Marriott Vacations Worldwide Croissance future
Future contrôle des critères 4/6
Marriott Vacations Worldwide devrait augmenter ses bénéfices et son chiffre d'affaires de 118.8% et de 16.2% par an respectivement. Le BPA devrait croître de de 102.6% par an. Le rendement des capitaux propres devrait être 11.3% dans 3 ans.
Informations clés
118.8%
Taux de croissance des bénéfices
102.55%
Taux de croissance du BPA
| Hospitality croissance des bénéfices | 18.3% |
| Taux de croissance des recettes | 16.2% |
| Rendement futur des capitaux propres | 11.28% |
| Couverture par les analystes | Good |
| Dernière mise à jour | 12 May 2026 |
Mises à jour récentes de la croissance future
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • May 07
Marriott Vacations Worldwide: Upside Has Already Traveled Enough
Summary Marriott Vacations Worldwide delivered 43% returns since prior coverage, but I now downgrade from buy to hold as valuation approaches full pricing. VAC's Q1 revenue grew 4.8% YoY, but operating expenses rose 9.2%, compressing net income margin to 1.7% from 4.8%. Cost pressures from inflation and rising debt (Net Debt/EBITDA at 9.2x) warrant caution, though affluent customer base and rental flexibility offer resilience. My updated DDM target price is $78.24, near current levels; technicals show waning buying momentum and increased selling pressure. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Mise à jour du récit • Apr 30
VAC: Future Turnaround Will Be Constrained By Ongoing Execution And Organizational Dysfunction Risk
Analysts now estimate fair value for Marriott Vacations Worldwide at $50, down from $52, reflecting modestly adjusted revenue growth and P/E assumptions, as well as a mix of recent price target increases and rating changes tied to the new CEO and evolving turnaround expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Marriott Vacations Worldwide highlights a split view, with some firms raising price targets and others dialing back expectations or ratings as they reassess the turnaround story and execution under the new CEO.
Mise à jour du récit • Apr 13
VAC: New Leadership And Owner Engagement Events Will Drive Brand And Asset Value
Analysts have raised the fair value estimate for Marriott Vacations Worldwide to $105 from $81. This change reflects updated views on the company that incorporate a slightly lower discount rate, adjusted revenue growth expectations, higher projected profit margins, and a lower assumed future P/E multiple.Mise à jour du récit • Mar 30
VAC: Future Turnaround Will Be Limited By Ongoing Organizational Dysfunction Risk
Analysts have increased their price targets on Marriott Vacations Worldwide to a range of roughly $80 to $105, citing progress under the new CEO in addressing sales force issues, using events and experiences to support owner upgrades, and reassessing long term earnings assumptions despite mixed views on how far the turnaround can go. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research paints a mixed picture, with several firms lifting price targets and highlighting progress under new leadership, while others remain cautious about how much the turnaround can ultimately achieve.
Mise à jour du récit • Mar 16
VAC: New CEO Execution And Events Focus Will Shape Turnaround Confidence
The analyst fair value estimate for Marriott Vacations Worldwide has shifted from $64.00 to $78.60, reflecting a reset of revenue growth and margin expectations as analysts weigh new CEO execution progress against ongoing internal concerns. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Marriott Vacations Worldwide reflects a mix of optimism around a potential turnaround under new leadership and caution about execution risks and internal issues.Mise à jour du récit • Mar 02
VAC: Turnaround Hopes Will Be Constrained By Execution And Margin Risks
Narrative Update: Marriott Vacations Worldwide The updated analyst price target for Marriott Vacations Worldwide moves to $52 from $46. Analysts point to a potential turnaround under new management, a wider profit margin outlook, and a lower future P/E assumption as key supports for the change.Mise à jour du récit • Feb 16
VAC: Underweight Rating And Lower P/E Assumptions Will Pressure Shares
Analysts have lowered their price target on Marriott Vacations Worldwide from $65 to $46, citing updated forecasts that include revised revenue growth, profit margin expectations, a lower assumed future P/E multiple, and a recent downgrade to Underweight from Morgan Stanley research. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts are flagging that the lower price target to $46 reflects a more cautious stance on both valuation and execution.Mise à jour du récit • Feb 02
VAC: Execution Reset And Leadership Transition Will Unlock Brand And Asset Value
Analysts have trimmed their blended price target for Marriott Vacations Worldwide to about US$81. The shift reflects recent underweight and downgraded ratings that point to execution issues, mixed earnings, and a period of management transition, even as some firms continue to highlight the company’s underlying brand and asset value.Mise à jour du récit • Jan 19
