Hallador Energy Zukünftiges Wachstum
Future Kriterienprüfungen 3/6
Für Hallador Energy wird ein Gewinn- und Umsatzwachstum von 32.8% bzw. 6.8% pro Jahr prognostiziert, während der Gewinn je Aktie voraussichtlich um 32.1% pro Jahr steigen soll.
Wichtige Informationen
32.8%
Wachstumsrate der Gewinne
32.10%
EPS-Wachstumsrate
| Renewable Energy Gewinnwachstum | 25.3% |
| Wachstumsrate der Einnahmen | 6.8% |
| Zukünftige Eigenkapitalrendite | n/a |
| Analystenabdeckung | Low |
| Zuletzt aktualisiert | 08 May 2026 |
Jüngste Aktualisierungen zum künftigen Wachstum
Recent updates
Analyseartikel • May 15
There May Be Underlying Issues With The Quality Of Hallador Energy's (NASDAQ:HNRG) Earnings
Unsurprisingly, Hallador Energy Company's ( NASDAQ:HNRG ) stock price was strong on the back of its healthy earnings...
Neues Narrativ • May 11
Long Duration Capacity Contracts And Multi Fuel Shift Will Reshape Future Earnings Profile
Catalysts About Hallador Energy Hallador Energy operates the Merom power plant and Sunrise Coal mines as a vertically integrated power and fuel platform focused on accredited capacity and merchant energy sales in the MISO region. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Analyseartikel • Jan 29
Hallador Energy Company's (NASDAQ:HNRG) Share Price Is Matching Sentiment Around Its Revenues
With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.8x Hallador Energy Company ( NASDAQ:HNRG ) may be sending bullish signals...Analyseartikel • Dec 21
Hallador Energy (NASDAQ:HNRG) Is Investing Its Capital With Increasing Efficiency
Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Ideally, a business...Seeking Alpha • Dec 18
Hallador: Capitalizing On MISO's Critical Capacity Gap
Summary Hallador Energy (HNRG) earns a buy rating for its integrated energy model and critical accredited capacity in the MISO grid. HNRG's vertical integration shields it from coal market volatility, enabling efficient scaling and margin expansion through power generation. Strong growth is underpinned by a 40% YoY revenue increase, robust liquidity, and long-term PPA negotiations with data center developers. Expansion plans for 525MW gas generation and a resilient balance sheet position HNRG for further upside despite regulatory and execution risks. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalyseartikel • Sep 16
Hallador Energy Company's (NASDAQ:HNRG) Shares May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon
With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 2x in the Renewable Energy industry in the United States, you...Analyseartikel • Jul 24
Returns On Capital Are Showing Encouraging Signs At Hallador Energy (NASDAQ:HNRG)
If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...Analyseartikel • Jun 25
Hallador Energy Company (NASDAQ:HNRG) Shares Could Be 40% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Hallador Energy fair value estimate is US$24.84 Hallador...Seeking Alpha • Mar 13
Hallador Energy: Recent Filing To MISO Indicates A Datacenter Deal Is Imminent
Summary Based on a recent filing to MISO and ongoing excavation work near the proposed datacenter site, Hallador Energy Company appears to be nearing a transformative datacenter deal. The proposed 620MW datacenter will contract most of HNRG's generation capacity for 10+ years, potentially driving annual net income to $129m and EPS to $3.03 by FY 2027. Given its minimal grid impacts and conventional front-of-the-meter structure, the project is unlikely to encounter significant regulatory delays or issues. I expect HNRG to announce a formal agreement within the next 4–5 weeks, and possibly during its upcoming Q4 earnings call on March 17th. Once a deal is announced, I expect HNRG shares to quickly re-rate above $15. Once the datacenter fully ramped up by FY 2027, I expect HNRG shares to reach $45.47. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalyseartikel • Feb 26
It's Down 27% But Hallador Energy Company (NASDAQ:HNRG) Could Be Riskier Than It Looks
Hallador Energy Company ( NASDAQ:HNRG ) shares have had a horrible month, losing 27% after a relatively good period...Analyseartikel • Nov 14
There's No Escaping Hallador Energy Company's (NASDAQ:HNRG) Muted Revenues Despite A 31% Share Price Rise
Hallador Energy Company ( NASDAQ:HNRG ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 31% gain in the last month...Analyseartikel • Aug 29
Hallador Energy (NASDAQ:HNRG) Could Be Struggling To Allocate Capital
What financial metrics can indicate to us that a company is maturing or even in decline? Businesses in decline often...Analyseartikel • Aug 08
Positive Sentiment Still Eludes Hallador Energy Company (NASDAQ:HNRG) Following 26% Share Price Slump
Hallador Energy Company ( NASDAQ:HNRG ) shares have had a horrible month, losing 26% after a relatively good period...Seeking Alpha • Jul 26
Hallador Energy: Overlooked With Long-Term Upside
Summary Hallador Energy is a coal company transitioning to an independent power producer, focusing on long-term contracts and creating shareholder value. Potential forward power sales agreements could lead to positive free cash flow by 2026, enhancing shareholder value through stock buybacks. Patience may be necessary for upside to show, require investors to wait 1-2 years in my view. Shares are a buy with a price target of $12. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalyseartikel • Jun 04
What Hallador Energy Company's (NASDAQ:HNRG) 76% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You
Hallador Energy Company ( NASDAQ:HNRG ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great...Analyseartikel • Dec 19
Market Cool On Hallador Energy Company's (NASDAQ:HNRG) Revenues Pushing Shares 26% Lower
The Hallador Energy Company ( NASDAQ:HNRG ) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a...Analyseartikel • Sep 15
Returns on Capital Paint A Bright Future For Hallador Energy (NASDAQ:HNRG)
If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. One common approach is to try and...Analyseartikel • May 10
Returns On Capital Are Showing Encouraging Signs At Hallador Energy (NASDAQ:HNRG)
If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an...Analyseartikel • Jan 28
Would Hallador Energy (NASDAQ:HNRG) Be Better Off With Less Debt?
