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Vistra Corp.

NYSE:VST Lagerbericht

Marktkapitalisierung: US$49.8b

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Vistra Vergangene Ertragsentwicklung

Vergangenheit Kriterienprüfungen 2/6

Vistra verzeichnete einen durchschnittlichen jährlichen Gewinnzuwachs von 56%, während die Gewinne der Branche Renewable Energy jährlich um gewachsen und zwar um 17.1%. Die Umsätze verzeichneten einen durchschnittlichen jährlichen Gewinnzuwachs von gewachsen von 10.6%. Die Eigenkapitalrendite von Vistra beträgt 40.4% und die Nettomargen betragen 10.6%.

Wichtige Informationen

56.04%

Wachstumsrate der Gewinne

55.65%

EPS-Wachstumsrate

Renewable Energy Wachstum der Industrie-5.84%
Wachstumsrate der Einnahmen10.58%
Eigenkapitalrendite40.39%
Netto-Marge10.55%
Letzte Ertragsaktualisierung30 Jun 2026

Jüngste Aktualisierungen vergangener Leistungen

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Sep 09

Vistra: The Part Of The Story Investors May Be Overlooking

Summary Vistra Corp. is rated buy at $151.72, with a conservative fair value estimate of $161, based solely on core operations. VST’s integrated retail and generation model, extensive hedging, and capacity revenues provide earnings stability and downside protection through 2027. Potential upside exists from data center deals, Helix, Cogentrix, and Meta contracts, none of which are included in the base valuation. Risks include declining ERCOT prices post-2028, operational factors, and leverage, but current hedges and cash flows support the Buy thesis for a 1–3 year horizon. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
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Narrative-Update • Sep 03

VST: Election Policy And ERCOT Review Will Restrain Data Center Upside

Vistra's analyst fair value estimate has been trimmed by about $4 to $130.22 as analysts balance very strong AI and data center driven demand expectations, higher projected revenue growth and profit margins, and updated valuation assumptions that include a slightly higher discount rate and a lower future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Street research on Vistra in recent months shows a mix of optimism about long term power demand and more cautious adjustments as valuation, policy risk, and project timing are reassessed.
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Neues Narrative • Aug 31

Vistra Fell 38%. Adjusted EBITDA Rose 31%. Here's the $472 Million Reason They Disagree.

Wall Street spent two years discovering that artificial intelligence needs electricity. Then Vistra fell from nearly $220 to $139 anyway.
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Narrative-Update • Aug 20

VST: AI Data Center Power Deals Will Drive Future Nuclear Upside

Analysts have trimmed their average price target for Vistra as fair value estimates eased to about $308 from roughly $314, reflecting slightly higher discount rates, a more cautious profit margin outlook, and ongoing debate around data center related demand and regulatory timing. Analyst Commentary Recent research highlights a mix of caution and optimism around Vistra, with most Street commentary focusing on data center demand, ERCOT related reviews, and the earnings path over the next few years.
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Neues Narrative • Aug 16

Vistra Energy ($VST): The Flexible Power Platform Capturing AI Load Growth

The market still largely prices Vistra as a volatile merchant generator with a mixed fossil and nuclear fleet. What is underappreciated is how effectively the company has converted its scale and geographic reach into long-duration contracted nuclear cash flows while retaining the flexible gas capacity needed to serve the fastest-growing large loads in ERCOT and PJM.
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Neues Narrative • Aug 07

Vistra's data centers + AI

Teza inwestycyjna: Vistra to jeden z najlepiej ustawionych konkurencyjnych generatorów w USA na wzrost popytu na energię (szczególnie data centers + AI). Posiada solidną skalę, wartościowe aktywa nuklearne, zintegrowany model z retailem oraz atrakcyjniejszą wycenę niż najwyższej jakości peer (Constellation).
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Narrative-Update • Aug 05

VST: Data Center Power Demand Will Test PJM Capacity And Earnings Balance

Analysts lifted the fair value estimate for Vistra from $130.74 to $134.15, reflecting updated price targets that factor in views on the Helix data center partnership, long term contract visibility, power demand linked to AI, and recent adjustments across North American utilities coverage. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Vistra points to a mixed tone, with some firms lifting price targets and others trimming them.
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Neues Narrative • Jul 24

