PayPal Holdings Zukünftiges Wachstum
Future Kriterienprüfungen 1/6
Der Gewinn von PayPal Holdings wird voraussichtlich um 0.4% pro Jahr zurückgehen, während der Jahresumsatz um 4.1% pro Jahr wachsen soll. Der Gewinn je Aktie wird voraussichtlich um 6.9% pro Jahr steigen. Die Eigenkapitalrendite wird in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich 22.7% betragen.
Wichtige Informationen
-0.4%
Wachstumsrate der Gewinne
6.88%
EPS-Wachstumsrate
| Diversified Financial Gewinnwachstum | 6.6% |
| Wachstumsrate der Einnahmen | 4.1% |
| Zukünftige Eigenkapitalrendite | 22.75% |
| Analystenabdeckung | Good |
| Zuletzt aktualisiert | 10 Sep 2026 |
Jüngste Aktualisierungen zum künftigen Wachstum
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • Sep 09
PayPal Is Approaching Its Moment Of Truth
Summary PayPal Holdings remains a “Buy” as its turnaround gains traction, supported by operational restructuring and cost-saving initiatives. PYPL's 9.5x earnings multiple and >14% forward FCF yield highlight significant undervaluation relative to its improving fundamentals. The new CEO’s three-unit structure and $1.5 billion cost-cutting plan are driving margin improvements, with recent double-beat quarters and raised guidance. My valuation model implies ~25% upside, with risks from competitive pressures and execution, but much negativity appears priced in. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative-Update • Sep 03
PYPL: Turnaround And M&A Reset Will Drive Future Rerating Potential
PayPal Holdings' analyst fair value estimate has been reset from about $94.54 to $75.68 as analysts factor in slightly softer revenue growth assumptions, a modestly higher discount rate, and a lower future P/E multiple, while still acknowledging improved profitability and supportive Street research that points to stronger fundamentals and ongoing takeover interest. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around PayPal highlights a mix of views, but the tone from several firms has become more constructive as Q2 results, takeover headlines, and management commentary reshape how analysts think about the stock.
Narrative-Update • Aug 14
PYPL: Turnaround Execution And M&A Standoff Will Shape Future Repricing
Analysts have lifted the implied fair value for PayPal Holdings to $59.16 from $52.42, citing Q2 earnings that supported stronger Branded Checkout and payment volume trends, along with updated models that reflect slightly higher expected revenue growth and a modestly richer future P/E multiple, despite some offset from operating expenses. Analyst Commentary Recent research on PayPal Holdings points to a more divided view than the move in implied fair value alone might suggest.
Neues Narrative • Aug 05
Ten Percent More Volume, One Percent More Transaction Margin
Read the two profit lines together. GAAP net income of $1,104 million was down 12% year over year.Narrative-Update • Aug 04
PayPal: PayPal Doesn't Need to Grow – It Needs to Stop Falling – A Mispriced Cash Machine With a Cannibal Buyback
In my pre-earnings update I committed to reading three things. Here is the readout: 1.Narrative-Update • Jul 31
PYPL: Turnaround And AI Reorganization Will Drive Future Rerating Potential
Analysts have raised the average price target for PayPal Holdings as the updated fair value estimate moves from $89.38 to $94.54, supported by recent research that points to stabilizing branded checkout trends, a Q2 earnings beat, and ongoing turnaround efforts under new leadership. Analyst Commentary Recent research around PayPal Holdings points to a more constructive tone from a number of bullish analysts following the Q2 report.
Neues Narrative • Jul 27
The Underrated Transformation of a Digital Payments Giant
The Underrated Transformation of a Digital Payments Giant I have been invested in PayPal for several years and have consciously decided to increase my position further. The reason is not short-term speculation, but rather my conviction that the market is currently underestimating the company’s long-term development and potential.
Neues Narrative • Jul 17
PayPal: Undervalued Cash Flow Machine or Value Trap?
