Kogan.com Croissance future
Future contrôle des critères 5/6
Kogan.com devrait augmenter ses bénéfices et son chiffre d'affaires de 54.1% et de 6.6% par an respectivement. Le BPA devrait croître de de 59.1% par an. Le rendement des capitaux propres devrait être 31% dans 3 ans.
Informations clés
54.1%
Taux de croissance des bénéfices
59.08%
Taux de croissance du BPA
| Multiline Retail croissance des bénéfices | 5.6% |
| Taux de croissance des recettes | 6.6% |
| Rendement futur des capitaux propres | 30.96% |
| Couverture par les analystes | Low |
| Dernière mise à jour | 26 Mar 2026 |
Mises à jour récentes de la croissance future
Recent updates
Mise à jour du récit • May 12
Kogan.com will ride high on a comfortable 8% profit margin despite global inflation and supply issues
Increased medium term inflation, alongside global supply chain challenges and geopolitical uncertainty will constrain the margins of consumer retail businesses. Kogan would be wise to double down on its current approach of targeting higher margin opportunities, even if that leads to reduced market share and slower revenue growth.
Mise à jour du récit • Apr 28
KGN: Buyback And Fully Franked Dividend Will Support Future Share Returns
Analysts have fine tuned their assumptions on Kogan.com, keeping the fair value estimate steady at A$9.00 while adjusting inputs such as discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E to reflect updated views on the business. What's in the News The Board of Directors authorized a share buyback plan for Kogan.com Ltd on April 24, 2026, signalling an intention to return capital to shareholders over time (Key Developments).Mise à jour du récit • Apr 10
KGN: Rising Fully Franked Dividend Will Support Stronger Future Share Performance
Analysts have modestly adjusted their price target on Kogan.com to A$9.00, reflecting updated views on its discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E profile, while keeping fair value unchanged at A$9.00. What's in the News Kogan.com board has declared a fully franked ordinary dividend of A$0.08 per ordinary share for the six months ended December 31, 2025, compared with A$0.07, fully franked, for the first half of fiscal 2025, described as a 14.3% uplift on the prior comparable period (Key Developments).Mise à jour du récit • Mar 27
KGN: Higher Dividend And Firmer Margins Will Support Stronger Future Shares
Analysts have reaffirmed their A$ price target for Kogan.com at A$9.00, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples while maintaining the same headline valuation level. What's in the News Kogan.com has announced a fully franked ordinary dividend of A$0.08 per share for the six months ended December 31, 2025, with a record date of March 13, 2026, ex date of March 12, 2026, and payment date of April 30, 2026 (Key Developments).
Mise à jour du récit • Mar 10
KGN: Higher Dividend Will Mask Compressed Future Earnings Multiple Risk
Analysts have maintained their price target on Kogan.com at A$3.30, reflecting updated assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and a slightly lower future P/E multiple. What's in the News The Board of Kogan.com Ltd has declared a fully franked ordinary dividend of 8.0 cents per Ordinary Share for the six months ended December 31, 2025, compared with 7.0 cents for the first half of fiscal 2025, described as up 14.3% on the prior corresponding period (Key Developments).Mise à jour du récit • Feb 23
KGN: Steady Fair Value And Firmer Margins Will Support Stronger Future Shares
Analysts have maintained their A$9.00 price target for Kogan.com, citing only small adjustments to discount rate, revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, along with a slightly lower future P/E multiple in their valuation work. Valuation Changes Fair Value: A$9.00 per share is unchanged, with no adjustment to the central valuation outcome.Mise à jour du récit • Feb 09
KGN: Steady Fair Value And Firmer Margins Will Support Stronger Future Shares
Narrative Update on Kogan.com Analyst Price Target Analysts have kept their fair value estimate for Kogan.com steady at A$9.00. Small adjustments to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and forward P/E assumptions have resulted in this unchanged target.Article d’analyse • Feb 03
Kogan.com Ltd (ASX:KGN) Shares Could Be 48% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Kogan.com fair value estimate is AU$6.91 Current share price...Mise à jour du récit • Jan 25
KGN: Higher Profit Margins And Lower Risk Assumptions Will Support Stronger Future Shares
Analysts have slightly lowered their price target on Kogan.com to account for a modestly reduced future P/E assumption and minor changes to the discount rate, revenue growth, and profit margin forecasts, while maintaining their fair value estimate at A$9.00. Valuation Changes Fair Value: The fair value estimate is unchanged at A$9.00 per share.Mise à jour du récit • Jan 11
KGN: Higher Profit Margins And Stable Assumptions Will Support Stronger Future Shares
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Kogan.com to A$9.00 from A$9.00, reflecting slightly adjusted assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, while keeping their overall valuation view unchanged. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Kept unchanged at A$9.00 per share.Mise à jour du récit • Dec 26
KGN: Higher Profit Margins Will Support Stronger Future Share Performance
Analysts have nudged their price target on Kogan.com higher to align more closely with an updated fair value estimate of A$9.00 per share, citing expectations of slightly stronger profit margins that will offset modestly softer revenue growth and a lower future price to earnings multiple. Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate: unchanged at A$9.00 per share, with higher margin assumptions offsetting slightly softer growth and a lower future multiple.Mise à jour du récit • Dec 12
KGN: Share Buyback Will Support EPS As Margins Face Modest Pressures
Analysts have trimmed their price target for Kogan.com to about $3.30 from roughly $4.05. This reflects slightly higher perceived risk, slower expected revenue growth and modestly softer profit margins, even as future valuation multiples edge up.
