Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited

Informe acción NYSE:TSM

Capitalización de mercado: US$1.7t

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Crecimiento futuro

Future controles de criterios 5/6

Se prevé un crecimiento anual de los beneficios y los ingresos de Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing de 22.1% y 18.9% por año respectivamente. Se prevé que el BPA crezca en un 24.4% al año. Se espera que la rentabilidad financiera sea de 32% en 3 años.

Información clave

22.1%

Tasa de crecimiento de los beneficios

24.37%

Tasa de crecimiento del BPA

Crecimiento de los beneficios de Semiconductor26.0%
Tasa de crecimiento de los ingresos18.9%
Rentabilidad financiera futura32.01%
Cobertura de analistas

Good

Última actualización30 Apr 2026

Actualizaciones recientes sobre el crecimiento futuro

Recent updates

TSMC: Expect More All-Time Highs Ahead

Apr 30

The Most Wonderful Monopoly in the Most Dangerous Neighbourhood on Earth

Every AI Chip on the Planet Passes Through One Company's Front Door. That Should Terrify You and Excite You in Equal Measure.

TSMC will drive future growth with CoWoS packaging and N2 rollout

Catalysts Are there any products or services that could move sales or earnings meaningfully? The meat moving the needle right now is CoWoS packaging.

The "Geopolitical Discount" vs. The Monopolistic Floor: The Two Narratives of TSM

TSM is a tug-of-war between Monopoly Cash Flows and the Geopolitical Risk Premium. While the market fixates on "transistor density" and fab locations, a 5-year DCF analysis reveals a more grounded reality: TSM is currently the only global entity capable of generating massive Unlevered Free Cash Flow (UFCF) while simultaneously acting as the world’s most critical industrial bottleneck.

TSMC Will Shape the Future of AI with Unmatched Scale and Innovation

Based on TSMC’s record-breaking Q4 2025 results and its bullish 2026 guidance released on January 15, 2026, the following investment thesis and valuation provide a look at why the foundry giant is currently the "linchpin" of the global AI economy. 1.

The silent giant behind virtually every advanced chip powering AI, smartphones, and modern infrastructure.

1. Recent Financial Results & Guidance Q3 2025 (latest quarter) highlights - TSMC delivered a very strong quarter, driven by continued AI / HPC demand: - Net profit: NT$ 452.3 billion (~US$14.8 billion), ~39 % year-over-year growth.

TSMC: Irrational Selloff Is A Gift (Technical Analysis)

Apr 25

TSMC Is A Complete Steal

Apr 18

TSMC Earnings Preview, AI Strength Faces Tariff Headwinds

Apr 12

Taiwan Semiconductor: Be Greedy When Others Are Fearful

Mar 31

TSMC: 2nm Is On Track For Mass Production

Mar 25

Taiwan Semiconductor: Set To Capture Majority Of AI Profits

Mar 16

TSMC Holds All The Cards And Why That Spells Opportunity

Mar 09

TSMC: The Backbone Of The AI Industry Continues To Be Undervalued

Feb 28

Taiwan Semiconductor: Another Buying Opportunity Materializes (Technical Analysis) (Rating Upgrade)

Feb 19

TSMC: AI Foundry Leader For GPUs And ASICs

Feb 11

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing: AI Growth Play At A Reasonable Valuation

Jan 31

Why Taiwan Semiconductor Is A Buy: Capitalizing On AI And HPC Trends

Jan 24

TSMC's Q4 2024 Earnings Outperformance: 3 Reasons To Buy Here

Jan 16

TSMC To Deliver A Robust Quarter

Jan 09

TSMC: Why I Took Profits (Rating Downgrade)

Dec 31

TSMC: Market Outperformance Expected, Driven By N2 Advancements And Strong ASIC Demand

Dec 23

TSMC: A Chinese Invasion Of Taiwan Would Devastate Global Markets And Itself

Dec 02

Taiwan Semiconductor: A Golden Buying Opportunity

Nov 22

Taiwan Semiconductor: Greater Certainty In Stormy AI Race

Nov 11

Taiwan Semiconductor: Don't Discount The Competition

Oct 26

Taiwan Semiconductor Q3 Earnings: 'Demand Right Now Is Insane'

Oct 18

Taiwan Semiconductor: One Of The Best (And Cheapest) AI Plays

Oct 12

TSMC: Still A Long-Term Buy Given Its Technological Leadership And AI Growth Story