US Energy Giant: PowerHouse Of The Future Of AI

Vistra Corp is on a discount. AMZN, META, Quantom Capital group, and many more.
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Narrative-Update • Jul 16

VST: Data Center Power Hype Will Overstretch PJM Capacity And Gas Fleet Earnings

Vistra's updated analyst price target has been adjusted slightly lower to $130.74 from $133.54 as analysts factor in modestly slower expected revenue growth, alongside a slightly higher projected profit margin and a lower forward P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Vistra points to a mix of optimism about long term power demand and more cautious recalibration of fair value.
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Narrative-Update • Jun 24

VST: AI Data Center Power Deals Will Support Nuclear And Gas Upside

Analysts have trimmed their price targets on Vistra, with the consensus fair value easing from about $318 to roughly $314. This reflects slightly higher discount rate assumptions and more moderate revenue growth and margin expectations in recent research updates.
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Narrative-Update • Jun 09

VST: Long-Term AI Data Center Contracts Will Reshape Future Power Pricing

Vistra's updated analyst price target moves to $225.29. This reflects analysts' use of slightly lower fair value, revenue growth, profit margin, and P/E assumptions, while keeping the discount rate broadly in line.
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Narrative-Update • May 26

VST: Data Center Power Hype Will Pressure PJM And Gas Deal Execution

Analysts trimmed the updated fair value estimate for Vistra by about $11.80 to $133.54, reflecting a mix of recent price target cuts along with select upward revisions and a slight adjustment to valuation inputs such as revenue growth, profit margin and forward P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Vistra shows a mix of price target increases and cuts, with several firms adjusting their numbers in quick succession.
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Narrative-Update • Apr 27

VST: Data Center Power Hype Will Pressure Meta Nuclear And Gas Deal Risks

Analysts have modestly reduced their fair value estimate for Vistra by about $3 to $145.33. This reflects slightly lower assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, while still largely reaffirming their broader positive research stance on the stock.
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Narrative-Update • Apr 13

VST: Long Term Nuclear Contracts Will Support PJM Demand And Undervalued Upside

Analysts have updated their view on Vistra with a higher fair value estimate, moving from $293.00 to $318.00. They cite recent mixed but generally supportive price target adjustments and ongoing confidence in the company story across several research firms.
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Narrative-Update • Mar 30

VST: Long-Term Data Center Nuclear Contracts Will Shape Future Power Pricing

Analysts have made a modest upward adjustment to the Vistra price target to about $234 from about $233, reflecting fine tuned expectations around revenue growth, margin assumptions, and future P/E multiples following recent research updates that highlight both positive contract wins and more cautious views on gas exposure and sector valuation. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Vistra reflects a mix of enthusiasm around new long term contracts and growth projects, alongside more careful adjustments to gas exposure and valuation multiples.
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Narrative-Update • Mar 16

VST: Meta Nuclear Deals And Gas Acquisition Will Reshape Future Risk Profile

Vistra's analyst price target has been revised lower by about $20.94, with analysts citing updated sector-wide assumptions, tempered revenue growth outlooks, and adjustments to valuation multiples, even as they highlight solid execution, long-term contracts such as the Meta PPAs, and continued interest in gas-related opportunities. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Vistra shows a mix of confidence in the business model and caution around valuation, sector conditions, and deal risks.
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Narrative-Update • Mar 02

VST: Long Term Meta Nuclear Contracts Will Anchor PJM Power Demand

Narrative Update The analyst price target for Vistra is unchanged at $293, as analysts balance modest tweaks to growth, margins and P/E assumptions with ongoing support from recent price target revisions across the Street. These revisions include reactions to new long-term Meta contracts, PJM exposure and recent gas generation deals.
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Narrative-Update • Feb 16

