Rumo Crescita futura
Criteri Future verificati 3/6
Rumo prevede che gli utili e i ricavi cresceranno rispettivamente di 31.7% e 3% all'anno. Si prevede che l'EPS crescerà di 32.6% all'anno. Si prevede che il ritorno sul capitale proprio sarà di 14.9% in 3 anni.
Informazioni chiave
31.7%
Tasso di crescita degli utili
32.59%
Tasso di crescita dell'EPS
| Transportation crescita degli utili | 32.8% |
| Tasso di crescita dei ricavi | 3.0% |
| Rendimento futuro del capitale proprio | 14.89% |
| Copertura analitica | Good |
| Ultimo aggiornamento | 18 May 2026 |
Aggiornamenti recenti sulla crescita futura
Recent updates
Aggiornamento della narrazione • May 09
RAIL3: Higher Discount Rate And Lower P/E Will Pressure Future Returns
Analysts have reduced their Rumo fair value estimate from R$15.27 to R$14.64, citing updated assumptions for discount rates, revised revenue growth expectations, adjusted margin forecasts, and a new future P/E of 17.07x. What's in the News Rumo S.A. set an annual dividend of R$0.1084 per share, with payment scheduled for November 30, 2026 (Key Developments).
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Apr 21
RAIL3: Future Dividend Policy Will Support Stronger Profitability Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Rumo slightly from R$19.93 to R$19.67, reflecting updated views on modestly different revenue growth, profit margin and discount rate assumptions while keeping future P/E expectations broadly in line. What's in the News Rumo plans an annual dividend of R$0.1084 per share, with payment scheduled for November 30, 2026 (Key Developments).
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Apr 07
RAIL3: Higher Revenue Outlook Will Eventually Support Richer Earnings Multiple
Analysts have slightly trimmed their fair value estimate for Rumo from R$25.00 to R$24.00, reflecting updated assumptions that combine higher revenue growth expectations with a lower projected profit margin and a modestly higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Rumo S.A. announced an annual dividend of R$0.1084 per share, scheduled to be paid on November 30, 2026.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Mar 24
RAIL3: Future Profitability Will Strengthen Despite Ongoing Freight Price Pressure
Analysts have reset their price target on Rumo to R$19.93 from R$21.84, reflecting updated expectations for freight price pressure and modest tweaks to revenue growth, profit margin, and forward P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary JPMorgan resumed coverage of Rumo with a Neutral rating and a R$20 price target, signaling a balanced view on risk and reward at current levels.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Mar 07
RAIL3: Freight Price Pressure And Execution Will Shape A Cautiously Optimistic Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their Rumo fair value estimate from roughly R$16.50 to about R$15.27, aligning their updated price target with expectations for continued freight price pressure highlighted in recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent updates around Rumo suggest that, while coverage is active again, the tone remains cautious.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Feb 21
RAIL3: Freight Price Pressure Will Eventually Support Higher Earnings Multiple
Rumo's analyst price target has been reiterated at R$25.00, with analysts pointing to slightly stronger assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and forward P/E, while still flagging near term freight price pressure as a key watchpoint. Analyst Commentary JPMorgan has resumed coverage of Rumo with a Neutral rating and a R$20 price target, highlighting that freight pricing remains a near term pressure point.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Feb 06
RAIL3: Freight Price Pressure Will Set Up Future P/E Repricing Potential
Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Rumo from R$27.00 to R$25.00, reflecting updated assumptions on growth, profitability, and future P/E, as well as recent Street research that highlights continued pressure on freight prices. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research points to a mixed but watchful stance on Rumo, with JPMorgan resuming coverage at Neutral and a R$20 price target.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Jan 23
RAIL3: Freight Pricing Discipline Will Support A More Optimistic Outlook
Narrative Update on Rumo The analyst price target for Rumo has been updated to R$20, with analysts citing freight price pressures and revised assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E to support the change. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary around Rumo has centered on freight pricing pressure and how that filters through to earnings expectations, valuation assumptions, and price targets.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Jan 08
RAIL3: Freight Pricing Pressure Will Set Up Potential Upside Reassessment
Narrative Update on Rumo Our analyst price target for Rumo moves from R$31.70 to R$27.00, as analysts factor in more moderate revenue growth assumptions, a slightly higher discount rate and ongoing pressure on freight prices highlighted in recent Street research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Rumo has been cautious on near term freight pricing, yet the new R$27.00 target remains above the R$20 reference from JPMorgan, which signals some residual optimism around the company’s ability to execute on its plan over time.Articolo di analisi • Dec 22