Oct 06

TSMC: 2nm Wafers Can Outperform The Already Strong Ramp In 3nm Wafers

Sep 25

Taiwan Semiconductor: Valuation Dips Go Great With Chips

Sep 12

Taiwan Semiconductor: Chip Giant Is Still A Buy Despite Short-Term Risks

Sep 05

Taiwan Semiconductor: Still Buy On AI

Aug 29

TSMC: A Huge Opportunity To Buy The Crown Jewel Of Semiconductors

Aug 07

TSMC: Focus On Fundamentals, Ignore The Noise

Jul 31

TSMC: Buy Status Vs. Rising Geopolitical Risks

Jul 25

3 Key Takeaways From TSMC's Q2 2024 Beat And Raise

Jul 18

TSMC: Taiwan Discount

Jul 11

TSMC: Strategic Alliances Lift Stock To New All-Time Highs

Jul 01

Taiwan Semiconductor: A Sure Bet On AI

Jun 25

TSMC: By Far The Strongest Chip Company

Jun 18

TSMC: One Of The Cheapest Big Tech/AI Stocks

Jun 10

Taiwan Semiconductor Stock: April Sales Soar From Advanced Nodes

Jun 04

TSMC: Derisking China Invasion Threats

May 17

TSMC: Charting A Path To $185

May 08

Third Point - Taiwan Semiconductor: The 'Toll Road' For AI Compute

May 02
User avatar

Narrative update from Goran Damchevski

TSMC reported a Q1 revenue of $18.87B, representing a growth of 12.9% YoY, and a 3.8% decrease in QoQ. The performance was driven by demand for high performance compute (HPC), which was negatively off

Taiwan Semiconductor Stock Is Breaking Out (Technical Analysis)

Apr 17

TSMC: Don't Be Ruined By Over-Optimism (Downgrade)

Apr 09

TSMC: Robust Growth To Continue

Apr 03

Semiconductor Demand will likely persist from the likes of AI, IoT, and 5G

AI Chip Boom: TSMC’s quarterly revenue surged at its fastest pace in over a year, thanks to the global boom in AI development. The demand for high-end chips and servers, particularly those used in AI

Best Chip Stock To Ride The AI Frenzy: Taiwan Semiconductor (SA Quant)

Mar 26

Taiwan Semiconductor: A Long-Term Winner Amidst Short-Term Hype

Mar 15

Taiwan Semiconductor Raising Prices 8.7% In 2024 As Revenue Growth Underperforms Customers

Mar 05
User avatar

Narrative update from Stjepan Kalinic

The company reported strong Q4 earnings in January, beating the upper end of guidance on revenue and operating margin.

Investing In Innovation: Why Taiwan Semiconductor Is A Smart Choice For Long-Term Growth

Feb 21
User avatar

High Growth Opportunities And Categorical Risk Factors Increase The Range Of TSMC’s Valuation

TSMC is the current leader in chip manufacturing, boasting the most advanced technology and a strong customer base

Taiwan Semiconductor: Highly Wanted Advanced Technology

Feb 05

Taiwan Semiconductor: Beijing Is A Threat

Jan 29

Taiwan Semiconductor Is Becoming A Dividend Growth Machine

Jan 23

TSMC: DPP Taiwan Election Win Could Mean Greater Risks For The Stock

Jan 17

TSMC Is Probably The Most Important Company In The World Right Now

Jan 11

TSMC: Major Apple Risk Persists But Stock Still Investible (Rating Upgrade)

Jan 01

TSMC Vs. Intel: Only 1 Can Win

Dec 24

Taiwan Semiconductor: The 800-Pound Chip Gorilla That's An Underappreciated Play On AI

Nov 25

Previsiones de crecimiento de beneficios e ingresos

NYSE:TSM - Estimaciones futuras de los analistas y datos financieros pasados (TWD Millions)
FechaIngresosBeneficiosFlujo de caja libreFlujo de caja operativoNúm. de analistas medio
12/31/20287,947,6223,804,2782,562,4764,903,92921
12/31/20276,495,9073,155,0871,949,2374,082,66737
12/31/20265,154,4722,546,8651,440,1423,233,68837
3/31/20264,103,9031,908,5201,045,8842,348,378N/A
12/31/20253,809,0541,697,604992,4182,274,976N/A
9/30/20253,631,4251,571,931883,5842,169,672N/A
6/30/20253,401,1991,444,887929,3342,134,836N/A
3/31/20253,140,9171,294,459900,8492,015,440N/A
12/31/20242,894,3081,158,380861,3521,826,177N/A
9/30/20242,651,3751,050,542828,6741,600,801N/A
6/30/20242,438,416936,285711,3821,503,454N/A
3/31/20242,245,747870,238457,1381,293,034N/A
12/31/20232,161,736851,740286,6351,241,967N/A
9/30/20232,161,739872,083212,6631,334,020N/A
6/30/20232,228,149941,949290,8701,452,073N/A
3/31/20232,281,448997,177493,9951,623,674N/A
12/31/20222,263,891992,923520,9851,610,599N/A
9/30/20222,076,549882,678511,6991,501,917N/A
6/30/20221,878,076758,070495,1491,407,925N/A
3/31/20221,716,081655,402394,1701,256,515N/A
12/31/20211,587,415592,359263,9241,112,161N/A
9/30/20211,510,759565,933294,262993,092N/A
6/30/20211,452,515546,985256,398864,557N/A
3/31/20211,391,068533,448275,468847,452N/A
12/31/20201,339,255510,744305,885822,666N/A
9/30/20201,294,959499,838164,307766,490N/A
6/30/20201,231,578463,598115,551718,072N/A
3/31/20201,161,878409,54180,383665,498N/A
12/31/20191,069,985353,948N/A615,139N/A
9/30/20191,042,519341,134N/A601,557N/A
6/30/20191,009,821329,136N/A553,886N/A
3/31/20191,002,099334,662N/A565,899N/A
12/31/20181,031,474363,053N/A573,954N/A
9/30/20181,019,274352,320N/A588,708N/A
6/30/20181,011,033353,174N/A611,409N/A
3/31/2018991,611347,154N/A585,036N/A
12/31/2017977,447344,998N/A585,318N/A
9/30/2017962,104341,492N/A566,412N/A
6/30/2017970,403348,326N/A576,038N/A
3/31/2017978,357354,561N/A579,314N/A
12/31/2016947,938331,714N/A539,835N/A
9/30/2016889,230303,161N/A499,287N/A
6/30/2016841,329281,731N/A491,017N/A
3/31/2016824,959288,642N/A495,408N/A
12/31/2015843,497302,851N/A529,879N/A
9/30/2015862,500304,142N/A538,876N/A
6/30/2015859,045305,144N/A511,982N/A