VAC: Execution Reset And Leadership Change Will Unlock Depressed Earnings Multiple
Analysts have reduced their price target on Marriott Vacations Worldwide to US$81 from about US$92. This reflects updated assumptions for slightly softer revenue growth, lower profit margins, a higher future P/E multiple, and recent Street research that highlights execution challenges, industry headwinds, and a transition period for the business.Mise à jour du récit • Jan 05
VAC: Leadership Transition Expected To Reset Execution And Unlock Depressed Multiples
Analysts have sharply reduced their price target for Marriott Vacations Worldwide to approximately $92 from $127, citing weaker operational execution, industry headwinds, and a more cautious view on the company’s near term earnings power, despite some longer term brand and asset value. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Marriott Vacations Worldwide reflects a cautious but not uniformly pessimistic outlook, with several firms recalibrating their models following softer results and operational missteps.Mise à jour du récit • Dec 20
VAC: Execution Reset And CEO Transition Will Shape Future Confidence And Upside Potential
Analysts modestly reduced our price target for Marriott Vacations Worldwide to reflect a more cautious stance from the Street, with targets now clustered in the mid 50s to low 80s range as analysts cite execution missteps, guidance cuts, and lingering industry headwinds, despite still-recognized asset value. Analyst Commentary Street commentary on Marriott Vacations Worldwide has turned more polarized, with bearish analysts emphasizing a difficult transition period and bullish analysts focusing on asset value and potential recovery in earnings power once execution stabilizes.Mise à jour du récit • Dec 06
VAC: Improved Execution Will Restore Confidence And Unlock Long-Term Upside
Analysts have lowered their fair value estimate for Marriott Vacations Worldwide by about $4 to approximately $64 per share. This reflects reduced revenue growth expectations, a lower future P/E multiple, and lingering concerns over execution and industry headwinds, despite slightly improved margin assumptions.Mise à jour du récit • Nov 22
VAC: Improved Execution Will Drive Future Upside Amid Transition Period
The analyst price target for Marriott Vacations Worldwide has declined significantly from $86.80 to $68.00, as analysts cite ongoing operational challenges and diminished earnings prospects for the company. Analyst Commentary Analysts have provided a range of updated assessments for Marriott Vacations Worldwide, highlighting both potential strengths and numerous risks facing the company in the near term.Article d’analyse • Nov 12
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (NYSE:VAC) Stock's 28% Dive Might Signal An Opportunity But It Requires Some Scrutiny
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation ( NYSE:VAC ) share price has dived...Mise à jour du récit • Nov 08
VAC: Improved Profit Margins Will Drive Recovery Despite Earnings Setback
The average analyst price target for Marriott Vacations Worldwide has been lowered from $91.90 to $86.80, as analysts cite underperformance in recent earnings and a weaker than anticipated adjusted EBITDA outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst reports reflect a more cautious sentiment on Marriott Vacations Worldwide, with shifts in both positive and negative outlooks regarding the company's valuation and execution after the latest earnings report.Article d’analyse • Jul 31
Is There Now An Opportunity In Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (NYSE:VAC)?
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation ( NYSE:VAC ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a significant share...Article d’analyse • Jul 15
There's No Escaping Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation's (NYSE:VAC) Muted Earnings Despite A 29% Share Price Rise
Despite an already strong run, Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation ( NYSE:VAC ) shares have been powering on, with...Article d’analyse • Jul 05
Is There An Opportunity With Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation's (NYSE:VAC) 48% Undervaluation?
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Marriott Vacations Worldwide fair value estimate is US$155...Article d’analyse • Jun 20
Marriott Vacations Worldwide's (NYSE:VAC) Returns Have Hit A Wall
There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Amongst other things, we'll want...Article d’analyse • May 09
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation's (NYSE:VAC) Shares Bounce 26% But Its Business Still Trails The Market
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation ( NYSE:VAC ) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has...Article d’analyse • Apr 01
Should You Investigate Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (NYSE:VAC) At US$64.24?
While Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation ( NYSE:VAC ) might not have the largest market cap around , it received...Article d’analyse • Mar 16
Marriott Vacations Worldwide's (NYSE:VAC) Returns Have Hit A Wall
What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Amongst...Seeking Alpha • Mar 15
Marriott Vacations: Time To Own Shares In This Timeshare
Summary Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation shows strong financial performance with an 11.1% YoY revenue increase, despite inflationary pressures. VAC's strategic locations and large market presence drive growth, targeting high-net-worth individuals and leveraging tourism resilience. The stock is underpriced with improving technicals, offering a 22.8% upside potential based on DCF and Dividend Discount Models. Despite weak momentum, VAC's solid fundamentals and growth prospects make it an ideal buy for investors. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaArticle d’analyse • Feb 14
A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation's (NYSE:VAC) Share Price
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation's ( NYSE:VAC ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 14.7x might make it look...Article d’analyse • Dec 12
Marriott Vacations Worldwide's (NYSE:VAC) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year
The board of Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation ( NYSE:VAC ) has announced that the dividend on 3rd of January...Article d’analyse • Dec 07
Is It Time To Consider Buying Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (NYSE:VAC)?
While Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation ( NYSE:VAC ) might not have the largest market cap around , it received...Seeking Alpha • Nov 26
Marriott Vacations: Business Normalizing As Delinquencies Stabilize
Summary Marriott Vacations Worldwide has seen a 29% gain over the past year, with recent recovery post-summer volatility, but remains below Q2 highs. Q3 results showed a $1.80 EPS, beating estimates by $0.20, with revenue up 10% to $1.3 billion, driven by Hawaii's recovery. Financing revenue rose 7%, but credit quality issues persist, with $281 million past due and $516 million in reserves, posing potential risks. Despite stabilizing delinquencies and cost-saving measures, I maintain a "hold" rating on VAC, seeing shares as fairly valued with an 8% free cash flow yield. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaArticle d’analyse • Nov 14
There May Be Reason For Hope In Marriott Vacations Worldwide's (NYSE:VAC) Disappointing Earnings
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation's ( NYSE:VAC ) stock was strong despite it releasing a soft earnings report...Article d’analyse • Nov 10
A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation's (NYSE:VAC) 30% Share Price Climb
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation ( NYSE:VAC ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 30% gain in...Article d’analyse • Oct 29
Returns On Capital At Marriott Vacations Worldwide (NYSE:VAC) Have Stalled
There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Typically, we'll want to notice a...
Nouveau récit • Sep 09
Calculated Shifts And Resort Expansions Set To Propel The Company's Growth And Market Share
Efforts to expand the customer base through increased first-time buyer tours and adjustments in sales promotions indicate proactive strategies to boost future revenues.Article d’analyse • Aug 24
Investors Continue Waiting On Sidelines For Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (NYSE:VAC)
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation's ( NYSE:VAC ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 16.1x might make it look...Prévisions de croissance des bénéfices et des revenus
| Date | Recettes | Les revenus | Flux de trésorerie disponible | Cash from Op | Moy. Nombre d'analystes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 5,412 | N/A | 299 | N/A | 4 |
| 12/31/2027 | 5,351 | 293 | 344 | 374 | 10 |
| 12/31/2026 | 5,213 | 239 | 325 | 365 | 10 |
| 3/31/2026 | 3,334 | -342 | -35 | 16 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 3,334 | -308 | -29 | 28 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 3,358 | 173 | 63 | 122 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 3,378 | 259 | 69 | 132 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 3,301 | 227 | 154 | 210 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 3,278 | 218 | 98 | 205 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 3,194 | 203 | 69 | 188 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 3,105 | 161 | 105 | 238 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 3,166 | 214 | 139 | 285 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 3,166 | 254 | 114 | 232 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 3,202 | 307 | 170 | 291 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 3,340 | 374 | 226 | 331 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 3,357 | 420 | 250 | 343 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 3,289 | 391 | 457 | 522 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 3,256 | 364 | 356 | 420 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 3,129 | 265 | 354 | 413 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 2,994 | 135 | 483 | 532 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 2,762 | 49 | 296 | 343 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 2,435 | -49 | 420 | 444 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 2,075 | -121 | 502 | 520 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 1,656 | -197 | 330 | 361 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 1,844 | -275 | 258 | 299 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 2,199 | -164 | 310 | 360 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 2,591 | -111 | 192 | 253 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 3,096 | 8 | 179 | 232 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 3,151 | 138 | N/A | 382 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 3,103 | 108 | N/A | 210 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 2,833 | 81 | N/A | 95 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 2,435 | 43 | N/A | 102 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 2,043 | 55 | N/A | 97 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 1,637 | 130 | N/A | 138 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 1,474 | 206 | N/A | 186 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 1,457 | 243 | N/A | 119 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 1,433 | 235 | N/A | 142 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 1,497 | 166 | N/A | 121 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 1,447 | 153 | N/A | 134 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 1,396 | 141 | N/A | 177 | N/A |
| 12/30/2016 | 1,280 | 122 | N/A | 141 | N/A |
| 9/9/2016 | 1,349 | 121 | N/A | 99 | N/A |
| 6/17/2016 | 1,360 | 115 | N/A | 51 | N/A |
| 3/25/2016 | 1,366 | 113 | N/A | 87 | N/A |
| 1/1/2016 | 1,405 | 123 | N/A | 118 | N/A |
| 9/11/2015 | 1,395 | 90 | N/A | 186 | N/A |
| 6/19/2015 | 1,401 | 94 | N/A | 272 | N/A |
Prévisions de croissance des analystes
Taux de revenus par rapport au taux d'épargne: VAC devrait devenir rentable au cours des 3 prochaines années, ce qui est considéré comme une croissance plus rapide que le taux d'épargne ( 3.5% ).
