PayPal Holdings Vergangene Ertragsentwicklung
Vergangenheit Kriterienprüfungen 3/6
PayPal Holdings verzeichnete einen durchschnittlichen jährlichen Gewinnzuwachs von 7.6%, während die Gewinne der Branche Diversified Financial jährlich um gewachsen und zwar um 12.2%. Die Umsätze verzeichneten einen durchschnittlichen jährlichen Gewinnzuwachs von gewachsen von 6.9%. Die Eigenkapitalrendite von PayPal Holdings beträgt 24.7% und die Nettomargen betragen 14.4%.
Wichtige Informationen
7.59%
Wachstumsrate der Gewinne
13.10%
EPS-Wachstumsrate
| Diversified Financial Wachstum der Industrie | 6.15% |
| Wachstumsrate der Einnahmen | 6.88% |
| Eigenkapitalrendite | 24.73% |
| Netto-Marge | 14.36% |
| Nächste Ertragsaktualisierung | 27 Oct 2026 |
Jüngste Aktualisierungen vergangener Leistungen
Recent updates
Narrative-Update • Aug 14
PYPL: Turnaround Execution And M&A Standoff Will Shape Future Repricing
Analysts have lifted the implied fair value for PayPal Holdings to $59.16 from $52.42, citing Q2 earnings that supported stronger Branded Checkout and payment volume trends, along with updated models that reflect slightly higher expected revenue growth and a modestly richer future P/E multiple, despite some offset from operating expenses. Analyst Commentary Recent research on PayPal Holdings points to a more divided view than the move in implied fair value alone might suggest.
Neues Narrative • Aug 05
Ten Percent More Volume, One Percent More Transaction Margin
Read the two profit lines together. GAAP net income of $1,104 million was down 12% year over year.Narrative-Update • Aug 04
PayPal: PayPal Doesn't Need to Grow – It Needs to Stop Falling – A Mispriced Cash Machine With a Cannibal Buyback
In my pre-earnings update I committed to reading three things. Here is the readout: 1.Seeking Alpha • Aug 04
PayPal: Still Deeply Undervalued, Deal Or No Deal
Summary PayPal remains a Strong Buy, with substantial re-rating potential driven by robust cash flow and undervaluation versus intrinsic value. Q2 results were strong: TPV was up ~10% to $486.45B, FCF was up 157% YoY, and guidance was raised for non-GAAP EPS and transaction margin dollars. PYPL's balance sheet is solid, supporting $6B in 2026 buybacks and potential transformative M&A alongside its strong FCF, even as macro headwinds and competition persist. Even under conservative DCF assumptions, intrinsic value is estimated well above current levels, with risks seemingly more than priced in. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative-Update • Jul 31
PYPL: Turnaround And AI Reorganization Will Drive Future Rerating Potential
Analysts have raised the average price target for PayPal Holdings as the updated fair value estimate moves from $89.38 to $94.54, supported by recent research that points to stabilizing branded checkout trends, a Q2 earnings beat, and ongoing turnaround efforts under new leadership. Analyst Commentary Recent research around PayPal Holdings points to a more constructive tone from a number of bullish analysts following the Q2 report.
Neues Narrative • Jul 27
The Underrated Transformation of a Digital Payments Giant
The Underrated Transformation of a Digital Payments Giant I have been invested in PayPal for several years and have consciously decided to increase my position further. The reason is not short-term speculation, but rather my conviction that the market is currently underestimating the company’s long-term development and potential.
Neues Narrative • Jul 17
PayPal: Undervalued Cash Flow Machine or Value Trap?
