Orlen S.A.

Report azionario WSE:PKN

Capitalizzazione di mercato: zł166.4b

Orlen Performance degli utili passati

Criteri Il passato verificati 0/6

Gli utili di Orlen sono diminuiti a un tasso medio annuo di -7.6%, mentre il settore Oil and Gas ha visto gli utili crescere a un tasso medio annuo di 10.7%. I ricavi sono cresciuti crescere a un tasso medio annuo di 18.9%. Il ritorno sul capitale proprio di Orlen è 1.8% e ha margini netti di 0.9%.

Informazioni chiave

-7.58%

Tasso di crescita degli utili

-23.78%

Tasso di crescita dell'EPS

Oil and Gas Crescita del settore23.98%
Tasso di crescita dei ricavi18.91%
Rendimento del capitale proprio1.83%
Margine netto0.95%
Prossimo aggiornamento sugli utili28 May 2026

Aggiornamenti sulle prestazioni recenti

Articolo di analisi Nov 29

Orlen (WSE:PKN) Is Posting Promising Earnings But The Good News Doesn’t Stop There

Despite posting healthy earnings, Orlen S.A.'s ( WSE:PKN ) stock has been quite weak. Our analysis suggests that there...

Recent updates

Aggiornamento della narrazione May 10

PKN: Future Returns Will Depend On Risky Energa Recapitalisation Plan

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Orlen to PLN 127.33 from PLN 119.22, citing updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, supported by recent research that has taken a more positive stance on the stock. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the higher fair value estimate of PLN 127.33 as support for a more constructive stance on the stock, arguing that current pricing does not fully reflect updated assumptions on revenue and margins.
Aggiornamento della narrazione Apr 26

PKN: Future Returns Will Hinge On Energa Integration And Margin Resilience

Analysts have adjusted their PLN price targets on Orlen only slightly, with a modest recalibration in discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions that reflects a mixed set of recent views, including a more positive stance from UBS and a more cautious one from Oddo BHF. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Orlen points to a split in opinion, with some analysts turning more optimistic and others taking a more cautious stance.
Aggiornamento della narrazione Apr 06

PKN: Future Returns Will Likely Soften As Margin Resilience Proves Overstated

Analysts have raised their Orlen price target from PLN 114.33 to about PLN 119.22, reflecting updated assumptions on fair value, slightly higher profit margins and a marginally richer future P/E multiple, with recent research including both an upgrade and a downgrade informing the new view. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts link their upgrade to a view that current valuation leaves some room for the shares to move closer to their refreshed fair value assumptions, anchored around the PLN 119.22 target.
Nuova narrazione Mar 26

Regulated Energy Projects And LNG Expansion Will Support A Stronger Long Term Outlook

Catalysts About Orlen Orlen is an integrated energy and fuels group active in upstream, refining, petrochemicals, power generation, retail and gas trading. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Aggiornamento della narrazione Mar 22

PKN: Future Returns Will Likely Soften As Margin Assumptions Prove Fragile

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Orlen from PLN 95.58 to PLN 114.33, citing updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, as well as a mix of recent bullish and bearish Street calls. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts link the higher fair value estimate of PLN 114.33 to expectations that Orlen can sustain healthier profit margins than previously assumed.
Nuova narrazione Mar 11

Large CapEx And Refining Margin Normalization Will Pressure Long Term Earnings Outlook

Catalysts About Orlen Orlen is an integrated energy and fuels group active in upstream, refining, petrochemicals, power generation and retail across several European markets. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Aggiornamento della narrazione Mar 06

PKN: Future Returns Will Likely Soften As Execution Risks Intensify

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Orlen to PLN 95.58 from PLN 93.28, citing updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, even as some recent research has turned more cautious on the shares. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to the higher fair value estimate of PLN 95.58 as support for their view that current pricing may not fully reflect the updated revenue and margin assumptions built into their models.
Aggiornamento della narrazione Feb 19

