Microsoft (MSFT) Aperçu de l'action
Microsoft Corporation développe et soutient des logiciels, des services, des appareils et des solutions dans le monde entier. Plus de détails
| Score flocon de neige | |
|---|---|
| Évaluation | 6/6 |
| Croissance future | 3/6 |
| Performances passées | 6/6 |
| Santé financière | 6/6 |
| Dividendes | 4/6 |
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MSFT Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
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Microsoft Corporation Concurrents
Historique des prix et performances
| Historique des cours de bourse | |
|---|---|
| Prix actuel de l'action | US$412.67 |
| Plus haut sur 52 semaines | US$555.45 |
| Plus bas sur 52 semaines | US$356.28 |
| Bêta | 1.09 |
| Variation sur 1 mois | -2.86% |
| Variation sur 3 mois | 2.73% |
| Variation sur 1 an | -9.77% |
| Variation sur 3 ans | 25.66% |
| Variation sur 5 ans | 66.87% |
| Évolution depuis l'introduction en bourse | 424,361.54% |
Nouvelles et mises à jour récentes
Seeking Alpha • May 26
Microsoft: The $190B AI Infrastructure Trap Implies 20% Downside
Summary Microsoft faces significant risks from rising CapEx, AI competition, and margin compression, making current share prices unattractive for new investment. A thorough analysis of these risks, including their likelihood and impact, helps determine the true value of MSFT. Record CapEx—projected at $190 billion by 2026—risks an 'infrastructure trap,' with rapid asset obsolescence, declining ROIC, and potential overbuilding reminiscent of the Cisco scenario. I maintain a 'Sell' rating on MSFT, targeting a 20% correction to the $300–$350 range before considering long-term positions. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Nouveau récit • May 21
Microsoft no es una apuesta. Es una franquicia global de la que se puede ser socio durante décadas.
Copilot me ha creado un investment memo ampliado al estilo Warren Buffett , usando exclusivamente datos verificables de Investor Relations de Microsoft (earnings, 10‑Q, reports) y manteniendo un tono sobrio, basado en principios de inversión a largo plazo. Investment Memo – Microsoft (MSFT) (Estilo Buffett: negocio, moat, retorno sobre capital, disciplina de precio) 1.
Mise à jour du récit • May 11
Microsoft's enterprise cash-flow durability stays unmatched despite near-term margin pressures
Microsoft’s long‑term economic value remains grounded in the same core reality: the company’s enterprise cash‑flow durability continues to be unmatched. High‑retention subscription economics, entrenched operating‑system and productivity moats, and the scale advantages of Azure still anchor Microsoft’s intrinsic worth far more than any short‑term growth narrative.Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • May 26
Microsoft: The $190B AI Infrastructure Trap Implies 20% Downside
Summary Microsoft faces significant risks from rising CapEx, AI competition, and margin compression, making current share prices unattractive for new investment. A thorough analysis of these risks, including their likelihood and impact, helps determine the true value of MSFT. Record CapEx—projected at $190 billion by 2026—risks an 'infrastructure trap,' with rapid asset obsolescence, declining ROIC, and potential overbuilding reminiscent of the Cisco scenario. I maintain a 'Sell' rating on MSFT, targeting a 20% correction to the $300–$350 range before considering long-term positions. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNouveau récit • May 21
Microsoft no es una apuesta. Es una franquicia global de la que se puede ser socio durante décadas.
Copilot me ha creado un investment memo ampliado al estilo Warren Buffett , usando exclusivamente datos verificables de Investor Relations de Microsoft (earnings, 10‑Q, reports) y manteniendo un tono sobrio, basado en principios de inversión a largo plazo. Investment Memo – Microsoft (MSFT) (Estilo Buffett: negocio, moat, retorno sobre capital, disciplina de precio) 1.Mise à jour du récit • May 11
Microsoft's enterprise cash-flow durability stays unmatched despite near-term margin pressures
Microsoft’s long‑term economic value remains grounded in the same core reality: the company’s enterprise cash‑flow durability continues to be unmatched. High‑retention subscription economics, entrenched operating‑system and productivity moats, and the scale advantages of Azure still anchor Microsoft’s intrinsic worth far more than any short‑term growth narrative.Nouveau récit • May 10
Microsoft will achieve a future PE ratio of 24.626979x by leveraging strong growth
Valuation In 3–5 years, I think Microsoft becomes even more dominant in enterprise AI, cloud infrastructure, and productivity software. Azure and Copilot are probably the biggest growth drivers, while Windows, Office, LinkedIn, GitHub, and gaming remain huge cash generators.Article d’analyse • May 02
Microsoft Corporation Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Predictions
Last week, you might have seen that Microsoft Corporation ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) released its third-quarter result to the...
