Walt Disney Zukünftiges Wachstum
Future Kriterienprüfungen 1/6
Walt Disney wird ein jährliches Gewinn- und Umsatzwachstum von 12.7% bzw. 4.5% prognostiziert. Der Gewinn pro Aktie wird voraussichtlich wachsen um 15.1% pro Jahr. Die Eigenkapitalrendite wird in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich 10.4% betragen.
Wichtige Informationen
12.7%
Wachstumsrate der Gewinne
15.14%
EPS-Wachstumsrate
| Entertainment Gewinnwachstum | 24.2% |
| Wachstumsrate der Einnahmen | 4.5% |
| Zukünftige Eigenkapitalrendite | 10.43% |
| Analystenabdeckung | Good |
| Zuletzt aktualisiert | 13 Aug 2026 |
Jüngste Aktualisierungen zum künftigen Wachstum
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • Aug 06
Disney: The Turnaround Is Real, But I Am Not Buying (Earnings Review)
Summary Disney delivered a strong Q3 with 7% revenue growth, 21% operating income expansion, and a 13% SVOD margin—confirming the turnaround in Entertainment and continued strength in Experiences. DIS's management guided to high‑single‑digit FY26 revenue growth and at least $9B in buybacks, while segment trends show accelerating Entertainment, resilient Experiences, and a temporary dip in Sports. Despite improving fundamentals and a healthier balance sheet, valuation screens as fair; my DCF places intrinsic value near the current price, leading me to maintain a neutral rating on Disney. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative-Update • Jul 30
DIS: Experiences And Streaming Monetization Will Drive Future Repricing Under Execution Focus
Analysts have trimmed their average price targets on Walt Disney by a few dollars, generally citing updated models that reflect slightly lower fair value estimates and P/E assumptions, along with mixed views on parks, film and streaming profitability. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Walt Disney highlights a mixed but engaged Wall Street view, with both bullish and bearish analysts adjusting price targets and focusing closely on execution in parks, streaming, film, and ESPN.Narrative-Update • Jun 18
DIS: Streaming Profitability And Parks Expansion Under New Leadership Will Drive Repricing
The analyst price target for Walt Disney has been revised slightly higher to align with a new fair value estimate of about $130. Analysts are factoring in a modestly lower discount rate and steady assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E, supported by recent research citing a more profitable film slate and a resilient Parks division.Narrative-Update • Jun 02
DIS: Streaming Profitability And Parks Execution Under New Leadership Will Drive Repricing
Analysts have adjusted the Walt Disney fair value estimate slightly higher to about $129, with modest tweaks to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions guiding the updated price target. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Walt Disney has centered on fine tuning price targets rather than sweeping changes in views, with several banks adjusting their fair value assumptions by relatively small increments.Narrative-Update • May 02
DIS: New Leadership And ESPN Retention Will Support Future Earnings Repricing
Analysts now see Walt Disney's fair value edging to $128.25 per share, a modest trim of about $0.17, as they refresh assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E following a series of recent price target reductions and one upgrade on the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Walt Disney clusters around valuation reset rather than a wholesale change in the story.Narrative-Update • Apr 16
DIS: IP Strength And New Leadership Will Support Future Earnings Repricing
Analysts have reduced their average price target on Walt Disney by $0.80 to reflect more cautious assumptions on long term P/E, revenue growth, and profit margins, following a series of recent target reductions from several firms alongside one upgrade. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Walt Disney shows a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms trimming price targets and one firm upgrading the stock.Narrative-Update • Apr 01
DIS: IP Strength And New Leadership Will Drive Future Repricing Potential
Analysts have trimmed the Walt Disney analyst price target slightly, reflecting modest adjustments to fair value, discount rate, revenue growth and profit margin assumptions after a series of recent target cuts from Deutsche Bank, Wells Fargo, Guggenheim, Rosenblatt, BofA and Citi, partly offset by a new $130 target from Phillip Securities and a fresh upgrade at Raymond James. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Walt Disney shows a mix of optimism around the company’s assets and execution, alongside caution on valuation and near term fundamentals.
