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Alto Ingredients, Inc.Informe acción NasdaqCM:ALTO

Capitalización bursátil US$361.9m
Precio de las acciones
US$4.67
US$6.75
30.8% infravalorado descuento intrínseco
1Y444.4%
7D-4.7%
Valor de la cartera
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Alto Ingredients, Inc.

Informe acción NasdaqCM:ALTO

Capitalización de mercado: US$361.9m

Alto Ingredients (ALTO) Resumen de Acciones

Alto Ingredients, Inc. produce, distribuye y comercializa alcoholes especiales, combustibles renovables e ingredientes esenciales en Estados Unidos. Saber más

Análisis fundamental de ALTO
Puntuación del snowflake
Valoración5/6
Crecimiento futuro3/6
Rendimiento pasado3/6
Salud financiera5/6
Dividendos0/6

ALTO Community Fair Values

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Competidores de Alto Ingredients, Inc.

Historial de precios y rendimiento

Resumen de las cotizaciones máximas, mínimas y variaciones del Alto Ingredients
Precios históricos de las acciones
Precio actual de la acciónUS$4.67
Máximo en las últimas 52 semanasUS$6.00
Mínimo de 52 semanasUS$0.84
Beta0.14
Cambio en 1 mes-5.47%
Variación en 3 meses83.86%
Cambio de 1 año444.35%
Variación en 3 años105.73%
Variación en 5 años-25.99%
Variación desde la OPV-99.54%

Noticias y actualizaciones recientes

Actualización de narrativa May 15

ALTO: Future Returns Will Hinge On MASH Trials And Alcohol Liver Data

Alto Ingredients' analyst price target has been revised higher to $8.00 from $4.50, with analysts citing updated assumptions about the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E to reflect recent research on the company's pipeline and market opportunities. Analyst Commentary While the revised US$8.00 price target reflects updated assumptions about Alto Ingredients' potential, some of the broader Street research on comparable stocks highlights why not all analysts are leaning in aggressively on valuation.

Recent updates

Actualización de narrativa May 15

ALTO: Future Returns Will Hinge On MASH Trials And Alcohol Liver Data

Alto Ingredients' analyst price target has been revised higher to $8.00 from $4.50, with analysts citing updated assumptions about the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E to reflect recent research on the company's pipeline and market opportunities. Analyst Commentary While the revised US$8.00 price target reflects updated assumptions about Alto Ingredients' potential, some of the broader Street research on comparable stocks highlights why not all analysts are leaning in aggressively on valuation.
Actualización de narrativa Apr 23

ALTO: MASH And Alcohol-Related Liver Programs Will Drive Future Upside Potential

Alto Ingredients' analyst fair value estimate has shifted from $4.00 to $6.75 as analysts factor in updated assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, margins, and a higher future P/E in light of recent bullish coverage and revised price targets tied to pemvidutide's MASH and alcohol-related disease programs. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts are focused on pemvidutide as a differentiated asset for MASH and alcohol-related liver disease.
Actualización de narrativa Apr 09

ALTO: Future Returns Will Depend On MASH Trials And Alcohol Liver Data

Analysts have raised Alto Ingredients' price target to $25 from $12, citing pemvidutide's potential in MASH and alcohol-related liver and use disorders as key factors behind the revision. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Alto Ingredients highlights a mixed backdrop, with optimistic views on pemvidutide and the MASH program set against more cautious assessments of risk and valuation.
Actualización de narrativa Mar 26

ALTO: Future Returns Will Hinge On MASH Trials And Funding Discipline

Analysts have raised their average price target for Alto Ingredients to $25 from $12, citing a sharpened focus on the planned MASH pivotal program and added potential value from pemvidutide in alcohol use disorder and alcohol liver disease, along with a solid cash runway and upcoming clinical catalysts. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Altimmune reflects a mix of optimism around the clinical pipeline and caution around execution risks and valuation.
Actualización de narrativa Mar 11