VST: Long Term Meta Nuclear Contracts Will Support PJM Data Center Demand

Analysts kept their average price target for Vistra around $293, with modest tweaks to assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E, reflecting mixed but generally constructive recent research updates on the company and its long term contracts and acquisitions. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Vistra has leaned constructive, with several price target adjustments and ratings actions reflecting confidence in the company’s ability to execute on long term contracts, acquisitions, and capital allocation.
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Narrative-Update • Feb 02

VST: Long Term Meta Nuclear Agreements Will Support PJM Data Center Demand

Analysts have nudged their average price targets on Vistra higher into a range around $217 to $293, citing recent long term nuclear power agreements with Meta, as well as updated expectations for execution and market conditions as key drivers behind the recalibration. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Vistra reflects mixed adjustments to price targets, but the tone from several bullish analysts remains constructive.
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Narrative-Update • Jan 19

VST: Long Term Meta Nuclear Contracts Will Support Data Center Power Demand

Analysts nudged their price target on Vistra up to $293 from $288 as they factor in stronger contracted growth from long term Meta power agreements and updated expectations for revenue, margins and future P/E multiples across the independent power producer group. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are largely framing the latest Vistra moves, including long term power agreements with Meta and recent generation acquisitions, as supportive for the company’s valuation and earnings power within the independent power producer peer group.
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Narrative-Update • Jan 04

VST: Data Center Demand Will Drive Long-Term Power Pricing Upside

The analyst price target for Vistra has inched higher to approximately $233 per share from about $231, as analysts factor in a slightly lower discount rate, a modestly stronger margin outlook, and supportive sector research highlighting rising power prices and data-center-driven demand for electric utilities. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts remain constructive on Vistra, highlighting that the combination of rising power prices, data center demand, and improving cash flows supports a premium valuation versus historical levels.
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Narrative-Update • Dec 15

VST: Data Center Power Demand Will Drive Long-Term Cash Flow Upside

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Vistra to $288 from $232 per share. This reflects higher projected revenue growth and profit margins driven by accelerating data center power demand, robust pricing for thermal IPPs, and a series of supportive Overweight and Buy initiations and price target increases across the Street.
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Narrative-Update • Dec 01

VST: Long-Term Power Deals And Buybacks Will Drive Strength Ahead

Analysts have moderately increased their price target for Vistra, raising fair value from $228.26 to $230.71 per share. This change reflects expectations for stable earnings growth and sector tailwinds, despite slightly tempered revenue outlooks.
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Narrative-Update • Nov 17

VST: Accelerating Power Demand From Data Centers Will Drive Next Phase

Vistra's analyst price target has been raised slightly to approximately $228. Analysts cite robust earnings prospects supported by surging power demand, higher expected growth rates, and industry tailwinds from evolving utility and data center markets.
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Narrative-Update • Nov 02

VST: Accelerating Power Demand Will Drive New Nuclear And Gas Asset Expansion

Vistra's analyst fair value price target has been modestly raised from $226.45 to $227.03. Analysts point to factors including improving profit margins, a positive outlook for thermal IPPs due to higher power prices, and robust demand growth driven by data centers and utility asset upgrades.
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Narrative-Update • Oct 18

Increasing AI And Data Center Demand Will Energize Grid Flexibility

Vistra's analyst price target has been raised by nearly $2.53 to $226.45, as analysts cite an improved profit margin outlook and continued sector optimism. This optimism is driven by strong power demand and asset expansion opportunities.
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Narrative-Update • Oct 04

Increasing AI And Data Center Demand Will Energize Grid Flexibility

Vistra's analyst price target has risen by approximately $2 to just under $224, as analysts cite updated EBITDA estimates, new power agreements, and favorable market fundamentals for the upgrade. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Vistra reflects a dynamic mix of optimism and caution among analysts as the company continues to secure long-term power agreements, increase capacity, and benefit from evolving power market fundamentals.
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Narrative-Update • Sep 18

