BHP Group Limited

Report azionario ASX:BHP

Capitalizzazione di mercato: AU$294.4b

BHP Group Crescita futura

Criteri Future verificati 1/6

BHP Group prevede che gli utili e i ricavi cresceranno rispettivamente di 4.6% e 0.5% all'anno. Si prevede che l'EPS crescerà di 4.6% all'anno. Si prevede che il ritorno sul capitale proprio sarà di 19.3% in 3 anni.

Informazioni chiave

4.6%

Tasso di crescita degli utili

4.64%

Tasso di crescita dell'EPS

Metals and Mining crescita degli utili15.1%
Tasso di crescita dei ricavi0.5%
Rendimento futuro del capitale proprio19.34%
Copertura analitica

Good

Ultimo aggiornamento07 May 2026

Aggiornamenti recenti sulla crescita futura

Recent updates

Aggiornamento dell'analisi May 04

BHP: Commodity Mix And China Ties Will Shape Future Fairly Valued Outlook

BHP Group's analyst price target has moved higher to A$53.40 from A$52.50, as analysts factor in slightly stronger revenue growth assumptions along with a modestly higher future P/E, partly supported by recent target increases from major brokers. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on BHP Group shows a mix of optimism and caution, with several price target revisions and rating changes reflecting different views on valuation, earnings power and macro exposure.
Aggiornamento dell'analisi Apr 19

BHP: Commodity Mix And China Stabilization Will Shape Future Fairly Valued Outlook

The analyst fair value estimate for BHP Group has shifted slightly lower to A$52.50 from A$53.37, as analysts factor in updated assumptions for higher long term revenue growth, a modestly lower profit margin, a slightly higher discount rate, and a higher future P/E multiple following a mix of recent price target increases and trims across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research on BHP Group has been mixed, with several bullish analysts lifting price targets while more cautious analysts have trimmed theirs or maintained restrained views.
Aggiornamento dell'analisi Apr 05

BHP: Commodity Mix And China Stabilization Will Shape Fairly Valued Outlook

The analyst fair value estimate for BHP Group has increased modestly to A$53.37 from A$52.50, reflecting updated assumptions about slightly stronger revenue growth and a refreshed set of mixed but generally constructive price targets from recent Street research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on BHP Group shows a mix of optimism on long term prospects and caution around valuation and execution risks, which helps explain the modest adjustment in the fair value estimate.
Aggiornamento dell'analisi Mar 22

BHP: Commodity Cycles And China Recovery Will Shape Fairly Valued Outlook

Analysts have adjusted the BHP Group fair value estimate slightly higher to A$52.50. This reflects refreshed price targets that balance updated revenue and margin assumptions with mixed views on commodity exposure and valuation.
Nuova analisi Mar 21

BHP’s value is durability today (iron ore) and optionality tomorrow (copper + potash). Execution and macro demand are the swing factors.

Catalysts 1) Copper demand: electrification + AI-driven power infrastructure The market often frames copper as an “energy transition” commodity, but I see incremental demand coming from AI/data-center power density and grid capex (transmission, distribution, redundancy). This supports a structurally tighter copper market over time.
Aggiornamento dell'analisi Mar 05

BHP: Commodity Cycles And China Recovery Will Shape Future Returns

The analyst fair value estimate for BHP Group has been adjusted slightly higher to A$51.98 from A$51.72. This change reflects a series of recent price target increases across the Street as analysts factor in updated assumptions for revenue growth, margins and valuation multiples.
Aggiornamento dell'analisi Feb 19

BHP: Commodity Cycles And Mega Deals Will Shape Future Returns

Analysts have lifted their BHP Group price target by A$3.54. The change is supported by model updates that incorporate a higher fair value estimate, a small adjustment to the discount rate, a slightly lower revenue growth assumption, a modestly higher profit margin, and a marginally higher future P/E multiple.
Nuova analisi Feb 18

Copper And Potash Expansion Will Expose Long Term Earnings And Margin Vulnerabilities

