Criteo Croissance future
Future contrôle des critères 1/6
Le chiffre d'affaires de Criteo devrait diminuer de 11% par an tandis que ses bénéfices annuels devraient croître de 5.3% par an. Le BPA devrait croître de de 5.7% par an. Le rendement des capitaux propres devrait être 15% dans 3 ans.
Informations clés
5.3%
Taux de croissance des bénéfices
5.67%
Taux de croissance du BPA
| Media croissance des bénéfices | 33.0% |
| Taux de croissance des recettes | -11.0% |
| Rendement futur des capitaux propres | 14.98% |
| Couverture par les analystes | Good |
| Dernière mise à jour | 06 May 2026 |
Mises à jour récentes de la croissance future
Recent updates
Mise à jour de l'analyse • May 06
Criteo is a profitable, cash-generative commerce data platform trading at or below its liquidation value, with Retail Media re-acceleration
At $19/share after today's earnings, Criteo trades at 1.9x forward EBITDA and 4.1x normalized FCF — multiples that imply permanent structural collapse rather than a transition trough. Asymmetric upside with a $200M buyback authorization that could retire 21% of the float at current prices.
Mise à jour de l'analyse • Apr 22
CRTO: Future Share Repurchases And AI Commerce Data Partnerships May Support Repricing
Criteo's analyst price target has been reduced by $1.00 as analysts update their views in light of recent Street research that includes several lowered targets from major firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research shows a cluster of lower price targets for Criteo, including changes from firms such as JPMorgan and several other brokerages.
Mise à jour de l'analyse • Apr 08
CRTO: GenAI Commerce Partnerships And Buybacks Will Support Multiple Re Rating
Analysts have trimmed their average Criteo price targets by a mid single digit dollar amount, with cuts ranging from $1 to $12, as they factor in sector wide concerns around smaller ad platforms and compare the company with peers tied more directly to GenAI and GPU related themes. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research points to a more cautious stance on Criteo, with several price target trims clustered around concerns about smaller ad platforms and investor focus on GenAI and GPU related themes.Nouvelle analyse • Mar 27
Criteo is a profitable, cash-generative commerce data platform trading at or below its liquidation value, with Retail Media re-acceleration
Investment Thesis The stock trades near or below the bear-case DCF intrinsic value (~$33), meaning you are paying for a business in secular decline and getting the Retail Media growth optionality largely for free Retail Media’s underlying CexT grew 16% in 2025 ex-scope changes; as the $75M headwind anniversaries in late 2026, reported growth should re-accelerate and likely re-rate the multiple Management has retired ~$871M in shares since 2018 and continues buying at ~$28/share, compounding per-share value even if aggregate FCF is flat The Luxembourg redomiciliation removes the primary structural barrier to acquisition; at $35–42/share a takeout is both fair to shareholders and strategically rational for a PE buyer or holding company The commerce data asset — 5B SKUs, $1T+ in observed transactions, 90% client retention — is 20 years in the making and cannot be replicated quickly by any credible acquirer or competitor Risk Considerations A single large retailer reducing scope cost $75M in annual revenue; the top-10 clients represent ~20% of revenue, making the thesis vulnerable to one or two more relationship deteriorations Performance Media (~$915M of CexT) faces structural headwinds from walled garden dominance and potential client in-housing; if it declines faster than Retail Media grows, total CexT could shrink rather than stabilize 2026 capex steps up to ~$175M (from $101M in 2025) for data center renewal, compressing near-term FCF to ~$130–150M and limiting the buyback pace precisely when the stock may be cheapest Criteo’s independence is its value proposition to retailers — any acquisition by a strategic player that competes with retailers (Amazon, Walmart, Google) would trigger customer attrition and destroy the core asset it was purchased for Agentic commerce (MCP, conversational shopping) is the growth narrative but is pre-revenue and depends on AI assistant providers adopting Criteo’s APIs rather than building their own commerce data layersMise à jour de l'analyse • Mar 25
CRTO: GenAI Commerce And Buybacks Will Offset Lower Multiple Concerns
Criteo's updated analyst price target has moved lower from $35.75 to about $29.95 as analysts factor in softer profit margin assumptions, a slightly higher discount rate, and a reduced future P/E multiple following a series of Street target cuts across major firms. Analyst Commentary Street research on Criteo has clustered around lower price targets, with several firms trimming their numbers by single digit dollar amounts and a few cutting targets by double digits.