Investment Summary PayPal remains one of the largest digital payments platforms globally, yet the market continues to value the company as a mature, low-growth payments processor rather than a business capable of generating durable free cash flow and high returns on invested capital. Based on my discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis, PayPal appears materially undervalued, with an intrinsic value of $106.44 per share , representing approximately 88% upside from the current share price of $56.56.Narrative-Update • Jul 17
PYPL: M&A Standoff And AI Restructuring Will Shape Future Repricing
Analysts have nudged the fair value estimate for PayPal Holdings higher from $51.35 to $52.42. This primarily reflects tighter discount rate assumptions, while core growth and margin views remain broadly intact amid ongoing M&A speculation and recent price target resets across the Street.Narrative-Update • Jul 15
An Offer Below Fair Value – Why $60.50 Is the Floor, Not the Ceiling
Reuters reported today that Stripe and Advent International (with Block as third equity partner) submitted an all-cash offer of $60.50 per share, valuing PayPal at more than $53 billion, backed by roughly $50 billion in committed bank financing. The board has not responded yet, a board meeting is expected around July 20.Narrative-Update • Jul 13
PayPal Holdings will keep their fair value of $65 consistent
Pre-earnings update (July 13) – checkpoint ahead, fair value unchanged Q2 results come July 28 (consensus: EPS $1.28, roughly -9% as guided; revenue ~$8.5B). The number itself matters less than three things I will read closely: 1.Neues Narrative • Jul 02
PayPal: PayPal Doesn't Need to Grow – It Needs to Stop Falling – A Mispriced Cash Machine With a Cannibal Buyback
The market prices PayPal (~8x earnings) as a structurally dying payments company. The numbers show something else: ~$6.8B in annual free cash flow, a net-cash balance sheet (~$13.5B cash vs.Narrative-Update • Jun 17
PYPL: AI Commerce Restructuring And Buybacks Will Drive Future Rerating
Analysts have modestly lifted their fair value estimate for PayPal Holdings, moving the implied price target from about $79 to roughly $89. They cited slightly refined discount rate and revenue growth assumptions, along with a higher projected profit margin and a small upward adjustment in future P/E expectations.Analyseartikel • Jun 16
PayPal (PYPL) Stock Could Be 48.2% Undervalued As New Partnerships Draw Attention
Recent attention on PayPal Holdings (PYPL) has centered on high profile investors publicly flagging the stock as discounted, at the same time that fresh partnerships and leadership changes are reshaping how the payments company talks about its future. See our latest analysis for PayPal Holdings. Despite partnerships like Shopware Payments and Hey Savi’s AI commerce launch putting PayPal Holdings at the center of new payment flows, the recent 1-day and 7-day share price returns of 2.31% and...Narrative-Update • Jun 03
PYPL: AI Restructuring And Breakup Watchlist Status Will Drive Future Repricing
Analysts now place PayPal's fair value price target at about $51.35, down from roughly $53.00. This reflects slightly softer modeled revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions, along with a modestly higher discount rate.
Neues Narrative • May 23
$PYPL Options Are Cheap
I’ve been reading up on some pretty decent research on PYPL, and initially I wasn’t planning to write “yet another PYPL article” about it. Yet something caught my eye — its long-term options are cheap given the risk:reward exposure.
Narrative-Update • May 20
PYPL: Takeover Interest Will Likely Fail To Offset Competitive Erosion
Analysts have trimmed their blended PayPal price target by about $1 to reflect slightly softer revenue growth and margin assumptions, even as some recent research highlights potential breakup scenarios and takeover interest that could support valuation over time. Analyst Commentary Recent research on PayPal has been mixed, with some firms lifting price targets and highlighting potential corporate activity, while others are taking a more cautious stance on growth, execution, and competitive pressures.Narrative-Update • Apr 30
PYPL: Takeover And Breakup Chatter Will Likely Fail To Offset Competitive Pressures
Analyst price targets for PayPal Holdings have moved higher by several dollars to the mid to upper $40s and $50s, as analysts weigh fresh breakup and takeover chatter against a series of recent target cuts and new Neutral ratings. This leaves the fair value estimate broadly unchanged, but the narrative is now more focused on potential corporate actions than on core operating shifts.Narrative-Update • Apr 16
PYPL: Takeover Chatter And Mixed Ratings Will Shape Future Repricing Debate
The analyst price target for PayPal has been nudged higher to align with a fair value estimate of about $53, as analysts balance mixed rating changes and takeover chatter with slightly adjusted assumptions for growth, margins, and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent research on PayPal reflects a split tape, with some firms flagging valuation support and takeover optionality, while others focus on competitive pressure, execution risk, and trimmed price targets across the coverage universe.Narrative-Update • Apr 02
PYPL: Reported Takeover Interest Will Drive Future Repricing Debate
Analysts have nudged the fair value estimate for PayPal Holdings slightly higher to about $52.74, citing modestly stronger assumptions for revenue growth and profit margins, along with a still restrained future P/E multiple and a cluster of recent Neutral ratings that balance ongoing competitive and execution questions with interest from potential acquirers. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage on PayPal has tilted toward more neutral stances, with several firms reiterating or initiating ratings that sit between outright bullish and bearish.Narrative-Update • Mar 19
