Rumo S.A.

Report azionario BOVESPA:RAIL3

Capitalizzazione di mercato: R$25.8b

Rumo Crescita futura

Criteri Future verificati 3/6

Rumo prevede che gli utili e i ricavi cresceranno rispettivamente di 28.5% e 2.4% all'anno. Si prevede che l'EPS crescerà di 28.5% all'anno. Si prevede che il ritorno sul capitale proprio sarà di 13.5% in 3 anni.

Informazioni chiave

28.5%

Tasso di crescita degli utili

28.51%

Tasso di crescita dell'EPS

Transportation crescita degli utili26.0%
Tasso di crescita dei ricavi2.4%
Rendimento futuro del capitale proprio13.53%
Copertura analitica

Good

Ultimo aggiornamento20 Aug 2026

Aggiornamenti recenti sulla crescita futura

Recent updates

Aggiornamento narrativa • Aug 16

RAIL3: Higher P/E And Weaker Margins Will Shape Balanced Outlook

Analysts have nudged their price target on Rumo higher to R$13.62 from R$13.20, citing updated assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E as the key drivers behind the recalibration. What’s in the News for Rumo No recent company specific news items for Rumo were identified in the provided sources as of 14 Aug 2026.
Aggiornamento narrativa • Jul 29

RAIL3: Higher Discount Rate And Softer P/E Will Guide Balanced Outlook

Analysts trimmed their fair value estimate for Rumo slightly from R$13.61 to R$13.20, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue trends, and expectations for future P/E ratios and profit margins. What’s in the News for Rumo No recent company specific news items for Rumo were identified in the provided sources as of 28 Jul 2026.
Aggiornamento narrativa • Jul 14

RAIL3: Higher Discount Rate And Richer P/E Will Shape Balanced Prospects

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Rumo from R$14.64 to R$13.61, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and a higher future P/E multiple, which together indicate a more cautious outlook on the company’s earnings power. What's in the News No recent company specific news items for Rumo were provided in the available sources.
Aggiornamento narrativa • Jun 30

RAIL3: Future Dividend Policy And Higher P/E Assumptions Will Support Returns

Analysts have trimmed their Rumo price target slightly to around R$19.05 from about R$19.67, reflecting updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate and future P/E expectations. What’s in the News for Rumo Rumo announced an annual dividend of R$0.1084 per share, scheduled to be paid on November 30, 2026.
Aggiornamento narrativa • Jun 16

RAIL3: Future Dividend Visibility And Margins Support Higher Share Price

Rumo's analyst price target remains at R$23.00, with analysts citing modest adjustments to the discount rate, revenue growth assumptions and profit margin expectations as the key drivers behind the unchanged headline figure. What’s in the News for Rumo Rumo announced an annual dividend of R$0.1084 per share, according to company disclosures.
Aggiornamento narrativa • Jun 02

RAIL3: Dividend And Stronger Revenue Outlook Will Support Richer P/E Multiple

Analysts have trimmed their Rumo fair value estimate from R$24.00 to R$23.00, citing updated assumptions that include a different discount rate, higher projected revenue growth, lower profit margin expectations and a higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Rumo S.A. declared an annual dividend of R$0.1084 per share.
Aggiornamento narrativa • May 09

RAIL3: Higher Discount Rate And Lower P/E Will Pressure Future Returns

Analysts have reduced their Rumo fair value estimate from R$15.27 to R$14.64, citing updated assumptions for discount rates, revised revenue growth expectations, adjusted margin forecasts, and a new future P/E of 17.07x. What's in the News Rumo S.A. set an annual dividend of R$0.1084 per share, with payment scheduled for November 30, 2026 (Key Developments).
Aggiornamento narrativa • Apr 21

RAIL3: Future Dividend Policy Will Support Stronger Profitability Outlook

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Rumo slightly from R$19.93 to R$19.67, reflecting updated views on modestly different revenue growth, profit margin and discount rate assumptions while keeping future P/E expectations broadly in line. What's in the News Rumo plans an annual dividend of R$0.1084 per share, with payment scheduled for November 30, 2026 (Key Developments).
Aggiornamento narrativa • Apr 07