Narrative-Update • Mar 31
End of OpenAI deal not a massive loss
In my last narrative, I pointed to the deal Disney struck with OpenAI as an example of its leadership in merging the entertainment and AI worlds. This deal has now ended.Narrative-Update • Mar 18
DIS: IP Strength And New Leadership Will Support Future Share Repricing
Narrative Update on Walt Disney The updated analyst price target for Walt Disney edges slightly lower to about $130. This reflects small adjustments to fair value and discount rate as analysts factor in recent target cuts from firms that still cite solid execution and the strength of the company’s intellectual property and multi platform engagement.Narrative-Update • Mar 04
DIS: IP Strength And Leadership Transition Will Shape Future Share Repricing
Our Walt Disney narrative remains anchored to a fair value of $130.57. The updated inputs reflect a modestly higher discount rate and slightly firmer revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions that line up with recent analyst price target revisions and their focus on the company’s intellectual property strength and early fiscal year performance.Neues Narrative • Feb 25
The happiest company on Earth, also perennially misunderstood.
When I first purchased shares in Disney, back in 2016, the narrative was all focused-on cord-cutting at ESPN. Since that time, it has shifted frequently.Narrative-Update • Feb 18
DIS: IP Monetization And Upcoming Leadership Transition Will Drive Future Share Repricing
Analysts have made a modest upward adjustment to their Walt Disney fair value estimate, with the price target moving by about $0.12. They are factoring in slightly higher expected revenue growth, a marginally lower discount rate, and a somewhat higher future P/E assumption, despite a small trim to projected profit margins, supported by recent research that highlights solid early fiscal-year results and the company's ability to monetize its intellectual property across platforms.Analyseartikel • Feb 11
Additional Considerations Required While Assessing Walt Disney's (NYSE:DIS) Strong Earnings
The Walt Disney Company ( NYSE:DIS ) announced strong profits, but the stock was stagnant. We did some digging, and we...Narrative-Update • Feb 04
DIS: Streaming Strength And Succession Plan Will Drive Future Share Repricing
Analysts have lowered their Walt Disney fair value estimate from about $133 to roughly $130 per share, reflecting a modest increase in assumed risk, a reduced future P/E multiple, and updated views on revenue growth and profitability following recent price target cuts and new coverage on the stock. Analyst Commentary Street research on Walt Disney over the past several months reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms trimming price targets while still highlighting key strengths in the business.Analyseartikel • Jan 31
Walt Disney (NYSE:DIS) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.75
The board of The Walt Disney Company ( NYSE:DIS ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.75 per share on the...
Narrative-Update • Jan 23
ESPN' streaming transition and monetisation are starting to prove out
A few things have moved in a positive direction for Disney’s sports business recently. Headline line: Disney is strengthening ESPN’s position from a few different angles -protecting distribution, keeping the live sports engine strong, and continuing the shift toward a bigger streaming-led future.Analyseartikel • Jan 17
Walt Disney (NYSE:DIS) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.75
The board of The Walt Disney Company ( NYSE:DIS ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.75 per share on the...Neues Narrative • Sep 19
ESPN’s NFL Power Play: How Disney’s Sports Engine Could Drive the Next Leg of Stock Growth
Key Takeaways Disney is entering a new growth phase with streaming finally reaching profitability and the Experiences division expanding rapidly. ESPN is emerging as a pivotal growth engine, with its partnership potential—especially with the NFL—set to redefine sports streaming.Narrative-Update • Sep 15
Global Cruises And Digital Integration Will Expand Market Presence
Walt Disney’s consensus revenue growth forecast has increased while its future P/E multiple has decreased, indicating improved growth prospects and a more attractive valuation, resulting in a marginal increase in fair value to $133.22. What's in the News Disney has filed a lawsuit against Dish Network over Sling TV's 24-hour subscription packages, alleging a breach of programming distribution agreements and seeking removal of Disney networks from those packages (Variety).Analyseartikel • Sep 13
Subdued Growth No Barrier To The Walt Disney Company's (NYSE:DIS) Price
There wouldn't be many who think The Walt Disney Company's ( NYSE:DIS ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 18x is...Seeking Alpha • Apr 21
Disney: Opportunity Knocks - Upgrade To Buy
Summary The investment case for Disney had been substantially de-risked thanks to excellent progress in Direct-to-Consumer. I remain concerned about the level of Experiences capital expenditure, but this downside risk is now acceptable when balanced against multiple medium-term earnings growth prospects. Opportunities to buy a high-quality business at a cheap multiple do not come along often, and I therefore upgrade Disney to Buy. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 30
Disney Stock: Growth Or Just Retreading IP?