Investment Summary PayPal remains one of the largest digital payments platforms globally, yet the market continues to value the company as a mature, low-growth payments processor rather than a business capable of generating durable free cash flow and high returns on invested capital. Based on my discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis, PayPal appears materially undervalued, with an intrinsic value of $106.44 per share , representing approximately 88% upside from the current share price of $56.56.Narrative-Update • Jul 17
PYPL: M&A Standoff And AI Restructuring Will Shape Future Repricing
Analysts have nudged the fair value estimate for PayPal Holdings higher from $51.35 to $52.42. This primarily reflects tighter discount rate assumptions, while core growth and margin views remain broadly intact amid ongoing M&A speculation and recent price target resets across the Street.Narrative-Update • Jul 15
An Offer Below Fair Value – Why $60.50 Is the Floor, Not the Ceiling
Reuters reported today that Stripe and Advent International (with Block as third equity partner) submitted an all-cash offer of $60.50 per share, valuing PayPal at more than $53 billion, backed by roughly $50 billion in committed bank financing. The board has not responded yet, a board meeting is expected around July 20.Narrative-Update • Jul 13
PayPal Holdings will keep their fair value of $65 consistent
Pre-earnings update (July 13) – checkpoint ahead, fair value unchanged Q2 results come July 28 (consensus: EPS $1.28, roughly -9% as guided; revenue ~$8.5B). The number itself matters less than three things I will read closely: 1.Neues Narrative • Jul 02
PayPal: PayPal Doesn't Need to Grow – It Needs to Stop Falling – A Mispriced Cash Machine With a Cannibal Buyback
The market prices PayPal (~8x earnings) as a structurally dying payments company. The numbers show something else: ~$6.8B in annual free cash flow, a net-cash balance sheet (~$13.5B cash vs.Narrative-Update • Jun 17
PYPL: AI Commerce Restructuring And Buybacks Will Drive Future Rerating
Analysts have modestly lifted their fair value estimate for PayPal Holdings, moving the implied price target from about $79 to roughly $89. They cited slightly refined discount rate and revenue growth assumptions, along with a higher projected profit margin and a small upward adjustment in future P/E expectations.Analyseartikel • Jun 16
PayPal (PYPL) Stock Could Be 48.2% Undervalued As New Partnerships Draw Attention
Recent attention on PayPal Holdings (PYPL) has centered on high profile investors publicly flagging the stock as discounted, at the same time that fresh partnerships and leadership changes are reshaping how the payments company talks about its future. See our latest analysis for PayPal Holdings. Despite partnerships like Shopware Payments and Hey Savi’s AI commerce launch putting PayPal Holdings at the center of new payment flows, the recent 1-day and 7-day share price returns of 2.31% and...Narrative-Update • Jun 03
PYPL: AI Restructuring And Breakup Watchlist Status Will Drive Future Repricing
Analysts now place PayPal's fair value price target at about $51.35, down from roughly $53.00. This reflects slightly softer modeled revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions, along with a modestly higher discount rate.
Neues Narrative • May 23
$PYPL Options Are Cheap
I’ve been reading up on some pretty decent research on PYPL, and initially I wasn’t planning to write “yet another PYPL article” about it. Yet something caught my eye — its long-term options are cheap given the risk:reward exposure.