PKN: Future Returns Will Likely Weaken As Margin Risks Intensify

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Orlen up from PLN 91.47 to PLN 93.28, citing slightly firmer profit margin assumptions and a modestly higher future P/E, even as at least one recent report has turned more cautious on the shares. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the higher fair value estimate of PLN 93.28 as support for the idea that current pricing may not fully reflect Orlen's earnings power under the updated profit margin assumptions.
Articolo di analisi Feb 07

Why We're Not Concerned About Orlen S.A.'s (WSE:PKN) Share Price

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 20x Orlen S.A. ( WSE:PKN ) may be sending very bearish signals at the...
Aggiornamento della narrazione Feb 05

PKN: Future Returns Will Likely Weaken As Earnings Multiple Compresses

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Orlen from €87.31 to €91.47 per share, citing updated assumptions around a smaller revenue decline, a slightly higher profit margin and a lower future P/E multiple, even as at least one firm has turned more cautious on the shares. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight the updated view on a smaller revenue decline as a support for the higher fair value estimate of €91.47 per share, seeing this as a sign that the earnings base used in their models may be more resilient than previously assumed.
Aggiornamento della narrazione Jan 22

PKN: Future Returns Will Likely Lag As P/E Stays Elevated

Analysts have kept their target price for Orlen broadly in line with prior levels, citing relatively unchanged fair value at 87.31, a stable 9.24% discount rate, and only small tweaks to assumptions around revenue trends, profit margin and future P/E of 12.05x. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Fair value per share is unchanged at PLN 87.31.
Aggiornamento della narrazione Jan 08

PKN: Future Returns Will Likely Disappoint As Earnings Multiple Stays Elevated

Analysts have kept their price target for Orlen unchanged at €87.31, reflecting steady assumptions on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E, with no new Street research prompting a revision. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Fair value per share remains unchanged at €87.31, with no adjustment to the underlying model inputs.
Articolo di analisi Jan 04

An Intrinsic Calculation For Orlen S.A. (WSE:PKN) Suggests It's 26% Undervalued

Key Insights The projected fair value for Orlen is zł136 based on Dividend Discount Model Orlen's zł101 share price...
Aggiornamento della narrazione Dec 18

PKN: Future Returns Will Remain Balanced As Revenue And Margins Slightly Weaken

Analysts have modestly adjusted their price target on Orlen higher to reflect a fair value of $87.31 per share, as they reiterate stable discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P E assumptions. What's in the News Orlen S.A. has scheduled a Special or Extraordinary Shareholders Meeting for November 13, 2025, at 11:00 Central European Standard Time to address key corporate matters requiring shareholder approval (Key Developments).
Articolo di analisi Dec 17

Returns At Orlen (WSE:PKN) Are On The Way Up

Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...
Aggiornamento della narrazione Dec 04

PKN: Earnings Multiple Will Rise As Revenue And Margins Slightly Weaken

Analysts have nudged their price target on Orlen higher to approximately $87.31 from about $85.86, citing a modestly richer future earnings multiple that more than offsets slightly weaker revenue growth and profit margin expectations. What's in the News Orlen S.A. has scheduled a Special and Extraordinary Shareholders Meeting for November 13, 2025, at 11:00 Central European Standard Time.
Articolo di analisi Nov 29

Orlen (WSE:PKN) Is Posting Promising Earnings But The Good News Doesn’t Stop There

Despite posting healthy earnings, Orlen S.A.'s ( WSE:PKN ) stock has been quite weak. Our analysis suggests that there...
Aggiornamento della narrazione Nov 20

PKN: Profit Margins Will Improve While Revenue Decline Persists Through 2025 Shareholder Meeting

Narrative Update on Orlen: Analyst Price Target Change Analysts have slightly raised their price target for Orlen from PLN 85.63 to PLN 85.86, citing improved profit margin expectations and a modest adjustment to the discount rate. What's in the News Orlen S.A. has scheduled a Special/Extraordinary Shareholders Meeting for November 13, 2025, at 11:00 Central European Standard Time (Key Developments).
Aggiornamento della narrazione Nov 05

PKN: Profit Margins Will Improve Despite Weakening Revenue Outlook By Shareholder Meeting

