FirstGroup Crecimiento futuro
Future controles de criterios 0/6
Se prevé que los ingresos y los beneficios de FirstGroup disminuyan a un ritmo anual de 27.4% y 3.2% respectivamente. Se espera que el BPA disminuya en un 1.9% al año. Se prevé que la rentabilidad financiera sea de 14% en 3 años.
Información clave
-3.2%
Tasa de crecimiento de los beneficios
-1.91%
Tasa de crecimiento del BPA
| Crecimiento de los beneficios de Transportation | 10.4% |
| Tasa de crecimiento de los ingresos | -27.4% |
| Rentabilidad financiera futura | 13.96% |
| Cobertura de analistas | Low |
| Última actualización | 20 May 2026 |
Actualizaciones recientes sobre el crecimiento futuro
Recent updates
Actualización de narrativa • Jun 04
FGP: Higher Future P/E And Lower Discount Rate Will Support Upside
Analysts have slightly raised their price target on FirstGroup to £2.50, citing modest adjustments to the discount rate, revenue expectations, profit margin assumptions, and a higher future P/E multiple as the key drivers behind the change. What's in the News Analysts adjust the price target for FirstGroup to £2.50, reflecting updated views on the discount rate, revenue expectations, profit margin assumptions, and the future P/E multiple.Actualización de narrativa • May 10
FGP: Stable Margins And Higher Future P/E Will Support Upside
Analysts have adjusted their price target on FirstGroup, with the latest fair value estimate holding at £2.50. Updated assumptions on the discount rate and future P/E have contributed to a more refined view of the stock.Actualización de narrativa • Apr 24
FGP: Stable Margins And Higher Future P/E Will Support Upside
Analysts have reduced their price target on FirstGroup to £2.50 per share, citing only minor adjustments to the discount rate, revenue expectations, profit margins and future P/E assumptions, rather than any major shift in the investment case. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Fair value per share is held at £2.50, with no change to the central estimate.Actualización de narrativa • Apr 10
FGP: Stronger Margin Outlook And Steady P/E Will Support Upside
Analysts have trimmed their price target on FirstGroup slightly, citing marginally higher discount rate assumptions, a small extra revenue decline and a modestly stronger profit margin outlook, which leaves their overall fair value estimate at £2.50 per share. Valuation Changes Fair Value: £2.50 per share is unchanged in the updated assessment.Actualización de narrativa • Mar 26
FGP: Higher Future P/E Assumptions Will Support Upside Potential
Analysts have trimmed their price target on FirstGroup by £0.01, reflecting slightly lower fair value and profit margin assumptions, alongside a modestly higher discount rate and future P/E multiple in their models. Valuation Changes Fair value has been reduced slightly from £2.51 to £2.50 per share.Actualización de narrativa • Mar 12
FGP: Stable Assumptions And Earnings Multiple Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their price target on FirstGroup to £2.51, with the small adjustment reflecting steady assumptions on fair value, discount rate, revenue trends, profit margins and future P/E. Together, these factors support a broadly unchanged view of the shares.Actualización de narrativa • Feb 26
FGP: New Overground Contract Will Drive Future Returns
Analysts have kept their £2.51 price target for FirstGroup broadly steady, citing only minor tweaks to assumptions such as a slightly higher discount rate and modestly adjusted revenue growth, profit margin and forward P/E inputs. What's in the News FirstGroup agreed to acquire the UK sightseeing bus operations of RATP Développement for about £17 million.Actualización de narrativa • Feb 11
FGP: New Overground Contract And Dividend Policy Will Support Future Returns
Analysts have kept their fair value view broadly unchanged for FirstGroup, with only small adjustments to inputs such as the discount rate, revenue expectations, profit margin and future P/E. This has led to a marginal tweak in their £ price target rather than a significant reset of their outlook.Actualización de narrativa • Jan 27
FGP: New Overground Win And Dividend Policy Will Support Future Returns
Analysts have nudged their price target on FirstGroup slightly higher to £2.51 per share, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue trends and profit margins, while keeping the long term P/E outlook broadly unchanged. What's in the News FirstGroup agreed to acquire the UK sightseeing bus operations of RATP Développement for about £17m, adding 63 buses across London and Bath, two depots and around 190 employees to the First Bus business (Key Developments).Actualización de narrativa • Jan 09
FGP: Higher Interim Dividend Will Support Stronger Shareholder Returns Ahead
Analysts have nudged their price target for FirstGroup slightly higher to around £2.51. This reflects small adjustments to fair value estimates, discount rate assumptions and expectations for revenue contraction, profit margins and future P/E multiples.Artículo de análisis • Dec 15
We Think FirstGroup (LON:FGP) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Actualización de narrativa • Dec 14
FGP: Dividend And Buyback Will Support Stronger Shareholder Returns Ahead
Analysts have nudged their price target on FirstGroup higher, lifting fair value from £2.39 to £2.50 as they factor in slightly improved revenue expectations despite a modestly softer margin and higher discount rate. What's in the News Board proposes an interim dividend of 2.2 pence per share for H1 2026, up from 1.7 pence in H1 2025.Artículo de análisis • Nov 21
FirstGroup (LON:FGP) Will Pay A Dividend Of £0.022
The board of FirstGroup plc ( LON:FGP ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 30th of December, with...Artículo de análisis • Oct 22
Is Now The Time To Look At Buying FirstGroup plc (LON:FGP)?
