Alcoa Dividendos y recompras
Dividendo controles de criterios 2/6
Alcoa es una empresa que paga dividendos con una rentabilidad actual de 0.83% que está bien cubierta por los beneficios.
Información clave
0.8%
Rentabilidad por dividendo
0.1%
Rendimiento de la recompra
| Rendimiento total para el accionista | 0.9% |
| Rendimiento futuro de los dividendos | 0.9% |
| Crecimiento de los dividendos | 9.5% |
| Próxima fecha de pago de dividendos | n/a |
| Fecha ex dividendo | n/a |
| Dividendo por acción | n/a |
| Ratio de pago | 8% |
Últimas actualizaciones de dividendos y recompras
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • Sep 10
Alcoa: Record Margins Meet Cyclical Realities
Summary Alcoa Corporation (AA) remains a Hold, with a price target 14-15% below current levels due to cyclical risks and earnings pressure. Q2 2026 delivered record revenues and EPS, but missed consensus estimates and highlighted operational divergence between Aluminum and Alumina segments. Upcoming South32 asset acquisition will boost alumina capacity by 53%, but elevated aluminum prices and energy costs threaten future margins and ROIC. Consensus expects FY2027 EPS of $5.80 (8.75x P/E), but mean reversion in aluminum prices and rising power costs could drive further downside. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Actualización de narrativa • Aug 26
AA: New Gallium Project And Supply Headwinds Will Likely Cap Upside
Analysts have reduced their price target for Alcoa to about $49.70 from roughly $53.99. This reflects updated views on softer revenue growth, a higher discount rate and a stronger profit margin outlook that supports a lower future P/E assumption.
Actualización de narrativa • Aug 12
AA: Long Term Outlook Will Benefit From Wharf 17 Expansion Investment
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Alcoa slightly lower from $82.00 to $80.00, citing updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E expectations. What’s in the News for Alcoa Alcoa updated its 2026 operating guidance, with alumina production now projected between 9.5 and 9.6 million metric tons and alumina shipments between 11.5 and 11.6 million metric tons, citing lower output at the Pinjarra refinery due to gas supply disruptions associated with Cyclone Narelle.
Actualización de narrativa • Jul 29
AA: Higher Margin Outlook And Gallium Expansion Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have revised their price target on Alcoa to $62.98 from $82.25 as updated assumptions reflect lower revenue growth expectations, along with a higher discount rate, partially offset by improved profit margin estimates and a reduced future P/E multiple. What's in the News for Alcoa Alcoa and its government partners in Australia, Japan, and the United States approved construction of a new gallium production facility at the Wagerup alumina refinery in Western Australia, creating an additional source of a key material used in semiconductors and defense technologies.Actualización de narrativa • Jul 15
AA: South32 Asset Deal Will Support Stronger Long Term Outlook
Analysts have adjusted their price target for Alcoa from $127.34 to $82.00, reflecting updated assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E. What's in the News Alcoa agreed to acquire South32’s bauxite, alumina, and aluminum assets across Australia, Brazil, and South Africa in a transaction valued at about US$4.1b in upfront cash and stock, plus a potential US$750 million contingent value right, subject to regulatory and shareholder approvals, with closing targeted for the first half of 2027.Actualización de narrativa • Jul 01
AA: Acquisition And Secured Power Supply Will Support Stronger Long Term Outlook
Analysts have raised their price target for Alcoa from $92.00 to $127.34, citing updated assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple. What’s in the News for Alcoa Alcoa agreed to acquire South32’s bauxite mine, alumina refinery, and aluminum smelter interests for about US$4.1b.Actualización de narrativa • Jun 17
AA: Higher Margin Outlook And Aluminum Price Tailwinds Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have raised their Alcoa price target from $73.87 to $82.25, citing updated assumptions on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E. What’s in the News for Alcoa Alcoa shares dropped nearly 10% after the company revised its Q2 outlook, citing a projected US$60 million unfavorable impact in the Alumina segment from higher production costs at the Pinjarra refinery, cyclone related disruptions, and increased energy prices linked to geopolitical tensions near the Strait of Hormuz.Artículo de análisis • Jun 16
Alcoa (AA) Stock Could Be 14.9% Undervalued on Its Decarbonization Growth Narrative
Alcoa (AA) has drawn renewed attention after recent share price moves, with the stock last closing at $62.87. Investors are weighing this level against the company’s current earnings profile, growth metrics, and broader aluminum exposure. See our latest analysis for Alcoa. Recent weakness in Alcoa’s share price, with a 1-day share price return that declined 2.01% and a 7-day share price return that declined 13.18%, sits against a year-to-date share price return of 11.20% and a 1-year total...Actualización de narrativa • Jun 03
AA: Supply Disruptions And Cost Pressures Will Likely Still Fail To Justify Pricing