Narrative-Update • May 20
PYPL: Takeover Interest Will Likely Fail To Offset Competitive Erosion
Analysts have trimmed their blended PayPal price target by about $1 to reflect slightly softer revenue growth and margin assumptions, even as some recent research highlights potential breakup scenarios and takeover interest that could support valuation over time. Analyst Commentary Recent research on PayPal has been mixed, with some firms lifting price targets and highlighting potential corporate activity, while others are taking a more cautious stance on growth, execution, and competitive pressures.Narrative-Update • Apr 30
PYPL: Takeover And Breakup Chatter Will Likely Fail To Offset Competitive Pressures
Analyst price targets for PayPal Holdings have moved higher by several dollars to the mid to upper $40s and $50s, as analysts weigh fresh breakup and takeover chatter against a series of recent target cuts and new Neutral ratings. This leaves the fair value estimate broadly unchanged, but the narrative is now more focused on potential corporate actions than on core operating shifts.Narrative-Update • Apr 16
PYPL: Takeover Chatter And Mixed Ratings Will Shape Future Repricing Debate
The analyst price target for PayPal has been nudged higher to align with a fair value estimate of about $53, as analysts balance mixed rating changes and takeover chatter with slightly adjusted assumptions for growth, margins, and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent research on PayPal reflects a split tape, with some firms flagging valuation support and takeover optionality, while others focus on competitive pressure, execution risk, and trimmed price targets across the coverage universe.Narrative-Update • Apr 02
PYPL: Reported Takeover Interest Will Drive Future Repricing Debate
Analysts have nudged the fair value estimate for PayPal Holdings slightly higher to about $52.74, citing modestly stronger assumptions for revenue growth and profit margins, along with a still restrained future P/E multiple and a cluster of recent Neutral ratings that balance ongoing competitive and execution questions with interest from potential acquirers. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage on PayPal has tilted toward more neutral stances, with several firms reiterating or initiating ratings that sit between outright bullish and bearish.Narrative-Update • Mar 19
PYPL: Rising Checkout Competition Will Likely Keep Takeover Hopes From Repricing Shares
Analysts have reset PayPal Holdings' fair value estimate from $51.00 to $32.00, as they factor in more muted revenue growth, softer profit margins, a lower future P/E multiple, and a wave of reduced price targets and Neutral ratings driven by rising competitive pressures and questions around the durability of branded checkout share. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on PayPal reflects a split view.Narrative-Update • Mar 05
PYPL: Reported Takeover Interest Will Support Future Upside Repricing
The analyst price target for PayPal increases slightly to $52 from $51.88 as analysts weigh a long list of recent target cuts and downgrades against ongoing views that the shares are undervalued and could draw buyer interest at a higher valuation multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research on PayPal highlights a split view, with some firms trimming price targets or moving to Neutral ratings while others argue that the stock screens as undervalued, especially in the context of reported takeover interest.Narrative-Update • Feb 19
PYPL: AI Commerce Partnerships And Share Buybacks Will Support Future Upside
The Analyst Price Target for PayPal Holdings has been reset lower from $73.33 to $51.88, reflecting analysts' updated views on softer revenue growth, slightly weaker profit margins, and a more conservative future P/E following a wave of price target cuts and rating changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research on PayPal Holdings reflects a mixed but more cautious tone, with many firms cutting price targets and adjusting ratings, while a smaller group highlights reasons to stay constructive on the story.Analyseartikel • Feb 05
Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By PayPal Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:PYPL) 31% Share Price Plunge
To the annoyance of some shareholders, PayPal Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:PYPL ) shares are down a considerable 31% in the...Narrative-Update • Feb 05
PYPL: AI Commerce Partnerships And Buybacks Will Drive Future Reassessment
The analyst price target for PayPal Holdings has been revised from $105.86 to $79.19. This reflects analysts' updates to fair value, growth, profitability and future P/E assumptions following a broad wave of target cuts and rating changes across the Street.