ALTO: Future Returns Will Depend On Execution And Funding Discipline

Analysts have raised their price target on Alto Ingredients to $4.50 from $3.00, citing updated assumptions around fair value, discount rate, expected revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E that they say are more in line with recent Street research on comparable companies. Analyst Commentary While the higher price target reflects updated valuation work, some bearish analysts in the broader small cap space are still emphasizing execution and funding risks that can weigh on sentiment for companies like Alto Ingredients.
Actualización de narrativa Feb 25

ALTO: Future Upside Will Depend On Delivering Consistent Margin Execution

Analysts have adjusted their price target on Alto Ingredients to $3.00, with the neutral fair value and updated assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E reflecting a refined view of the company’s risk and earnings profile following recent supportive research coverage. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Alto Ingredients has focused on reassessing the balance between potential upside and the risks tied to execution, earnings quality, and market conditions.
Actualización de narrativa Feb 11

ALTO: Fair Outlook Will Rely On Sustaining Margins And Execution

Analysts have raised their price target for Alto Ingredients to US$3.00, reflecting updated views that include modestly higher revenue growth, slightly stronger profit margins, a lower discount rate, and a revised future P/E assumption, supported in part by recent bullish Street research. Analyst Commentary While the updated US$3.00 price target points to a more constructive stance overall, some bearish analysts remain cautious and continue to flag risk around how Alto Ingredients can justify this valuation through execution and earnings delivery.
Actualización de narrativa Jan 27

ALTO: Upcoming Liver Meeting Data Will Support Repriced Risk Reward Profile

Analysts recently trimmed their 12 month price target on Alto Ingredients by US$1 to US$14, citing refreshed assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts trimming price targets on comparable small cap names to around US$14, even when maintaining constructive ratings, suggest a tighter margin for error around assumptions such as discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples.
Actualización de narrativa Jan 12

ALTO: Upcoming Late-Stage Liver Data Will Support Repriced Risk Reward Profile

Narrative Update: Alto Ingredients Analyst Price Target Shift Analysts have trimmed their price target on Alto Ingredients by $1 to $14, citing updated risk and growth assumptions after the timing and outlook of recent clinical data were refined. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a more cautious tone, with bearish analysts trimming price targets and rechecking their assumptions on risk and potential upside.
Actualización de narrativa Dec 26

ALTO: Upcoming Late-Stage Data Will Shape Risk Profile Amid Measured Outlook

Analysts have modestly lowered their price target on Alto Ingredients, trimming fair value by $1 to $14 as they factor in slightly softer long term assumptions, while remaining encouraged by upcoming late stage data presentations. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts have pointed to the recent price target reduction to $14 as evidence that expectations for Alto Ingredients' long term growth and profitability are being tempered, even as upcoming late stage data remains a potential catalyst.
Artículo de análisis Dec 22

Alto Ingredients, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ALTO) Shares Leap 41% Yet They're Still Not Telling The Full Story

Alto Ingredients, Inc. ( NASDAQ:ALTO ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 41% gain in the last month...
Actualización de narrativa Dec 12

ALTO: Lower Discount Rate Will Support Improved Risk Profile Ahead

Analysts have raised their price target on Alto Ingredients by about $0.50, citing a lower perceived risk profile driven by a reduced discount rate, stronger expected revenue growth, and a modest improvement in projected profit margins and future valuation multiples. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts remain cautious on Alto Ingredients despite the recent upward revision to the price target, emphasizing that the new target still embeds a meaningful discount to peers on key growth and profitability metrics.
Artículo de análisis Nov 07

Alto Ingredients, Inc. (NASDAQ:ALTO) Shares Fly 28% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth

Alto Ingredients, Inc. ( NASDAQ:ALTO ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 28% gain in the last month...
Artículo de análisis Jul 04

Alto Ingredients, Inc. (NASDAQ:ALTO) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 31%

Alto Ingredients, Inc. ( NASDAQ:ALTO ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 31% gain in the last month...
User avatar
Nueva narrativa May 04

CO2 Plant Integration Will Boost Production And Exports

Acquisition and integration of the CO2 processing plant are expected to improve financials through cost synergies, increased capacity, and enhanced revenue streams.
Artículo de análisis Apr 22

Health Check: How Prudently Does Alto Ingredients (NASDAQ:ALTO) Use Debt?