Analysts have lifted their price target on Alcoa from about $46.37 to roughly $53.99, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and a slightly higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News UBS upgraded Alcoa to Buy and lifted its price target to $80, citing expectations of prolonged aluminum supply disruptions in the Middle East and a projected global supply gap by 2026.Actualización de narrativa • May 13
AA: Production Stability And Higher Margins Will Support Stronger Long Term Outlook
Analysts have raised Alcoa's fair value estimate from $58.00 to $92.00, citing updated assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple as the main factors supporting the higher price target. What's in the News Alcoa reported first quarter 2026 production results, with Bauxite at 9.1 mdmt compared with 9.5 mdmt a year earlier, Alumina at 2,355 kmt in line with the prior year, and Aluminum at 607 kmt compared with 564 kmt a year earlier (Key Developments).Actualización de narrativa • Apr 29
AA: Higher Margin Outlook And Production Plans Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have lifted their price target for Alcoa to $73.87 from $72.48, reflecting updated expectations around potential revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower assumed future P/E multiple. What's in the News Alcoa reported first quarter 2026 production results, with Bauxite output of 9.1 mdmt compared with 9.5 mdmt a year earlier, Alumina production of 2,355 kmt in line with the prior year, and Aluminum production of 607 kmt compared with 564 kmt a year ago (Key Developments).Actualización de narrativa • Apr 15
AA: Updated Output Plans And Margins Will Shape Measured Future Returns
Analysts have revised their price target for Alcoa to approximately $72, up from about $67, citing updated assumptions around fair value, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels as key drivers of the change. What's in the News Alcoa reported fourth quarter 2025 production with Bauxite at 9.4 mdmt versus 9.3 mdmt a year earlier, Alumina at 2,481 kmt versus 2,390 kmt, and Aluminum at 604 kmt versus 571 kmt (Announcement of Operating Results).Actualización de narrativa • Mar 31
AA: Higher Output And Trading Volumes Will Likely Still Fail To Justify Pricing
Analysts now place Alcoa's price target at about $46.37, compared with the prior $38.00. This reflects updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margin, discount rate, and future P/E levels.Actualización de narrativa • Mar 17
AA: Production Plans And Margin Expectations Will Guide Balanced Future Returns
Analysts have adjusted their fair value estimate for Alcoa to $66.92 from $61.42, reflecting updated assumptions on the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E expectations. What's in the News Alcoa issued production guidance for 2026, targeting total Alumina segment production between 9.7 and 9.9 million metric tons, with shipments between 11.8 and 12.0 million metric tons, reflecting the role of trading volumes and externally sourced alumina in meeting customer contracts (company guidance).Actualización de narrativa • Mar 03
AA: Production Guidance And Margin Assumptions Will Shape Balanced Future Returns
Analysts have nudged their Alcoa price target slightly higher to $61.42 from $61.08, reflecting updated assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and a modestly higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Alcoa issued 2026 production guidance for its Alumina segment, with expected production between 9.7 million and 9.9 million metric tons and shipments between 11.8 million and 12.0 million metric tons, reflecting the use of trading volumes and externally sourced alumina to meet customer contracts (Corporate guidance).Actualización de narrativa • Feb 16
AA: Higher Margins And Production Will Still Likely Fail To Justify Pricing
Analysts have raised their price target on Alcoa from $33.00 to $38.00, citing updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth expectations, profit margin outlook, and a revised future P/E multiple. What's in the News Alcoa issued production guidance for 2025 and outlined expectations for 2026, with the Alumina segment projected to produce between 9.7 and 9.9 million metric tons in 2026, and shipments expected between 11.8 and 12.0 million metric tons, reflecting a mix of internal production, trading volumes, and externally sourced alumina to meet customer contracts (company guidance).Actualización de narrativa • Feb 02
AA: Low Carbon Smelting And Margin Assumptions Will Shape Balanced Future Returns
Analysts have raised their price target on Alcoa from US$45.42 to US$61.08. They cite updates in their models that reflect revised assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples.Actualización de narrativa • Jan 19
AA: Future Decarbonization Benefits Will Likely Fail To Justify Current Pricing
Analysts have lifted their price target on Alcoa from US$27.00 to US$33.00, pointing to updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate, and a lower future P/E as key drivers of the change. What's in the News Alcoa, Ball Corporation and Unilever announced the first use of ELYSIS carbon free smelting technology in consumer personal and home care packaging, using aluminum that eliminates direct smelting greenhouse gas emissions and generates oxygen instead of CO2 (Key Developments).Actualización de narrativa • Jan 05
AA: Carbon Free Smelting And Energy Moves Will Support Balanced Long Term Outlook