Neues Narrative • Jan 23
PayPal’s Acquisition of Cymbio: Deepening Agentic Commerce Capabilities, Expanding AI Distribution, and Reinforcing Merchant-Centric Growth
Author: Qudus Adebara (Founder of Wane Investment House) PayPal Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: PYPL) has announced an agreement to acquire Cymbio , a multi-channel orchestration and commerce enablement platform, marking a strategically significant step in PayPal’s evolution from a payments company into a full-stack, AI-native commerce partner.Narrative-Update • Jan 21
PYPL: AI Commerce And ChatGPT Wallet Integration Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed their blended price target on PayPal Holdings to about $73 from roughly $77. This reflects slightly lower assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E, as recent research has emphasized tempered expectations for branded checkout momentum and market share.Narrative-Update • Jan 07
PYPL: AI Commerce And ChatGPT Integration Will Drive Future Upside Potential
Analysts have trimmed their blended fair value estimate for PayPal Holdings to about $76.75 from roughly $82.00, reflecting slightly lower modeled revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions, even as several firms recently raised price targets on the back of steady operating progress and new partnerships. Analyst Commentary Recent research on PayPal shows a split between analysts who see the Q3 update and product shifts as a reason to lean more constructive, and those who remain cautious on execution, competitive pressure, and margin risk.Narrative-Update • Dec 30
PayPal Stock: The Shift From Growth at Any Cost to Payments With Discipline
PayPal (NASDAQ: PYPL) has spent the past two years doing something the market often demands but rarely rewards in real time: resetting expectations. After a long stretch defined by rapid user expansion and sprawling product initiatives, the company is refocusing on fundamentals—transaction margins, operating leverage, and capital returns.Narrative-Update • Dec 20
PYPL: Future OpenAI Partnership Upside Will Likely Fail To Justify Current Pricing
Analysts modestly raise their price expectations for PayPal, with our updated fair value estimate moving from $62.00 to $71.00 per share. This reflects improving revenue growth and profit margin assumptions alongside a lower future P E multiple, as recent Street research highlights steady operational progress, expanding BNPL and Venmo contributions, and incremental upside from the new OpenAI partnership despite ongoing macro and competitive headwinds.Narrative-Update • Dec 05
PYPL: AI Commerce Partnerships Will Drive Future Upside Potential
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on PayPal Holdings to a range of about $80 to $100 per share, reflecting greater confidence in accelerating revenue growth, improving contributions from unbranded processing and Buy Now, Pay Later, and new AI driven partnerships, even as they temper expectations for near term profitability and valuation multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent research commentary reflects a more constructive stance on PayPal, with several bullish analysts raising price targets into the high $70s to low $100s as execution improves across core and newer initiatives.Narrative-Update • Nov 04
Why PayPal’s Growth Story Isn’t Over
PayPal Stock: Growth Is Back, Dividend Introduced PayPal (NASDAQ: PYPL) delivered a stronger-than-expected Q3 2025 and, for the first time in its history, announced a quarterly dividend — signaling confidence in its ability to generate consistent free cash flow. Revenue climbed 7% year-over-year to $8.4 billion , while transaction margin dollars rose 6% to $3.9 billion.Narrative-Update • Oct 21
Analyst Commentary Highlights Mixed Outlook and Modest Valuation Changes for PayPal Holdings
Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for PayPal Holdings slightly from $82.52 to $82.22. They cite ongoing transaction margin headwinds and near-term uncertainty in branded checkout growth as the main drivers for the modest adjustment.Analyseartikel • Sep 05
Weekly Picks: 💸 A fintech heavyweight with even more upside potential and 2 more picks
This week’s picks cover: Why Venmo and merchant solutions are driving PayPal’s upside potential, how IREN’s pivot from Bitcoin mining to AI infrastructure is adding value, and how Cadeler’s fleet expansion rides offshore wind growth.
Neues Narrative • Jul 24
PayPal's Future Growth Through Venmo and Merchant Solutions
PayPal at it's surface might not seem like fanciest option available; but as you take a deeper dive into the company it has a lot more to offer than just the app we use for transactions and sending money to others. Most of their revenue comes from transactions while they also source some revenue from other added value services like: Payment Gateway Subscriptions Interest and fees from consumer loans and merchant loans Other credit products referrals partnerships One other source that recently has begun to catch traction for them is Venmo; which is quite similar to the normal services of PayPal but has been very popular with younger populations.Seeking Alpha • Apr 29
PayPal: Strong Results And A Massive Shareholder Yield
Summary PayPal Holdings, Inc. reported better-than-expected Q1 earnings, with a significant EPS beat, despite a slight revenue miss, and shares are currently trading at an attractive valuation. The company demonstrated strong cost controls, reducing operating expenses by 2%, which contributed to a 16% increase in operating profits and a 23% EPS growth. PayPal continues to execute substantial share buybacks, reducing its share count by 1.5% in Q1 alone, with plans for $6 billion in buybacks this year. Trading at just 13x net earnings and delivering over 20% EPS growth, PYPL stock presents a compelling investment opportunity, despite some business growth challenges. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Apr 23
PayPal: The Turnaround Is Under Threat
Summary The rising competition and the increase of macro risks could undermine PayPal’s turnaround efforts. The fact that PayPal is expected to grow its sales only at a single-digit rate makes it impossible to call the company a growth investment. PayPal is a Hold for us only because its stock has greatly depreciated lately and is fundamentally undervalued right now. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAufschlüsselung der Einnahmen und Ausgaben
Aufschlüsselung der Einnahmen und Ausgaben
Wie PayPal Holdings Geld verdient und ausgibt. Basierend auf den neuesten gemeldeten Einnahmen der letzten zwölf Monate.
