BHP Group Limited

Informe acción ASX:BHP

Capitalización de mercado: AU$291.3b

BHP Group Crecimiento futuro

Future controles de criterios 1/6

Se prevé un crecimiento anual de los beneficios y los ingresos de BHP Group de 4.4% y 0.3% por año respectivamente. Se prevé que el BPA crezca en un 4.6% al año. Se espera que la rentabilidad financiera sea de 19.1% en 3 años.

Información clave

4.4%

Tasa de crecimiento de los beneficios

4.56%

Tasa de crecimiento del BPA

Crecimiento de los beneficios de Metals and Mining14.5%
Tasa de crecimiento de los ingresos0.3%
Rentabilidad financiera futura19.09%
Cobertura de analistas

Good

Última actualización18 May 2026

Actualizaciones recientes sobre el crecimiento futuro

Recent updates

Actualización de narrativa May 04

BHP: Commodity Mix And China Ties Will Shape Future Fairly Valued Outlook

BHP Group's analyst price target has moved higher to A$53.40 from A$52.50, as analysts factor in slightly stronger revenue growth assumptions along with a modestly higher future P/E, partly supported by recent target increases from major brokers. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on BHP Group shows a mix of optimism and caution, with several price target revisions and rating changes reflecting different views on valuation, earnings power and macro exposure.
Actualización de narrativa Apr 19

BHP: Commodity Mix And China Stabilization Will Shape Future Fairly Valued Outlook

The analyst fair value estimate for BHP Group has shifted slightly lower to A$52.50 from A$53.37, as analysts factor in updated assumptions for higher long term revenue growth, a modestly lower profit margin, a slightly higher discount rate, and a higher future P/E multiple following a mix of recent price target increases and trims across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research on BHP Group has been mixed, with several bullish analysts lifting price targets while more cautious analysts have trimmed theirs or maintained restrained views.
Actualización de narrativa Apr 05

BHP: Commodity Mix And China Stabilization Will Shape Fairly Valued Outlook

The analyst fair value estimate for BHP Group has increased modestly to A$53.37 from A$52.50, reflecting updated assumptions about slightly stronger revenue growth and a refreshed set of mixed but generally constructive price targets from recent Street research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on BHP Group shows a mix of optimism on long term prospects and caution around valuation and execution risks, which helps explain the modest adjustment in the fair value estimate.
Actualización de narrativa Mar 22

BHP: Commodity Cycles And China Recovery Will Shape Fairly Valued Outlook

Analysts have adjusted the BHP Group fair value estimate slightly higher to A$52.50. This reflects refreshed price targets that balance updated revenue and margin assumptions with mixed views on commodity exposure and valuation.
Nueva narrativa Mar 21

BHP’s value is durability today (iron ore) and optionality tomorrow (copper + potash). Execution and macro demand are the swing factors.

Catalysts 1) Copper demand: electrification + AI-driven power infrastructure The market often frames copper as an “energy transition” commodity, but I see incremental demand coming from AI/data-center power density and grid capex (transmission, distribution, redundancy). This supports a structurally tighter copper market over time.
Actualización de narrativa Mar 05

BHP: Commodity Cycles And China Recovery Will Shape Future Returns

The analyst fair value estimate for BHP Group has been adjusted slightly higher to A$51.98 from A$51.72. This change reflects a series of recent price target increases across the Street as analysts factor in updated assumptions for revenue growth, margins and valuation multiples.
Actualización de narrativa Feb 19

BHP: Commodity Cycles And Mega Deals Will Shape Future Returns

Analysts have lifted their BHP Group price target by A$3.54. The change is supported by model updates that incorporate a higher fair value estimate, a small adjustment to the discount rate, a slightly lower revenue growth assumption, a modestly higher profit margin, and a marginally higher future P/E multiple.
Nueva narrativa Feb 18

Copper And Potash Expansion Will Expose Long Term Earnings And Margin Vulnerabilities