Rumo (BVMF:RAIL3) Shareholders Will Want The ROCE Trajectory To Continue
If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an...Aggiornamento della narrazione • Dec 22
RAIL3 Stronger Profit Margins Will Support A More Optimistic Outlook
Narrative Update on Rumo Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Rumo to R$16.50, reflecting higher expected profitability and a slightly improved valuation multiple despite slower projected revenue growth. Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate remains unchanged at R$16.50, indicating no revision to the intrinsic price target.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Dec 08
RAIL3: Future Profitability Will Improve As Margins Expand
Analysts have slightly reduced their price target on Rumo to reflect a modest downward revision in fair value and revenue growth assumptions, partially offset by expectations for improved profit margins and a lower future price-to-earnings multiple. Valuation Changes Fair Value: reduced slightly from R$22.56 to R$21.84 per share, reflecting a modest downward revision in intrinsic valuation.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Nov 24
RAIL3: Future Profitability Will Strengthen As Margins Stabilize
Rumo's Analyst Price Target Sees Modest Adjustment Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for Rumo from $23.02 to $22.56. This reflects more cautious expectations on revenue growth and profit margins in their latest assessment.Articolo di analisi • Nov 16
Rumo S.A.'s (BVMF:RAIL3) Price Is Out Of Tune With Revenues
Rumo S.A.'s ( BVMF:RAIL3 ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.2x may not look like an appealing investment...Articolo di analisi • Oct 29
Is Rumo (BVMF:RAIL3) Using Too Much Debt?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Aggiornamento della narrazione • Sep 14
Mato Grosso Rail Investment Will Boost Brazilian Food Exports
The slight reduction in Rumo's fair value target to R$23.02 primarily reflects lowered consensus revenue growth expectations, despite some improvement in net profit margin. Valuation Changes Summary of Valuation Changes for Rumo The Consensus Analyst Price Target has fallen slightly from R$23.68 to R$23.02.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Aug 30
Mato Grosso Rail Investment Will Boost Brazilian Food Exports
Rumo’s consensus price target was revised downward to R$24.09, reflecting a weakening in fundamentals as the company’s net profit margin declined and its future P/E multiple increased. What's in the News Rumo S.A. announced an annual dividend of BRL 0.8104 per share.Articolo di analisi • Aug 14
The Strong Earnings Posted By Rumo (BVMF:RAIL3) Are A Good Indication Of The Strength Of The Business
BOVESPA:RAIL3 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Rumo's Fair Values from the Community and select yours Rumo...Articolo di analisi • Aug 04
Rumo S.A.'s (BVMF:RAIL3) Share Price Not Quite Adding Up
Rumo S.A.'s ( BVMF:RAIL3 ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.2x may not look like an appealing investment...Articolo di analisi • Jul 14
The Return Trends At Rumo (BVMF:RAIL3) Look Promising
To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Firstly, we'll want to...Articolo di analisi • Jun 01
Rumo (BVMF:RAIL3) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
Nuova narrazione • Dec 02
Decisive Expansion In Mato Grosso And Infrastructure Investments Set To Boost Revenue Growth
Expansion projects and infrastructure investments are set to boost transported volumes and yields, driving long-term revenue growth.Previsioni di crescita degli utili e dei ricavi
| Data | Ricavi | Utili | Flusso di cassa libero | Liquidità dell'operazione | Avg. Numero di analisti |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 15,374 | 2,640 | 1,353 | 4,865 | 10 |
| 12/31/2027 | 15,128 | 2,405 | -484 | 5,524 | 14 |
| 12/31/2026 | 14,733 | 1,776 | -1,773 | 4,607 | 12 |
| 3/31/2026 | 14,163 | 1,040 | 1,085 | 7,190 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 13,848 | 847 | 1,045 | 7,142 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 13,961 | 374 | 544 | 7,060 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 13,894 | 645 | 819 | 7,328 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 13,757 | -1,428 | 1,185 | 7,475 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 13,936 | -959 | 2,172 | 7,665 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 13,089 | -696 | 2,204 | 7,036 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 12,512 | -896 | 2,378 | 6,590 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 11,700 | 1,015 | 2,196 | 5,925 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 10,938 | 720 | 1,761 | 5,451 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 10,542 | 962 | 2,054 | 5,263 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 10,317 | 788 | 2,065 | 5,033 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 10,019 | 655 | 1,793 | 4,747 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 9,842 | 515 | 2,113 | 4,831 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 9,134 | -111 | 2,070 | 4,748 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 8,149 | -367 | 1,180 | 4,026 