Gewinn- und Umsatzhistorie
| Datum | Einnahmen | Gewinn | Allgemeine und Verwaltungskosten | F&E-Ausgaben |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 26 | 34,128 | 4,902 | 4,285 | 3,247 |
| 31 Mar 26 | 33,734 | 5,059 | 4,280 | 3,165 |
| 31 Dec 25 | 33,172 | 5,233 | 4,262 | 3,103 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 32,862 | 4,917 | 4,289 | 3,072 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 32,292 | 4,679 | 4,282 | 3,017 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 31,889 | 4,546 | 4,254 | 2,968 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 31,797 | 4,147 | 4,148 | 2,979 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 31,457 | 4,428 | 3,948 | 2,976 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 31,028 | 4,438 | 3,870 | 2,969 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 30,430 | 4,339 | 3,810 | 2,994 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 29,771 | 4,246 | 3,868 | 2,973 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 29,128 | 3,765 | 3,887 | 3,025 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 28,556 | 4,075 | 3,945 | 3,087 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 28,075 | 2,705 | 4,098 | 3,159 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 27,518 | 2,419 | 4,356 | 3,253 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 27,053 | 2,299 | 4,553 | 3,227 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 26,389 | 2,056 | 4,593 | 3,181 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 25,821 | 3,581 | 4,634 | 3,112 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 25,371 | 4,169 | 4,559 | 3,038 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 24,569 | 4,935 | 4,497 | 2,974 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 23,846 | 4,869 | 4,424 | 2,893 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 22,869 | 5,215 | 4,200 | 2,778 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 21,454 | 4,202 | 3,931 | 2,642 |
| 30 Sep 20 | 20,299 | 3,142 | 3,629 | 2,468 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 19,218 | 2,583 | 3,372 | 2,327 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 18,262 | 1,876 | 3,221 | 2,179 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 17,772 | 2,459 | 3,112 | 2,085 |
| 30 Sep 19 | 17,037 | 2,536 | 3,071 | 2,017 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 16,342 | 2,510 | 3,056 | 1,936 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 15,894 | 2,213 | 2,975 | 1,894 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 15,451 | 2,057 | 2,855 | 1,831 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 14,969 | 2,093 | 2,671 | 1,608 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 14,525 | 2,037 | 2,543 | 1,396 |
| 31 Mar 18 | 13,804 | 1,922 | 2,418 | 1,187 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 13,094 | 1,795 | 2,370 | 1,740 |
| 30 Sep 17 | 12,331 | 1,565 | 2,178 | 901 |
| 30 Jun 17 | 11,759 | 1,508 | 2,100 | 876 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 11,273 | 1,420 | 2,043 | 853 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 10,842 | 1,401 | 2,003 | 834 |
| 30 Sep 16 | 10,417 | 1,378 | 1,954 | 827 |
| 30 Jun 16 | 10,008 | 1,356 | 1,902 | 809 |
| 31 Mar 16 | 9,655 | 1,338 | 1,841 | 802 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 9,248 | 1,228 | 1,817 | 792 |
| 30 Sep 15 | 8,885 | 1,147 | 1,744 | 823 |
Qualität der Erträge: PYPL hat hohe Qualitätseinkünfte.
