Stock Analysis

Positive Sentiment Still Eludes Hallador Energy Company (NASDAQ:HNRG) Following 26% Share Price Slump

NasdaqCM:HNRG
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Hallador Energy Company (NASDAQ:HNRG) shares have had a horrible month, losing 26% after a relatively good period beforehand. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 48% in that time.

Following the heavy fall in price, Hallador Energy's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Oil and Gas industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 1.8x and even P/S above 4x are quite common. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Hallador Energy

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:HNRG Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 8th 2024

How Hallador Energy Has Been Performing

With revenue that's retreating more than the industry's average of late, Hallador Energy has been very sluggish. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to improve at all. If you still like the company, you'd want its revenue trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. If not, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Hallador Energy's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

Hallador Energy's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 17%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 107% in total over the last three years. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 5.4% as estimated by the lone analyst watching the company. That's shaping up to be similar to the 6.6% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we find it odd that Hallador Energy is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

What We Can Learn From Hallador Energy's P/S?

Hallador Energy's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Oil and Gas companies. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've seen that Hallador Energy currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecast growth is in line with the wider industry. Despite average revenue growth estimates, there could be some unobserved threats keeping the P/S low. However, if you agree with the analysts' forecasts, you may be able to pick up the stock at an attractive price.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Hallador Energy that you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Hallador Energy might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.