Rio Tinto Group

LSE:RIO Rapport sur les actions

Capitalisation boursière : UK£134.0b

Rio Tinto Group Croissance future

Future contrôle des critères 1/6

Rio Tinto Group devrait augmenter ses bénéfices et son chiffre d'affaires de 6.9% et de 2.9% par an respectivement. Le BPA devrait croître de de 4.7% par an. Le rendement des capitaux propres devrait être 18.2% dans 3 ans.

Informations clés

6.9%

Taux de croissance des bénéfices

4.72%

Taux de croissance du BPA

Metals and Mining croissance des bénéfices16.9%
Taux de croissance des recettes2.9%
Rendement futur des capitaux propres18.23%
Couverture par les analystes

Good

Dernière mise à jour22 May 2026

Mises à jour récentes de la croissance future

Recent updates

Mise à jour du récit • May 14

RIO: Copper Outlook And Asset Sales Will Shape Fairly Valued Shares

Analysts have raised the average price target for Rio Tinto Group by about £3 to reflect updated assumptions for fair value, discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, based on recent research that includes several price target increases and a few reductions. Analyst Commentary Recent research paints a mixed but generally constructive picture for Rio Tinto Group, with several bullish analysts lifting price targets in both US$ and GBp, while a handful of large banks have turned more cautious on valuation and commodity risk.
Mise à jour du récit • Apr 29

RIO: Cautious Tone Will Persist As Copper And Iron Ore Risks Intensify

Rio Tinto Group’s updated analyst price target reflects a modest uplift of about £0.25 per share, with analysts pointing to refreshed commodity assumptions, slightly higher revenue growth expectations, and updated P/E multiples, partly offset by more conservative margin and discount rate inputs. Analyst Commentary Recent research reflects a split view on Rio Tinto Group, with some firms lifting price targets while several bearish analysts have taken a more cautious stance on valuation, commodity exposure, and near term execution risks.
Mise à jour du récit • Apr 14

RIO: Cautious Tone Will Tighten As Copper And Iron Ore Risks Deepen

Analysts have slightly lowered the fair value estimate for Rio Tinto Group to £57.66 from £58.52, reflecting updated price targets that balance higher revenue and margin assumptions with a modestly higher discount rate and P/E expectations highlighted in recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Rio Tinto Group reflects a mix of upgraded and downgraded views, with some firms lifting price targets while others trim expectations or move to more neutral stances.
Mise à jour du récit • Mar 31

RIO: Cautious Outlook As Copper And Iron Ore Assumptions Turn More Conservative

Analysts have raised the fair value estimate for Rio Tinto Group to £58.52 from £41.00. This change reflects updated views on revenue growth, profit margins and sector valuation following a series of mixed price target revisions and rating downgrades across the Street.
Mise à jour du récit • Mar 17

RIO: Ended Glencore Talks Will Refocus On Copper And Asset Sales

Analysts have trimmed the blended price target for Rio Tinto Group by roughly £400 to around £7,200, reflecting updated views on commodity risk, iron ore seasonality and valuation after recent share gains. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a mixed but generally cautious stance on Rio Tinto, with several firms trimming price targets and shifting ratings toward more neutral positions after a strong share price run.
Mise à jour du récit • Mar 03

RIO: Post Glencore Talks And Copper Outlook Will Shape Balanced Risk Profile

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Rio Tinto Group to the equivalent of about £69.66 per share, from £63.89. This reflects updated assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, margins and future P/E, even as recent Street research shows a mix of reduced and raised price targets in the £5,900 to £8,300 range and a shift toward more Neutral and Equal Weight ratings.
Nouveau récit • Feb 23

Rio Tinto (RIO): Cash Machine with a China Beta Problem — and a Copper Glow-Up

If I had to summarise Rio Tinto in one line, I would describe it as a world-class iron ore franchise that is now being forced to adapt to a changing China and a changing commodity landscape. For years, Rio’s investment case has been built on the strength of its Pilbara iron ore operations.
Mise à jour du récit • Feb 16

