Carlyle Group Crecimiento futuro
Future controles de criterios 4/6
Se prevé un crecimiento anual de los beneficios y los ingresos de Carlyle Group de 13.7% y 22% por año respectivamente. Se prevé que el BPA crezca en un 19.8% al año. Se espera que la rentabilidad financiera sea de 22.4% en 3 años.
Información clave
13.7%
Tasa de crecimiento de los beneficios
19.78%
Tasa de crecimiento del BPA
| Crecimiento de los beneficios de Capital Markets | 11.7% |
| Tasa de crecimiento de los ingresos | 22.0% |
| Rentabilidad financiera futura | 22.42% |
| Cobertura de analistas | Good |
| Última actualización | 12 May 2026 |
Actualizaciones recientes sobre el crecimiento futuro
Recent updates
Artículo de análisis • May 20
Analysts Are More Bearish On The Carlyle Group Inc. (NASDAQ:CG) Than They Used To Be
One thing we could say about the analysts on The Carlyle Group Inc. ( NASDAQ:CG ) - they aren't optimistic, having just...
Actualización de narrativa • May 06
CG: Expanded Partnerships And Data Center Projects Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed their price target for Carlyle Group to about $61.81 from $66.94, citing revised assumptions for fair value, revenue growth, profit margins and a slightly higher future P/E multiple as the key drivers of the update. What's in the News Carlyle and SEI announced an expanded partnership aimed at widening access to institutional private market capabilities across wealth and retirement channels, including potential new collaborative solutions and model portfolios for private market exposure (Key Developments).
Actualización de narrativa • Apr 20
CG: Data Center Projects And Buybacks Will Support A Balanced Outlook
Analysts now set a lower price target for Carlyle Group at $48.00, down from about $55.27, citing updated assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. What's in the News US Army selects Carlyle and KKR to build two data centres on military bases, each estimated to cost about US$2b, with long term leases and capacity partly reserved for Army use.
Actualización de narrativa • Apr 06
CG: Future Data Centre Projects And Buybacks Will Support Upside Potential
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Carlyle Group from $75.00 to $81.00. They cited updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and the future P/E ratio as the key drivers behind the higher price target.Actualización de narrativa • Mar 23
CG: Ongoing Buybacks And Selective Dealmaking Will Support Future Upside
The analyst price target for Carlyle Group has shifted modestly to $66.94 from $66.27, as analysts factor in updated assumptions that include a slightly different discount rate, adjusted revenue growth expectations, a marginally higher profit margin, and a small change in the future P/E input. What's in the News Carlyle Group announced a share repurchase program that allows the company to buy back up to US$2.0b of its common shares, signaling an ongoing focus on returning capital to shareholders (Buyback Transaction Announcements).Actualización de narrativa • Mar 09
CG: Buybacks And Potential Sports Deal Will Support Bullish Outlook
Analysts have adjusted their price target for Carlyle Group to $55.27 from $53.95, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E expectations. What's in the News Carlyle Group announced a share repurchase program authorizing buybacks of up to US$2.0b of its common shares.Actualización de narrativa • Feb 22
CG: Future Sports And Healthtech Deals Will Test Fairly Priced Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their price target for Carlyle Group to $53.95 from $54.60, reflecting updated assumptions around higher expected revenue growth, slightly lower profit margins, a marginally higher discount rate, and a modestly lower future P/E multiple. What's in the News Carlyle is among private equity firms evaluating the acquisition of EQT Partners' 40% stake in healthtech firm CitiusTech in a potential deal likely around US$1b, with JP Morgan running the sale process and no bids placed yet (Key Developments).Actualización de narrativa • Feb 08
CG: Future Sports And Energy Deals Will Test Fairly Priced Outlook
Analysts have raised their price target on Carlyle Group to US$54.60 from US$53.74, reflecting updated assumptions that include a lower discount rate, a revised revenue growth outlook, a higher projected profit margin, and a slightly adjusted future P/E multiple. What's in the News Carlyle is reported to be evaluating non binding bids for a potential stake in Indian Premier League team Royal Challengers Bengaluru, alongside other global buyout firms and large investors, in a process that could value the franchise between US$1.4b and US$1.8b (media reports).Actualización de narrativa • Jan 24
CG: Future Sanctioned Asset Pursuit Will Undermine Already Stretched Pricing
Analysts have nudged their price target for Carlyle Group slightly higher to about US$53.74 from roughly US$53.00, citing modest adjustments in assumed revenue growth, profit margin, discount rate and future P/E as the drivers behind the change. What's in the News Global private equity firms, including The Carlyle Group Inc., are evaluating non binding bids for a stake in Indian Premier League team Royal Challengers Bengaluru, with reported potential valuation in the US$1.4b to US$1.8b range (M&A Rumors and Discussions).Actualización de narrativa • Jan 10
CG: Future Sanctioned Asset Pursuit Will Undermine Already Stretched Pricing
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Carlyle Group from $56.00 to $53.00, citing updated assumptions that include a higher discount rate, a change from a 2.59% revenue contraction to 24.74% growth, a profit margin increase from 31.92% to 36.02%, and a lower future P/E expectation from 16.76 to 11.09. What's in the News Carlyle is reported to be interested in the foreign assets of PJSC LUKOIL, a Russian oil company under U.S. sanctions, and is considering seeking a U.S. licence to talk about a potential deal, with no due diligence conducted so far and no assurance the discussions will move ahead (Financial Times via SeeNews).Seeking Alpha • Jan 10