Mise à jour du récit • May 02
Microsoft Just Had a Quarter for the History Books. I Still Haven't Bought a Share.
In late March I told you the fundamentals were a fortress and the price had not caught up to the fear yet. The fear faded.
Mise à jour du récit • May 02
MSFT: AI Infrastructure Self Sufficiency And Global Data Center Expansion Will Drive Leadership
Analysts have trimmed their average price targets on Microsoft, reflecting a lower assumed fair value of around $562 and a reduced future P/E of roughly 28x. This comes even as they continue to reference solid revenue growth assumptions and mixed reactions to recent OpenAI and AI infrastructure updates across the latest research reports.
Nouveau récit • Apr 30
AI Infrastructure And Enterprise Agents Will Reshape Long Term Earnings Power
Catalysts About Microsoft Microsoft is a global technology company that offers cloud services, productivity software, AI platforms, business applications, security products and consumer services. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Mise à jour du récit • Apr 18
MSFT: AI Infrastructure Self Sufficiency And Heavy Data Center Commitments Will Sustain Leadership
Microsoft's analyst fair value estimate has been adjusted slightly lower to $579.57, as analysts factor in updated price targets that reflect a mix of reduced P/E assumptions, along with expectations for revenue growth and profit margins tied to AI and cloud spending. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Microsoft reflects a mix of optimism and caution as analysts recalibrate price targets and ratings around AI, cloud spending, and capital intensity.
Nouveau récit • Apr 16
AI Infrastructure Constraints Will Pressure Cloud Margins Yet Support Stable Long Term Earnings
Catalysts About Microsoft Microsoft is a global technology company that provides cloud services, productivity software, AI platforms and related hardware and services to enterprise, government and consumer customers. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Nouveau récit • Apr 13
Microsoft Could Reach $600 Over the Next Five Years
Microsoft has a strong path to $600 over the next five years because it combines durable growth, elite profitability, and a leadership position in AI, cloud, and enterprise software. Its recurring revenue base makes earnings more predictable, while Azure, Microsoft 365, and its AI products give it multiple ways to compound value over time.Mise à jour du récit • Apr 03
MSFT: AI Infrastructure Buildout And Self Sufficiency Will Support Long Duration Leadership
Microsoft's analyst price target has been modestly trimmed as the fair value estimate shifts from $594.62 to $587.31, reflecting a round of target reductions and mixed views on AI related risks and opportunities, even as several firms maintain positive long term opinions on the company's role in software and infrastructure. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary around Microsoft shows a split view, with many research houses trimming price targets while still seeing long term potential, and a smaller group turning more cautious on AI related execution risks, valuation, and competitive threats.Nouveau récit • Mar 29
Everyone's Terrified Microsoft Will Keep Spending. I'm Terrified They'll Stop.