Catalysts About BHP Group BHP Group is a diversified mining company with large operations in copper, iron ore, steelmaking coal, uranium, gold and potash. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Actualización de narrativa Feb 05

BHP: Commodity Cycles Legal Risks And Mega Deals Will Shape Future Performance

Analysts nudged their BHP Group price targets higher, with the modelled fair value moving from about A$48.99 to A$48.17 as they factored in updated revenue growth, profit margin, P/E and discount rate assumptions aligned with the latest Street research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around BHP Group has been relatively limited in volume, but the available signals point to modest valuation adjustments rather than wholesale changes in conviction.
Actualización de narrativa Jan 22

BHP: Commodity Cycles Legal Risks And Copper Exposure Will Shape Future Performance

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for BHP Group from $44.58 to $49.00, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E that align with the recent price target increase of 100 GBp reported in Street research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on BHP Group has focused on aligning price targets and fair value estimates with updated assumptions for revenue, margins and future P/E multiples, with JPMorgan lifting its price target by 100 GBp. Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts see the higher price target and fair value estimate as consistent with updated revenue and margin assumptions, which they view as better reflecting BHP Group's current earnings power.
Actualización de narrativa Jan 07

BHP: Commodity Cycles Legal Liabilities And Copper Projects Will Shape Future Performance

Analysts have trimmed their price target on BHP Group to £21.00 from £22.00, reflecting slightly updated assumptions on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E, while maintaining a neutral overall stance. Analyst Commentary Recent research on BHP Group has focused on fine tuning valuation assumptions rather than shifting the overall stance, with the latest move being a trim in the price target while keeping a neutral rating.
Actualización de narrativa Dec 14

BHP: Commodity Cycles And Legal Liabilities Will Shape Future Performance Outlook

Analysts have trimmed their price target on BHP Group slightly, from 2,200 GBp to 2,100 GBp, reflecting a modestly higher discount rate and only incremental changes to long term revenue growth, margins, and valuation assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research suggests that sentiment on BHP Group is balanced, with the latest adjustment to the price target framed more as a fine tuning of assumptions than a fundamental change in outlook.
Actualización de narrativa Nov 30

BHP: Sector Volatility And Legal Risks Will Influence Performance Outlook

Analysts have slightly increased their target fair value for BHP Group, raising it from $44.73 to $45.21. They cite modest improvements in projected revenue growth and valuation outlook as the reasons for this adjustment.
Actualización de narrativa Nov 16

BHP: Mixed Market Signals And Legal Headwinds Will Shape Near-Term Performance

BHP Group’s analyst fair value target has increased modestly from $43.95 to $44.73. Analysts are factoring in revised financial assumptions and recent price target adjustments, despite mixed short-term sentiment.
Actualización de narrativa Nov 01

BHP: Earnings Outlook Will Balance Inflation Risks And China Demand Uncertainty

BHP Group’s analyst price target was recently lowered by £1.00 to £21.00 per share. Analysts cite softer assumptions for profit margin and revenue growth as factors contributing to their revised outlook.
Actualización de narrativa Oct 17

Global Decarbonization And Asia Demand Will Underpin Durable Metals Performance

BHP Group's analyst price target has been raised from 2,160 GBp to 2,200 GBp. Analysts cite improvements in projected profit margins and a more favorable revenue outlook as supporting factors for a higher valuation. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst activity on BHP Group reflects a mix of renewed optimism and lingering caution regarding the company's outlook, following updated earnings and operational guidance.
Artículo de análisis Oct 16

It's Unlikely That BHP Group Limited's (ASX:BHP) CEO Will See A Huge Pay Rise This Year

Key Insights BHP Group will host its Annual General Meeting on 23rd of October CEO Mike Henry's total compensation...
Actualización de narrativa Oct 03

Global Decarbonization And Asia Demand Will Underpin Durable Metals Performance

The analyst price target for BHP Group has been raised from A$42.33 to A$43.51, as analysts cite resilient financial performance and a stable margin outlook despite ongoing cost pressures. Analyst Commentary Recent reports reflect a mix of optimism and caution among analysts covering BHP Group.
Actualización de narrativa Sep 17