Nouveau récit • Mar 15
Mobile App Expansion And Loyalty Program Enhancements Expected To Strengthen Customer Engagement
Expanding Kogan Marketplace and Mighty Ape initiatives drives customer engagement and scalability, supporting future revenue and earnings growth.Article d’analyse • Feb 03
Not Many Are Piling Into Kogan.com Ltd (ASX:KGN) Stock Yet As It Plummets 25%
Kogan.com Ltd ( ASX:KGN ) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month...Article d’analyse • Dec 18
Optimistic Investors Push Kogan.com Ltd (ASX:KGN) Shares Up 26% But Growth Is Lacking
Kogan.com Ltd ( ASX:KGN ) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 26% share price jump in the last month...Article d’analyse • Apr 25
Kogan.com Ltd's (ASX:KGN) 36% Cheaper Price Remains In Tune With Revenues
Kogan.com Ltd ( ASX:KGN ) shares have had a horrible month, losing 36% after a relatively good period beforehand...Article d’analyse • Apr 16
Kogan.com's (ASX:KGN) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business
If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...Article d’analyse • Feb 26
What Kogan.com Ltd's (ASX:KGN) 39% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You
Despite an already strong run, Kogan.com Ltd ( ASX:KGN ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 39% in the last...Article d’analyse • Jan 25
Should You Investigate Kogan.com Ltd (ASX:KGN) At AU$5.44?
Kogan.com Ltd ( ASX:KGN ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a significant share price rise of 27% in...Article d’analyse • Nov 16
Here's Why It's Unlikely That Kogan.com Ltd's (ASX:KGN) CEO Will See A Pay Rise This Year
Key Insights Kogan.com will host its Annual General Meeting on 22nd of November CEO Ruslan Kogan's total compensation...Article d’analyse • Jun 19
Are Investors Undervaluing Kogan.com Ltd (ASX:KGN) By 27%?
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Kogan.com fair value estimate is AU$6.69 Kogan.com's AU$4.91...Article d’analyse • Feb 28
Analysts Have Lowered Expectations For Kogan.com Ltd (ASX:KGN) After Its Latest Results
As you might know, Kogan.com Ltd ( ASX:KGN ) last week released its latest half-year, and things did not turn out so...Article d’analyse • Jan 05
Kogan.com Ltd's (ASX:KGN) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 90% Above Its Share Price
Key Insights Kogan.com's estimated fair value is AU$7.4 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share price...Article d’analyse • Nov 17
It Looks Like Kogan.com Ltd's (ASX:KGN) CEO May Expect Their Salary To Be Put Under The Microscope
The results at Kogan.com Ltd ( ASX:KGN ) have been quite disappointing recently and CEO Ruslan Kogan bears some...Article d’analyse • Oct 31
Analysts Just Shaved Their Kogan.com Ltd (ASX:KGN) Forecasts Dramatically
Today is shaping up negative for Kogan.com Ltd ( ASX:KGN ) shareholders, with the analysts delivering a substantial...Article d’analyse • Feb 26
There Are Reasons To Feel Uneasy About Kogan.com's (ASX:KGN) Returns On Capital
There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Firstly, we'd want to identify a...Article d’analyse • Dec 29
An Intrinsic Calculation For Kogan.com Ltd (ASX:KGN) Suggests It's 49% Undervalued
Today we'll do a simple run through of a valuation method used to estimate the attractiveness of Kogan.com Ltd...Article d’analyse • Oct 13
Is Kogan.com (ASX:KGN) Using Too Much Debt?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Article d’analyse • Sep 23
Kogan.com's (ASX:KGN) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business
What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? In a...Article d’analyse • Aug 08
Is There An Opportunity With Kogan.com Ltd's (ASX:KGN) 28% Undervaluation?