PYPL: Rising Checkout Competition Will Likely Keep Takeover Hopes From Repricing Shares
Analysts have reset PayPal Holdings' fair value estimate from $51.00 to $32.00, as they factor in more muted revenue growth, softer profit margins, a lower future P/E multiple, and a wave of reduced price targets and Neutral ratings driven by rising competitive pressures and questions around the durability of branded checkout share. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on PayPal reflects a split view.Narrative-Update • Mar 05
PYPL: Reported Takeover Interest Will Support Future Upside Repricing
The analyst price target for PayPal increases slightly to $52 from $51.88 as analysts weigh a long list of recent target cuts and downgrades against ongoing views that the shares are undervalued and could draw buyer interest at a higher valuation multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research on PayPal highlights a split view, with some firms trimming price targets or moving to Neutral ratings while others argue that the stock screens as undervalued, especially in the context of reported takeover interest.Narrative-Update • Feb 19
PYPL: AI Commerce Partnerships And Share Buybacks Will Support Future Upside
The Analyst Price Target for PayPal Holdings has been reset lower from $73.33 to $51.88, reflecting analysts' updated views on softer revenue growth, slightly weaker profit margins, and a more conservative future P/E following a wave of price target cuts and rating changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research on PayPal Holdings reflects a mixed but more cautious tone, with many firms cutting price targets and adjusting ratings, while a smaller group highlights reasons to stay constructive on the story.Analyseartikel • Feb 05
Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By PayPal Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:PYPL) 31% Share Price Plunge
To the annoyance of some shareholders, PayPal Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:PYPL ) shares are down a considerable 31% in the...Narrative-Update • Feb 05
PYPL: AI Commerce Partnerships And Buybacks Will Drive Future Reassessment
The analyst price target for PayPal Holdings has been revised from $105.86 to $79.19. This reflects analysts' updates to fair value, growth, profitability and future P/E assumptions following a broad wave of target cuts and rating changes across the Street.
Neues Narrative • Jan 23
PayPal’s Acquisition of Cymbio: Deepening Agentic Commerce Capabilities, Expanding AI Distribution, and Reinforcing Merchant-Centric Growth
Author: Qudus Adebara (Founder of Wane Investment House) PayPal Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: PYPL) has announced an agreement to acquire Cymbio , a multi-channel orchestration and commerce enablement platform, marking a strategically significant step in PayPal’s evolution from a payments company into a full-stack, AI-native commerce partner.Narrative-Update • Jan 21
PYPL: AI Commerce And ChatGPT Wallet Integration Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed their blended price target on PayPal Holdings to about $73 from roughly $77. This reflects slightly lower assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E, as recent research has emphasized tempered expectations for branded checkout momentum and market share.Narrative-Update • Jan 07
PYPL: AI Commerce And ChatGPT Integration Will Drive Future Upside Potential
Analysts have trimmed their blended fair value estimate for PayPal Holdings to about $76.75 from roughly $82.00, reflecting slightly lower modeled revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions, even as several firms recently raised price targets on the back of steady operating progress and new partnerships. Analyst Commentary Recent research on PayPal shows a split between analysts who see the Q3 update and product shifts as a reason to lean more constructive, and those who remain cautious on execution, competitive pressure, and margin risk.Narrative-Update • Dec 30
PayPal Stock: The Shift From Growth at Any Cost to Payments With Discipline
PayPal (NASDAQ: PYPL) has spent the past two years doing something the market often demands but rarely rewards in real time: resetting expectations. After a long stretch defined by rapid user expansion and sprawling product initiatives, the company is refocusing on fundamentals—transaction margins, operating leverage, and capital returns.Narrative-Update • Dec 20
PYPL: Future OpenAI Partnership Upside Will Likely Fail To Justify Current Pricing
Analysts modestly raise their price expectations for PayPal, with our updated fair value estimate moving from $62.00 to $71.00 per share. This reflects improving revenue growth and profit margin assumptions alongside a lower future P E multiple, as recent Street research highlights steady operational progress, expanding BNPL and Venmo contributions, and incremental upside from the new OpenAI partnership despite ongoing macro and competitive headwinds.Narrative-Update • Dec 05
PYPL: AI Commerce Partnerships Will Drive Future Upside Potential
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on PayPal Holdings to a range of about $80 to $100 per share, reflecting greater confidence in accelerating revenue growth, improving contributions from unbranded processing and Buy Now, Pay Later, and new AI driven partnerships, even as they temper expectations for near term profitability and valuation multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent research commentary reflects a more constructive stance on PayPal, with several bullish analysts raising price targets into the high $70s to low $100s as execution improves across core and newer initiatives.Narrative-Update • Nov 04