Wachsende Gewinnspanne: PYPLDie aktuellen Gewinnspannen (14.4%) sind niedriger als im letzten Jahr (14.5%).
Analyse von freiem Cashflow und Gewinn
Analyse des Gewinnwachstums in der Vergangenheit
Ergebnisentwicklung: PYPLIn den letzten 5 Jahren sind die Gewinne von 7.6% jährlich gestiegen.
Beschleunigtes Wachstum: PYPLDas Gewinnwachstum des Unternehmens im letzten Jahr (4.8%) liegt unter seinem 5-Jahres-Durchschnitt (7.6% pro Jahr).
Erträge im Vergleich zur Industrie: PYPL Das Gewinnwachstum im vergangenen Jahr (4.8%) übertraf nicht die Entwicklung der Branche Diversified Financial 9.6% .
Eigenkapitalrendite
Hohe Eigenkapitalrendite: PYPLDie Eigenkapitalrendite des Unternehmens (24.7%) wird als hoch angesehen.
Kapitalrendite
Rendite auf das eingesetzte Kapital
Entdecken Sie starke Unternehmen, die in der Vergangenheit erfolgreich waren
Unternehmensanalyse und Finanzdaten Status
| Daten | Zuletzt aktualisiert (UTC-Zeit) |
|---|---|
| Unternehmensanalyse | 2026/08/15 07:27 |
| Aktienkurs zum Tagesende | 2026/08/14 00:00 |
| Gewinne | 2026/06/30 |
| Jährliche Einnahmen | 2025/12/31 |
Datenquellen
Die in unserer Unternehmensanalyse verwendeten Daten stammen von S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Die folgenden Daten werden in unserem Analysemodell verwendet, um diesen Bericht zu erstellen. Die Daten sind normalisiert, was zu einer Verzögerung bei der Verfügbarkeit der Quelle führen kann.
| Paket | Daten | Zeitrahmen | Beispiel US-Quelle * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finanzdaten des Unternehmens | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Konsensschätzungen der Analysten | +3 Jahre |
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| Marktpreise | 30 Jahre |
| |
| Eigentümerschaft | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Verwaltung | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Wichtige Entwicklungen | 10 Jahre |
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* Beispiel für US-Wertpapiere, für nicht-US-amerikanische Wertpapiere werden gleichwertige regulatorische Formulare und Quellen verwendet.
Sofern nicht anders angegeben, beziehen sich alle Finanzdaten auf einen Jahreszeitraum, werden aber vierteljährlich aktualisiert. Dies wird als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) oder Last Twelve Month (LTM) Daten bezeichnet. Erfahren Sie mehr.
Analysemodell und Schneeflocke
Details zum Analysemodell, mit dem dieser Bericht erstellt wurde, finden Sie auf unserer Github-Seite; außerdem bieten wir Leitfäden zur Nutzung unserer Berichte und Tutorials auf Youtube an.
Erfahren Sie mehr über das Weltklasse-Team, das das Simply Wall St-Analysemodell entworfen und entwickelt hat.
Metriken für Industrie und Sektor
Unsere Branchen- und Sektionskennzahlen werden alle 6 Stunden von Simply Wall St berechnet. Details zu unserem Verfahren finden Sie auf Github.
Analysten-Quellen
PayPal Holdings, Inc. wird von 73 Analysten beobachtet. 42 dieser Analysten hat die Umsatz- oder Gewinnschätzungen übermittelt, die als Grundlage für unseren Bericht dienen. Die von den Analysten übermittelten Daten werden im Laufe des Tages aktualisiert.
| Analyst | Einrichtung |
|---|---|
| Richard Kramer | Arete Research Services LLP |
| Oliver Lester | Arete Research Services LLP |
| Stephen Biggar | Argus Research Company |