FirstGroup plc ( LON:FGP ), is not the largest company out there, but it received a lot of attention from a substantial...Artículo de análisis • Sep 03
Investors Don't See Light At End Of FirstGroup plc's (LON:FGP) Tunnel
When you see that almost half of the companies in the Transportation industry in the United Kingdom have price-to-sales...Artículo de análisis • Jun 15
Analysts Are Betting On FirstGroup plc (LON:FGP) With A Big Upgrade This Week
FirstGroup plc ( LON:FGP ) shareholders will have a reason to smile today, with the analysts making substantial...Artículo de análisis • May 08
FirstGroup plc's (LON:FGP) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 26%
FirstGroup plc ( LON:FGP ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a...Artículo de análisis • Apr 21
Should You Think About Buying FirstGroup plc (LON:FGP) Now?
FirstGroup plc ( LON:FGP ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a double-digit share price rise of over...Artículo de análisis • Mar 25
Is FirstGroup (LON:FGP) Using Too Much Debt?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
Nueva narrativa • Feb 08
Bus Electrification And London-Stirling Rail Route Will Improve Future Operations
Electrification of the bus fleet, supported by partnerships and CapEx, aims to improve efficiency and margins long-term.Artículo de análisis • Nov 21
Shareholders Will Be Pleased With The Quality of FirstGroup's (LON:FGP) Earnings
When companies post strong earnings, the stock generally performs well, just like FirstGroup plc's ( LON:FGP ) stock...Artículo de análisis • Oct 04
Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of FirstGroup plc (LON:FGP)
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, FirstGroup fair value estimate is UK£1.36 Current share price...Artículo de análisis • Sep 12
What FirstGroup plc's (LON:FGP) P/S Is Not Telling You
With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 0.4x in the Transportation industry in the United Kingdom...Artículo de análisis • Aug 06
Is Now The Time To Look At Buying FirstGroup plc (LON:FGP)?
FirstGroup plc ( LON:FGP ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw significant share price movement during...Artículo de análisis • Jul 02
Estimating The Fair Value Of FirstGroup plc (LON:FGP)
Key Insights The projected fair value for FirstGroup is UK£1.51 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share...Artículo de análisis • May 26
Should You Think About Buying FirstGroup plc (LON:FGP) Now?
FirstGroup plc ( LON:FGP ), might not be a large cap stock, but it led the LSE gainers with a relatively large price...Artículo de análisis • Mar 30
Is FirstGroup plc (LON:FGP) Trading At A 27% Discount?
Today we'll do a simple run through of a valuation method used to estimate the attractiveness of FirstGroup plc...Previsiones de crecimiento de beneficios e ingresos
| Fecha | Ingresos | Beneficios | Flujo de caja libre | Flujo de caja operativo | Núm. de analistas medio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/31/2028 | 2,205 | 114 | 107 | 242 | 3 |
| 3/31/2027 | 3,824 | 116 | 100 | 234 | 3 |
| 3/31/2026 | 4,432 | 110 | 65 | 234 | 3 |
| 9/27/2025 | 4,990 | 129 | 417 | 638 | N/A |
| 6/27/2025 | 5,028 | 126 | 508 | 696 | N/A |
| 3/29/2025 | 5,066 | 123 | 598 | 754 | N/A |
| 12/29/2024 | 4,989 | 109 | 534 | 700 | N/A |
| 9/28/2024 | 4,882 | 95 | 470 | 646 | N/A |
| 6/28/2024 | 4,798 | 42 | 397 | 595 | N/A |
| 3/30/2024 | 4,715 | -10 | 324 | 543 | N/A |
| 12/30/2023 | 4,732 | -8 | 367 | 592 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 4,750 | -7 | 410 | 642 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 4,752 | 36 | 403 | 608 | N/A |
| 3/25/2023 | 4,755 | 79 | 396 | 574 | N/A |
| 12/25/2022 | 4,710 | 69 | 204 | 380 | N/A |
| 9/24/2022 | 4,664 | 59 | 13 | 186 | N/A |
| 6/24/2022 | 4,628 | 24 | -126 | 87 | N/A |
| 3/26/2022 | 4,591 | -11 | -264 | -12 | N/A |
| 12/26/2021 | 4,498 | 2 | -111 | 229 | N/A |
| 9/25/2021 | 4,405 | 15 | 43 | 470 | N/A |
| 6/25/2021 | 4,362 | 12 | 413 | 837 | N/A |
| 3/27/2021 | 4,319 | 10 | 784 | 1,204 | N/A |
| 9/26/2020 | 3,164 | -209 | 1,035 | 1,306 | N/A |
| 6/26/2020 | 3,903 | -273 | 831 | 1,131 | N/A |