Microsoft just burned $37.5 billion in 90 days. The stock has lost a third of its value.Mise à jour du récit • Mar 19
MSFT: AI Infrastructure Buildout And Self Sufficiency Will Support Long Duration Leadership
Analysts have made a small cut to the Microsoft analyst price target, trimming fair value by about $1 to $594.62 as they factor in a slightly higher discount rate, modest tweaks to long term revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a marginally lower future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Microsoft presents a mixed but detailed picture, with several firms adjusting price targets and ratings as they recalibrate expectations around AI, capital spending, and long term growth assumptions.Nouveau récit • Mar 05
A Structured Counter‑Analysis of "The Leaking Dreadnought"
A Structured Counter‑Analysis of "The Leaking Dreadnought" Microsoft is not a leaking vessel drifting toward structural decline; it is a company in the middle of a capital‑intensive platform transition whose long‑term logic the article fundamentally misreads. The critique below addresses the article’s core claims and reframes them through the lens of Microsoft’s actual strategic architecture, economic model, and competitive position.Mise à jour du récit • Mar 05
MSFT: AI Infrastructure Self Sufficiency Will Support Long Duration Cloud Leadership
Narrative Update The analyst price target for Microsoft has been trimmed by a modest amount in dollar terms. Analysts are factoring in slightly lower revenue growth, a small step down in profit margin assumptions, a marginally higher discount rate, and a slightly richer future P/E multiple.Nouveau récit • Feb 22
Microsoft: Real‑Terms Economic Value Anchored in Durability, Not Growth Assumptions
Microsoft’s true economic value rests on its unmatched enterprise cash-flow durability, high-retention subscription model, and deep competitive moats in operating systems, productivity platforms, and cloud infrastructure. These produce stable, high-margin recurring cash flows capable of long-duration compounding under disciplined capital allocation.Mise à jour du récit • Feb 18
MSFT: AI Self Sufficiency And Global Data Center Expansion Will Sustain Cloud Leadership
Our analyst price target for Microsoft has been nudged lower by a few dollars to reflect a slightly reduced fair value estimate of about $596, as analysts balance ongoing enthusiasm around AI driven capital spending with a wave of recent target trims. These largely stem from valuation discipline and concerns that prior long term assumptions, including P/E and margin expectations, may have been set too high.Mise à jour du récit • Feb 04
MSFT: AI Infrastructure Partnerships And Data Center Expansion Will Sustain Cloud Leadership
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Microsoft by about $19 to $603, citing a blend of slightly higher discount rates, modestly stronger revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a lower future P/E multiple that reflects the recent wave of price target resets and still constructive, AI driven, long term views across recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent research around Microsoft centers on how to value its AI opportunity, the required capital spending, and whether current expectations are too high or still leave room for upside.Mise à jour du récit • Jan 21
MSFT: AI Infrastructure Buildout And OpenAI Partnership Will Sustain Cloud Leadership
Microsoft's updated analyst price target edges slightly lower, with fair value now at about $622.19, as analysts balance modest tweaks to the discount rate and P/E assumptions against ongoing AI related demand signals highlighted in recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent research around Microsoft clusters into two broad camps, with most commentary still constructive on AI driven growth and cloud execution, while a smaller group is more cautious on capital intensity and hyperscaler economics.Mise à jour du récit • Jan 13
Microsoft (MSFT): When AI Becomes the Operating Layer of Work
Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) is no longer just a software company—it’s becoming the operating layer for modern work. Windows, Office, Azure, and now AI-powered copilots form an interconnected ecosystem that spans individual users, enterprises, and governments.Mise à jour du récit • Jan 06
MSFT: AI Infrastructure Expansion And OpenAI Deal Will Support Durable Cloud Leadership
Our Microsoft price target edges down slightly to US$622.51 from US$624.45, as analysts balance ongoing enthusiasm around the company’s broad AI and cloud positioning with more cautious views on capital intensity and earnings expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Microsoft reflects a mix of optimism around the company’s AI and cloud positioning and a more cautious read on capital intensity and earnings risk.Mise à jour du récit • Dec 18
MSFT: Expanded AI Partnerships And Infrastructure Will Drive Durable Cloud Leadership
Analysts have nudged their Microsoft price target slightly higher to approximately $650, reflecting confidence that the company's broadened AI partnerships, resilient Azure growth, and durable margin profile justify modestly stronger long term revenue and earnings assumptions despite rising capex and hyperscaler caution. Analyst Commentary Street research remains broadly constructive on Microsoft, with a cluster of recent notes highlighting the company as a primary beneficiary of accelerating AI adoption, robust cloud demand, and deepened model partnerships, even as a minority of voices urge greater caution around hyperscaler capital intensity and returns.Mise à jour du récit • Dec 07
