Fair Isaac Vergangene Ertragsentwicklung
Vergangenheit Kriterienprüfungen 5/6
Die Gewinne von Fair Isaac sind jährlich um durchschnittlich 15.4% gestiegen, während die Gewinne der Branche Software jährlich um gewachsen um 21.9% gestiegen sind. Die Umsätze sind jährlich um gewachsen 10.6% gestiegen.
Wichtige Informationen
15.40%
Wachstumsrate der Gewinne
18.99%
EPS-Wachstumsrate
| Software Wachstum der Industrie | 17.33% |
| Wachstumsrate der Einnahmen | 10.63% |
| Eigenkapitalrendite | n/a |
| Netto-Marge | 33.67% |
| Letzte Ertragsaktualisierung | 31 Mar 2026 |
Jüngste Aktualisierungen vergangener Leistungen
Recent updates
Analyse-Update • May 01
FICO: Cheaper Rival Credit Scores Will Pressure Future Mortgage Pricing Power
Analysts have reduced Fair Isaac's average price target by roughly $230 to about $890, reflecting updated assumptions for slightly lower revenue growth, slimmer profit margins and a more conservative future P/E multiple, despite mixed recent price target moves across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Fair Isaac has tilted more cautious, with a series of price target cuts clustering over a relatively short period.Analyseartikel • May 01
Results: Fair Isaac Corporation Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates
A week ago, Fair Isaac Corporation ( NYSE:FICO ) came out with a strong set of second-quarter numbers that could...Seeking Alpha • Apr 23
VantageScore 4.0 And AI Fundamentally Threaten Fair Isaac
Summary Fair Isaac faces existential threats from VantageScore 4.0 and AI, undermining its historic moat and pricing power. VantageScore 4.0, backed by major credit bureaus, offers dramatically lower pricing and could displace FICO in the mortgage ecosystem. AI-driven reductions in switching costs threaten both FICO’s scoring and software businesses, eroding barriers to competitor adoption. I assign a Sell rating: valuation is unsustainable given margin compression, slowing EPS growth, and risky debt-funded buybacks. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analyse-Update • Apr 15
FICO: Competitive Mortgage Pricing Shifts Are Expected To Create Future Upside Opportunity
Analysts have reduced their implied price target on Fair Isaac from about $1,971 to roughly $1,728. This reflects updated views on competitive pressure from lower priced VantageScore offerings, modest adjustments to long term profit expectations, and slightly lower assumed future P/E multiples.Analyse-Update • Apr 01
FICO: Mortgage License Push Will Face Cheaper Score Rivals And Buyback Support
Analysts have reduced Fair Isaac's implied value from about $1,490 to roughly $1,120 per share. This reflects lower Street price targets in response to new competitive pressure from low-priced VantageScore offerings and recent research caution on FICO's mortgage and pricing outlook.
Neue Analyse • Mar 19
Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO): A Tale of Two Segments Amid a Market Correction
Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) has long been the "gold standard" of the credit world, but the narrative on March 19, 2026, is one of intense volatility. The stock closed the session at $1,114.27 USD , enduring a sharp 7.43% decline in a single day.
Analyse-Update • Mar 18
FICO: Capital Returns Will Offset Mortgage Pricing Pressure Over Time
Analyst price targets for Fair Isaac have been revised lower, with several firms cutting targets in a range from about $2,500 to $1,350 as they weigh potential competitive pressure from lower priced VantageScore offerings, differing views on regulatory risk, and the impact of the company's recent $1b debt raise on shareholder returns. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Fair Isaac highlights a split tape of opinion, with some firms cutting price targets while others point to potential upside drivers around capital returns, competitive positioning, and long term growth in information and business services.Analyse-Update • Mar 04
FICO: Regulatory Overhang Is Expected To Create Future Upside Opportunity
Our updated analyst price target for Fair Isaac shifts to $1,971 from $2,023, reflecting refreshed views on revenue growth, profitability, and future P/E assumptions that have been influenced by recent Street research taking a generally constructive stance on the broader information and business services group. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Fair Isaac clusters around valuation reset, regulatory watchpoints, and how the company can execute against growth expectations implied by current multiples.Analyse-Update • Feb 17
FICO: Mortgage Competition Will Reinforce Core Credit Scoring Franchise
Analysts have modestly fine tuned their Fair Isaac price targets, incorporating updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples into a refreshed model that reflects recent Street research on the name. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are highlighting Fair Isaac as a key name within the broader Information and Business Services group, with fresh coverage and revised targets reflecting confidence in the company’s ability to execute on its business model.Analyse-Update • Feb 03
FICO: Mortgage Scoring Review Will Reinforce Core Franchise Strength
Analysts kept their Fair Isaac fair value estimate steady at $2,500.00, but modest tweaks to revenue growth, profit margin, discount rate and future P/E inputs reflect mixed recent research. Some firms raised price targets on optimism around FICO 10T and long term adoption, while others trimmed targets following a softer software quarter and more cautious management guidance.Analyse-Update • Jan 20