Catalysts About BHP Group BHP Group is a diversified mining company with large operations in copper, iron ore, steelmaking coal, uranium, gold and potash. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Aggiornamento dell'analisi Feb 05

BHP: Commodity Cycles Legal Risks And Mega Deals Will Shape Future Performance

Analysts nudged their BHP Group price targets higher, with the modelled fair value moving from about A$48.99 to A$48.17 as they factored in updated revenue growth, profit margin, P/E and discount rate assumptions aligned with the latest Street research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around BHP Group has been relatively limited in volume, but the available signals point to modest valuation adjustments rather than wholesale changes in conviction.
Aggiornamento dell'analisi Jan 22

BHP: Commodity Cycles Legal Risks And Copper Exposure Will Shape Future Performance

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for BHP Group from $44.58 to $49.00, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E that align with the recent price target increase of 100 GBp reported in Street research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on BHP Group has focused on aligning price targets and fair value estimates with updated assumptions for revenue, margins and future P/E multiples, with JPMorgan lifting its price target by 100 GBp. Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts see the higher price target and fair value estimate as consistent with updated revenue and margin assumptions, which they view as better reflecting BHP Group's current earnings power.
Aggiornamento dell'analisi Jan 07

BHP: Commodity Cycles Legal Liabilities And Copper Projects Will Shape Future Performance

Analysts have trimmed their price target on BHP Group to £21.00 from £22.00, reflecting slightly updated assumptions on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E, while maintaining a neutral overall stance. Analyst Commentary Recent research on BHP Group has focused on fine tuning valuation assumptions rather than shifting the overall stance, with the latest move being a trim in the price target while keeping a neutral rating.
Aggiornamento dell'analisi Dec 14

BHP: Commodity Cycles And Legal Liabilities Will Shape Future Performance Outlook

Analysts have trimmed their price target on BHP Group slightly, from 2,200 GBp to 2,100 GBp, reflecting a modestly higher discount rate and only incremental changes to long term revenue growth, margins, and valuation assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research suggests that sentiment on BHP Group is balanced, with the latest adjustment to the price target framed more as a fine tuning of assumptions than a fundamental change in outlook.
Aggiornamento dell'analisi Nov 30

BHP: Sector Volatility And Legal Risks Will Influence Performance Outlook

Analysts have slightly increased their target fair value for BHP Group, raising it from $44.73 to $45.21. They cite modest improvements in projected revenue growth and valuation outlook as the reasons for this adjustment.
Aggiornamento dell'analisi Nov 16

BHP: Mixed Market Signals And Legal Headwinds Will Shape Near-Term Performance

BHP Group’s analyst fair value target has increased modestly from $43.95 to $44.73. Analysts are factoring in revised financial assumptions and recent price target adjustments, despite mixed short-term sentiment.
Aggiornamento dell'analisi Nov 01

BHP: Earnings Outlook Will Balance Inflation Risks And China Demand Uncertainty

BHP Group’s analyst price target was recently lowered by £1.00 to £21.00 per share. Analysts cite softer assumptions for profit margin and revenue growth as factors contributing to their revised outlook.
Aggiornamento dell'analisi Oct 17

Global Decarbonization And Asia Demand Will Underpin Durable Metals Performance

BHP Group's analyst price target has been raised from 2,160 GBp to 2,200 GBp. Analysts cite improvements in projected profit margins and a more favorable revenue outlook as supporting factors for a higher valuation. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst activity on BHP Group reflects a mix of renewed optimism and lingering caution regarding the company's outlook, following updated earnings and operational guidance.
Articolo di analisi Oct 16

It's Unlikely That BHP Group Limited's (ASX:BHP) CEO Will See A Huge Pay Rise This Year

Key Insights BHP Group will host its Annual General Meeting on 23rd of October CEO Mike Henry's total compensation...
Aggiornamento dell'analisi Oct 03

Global Decarbonization And Asia Demand Will Underpin Durable Metals Performance

The analyst price target for BHP Group has been raised from A$42.33 to A$43.51, as analysts cite resilient financial performance and a stable margin outlook despite ongoing cost pressures. Analyst Commentary Recent reports reflect a mix of optimism and caution among analysts covering BHP Group.
Aggiornamento dell'analisi Sep 17