RIO: Ended Glencore Talks And Planned Asset Sales Will Support Upside

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Rio Tinto Group higher to about £84 from roughly £83, citing Street research that includes several recent price target increases and mixed rating changes. These changes balance a slightly higher assumed revenue growth rate with a modestly lower profit margin and a marginally higher future P/E and discount rate.
Mise à jour du récit • Feb 02

RIO: Potential Glencore Deal And Asset Sales Will Drive Future Upside

The latest Narrative Update on Rio Tinto Group reflects a higher implied fair value of about $83.33 per share, up from roughly $74.17, as analysts adjust their price targets to account for tweaked discount rates, slightly stronger revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a higher future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Rio Tinto Group has been mixed, but there are several clear positives that bullish analysts are highlighting when they adjust their models and targets.
Mise à jour du récit • Jan 19

RIO: Megamerger Talks And Critical Mineral Moves Will Shape Medium Term Outlook

Rio Tinto's updated analyst price targets, including recent moves to about £57.00, reflect analysts' use of higher fair value estimates, slightly adjusted discount rates, and refreshed assumptions around revenue, profit margins, and P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts are lifting price targets toward about £57.00, which signals more confidence in the underlying fair value they assign to Rio Tinto based on their updated models.
Mise à jour du récit • Jan 05

RIO: Higher Commodity Exposure And Asset Sales Will Drive Future Upside

Analyst price targets for Rio Tinto Group have shifted higher overall, with recent moves such as Citi lifting its target to £57.00 from £46.00 and other banks adjusting into the £52.00 to £61.70 range, reflecting updated views on revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates point to a generally constructive tone around Rio Tinto Group, with several bullish analysts adjusting their price targets into a higher £52.00 to £61.70 band.
Mise à jour du récit • Dec 17

RIO: Stronger Commodity Pricing And Cost Discipline Will Drive Upside Potential

Rio Tinto Group's analyst price target has been revised higher, with fair value estimates rising from approximately 65.08 to 74.18 as analysts factor in stronger expected revenue growth, wider profit margins, and a more favorable, though slightly higher risk-adjusted, earnings multiple implied by the latest round of target hikes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates reflect a constructive tone on Rio Tinto, with a series of price target increases signaling growing confidence in the company’s earnings power and balance of risk and reward.
Mise à jour du récit • Dec 03

RIO: Critical Mineral Moves And Board Decisions Will Shape Medium Term Outlook

Rio Tinto Group's analyst price target has edged higher to approximately $57.09 from about $56.84, as analysts broadly lift their expectations on the shares amid a series of upward revisions to U.K. price targets, despite slightly softer long term growth and margin assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent price target revisions indicate that bullish analysts see further upside for Rio Tinto shares, with multiple upward adjustments across the U.K. coverage universe.
Mise à jour du récit • Nov 19

RIO: Upcoming Board Decisions And Mineral Trade Shifts Will Shape Outlook

Rio Tinto Group's analyst price target has been increased from £56.23 to £56.84, as analysts point to improved revenue growth estimates. Recent upward revisions from major firms also support a slightly stronger outlook for the stock.
Mise à jour du récit • Nov 03

RIO: Steady Copper And Iron Ore Outlook Will Offset Operational And Governance Risks

Rio Tinto Group’s analyst price target has been adjusted upward from £54.85 to £56.23. This reflects analysts’ expectations for steady fundamentals in light of recent incremental changes in revenue growth and profit margin forecasts.
Mise à jour du récit • Oct 20

Energy Transition Will Accelerate Copper And Lithium Expansion Despite Headwinds

Rio Tinto Group's analyst price target has risen to £54.85 from £53.30. This reflects analysts' expectations for improved revenue growth and profit margins, despite ongoing adjustments to market risk assessments.
Mise à jour du récit • Oct 05