RAIL3: Higher Revenue Outlook Will Eventually Support Richer Earnings Multiple

Analysts have slightly trimmed their fair value estimate for Rumo from R$25.00 to R$24.00, reflecting updated assumptions that combine higher revenue growth expectations with a lower projected profit margin and a modestly higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Rumo S.A. announced an annual dividend of R$0.1084 per share, scheduled to be paid on November 30, 2026.
Aggiornamento narrativa • Mar 24

RAIL3: Future Profitability Will Strengthen Despite Ongoing Freight Price Pressure

Analysts have reset their price target on Rumo to R$19.93 from R$21.84, reflecting updated expectations for freight price pressure and modest tweaks to revenue growth, profit margin, and forward P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary JPMorgan resumed coverage of Rumo with a Neutral rating and a R$20 price target, signaling a balanced view on risk and reward at current levels.
Aggiornamento narrativa • Mar 07

RAIL3: Freight Price Pressure And Execution Will Shape A Cautiously Optimistic Outlook

Analysts have trimmed their Rumo fair value estimate from roughly R$16.50 to about R$15.27, aligning their updated price target with expectations for continued freight price pressure highlighted in recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent updates around Rumo suggest that, while coverage is active again, the tone remains cautious.
Aggiornamento narrativa • Feb 21

RAIL3: Freight Price Pressure Will Eventually Support Higher Earnings Multiple

Rumo's analyst price target has been reiterated at R$25.00, with analysts pointing to slightly stronger assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and forward P/E, while still flagging near term freight price pressure as a key watchpoint. Analyst Commentary JPMorgan has resumed coverage of Rumo with a Neutral rating and a R$20 price target, highlighting that freight pricing remains a near term pressure point.
Aggiornamento narrativa • Feb 06

RAIL3: Freight Price Pressure Will Set Up Future P/E Repricing Potential

Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Rumo from R$27.00 to R$25.00, reflecting updated assumptions on growth, profitability, and future P/E, as well as recent Street research that highlights continued pressure on freight prices. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research points to a mixed but watchful stance on Rumo, with JPMorgan resuming coverage at Neutral and a R$20 price target.
Aggiornamento narrativa • Jan 23

RAIL3: Freight Pricing Discipline Will Support A More Optimistic Outlook

Narrative Update on Rumo The analyst price target for Rumo has been updated to R$20, with analysts citing freight price pressures and revised assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E to support the change. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary around Rumo has centered on freight pricing pressure and how that filters through to earnings expectations, valuation assumptions, and price targets.
Aggiornamento narrativa • Jan 08

RAIL3: Freight Pricing Pressure Will Set Up Potential Upside Reassessment

Narrative Update on Rumo Our analyst price target for Rumo moves from R$31.70 to R$27.00, as analysts factor in more moderate revenue growth assumptions, a slightly higher discount rate and ongoing pressure on freight prices highlighted in recent Street research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Rumo has been cautious on near term freight pricing, yet the new R$27.00 target remains above the R$20 reference from JPMorgan, which signals some residual optimism around the company’s ability to execute on its plan over time.
Articolo di analisi • Dec 22

Rumo (BVMF:RAIL3) Shareholders Will Want The ROCE Trajectory To Continue

If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an...
Aggiornamento narrativa • Dec 22

RAIL3 Stronger Profit Margins Will Support A More Optimistic Outlook

Narrative Update on Rumo Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Rumo to R$16.50, reflecting higher expected profitability and a slightly improved valuation multiple despite slower projected revenue growth. Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate remains unchanged at R$16.50, indicating no revision to the intrinsic price target.
Aggiornamento narrativa • Dec 08