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 7,900 | -88 | 724 | 3,932 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 7,440 | 151 | -113 | 3,340 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 7,589 | 536 | -555 | 3,195 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 7,676 | 650 | -60 | 3,614 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 7,289 | 742 | -45 | 3,310 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 6,966 | 297 | -73 | 2,906 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 6,968 | 496 | 649 | 3,196 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 6,976 | 699 | 930 | 3,175 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 6,876 | 479 | 1,067 | 3,028 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 7,088 | 778 | N/A | 3,525 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 7,070 | 711 | N/A | 3,240 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 6,887 | 570 | N/A | 3,022 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 6,823 | 350 | N/A | 2,924 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 6,585 | 264 | N/A | 2,705 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 6,530 | 75 | N/A | 2,592 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 6,302 | -75 | N/A | 2,325 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 6,144 | -71 | N/A | 2,067 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 5,946 | -261 | N/A | 2,311 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 5,230 | -619 | N/A | 1,649 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 4,802 | -884 | N/A | 1,550 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 4,492 | -1,037 | N/A | 1,432 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 4,312 | -1,063 | N/A | 1,213 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 4,487 | -994 | N/A | 1,591 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 4,418 | -968 | N/A | 1,394 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 4,325 | -1,221 | N/A | 1,536 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 4,149 | -1,177 | N/A | 1,339 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 3,910 | -2,800 | N/A | -45 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 3,708 | -2,631 | N/A | 287 | N/A |
Previsioni di crescita futura degli analisti
Guadagni vs tasso di risparmio: La crescita prevista degli utili di RAIL3 ( 31.7% all'anno) è superiore al tasso di risparmio ( 12.4% ).
Guadagni vs Mercato: Si prevede che gli utili di RAIL3 ( 31.7% all'anno) cresceranno più rapidamente del mercato BR ( 12.5% all'anno).
Guadagni ad alta crescita: Si prevede che gli utili di RAIL3 cresceranno in modo significativo nei prossimi 3 anni.
Ricavi vs Mercato: Si prevede che il fatturato di RAIL3 ( 3% all'anno) crescerà più lentamente rispetto al mercato BR ( 6.5% all'anno).
Ricavi ad alta crescita: Si prevede che il fatturato di RAIL3 ( 3% all'anno) crescerà più lentamente di 20% all'anno.
Previsioni di crescita dell'utile per azione
Rendimento futuro del capitale proprio
ROE futuro: Si prevede che il Return on Equity di RAIL3 sarà basso tra 3 anni ( 14.9 %).
Scoprire le aziende in crescita
Analisi aziendale e situazione dei dati finanziari
| Dati | Ultimo aggiornamento (ora UTC) |
|---|---|
| Analisi dell'azienda | 2026/05/22 05:58 |
| Prezzo dell'azione a fine giornata | 2026/05/21 00:00 |
| Utili | 2026/03/31 |
| Utili annuali | 2025/12/31 |
Fonti dei dati
I dati utilizzati nella nostra analisi aziendale provengono da S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. I seguenti dati sono utilizzati nel nostro modello di analisi per generare questo report. I dati sono normalizzati, il che può comportare un ritardo nella disponibilità della fonte.
| Pacchetto | Dati | Tempistica | Esempio Fonte USA * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dati finanziari della società | 10 anni |
| |
| Stime di consenso degli analisti | +3 anni |
|
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| Prezzi di mercato | 30 anni |
| |
| Proprietà | 10 anni |
| |
| Gestione | 10 anni |
| |
| Sviluppi principali | 10 anni |
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* Esempio per i titoli statunitensi, per i titoli non statunitensi si utilizzano forme e fonti normative equivalenti.
Se non specificato, tutti i dati finanziari si basano su un periodo annuale ma vengono aggiornati trimestralmente. Si tratta dei cosiddetti dati TTM (Trailing Twelve Month) o LTM (Last Twelve Month). Per saperne di più.
Modello di analisi e Snowflake
I dettagli del modello di analisi utilizzato per generare questo report sono disponibili sulla nostra pagina Github; abbiamo anche guide su come utilizzare i nostri report e tutorial su Youtube.
Scoprite il team di livello mondiale che ha progettato e realizzato il modello di analisi Simply Wall St.
Metriche di settore e industriali
Le nostre metriche di settore e di sezione sono calcolate ogni 6 ore da Simply Wall St; i dettagli del nostro processo sono disponibili su Github.
Fonti analitiche
Rumo S.A. è coperta da 23 analisti. 14 di questi analisti ha fornito le stime di fatturato o di utile utilizzate come input per il nostro report. Le stime degli analisti vengono aggiornate nel corso della giornata.
| Analista | Istituzione |
|---|---|
| Mauro Suarez | Alliance Global Partners |
| Daniel Spilberg | Barclays |
| Rogério Araújo | BofA Global Research |