Mise à jour de l'analyse • Mar 09
CRTO: Future Returns Will Hinge On AI Commerce And Margin Execution
Our updated analyst price target for Criteo moves to $18 from $25, reflecting a series of recent target cuts across the Street as analysts factor in softer profit margin assumptions, a slightly higher discount rate, and lower future P/E expectations, even as they model less steep revenue contraction than before. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Criteo has leaned cautious, with a series of price target reductions across multiple firms.Mise à jour de l'analyse • Feb 23
CRTO: Future Share Repurchases And Commerce Data May Support Repricing
Analysts have reduced their price target on Criteo from $51.00 to $43.00. The change reflects updated views that factor in slightly softer revenue and margin assumptions, a modestly higher discount rate, and a series of Street target cuts across multiple firms.Mise à jour de l'analyse • Feb 09
CRTO: GenAI Commerce Efforts And Buybacks Will Support Upside Through 2026
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Criteo to about US$34 from US$36, reflecting a cautious view on smaller ad platforms as investors focus more on companies tied to GenAI or GPU enabled returns on capital. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a more cautious stance on Criteo, with the price target adjusted to US$34.Mise à jour de l'analyse • Jan 23
CRTO: Retail Media Progress And Buybacks Will Support Upside Beyond 2026
Our updated fair value estimate for Criteo nudges down slightly from US$35.92 to US$35.75 per share. This reflects a blend of cautious analyst price target revisions around retail media growth, slower client ramp ups into Q4, and differing views on how smaller ad platforms will be valued relative to larger GenAI and GPU focused peers.Mise à jour de l'analyse • Jan 08
CRTO: Retail Media Execution And Buybacks Will Support Upside Through 2026
Narrative Update on Criteo Analysts recently nudged their price targets on Criteo higher, with one moving to US$29 from US$27 and another to US$42 from US$41. They cited solid Q3 results, strength in retail media, and performance ahead of expectations for net revenue and EBITDA, despite softer Q4 guidance tied to slower client ramp timing.Seeking Alpha • Dec 17
Criteo: Amazon Risks Are Real, But Cheap Multiples Warrant A Buy
Summary Criteo is rated a buy, offering a rebound play amid SMID-cap underperformance and discounted valuation. CRTO's retail media segment leverages deep partnerships with 70% of top U.S. retailers, countering Amazon's DSP threat. Despite flat revenue, client media spend grew 4% y/y and adjusted EBITDA expanded 28% y/y, with margins improving 450 bps. CRTO trades at just 2.0x EV/FY25 adjusted EBITDA; the upcoming NASDAQ direct listing could catalyze institutional interest. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaMise à jour de l'analyse • Dec 13
CRTO: Retail Media Momentum Will Drive Share Upside Through 2026
Analysts modestly raised their price targets on Criteo, with recent moves to about $29 and $42 per share, citing solid Q3 results, continued retail media growth, and supportive read throughs from broader ad tech M&A, despite near term softness in Q4 guidance. Analyst Commentary Street research following the Q3 print reflects a generally constructive stance on Criteo, with moderate target price increases and a focus on the durability of its retail media growth, tempered by near term execution risks.Mise à jour de l'analyse • Nov 28
CRTO: Ongoing Retail Media Momentum Will Drive Share Upside Into 2026
Analysts have raised their price targets on Criteo shares, with some increasing estimates by $1 to $2. They cite solid third quarter results and ongoing momentum in retail media, although the outlook for the fourth quarter is lighter.Mise à jour de l'analyse • Nov 14
CRTO: Retail Media Expansion Will Drive Upside Despite Near-Term Headwinds
Analysts have modestly raised their price targets for Criteo, with increases ranging from $2 to $1 per share. They cite the company's solid third-quarter performance and continued progress in retail media, despite a lighter Q4 outlook.Mise à jour de l'analyse • Oct 31
CRTO: Share Repurchases And Retail Media Partnerships Will Drive Outperformance Ahead
Analysts have adjusted their average price target for Criteo downward from $38.17 to $35.92. This change is attributed to solid recent results; however, it is offset by lighter guidance and slower-than-expected client growth, which is impacting near-term retail media performance.Article d'analyse • May 28
Earnings Working Against Criteo S.A.'s (NASDAQ:CRTO) Share Price Following 27% Dive
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Criteo S.A. ( NASDAQ:CRTO ) share price has dived 27% in the last thirty days...Article d'analyse • May 04
Does Criteo (NASDAQ:CRTO) Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?