Global Decarbonization And Asia Demand Will Underpin Durable Metals Performance

BHP Group's consensus price target was trimmed to A$42.33 as analysts cite valuation concerns amid reduced free cash flow yields, persistent cost pressures, and project execution risks, with the revision reflecting a more cautious outlook despite recent strong results. Analyst Commentary Mixed analyst sentiment with several downgrades to Neutral/Market Perform, citing valuation concerns after the recent share rally and reduced free cash flow yields.
Aggiornamento dell'analisi Aug 27

Expanding Copper Production And Potash Entry Will Diversify Portfolio, But Analysts Forecast Earnings Decline

Consensus analyst reasoning reflects cautious optimism for BHP Group, as improved underlying fiscal results and modest upgrades to revenue forecasts are tempered by ongoing execution risks, cost inflation, and less compelling valuation following a share price rally—resulting in a moderate increase in the analyst price target from A$41.44 to A$42.94. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts pointed to execution risk related to significant cost overruns (“cost blow out”) at Jansen Stage 1, weighing on future outlook.
Articolo di analisi Jun 02

An Intrinsic Calculation For BHP Group Limited (ASX:BHP) Suggests It's 40% Undervalued

Key Insights The projected fair value for BHP Group is AU$62.61 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share...
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Nuova analisi Feb 11

Focus On Copper And Potash Expansion Will Shape Future Success

BHP's strategic investments in copper and potash aim to align with long-term demand trends, potentially boosting future revenue growth.
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Nuova analisi Jan 30

Upcoming Potash And Copper Projects Will Strengthen Global Market Position

BHP's investments in potash and copper, combined with operational excellence, promise long-term revenue and margin growth through strategic developments and increasing global demand.

Previsioni di crescita degli utili e dei ricavi

ASX:BHP - Stime future degli analisti e dati finanziari passati (USD Millions )
DataRicaviUtiliFlusso di cassa liberoLiquidità dell'operazioneAvg. Numero di analisti
6/30/202855,35612,66512,06020,66317
6/30/202755,96512,99610,83220,55119
6/30/202656,78012,44510,58020,66819
12/31/202553,98810,2439,89519,747N/A
9/30/202552,6259,6319,39719,220N/A
6/30/202551,2629,0198,89818,692N/A
3/31/202552,43210,2039,63119,395N/A
12/31/202453,60211,38610,36420,098N/A
9/30/202454,6309,64210,87820,382N/A
6/30/202455,6587,89711,39220,665N/A
3/31/202455,3627,64411,70420,740N/A
12/31/202355,0657,39112,01520,815N/A
9/30/202354,44110,15611,81719,758N/A
6/30/202353,81712,92111,61818,701N/A
3/31/202356,87815,57615,51322,184N/A
12/31/202260,56418,23119,40725,667N/A
9/30/202262,98819,23822,73528,921N/A
6/30/202265,09820,24526,06332,174N/A
3/31/202264,65718,08925,72231,658N/A
12/31/202163,90315,93225,38131,142N/A
9/30/202160,57913,73123,40629,188N/A
6/30/202157,25511,52921,43027,234N/A
3/31/202147,0339,23517,62222,434N/A
12/31/202044,9507,15610,86717,633N/A
9/30/202044,0877,5569,46716,670N/A
6/30/202039,1537,8489,53915,706N/A
3/31/202044,8128,7049,12316,873N/A
12/31/201945,8329,45210,17918,039N/A
9/30/201945,0609,047N/A17,955N/A
6/30/201944,5728,641N/A17,871N/A
3/31/201943,7128,739N/AN/AN/A
12/31/201843,6498,836N/A18,392N/A
9/30/201843,5187,731N/A18,427N/A
6/30/201843,1296,626N/A18,461N/A
3/31/201842,0725,580N/A17,456N/A
12/31/201737,6875,005N/A16,450N/A
9/30/201737,0165,684N/A16,627N/A
6/30/201735,9476,362N/A16,804N/A
3/31/201736,6824,189N/A14,933N/A
12/31/201634,6982,488N/A13,062N/A
9/30/201633,027-1,948N/A11,844N/A
6/30/201629,005-490N/A10,625N/A
3/31/201633,653-6,248N/A12,379N/A
12/31/201535,936-6,111N/A14,133N/A
9/30/201540,527-1,344N/A16,715N/A
6/30/201545,1243,422N/A19,296N/A

