Rumo Croissance future
Future contrôle des critères 3/6
Rumo devrait augmenter ses bénéfices et son chiffre d'affaires de 29.9% et de 2.7% par an respectivement. Le BPA devrait croître de de 29.5% par an. Le rendement des capitaux propres devrait être 14.6% dans 3 ans.
Informations clés
29.9%
Taux de croissance des bénéfices
29.47%
Taux de croissance du BPA
| Transportation croissance des bénéfices | 33.8% |
| Taux de croissance des recettes | 2.7% |
| Rendement futur des capitaux propres | 14.60% |
| Couverture par les analystes | Good |
| Dernière mise à jour | 10 Jun 2026 |
Mises à jour récentes de la croissance future
Recent updates
Mise à jour du récit • Jun 02
RAIL3: Dividend And Stronger Revenue Outlook Will Support Richer P/E Multiple
Analysts have trimmed their Rumo fair value estimate from R$24.00 to R$23.00, citing updated assumptions that include a different discount rate, higher projected revenue growth, lower profit margin expectations and a higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Rumo S.A. declared an annual dividend of R$0.1084 per share.
Mise à jour du récit • May 09
RAIL3: Higher Discount Rate And Lower P/E Will Pressure Future Returns
Analysts have reduced their Rumo fair value estimate from R$15.27 to R$14.64, citing updated assumptions for discount rates, revised revenue growth expectations, adjusted margin forecasts, and a new future P/E of 17.07x. What's in the News Rumo S.A. set an annual dividend of R$0.1084 per share, with payment scheduled for November 30, 2026 (Key Developments).
Mise à jour du récit • Apr 21
RAIL3: Future Dividend Policy Will Support Stronger Profitability Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Rumo slightly from R$19.93 to R$19.67, reflecting updated views on modestly different revenue growth, profit margin and discount rate assumptions while keeping future P/E expectations broadly in line. What's in the News Rumo plans an annual dividend of R$0.1084 per share, with payment scheduled for November 30, 2026 (Key Developments).Mise à jour du récit • Apr 07
RAIL3: Higher Revenue Outlook Will Eventually Support Richer Earnings Multiple
Analysts have slightly trimmed their fair value estimate for Rumo from R$25.00 to R$24.00, reflecting updated assumptions that combine higher revenue growth expectations with a lower projected profit margin and a modestly higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Rumo S.A. announced an annual dividend of R$0.1084 per share, scheduled to be paid on November 30, 2026.Mise à jour du récit • Mar 24
RAIL3: Future Profitability Will Strengthen Despite Ongoing Freight Price Pressure
Analysts have reset their price target on Rumo to R$19.93 from R$21.84, reflecting updated expectations for freight price pressure and modest tweaks to revenue growth, profit margin, and forward P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary JPMorgan resumed coverage of Rumo with a Neutral rating and a R$20 price target, signaling a balanced view on risk and reward at current levels.Mise à jour du récit • Mar 07
RAIL3: Freight Price Pressure And Execution Will Shape A Cautiously Optimistic Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their Rumo fair value estimate from roughly R$16.50 to about R$15.27, aligning their updated price target with expectations for continued freight price pressure highlighted in recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent updates around Rumo suggest that, while coverage is active again, the tone remains cautious.Mise à jour du récit • Feb 21
RAIL3: Freight Price Pressure Will Eventually Support Higher Earnings Multiple
Rumo's analyst price target has been reiterated at R$25.00, with analysts pointing to slightly stronger assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and forward P/E, while still flagging near term freight price pressure as a key watchpoint. Analyst Commentary JPMorgan has resumed coverage of Rumo with a Neutral rating and a R$20 price target, highlighting that freight pricing remains a near term pressure point.Mise à jour du récit • Feb 06
RAIL3: Freight Price Pressure Will Set Up Future P/E Repricing Potential
Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Rumo from R$27.00 to R$25.00, reflecting updated assumptions on growth, profitability, and future P/E, as well as recent Street research that highlights continued pressure on freight prices. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research points to a mixed but watchful stance on Rumo, with JPMorgan resuming coverage at Neutral and a R$20 price target.Mise à jour du récit • Jan 23
RAIL3: Freight Pricing Discipline Will Support A More Optimistic Outlook
Narrative Update on Rumo The analyst price target for Rumo has been updated to R$20, with analysts citing freight price pressures and revised assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E to support the change. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary around Rumo has centered on freight pricing pressure and how that filters through to earnings expectations, valuation assumptions, and price targets.Mise à jour du récit • Jan 08
RAIL3: Freight Pricing Pressure Will Set Up Potential Upside Reassessment