Analysts have raised their price target on Alcoa from approximately $42 to $58 per share, citing expectations for faster revenue growth, significantly higher profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple. Together, these factors support a meaningfully higher fair value estimate.Artículo de análisis • Dec 30
Alcoa Corporation's (NYSE:AA) Share Price Boosted 29% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too
Despite an already strong run, Alcoa Corporation ( NYSE:AA ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 29% in the...Actualización de narrativa • Dec 20
AA: Low Carbon Smelting Shift Will Likely Pressure Future Returns
Narrative Update on Alcoa Analysts have raised their price target on Alcoa by approximately 10 percent to around 45 dollars per share, citing expectations for modestly stronger revenue growth, materially improved profit margins, and a more attractive forward earnings multiple. What's in the News Alcoa, Ball and Unilever unveiled the first consumer packaging using ELYSIS carbon free smelting technology, combining low carbon primary aluminum with recycled content to create one of the lowest footprint aerosol cans on the market (company announcement).Actualización de narrativa • Dec 06
AA: Low Carbon Initiatives And Portfolio Reshaping Will Define Future Performance
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Alcoa from approximately 39.54 dollars to 41.29 dollars, citing higher long term revenue growth expectations and a richer future earnings multiple, despite a lower projected profit margin and slightly higher discount rate. What's in the News Alcoa, Ball and Unilever unveiled the first consumer packaging using ELYSIS carbon free smelting technology in low carbon aerosol cans ahead of COP30, highlighting a major step toward decarbonized aluminum supply chains (Key Developments).Actualización de narrativa • Nov 22
AA: Measured Shifts in Operations and Partnerships Will Shape Future Performance
Narrative Update on Alcoa: Analyst Price Target Adjustment Analysts have slightly lowered their fair value estimate for Alcoa, revising the price target from $39.63 to $39.54 per share. This change reflects modest adjustments to outlooks on discount rate and growth assumptions.Actualización de narrativa • Nov 05
AA: Future Investments and Facility Upgrades Will Drive Shareholder Value
Analysts have raised their price target for Alcoa slightly. The new target is $39.63, up from $39.21.Actualización de narrativa • Oct 22
Analysts Raise Alcoa Price Target as New Partnerships and Plant Closure Drive Valuation Upward
Alcoa's analyst price target has increased from $36.64 to $39.21. This change reflects improved revenue growth and profit margin projections according to analysts.Actualización de narrativa • Oct 08
Tariff Volatility And Recycled Materials Will Erode Primary Aluminum Margins
Analysts have raised their price target for Alcoa from $34.09 to $36.64. They cite improved forecast profit margins and lower expected future price-to-earnings ratios as key factors in their updated outlook.Actualización de narrativa • Sep 24
Tariff Volatility And Recycled Materials Will Erode Primary Aluminum Margins
Despite a notable downgrade in revenue growth expectations, an improved net profit margin has offset this impact, resulting in a slight increase in Alcoa's analyst price target from $33.55 to $34.09. What's in the News Held Analyst/Investor Day event.
Nueva narrativa • Apr 24
Australia Refinancing And San Ciprián Restart Will Support Stable Operations
Strategic refinancing and joint ventures are expected to enhance cash flow, reduce interest expenses, and stabilize revenue.Seeking Alpha • Apr 18
Alcoa's Q1 2025 Review: Tariff Hurts, But Game Isn't Over
Summary Alcoa's stock is down ~75% from its ATH. Tariff wars and economic uncertainty added fuel to the fire, but Q1 2025 results show strong net income and adjusted EBITDA growth. Despite a 3% QoQ revenue dip, net income more than doubled to $548 million, with adjusted net income beating Street estimates at $568 million. Alcoa refinanced $1 billion in debt, extending maturities and lowering interest expenses, aiming for an adjusted net debt range of $1-1.5 billion. Tariffs on Canadian aluminum imports will significantly impact Alcoa's costs, with a projected unfavorable impact of ~$90 million in Q2 2025. Because current tariffs hinder construction accessibility and will likely be revised (perhaps favorably for Alcoa), the present undervaluation of AA stock provides significant upside potential. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 30
Alcoa And The Aluminum Market: A Point Of Tension And Growth
Summary Alcoa's financial results have been volatile, with losses in 2022-2023 and profits in 2024 due to aluminum price recovery and strategic asset restructuring. The company focuses on high-quality assets, vertical integration, and technological advancements, aiming for efficiency and sustainability without aggressive expansion. Despite positive developments, Alcoa remains vulnerable to raw material price fluctuations and high energy costs, impacting its financial stability. Alcoa shares are fairly valued at $34; I recommend considering a purchase closer to $25, assigning a "Hold" rating due to limited upside. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaEstabilidad y crecimiento de los pagos
Obteniendo datos sobre dividendos
Dividendo estable: Aunque el pago de dividendos se ha mantenido estable, AA lleva pagando dividendos menos de 10 años.