Previsiones de crecimiento futuro de los analistas

Ingresos vs. Tasa de ahorro: El pronóstico de crecimiento de los beneficios (22.1% al año) de TSM es superior a la tasa de ahorro (3.4%).

Beneficios vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los beneficios (22.1% al año) de TSM crezcan más rápidamente que el mercado US (15.8% al año).

Beneficios de alto crecimiento: Se espera que los beneficios de TSM crezcan significativamente en los próximos 3 años.

Ingresos vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los ingresos (18.9% al año) de TSM crezcan más rápidamente que los del mercado US (11.1% al año).

Ingresos de alto crecimiento: Se prevé que los ingresos 18.9% al año) de TSM crezcan más despacio que 20% al año.


Previsiones de crecimiento de los beneficios por acción


Rentabilidad financiera futura

ROE futura: Se prevé que la rentabilidad financiera de TSM sea alta dentro de 3 años (32%)


Descubre empresas en crecimiento

Análisis de la empresa y estado de los datos financieros

DatosÚltima actualización (huso horario UTC)
Análisis de la empresa2026/05/01 11:45
Precio de las acciones al final del día2026/05/01 00:00
Beneficios2026/03/31
Ingresos anuales2025/12/31

Fuentes de datos

Los datos utilizados en nuestro análisis de empresas proceden de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Los siguientes datos se utilizan en nuestro modelo de análisis para generar este informe. Los datos están normalizados, lo que puede introducir un retraso desde que la fuente está disponible.

PaqueteDatosMarco temporalEjemplo Fuente EE.UU. *
Finanzas de la empresa10 años
  • Cuenta de resultados
  • Estado de tesorería
  • Balance
Estimaciones del consenso de analistas+3 años
  • Previsiones financieras
  • Objetivos de precios de los analistas
Precios de mercado30 años
  • Precios de las acciones
  • Dividendos, escisiones y acciones
Propiedad10 años
  • Accionistas principales
  • Información privilegiada
Gestión10 años
  • Equipo directivo
  • Consejo de Administración
Principales avances10 años
  • Anuncios de empresas

* Ejemplo para valores de EE.UU., para no EE.UU. se utilizan formularios y fuentes normativas equivalentes.

A menos que se especifique lo contrario, todos los datos financieros se basan en un periodo anual, pero se actualizan trimestralmente. Esto se conoce como datos de los últimos doce meses (TTM) o de los últimos doce meses (LTM). Más información.

Modelo de análisis y copo de nieve

Los detalles del modelo de análisis utilizado para generar este informe están disponibles en nuestra página de Github, también tenemos guías sobre cómo utilizar nuestros informes y tutoriales en Youtube.

Conozca al equipo de talla mundial que diseñó y construyó el modelo de análisis Simply Wall St.

Métricas industriales y sectoriales

Simply Wall St calcula cada 6 horas nuestras métricas sectoriales y de sección. Los detalles de nuestro proceso están disponibles en Github.

Fuentes analistas

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited está cubierta por 64 analistas. 37 de esos analistas presentaron las estimaciones de ingresos o ganancias utilizadas como datos para nuestro informe. Las estimaciones de los analistas se actualizan a lo largo del día.

AnalistaInstitución
Ge BaiABCI Securities Company Limited
Stefan ChangAletheia Analyst Network Limited
Brett SimpsonArete Research Services LLP