Why PayPal’s Growth Story Isn’t Over
PayPal Stock: Growth Is Back, Dividend Introduced PayPal (NASDAQ: PYPL) delivered a stronger-than-expected Q3 2025 and, for the first time in its history, announced a quarterly dividend — signaling confidence in its ability to generate consistent free cash flow. Revenue climbed 7% year-over-year to $8.4 billion , while transaction margin dollars rose 6% to $3.9 billion.Narrative-Update • Oct 21
Analyst Commentary Highlights Mixed Outlook and Modest Valuation Changes for PayPal Holdings
Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for PayPal Holdings slightly from $82.52 to $82.22. They cite ongoing transaction margin headwinds and near-term uncertainty in branded checkout growth as the main drivers for the modest adjustment.
Neues Narrative • Jul 24
PayPal's Future Growth Through Venmo and Merchant Solutions
PayPal at it's surface might not seem like fanciest option available; but as you take a deeper dive into the company it has a lot more to offer than just the app we use for transactions and sending money to others. Most of their revenue comes from transactions while they also source some revenue from other added value services like: Payment Gateway Subscriptions Interest and fees from consumer loans and merchant loans Other credit products referrals partnerships One other source that recently has begun to catch traction for them is Venmo; which is quite similar to the normal services of PayPal but has been very popular with younger populations.Gewinn- und Umsatzwachstumsprognosen
| Datum | Umsatz | Gewinne | Freier Cashflow | Bargeld aus operativen Tätigkeiten | Durchschn. Anz. Analysten |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 37,864 | 4,605 | 6,638 | 7,410 | 27 |
| 12/31/2027 | 36,207 | 4,571 | 6,334 | 7,004 | 41 |
| 12/31/2026 | 34,752 | 4,436 | 6,028 | 6,484 | 38 |
| 6/30/2026 | 34,128 | 4,902 | 6,586 | 7,475 | N/A |
| 3/31/2026 | 33,734 | 5,059 | 5,503 | 6,390 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 33,172 | 5,233 | 5,564 | 6,416 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 32,862 | 4,917 | 5,565 | 6,426 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 32,292 | 4,679 | 5,292 | 6,066 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 31,889 | 4,546 | 5,968 | 6,693 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 31,797 | 4,147 | 6,767 | 7,450 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 31,457 | 4,428 | 7,045 | 7,670 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 31,028 | 4,438 | 6,701 | 7,315 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 30,430 | 4,339 | 4,983 | 5,590 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 29,771 | 4,246 | 4,220 | 4,843 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 29,128 | 3,765 | 3,184 | 3,820 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 28,556 | 4,075 | 3,656 | 4,316 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 28,075 | 2,705 | 5,081 | 5,766 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 27,518 | 2,419 | 5,107 | 5,813 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 27,053 | 2,299 | 4,681 | 5,442 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 26,389 | 2,056 | 4,394 | 5,200 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 25,821 | 3,581 | 4,378 | 5,256 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 25,371 | 4,169 | 4,889 | 5,797 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 24,569 | 4,935 | 5,003 | 5,924 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 23,846 | 4,869 | 4,790 | 5,725 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 22,869 | 5,215 | 5,310 | 6,191 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 21,454 | 4,202 | 5,353 | 6,219 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 20,299 | 3,142 | 4,467 | 5,281 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 19,218 | 2,583 | 4,317 | 5,063 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 18,262 | 1,876 | N/A | 4,465 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 17,772 | 2,459 | N/A | 4,071 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 17,037 | 2,536 | N/A | 4,431 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 16,342 | 2,510 | N/A | 8,005 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 15,894 | 2,213 | N/A | 6,859 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 15,451 | 2,057 | N/A | 5,480 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 14,969 | 2,093 | N/A | 4,202 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 14,525 | 2,037 | N/A | 538 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 13,804 | 1,922 | N/A | 1,431 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 13,094 | 1,795 | N/A | 2,531 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 12,331 | 1,565 | N/A | 3,601 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 11,759 | 1,508 | N/A | 3,396 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 11,273 | 1,420 | N/A | 3,171 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 10,842 | 1,401 | N/A | 3,158 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 10,417 | 1,378 | N/A | 2,963 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 10,008 | 1,356 | N/A | 2,814 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 9,655 | 1,338 | N/A | 2,740 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 9,248 | 1,228 | N/A | 2,546 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 8,885 | 1,147 | N/A | 2,449 | N/A |
Analystenprognosen zum zukünftigen Wachstum
Einkommen vs. Sparrate: PYPLFür die nächsten 3 Jahre wird ein Rückgang der Gewinne prognostiziert (-0.4% pro Jahr).