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
Artículo de análisis Nov 12

Alto Ingredients (NASDAQ:ALTO) Is Making Moderate Use Of Debt

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...
Artículo de análisis Jul 17

Alto Ingredients, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ALTO) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 26%

Alto Ingredients, Inc. ( NASDAQ:ALTO ) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 26% in...
Artículo de análisis Jun 28

Would Alto Ingredients (NASDAQ:ALTO) Be Better Off With Less Debt?

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
Artículo de análisis Jan 15

Here's Why Alto Ingredients (NASDAQ:ALTO) Can Afford Some Debt

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's...
Artículo de análisis Dec 20

Alto Ingredients, Inc. (NASDAQ:ALTO) Surges 25% Yet Its Low P/S Is No Reason For Excitement

Those holding Alto Ingredients, Inc. ( NASDAQ:ALTO ) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 25% in...
Artículo de análisis Sep 15

Is Alto Ingredients (NASDAQ:ALTO) A Risky Investment?

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
Artículo de análisis Apr 10

We Think Alto Ingredients (NASDAQ:ALTO) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company...
Artículo de análisis Dec 16

Is Alto Ingredients (NASDAQ:ALTO) A Risky Investment?

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...
Seeking Alpha Oct 19

Alto Ingredients: The Decline Has Created A Buying Opportunity

Summary Alto Ingredients has experienced some downward pressure over the past few months, even in spite of growing revenue and profits. Some of the bottom-line figures are deceptive given the role that a grant played in the matter, but the overall picture is still improving. Risk appears fairly low and shares look attractively priced right now. Just because an investment didn't offer attractive prospects at one point in time doesn't mean that the picture can't change for the better. As strong performance continues to be demonstrated and as shares of a company decline in price, the attractiveness of the firm in question can become more appealing, eventually reaching the point that assigning it a ‘buy’ rating just makes sense. One example of this can be seen by looking at Alto Ingredients (ALTO), a firm that produces and markets specialty alcohols and other essential ingredients for its customers. Recently, shares of the company have fallen even as fundamental performance remains strong. In addition to shares getting cheaper, the company continues to have cash in excess of debt totaling $22.2 million, leaving it with a good amount of wiggle room should market conditions worsen. Long term, investors should still expect significant volatility from a fundamental perspective. But given where shares are priced today, I do feel comfortable increasing my rating on the firm from a ‘hold’ to a ‘buy’, reflecting my opinion that the company’s stock should outperform the broader market for the foreseeable future. Robust strength changed my opinion Back in July of this year, I wrote an article that looked upon Alto Ingredients in a very neutral way. In truth, I was turned off by the volatility the company had seen in prior years, especially when it came to profitability. Having said that, profits in 2020 and 2021 proved to be rather robust for the company thanks to the change in market conditions. These changes, combined with a refusal by the market to push shares higher, leads into the stock looking rather cheap. But I still couldn't get over the company's business model and volatility as risk factors, ultimately resulting in a ‘hold’ rating for the business. Since then, shares of the firm have performed slightly better than I would have anticipated. While the S&P 500 has dropped by 12.9%, Alto Ingredients has seen a drop of 9.8%. Author - SEC EDGAR Data This return disparity is not necessarily large enough to be anything more than statistical noise. Having said that, it is also true that the company has continued to generate strong fundamental growth during this window of time. To see what I mean, we need only look at results covering the second quarter of the company's 2022 fiscal year. This is the only quarter for which data is now available that was not available when I last wrote about it. During that quarter, revenue came in at $362.2 million. That's 21.5% higher than the $298.1 million generated the same quarter only one year earlier. Total gallons of specialty alcohols the company sold actually dropped, declining from 125 million to 107.1 million. However, the firm did benefit from an increase in average pricing per gallon from $2.41 to $2.84. This drop in gallons sold was largely driven by a reduction in 3rd party gallons as the company continued to focus on the marketing and sales efforts associated with its own core production assets. The company also saw a more than doubling of sales of alcohol from its other production segment, driven by a rise in gallons sold of 14.4 million. This represents a 176% rise year over year. That unit also benefited from a $0.27 per gallon increase year over year. Meanwhile, essential ingredients revenue jumped by 221% to $23.4 million, driven by a 140% rise in volume and a 34% increase in average sales price per ton. Author - SEC EDGAR Data Clearly, the company's growth initiatives, particularly with regard to its emphasis on its own core production and to expanding into the specialty alcohols and essential ingredients spaces have proven to be beneficial for shareholders. The end result has also been an improvement in profitability. Net income in the second quarter of this year totaled $22.1 million. That's significantly higher than the $8.4 million reported one year earlier. Operating cash flow rose from $8.5 million to $9.6 million. But if we adjust for changes in working capital, the picture would have been even better, with the metric growing from $24.2 million to $38.4 million. Meanwhile, EBITDA also improved, rising from $17 million to $29.9 million. It is worth mentioning that profitability for the company was somewhat skewed. Although revenue has been rising, the firm benefited to the tune of $22.7 million from a grant associated with the USDA. Without that, operating income would have actually declined from $6.1 million in the second quarter of 2021 to negative $0.15 million the same time this year. It is worth mentioning that total results for the first half of the year did also come in stronger than what the company achieved in the first half of 2021. This much can be seen in the chart above. Author - SEC EDGAR Data Unfortunately, we don't really know what to expect for the rest of the current fiscal year. Given the one-time nature of the grant I mentioned, it's difficult to know what the organic potential the firm is. So instead of projecting out what results might look like for the rest of the year, I decided to price the company using data from 2021. Using this approach, the firm is trading at a price to adjusted operating cash flow multiple of 6.9 and at an EV to EBITDA multiple of 3.4. As part of my analysis, I compared the company to two other firms that are somewhat similar in nature. On a price to operating cash flow basis, these companies traded at multiples of 1.5 and 15.3. And using the EV to EBITDA approach, the multiples were 0.6 and 6.3. In both cases, our prospect was in the middle of the two.
Seeking Alpha Sep 12