FICO: Core Credit Franchise Will Withstand New Mortgage Scoring Competition
Analysts have adjusted the Fair Isaac price target to about US$2,500, reflecting updated assumptions for faster revenue growth, stronger profit margins, a higher discount rate, and a lower future P/E multiple, supported by recent research that highlights both the potential benefit of FICO 10T and mixed reactions to the company’s fiscal 2026 outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Fair Isaac highlights a mix of optimism on the core franchise and caution around the fiscal 2026 outlook.Analyse-Update • Jan 06
FICO: Mortgage Credit Score Changes Will Support Future Share Gains
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Fair Isaac by about US$8.60 to reflect slightly lower revenue growth assumptions and a modestly higher discount rate, while still highlighting FICO 10T and ongoing credit score adoption as key supports for the updated price targets. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Fair Isaac presents a mixed picture, with several firms highlighting growth drivers tied to FICO 10T and long term revenue potential, while others flag valuation and regulatory risks that could limit upside from current levels.Analyse-Update • Dec 15
FICO: Rising Mortgage License Ambitions Will Likely Struggle Against Intensifying Score Competition
Analysts have nudged our Fair Isaac fair value estimate higher from $1,364 to about $1,490. This reflects slightly faster expected revenue growth, modestly lower future valuation multiples, and the view that initiatives like FICO 10T and the mortgage direct license program will reinforce the company’s dominant, high margin scoring franchise despite near term guidance uncertainty.Analyse-Update • Nov 30
FICO: Upcoming Mortgage Program Will Strengthen Share Amid Credit Score Shakeup
Analysts have modestly raised their fair value estimate for Fair Isaac to $2,031.78, citing recent updates in price targets and improved outlooks based on stronger revenue growth, profit margin expansion, and continued positive sentiment around the company's new products and fiscal performance. Analyst Commentary Analysts have recently weighed in on Fair Isaac's outlook, highlighting both promising growth factors and areas warranting caution.Analyse-Update • Nov 16
FICO: Recent License Program Will Drive Incremental Revenue Growth Opportunities
Fair Isaac's analyst price target has seen a modest decrease, as updated guidance and a slightly lower projected profit margin have led analysts to trim fair value estimates by less than $1 to $2,016. This adjustment is due to more conservative forecasts and ongoing uncertainty in the mortgage sector.Analyse-Update • Oct 31
FICO: New Mortgage Direct License Program Will Drive Market Leadership
Analysts have raised their price target for Fair Isaac to $2,400 from $2,000. They cited stronger-than-expected revenue growth and optimism about the company’s new mortgage direct license program.Analyse-Update • Oct 17
Global Cloud Migration And International Partnerships Will Transform Financial Services
Analysts have increased their fair value estimate for Fair Isaac from $1,913 to $2,017, citing stronger revenue growth and improved profit outlook following recent updates to the company’s business model. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage of Fair Isaac has produced a mix of bullish and bearish views, as analysts assess the impact of the company's updated business model and Mortgage Direct License Program on its growth trajectory and competitive positioning.Analyse-Update • Oct 03
Global Cloud Migration And International Partnerships Will Transform Financial Services
Fair Isaac's analyst price target has risen from $1,874.70 to $1,913.47. This change reflects improved views on its mortgage licensing business, sustained market leadership, and incremental increases to revenue growth and profit margin expectations, according to analysts.Analyse-Update • Sep 02
Global Cloud Migration And International Partnerships Will Transform Financial Services
The consensus price target for Fair Isaac decreased to $1,872 as analysts weighed increased regulatory uncertainty and competitive threats from the FHFA’s move to include VantageScore 4.0, though resilient EPS estimates and a robust business model remain supportive of fair value. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts lowered price targets due to the Federal Housing Finance Agency's decision to allow Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to use VantageScore 4.0, raising concerns about increased competition and potential erosion of FICO's monopoly.Analyseartikel • Aug 02
Fair Isaac Corporation's (NYSE:FICO) Share Price Is Still Matching Investor Opinion Despite 25% Slump
To the annoyance of some shareholders, Fair Isaac Corporation ( NYSE:FICO ) shares are down a considerable 25% in the...Analyseartikel • Aug 01
Fair Isaac Corporation Just Beat EPS By 14%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
Fair Isaac Corporation ( NYSE:FICO ) just released its third-quarter report and things are looking bullish. It was...Analyseartikel • May 21
Fair Isaac's Pricing Woes: A New Investment Thesis Awaits