Ertrag vs. Markt: PYPLFür die nächsten 3 Jahre wird ein Rückgang der Gewinne prognostiziert (-0.4% pro Jahr).
Hohe Wachstumserträge: PYPLFür die nächsten 3 Jahre wird mit einem Rückgang der Erträge gerechnet.
Einnahmen vs. Markt: PYPLDie Einnahmen des Unternehmens (4.1% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als der Markt US (13.4% pro Jahr).
Hohe Wachstumseinnahmen: PYPLDie Einnahmen des Unternehmens (4.1% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als 20% pro Jahr.
Wachstumsprognosen für den Gewinn je Aktie
Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite
Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite: PYPLDie Eigenkapitalrendite des Unternehmens wird in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich hoch sein (22.7%)
Wachstumsunternehmen entdecken
Unternehmensanalyse und Finanzdaten Status
| Daten | Zuletzt aktualisiert (UTC-Zeit) |
|---|---|
| Unternehmensanalyse | 2026/09/14 03:58 |
| Aktienkurs zum Tagesende | 2026/09/14 00:00 |
| Gewinne | 2026/06/30 |
| Jährliche Einnahmen | 2025/12/31 |
Datenquellen
Die in unserer Unternehmensanalyse verwendeten Daten stammen von S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Die folgenden Daten werden in unserem Analysemodell verwendet, um diesen Bericht zu erstellen. Die Daten sind normalisiert, was zu einer Verzögerung bei der Verfügbarkeit der Quelle führen kann.
| Paket | Daten | Zeitrahmen | Beispiel US-Quelle * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finanzdaten des Unternehmens | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Konsensschätzungen der Analysten | +3 Jahre |
|
|
| Marktpreise | 30 Jahre |
| |
| Eigentümerschaft | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Verwaltung | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Wichtige Entwicklungen | 10 Jahre |
|
* Beispiel für US-Wertpapiere, für nicht-US-amerikanische Wertpapiere werden gleichwertige regulatorische Formulare und Quellen verwendet.
Sofern nicht anders angegeben, beziehen sich alle Finanzdaten auf einen Jahreszeitraum, werden aber vierteljährlich aktualisiert. Dies wird als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) oder Last Twelve Month (LTM) Daten bezeichnet. Erfahren Sie mehr.
Analysemodell und Schneeflocke
Details zum Analysemodell, mit dem dieser Bericht erstellt wurde, finden Sie auf unserer Github-Seite; außerdem bieten wir Leitfäden zur Nutzung unserer Berichte und Tutorials auf Youtube an.
Erfahren Sie mehr über das , das das Simply Wall St-Analysemodell entworfen und entwickelt hat.
Metriken für Industrie und Sektor
Unsere Branchen- und Sektionskennzahlen werden alle 6 Stunden von Simply Wall St berechnet. Details zu unserem Verfahren finden Sie auf Github.
Analysten-Quellen
PayPal Holdings, Inc. wird von 73 Analysten beobachtet. 41 dieser Analysten hat die Umsatz- oder Gewinnschätzungen übermittelt, die als Grundlage für unseren Bericht dienen. Die von den Analysten übermittelten Daten werden im Laufe des Tages aktualisiert.
| Analyst | Einrichtung |
|---|---|
| Oliver Lester | Arete Research Services LLP |
| Richard Kramer | Arete Research Services LLP |
| Stephen Biggar | Argus Research Company |