Carlyle Group: The Underlying Thesis For Investment Management Underperformance In 2026E
Summary Carlyle Group is rated 'HOLD' due to overvaluation and sector headwinds, with a price target of $48/share. PE industry challenges—slower exits, higher debt costs, and extended holding periods—undermine CG's business model and near-term outlook. Recent 3Q25 results missed forecasts, confirming volatility and forecast inaccuracy, with YoY sales down over 12% and a 20.7% miss. Even bullish scenarios yield sub-12% annualized returns; risk/reward is unattractive versus other sectors, despite CG's quality and dividend. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaActualización de narrativa • Dec 26
CG: Overseas Energy Bid And Ongoing Buybacks Will Shape Measured Outlook
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Carlyle Group by approximately 1 percent to reflect a higher estimated fair value of around 66 dollars, supported by expectations for stronger profit margins and a lower future price to earnings multiple. What's in the News Carlyle Group is exploring a potential bid for the foreign assets of sanctioned Russian oil company Lukoil and may seek a U.S. licence to hold negotiations, although no due diligence has been conducted and the firm may decide not to proceed (Financial Times via SeeNews) Several competing bidders are reportedly targeting different parts of Lukoil's international business, which Carlyle is assessing as part of a broader sale process triggered by recent U.S. sanctions on Lukoil (SeeNews) From July 1, 2025 to September 30, 2025, Carlyle repurchased about 1.57 million shares for 100 million dollars, representing 0.44 percent of shares outstanding (company buyback update) Since launching its buyback program on October 28, 2021, Carlyle has repurchased approximately 24.65 million shares, or 6.85 percent of its share base, for a total of about 1.01 billion dollars (company buyback update) Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate has risen slightly to approximately 66 dollars from about 65.7 dollars.Actualización de narrativa • Dec 12
CG: Global Asset Deals And Completed Buybacks Will Shape Balanced Outlook
The analyst price target for Carlyle Group has inched higher to approximately 65.73 dollars from 65 dollars, as analysts modestly refine their models to reflect slightly lower perceived risk, resilient top line expansion, and a marginally stronger long term profitability profile. What's in the News Carlyle is exploring a potential bid for the foreign assets of sanctioned Russian oil company Lukoil and may seek a U.S. licence to negotiate.Actualización de narrativa • Nov 28
CG: Buybacks And Global Deal Pursuits Will Drive Momentum Ahead
Analysts have slightly reduced their price target for the Carlyle Group from $65.56 to $65.00. They cite modest adjustments in profit margin and discount rate estimates, even though they expect slightly higher revenue growth.Actualización de narrativa • Nov 14
CG: Increased Private Equity Interest Will Drive Momentum In Precision Engineering
Analysts have revised their fair value target for Carlyle Group from $69.25 to $65.56. They cite shifts in revenue growth expectations and profit margin forecasts as the primary drivers behind the adjustment.Actualización de narrativa • Oct 31
CG: Minority Stake Deal And Buybacks Will Drive Value Creation
Analysts have slightly raised their price target for Carlyle Group from $69.06 to $69.25, citing minor improvements in estimated revenue growth and projected profits. What's in the News Carlyle Group is reportedly among private equity firms in discussions to acquire a minority stake in Nash Industries, an auto components maker in Bengaluru, as part of its first institutional fundraising round (Key Developments).Actualización de narrativa • Oct 16
Global Partnerships And Geographic Expansion Will Unlock Value
Analysts have raised their price target for Carlyle Group from $68.08 to $69.06 per share. They cited improved revenue growth expectations and a modest reduction in implied risk, even as profit margin forecasts were slightly lowered.Actualización de narrativa • Aug 08
Global Partnerships And Geographic Expansion Will Unlock Value
Despite a significant downgrade in revenue growth forecasts and a slight increase in future P/E, Carlyle Group's consensus analyst price target has been raised from $61.70 to $65.88. What's in the News John C.Artículo de análisis • Jul 15
Revenues Not Telling The Story For The Carlyle Group Inc. (NASDAQ:CG) After Shares Rise 28%
Despite an already strong run, The Carlyle Group Inc. ( NASDAQ:CG ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 28% in...Previsiones de crecimiento de beneficios e ingresos
| Fecha | Ingresos | Beneficios | Flujo de caja libre | Flujo de caja operativo | Núm. de analistas medio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 5,598 | 1,915 | 1,892 | 2,011 | 1 |
| 12/31/2027 | 5,043 | 1,840 | 1,986 | 2,095 | 6 |
| 12/31/2026 | 3,791 | 1,603 | 1,535 | 1,631 | 5 |