Narrative Update on Rumo Our analyst price target for Rumo moves from R$31.70 to R$27.00, as analysts factor in more moderate revenue growth assumptions, a slightly higher discount rate and ongoing pressure on freight prices highlighted in recent Street research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Rumo has been cautious on near term freight pricing, yet the new R$27.00 target remains above the R$20 reference from JPMorgan, which signals some residual optimism around the company’s ability to execute on its plan over time.Article d’analyse • Dec 22
Rumo (BVMF:RAIL3) Shareholders Will Want The ROCE Trajectory To Continue
If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an...Mise à jour du récit • Dec 22
RAIL3 Stronger Profit Margins Will Support A More Optimistic Outlook
Narrative Update on Rumo Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Rumo to R$16.50, reflecting higher expected profitability and a slightly improved valuation multiple despite slower projected revenue growth. Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate remains unchanged at R$16.50, indicating no revision to the intrinsic price target.Mise à jour du récit • Dec 08
RAIL3: Future Profitability Will Improve As Margins Expand
Analysts have slightly reduced their price target on Rumo to reflect a modest downward revision in fair value and revenue growth assumptions, partially offset by expectations for improved profit margins and a lower future price-to-earnings multiple. Valuation Changes Fair Value: reduced slightly from R$22.56 to R$21.84 per share, reflecting a modest downward revision in intrinsic valuation.Mise à jour du récit • Nov 24
RAIL3: Future Profitability Will Strengthen As Margins Stabilize
Rumo's Analyst Price Target Sees Modest Adjustment Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for Rumo from $23.02 to $22.56. This reflects more cautious expectations on revenue growth and profit margins in their latest assessment.Article d’analyse • Nov 16
Rumo S.A.'s (BVMF:RAIL3) Price Is Out Of Tune With Revenues
Rumo S.A.'s ( BVMF:RAIL3 ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.2x may not look like an appealing investment...Article d’analyse • Oct 29
Is Rumo (BVMF:RAIL3) Using Too Much Debt?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Mise à jour du récit • Sep 14
Mato Grosso Rail Investment Will Boost Brazilian Food Exports
The slight reduction in Rumo's fair value target to R$23.02 primarily reflects lowered consensus revenue growth expectations, despite some improvement in net profit margin. Valuation Changes Summary of Valuation Changes for Rumo The Consensus Analyst Price Target has fallen slightly from R$23.68 to R$23.02.Mise à jour du récit • Aug 30
Mato Grosso Rail Investment Will Boost Brazilian Food Exports
Rumo’s consensus price target was revised downward to R$24.09, reflecting a weakening in fundamentals as the company’s net profit margin declined and its future P/E multiple increased. What's in the News Rumo S.A. announced an annual dividend of BRL 0.8104 per share.Article d’analyse • Aug 14
The Strong Earnings Posted By Rumo (BVMF:RAIL3) Are A Good Indication Of The Strength Of The Business
BOVESPA:RAIL3 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Rumo's Fair Values from the Community and select yours Rumo...Article d’analyse • Aug 04
Rumo S.A.'s (BVMF:RAIL3) Share Price Not Quite Adding Up
Rumo S.A.'s ( BVMF:RAIL3 ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.2x may not look like an appealing investment...Article d’analyse • Jul 14
The Return Trends At Rumo (BVMF:RAIL3) Look Promising
To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Firstly, we'll want to...
Nouveau récit • Dec 02
Decisive Expansion In Mato Grosso And Infrastructure Investments Set To Boost Revenue Growth
Expansion projects and infrastructure investments are set to boost transported volumes and yields, driving long-term revenue growth.Prévisions de croissance des bénéfices et des revenus
| Date | Recettes | Les revenus | Flux de trésorerie disponible | Cash from Op | Moy. Nombre d'analystes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 15,222 | 2,584 | 1,368 | 4,865 | 11 |
| 12/31/2027 | 15,115 | 2,356 | -445 | 5,524 | 14 |
| 12/31/2026 | 14,714 | 1,769 | -1,747 | 4,607 | 11 |
| 3/31/2026 | 14,163 | 1,040 | 1,085 | 7,190 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 13,848 | 847 | 1,045 | 7,142 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 13,961 | 374 | 544 | 7,060 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 13,894 | 645 | 819 | 7,328 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 13,757 | -1,428 | 1,185 | 7,475 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 13,936 | -959 | 2,172 | 7,665 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 13,089 | -696 | 2,204 | 7,036 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 12,512 | -896 | 2,378 | 6,590 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 11,700 | 1,015 | 2,196 | 5,925 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 10,938 | 720 | 1,761 | 5,451 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 10,542 | 962 | 2,054 | 5,263 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 10,317 | 788 | 2,065 | 5,033 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 10,019 | 655 | 1,793 | 4,747 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 9,842 | 515 | 2,113 | 4,831 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 9,134 | -111 | 2,070 | 4,748 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 8,149 | -367 | 1,180 | 4,026 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 7,900 | -88 | 