Alto Ingredients gains on announcing $50M share repurchase program

Alto Ingredients (NASDAQ:ALTO) climbs on 4.76% premarket on authorizing share repurchase program for up to $ 50M of its common stock with an initial purchase authorization of $10M. “Given our positive long-term outlook, we believe our shares are currently undervalued. Based on the strength of our balance sheet, an opportunity exists to create value for our stockholders by repurchasing stock while we continue to upgrade our equipment and operating systems to increase efficiency and plant reliability, expand our corn storage capacity, enhance our specialty alcohol production, broaden our distribution, and reinvest in essential ingredients capabilities,” said Michael Kandris, CEO of Alto Ingredients.
Artículo de análisis Aug 31

Alto Ingredients (NASDAQ:ALTO) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...

Rentabilidad de los accionistas

ALTOUS ChemicalsMercado US
7D-4.7%-1.7%-0.3%
1Y444.4%7.0%24.1%

Rentabilidad vs. Industria: ALTO superó a la industria US Chemicals, que obtuvo un rendimiento del 7% el año pasado.

Rentabilidad vs. Mercado: ALTO superó al mercado US, que obtuvo un rendimiento del 24.1% el año pasado.

Volatilidad de los precios

Is ALTO's price volatile compared to industry and market?
ALTO volatility
ALTO Average Weekly Movement19.0%
Chemicals Industry Average Movement7.4%
Market Average Movement7.2%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.2%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.2%

Precio estable de las acciones: El precio de las acciones de ALTO ha sido volátil durante los últimos 3 meses en comparación con el mercado US.

Volatilidad a lo largo del tiempo: La volatilidad semanal de ALTO ha aumentado de 14% a 19% en el último año.

Acerca de la empresa

FundadaEmpleadosCEOPágina web
2003390Bryon McGregorwww.altoingredients.com

Alto Ingredients, Inc. produce, distribuye y comercializa alcoholes especiales, combustibles renovables e ingredientes esenciales en Estados Unidos. La empresa opera en tres segmentos: Marketing y Distribución, Producción en el Campus de Pekín y Producción en el Oeste. Ofrece alcoholes especiales utilizados en enjuagues bucales, cosméticos, productos farmacéuticos, desinfectantes de manos, desinfectantes y limpiadores para los mercados de la salud, el hogar y la belleza; alcoholes neutros de grano utilizados en bebidas alcohólicas y vinagre, así como germen de maíz utilizado en aceites de maíz en los mercados de alimentación y bebidas; alcoholes y otros productos para aplicaciones de pintura y fertilizantes en los mercados industrial y agrícola; e ingredientes esenciales, como levadura seca, harina proteica de maíz, piensos proteicos de maíz, germen de maíz, granos de destilería y piensos líquidos para aplicaciones comerciales de alimentación animal y de mascotas, así como levadura y CO2 líquido gaseoso para consumo humano.