It's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story...Article d'analyse • Apr 15
Is Criteo (NASDAQ:CRTO) A Risky Investment?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Seeking Alpha • Mar 13
Criteo: Steady Growth With Retail Media Potential
Summary Criteo is poised for a 15% return with a price target of $40.6, driven by growth in its Retail Media and AI-based solutions. Despite recent volatility and macro-driven challenges, I maintain a buy rating on CRTO due to improved fundamentals and strategic share repurchases. FY 2024 saw a slight revenue decline but improved net margins and operating cash flow, with significant cash allocated for share repurchases. Key growth catalysts include the adoption of Commerce Go and Retail Media expansion, while competition from Amazon poses a manageable risk. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaArticle d'analyse • Mar 05
Criteo S.A.'s (NASDAQ:CRTO) Subdued P/E Might Signal An Opportunity
There wouldn't be many who think Criteo S.A.'s ( NASDAQ:CRTO ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 18.2x is worth a...Article d'analyse • Feb 15
We Like The Quality Of Criteo's (NASDAQ:CRTO) Earnings
Criteo S.A. ( NASDAQ:CRTO ) announced a healthy earnings result recently, and the market rewarded it with a strong...Article d'analyse • Jan 10
Criteo (NASDAQ:CRTO) Has A Rock Solid Balance Sheet
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Seeking Alpha • Dec 18
Criteo S.A.: Still Worth Investing In
Summary Criteo S.A. offers a promising entry into digital advertising growth, despite challenges, with strategic partnerships and expanding retail media presence. The stock is undervalued with a forward P/E ratio of 28.34 and EV/EBITDA of 6.18, suggesting potential upside. I rate CRTO as a soft buy, recommending close monitoring of Q4 and FY24 reports for revenue growth and financial improvements. I am an investment analyst who provides insights on income and investment opportunities. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaArticle d'analyse • Nov 15
Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Criteo S.A. (NASDAQ:CRTO)?
Criteo S.A. ( NASDAQ:CRTO ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in...Article d'analyse • Oct 28
Getting In Cheap On Criteo S.A. (NASDAQ:CRTO) Is Unlikely
With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 0.9x in the Media industry in the United States, you could be...Article d'analyse • Oct 10
These 4 Measures Indicate That Criteo (NASDAQ:CRTO) Is Using Debt Safely
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
Nouvelle analyse • Sep 09
Decisive Partnerships And AI Propel Growth Amid Challenges
Enhanced advertising capabilities due to Google's revised cookie policy and partnerships with companies like Microsoft could improve Criteo's revenue and market position.Seeking Alpha • Aug 21
Criteo: Riding Retail Media Advertising Tailwinds
Summary Shares have nearly doubled this year following solid performance in the underlying business. I anticipate its retail media segment to grow above 15% until 2026, supported by multiple client wins and strategic partnerships. Overall growth is expected to approach 10% through 2026, with adjusted EBITDA margins increasing from 32% this year to 35% by 2026. Shares are close to fully valued at 15.2 times FCF, especially considering the high stock-based compensation. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaArticle d'analyse • Aug 11
Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Criteo S.A. (NASDAQ:CRTO)?
Criteo S.A. ( NASDAQ:CRTO ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a significant share price rise of 35% in the...Article d'analyse • Jul 24
Subdued Growth No Barrier To Criteo S.A. (NASDAQ:CRTO) With Shares Advancing 26%
The Criteo S.A. ( NASDAQ:CRTO ) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 26...Article d'analyse • Jun 19
We Discuss Why Criteo S.A.'s (NASDAQ:CRTO) CEO Compensation May Be Closely Reviewed
Key Insights Criteo's Annual General Meeting to take place on 25th of June Total pay for CEO Megan Clarken includes...Seeking Alpha • May 17
Criteo: Good Momentum, But Still Undervalued
Summary Criteo is transitioning into a fast-growing adtech software provider, with strong share price momentum and potential for a material re-rating of valuation multiples. CRTO's historical reliance on cookies for ad targeting led to declining revenue in recent years, but it is successfully pivoting into alternative solutions. Demonstrated strong top-line growth and stable profitability deserve a significantly higher valuation than the current level. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaArticle d'analyse • May 08
We Think Criteo (NASDAQ:CRTO) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Prévisions de croissance des bénéfices et des revenus
| Date | Recettes | Les revenus | Flux de trésorerie disponible | Cash from Op | Moy. Nombre d'analystes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 1,307 | 122 | 231 | N/A | 6 |
| 12/31/2027 | 1,244 | 132 | 186 | 335 | 10 |
| 12/31/2026 | 1,182 | 119 | 129 | 319 | 9 |