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company...Seeking Alpha • Jul 15
Hallador Energy: The Coal Industry Isn't Going Anywhere Anytime Soon
Despite the negative sentiments around it, the coal industry will stably operate for at least the next two decades. Hallador Energy has a concerning financial health status right now but has guided for a stronger coming year because of improved pricing market, revised contracts, cost improvement, etc. The stock is valued fairly and has promising financial targets for 2023, but the major risks surrounding the company's financial health still make me neutral on the stock. I am inclined to rate the stock as a buy if it shows significant quantifiable financial improvements in the current quarter. Investment Thesis Hallador Energy Company (HNRG) mines and sells coal to electric power producers through its 3 mines in Oaktown and near Clay City, Indiana. The company has significantly benefitted from the rising coal price and the high coal demand from Europe as Russia has threatened to curb its gas supply. It has gained about 153% in market cap YTD, outpacing the energy industry's 34% gain and the market's over 19% decline. Data by YCharts Even though the general sentiment regarding the utility-coal market seems to be negative because of the stringent sustainability regulations and aggressive perceived substitution by renewable energy sources, the industry isn't going anywhere for at least the next 2 to 3 decades. For instance, the EIA reports that solar power accounted for about 4% of total energy sources in 2021, expected to reach 5% in 2022, about 14% in 2035, and 20% in 2050, despite the aggressive investments. In contrast, coal-powered plants already account for over 20% of electricity production in the U.S and will expectedly retire a little less than 30% of capacity by 2035. EIA However, despite the industry's positive signs, Hallador doesn't sport the best financial health status right now and needs to exhibit prominent improvement markers to muster investor confidence. The company's balance sheet and profitability need to show quantifiable augmented results in the current quarter to sustain the upward stock price momentum. Its valuation metrics also aren't appealing enough and offer an unfavorable risk-reward investment dynamic partly because of the recent share price surge. The company does have the potential to generate positive investment returns down the road, especially as it has lined up a much more advantageous sales position from 2023. Still, the risks outweigh the rewards right now, and I wouldn't dive in unless it offers a favorable valuation dynamic by either shedding off the recent share price gains or improving its financial statements. Hallador and the Coal Industry Coal prices have surged almost 200% in the previous 52 weeks, reaching near record-high levels amid concerns of global supply-chain shortages. In 2022, the global coal supply investment is expected to rise by 10% to counter the tight supply. In addition to other macroeconomic factors, this further solidifies the bull case for coal prices and the World Bank's projection of coal prices rising more than 80% in Europe from 2021 levels in 2022. Trading Economics Demand for coal surged 6% in 2021 due to a rebounding economy and high natural gas prices in H2 2021. Coal consumption for electricity generation has risen by 12% in China and 11% in India, and 9% globally. At the same time, Europe heavily depends on Russia to fulfill its energy requirements, with coal accounting for over 40% of its total energy imports from Russia. In April, the EU announced a ban on Russian coal imports and a two-thirds reduction of Russian gas imports starting in August 2022 because of the ongoing war. This will further strain the global supply, facilitating the rising commodity prices and leading to the EU seeking alternative sources of supply, including Australia, South Africa, Colombia, Indonesia, and the United States. The World Bank The EIA reports 289 million short tons (MMst) of coal production in the U.S. during the first half of 2022, up 2% YoY. The projection for the full year is 595 MMst, 3% higher than 2021. Meanwhile, coal consumption has decreased during the current year, leading to a decline in coal export projections from the US to 3% growth in 2022, as an estimated 12.6-gigawatt coal-fired capacity is expected to retire in 2022 amid an unpredictable detritus of the Russian invasion. S&P Global As of January 2022, there were about 240 coal-powered electricity generation plants in the U.S, which account for about 22% of the electricity production in the country. However, EIA forecasts electric power sector coal inventories to decline to 77 MMst by the year-end, 18% less than 2021 levels, with natural-gas-powered plants picking up on the lost share. The 9% coal production hike in 2021 in the U.S was primarily driven by strong export demand, which hiked 23%, increasing its exports-to-production ratio to 15%. EIA Coal consumption for electricity generation has been declining in the US for decades. In the last 2 decades, it has more than halved, with the 2022 consumption till April accounting for