Global Decarbonization And Asia Demand Will Underpin Durable Metals Performance

BHP Group's consensus price target was trimmed to A$42.33 as analysts cite valuation concerns amid reduced free cash flow yields, persistent cost pressures, and project execution risks, with the revision reflecting a more cautious outlook despite recent strong results. Analyst Commentary Mixed analyst sentiment with several downgrades to Neutral/Market Perform, citing valuation concerns after the recent share rally and reduced free cash flow yields.
Actualización de narrativa Aug 27

Expanding Copper Production And Potash Entry Will Diversify Portfolio, But Analysts Forecast Earnings Decline

Consensus analyst reasoning reflects cautious optimism for BHP Group, as improved underlying fiscal results and modest upgrades to revenue forecasts are tempered by ongoing execution risks, cost inflation, and less compelling valuation following a share price rally—resulting in a moderate increase in the analyst price target from A$41.44 to A$42.94. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts pointed to execution risk related to significant cost overruns (“cost blow out”) at Jansen Stage 1, weighing on future outlook.
Artículo de análisis Jun 02

An Intrinsic Calculation For BHP Group Limited (ASX:BHP) Suggests It's 40% Undervalued

Key Insights The projected fair value for BHP Group is AU$62.61 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share...
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Nueva narrativa Feb 11

Focus On Copper And Potash Expansion Will Shape Future Success

BHP's strategic investments in copper and potash aim to align with long-term demand trends, potentially boosting future revenue growth.
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Nueva narrativa Jan 30

Upcoming Potash And Copper Projects Will Strengthen Global Market Position

BHP's investments in potash and copper, combined with operational excellence, promise long-term revenue and margin growth through strategic developments and increasing global demand.

Previsiones de crecimiento de beneficios e ingresos

ASX:BHP - Estimaciones futuras de los analistas y datos financieros pasados (USD Millions)
FechaIngresosBeneficiosFlujo de caja libreFlujo de caja operativoNúm. de analistas medio
6/30/202855,36412,66612,06220,66417
6/30/202756,01212,99610,83320,55119
6/30/202656,75712,44510,58020,66819
12/31/202553,98810,2439,89519,747N/A
9/30/202552,6259,6319,39719,220N/A
6/30/202551,2629,0198,89818,692N/A
3/31/202552,43210,2039,63119,395N/A
12/31/202453,60211,38610,36420,098N/A
9/30/202454,6309,64210,87820,382N/A
6/30/202455,6587,89711,39220,665N/A
3/31/202455,3627,64411,70420,740N/A
12/31/202355,0657,39112,01520,815N/A
9/30/202354,44110,15611,81719,758N/A
6/30/202353,81712,92111,61818,701N/A
3/31/202356,87815,57615,51322,184N/A
12/31/202260,56418,23119,40725,667N/A
9/30/202262,98819,23822,73528,921N/A
6/30/202265,09820,24526,06332,174N/A
3/31/202264,65718,08925,72231,658N/A
12/31/202163,90315,93225,38131,142N/A
9/30/202160,57913,73123,40629,188N/A
6/30/202157,25511,52921,43027,234N/A
3/31/202147,0339,23517,62222,434N/A
12/31/202044,9507,15610,86717,633N/A
9/30/202044,0877,5569,46716,670N/A
6/30/202039,1537,8489,53915,706N/A
3/31/202044,8128,7049,12316,873N/A
12/31/201945,8329,45210,17918,039N/A
9/30/201945,0609,047N/A17,955N/A
6/30/201944,5728,641N/A17,871N/A
3/31/201943,7128,739N/AN/AN/A
12/31/201843,6498,836N/A18,392N/A
9/30/201843,5187,731N/A18,427N/A
6/30/201843,1296,626N/A18,461N/A
3/31/201842,0725,580N/A17,456N/A
12/31/201737,6875,005N/A16,450N/A
9/30/201737,0165,684N/A16,627N/A
6/30/201735,9476,362N/A16,804N/A
3/31/201736,6824,189N/A14,933N/A
12/31/201634,6982,488N/A13,062N/A
9/30/201633,027-1,948N/A11,844N/A
6/30/201629,005-490N/A10,625N/A
3/31/201633,653-6,248N/A12,379N/A
12/31/201535,936-6,111N/A14,133N/A
9/30/201540,527-1,344N/A16,715N/A
6/30/201545,1243,422N/A19,296N/A