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Orlen from PLN 83.86 to PLN 85.63, citing improved profit margin forecasts and a slightly higher future price-to-earnings expectation. This adjustment comes despite a modest downward revision in revenue growth outlook.
Articolo di analisi Oct 28

Orlen (WSE:PKN) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company...
Aggiornamento della narrazione Oct 22

Analysts Maintain Orlen Price Target as Valuation Metrics Remain Stable Ahead of Shareholder Meeting

Analysts have maintained Orlen's price target at PLN 83.86, citing consistent expectations for future profitability and revenue growth in spite of industry headwinds. What's in the News Orlen S.A. will hold a Special/Extraordinary Shareholders Meeting on October 28, 2025, at 11:00 Central European Standard Time (Key Developments).
Aggiornamento della narrazione Oct 08

Renewable Energy Focus And Funding Diversification Will Improve Future Performance

Analysts have raised their price target for Orlen from PLN 80.08 to PLN 83.86. This update cites an improved fair value assessment and a modest increase in projected profit margins, even though revenue growth expectations are slightly lower.
Articolo di analisi Oct 01

Orlen S.A.'s (WSE:PKN) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 42% Above Its Share Price

Key Insights The projected fair value for Orlen is zł123 based on Dividend Discount Model Orlen is estimated to be 30...
Aggiornamento della narrazione Sep 23

Renewable Energy Focus And Funding Diversification Will Improve Future Performance

Despite a further deterioration in consensus revenue growth forecasts, Orlen’s net profit margin has improved, supporting a modest increase in analyst fair value to PLN80.08. What's in the News Orlen will not acquire all or part of GA Polyolefins shares, but remains open to further discussions on asset utilization.
Articolo di analisi Sep 13

Orlen (WSE:PKN) Might Have The Makings Of A Multi-Bagger

If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Firstly, we'd...
Articolo di analisi May 30

Some May Be Optimistic About Orlen's (WSE:PKN) Earnings

Soft earnings didn't appear to concern Orlen S.A.'s ( WSE:PKN ) shareholders over the last week. We did some digging...
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Nuova narrazione Jan 19

Operations Diversification And Retail Expansion Will Build Future Resilience

Diversified operations and strategic investments aim to stabilize Orlen's revenue and boost capital efficiency and net margins.

Ripartizione dei ricavi e delle spese

Come Orlen guadagna e spende denaro. In base agli ultimi utili dichiarati, su base LTM.


Storico di utili e ricavi

WSE:PKN Ricavi, spese e utili (PLN Millions )
DataRicaviUtiliSpese G+ASpese di R&S
31 Dec 25267,8272,53121,8250
30 Sep 25270,3996,43020,4540
30 Jun 25277,3284,51720,4370
31 Mar 25286,1792,97020,2700
31 Dec 24294,8862,82621,2480
30 Sep 24317,3803,99221,8080
30 Jun 24328,9018,33121,7910
31 Mar 24338,42014,37622,1690
31 Dec 23371,91620,92221,9160
30 Sep 23380,56338,56620,4220
30 Jun 23374,02148,68419,0490
31 Mar 23352,79646,23117,0030
31 Dec 22282,41539,67715,0210
30 Sep 22217,08025,20213,2920
30 Jun 22180,60713,43212,2650
31 Mar 22152,22612,04711,7290
31 Dec 21131,34111,12211,2080
30 Sep 21113,6026,97911,0090
30 Jun 21101,0784,72110,6070
31 Mar 2188,6656,84410,0670
31 Dec 2086,1802,7559,6130
30 Sep 2090,5053,3408,9330
30 Jun 2095,8163,9558,5650
31 Mar 20108,0341,2078,4370
31 Dec 19111,2034,3008,2040
30 Sep 19113,1234,4247,6310
30 Jun 19114,2385,2217,1760
31 Mar 19111,7115,3636,7080
31 Dec 18109,7065,5566,3350
30 Sep 18105,0206,4406,2560
30 Jun 1899,4065,9806,1480
31 Mar 1895,7305,7775,9730
31 Dec 1795,3646,6555,8640
30 Sep 1793,5326,8535,6920
30 Jun 1789,8856,7775,5700
31 Mar 1786,2156,8445,5920
31 Dec 1679,5535,2615,5510
30 Sep 1676,7383,3915,6050
30 Jun 1679,1232,6595,5500
31 Mar 1684,5442,4185,5640
31 Dec 1588,3362,8375,5230
30 Sep 1593,1511,7025,4620
30 Jun 1598,8431,4455,5440