Energy Transition Will Accelerate Copper And Lithium Expansion Despite Headwinds

Rio Tinto Group's analyst price target has been modestly increased to £53.30 from £52.27, reflecting analysts' expectations for improved revenue growth and profitability, even as caution remains around iron ore market risks. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst updates highlight a mix of confidence and caution surrounding Rio Tinto Group's outlook.
Mise à jour du récit • Sep 20

Energy Transition Will Accelerate Copper And Lithium Expansion Despite Headwinds

Analyst price targets for Rio Tinto Group have increased modestly to £52.27 as bullish analysts cited strong operational performance despite iron ore demand concerns and sector headwinds, though target upgrades remain incremental. Analyst Commentary Rising downside risks to iron ore prices, particularly in the near term, have led to more cautious outlooks and downgrades by bearish analysts.
Mise à jour du récit • Sep 04

Energy Transition Will Accelerate Copper And Lithium Expansion Despite Headwinds

Analysts have modestly lowered their price target for Rio Tinto Group to £51.49, reflecting increased caution due to downside risks in iron ore prices and muted Chinese stimulus, with earnings estimates trimmed and consensus now factoring a more conservative commodity outlook. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts flag downside risks to iron ore prices, particularly in the months ahead, impacting Rio Tinto’s earnings outlook.
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Nouveau récit • Feb 23

Energy Transition Demand Will Aid Copper And Aluminum Prospects Despite Iron Ore Headwinds

Strategic diversification into copper, aluminum, and lithium aligns with global energy trends, potentially boosting future revenue and aligning with decarbonization efforts.

Prévisions de croissance des bénéfices et des revenus

LSE:RIO - Estimations futures des analystes et données financières antérieures (USD Millions )
DateRecettesLes revenusFlux de trésorerie disponibleCash from OpMoy. Nombre d'analystes
12/31/202866,48114,22213,82322,54517
12/31/202764,66814,16211,41621,23118
12/31/202663,21413,8719,95919,58218
12/31/202557,6389,9664,49716,832N/A
9/30/202555,68410,1194,81416,150N/A
6/30/202553,72910,2725,13015,467N/A
3/31/202553,69410,9125,55415,533N/A
12/31/202453,65811,5525,97815,599N/A
9/30/202453,91711,1516,55815,420N/A
6/30/202454,17610,7497,13815,241N/A
3/31/202454,10910,4047,60615,201N/A
12/31/202354,04110,0588,07415,160N/A
9/30/202353,2449,3127,05213,898N/A
6/30/202352,4468,5666,03012,635N/A
3/31/202354,00010,4797,70714,385N/A
12/31/202255,55412,3929,38416,134N/A
9/30/202257,87115,07912,17419,146N/A
6/30/202260,18717,72414,96422,158N/A
3/31/202261,84119,40916,46323,752N/A
12/31/202163,49521,11517,96125,345N/A
9/30/202160,91419,93017,51924,627N/A
6/30/202158,33218,76617,07623,908N/A
3/31/202151,47214,26813,38119,892N/A
12/31/202044,6119,7699,68615,875N/A
9/30/202043,2088,4839,02415,013N/A
6/30/202041,8057,1968,36114,151N/A
3/31/202042,4857,6038,89314,532N/A
12/31/201943,1658,0109,42414,912N/A
9/30/201942,24810,699N/A13,947N/A
6/30/201941,33013,388N/A12,982N/A
3/31/201940,92613,513N/A12,402N/A
12/31/201840,52213,638N/A11,821N/A
9/30/201840,57411,738N/A12,314N/A
6/30/201840,6259,837N/A12,806N/A
3/31/201840,3289,300N/A13,345N/A
12/31/201740,0308,762N/A13,884N/A
9/30/201738,8157,486N/A12,708N/A
6/30/201737,6006,209N/A11,531N/A
3/31/201735,6915,413N/A9,998N/A
12/31/201633,7814,617N/A8,465N/A
9/30/201633,0652,329N/A8,327N/A
6/30/201632,34941N/A8,188N/A
3/31/201633,589-412N/A8,786N/A
12/31/201534,829-866N/A9,383N/A
9/30/201538,0681,033N/A11,324N/A
6/30/201541,3072,931N/A13,265N/A