RAIL3: Future Profitability Will Improve As Margins Expand

Analysts have slightly reduced their price target on Rumo to reflect a modest downward revision in fair value and revenue growth assumptions, partially offset by expectations for improved profit margins and a lower future price-to-earnings multiple. Valuation Changes Fair Value: reduced slightly from R$22.56 to R$21.84 per share, reflecting a modest downward revision in intrinsic valuation.
Aggiornamento narrativa • Nov 24

RAIL3: Future Profitability Will Strengthen As Margins Stabilize

Rumo's Analyst Price Target Sees Modest Adjustment Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for Rumo from $23.02 to $22.56. This reflects more cautious expectations on revenue growth and profit margins in their latest assessment.
Articolo di analisi • Nov 16

Rumo S.A.'s (BVMF:RAIL3) Price Is Out Of Tune With Revenues

Rumo S.A.'s ( BVMF:RAIL3 ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.2x may not look like an appealing investment...
Articolo di analisi • Oct 29

Is Rumo (BVMF:RAIL3) Using Too Much Debt?

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
Aggiornamento narrativa • Sep 14

Mato Grosso Rail Investment Will Boost Brazilian Food Exports

The slight reduction in Rumo's fair value target to R$23.02 primarily reflects lowered consensus revenue growth expectations, despite some improvement in net profit margin. Valuation Changes Summary of Valuation Changes for Rumo The Consensus Analyst Price Target has fallen slightly from R$23.68 to R$23.02.
Aggiornamento narrativa • Aug 30

Mato Grosso Rail Investment Will Boost Brazilian Food Exports

Rumo’s consensus price target was revised downward to R$24.09, reflecting a weakening in fundamentals as the company’s net profit margin declined and its future P/E multiple increased. What's in the News Rumo S.A. announced an annual dividend of BRL 0.8104 per share.
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Nuova narrativa • Dec 02

Decisive Expansion In Mato Grosso And Infrastructure Investments Set To Boost Revenue Growth

Expansion projects and infrastructure investments are set to boost transported volumes and yields, driving long-term revenue growth.

Previsioni di crescita degli utili e dei ricavi

BOVESPA:RAIL3 - Stime future degli analisti e dati finanziari passati (BRL Millions )
DataRicaviUtiliFlusso di cassa liberoLiquidità dell'operazioneAvg. Numero di analisti
12/31/202815,1982,5841,9904,56811
12/31/202715,1552,4231,6335,13614
12/31/202614,7591,683-7704,60712
6/30/202614,3921,2278947,202N/A
3/31/202614,1631,0401,0857,190N/A
12/31/202513,8488471,0457,142N/A
9/30/202513,9613745447,060N/A
6/30/202513,8946458197,328N/A
3/31/202513,757-1,4281,1857,475N/A
12/31/202413,936-9592,1727,665N/A
9/30/202413,089-6962,2047,036N/A
6/30/202412,512-8962,3786,590N/A
3/31/202411,7001,0152,1965,925N/A
12/31/202310,9387201,7615,451N/A
9/30/202310,5429622,0545,263N/A
6/30/202310,3177882,0655,033N/A
3/31/202310,0196551,7934,747N/A
12/31/20229,8425152,1134,831N/A
9/30/20229,134-1112,0704,748N/A
6/30/20228,149-3671,1804,026N/A
3/31/20227,900-887243,932N/A
12/31/20217,440151-1133,340N/A
9/30/20217,589536-5553,195N/A
6/30/20217,676650-603,614N/A
3/31/20217,289742-453,310N/A
12/31/20206,966297-732,906N/A
9/30/20206,9684966493,196N/A
6/30/20206,9766999303,175N/A
3/31/20206,876479N/A3,028N/A
12/31/20197,088778N/A3,525N/A
9/30/20197,070711N/A3,240N/A
6/30/20196,887570N/A3,022N/A
3/31/20196,823350N/A2,924N/A
12/31/20186,585264N/A2,705N/A
9/30/20186,53075N/A2,592N/A
6/30/20186,302-75N/A2,325N/A
3/31/20186,144-71N/A2,067N/A
12/31/20175,946-261N/A2,311N/A
9/30/20175,230-619N/A1,649N/A
6/30/20174,802-884N/A1,550N/A
3/31/20174,492-1,037N/A1,432N/A
12/31/20164,312-1,063N/A1,213N/A
9/30/20164,487-994N/A1,591N/A
6/30/20164,418-968N/A1,394N/A
3/31/20164,325-1,221N/A1,536N/A
12/31/20154,149-1,177N/A1,339N/A
9/30/20153,910-2,800N/A-45N/A