Guadagni di qualità: PKN ha un grande una tantum perdita di PLN14.9B che ha avuto un impatto sui suoi ultimi 12 mesi di risultati finanziari pari a 31st December, 2025.

Margine di profitto in crescita: Gli attuali margini di profitto netti di PKN (0.9%) sono inferiori rispetto allo scorso anno (1%).


Flusso di cassa libero e analisi degli utili


Analisi della crescita degli utili nel passato

Andamento degli utili: Gli utili di PKN sono diminuiti del 7.6% all'anno negli ultimi 5 anni.

Accelerare la crescita: PKN ha avuto una crescita negativa degli utili nell'ultimo anno, quindi non può essere confrontata con la sua media quinquennale.

Guadagni vs Settore: PKN ha avuto una crescita negativa degli utili ( -10.4% ) nell'ultimo anno, rendendo difficile il confronto con la media del settore Oil and Gas ( -9.2% ).


Rendimento del capitale proprio

ROE elevato: Il Return on Equity ( 1.8% ) di PKN è considerato basso.


Rendimento delle attività


Rendimento del capitale investito


Scoprire le aziende con forti performance passate

Analisi aziendale e situazione dei dati finanziari

DatiUltimo aggiornamento (ora UTC)
Analisi dell'azienda2026/05/24 17:41
Prezzo dell'azione a fine giornata2026/05/22 00:00
Utili2025/12/31
Utili annuali2025/12/31

Fonti dei dati

I dati utilizzati nella nostra analisi aziendale provengono da S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. I seguenti dati sono utilizzati nel nostro modello di analisi per generare questo report. I dati sono normalizzati, il che può comportare un ritardo nella disponibilità della fonte.

PacchettoDatiTempisticaEsempio Fonte USA *
Dati finanziari della società10 anni
  • Conto economico
  • Rendiconto finanziario
  • Bilancio
Stime di consenso degli analisti+3 anni
  • Previsioni finanziarie
  • Obiettivi di prezzo degli analisti
Prezzi di mercato30 anni
  • Prezzi delle azioni
  • Dividendi, scissioni e azioni
Proprietà10 anni
  • Top azionisti
  • Insider trading
Gestione10 anni
  • Team di leadership
  • Consiglio di amministrazione
Sviluppi principali10 anni
  • Annunci aziendali

* Esempio per i titoli statunitensi, per i titoli non statunitensi si utilizzano forme e fonti normative equivalenti.

Se non specificato, tutti i dati finanziari si basano su un periodo annuale ma vengono aggiornati trimestralmente. Si tratta dei cosiddetti dati TTM (Trailing Twelve Month) o LTM (Last Twelve Month). Per saperne di più.

Modello di analisi e Snowflake

I dettagli del modello di analisi utilizzato per generare questo report sono disponibili sulla nostra pagina Github; abbiamo anche guide su come utilizzare i nostri report e tutorial su Youtube.

Scoprite il team di livello mondiale che ha progettato e realizzato il modello di analisi Simply Wall St.

Metriche di settore e industriali

Le nostre metriche di settore e di sezione sono calcolate ogni 6 ore da Simply Wall St; i dettagli del nostro processo sono disponibili su Github.

Fonti analitiche

Orlen S.A. è coperta da 21 analisti. 9 di questi analisti ha fornito le stime di fatturato o di utile utilizzate come input per il nostro report. Le stime degli analisti vengono aggiornate nel corso della giornata.

AnalistaIstituzione
Robert BateBarclays
Yuriy KukhtanychBerenberg
Kamil KliszczBiuro maklerskie mBanku