724 | 3,932 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 7,440 | 151 | -113 | 3,340 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 7,589 | 536 | -555 | 3,195 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 7,676 | 650 | -60 | 3,614 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 7,289 | 742 | -45 | 3,310 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 6,966 | 297 | -73 | 2,906 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 6,968 | 496 | 649 | 3,196 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 6,976 | 699 | 930 | 3,175 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 6,876 | 479 | 1,067 | 3,028 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 7,088 | 778 | N/A | 3,525 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 7,070 | 711 | N/A | 3,240 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 6,887 | 570 | N/A | 3,022 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 6,823 | 350 | N/A | 2,924 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 6,585 | 264 | N/A | 2,705 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 6,530 | 75 | N/A | 2,592 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 6,302 | -75 | N/A | 2,325 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 6,144 | -71 | N/A | 2,067 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 5,946 | -261 | N/A | 2,311 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 5,230 | -619 | N/A | 1,649 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 4,802 | -884 | N/A | 1,550 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 4,492 | -1,037 | N/A | 1,432 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 4,312 | -1,063 | N/A | 1,213 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 4,487 | -994 | N/A | 1,591 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 4,418 | -968 | N/A | 1,394 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 4,325 | -1,221 | N/A | 1,536 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 4,149 | -1,177 | N/A | 1,339 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 3,910 | -2,800 | N/A | -45 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 3,708 | -2,631 | N/A | 287 | N/A |
Prévisions de croissance des analystes
Taux de revenus par rapport au taux d'épargne: La croissance des bénéfices prévue de RAIL3 ( 29.9% par an) est supérieure au taux d'épargne ( 12.4% ).
Bénéfices vs marché: Les bénéfices de RAIL3 ( 29.9% par an) devraient croître plus rapidement que le marché BR ( 12.9% par an).
Croissance élevée des bénéfices: Les bénéfices de RAIL3 devraient augmenter de manière significative au cours des 3 prochaines années.
Chiffre d'affaires vs marché: Le chiffre d'affaires de RAIL3 ( 2.7% par an) devrait croître plus lentement que le marché de BR ( 7% par an).
Croissance élevée des revenus: Le chiffre d'affaires de RAIL3 ( 2.7% par an) devrait croître plus lentement que 20% par an.
Prévisions de croissance du bénéfice par action
Rendement futur des capitaux propres
ROE futur: Le retour sur capitaux propres de RAIL3 devrait être faible dans 3 ans ( 14.6 %).
Découvrir les entreprises en croissance
Analyse de l'entreprise et données financières
| Données | Dernière mise à jour (heure UTC) |
|---|---|
| Analyse de l'entreprise | 2026/06/12 12:33 |
| Cours de l'action en fin de journée | 2026/06/11 00:00 |
| Les revenus | 2026/03/31 |
| Revenus annuels | 2025/12/31 |
Sources de données
Les données utilisées dans notre analyse de l'entreprise proviennent de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Les données suivantes sont utilisées dans notre modèle d'analyse pour générer ce rapport. Les données sont normalisées, ce qui peut entraîner un délai avant que la source ne soit disponible.
| Paquet | Données | Cadre temporel | Exemple de source américaine * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finances de l'entreprise | 10 ans |
| |
| Estimations consensuelles des analystes | +3 ans |
|
|
| Prix du marché | 30 ans |
| |
| Propriété | 10 ans |
| |
| Gestion | 10 ans |
| |
| Principaux développements | 10 ans |
|
* Exemple pour les titres américains ; pour les titres non américains, des formulaires réglementaires et des sources équivalentes sont utilisés.
Sauf indication contraire, toutes les données financières sont basées sur une période annuelle mais mises à jour trimestriellement. C'est ce qu'on appelle les données des douze derniers mois (TTM) ou des douze derniers mois (LTM). En savoir plus.
Modèle d'analyse et flocon de neige
Les détails du modèle d’analyse utilisé pour générer ce rapport sont disponibles sur notre page Github; nous proposons également des guides expliquant comment utiliser nos rapports et des tutoriels sur Youtube.
Découvrez l'équipe de classe mondiale qui a conçu et construit le modèle d'analyse Simply Wall St.
Indicateurs de l'industrie et du secteur
Nos indicateurs de secteur et de section sont calculés toutes les 6 heures par Simply Wall St. Les détails de notre processus sont disponibles sur Github.
Sources des analystes
Rumo S.A. est couverte par 22 analystes. 14 de ces analystes ont soumis les estimations de revenus ou de bénéfices utilisées comme données d'entrée dans notre rapport. Les soumissions des analystes sont mises à jour tout au long de la journée.
| Analyste | Institution |
|---|---|
| Mauro Suarez | Alliance Global Partners |
| Daniel Spilberg | Barclays |
| Rogério Araújo | BofA Global Research |