Increasing AI And Data Center Demand Will Energize Grid Flexibility

Upward revisions to Vistra's price target reflect bullish sentiment driven by record PJM capacity prices, growing power demand from AI adoption and data centers, higher expected EBITDA, and regulatory tailwinds, resulting in a new analyst consensus fair value of $221.57. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite record PJM capacity market prices for the 2026-2027 delivery year and a favorable shift in power market dynamics, leading to valuation upside.
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Narrative-Update • Aug 08

Increasing AI And Data Center Demand Will Energize Grid Flexibility

The consensus analyst price target for Vistra has increased to $207.22, primarily reflecting an improved net profit margin, despite a slight reduction in revenue growth forecasts. What's in the News Vistra completed the repurchase of 1,705,797 shares for $273.13 million, totaling 163,499,236 shares (39.89% of shares outstanding) bought back for $5,350 million under its ongoing buyback program.
Seeking Alpha • Feb 28

Vistra: Stay Long, Key Drivers Intact

Summary Vistra has sold off on fears that the AI/Data Center demand may evaporate, which is one of three demand drivers. VST's 2026 "guidance" may be a communication error; potential high-impact events in 2025 could materially change the outlook. Valuation points to a US$175 YE25 price target at 13x P/cash earnings on 10% 3yr growth. Free cash flow of over US$3bn annually can add further upside via share buybacks or M&A. I rate VST a BUY; recent weakness is misplaced, and the stock should benefit from ongoing demand and strategic capacity additions. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Aufschlüsselung der Einnahmen und Ausgaben

Wie Vistra Geld verdient und ausgibt. Basierend auf den neuesten gemeldeten Einnahmen der letzten zwölf Monate.


Gewinn- und Umsatzhistorie

NYSE:VST Einnahmen, Ausgaben und Erträge (USD Millions)
DatumEinnahmenGewinnAllgemeine und VerwaltungskostenF&E-Ausgaben
30 Jun 2619,2122,0271,7060
31 Mar 2619,4452,0491,7330
31 Dec 2517,7387521,6970
30 Sep 2517,1919601,7430
30 Jun 2518,5082,1961,7090
31 Mar 2518,1032,2341,6650
31 Dec 2417,2242,4671,6010
30 Sep 2416,2651,8521,4880
30 Jun 2414,0644771,4260
31 Mar 2413,4085981,3530
31 Dec 2314,7791,3431,3080
30 Sep 2315,5701,2811,2270
30 Jun 2316,6291,4481,2040
31 Mar 2315,028-3931,1830
31 Dec 2213,728-1,3771,1890
30 Sep 2213,173-3881,1710
30 Jun 2211,018-1,0141,1150
31 Mar 2211,9954251,0850
31 Dec 2112,077-1,2951,0480
30 Sep 2111,287-2,0291,0560
30 Jun 2111,848-1,5921,0540
31 Mar 2111,792-1,4631,0390
31 Dec 2011,4436361,0400
30 Sep 2011,7798999890
30 Jun 2011,4215699700
31 Mar 2011,7447599440
31 Dec 1911,8099289070
30 Sep 1911,5125088550
30 Jun 1911,5617258040
31 Mar 1911,3024779460
31 Dec 189,144-549290
30 Sep 187,524-4478770
30 Jun 186,115-5048290
31 Mar 184,838-6386270
31 Dec 175,430-2546000
30 Sep 175,6788186420
30 Jun 175,5347316570
31 Mar 175,4722586630
31 Dec 165,164-1636900
30 Sep 165,078-2,2666630
30 Jun 165,126-3,9696730
31 Mar 165,147-3,6846770
31 Dec 155,370-4,6776760
30 Sep 155,512-8,1347300

Qualität der Erträge: VST hat hohe Qualitätseinkünfte.

Wachsende Gewinnspanne: VSTDie aktuellen Gewinnspannen (10.6%) sind niedriger als im letzten Jahr (11.9%).


Analyse von freiem Cashflow und Gewinn


Analyse des Gewinnwachstums in der Vergangenheit

Ergebnisentwicklung: VST ist in den letzten 5 Jahren profitabel geworden und hat seinen Gewinn um 56% pro Jahr gesteigert.

