Shake Shack Croissance future
Future contrôle des critères 3/6
Shake Shack devrait augmenter ses bénéfices et son chiffre d'affaires de 19.9% et de 12.2% par an respectivement. Le BPA devrait croître de de 19.4% par an. Le rendement des capitaux propres devrait être 14% dans 3 ans.
Informations clés
19.9%
Taux de croissance des bénéfices
19.45%
Taux de croissance du BPA
| Hospitality croissance des bénéfices | 17.9% |
| Taux de croissance des recettes | 12.2% |
| Rendement futur des capitaux propres | 14.04% |
| Couverture par les analystes | Good |
| Dernière mise à jour | 04 May 2026 |
Mises à jour récentes de la croissance future
Recent updates
SHAK: Project Catalyst And Digital Initiatives Will Support Same Store Sales Momentum
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Shake Shack slightly lower to about $141.91, even as supportive research highlighting an extended growth runway, improving same store sales drivers and fine tuning of discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions has led to a series of price target raises across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Shake Shack is skewed toward a constructive view, with several bullish analysts lifting price targets and initiating coverage with positive ratings.SHAK: Project Catalyst And Loyalty Rollout Will Support Margin Upside
Analysts have nudged the fair value estimate for Shake Shack higher from $140.00 to about $142.47, citing updated expectations for revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple, supported by a wave of recent price target hikes and upgrades across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates show a clear tilt toward more constructive views on Shake Shack, with several bullish analysts lifting price targets and initiating coverage at premium levels.Shake Shack: Growth Setup Has Improved (Rating Upgrade)
Apr 13
SHAK: 2026 Same Store Sales Expectations Will Test Rich Forward P E Multiple
Analysts have increased their Shake Shack fair value estimate from $88.00 to $95.00, citing Street research that highlights stronger same-store sales drivers, incremental margin progress, and support for a higher forward P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Shake Shack reflects a mix of optimism on same-store sales momentum and unit growth, alongside some more conservative views around valuation and execution risk.SHAK: Early 2026 Menu And Digital Catalysts Will Support Margin Upside
Analysts have nudged the Shake Shack fair value estimate down from $145.28 to $140.00, reflecting slightly softer revenue growth assumptions, better margin expectations, and a more moderate future P/E. This view is supported by recent research highlighting menu initiatives, digital engagement, and early 2026 catalysts as key drivers for the updated price targets across the Street.SHAK: Elevated 2026 Same Store Sales Hurdle Will Pressure Rich P E
Narrative Update: Shake Shack We have raised our Shake Shack fair value estimate to $88 from $85, reflecting analysts' higher price targets and their focus on same store sales momentum, margin progress, and early 2026 catalysts highlighted in recent research. Analyst Commentary Across recent research, analysts have been updating their views on Shake Shack following Q4 results, Q1 commentary, and 2026 guidance.
SHAK: Early 2026 Catalyst Path Will Drive Long Term Earnings Upside
Narrative Update on Shake Shack The analyst price target for Shake Shack has been trimmed by about $3.50 per share, as analysts balance expectations for slightly stronger revenue growth against more conservative profit margin and valuation assumptions. These are reflected in a higher future P/E and recent target resets from firms across the Street.SHAK: Elevated 2026 Expectations Will Pressure Shares Despite Sector Headwinds
Analysts have modestly reduced their average Shake Shack price targets to a range around US$105 to US$110, citing expectations for comparable sales into 2026 and a strong overall growth outlook, even as they factor in sector wide sales challenges and a higher assumed future P/E of about 51x in their updated models. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Shake Shack point to a split view.SHAK: Future Margin Upside Expected From 2026 Catalysts And Tariff Relief
Narrative Update: Shake Shack The analyst price target for Shake Shack has been trimmed from about US$150 to roughly US$145, as analysts factor in slightly softer revenue growth and profit margin assumptions. They are still using a higher forward P/E and are pointing to 2026 same store sales and early year catalysts as key support for the updated view.SHAK: Reset Expectations And 2026 Catalysts Will Shape Risk Reward Balance