The Leaking Dreadnought
On the surface, Microsoft appears to be an unsinkable vessel. Buoyed by a trillion-dollar market cap and the explosive valuation of the AI sector, the company seems to be steaming ahead.Mise à jour du récit • Dec 03
MSFT: Expanding AI Data Center Buildout Will Drive Durable Cloud And Platform Leadership
Our Microsoft analyst price target has been raised slightly to about $625 from roughly $625. This reflects analysts' view that durable double digit cloud and AI driven revenue growth, reinforced by expanded OpenAI and Anthropic partnerships and recent Q1 beats, more than offsets concerns about elevated capex and hyperscaler returns.Article d’analyse • Nov 28
Shareholders Will Probably Hold Off On Increasing Microsoft Corporation's (NASDAQ:MSFT) CEO Compensation For The Time Being
Key Insights Microsoft to hold its Annual General Meeting on 5th of December CEO Satya Nadella's total compensation...Mise à jour du récit • Nov 19
MSFT: Expanding AI Data Center Investments Will Drive Leadership In Next-Generation Cloud Services
Microsoft's analyst price target saw a modest decrease of approximately $2 to $624.83. Some analysts cite rising capital requirements and more cautious expectations for hyperscale cloud providers, despite continued confidence in the company's long-term AI and cloud positioning.Mise à jour du récit • Nov 05
MSFT: Future Cloud Demand Will Drive Expansion In AI Infrastructure And Partnerships
Analysts have increased their price target for Microsoft by $5.62 to $626.65. They cite continued momentum in cloud growth, strengthened profit margins, and improving revenue growth expectations driven by Azure’s performance and expanded partnerships in artificial intelligence.Mise à jour du récit • Oct 22
Analyst Commentary Highlights Microsoft AI Momentum and Upward Valuation Amid Growth and Competitive Risks
Microsoft’s analyst price target has been revised upward to $625 from $582, a $43 increase. Analysts point to ongoing AI strength, Azure momentum, and durable software growth as key drivers for the valuation boost.Mise à jour du récit • Oct 08
AI And Cloud Services Will Shape Enterprise Future
Microsoft’s analyst price target has been raised from approximately $614 to $621. This reflects increased confidence among analysts in Azure’s accelerating growth, the company's robust positioning in the AI ecosystem, and recent capacity and customer mix enhancements.Nouveau récit • Aug 07
After the AI Party: A Sobering Look at Microsoft's Future
The world has been captivated by the artificial intelligence boom, and no company has ridden the wave of investor enthusiasm quite like Microsoft. Buoyed by its strategic partnership with OpenAI and the integration of AI across its product ecosystem, the company's valuation has soared to unprecedented heights.
Nouveau récit • Jul 21
From Legacy to Cloud: A Valuation of Microsoft’s Evolving Business Model
United States: 50.87%1-Year Revenue Growth = 16.83%Rendement pour les actionnaires
| MSFT | US Software | US Marché | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | -2.0% | 1.2% | 2.5% |
| 1Y | -9.8% | -9.3% | 26.4% |
Rendement vs Industrie: MSFT correspondait au secteur US Software qui a rapporté -9.3 % au cours de l'année écoulée.
Rendement vs marché: MSFT a sous-performé le marché US qui a rapporté 26.4 % au cours de l'année écoulée.
Volatilité des prix
| MSFT volatility | |
|---|---|
| MSFT Average Weekly Movement | 3.7% |
| Software Industry Average Movement | 9.3% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.5% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.1% |
Cours de l'action stable: MSFT n'a pas connu de volatilité de prix significative au cours des 3 derniers mois par rapport au marché US.
Volatilité au fil du temps: La volatilité hebdomadaire de MSFT ( 4% ) est restée stable au cours de l'année écoulée.
À propos de l'entreprise
| Fondée | Salariés | PDG | Site web |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 228,000 | Satya Nadella | www.microsoft.com |
Microsoft Corporation développe et soutient des logiciels, des services, des appareils et des solutions dans le monde entier. Le segment Productivité et processus d'entreprise propose Microsoft 365 commercial, mobilité et sécurité d'entreprise, windows commercial, power BI, exchange, sharepoint, Microsoft teams, sécurité et conformité, et copilot ; les produits commerciaux Microsoft 365, tels que Windows commercial sur site et les services Office sous licence ; les produits grand public Microsoft 365 et les services cloud, y compris les abonnements grand public Microsoft 365, Office sous licence sur site, et d'autres services grand public ; LinkedIn ; les produits dynamics et les services cloud, tels que dynamics 365, les applications basées sur le cloud, et les applications ERP et CRM sur site. Son segment Intelligent Cloud fournit des produits et des services en nuage, notamment Azure et d'autres services en nuage, GitHub, Nuance Healthcare, des offres de bureau virtuel et d'autres services en nuage ; des produits serveur, notamment SQL et Windows Server, Visual Studio et les licences d'accès client associées à System Center, et d'autres offres sur site ; des services aux entreprises et aux partenaires, tels que l'assistance aux entreprises et les services professionnels Nuance, les solutions sectorielles, le réseau de partenaires Microsoft et l'expérience de l'apprentissage.
