinds Are Expected To Pressure Returns

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Cheesecake Factory to $50, a $1 adjustment that reflects slightly updated views on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and the appropriate future P/E multiple in light of recent mixed price target changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Cheesecake Factory has been mixed, with several firms adjusting price targets and, in at least one case, downgrading the stock.
Aggiornamento della narrazione Jan 11

CAKE: Softer Same Store Sales And Sector Pressure Will Constrain Near Term Outlook

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for The Cheesecake Factory higher to $49.00 from $48.00. This reflects updated price targets that balance recent cuts and raises across the Street and factor in modest tweaks to revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions.
Aggiornamento della narrazione Dec 26

CAKE: Softer Same Store Sales Trends Will Shape Near Term Outlook

Cheesecake Factory's analyst-derived fair value has been trimmed from about $50.41 to $48.00, as analysts factor in softer same-store sales trends, modest demand slowdowns into next year, and a slightly weaker growth and margin outlook, despite the brand's still solid positioning in a choppier macro environment. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts continue to recalibrate their expectations for Cheesecake Factory, cutting price targets across the board as they reassess near term growth and margin assumptions.
Aggiornamento della narrazione Dec 12

CAKE: Margin Discipline Will Support Earnings Stability Amid Choppy Demand

Analysts have nudged their blended price target for Cheesecake Factory modestly lower, trimming expectations by a few dollars per share to reflect softer same store sales trends, choppier demand into Q3, and a slightly more cautious view on the restaurant sector backdrop. Analyst Commentary Street research reflects a more nuanced stance on Cheesecake Factory, with both optimistic and cautious voices acknowledging a tougher near term operating backdrop while debating the durability of demand and margin resilience.
Aggiornamento della narrazione Nov 28

CAKE: Margin Resilience Will Support Recovery Despite Sales Headwinds Ahead

Cheesecake Factory's average analyst price target has declined slightly. Recent reductions have been attributed to softer sales trends and persistent industry demand headwinds.
Aggiornamento della narrazione Nov 14

CAKE: Sustained Margin Improvement Is Expected To Support Long-Term Upside

The consensus analyst price target for Cheesecake Factory has been lowered by approximately $0.56. Analysts cite recent weaker same-store sales trends and persistent demand headwinds as key drivers of the adjustment.
Aggiornamento della narrazione Oct 30

CAKE: Share Repurchase Program And Brand Resilience Will Drive Positive Momentum

The consensus analyst price target for Cheesecake Factory has decreased by just over $5 to around $60. Analysts cite softer sales trends and persistent macroeconomic challenges impacting growth expectations.
Articolo di analisi Oct 30

Results: The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

There's been a notable change in appetite for The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated ( NASDAQ:CAKE ) shares in the week...
Aggiornamento della narrazione Oct 16

Flower Child And North Italia Concepts Will Expand Market Appeal

The consensus analyst price target for Cheesecake Factory has been reduced from approximately $73 to $68 as analysts cite a challenging industry backdrop and updated company outlooks, particularly with an anticipated mixed and volatile earnings season ahead. Analyst Commentary Recent research from major firms reflects both optimism and caution regarding Cheesecake Factory's performance in the upcoming quarter.
Articolo di analisi Sep 24

Weekly Picks: ⛏️ The Gold Play With Permits, A Plan And Real Momentum And 2 More Picks

This week’s picks cover: Why most people don’t understand The Cheesecake Factory’s potential, how fully permitted gold miner, 1911 Gold, could offer 50x return, why rate cuts benefit dividend plays like Coca Cola immensely.
Articolo di analisi Sep 09

Is Now The Time To Look At Buying The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (NASDAQ:CAKE)?

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated ( NASDAQ:CAKE ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw significant share price...
Articolo di analisi Aug 04

Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ:CAKE) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.27

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated ( NASDAQ:CAKE ) will pay a dividend of $0.27 on the 26th of August. This means the...
Nuova narrazione Aug 02

Cheesecake Factory offers an enticing opportunity for long-term growth by leveraging new concepts

The Cheesecake Factory is a stock that I believe most people do not understand it's actual potential; or really what makes this stock so attractive for long term growth. Here is a brief description of the company according to Benzinga: "Cheesecake Factory Inc owns and operates restaurants in the United States and Canada under brands that include The Cheesecake Factory, North Italia, and a collection within the Fox Restaurants Concepts subsidiary.
Articolo di analisi Aug 01

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated Just Recorded A 8.4% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

Last week, you might have seen that The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated ( NASDAQ:CAKE ) released its quarterly result...
Articolo di analisi Jul 02

Cheesecake Factory's (NASDAQ:CAKE) Returns On Capital Are Heading Higher

What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term...
Articolo di analisi Jun 18

Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated's (NASDAQ:CAKE) P/E Ratio

There wouldn't be many who think The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated's ( NASDAQ:CAKE ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E...
Articolo di analisi May 25

Is Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ:CAKE) A Risky Investment?