| 3/28/2020 | 4,643 | -337 | 626 | 957 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 7,555 | -280 | 430 | 812 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 7,356 | -233 | 233 | 667 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 7,241 | -150 | N/A | 615 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 7,127 | -67 | N/A | 564 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 7,029 | -186 | N/A | 571 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 6,930 | -305 | N/A | 578 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 6,664 | -301 | N/A | 607 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 6,398 | -296 | N/A | 637 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 6,129 | -95 | N/A | 660 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 5,860 | 105 | N/A | 683 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 5,757 | 109 | N/A | 602 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 5,653 | 112 | N/A | 520 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 5,498 | 108 | N/A | 522 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 5,342 | 105 | N/A | 523 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 5,280 | 97 | N/A | 466 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 5,218 | 90 | N/A | 410 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 5,384 | 79 | N/A | 306 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 5,551 | 67 | N/A | 202 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 5,801 | 71 | N/A | 264 | N/A |
Previsiones de crecimiento futuro de los analistas
Ingresos vs. Tasa de ahorro: Se prevé que los beneficios de FGP disminuyan en los próximos 3 años (-3.2% al año).
Beneficios vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los beneficios de FGP disminuyan en los próximos 3 años (-3.2% al año).
Beneficios de alto crecimiento: Se prevé que los beneficios de FGP disminuyan en los próximos 3 años.
Ingresos vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los ingresos de FGP disminuyan en los próximos 3 años (-27.4% al año).
Ingresos de alto crecimiento: Se prevé que los ingresos de FGP disminuyan en los próximos 3 años (-27.4% al año).
Previsiones de crecimiento de los beneficios por acción
Rentabilidad financiera futura
ROE futura: Se prevé que la rentabilidad financiera de FGP sea baja dentro de 3 años (14%).
Descubre empresas en crecimiento
Análisis de la empresa y estado de los datos financieros
| Datos | Última actualización (huso horario UTC) |
|---|---|
| Análisis de la empresa | 2026/06/09 11:51 |
| Precio de las acciones al final del día | 2026/06/09 00:00 |
| Beneficios | 2025/09/27 |
| Ingresos anuales | 2025/03/29 |
Fuentes de datos
Los datos utilizados en nuestro análisis de empresas proceden de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Los siguientes datos se utilizan en nuestro modelo de análisis para generar este informe. Los datos están normalizados, lo que puede introducir un retraso desde que la fuente está disponible.
| Paquete | Datos | Marco temporal | Ejemplo Fuente EE.UU. * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finanzas de la empresa | 10 años |
| |
| Estimaciones del consenso de analistas | +3 años |
|
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| Precios de mercado | 30 años |
| |
| Propiedad | 10 años |
| |
| Gestión | 10 años |
| |
| Principales avances | 10 años |
|
* Ejemplo para valores de EE.UU., para no EE.UU. se utilizan formularios y fuentes normativas equivalentes.
A menos que se especifique lo contrario, todos los datos financieros se basan en un periodo anual, pero se actualizan trimestralmente. Esto se conoce como datos de los últimos doce meses (TTM) o de los últimos doce meses (LTM). Más información.
Modelo de análisis y copo de nieve
Los detalles del modelo de análisis utilizado para generar este informe están disponibles en nuestra página de Github, también tenemos guías sobre cómo utilizar nuestros informes y tutoriales en Youtube.
Conozca al equipo de talla mundial que diseñó y construyó el modelo de análisis Simply Wall St.
Métricas industriales y sectoriales
Simply Wall St calcula cada 6 horas nuestras métricas sectoriales y de sección. Los detalles de nuestro proceso están disponibles en Github.
Fuentes analistas
FirstGroup plc está cubierta por 21 analistas. 3 de esos analistas presentaron las estimaciones de ingresos o ganancias utilizadas como datos para nuestro informe. Las estimaciones de los analistas se actualizan a lo largo del día.
| Analista | Institución |
|---|---|
| David Fintzen | Barclays |
| Jack Cummings | Berenberg |
| James Edward Hollins | BNP Paribas |