Prévisions de croissance des analystes

Taux de revenus par rapport au taux d'épargne: La croissance des bénéfices prévue de RIO ( 6.9% par an) est supérieure au taux d'épargne ( 3.4% ).

Bénéfices vs marché: Les bénéfices de RIO ( 6.9% par an) devraient croître plus lentement que le marché UK ( 11.5% par an).

Croissance élevée des bénéfices: Les bénéfices de RIO devraient augmenter, mais pas de manière significative.

Chiffre d'affaires vs marché: Le chiffre d'affaires de RIO ( 2.9% par an) devrait croître plus lentement que le marché de UK ( 4.5% par an).

Croissance élevée des revenus: Le chiffre d'affaires de RIO ( 2.9% par an) devrait croître plus lentement que 20% par an.

Prévisions de croissance du bénéfice par action

Rendement futur des capitaux propres

ROE futur: Le retour sur capitaux propres de RIO devrait être faible dans 3 ans ( 18.2 %).

Découvrir les entreprises en croissance

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Analyse de l'entreprise et données financières

DonnéesDernière mise à jour (heure UTC)
Analyse de l'entreprise2026/05/25 10:14
Cours de l'action en fin de journée2026/05/22 00:00
Les revenus2025/12/31
Revenus annuels2025/12/31

Sources de données

Les données utilisées dans notre analyse de l'entreprise proviennent de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Les données suivantes sont utilisées dans notre modèle d'analyse pour générer ce rapport. Les données sont normalisées, ce qui peut entraîner un délai avant que la source ne soit disponible.

PaquetDonnéesCadre temporelExemple de source américaine *
Finances de l'entreprise10 ans
  • Compte de résultat
  • Tableau des flux de trésorerie
  • Bilan
Estimations consensuelles des analystes+3 ans
  • Prévisions financières
  • Objectifs de prix des analystes
Prix du marché30 ans
  • Cours des actions
  • Dividendes, scissions et actions
Propriété10 ans
  • Actionnaires principaux
  • Délits d'initiés
Gestion10 ans
  • L'équipe dirigeante
  • Conseil d'administration
Principaux développements10 ans
  • Annonces de l'entreprise

* Exemple pour les titres américains ; pour les titres non américains, des formulaires réglementaires et des sources équivalentes sont utilisés.

Sauf indication contraire, toutes les données financières sont basées sur une période annuelle mais mises à jour trimestriellement. C'est ce qu'on appelle les données des douze derniers mois (TTM) ou des douze derniers mois (LTM). En savoir plus.

Modèle d'analyse et flocon de neige

Les détails du modèle d’analyse utilisé pour générer ce rapport sont disponibles sur notre page Github; nous proposons également des guides expliquant comment utiliser nos rapports et des tutoriels sur Youtube.

Découvrez l'équipe de classe mondiale qui a conçu et construit le modèle d'analyse Simply Wall St.

Indicateurs de l'industrie et du secteur

Nos indicateurs de secteur et de section sont calculés toutes les 6 heures par Simply Wall St. Les détails de notre processus sont disponibles sur Github.

Sources des analystes

Rio Tinto Group est couverte par 52 analystes. 18 de ces analystes ont soumis les estimations de revenus ou de bénéfices utilisées comme données d'entrée dans notre rapport. Les soumissions des analystes sont mises à jour tout au long de la journée.

AnalysteInstitution
David ColemanArgus Research Company
Amos FletcherBarclays
Peter WardBarclays