Summary Disney stock has fluctuated between high $80s and low $100s post-COVID, far from its March 2021 peak of $196.76. Disney has made progress in simplifying its corporate structure and focusing on streaming and Experiences, but faces challenges with linear TV and ESPN. Management, particularly Iger, has yet to clarify the future of linear TV and ESPN, raising concerns about leadership stability. Speculation surrounds Iger's potential departure, with no clear signals or industry gossip suggesting a definitive exit plan. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 21
Disney Charts Mission To Correct Course, But Must Navigate New Obstacles In The Short Term
Summary Disney is navigating leadership succession and strategic direction amid a rapidly changing entertainment landscape, with Bob Iger set to step down next year. The company's DEI-focused initiatives have faced backlash, impacting its brand and financial performance, exemplified by the underwhelming box office of The Little Mermaid. The upcoming live-action Snow White faces controversy and uncertainty, reflecting broader challenges Disney must address to stabilize its future direction. Disney's 2026 slate looks more promising with proven franchises, but it needs a hit with Snow White to bridge the gap until then. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 12
Disney: Surging DTC Profitability
Summary Disney's strong Q1'25 results highlight significant growth in its streaming segment, with operating income surging 31% year-over-year due to subscriber monetization. Despite a 1% subscriber decline in Disney+, the streaming company saw net subscription growth of 0.9M due to Hulu. Disney is seeing improving subscriber monetization and long term trends in revenue, operating income and EBITDA point upwards. Disney trades at a compelling valuation, with a forward P/E ratio of 16.8X, making it ~20% cheaper than its 3-year average and more attractive than competitors. Risks include potential slowdown in Disney+ subscriber growth, but overall, Disney remains a buy due to its strong fundamentals and undervaluation. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 22
Happy Ending In H2 - Upgrading Disney To Buy
Summary Disney reported Q1 2025 results and got a pretty mixed market reaction, with lower-than-expected Experiences revenue and a modest decline in Disney+ subscribers. I think the Disney+ subscriber decline will be an issue in the first half of the year but not the second, and the Experience headwinds will be temporary, too. The paid sharing program should drive gains in the second half of the year, and I'm eyeing a recovery in Disney+ numbers for FY25. I think Disney is set up for much more upside because it's delivering where it matters: profitable growth. I hereon share my sentiment on Disney and why I think it's positioned to outperform in the second half of FY25. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 15
Disney: 2025 Deep-Dive Reveals A Wonderful Business And A Real Undervaluation