Previsioni di crescita futura degli analisti

Guadagni vs tasso di risparmio: La crescita prevista degli utili di BHP ( 4.6% all'anno) è superiore al tasso di risparmio ( 3.6% ).

Guadagni vs Mercato: Si prevede che gli utili di BHP ( 4.6% all'anno) cresceranno più lentamente rispetto al mercato Australian ( 12% all'anno).

Guadagni ad alta crescita: Si prevede che gli utili di BHP cresceranno, ma non in modo significativo.

Ricavi vs Mercato: Si prevede che il fatturato di BHP ( 0.5% all'anno) crescerà più lentamente rispetto al mercato Australian ( 6.4% all'anno).

Ricavi ad alta crescita: Si prevede che il fatturato di BHP ( 0.5% all'anno) crescerà più lentamente di 20% all'anno.


Previsioni di crescita dell'utile per azione


Rendimento futuro del capitale proprio

ROE futuro: Si prevede che il Return on Equity di BHP sarà basso tra 3 anni ( 19.3 %).


Scoprire le aziende in crescita

Analisi aziendale e situazione dei dati finanziari

DatiUltimo aggiornamento (ora UTC)
Analisi dell'azienda2026/05/08 16:19
Prezzo dell'azione a fine giornata2026/05/08 00:00
Utili2025/12/31
Utili annuali2025/06/30

Fonti dei dati

I dati utilizzati nella nostra analisi aziendale provengono da S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. I seguenti dati sono utilizzati nel nostro modello di analisi per generare questo report. I dati sono normalizzati, il che può comportare un ritardo nella disponibilità della fonte.

PacchettoDatiTempisticaEsempio Fonte USA *
Dati finanziari della società10 anni
  • Conto economico
  • Rendiconto finanziario
  • Bilancio
Stime di consenso degli analisti+3 anni
  • Previsioni finanziarie
  • Obiettivi di prezzo degli analisti
Prezzi di mercato30 anni
  • Prezzi delle azioni
  • Dividendi, scissioni e azioni
Proprietà10 anni
  • Top azionisti
  • Insider trading
Gestione10 anni
  • Team di leadership
  • Consiglio di amministrazione
Sviluppi principali10 anni
  • Annunci aziendali

* Esempio per i titoli statunitensi, per i titoli non statunitensi si utilizzano forme e fonti normative equivalenti.

Se non specificato, tutti i dati finanziari si basano su un periodo annuale ma vengono aggiornati trimestralmente. Si tratta dei cosiddetti dati TTM (Trailing Twelve Month) o LTM (Last Twelve Month). Per saperne di più.

Modello di analisi e Snowflake

I dettagli del modello di analisi utilizzato per generare questo report sono disponibili sulla nostra pagina Github; abbiamo anche guide su come utilizzare i nostri report e tutorial su Youtube.

Scoprite il team di livello mondiale che ha progettato e realizzato il modello di analisi Simply Wall St.

Metriche di settore e industriali

Le nostre metriche di settore e di sezione sono calcolate ogni 6 ore da Simply Wall St; i dettagli del nostro processo sono disponibili su Github.

Fonti analitiche

BHP Group Limited è coperta da 60 analisti. 19 di questi analisti ha fornito le stime di fatturato o di utile utilizzate come input per il nostro report. Le stime degli analisti vengono aggiornate nel corso della giornata.

AnalistaIstituzione
David ColemanArgus Research Company
Ayan GhoshAvior Capital Markets
Caroline LearmonthBarclays