Beschleunigtes Wachstum: VSTDas Unternehmen hat im vergangenen Jahr ein negatives Gewinnwachstum verzeichnet, so dass es nicht mit seinem 5-Jahres-Durchschnitt verglichen werden kann.

Erträge im Vergleich zur Industrie: VST hatte im vergangenen Jahr ein negatives Gewinnwachstum (-7.7%), was einen Vergleich mit dem Branchendurchschnitt Renewable Energy (39%) erschwert.


Eigenkapitalrendite

Hohe Eigenkapitalrendite: Die Eigenkapitalrendite von VST(40.39%) ist zwar hervorragend, doch ist diese Kennzahl aufgrund der hohen Verschuldung des Unternehmens verzerrt.


Kapitalrendite


Rendite auf das eingesetzte Kapital


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Unternehmensanalyse und Finanzdaten Status

DatenZuletzt aktualisiert (UTC-Zeit)
Unternehmensanalyse2026/09/13 13:12
Aktienkurs zum Tagesende2026/09/11 00:00
Gewinne2026/06/30
Jährliche Einnahmen2025/12/31

Datenquellen

Die in unserer Unternehmensanalyse verwendeten Daten stammen von S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Die folgenden Daten werden in unserem Analysemodell verwendet, um diesen Bericht zu erstellen. Die Daten sind normalisiert, was zu einer Verzögerung bei der Verfügbarkeit der Quelle führen kann.

PaketDatenZeitrahmenBeispiel US-Quelle *
Finanzdaten des Unternehmens10 Jahre
  • Gewinn- und Verlustrechnung
  • Kapitalflussrechnung
  • Bilanz
  • SEC-Formular 10-K
  • SEC-Formular 10-Q
Konsensschätzungen der Analysten+3 Jahre
  • Finanzielle Vorausschau
  • Kursziele der Analysten
  • Analysten Research Berichte
  • Blue Matrix
Marktpreise30 Jahre
  • Aktienkurse
  • Dividenden, Splits und Aktionen
  • ICE-Marktdaten
  • SEC-Formular S-1
Eigentümerschaft10 Jahre
  • Top-Aktionäre
  • Insiderhandel
  • SEC-Formular 4
  • SEC-Formular 13D
Verwaltung10 Jahre
  • Das Führungsteam
  • Direktorium
  • SEC-Formular 10-K
  • SEC-Formular DEF 14A
Wichtige Entwicklungen10 Jahre
  • Ankündigungen des Unternehmens
  • SEC-Formular 8-K

* Beispiel für US-Wertpapiere, für nicht-US-amerikanische Wertpapiere werden gleichwertige regulatorische Formulare und Quellen verwendet.

Sofern nicht anders angegeben, beziehen sich alle Finanzdaten auf einen Jahreszeitraum, werden aber vierteljährlich aktualisiert. Dies wird als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) oder Last Twelve Month (LTM) Daten bezeichnet. Erfahren Sie mehr.

Analysemodell und Schneeflocke

Details zum Analysemodell, mit dem dieser Bericht erstellt wurde, finden Sie auf unserer Github-Seite; außerdem bieten wir Leitfäden zur Nutzung unserer Berichte und Tutorials auf Youtube an.

Erfahren Sie mehr über das , das das Simply Wall St-Analysemodell entworfen und entwickelt hat.

Metriken für Industrie und Sektor

Unsere Branchen- und Sektionskennzahlen werden alle 6 Stunden von Simply Wall St berechnet. Details zu unserem Verfahren finden Sie auf Github.

Analysten-Quellen

Vistra Corp. wird von 31 Analysten beobachtet. 10 dieser Analysten hat die Umsatz- oder Gewinnschätzungen übermittelt, die als Grundlage für unseren Bericht dienen. Die von den Analysten übermittelten Daten werden im Laufe des Tages aktualisiert.

AnalystEinrichtung
Sunaina OcalanBernstein
James ThalackerBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Moses SuttonBNP Paribas

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Financial Data provided by S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC, analysis provided by Simply Wall Street Pty Ltd. Copyright © 2026, S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. All rights reserved.
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