| 3/31/2026 | 1,918 | 114 | 179 | 297 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 1,945 | 145 | 208 | 311 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 1,957 | 168 | 221 | 320 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 1,946 | 137 | 193 | 288 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 1,935 | 142 | 225 | 306 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 1,933 | 112 | 180 | 258 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 1,947 | 101 | 158 | 250 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 1,957 | 102 | 122 | 212 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 1,954 | 72 | 104 | 196 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 1,949 | 53 | 108 | 224 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 1,948 | 8 | 75 | 188 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 1,925 | 7 | 97 | 210 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 1,951 | -23 | 112 | 223 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 2,017 | 9 | 192 | 256 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 2,106 | 67 | 137 | 197 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 2,168 | 84 | 146 | 206 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 2,224 | 133 | 165 | 218 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 2,254 | 134 | 166 | 221 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 2,262 | 106 | 144 | 199 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 2,224 | 88 | 145 | 199 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 2,110 | 79 | 138 | 206 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 2,073 | 72 | 118 | 185 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 2,064 | 68 | 130 | 201 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 2,116 | 82 | 111 | 193 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 2,207 | 87 | 132 | 212 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 2,262 | 91 | N/A | 223 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 2,279 | 87 | N/A | 249 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 2,285 | 85 | N/A | 256 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 2,294 | 88 | N/A | 243 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 2,300 | 89 | N/A | 261 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 2,304 | 104 | N/A | 254 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 2,339 | 106 | N/A | 266 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 2,344 | 99 | N/A | 286 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 2,297 | 91 | N/A | 245 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 2,189 | 78 | N/A | 238 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 2,049 | 71 | N/A | 220 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 1,915 | 78 | N/A | 179 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 1,799 | 82 | N/A | 153 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 1,629 | 81 | N/A | 149 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 1,538 | 72 | N/A | 122 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 1,430 | 64 | N/A | 115 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 1,323 | 60 | N/A | 137 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 1,343 | 48 | N/A | 133 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 1,228 | 56 | N/A | 144 | N/A |
Prévisions de croissance des analystes
Taux de revenus par rapport au taux d'épargne: La croissance des bénéfices prévue de CRTO ( 5.3% par an) est supérieure au taux d'épargne ( 3.5% ).
Bénéfices vs marché: Les bénéfices de CRTO ( 5.3% par an) devraient croître plus lentement que le marché US ( 16.4% par an).
Croissance élevée des bénéfices: Les bénéfices de CRTO devraient augmenter, mais pas de manière significative.
Chiffre d'affaires vs marché: Les revenus de CRTO devraient diminuer au cours des 3 prochaines années ( -11% par an).
Croissance élevée des revenus: Les revenus de CRTO devraient diminuer au cours des 3 prochaines années ( -11% par an).
Prévisions de croissance du bénéfice par action
Rendement futur des capitaux propres
ROE futur: Le retour sur capitaux propres de CRTO devrait être faible dans 3 ans ( 15 %).
Découvrir les entreprises en croissance
Analyse de l'entreprise et données financières
| Données | Dernière mise à jour (heure UTC) |
|---|---|
| Analyse de l'entreprise | 2026/05/06 16:57 |
| Cours de l'action en fin de journée | 2026/05/06 00:00 |
| Les revenus | 2026/03/31 |
| Revenus annuels | 2025/12/31 |
Sources de données
Les données utilisées dans notre analyse de l'entreprise proviennent de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Les données suivantes sont utilisées dans notre modèle d'analyse pour générer ce rapport. Les données sont normalisées, ce qui peut entraîner un délai avant que la source ne soit disponible.
| Paquet | Données | Cadre temporel | Exemple de source américaine * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finances de l'entreprise | 10 ans |
| |
| Estimations consensuelles des analystes | +3 ans |
|
|
| Prix du marché | 30 ans |
| |
| Propriété | 10 ans |
| |
| Gestion | 10 ans |
| |
| Principaux développements | 10 ans |
|
* Exemple pour les titres américains ; pour les titres non américains, des formulaires réglementaires et des sources équivalentes sont utilisés.
Sauf indication contraire, toutes les données financières sont basées sur une période annuelle mais mises à jour trimestriellement. C'est ce qu'on appelle les données des douze derniers mois (TTM) ou des douze derniers mois (LTM). En savoir plus.
Modèle d'analyse et flocon de neige
Les détails du modèle d’analyse utilisé pour générer ce rapport sont disponibles sur notre page Github; nous proposons également des guides expliquant comment utiliser nos rapports et des tutoriels sur Youtube.
Découvrez l'équipe de classe mondiale qui a conçu et construit le modèle d'analyse Simply Wall St.
Indicateurs de l'industrie et du secteur
Nos indicateurs de secteur et de section sont calculés toutes les 6 heures par Simply Wall St. Les détails de notre processus sont disponibles sur Github.
Sources des analystes
Criteo S.A. est couverte par 30 analystes. 10 de ces analystes ont soumis les estimations de revenus ou de bénéfices utilisées comme données d'entrée dans notre rapport. Les soumissions des analystes sont mises à jour tout au long de la journée.
| Analyste | Institution |
|---|---|
| Rocco Strauss | Arete Research Services LLP |
| Richard Kramer | Arete Research Services LLP |
| Mark Zgutowicz | Benchmark Company |