Analysts have reset their price target framework for Shake Shack, trimming the fair value estimate from $110 to $85. They highlighted a mix of higher modeled revenue growth, slightly lower profit margins, a reduced future P/E, and a modestly higher discount rate that reflects recent research calling out early 2026 catalysts, traffic support from marketing, and more balanced risk/reward after the stock's selloff.SHAK: Future Margin Upside Expected From Potential Tariff Cuts On Key Inputs
Analysts have trimmed their Shake Shack price target to $150 from $162, reflecting a modestly higher discount rate and softer long term margin and valuation assumptions. They also acknowledge still solid revenue growth prospects and a reset, more balanced risk reward backdrop following recent sector wide demand softness.SHAK: Margin Expansion And Development Pipeline Will Drive Long Term Earnings Upside
Analysts have modestly lowered their price target on Shake Shack, reflecting concerns about softer near term demand and traffic in a challenging environment, even as they highlight the company’s compelling same store sales trajectory, margin expansion, and development pipeline. Analyst Commentary Recent research notes reflect a mixed but constructive stance on Shake Shack, with modestly reduced price targets alongside acknowledgement of a healthier long term growth profile and improved risk reward following the recent share price pullback.SHAK: Margin Expansion Will Drive Earnings Upside Amid Sector Uncertainty
Shake Shack's analyst price target was modestly raised to $114.36, as analysts note gradual improvements in revenue growth, profit margin, and a balanced risk/reward outlook despite ongoing near-term challenges in the fast casual dining space. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst updates present a nuanced view on Shake Shack's outlook, with both encouraging developments and notable headwinds shaping sentiment on the stock.SHAK: Demand Reset And Global Expansion Will Drive Renewed Investor Optimism
Analysts have revised Shake Shack's price target downward from approximately $125 to $114, citing a noticeable slowdown in demand during September and a more balanced risk/reward outlook after softer performance in the fast casual and quick service segments. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst reports on Shake Shack reflect a nuanced perspective on the company's short-term outlook, with opinions split between cautious optimism and ongoing concerns over sales performance and sector trends.Menu Revamp And Urban Expansion Will Redefine Fast Casual Dining
Shake Shack's average analyst price target has been modestly reduced, with analysts now valuing shares at approximately $125, down from about $132. Analysts cite a reset in expectations following recent margin performance and a more balanced risk/reward outlook in light of mixed same-store sales results.Menu Revamp And Urban Expansion Will Redefine Fast Casual Dining
Analysts have slightly lowered their fair value price target for Shake Shack by $3. They cited modest Q2 comparable sales along with strong margin and earnings performance as factors behind the revision.Is Shake Shack Inc. (NYSE:SHAK) Potentially Undervalued?
Aug 02
Shake Shack (NYSE:SHAK) Has A Rock Solid Balance Sheet
Jul 12Some Investors May Be Willing To Look Past Shake Shack's (NYSE:SHAK) Soft Earnings
May 08Revenues Not Telling The Story For Shake Shack Inc. (NYSE:SHAK)
Apr 25These 4 Measures Indicate That Shake Shack (NYSE:SHAK) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well
Apr 04Shake Shack: Finally, The Drop I Was Waiting For
Apr 01Shake Shack (NYSE:SHAK) Might Be Having Difficulty Using Its Capital Effectively
Mar 14Shake Shack: Not Shaken By Higher Restaurant Prices
Feb 20Should You Be Adding Shake Shack (NYSE:SHAK) To Your Watchlist Today?
Feb 17Shake Shack: Bigger Bites, Bigger Challenges
Jan 24A Look At The Fair Value Of Shake Shack Inc. (NYSE:SHAK)
Jan 07Pinning Down Shake Shack Inc.'s (NYSE:SHAK) P/S Is Difficult Right Now
Dec 25Does Shake Shack (NYSE:SHAK) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Dec 12Why Shake Shack Inc. (NYSE:SHAK) Could Be Worth Watching
Nov 28Shake Shack: Proving Premium Is 'Worth It' In Fast Food's Exodus
Nov 19Is Now The Time To Put Shake Shack (NYSE:SHAK) On Your Watchlist?