about 20.5% of the total electricity production in the country, compared to about 51% of the total production in 2001. This decline is predominantly driven by the global "Green Revolution," which has resulted in stringent regulations on power plants. Consequently, the U.S has not added any coal power plants for a decade and is expected to retire 59 GW of operating coal-fired capacity by 2035. EIA This means that almost 152 GW of coal-powered capacity will still operate halfway through the next decade. On average, the 42 states that still house these plants will be operating a little over 3 GW per state per annum capacity even 13 years down the road. This indicates that even if the prospects of the commodity are bleak over the next few decades, the company can still secure its decades-long future by leveraging the favorable market situation, which seems to have revived the interest in power-producing coal, by generating significant profits and cash flows for at least the next 2 decades and using them to invest in long-term sustainable revenue-generating activities, such as the acquisition of the Hoosier Energy's 1-Gigawatt Merom Generating Station, which is expected to close in the current quarter, and translating higher price-driven revenues into cash, which have already resulted in an almost 75% levered FCF growth in the MRQ, with the levered FCF margin double its peers. Hallador's profitability has been faltering recently, with the company missing its EPS targets for 10 consecutive quarters, leading to a violation of one of its financial covenants in Q1 2022, which has recently been sorted out with the financier. However, the commodity pricing advantage, cost improvements caused by the 20% productivity increase in its production, an upward revision of its contracts, and the M&A transaction are expected to substantially improve the company's profitability starting this quarter. Data by YCharts Valuation Hallador's TTM based and forward EV-to-sales and P/S ratios indicate an approximately 39% undervaluation. Still, because of the recent term violations caused by the lower-than-expected EBITDA of the company, the metric is of severe relevance and importance in valuing the stock right now. With an enterprise value of about $319.6 million and an EBITDA of $28.3 million in the trailing twelve months, Hallador's EV-to-EBITDA stands at 11.3x, which is almost 30% higher than that of its peers. The company has recently revised its guidance for 2023, raising the EBITDA estimate to $160 million, which will substantially bring the ratio down, given the current circumstances. However, it hasn't demonstrated any quantifiable steps towards achieving said targets.Seeking Alpha • Jul 08
Hallador Energy raises FY23 EBITDA $160M
Hallador Energy (NASDAQ:HNRG) has recently added new coal contracts which materially increases Q4 through 2023 pricing and volume. As a result, the company is increasing its 2023 EBITDA guidance to $160M. The increased production from both Prosperity and Freelandville are higher cost and are expected to increase cost structure to $36/ton for Q4 through 2023. Hallador expects to complete its acquisition of the Merom Power Plant in Q3, subject to receiving certain governmental and financial approvals. The Merom Power Plant is not expected to meaningfully contribute to EBITDA in 2022 and 2023. The company notes the additional coal volumes create added pressure on transportation networks which if sales are not delivered timely will create a lag to achieving EBITDA guidance.Gewinn- und Umsatzwachstumsprognosen
| Datum | Umsatz | Gewinne | Freier Cashflow | Bargeld aus operativen Tätigkeiten | Durchschn. Anz. Analysten |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 529 | 97 | 43 | 135 | 2 |
| 12/31/2027 | 501 | 69 | 9 | 71 | 4 |
| 12/31/2026 | 448 | 36 | -31 | 19 | 4 |
| 3/31/2026 | 454 | 23 | -2 | 63 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 469 | 42 | 12 | 81 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 461 | -174 | 54 | 112 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 419 | -196 | 26 | 76 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 410 | -214 | 38 | 88 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 404 | -226 | 13 | 66 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 430 | -21 | -59 | 7 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 491 | -6 | -18 | 55 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 558 | 21 | -27 | 50 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 635 | 45 | -16 | 59 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 667 | 85 | 55 | 120 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 587 | 71 | 36 | 98 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 491 | 50 | 19 | 77 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 362 | 18 | 0 | 54 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 275 | -20 | -23 | 25 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 270 | -13 | -5 | 35 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 260 | -13 | 17 | 48 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 248 | -4 | 20 | 48 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 248 | -1 | 