FICO shares dropped 8.11% following concerns over credit scorer's pricing by a federal housing official, snapping a winning streak. Despite analyst consensus optimism, FICO's significant price decline prompts a reassessment of its established investment narrative.Seeking Alpha • Apr 21
Fair Isaac Corporation: Shares Deserve To Fall Like My Credit Score Does
Summary Fair Isaac Corporation is a high-quality, global analytics firm with impressive revenue and profit growth, but its stock is currently overvalued. Despite strong financials and minimal debt, FICO's shares are expensive relative to similar companies and their historical valuations. Management's ongoing stock buybacks are suboptimal at current high valuations; capital should be allocated toward growth opportunities instead. Analysts expect continued revenue and profit growth, but I recommend a 'sell' rating due to the stock's lofty valuation. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 18
Fair Isaac: Score Prices Shall Keep Rising
Summary Fair Isaac keeps executing its price increase strategy and still has room for further increases in the scores segment. Volume growth in mortgage originations (110% YoY), on top of the increase in prices, should boost its free cash flow in FY2025. The growth rate has decreased in the software segment, but management expects it to accelerate in the coming quarters. A change in regulation is unlikely over the next years. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 06
Fair Isaac: Valuation Has Come Down, But It Is Still Expensive
Summary I reiterate my hold rating for Fair Isaac due to its high valuation multiple and potential for further derating if growth slows in 2Q25. FICO’s Scores segment shows strong growth with a 110% y/y increase in mortgage scores revenue, driven by significant pricing power and volume demand. Despite concerns in the software segment, FICO’s strong free cash flow and underpenetrated TAM offer long-term growth potential. Valuation remains the biggest issue, with FICO trading at >50x forward earnings, leaving no margin for error if growth decelerates. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAufschlüsselung der Einnahmen und Ausgaben
Aufschlüsselung der Einnahmen und Ausgaben
Wie Fair Isaac Geld verdient und ausgibt. Basierend auf den neuesten gemeldeten Einnahmen der letzten zwölf Monate.
Gewinn- und Umsatzhistorie
| Datum | Einnahmen | Gewinn | Allgemeine und Verwaltungskosten | F&E-Ausgaben |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar 26 | 2,256 | 760 | 549 | 202 |
| 31 Dec 25 | 2,063 | 658 | 526 | 193 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 1,991 | 652 | 513 | 188 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 1,929 | 633 | 510 | 182 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 1,840 | 577 | 496 | 179 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 1,775 | 544 | 486 | 174 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 1,718 | 513 | 463 | 172 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 1,653 | 479 | 439 | 169 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 1,604 | 481 | 423 | 167 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 1,551 | 453 | 412 | 166 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 1,514 | 429 | 401 | 160 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 1,473 | 419 | 397 | 154 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 1,423 | 383 | 383 | 148 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 1,400 | 386 | 379 | 144 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 1,377 | 374 | 384 | 147 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 1,363 | 369 | 385 | 152 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 1,352 | 426 | 400 | 162 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 1,326 | 391 | 400 | 170 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 1,317 | 392 | 396 | 171 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 1,356 | 365 | 405 | 177 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 1,332 | 278 | 397 | 172 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 1,308 | 268 | 403 | 168 |
| 30 Sep 20 | 1,295 | 236 | 421 | 166 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 1,226 | 232 | 421 | 159 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 1,226 | 232 | 424 | 155 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 1,196 | 207 | 426 | 153 |
| 30 Sep 19 | 1,160 | 192 | 414 | 149 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 1,111 | 170 | 401 | 144 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 1,052 | 136 | 396 | 140 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 1,030 | 134 | 387 | 135 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 1,000 | 126 | 377 | 128 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 997 | 134 | 368 | 124 |
| 31 Mar 18 | 973 | 129 | 355 | 120 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 945 | 123 | 345 | 114 |
| 30 Sep 17 | 935 | 133 | 337 | 111 |
| 30 Jun 17 | 915 | 120 | 341 | 108 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 923 | 130 | 344 | 107 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 901 | 128 | 335 | 105 |
| 30 Sep 16 | 881 | 109 | 329 | 104 |
| 30 Jun 16 | 878 | 111 | 322 | 102 |
| 31 Mar 16 | 849 | 96 | 310 | 101 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 849 | 91 | 306 | 101 |
| 30 Sep 15 | 839 | 87 | 300 | 99 |
| 30 Jun 15 | 828 | 90 | 295 | 95 |
Qualität der Erträge: FICO hat hohe Qualitätseinkünfte.