Nov 14Shake Shack: Operational Excellence Is Shining Through
Nov 04Shake Shack: Surfing The Wave Of Fast-Food Inflation
Oct 16There Are Reasons To Feel Uneasy About Shake Shack's (NYSE:SHAK) Returns On Capital
Oct 06
Global Expansion And Critical Investments Propel Brand Growth And Profitability
Shake Shack's premium positioning and focus on innovation and technology suggest a strong potential for increased revenue through differentiated products and pricing strategies.After Leaping 31% Shake Shack Inc. (NYSE:SHAK) Shares Are Not Flying Under The Radar
Aug 22Shake Shack: Set To Thrive Under New Leadership
Aug 22Shake Shack: A Solid Performance Outlook For The Business
Aug 16Shake Shack: Poor Business Fundamentals Indicate Overvaluation
Jul 14Is Shake Shack (NYSE:SHAK) A Risky Investment?
Jul 12Shake Shack's (NYSE:SHAK) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business
Jun 17Shake Shack: Priced With Too Much Growth Anticipation
May 06Shake Shack: Reiterate Buy Rating As Margin Improvement Initiatives Are Working Well
Feb 27Shake Shack's (NYSE:SHAK) Performance Is Even Better Than Its Earnings Suggest
Feb 22Prévisions de croissance des bénéfices et des revenus
| Date | Recettes | Les revenus | Flux de trésorerie disponible | Cash from Op | Moy. Nombre d'analystes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 2,173 | 102 | 129 | 365 | 10 |
| 12/31/2027 | 1,902 | 75 | 71 | 270 | 27 |
| 12/31/2026 | 1,655 | 59 | 60 | 228 | 27 |
| 12/31/2025 | 1,445 | 46 | 57 | 222 | N/A |
| 9/24/2025 | 1,373 | 43 | 63 | 204 | N/A |
| 6/25/2025 | 1,323 | 20 | 46 | 183 | N/A |
| 3/26/2025 | 1,283 | 12 | 40 | 172 | N/A |
| 12/25/2024 | 1,253 | 10 | 36 | 171 | N/A |
| 9/25/2024 | 1,210 | 9 | 34 | 168 | N/A |
| 6/26/2024 | 1,169 | 27 | 17 | 154 | N/A |
| 3/27/2024 | 1,125 | 24 | -2 | 143 | N/A |
| 12/27/2023 | 1,088 | 20 | -14 | 132 | N/A |
| 9/27/2023 | 1,040 | 5 | -48 | 113 | N/A |
| 6/28/2023 | 991 | -4 | -58 | 104 | N/A |
| 3/29/2023 | 950 | -13 | -60 | 89 | N/A |
| 12/28/2022 | 900 | -21 | -66 | 77 | N/A |
| 9/28/2022 | 865 | -23 | -58 | 69 | N/A |
| 6/29/2022 | 831 | -23 | -55 | 57 | N/A |
| 3/30/2022 | 788 | -20 | -50 | 56 | N/A |
| 12/29/2021 | 740 | -5 | -43 | 58 | N/A |
| 9/29/2021 | 694 | -18 | -38 | 53 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 631 | -22 | -20 | 56 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 535 | -40 | -33 | 40 | N/A |
| 12/30/2020 | 523 | -42 | -32 | 37 | N/A |
| 9/23/2020 | 517 | -25 | -27 | 45 | N/A |
| 6/24/2020 | 544 | -9 | -16 | 72 | N/A |
| 3/25/2020 | 605 | 16 | -21 | 80 | N/A |
| 12/25/2019 | 595 | 20 | N/A | 90 | N/A |
| 9/25/2019 | 567 | 21 | N/A | 96 | N/A |
| 6/26/2019 | 529 | 16 | N/A | 80 | N/A |
| 3/27/2019 | 493 | 14 | N/A | 83 | N/A |
| 12/26/2018 | 459 | 15 | N/A | 85 | N/A |
| 9/26/2018 | 431 | 4 | N/A | 80 | N/A |
| 6/27/2018 | 406 | 4 | N/A | 78 | N/A |
| 3/28/2018 | 381 | 1 | N/A | 80 | N/A |
| 12/27/2017 | 359 | 0 | N/A | 71 | N/A |
| 9/27/2017 | 336 | 16 | N/A | 68 | N/A |
| 6/28/2017 | 316 | 15 | N/A | 64 | N/A |
| 3/29/2017 | 291 | 13 | N/A | 55 | N/A |
| 12/28/2016 | 268 | 12 | N/A | 54 | N/A |
| 9/28/2016 | 246 | 10 | N/A | 51 | N/A |
| 6/29/2016 | 225 | 8 | N/A | 48 | N/A |
| 3/30/2016 | 207 | 5 | N/A | 45 | N/A |
| 12/30/2015 | 191 | -9 | N/A | 41 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 174 | -11 | N/A | 33 | N/A |
| 7/1/2015 | 153 | -12 | N/A | 23 | N/A |
Prévisions de croissance des analystes
Taux de revenus par rapport au taux d'épargne: La croissance des bénéfices prévue de SHAK ( 19.9% par an) est supérieure au taux d'épargne ( 3.5% ).