Summary Disney's has a wide economic moat that is reinforced by its powerful IPs, popular theme parks, and strategic DTC streaming initiatives. Disney's Q1 2025 earnings showed solid revenue growth and an excellent increase in operating profits. Improved financials highlight Disney's robust operational performance, despite lingering challenges from the Fox acquisition and DTC transition. Risks include market cyclicality, competitive pressures, and execution risks, but the long-term outlook appears positive at present. Shares appear 26% undervalued: rating upgrade to Buy. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaGewinn- und Umsatzwachstumsprognosen
| Datum | Umsatz | Gewinne | Freier Cashflow | Bargeld aus operativen Tätigkeiten | Durchschn. Anz. Analysten |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/30/2028 | 110,092 | 12,496 | 11,489 | 20,910 | 20 |
| 9/30/2027 | 105,974 | 11,448 | 10,633 | 19,472 | 30 |
| 9/30/2026 | 101,410 | 9,921 | 10,207 | 19,518 | 29 |
| 6/27/2026 | 98,861 | 8,600 | 8,293 | 16,989 | N/A |
| 3/28/2026 | 97,263 | 11,224 | 7,110 | 15,792 | N/A |
| 12/27/2025 | 95,716 | 12,252 | 7,060 | 15,631 | N/A |
| 9/27/2025 | 94,425 | 12,404 | 10,077 | 18,101 | N/A |
| 6/28/2025 | 94,535 | 11,551 | 11,548 | 19,145 | N/A |
| 3/29/2025 | 94,040 | 8,910 | 10,896 | 18,078 | N/A |
| 12/28/2024 | 92,502 | 5,615 | 8,412 | 14,991 | N/A |
| 9/28/2024 | 91,361 | 4,972 | 8,559 | 13,971 | N/A |
| 6/29/2024 | 90,028 | 4,776 | 7,958 | 13,255 | N/A |
| 3/30/2024 | 89,203 | 1,695 | 8,358 | 13,455 | N/A |
| 12/30/2023 | 88,935 | 2,986 | 7,938 | 13,025 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 88,898 | 2,354 | 4,897 | 9,866 | N/A |
| 7/1/2023 | 87,807 | 2,252 | 2,845 | 7,588 | N/A |
| 4/1/2023 | 86,981 | 4,121 | 1,395 | 6,708 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 84,415 | 3,320 | 106 | 5,249 | N/A |
| 10/1/2022 | 82,722 | 3,193 | 1,067 | 6,010 | N/A |
| 7/2/2022 | 81,106 | 3,191 | 1,216 | 6,121 | N/A |
| 4/2/2022 | 76,624 | 2,705 | 1,551 | 5,659 | N/A |
| 1/1/2022 | 72,988 | 3,147 | 1,471 | 5,270 | N/A |
| 10/2/2021 | 67,418 | 2,024 | 1,989 | 5,567 | N/A |
| 7/3/2021 | 63,591 | 1,154 | 1,402 | 4,599 | N/A |
| 4/3/2021 | 58,348 | -4,487 | 1,332 | 4,299 | N/A |
| 1/2/2021 | 60,760 | -4,931 | 2,647 | 6,091 | N/A |
| 10/3/2020 | 65,388 | -2,832 | 3,596 | 7,618 | N/A |
| 6/27/2020 | 69,799 | -1,345 | 3,369 | 7,971 | N/A |
| 3/28/2020 | 78,282 | 4,803 | N/A | 5,418 | N/A |
| 12/28/2019 | 75,181 | 9,765 | N/A | 6,118 | N/A |
| 9/28/2019 | 69,607 | 10,425 | N/A | 6,606 | N/A |
| 6/29/2019 | 64,795 | 11,970 | N/A | 8,439 | N/A |
| 3/30/2019 | 59,762 | 13,456 | N/A | 13,511 | N/A |
| 12/29/2018 | 59,386 | 10,963 | N/A | 14,157 | N/A |
| 9/29/2018 | 59,434 | 12,598 | N/A | 14,295 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 57,907 | 12,023 | N/A | 14,012 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 56,916 | 11,473 | N/A | 14,433 | N/A |
| 12/30/2017 | 55,704 | 10,924 | N/A | 13,135 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 55,137 | 8,980 | N/A | 12,343 | N/A |
| 7/1/2017 | 55,500 | 9,004 | N/A | 12,294 | N/A |
| 4/1/2017 | 55,539 | 9,235 | N/A | 11,824 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 55,172 | 8,990 | N/A | 12,125 | N/A |
| 10/1/2016 | 55,632 | 9,391 | N/A | 13,136 | N/A |
| 7/2/2016 | 56,002 | 9,229 | N/A | 12,943 | N/A |
| 4/2/2016 | 54,826 | 9,115 | N/A | 12,121 | N/A |
| 1/2/2016 | 54,318 | 9,080 | N/A | 11,510 | N/A |
| 10/3/2015 | 52,465 | 8,382 | N/A | 11,385 | N/A |
Analystenprognosen zum zukünftigen Wachstum
Einkommen vs. Sparrate: DISDas prognostizierte Gewinnwachstum (12.7% pro Jahr) liegt über der Sparquote (3.7%).