Dividendo creciente: AA sólo ha estado pagando dividendo durante 5 años, y desde entonces los pagos no han aumentado.
Rentabilidad por dividendo vs. Mercado
| Rentabilidad por dividendo de Alcoa vs. Mercado |
|---|
| Segmento | Rentabilidad por dividendo |
|---|---|
| Empresa (AA) | 0.8% |
| Suelo de mercado 25% (US) | 1.4% |
| Techo de mercado 25% (US) | 4.1% |
| Media de la industria (Metals and Mining) | 1.4% |
| Analista de previsiones (AA) (hasta 3 años) | 0.9% |
Dividendo destacado: El dividendo de AA(0.83%) no es notable en comparación con el 25% inferior de pagadores de dividendos del mercado US (1.36%).
Alto dividendo: El (0.83%) del dividendo de AA es bajo en comparación con el 25% de los principales pagadores de dividendos del mercado US (4.11%).
Pago de beneficios a los accionistas
Cobertura de los beneficios: Con su bajo ratio de pago (8.2%), los pagos de dividendos de AA están totalmente cubiertos por los beneficios.
Pago en efectivo a los accionistas
Cobertura de flujo de caja: Con su razonablemente bajo ratio de pago en efectivo (30%), los pagos de dividendos de AA están bien cubiertos por los flujos de caja.
Descubre empresas que pagan buenos dividendos
Análisis de la empresa y estado de los datos financieros
| Datos | Última actualización (huso horario UTC) |
|---|---|
| Análisis de la empresa | 2026/09/13 22:28 |
| Precio de las acciones al final del día | 2026/09/11 00:00 |
| Beneficios | 2026/06/30 |
| Ingresos anuales | 2025/12/31 |
Fuentes de datos
Los datos utilizados en nuestro análisis de empresas proceden de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Los siguientes datos se utilizan en nuestro modelo de análisis para generar este informe. Los datos están normalizados, lo que puede introducir un retraso desde que la fuente está disponible.
| Paquete | Datos | Marco temporal | Ejemplo Fuente EE.UU. * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finanzas de la empresa | 10 años |
| |
| Estimaciones del consenso de analistas | +3 años |
|
|
| Precios de mercado | 30 años |
| |
| Propiedad | 10 años |
| |
| Gestión | 10 años |
| |
| Principales avances | 10 años |
|
* Ejemplo para valores de EE.UU., para no EE.UU. se utilizan formularios y fuentes normativas equivalentes.
A menos que se especifique lo contrario, todos los datos financieros se basan en un periodo anual, pero se actualizan trimestralmente. Esto se conoce como datos de los últimos doce meses (TTM) o de los últimos doce meses (LTM). Más información.
Modelo de análisis y copo de nieve
Los detalles del modelo de análisis utilizado para generar este informe están disponibles en nuestra página de Github, también tenemos guías sobre cómo utilizar nuestros informes y tutoriales en Youtube.
Conozca al que diseñó y construyó el modelo de análisis Simply Wall St.
Métricas industriales y sectoriales
Simply Wall St calcula cada 6 horas nuestras métricas sectoriales y de sección. Los detalles de nuestro proceso están disponibles en Github.
Fuentes analistas
Alcoa Corporation está cubierta por 28 analistas. 11 de esos analistas presentaron las estimaciones de ingresos o ganancias utilizadas como datos para nuestro informe. Las estimaciones de los analistas se actualizan a lo largo del día.
| Analista | Institución |
|---|---|
| David Coleman | Argus Research Company |
| Dale Koenders | Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited |
| Paretosh Misra | Berenberg |