Does the August share price for Kogan.com Ltd ( ASX:KGN ) reflect what it's really worth? Today, we will estimate the...Prévisions de croissance des bénéfices et des revenus
| Date | Recettes | Les revenus | Flux de trésorerie disponible | Cash from Op | Moy. Nombre d'analystes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/30/2028 | 606 | 30 | 38 | 46 | 5 |
| 6/30/2027 | 566 | 24 | 35 | 43 | 5 |
| 6/30/2026 | 520 | 16 | 29 | 36 | 4 |
| 12/31/2025 | 503 | -42 | 34 | 37 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 496 | -41 | 33 | 37 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 488 | -39 | 32 | 37 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 486 | -19 | 25 | 30 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 484 | 2 | 18 | 23 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 472 | 1 | 21 | 26 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 460 | 0 | 23 | 28 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 461 | 3 | 39 | 44 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 462 | 7 | 56 | 61 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 476 | -10 | 61 | 66 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 489 | -26 | 67 | 71 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 532 | -37 | 62 | 66 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 575 | -47 | 57 | 62 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 647 | -41 | 58 | 62 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 719 | -35 | 59 | 62 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 752 | -34 | 39 | 42 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 786 | -32 | 19 | 23 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 784 | -14 | -25 | -20 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 781 | 4 | -68 | -63 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 737 | 23 | -35 | -29 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 692 | 41 | -2 | 5 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 595 | 34 | 18 | 25 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 498 | 27 | 37 | 46 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 462 | 23 | 35 | 42 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 426 | 19 | 33 | 38 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 433 | 18 | N/A | 20 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 439 | 17 | N/A | 2 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 437 | 15 | N/A | 4 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 434 | 13 | N/A | 6 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 423 | 14 | N/A | 17 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 412 | 14 | N/A | 28 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 384 | 12 | N/A | 21 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 355 | 11 | N/A | 14 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 322 | 7 | N/A | 13 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 290 | 4 | N/A | 11 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 270 | 2 | N/A | 6 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 250 | 1 | N/A | 1 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 231 | 1 | N/A | 6 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 211 | 1 | N/A | 11 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 204 | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 197 | -1 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 199 | 0 | N/A | -1 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 200 | 0 | N/A | -6 | N/A |
Prévisions de croissance des analystes
Taux de revenus par rapport au taux d'épargne: KGN devrait devenir rentable au cours des 3 prochaines années, ce qui est considéré comme une croissance plus rapide que le taux d'épargne ( 3.6% ).
Bénéfices vs marché: KGN devrait devenir rentable au cours des 3 prochaines années, ce qui est considéré comme une croissance supérieure à la moyenne du marché.
Croissance élevée des bénéfices: KGN devrait devenir rentable dans les 3 prochaines années.
Chiffre d'affaires vs marché: Le chiffre d'affaires de KGN ( 6.6% par an) devrait croître plus rapidement que le marché Australian ( 6.3% par an).
Croissance élevée des revenus: Le chiffre d'affaires de KGN ( 6.6% par an) devrait croître plus lentement que 20% par an.
Prévisions de croissance du bénéfice par action
Rendement futur des capitaux propres
ROE futur: Le retour sur capitaux propres de KGN devrait être élevé dans 3 ans ( 31 %)
Découvrir les entreprises en croissance
Analyse de l'entreprise et données financières
| Données | Dernière mise à jour (heure UTC) |
|---|---|
| Analyse de l'entreprise | 2026/05/18 18:27 |
| Cours de l'action en fin de journée | 2026/05/18 00:00 |
| Les revenus | 2025/12/31 |
| Revenus annuels | 2025/06/30 |
Sources de données
Les données utilisées dans notre analyse de l'entreprise proviennent de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Les données suivantes sont utilisées dans notre modèle d'analyse pour générer ce rapport. Les données sont normalisées, ce qui peut entraîner un délai avant que la source ne soit disponible.
| Paquet | Données | Cadre temporel | Exemple de source américaine * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finances de l'entreprise | 10 ans |
| |
| Estimations consensuelles des analystes | +3 ans |
|
|
| Prix du marché | 30 ans |
| |
| Propriété | 10 ans |
| |
| Gestion | 10 ans |
| |
| Principaux développements | 10 ans |
|
* Exemple pour les titres américains ; pour les titres non américains, des formulaires réglementaires et des sources équivalentes sont utilisés.
Sauf indication contraire, toutes les données financières sont basées sur une période annuelle mais mises à jour trimestriellement. C'est ce qu'on appelle les données des douze derniers mois (TTM) ou des douze derniers mois (LTM). En savoir plus.
Modèle d'analyse et flocon de neige
Les détails du modèle d’analyse utilisé pour générer ce rapport sont disponibles sur notre page Github; nous proposons également des guides expliquant comment utiliser nos rapports et des tutoriels sur Youtube.
Découvrez l'équipe de classe mondiale qui a conçu et construit le modèle d'analyse Simply Wall St.
Indicateurs de l'industrie et du secteur
Nos indicateurs de secteur et de section sont calculés toutes les 6 heures par Simply Wall St. Les détails de notre processus sont disponibles sur Github.
Sources des analystes
Kogan.com Ltd est couverte par 8 analystes. 5 de ces analystes ont soumis les estimations de revenus ou de bénéfices utilisées comme données d'entrée dans notre rapport. Les soumissions des analystes sont mises à jour tout au long de la journée.
| Analyste | Institution |
|---|---|
| Chamithri Ratnapala | Bell Potter |
| Ivana Ye | BofA Global Research |
| Owen Humphries | Canaccord Genuity |