Bénéfices vs marché: VAC devrait devenir rentable au cours des 3 prochaines années, ce qui est considéré comme une croissance supérieure à la moyenne du marché.
Croissance élevée des bénéfices: VAC devrait devenir rentable dans les 3 prochaines années.
Chiffre d'affaires vs marché: Le chiffre d'affaires de VAC ( 16.2% par an) devrait croître plus rapidement que le marché US ( 11.7% par an).
Croissance élevée des revenus: Le chiffre d'affaires de VAC ( 16.2% par an) devrait croître plus lentement que 20% par an.
Prévisions de croissance du bénéfice par action
Rendement futur des capitaux propres
ROE futur: Le retour sur capitaux propres de VAC devrait être faible dans 3 ans ( 11.3 %).
Découvrir les entreprises en croissance
Analyse de l'entreprise et données financières
| Données | Dernière mise à jour (heure UTC) |
|---|---|
| Analyse de l'entreprise | 2026/05/15 15:44 |
| Cours de l'action en fin de journée | 2026/05/15 00:00 |
| Les revenus | 2026/03/31 |
| Revenus annuels | 2025/12/31 |
Sources de données
Les données utilisées dans notre analyse de l'entreprise proviennent de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Les données suivantes sont utilisées dans notre modèle d'analyse pour générer ce rapport. Les données sont normalisées, ce qui peut entraîner un délai avant que la source ne soit disponible.
| Paquet | Données | Cadre temporel | Exemple de source américaine * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finances de l'entreprise | 10 ans |
| |
| Estimations consensuelles des analystes | +3 ans |
|
|
| Prix du marché | 30 ans |
| |
| Propriété | 10 ans |
| |
| Gestion | 10 ans |
| |
| Principaux développements | 10 ans |
|
* Exemple pour les titres américains ; pour les titres non américains, des formulaires réglementaires et des sources équivalentes sont utilisés.
Sauf indication contraire, toutes les données financières sont basées sur une période annuelle mais mises à jour trimestriellement. C'est ce qu'on appelle les données des douze derniers mois (TTM) ou des douze derniers mois (LTM). En savoir plus.
Modèle d'analyse et flocon de neige
Les détails du modèle d’analyse utilisé pour générer ce rapport sont disponibles sur notre page Github; nous proposons également des guides expliquant comment utiliser nos rapports et des tutoriels sur Youtube.
Découvrez l'équipe de classe mondiale qui a conçu et construit le modèle d'analyse Simply Wall St.
Indicateurs de l'industrie et du secteur
Nos indicateurs de secteur et de section sont calculés toutes les 6 heures par Simply Wall St. Les détails de notre processus sont disponibles sur Github.
Sources des analystes
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation est couverte par 19 analystes. 10 de ces analystes ont soumis les estimations de revenus ou de bénéfices utilisées comme données d'entrée dans notre rapport. Les soumissions des analystes sont mises à jour tout au long de la journée.
| Analyste | Institution |
|---|---|
| Brandt Montour | Barclays |
| Shaun Kelley | BofA Global Research |
| Tyler Batory | Brean Capital Historical (Janney Montgomery) |