Bénéfices vs marché: Les bénéfices de SHAK ( 19.9% par an) devraient croître plus rapidement que le marché US ( 16.1% par an).
Croissance élevée des bénéfices: Les bénéfices de SHAK devraient augmenter, mais pas de manière significative.
Chiffre d'affaires vs marché: Le chiffre d'affaires de SHAK ( 12.2% par an) devrait croître plus rapidement que le marché US ( 11.3% par an).
Croissance élevée des revenus: Le chiffre d'affaires de SHAK ( 12.2% par an) devrait croître plus lentement que 20% par an.
Prévisions de croissance du bénéfice par action
Rendement futur des capitaux propres
ROE futur: Le retour sur capitaux propres de SHAK devrait être faible dans 3 ans ( 14 %).
Découvrir les entreprises en croissance
Analyse de l'entreprise et données financières
| Données | Dernière mise à jour (heure UTC) |
|---|---|
| Analyse de l'entreprise | 2026/05/06 00:48 |
| Cours de l'action en fin de journée | 2026/05/06 00:00 |
| Les revenus | 2025/12/31 |
| Revenus annuels | 2025/12/31 |
Sources de données
Les données utilisées dans notre analyse de l'entreprise proviennent de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Les données suivantes sont utilisées dans notre modèle d'analyse pour générer ce rapport. Les données sont normalisées, ce qui peut entraîner un délai avant que la source ne soit disponible.
| Paquet | Données | Cadre temporel | Exemple de source américaine * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finances de l'entreprise | 10 ans |
| |
| Estimations consensuelles des analystes | +3 ans |
|
|
| Prix du marché | 30 ans |
| |
| Propriété | 10 ans |
| |
| Gestion | 10 ans |
| |
| Principaux développements | 10 ans |
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* Exemple pour les titres américains ; pour les titres non américains, des formulaires réglementaires et des sources équivalentes sont utilisés.
Sauf indication contraire, toutes les données financières sont basées sur une période annuelle mais mises à jour trimestriellement. C'est ce qu'on appelle les données des douze derniers mois (TTM) ou des douze derniers mois (LTM). En savoir plus.
Modèle d'analyse et flocon de neige
Les détails du modèle d’analyse utilisé pour générer ce rapport sont disponibles sur notre page Github; nous proposons également des guides expliquant comment utiliser nos rapports et des tutoriels sur Youtube.
Découvrez l'équipe de classe mondiale qui a conçu et construit le modèle d'analyse Simply Wall St.
Indicateurs de l'industrie et du secteur
Nos indicateurs de secteur et de section sont calculés toutes les 6 heures par Simply Wall St. Les détails de notre processus sont disponibles sur Github.
Sources des analystes
Shake Shack Inc. est couverte par 36 analystes. 27 de ces analystes ont soumis les estimations de revenus ou de bénéfices utilisées comme données d'entrée dans notre rapport. Les soumissions des analystes sont mises à jour tout au long de la journée.
| Analyste | Institution |
|---|---|
| David Tarantino | Baird |
| Jeffrey Bernstein | Barclays |
| Jeffrey Bernstein | Barclays |