Wachsende Gewinnspanne: FICODie aktuellen Gewinnspannen (33.7%) sind höher als im letzten Jahr (31.4%).
Analyse von freiem Cashflow und Gewinn
Analyse des Gewinnwachstums in der Vergangenheit
Ergebnisentwicklung: FICOIn den letzten 5 Jahren sind die Gewinne von 15.4% jährlich gestiegen.
Beschleunigtes Wachstum: FICODas Gewinnwachstum des Unternehmens im letzten Jahr (31.6%) übertrifft seinen 5-Jahres-Durchschnitt (15.4% pro Jahr).
Erträge im Vergleich zur Industrie: FICO Das Gewinnwachstum im vergangenen Jahr (31.6%) übertraf das der Branche Software 13% .
Eigenkapitalrendite
Hohe Eigenkapitalrendite: FICODie Verbindlichkeiten des Unternehmens übersteigen seine Vermögenswerte, so dass es schwierig ist, seine Eigenkapitalrendite zu berechnen.
Kapitalrendite
Rendite auf das eingesetzte Kapital
Entdecken Sie starke Unternehmen, die in der Vergangenheit erfolgreich waren
Unternehmensanalyse und Finanzdaten Status
| Daten | Zuletzt aktualisiert (UTC-Zeit) |
|---|---|
| Unternehmensanalyse | 2026/05/07 15:14 |
| Aktienkurs zum Tagesende | 2026/05/07 00:00 |
| Gewinne | 2026/03/31 |
| Jährliche Einnahmen | 2025/09/30 |
Datenquellen
Die in unserer Unternehmensanalyse verwendeten Daten stammen von S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Die folgenden Daten werden in unserem Analysemodell verwendet, um diesen Bericht zu erstellen. Die Daten sind normalisiert, was zu einer Verzögerung bei der Verfügbarkeit der Quelle führen kann.
| Paket | Daten | Zeitrahmen | Beispiel US-Quelle * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finanzdaten des Unternehmens | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Konsensschätzungen der Analysten | +3 Jahre |
|
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| Marktpreise | 30 Jahre |
| |
| Eigentümerschaft | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Verwaltung | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Wichtige Entwicklungen | 10 Jahre |
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* Beispiel für US-Wertpapiere, für nicht-US-amerikanische Wertpapiere werden gleichwertige regulatorische Formulare und Quellen verwendet.
Sofern nicht anders angegeben, beziehen sich alle Finanzdaten auf einen Jahreszeitraum, werden aber vierteljährlich aktualisiert. Dies wird als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) oder Last Twelve Month (LTM) Daten bezeichnet. Erfahren Sie mehr.
Analysemodell und Schneeflocke
Einzelheiten zu dem Analysemodell, mit dem dieser Bericht erstellt wurde, finden Sie auf unserer Github-Seite. Außerdem bieten wir Leitfäden zur Verwendung unserer Berichte und Tutorials auf YouTube an.
Erfahren Sie mehr über das Weltklasse-Team, das das Simply Wall St-Analysemodell entworfen und entwickelt hat.
Metriken für Industrie und Sektor
Unsere Branchen- und Sektionskennzahlen werden alle 6 Stunden von Simply Wall St berechnet. Details zu unserem Verfahren finden Sie auf Github.
Analysten-Quellen
Fair Isaac Corporation wird von 34 Analysten beobachtet. 20 dieser Analysten hat die Umsatz- oder Gewinnschätzungen übermittelt, die als Grundlage für unseren Bericht dienen. Die von den Analysten übermittelten Daten werden im Laufe des Tages aktualisiert.
| Analyst | Einrichtung |
|---|---|
| Jeffrey Meuler | Baird |
| Manav Patnaik | Barclays |
| Jeffrey Silber | BMO Capital Markets Equity Research |