Microsoft Corporation Résumé des fondamentaux
| MSFT statistiques fondamentales | |
|---|---|
| Capitalisation boursière | US$3.09t |
| Bénéfices(TTM) | US$125.22b |
| Recettes(TTM) | US$318.27b |
24.5x
Ratio P/E9.6x
Ratio P/SLe site MSFT est-il surévalué ?
Voir Juste valeur et analyse de l'évaluationBénéfices et recettes
| MSFT compte de résultat (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Recettes | US$318.27b |
| Coût des recettes | US$100.86b |
| Marge brute | US$217.41b |
| Autres dépenses | US$92.19b |
| Les revenus | US$125.22b |
Derniers bénéfices déclarés
Mar 31, 2026
Prochaine date de publication des résultats
s/o
| Résultat par action (EPS) | 16.86 |
| Marge brute | 68.31% |
| Marge bénéficiaire nette | 39.34% |
| Ratio dettes/capitaux propres | 9.7% |
Quelles ont été les performances à long terme de MSFT?
Voir les performances historiques et les comparaisonsDividendes
0.9%
Rendement actuel des dividendes21%
Ratio de distributionLe site MSFT verse-t-il des dividendes fiables ?
Voir MSFT l'historique des dividendes et les indices de référence| Microsoft dates des dividendes | |
|---|---|
| Date ex-dividende | May 21 2026 |
| Date de paiement du dividende | Jun 11 2026 |
| Jours jusqu'au dividende Ex | 7 days |
| Jours jusqu'à la date de paiement du dividende | 14 days |
Le site MSFT verse-t-il des dividendes fiables ?
Voir MSFT l'historique des dividendes et les indices de référenceAnalyse de l'entreprise et données financières
| Données | Dernière mise à jour (heure UTC) |
|---|---|
| Analyse de l'entreprise | 2026/05/27 03:17 |
| Cours de l'action en fin de journée | 2026/05/27 00:00 |
| Les revenus | 2026/03/31 |
| Revenus annuels | 2025/06/30 |
Sources de données
Les données utilisées dans notre analyse de l'entreprise proviennent de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Les données suivantes sont utilisées dans notre modèle d'analyse pour générer ce rapport. Les données sont normalisées, ce qui peut entraîner un délai avant que la source ne soit disponible.
| Paquet | Données | Cadre temporel | Exemple de source américaine * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finances de l'entreprise | 10 ans |
| |
| Estimations consensuelles des analystes | +3 ans |
|
|
| Prix du marché | 30 ans |
| |
| Propriété | 10 ans |
| |
| Gestion | 10 ans |
| |
| Principaux développements | 10 ans |
|
* Exemple pour les titres américains ; pour les titres non américains, des formulaires réglementaires et des sources équivalentes sont utilisés.
Sauf indication contraire, toutes les données financières sont basées sur une période annuelle mais mises à jour trimestriellement. C'est ce qu'on appelle les données des douze derniers mois (TTM) ou des douze derniers mois (LTM). En savoir plus.
Modèle d'analyse et flocon de neige
Les détails du modèle d’analyse utilisé pour générer ce rapport sont disponibles sur notre page Github; nous proposons également des guides expliquant comment utiliser nos rapports et des tutoriels sur Youtube.
Découvrez l'équipe de classe mondiale qui a conçu et construit le modèle d'analyse Simply Wall St.
Indicateurs de l'industrie et du secteur
Nos indicateurs de secteur et de section sont calculés toutes les 6 heures par Simply Wall St. Les détails de notre processus sont disponibles sur Github.
Sources des analystes
Microsoft Corporation est couverte par 99 analystes. 53 de ces analystes ont soumis les estimations de revenus ou de bénéfices utilisées comme données d'entrée dans notre rapport. Les soumissions des analystes sont mises à jour tout au long de la journée.
| Analyste | Institution |
|---|---|
| Kadambari Daptardar | Accountability Research Corporation |
| Harshit Gupta | Accountability Research Corporation |
| Adam Shepherd | Arete Research Services LLP |