31 | 55 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 234 | -7 | 27 | 48 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 228 | -4 | 19 | 39 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 244 | -6 | 32 | 53 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 257 | -60 | 14 | 36 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 273 | -66 | 4 | 32 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 295 | -69 | 1 | 34 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 317 | -59 | N/A | 38 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 328 | 2 | N/A | 58 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 324 | 9 | N/A | 59 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 310 | 12 | N/A | 59 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 292 | 7 | N/A | 52 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 273 | 26 | N/A | 48 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 268 | 27 | N/A | 58 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 273 | 27 | N/A | 64 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 270 | 32 | N/A | 66 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 269 | 8 | N/A | 65 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 261 | 8 | N/A | 54 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 266 | 13 | N/A | 57 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 279 | 12 | N/A | 61 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 275 | 17 | N/A | 62 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 291 | 17 | N/A | 67 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 320 | 18 | N/A | 92 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 339 | 20 | N/A | 95 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 376 | 28 | N/A | 112 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 359 | 18 | N/A | 97 | N/A |
Analystenprognosen zum zukünftigen Wachstum
Einkommen vs. Sparrate: HNRGDas prognostizierte Gewinnwachstum (32.8% pro Jahr) liegt über der Sparquote (3.5%).
Ertrag vs. Markt: HNRGDie Erträge des Unternehmens (32.8% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich schneller wachsen als der Markt US (16.7% pro Jahr).
Hohe Wachstumserträge: HNRGEs wird erwartet, dass die Erträge des Unternehmens in den nächsten 3 Jahren erheblich steigen werden.
Einnahmen vs. Markt: HNRGDie Einnahmen des Unternehmens (6.8% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als der Markt US (11.7% pro Jahr).
Hohe Wachstumseinnahmen: HNRGDie Einnahmen des Unternehmens (6.8% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als 20% pro Jahr.
Wachstumsprognosen für den Gewinn je Aktie
Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite
Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite: Unzureichende Daten, um festzustellen, ob die Eigenkapitalrendite von HNRG in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich hoch sein wird
Wachstumsunternehmen entdecken
Unternehmensanalyse und Finanzdaten Status
| Daten | Zuletzt aktualisiert (UTC-Zeit) |
|---|---|
| Unternehmensanalyse | 2026/05/21 13:01 |
| Aktienkurs zum Tagesende | 2026/05/21 00:00 |
| Gewinne | 2026/03/31 |
| Jährliche Einnahmen | 2025/12/31 |
Datenquellen
Die in unserer Unternehmensanalyse verwendeten Daten stammen von S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Die folgenden Daten werden in unserem Analysemodell verwendet, um diesen Bericht zu erstellen. Die Daten sind normalisiert, was zu einer Verzögerung bei der Verfügbarkeit der Quelle führen kann.
| Paket | Daten | Zeitrahmen | Beispiel US-Quelle * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finanzdaten des Unternehmens | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Konsensschätzungen der Analysten | +3 Jahre |
|
|
| Marktpreise | 30 Jahre |
| |
| Eigentümerschaft | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Verwaltung | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Wichtige Entwicklungen | 10 Jahre |
|
* Beispiel für US-Wertpapiere, für nicht-US-amerikanische Wertpapiere werden gleichwertige regulatorische Formulare und Quellen verwendet.
Sofern nicht anders angegeben, beziehen sich alle Finanzdaten auf einen Jahreszeitraum, werden aber vierteljährlich aktualisiert. Dies wird als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) oder Last Twelve Month (LTM) Daten bezeichnet. Erfahren Sie mehr.
Analysemodell und Schneeflocke
Einzelheiten zu dem Analysemodell, mit dem dieser Bericht erstellt wurde, finden Sie auf unserer Github-Seite. Außerdem bieten wir Leitfäden zur Verwendung unserer Berichte und Tutorials auf YouTube an.
Erfahren Sie mehr über das Weltklasse-Team, das das Simply Wall St-Analysemodell entworfen und entwickelt hat.
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Analysten-Quellen
Hallador Energy Company wird von 6 Analysten beobachtet. 4 dieser Analysten hat die Umsatz- oder Gewinnschätzungen übermittelt, die als Grundlage für unseren Bericht dienen. Die von den Analysten übermittelten Daten werden im Laufe des Tages aktualisiert.
| Analyst | Einrichtung |
|---|---|
| Jacob Sekelsky | Alliance Global Partners |
| Jeffrey Grampp | Alliance Global Partners |
| Nicholas Giles | B. Riley Securities, Inc. |