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
Articolo di analisi May 12

Cheesecake Factory's (NASDAQ:CAKE) Earnings May Just Be The Starting Point

Even though The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated's ( NASDAQ:CAKE ) recent earnings release was robust, the market didn't...
Articolo di analisi Apr 15

Should You Investigate The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (NASDAQ:CAKE) At US$46.99?

While The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated ( NASDAQ:CAKE ) might not have the largest market cap around , it received a...
Seeking Alpha Mar 28

The Cheesecake Factory: Downgrade To Sell As The Macro Environment Is Too Challenging

Summary I am downgrading The Cheesecake Factory from hold to sell due to worsening macro conditions and poor consumer sentiment affecting discretionary spending. CAKE's traffic growth has been negative for seven consecutive quarters, and price increases are no longer a viable strategy for SSS growth. Limited unit growth and high G&A expenses further constrain CAKE's ability to drive revenue and margin expansion in FY25. Valuation at 13x forward P/E is too high given the headwinds, with the potential for multiple re-rating if revenue or margins decline. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Articolo di analisi Mar 21

Estimating The Fair Value Of The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (NASDAQ:CAKE)

Key Insights Cheesecake Factory's estimated fair value is US$46.97 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current...
Articolo di analisi Mar 09

Market Participants Recognise The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated's (NASDAQ:CAKE) Earnings

With a median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of close to 18x in the United States, you could be forgiven for...
Articolo di analisi Feb 25

Cheesecake Factory's (NASDAQ:CAKE) Dividend Will Be $0.27

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated's ( NASDAQ:CAKE ) investors are due to receive a payment of $0.27 per share on 18th...
Seeking Alpha Feb 20

The Cheesecake Factory: A Winning Restaurant Stock

Summary We continue to rate The Cheesecake Factory a hold, highlighting its strong revenue growth, margin improvements, and positive comparable sales trends. The company's strategic cost management and easing inflation have led to improved margins, with food and labor expenses showing notable reductions. CAKE's earnings growth is robust, with Q4 adjusted EPS rising significantly year-over-year, and the stock remains attractively valued at less than 15X forward earnings. With manageable debt, ongoing share repurchases, and expected dividend increases, we see long-term upside, projecting EPS of $3.70-3.85 for 2025. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Articolo di analisi Feb 10

Returns At Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ:CAKE) Appear To Be Weighed Down

What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Firstly...
Seeking Alpha Feb 03

The Cheesecake Factory: Maintaining My Buy Rating

Summary The Cheesecake Factory has outperformed the market with over a 50% return since April 2024, driven by strong fundamentals and positive earnings momentum. Despite the current fair valuation, CAKE's consistent revenue, margin improvements, and strong consumer base suggest potential for further appreciation. Risks include historical underperformance prior to this past year, inconsistent quarterly fundamentals, and potential economic downturns, but CAKE's strong consumer base and earnings resilience offer optimism. Fair value for CAKE is estimated between $42-$59 per share, with a 2% dividend yield, making it a long-term cautious buy. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Articolo di analisi Jan 29

We Ran A Stock Scan For Earnings Growth And Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ:CAKE) Passed With Ease

Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks...
Articolo di analisi Jan 17

Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ:CAKE) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...
Seeking Alpha Jan 15

The Cheesecake Factory: Earnings Growth Is Underappreciated

Summary The Cheesecake Factory is an attractive investment for 2025, offering a ~2% dividend yield and trading at a below-market valuation. The company recently increased prices without denting low single-digit comparable sales growth. In turn, the company's net profit margins have nearly doubled. The company has a diversified restaurant portfolio, with other brands including Flower Child and North Italia alongside a handful of boutique restaurants. Trading at a 13.6x forward P/E ratio, the stock trades well below the S&P 500 as well as many of its restaurant peers. It also offers a ~2% dividend yield. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jan 07

The Cheesecake Factory: A Recipe For Growth, But Too High A Price

Summary The Cheesecake Factory has shown strong performance with a 33% stock increase, but elevated capex concerns limit upside potential, leading to a 'hold' rating. Q3 results were solid, with a 49% EPS increase and positive same-store sales growth, driven mainly by pricing rather than traffic. However, investors should watch the reliance on pricing for growth, potential inflationary pressures, and economic downturn impacts, which could affect profitability and expansion plans, which are causes for concern. Despite improved margins, CAKE's high capex costs and valuation concerns (P/FCF over 25x) suggest limited value, so I'm maintaining the current rating for now. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Previsioni di crescita degli utili e dei ricavi