Resumen de fundamentos de Alto Ingredients, Inc.

¿Cómo se comparan los beneficios e ingresos de Alto Ingredients con su capitalización de mercado?
Estadísticas fundamentales de ALTO
Capitalización bursátilUS$361.86m
Beneficios(TTM)US$28.02m
Ingresos (TTM)US$916.07m
12.9x
Ratio precio-beneficio (PE)
0.4x
Ratio precio-ventas (PS)

Beneficios e Ingresos

Estadísticas clave de rentabilidad del último informe de resultados (TTM)
Cuenta de resultados (TTM) de ALTO
IngresosUS$916.07m
Coste de los ingresosUS$870.13m
Beneficio brutoUS$45.94m
Otros gastosUS$17.92m
BeneficiosUS$28.02m

Últimos beneficios comunicados

Mar 31, 2026

Próxima fecha de beneficios

n/a

Beneficios por acción (BPA)0.36
Margen bruto5.01%
Margen de beneficio neto3.06%
Ratio deuda/patrimonio29.2%

¿Cómo se ha desempeñado ALTO a largo plazo?

Ver rendimiento histórico y comparativa

Análisis de la empresa y estado de los datos financieros

DatosÚltima actualización (huso horario UTC)
Análisis de la empresa2026/05/18 20:04
Precio de las acciones al final del día2026/05/15 00:00
Beneficios2026/03/31
Ingresos anuales2025/12/31

Fuentes de datos

Los datos utilizados en nuestro análisis de empresas proceden de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Los siguientes datos se utilizan en nuestro modelo de análisis para generar este informe. Los datos están normalizados, lo que puede introducir un retraso desde que la fuente está disponible.

PaqueteDatosMarco temporalEjemplo Fuente EE.UU. *
Finanzas de la empresa10 años
  • Cuenta de resultados
  • Estado de tesorería
  • Balance
Estimaciones del consenso de analistas+3 años
  • Previsiones financieras
  • Objetivos de precios de los analistas
Precios de mercado30 años
  • Precios de las acciones
  • Dividendos, escisiones y acciones
Propiedad10 años
  • Accionistas principales
  • Información privilegiada
Gestión10 años
  • Equipo directivo
  • Consejo de Administración
Principales avances10 años
  • Anuncios de empresas

* Ejemplo para valores de EE.UU., para no EE.UU. se utilizan formularios y fuentes normativas equivalentes.

A menos que se especifique lo contrario, todos los datos financieros se basan en un periodo anual, pero se actualizan trimestralmente. Esto se conoce como datos de los últimos doce meses (TTM) o de los últimos doce meses (LTM). Más información.

Modelo de análisis y copo de nieve

Los detalles del modelo de análisis utilizado para generar este informe están disponibles en nuestra página de Github, también tenemos guías sobre cómo utilizar nuestros informes y tutoriales en Youtube.

Conozca al equipo de talla mundial que diseñó y construyó el modelo de análisis Simply Wall St.

Métricas industriales y sectoriales

Simply Wall St calcula cada 6 horas nuestras métricas sectoriales y de sección. Los detalles de nuestro proceso están disponibles en Github.

Fuentes analistas

Alto Ingredients, Inc. está cubierta por 9 analistas. 2 de esos analistas presentaron las estimaciones de ingresos o ganancias utilizadas como datos para nuestro informe. Las estimaciones de los analistas se actualizan a lo largo del día.

AnalistaInstitución
Carter DriscollB. Riley Securities, Inc.
Hamed KhorsandBWS Financial Inc.
Eric StineCraig-Hallum Capital Group LLC