Ertrag vs. Markt: DISDie Erträge des Unternehmens (12.7% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als der Markt US (17.1% pro Jahr).
Hohe Wachstumserträge: DISDie Erträge des Unternehmens werden voraussichtlich steigen, jedoch nicht deutlich.
Einnahmen vs. Markt: DISDie Einnahmen des Unternehmens (4.5% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als der Markt US (13% pro Jahr).
Hohe Wachstumseinnahmen: DISDie Einnahmen des Unternehmens (4.5% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als 20% pro Jahr.
Wachstumsprognosen für den Gewinn je Aktie
Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite
Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite: DISDie Eigenkapitalrendite des Unternehmens wird in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich niedrig sein (10.4%).
Wachstumsunternehmen entdecken
Unternehmensanalyse und Finanzdaten Status
| Daten | Zuletzt aktualisiert (UTC-Zeit) |
|---|---|
| Unternehmensanalyse | 2026/08/17 10:45 |
| Aktienkurs zum Tagesende | 2026/08/14 00:00 |
| Gewinne | 2026/06/27 |
| Jährliche Einnahmen | 2025/09/27 |
Datenquellen
Die in unserer Unternehmensanalyse verwendeten Daten stammen von S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Die folgenden Daten werden in unserem Analysemodell verwendet, um diesen Bericht zu erstellen. Die Daten sind normalisiert, was zu einer Verzögerung bei der Verfügbarkeit der Quelle führen kann.
| Paket | Daten | Zeitrahmen | Beispiel US-Quelle * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finanzdaten des Unternehmens | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Konsensschätzungen der Analysten | +3 Jahre |
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| Marktpreise | 30 Jahre |
| |
| Eigentümerschaft | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Verwaltung | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Wichtige Entwicklungen | 10 Jahre |
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* Beispiel für US-Wertpapiere, für nicht-US-amerikanische Wertpapiere werden gleichwertige regulatorische Formulare und Quellen verwendet.
Sofern nicht anders angegeben, beziehen sich alle Finanzdaten auf einen Jahreszeitraum, werden aber vierteljährlich aktualisiert. Dies wird als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) oder Last Twelve Month (LTM) Daten bezeichnet. Erfahren Sie mehr.
Analysemodell und Schneeflocke
Details zum Analysemodell, mit dem dieser Bericht erstellt wurde, finden Sie auf unserer Github-Seite; außerdem bieten wir Leitfäden zur Nutzung unserer Berichte und Tutorials auf Youtube an.
Erfahren Sie mehr über das Weltklasse-Team, das das Simply Wall St-Analysemodell entworfen und entwickelt hat.
Metriken für Industrie und Sektor
Unsere Branchen- und Sektionskennzahlen werden alle 6 Stunden von Simply Wall St berechnet. Details zu unserem Verfahren finden Sie auf Github.
Analysten-Quellen
The Walt Disney Company wird von 67 Analysten beobachtet. 30 dieser Analysten hat die Umsatz- oder Gewinnschätzungen übermittelt, die als Grundlage für unseren Bericht dienen. Die von den Analysten übermittelten Daten werden im Laufe des Tages aktualisiert.
| Analyst | Einrichtung |
|---|---|
| David Heasman | Accountability Research Corporation |
| Andrew Charles Beale | Arete Research Services LLP |
| Hannah Kleiven | Arete Research Services LLP |