Previsioni di crescita futura degli analisti

Guadagni vs tasso di risparmio: La crescita prevista degli utili di RAIL3 ( 28.5% all'anno) è superiore al tasso di risparmio ( 12.6% ).

Guadagni vs Mercato: Si prevede che gli utili di RAIL3 ( 28.5% all'anno) cresceranno più rapidamente del mercato BR ( 11.9% all'anno).

Guadagni ad alta crescita: Si prevede che gli utili di RAIL3 cresceranno in modo significativo nei prossimi 3 anni.

Ricavi vs Mercato: Si prevede che il fatturato di RAIL3 ( 2.4% all'anno) crescerà più lentamente rispetto al mercato BR ( 7.5% all'anno).

Ricavi ad alta crescita: Si prevede che il fatturato di RAIL3 ( 2.4% all'anno) crescerà più lentamente di 20% all'anno.

Previsioni di crescita dell'utile per azione

Rendimento futuro del capitale proprio

ROE futuro: Si prevede che il Return on Equity di RAIL3 sarà basso tra 3 anni ( 13.5 %).

Scoprire le aziende in crescita

7D

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7D

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7D

1Y

Analisi aziendale e situazione dei dati finanziari

DatiUltimo aggiornamento (ora UTC)
Analisi dell'azienda2026/08/21 06:04
Prezzo dell'azione a fine giornata2026/08/20 00:00
Utili2026/06/30
Utili annuali2025/12/31

Fonti dei dati

I dati utilizzati nella nostra analisi aziendale provengono da S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. I seguenti dati sono utilizzati nel nostro modello di analisi per generare questo report. I dati sono normalizzati, il che può comportare un ritardo nella disponibilità della fonte.

PacchettoDatiTempisticaEsempio Fonte USA *
Dati finanziari della società10 anni
  • Conto economico
  • Rendiconto finanziario
  • Bilancio
Stime di consenso degli analisti+3 anni
  • Previsioni finanziarie
  • Obiettivi di prezzo degli analisti
Prezzi di mercato30 anni
  • Prezzi delle azioni
  • Dividendi, scissioni e azioni
Proprietà10 anni
  • Top azionisti
  • Insider trading
Gestione10 anni
  • Team di leadership
  • Consiglio di amministrazione
Sviluppi principali10 anni
  • Annunci aziendali

* Esempio per i titoli statunitensi, per i titoli non statunitensi si utilizzano forme e fonti normative equivalenti.

Se non specificato, tutti i dati finanziari si basano su un periodo annuale ma vengono aggiornati trimestralmente. Si tratta dei cosiddetti dati TTM (Trailing Twelve Month) o LTM (Last Twelve Month). Per saperne di più.

Modello di analisi e Snowflake

I dettagli del modello di analisi utilizzato per generare questo report sono disponibili sulla nostra pagina GitHub; abbiamo anche delle guide su come utilizzare i nostri report e dei tutorial su YouTube.

Scoprite il team di livello mondiale che ha progettato e realizzato il modello di analisi Simply Wall St.

Metriche di settore e industriali

Le nostre metriche di settore e di sezione sono calcolate ogni 6 ore da Simply Wall St; i dettagli del nostro processo sono disponibili su Github.

Fonti analitiche

Rumo S.A. è coperta da 22 analisti. 14 di questi analisti ha fornito le stime di fatturato o di utile utilizzate come input per il nostro report. Le stime degli analisti vengono aggiornate nel corso della giornata.

AnalistaIstituzione
Mauro SuarezAlliance Global Partners
Daniel SpilbergBarclays
Rogério AraújoBofA Global Research