| 3/31/2026 | 3,249 | 547 | -4,277 | -4,166 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 4,032 | 809 | -3,375 | -3,275 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 3,208 | 662 | -2,517 | -2,433 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 5,526 | 1,256 | -162 | -82 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 5,039 | 1,085 | -1,263 | -1,183 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 4,740 | 1,020 | -837 | -759 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 4,637 | 118 | -221 | -153 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 2,776 | -397 | -211 | -145 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 2,218 | -643 | 321 | 389 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 2,421 | -608 | 138 | 205 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 2,264 | 211 | -235 | -170 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 2,689 | 410 | -725 | -670 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 3,341 | 754 | -161 | -120 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 4,117 | 1,225 | -1,038 | -379 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 5,417 | 1,745 | -428 | 230 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 5,977 | 1,997 | -22 | 637 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 7,630 | 2,677 | 687 | 1,350 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 8,490 | 2,975 | 1,750 | 1,791 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 8,025 | 2,846 | 1,193 | 1,244 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 7,433 | 2,609 | 448 | 503 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 5,864 | 1,830 | 89 | 146 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 2,677 | 348 | -230 | -169 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 1,630 | -179 | -724 | -676 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 1,370 | -406 | -15 | 13 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 1,319 | -404 | -262 | -228 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 3,163 | 345 | N/A | 359 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 2,847 | 338 | N/A | 486 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 2,745 | 281 | N/A | 464 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 2,561 | 196 | N/A | 20 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 2,180 | 93 | N/A | -343 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 3,229 | 162 | N/A | -484 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 3,138 | 195 | N/A | -918 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 3,103 | 189 | N/A | -545 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 3,276 | 238 | N/A | -7 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 2,883 | 176 | N/A | 144 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 2,839 | 133 | N/A | 467 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 2,552 | 81 | N/A | 195 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 2,033 | 6 | N/A | -301 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 1,944 | 11 | N/A | -412 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 1,426 | -73 | N/A | 212 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 1,415 | -49 | N/A | 2,448 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 1,868 | -18 | N/A | 3,903 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 1,962 | 2 | N/A | 4,572 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 2,465 | 111 | N/A | 3,865 | N/A |
Previsiones de crecimiento futuro de los analistas
Ingresos vs. Tasa de ahorro: El pronóstico de crecimiento de los beneficios (13.7% al año) de CG es superior a la tasa de ahorro (3.5%).
Beneficios vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los beneficios (13.7% al año) de CG crezcan menos que el mercado US (16.8% al año).
Beneficios de alto crecimiento: Se prevé que los beneficios de CG crezcan, pero no significativamente.
Ingresos vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los ingresos (22% al año) de CG crezcan más rápidamente que los del mercado US (11.6% al año).
Ingresos de alto crecimiento: Se prevé que los ingresos (22% al año) de CG crezcan más rápidamente que un 20% al año.
Previsiones de crecimiento de los beneficios por acción
Rentabilidad financiera futura
ROE futura: Se prevé que la rentabilidad financiera de CG sea alta dentro de 3 años (22.4%)
Descubre empresas en crecimiento
Análisis de la empresa y estado de los datos financieros
| Datos | Última actualización (huso horario UTC) |
|---|---|
| Análisis de la empresa | 2026/05/20 09:19 |
| Precio de las acciones al final del día | 2026/05/20 00:00 |
| Beneficios | 2026/03/31 |
| Ingresos anuales | 2025/12/31 |
Fuentes de datos
Los datos utilizados en nuestro análisis de empresas proceden de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Los siguientes datos se utilizan en nuestro modelo de análisis para generar este informe. Los datos están normalizados, lo que puede introducir un retraso desde que la fuente está disponible.
| Paquete | Datos | Marco temporal | Ejemplo Fuente EE.UU. * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finanzas de la empresa | 10 años |
| |
| Estimaciones del consenso de analistas | +3 años |
|
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| Precios de mercado | 30 años |
| |
| Propiedad | 10 años |
| |
| Gestión | 10 años |
| |
| Principales avances | 10 años |
|
* Ejemplo para valores de EE.UU., para no EE.UU. se utilizan formularios y fuentes normativas equivalentes.
A menos que se especifique lo contrario, todos los datos financieros se basan en un periodo anual, pero se actualizan trimestralmente. Esto se conoce como datos de los últimos doce meses (TTM) o de los últimos doce meses (LTM). Más información.
Modelo de análisis y copo de nieve
Los detalles del modelo de análisis utilizado para generar este informe están disponibles en nuestra página de Github, también tenemos guías sobre cómo utilizar nuestros informes y tutoriales en Youtube.
Conozca al equipo de talla mundial que diseñó y construyó el modelo de análisis Simply Wall St.
Métricas industriales y sectoriales
Simply Wall St calcula cada 6 horas nuestras métricas sectoriales y de sección. Los detalles de nuestro proceso están disponibles en Github.
Fuentes analistas
The Carlyle Group Inc. está cubierta por 26 analistas. 11 de esos analistas presentaron las estimaciones de ingresos o ganancias utilizadas como datos para nuestro informe. Las estimaciones de los analistas se actualizan a lo largo del día.
| Analista | Institución |
|---|---|
| Roger Freeman | Barclays |
| Benjamin Budish | Barclays |
| Brennan Hawken | BMO Capital Markets Equity Research |