Previsiones de crecimiento futuro de los analistas

Ingresos vs. Tasa de ahorro: El pronóstico de crecimiento de los beneficios (4.4% al año) de BHP es superior a la tasa de ahorro (3.6%).

Beneficios vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los beneficios (4.4% al año) de BHP crezcan menos que el mercado Australian (11.9% al año).

Beneficios de alto crecimiento: Se prevé que los beneficios de BHP crezcan, pero no significativamente.

Ingresos vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los ingresos (0.3% al año) de BHP crezcan más despacio que el mercado de Australian (6.1% al año).

Ingresos de alto crecimiento: Se prevé que los ingresos 0.3% al año) de BHP crezcan más despacio que 20% al año.


Previsiones de crecimiento de los beneficios por acción


Rentabilidad financiera futura

ROE futura: Se prevé que la rentabilidad financiera de BHP sea baja dentro de 3 años (19.1%).


Descubre empresas en crecimiento

Análisis de la empresa y estado de los datos financieros

DatosÚltima actualización (huso horario UTC)
Análisis de la empresa2026/05/20 04:20
Precio de las acciones al final del día2026/05/20 00:00
Beneficios2025/12/31
Ingresos anuales2025/06/30

Fuentes de datos

Los datos utilizados en nuestro análisis de empresas proceden de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Los siguientes datos se utilizan en nuestro modelo de análisis para generar este informe. Los datos están normalizados, lo que puede introducir un retraso desde que la fuente está disponible.

PaqueteDatosMarco temporalEjemplo Fuente EE.UU. *
Finanzas de la empresa10 años
  • Cuenta de resultados
  • Estado de tesorería
  • Balance
Estimaciones del consenso de analistas+3 años
  • Previsiones financieras
  • Objetivos de precios de los analistas
Precios de mercado30 años
  • Precios de las acciones
  • Dividendos, escisiones y acciones
Propiedad10 años
  • Accionistas principales
  • Información privilegiada
Gestión10 años
  • Equipo directivo
  • Consejo de Administración
Principales avances10 años
  • Anuncios de empresas

* Ejemplo para valores de EE.UU., para no EE.UU. se utilizan formularios y fuentes normativas equivalentes.

A menos que se especifique lo contrario, todos los datos financieros se basan en un periodo anual, pero se actualizan trimestralmente. Esto se conoce como datos de los últimos doce meses (TTM) o de los últimos doce meses (LTM). Más información.

Modelo de análisis y copo de nieve

Los detalles del modelo de análisis utilizado para generar este informe están disponibles en nuestra página de Github, también tenemos guías sobre cómo utilizar nuestros informes y tutoriales en Youtube.

Conozca al equipo de talla mundial que diseñó y construyó el modelo de análisis Simply Wall St.

Métricas industriales y sectoriales

Simply Wall St calcula cada 6 horas nuestras métricas sectoriales y de sección. Los detalles de nuestro proceso están disponibles en Github.

Fuentes analistas

BHP Group Limited está cubierta por 60 analistas. 20 de esos analistas presentaron las estimaciones de ingresos o ganancias utilizadas como datos para nuestro informe. Las estimaciones de los analistas se actualizan a lo largo del día.

AnalistaInstitución
David ColemanArgus Research Company
Ayan GhoshAvior Capital Markets
Amos FletcherBarclays