NasdaqGS:CAKE - Stime future degli analisti e dati finanziari passati (USD Millions )
DataRicaviUtiliFlusso di cassa liberoLiquidità dell'operazioneAvg. Numero di analisti
12/31/20284,488N/AN/AN/A7
12/31/20274,17821818338219
12/31/20263,92219716231919
3/31/20263,803165171319N/A
12/30/20253,752148154301N/A
9/30/20253,711161158320N/A
7/1/20253,669159130310N/A
4/1/20253,618157113280N/A
12/31/20243,582157107268N/A
10/1/20243,53812868242N/A
7/2/20243,50211654211N/A
4/2/20243,46510668220N/A
1/2/20243,44010165218N/A
10/3/20233,4558578214N/A
7/4/20233,4096546176N/A
4/4/20233,3764871193N/A
1/3/20233,3034349162N/A
9/27/20223,1875096193N/A
6/28/20223,1588587170N/A
3/29/20223,09473136225N/A
12/28/20212,92849145213N/A
9/28/20212,705993155N/A
6/29/20212,469-57117169N/A
3/30/20211,996-1421558N/A
12/29/20201,983-277-483N/A
9/29/20202,123-191270N/A
6/30/20202,192-1422399N/A
3/31/20202,498-3674152N/A
12/31/20192,483127N/A219N/A
10/1/20192,37495N/A225N/A
7/2/20192,362107N/A235N/A
4/2/20192,347100N/A250N/A
1/1/20192,33299N/A291N/A
10/2/20182,319141N/A267N/A
7/3/20182,299139N/A265N/A
4/3/20182,282148N/A266N/A
1/2/20182,261157N/A239N/A
10/3/20172,292132N/A246N/A
7/4/20172,296140N/A272N/A
4/4/20172,285141N/A282N/A
1/3/20172,276139N/A316N/A
9/27/20162,199134N/A299N/A
6/28/20162,166126N/A273N/A
3/29/20162,136122N/A252N/A
12/29/20152,101117N/A248N/A
9/29/20152,073114N/A240N/A
6/30/20152,046112N/A239N/A

Previsioni di crescita futura degli analisti

Guadagni vs tasso di risparmio: La crescita prevista degli utili di CAKE ( 15.5% all'anno) è superiore al tasso di risparmio ( 3.5% ).

Guadagni vs Mercato: Si prevede che gli utili di CAKE ( 15.5% all'anno) cresceranno più lentamente rispetto al mercato US ( 16.7% all'anno).

Guadagni ad alta crescita: Si prevede che gli utili di CAKE cresceranno, ma non in modo significativo.

Ricavi vs Mercato: Si prevede che il fatturato di CAKE ( 5.9% all'anno) crescerà più lentamente rispetto al mercato US ( 11.6% all'anno).

Ricavi ad alta crescita: Si prevede che il fatturato di CAKE ( 5.9% all'anno) crescerà più lentamente di 20% all'anno.


Previsioni di crescita dell'utile per azione


Rendimento futuro del capitale proprio

ROE futuro: Si prevede che il Return on Equity di CAKE sarà elevato tra 3 anni ( 33.8 %)


Scoprire le aziende in crescita

Analisi aziendale e situazione dei dati finanziari

DatiUltimo aggiornamento (ora UTC)
Analisi dell'azienda2026/05/13 08:00
Prezzo dell'azione a fine giornata2026/05/13 00:00
Utili2026/03/31
Utili annuali2025/12/30

Fonti dei dati

I dati utilizzati nella nostra analisi aziendale provengono da S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. I seguenti dati sono utilizzati nel nostro modello di analisi per generare questo report. I dati sono normalizzati, il che può comportare un ritardo nella disponibilità della fonte.

PacchettoDatiTempisticaEsempio Fonte USA *
Dati finanziari della società10 anni
  • Conto economico
  • Rendiconto finanziario
  • Bilancio
Stime di consenso degli analisti+3 anni
  • Previsioni finanziarie
  • Obiettivi di prezzo degli analisti
Prezzi di mercato30 anni
  • Prezzi delle azioni
  • Dividendi, scissioni e azioni
Proprietà10 anni
  • Top azionisti
  • Insider trading
Gestione10 anni
  • Team di leadership
  • Consiglio di amministrazione
Sviluppi principali10 anni
  • Annunci aziendali

* Esempio per i titoli statunitensi, per i titoli non statunitensi si utilizzano forme e fonti normative equivalenti.

Se non specificato, tutti i dati finanziari si basano su un periodo annuale ma vengono aggiornati trimestralmente. Si tratta dei cosiddetti dati TTM (Trailing Twelve Month) o LTM (Last Twelve Month). Per saperne di più.

Modello di analisi e Snowflake

I dettagli del modello di analisi utilizzato per generare questo report sono disponibili sulla nostra pagina Github; abbiamo anche guide su come utilizzare i nostri report e tutorial su Youtube.

Scoprite il team di livello mondiale che ha progettato e realizzato il modello di analisi Simply Wall St.

Metriche di settore e industriali

Le nostre metriche di settore e di sezione sono calcolate ogni 6 ore da Simply Wall St; i dettagli del nostro processo sono disponibili su Github.

Fonti analitiche

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated è coperta da 41 analisti. 19 di questi analisti ha fornito le stime di fatturato o di utile utilizzate come input per il nostro report. Le stime degli analisti vengono aggiornate nel corso della giornata.

AnalistaIstituzione
John StaszakArgus Research Company
David TarantinoBaird
Jeffrey BernsteinBarclays