Watsco, Inc.

NYSE:WSO Lagerbericht

Marktkapitalisierung: US$15.8b

Watsco Zukünftiges Wachstum

Future Kriterienprüfungen 2/6

Watsco wird ein jährliches Gewinn- und Umsatzwachstum von 16% bzw. 6.6% prognostiziert. Der Gewinn pro Aktie wird voraussichtlich wachsen um 15.9% pro Jahr. Die Eigenkapitalrendite wird in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich 21.1% betragen.

Wichtige Informationen

16.0%

Wachstumsrate der Gewinne

15.89%

EPS-Wachstumsrate

Trade Distributors Gewinnwachstum14.4%
Wachstumsrate der Einnahmen6.6%
Zukünftige Eigenkapitalrendite21.15%
Analystenabdeckung

Good

Zuletzt aktualisiert19 May 2026

Jüngste Aktualisierungen zum künftigen Wachstum

Analyseartikel • Nov 11

Watsco, Inc. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Watsco, Inc. ( NYSE:WSO ) just released its latest quarterly report and things are not looking great. Results look to...

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • May 20

Watsco: A Great Business That's Still Priced Expensively

Summary Watsco remains the leading HVAC distributor with a debt-free balance sheet, a robust technology platform, and a strong market position. Q1'26 results showed stabilization, not recovery, as HVAC equipment volumes trended from double-digit declines to flat, with price increases offsetting volume weakness. The A2L refrigerant transition and e-commerce growth are genuine tailwinds, but the current valuation at 30x forward earnings already prices in significant improvement. I rate WSO a Hold, as the stock's premium reflects anticipated recovery not yet evident in underlying demand, with consensus targets implying modest upside. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analyseartikel • May 16

Watsco's (NYSE:WSO) Weak Earnings May Only Reveal A Part Of The Whole Picture

Last week's earnings announcement from Watsco, Inc. ( NYSE:WSO ) was disappointing to investors, with a sluggish profit...
Narrativ-Update • May 06

WSO: Future Returns Will Reflect Peer Multiple Support And Home Depot Risks

Analysts have nudged the Watsco price target higher by about $8 to roughly $424, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and peer valuations, even as they apply a slightly higher discount rate and a lower future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Watsco centers on valuation resets and how the stock trades relative to peers, especially after updates around large retail partners.
Narrativ-Update • Apr 21

WSO: Home Depot Deal Uncertainty Will Pressure Rich Dividend-Focused Sentiment

Analysts have raised their price targets on Watsco to a range of $400 to $425, reflecting updated assumptions on discount rates, modestly higher revenue growth, and slightly stronger profit margins, while some see the recent pullback as an overreaction to the Home Depot deal. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary around Watsco has centered on how the Home Depot agreement and shifting peer valuations filter into expectations for the stock.
Narrativ-Update • Apr 06

WSO: Home Depot Partnership Reaction And Dividend Policy Will Shape Future Sentiment

Watsco's analyst price target has moved from an implied fair value of $335.92 to $362.00, as analysts factor in higher peer valuations, updated discount rates and P/E assumptions, and recent commentary that the 9% pullback following the Home Depot deal may have been an overreaction. Analyst Commentary Recent research has centered on how Watsco's valuation compares with peers and how to interpret the share move following the Home Depot partnership announcement.
Narrativ-Update • Mar 23

WSO: Future Upside Will Emerge As Peer Multiple Support Strengthens

Analysts have lifted the Watsco price target by about $8, citing higher peer valuations and updated assumptions on growth, margins, discount rate, and future P/E as the main drivers of the change. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Watsco shows a mix of optimism and caution, with several price targets adjusted and ratings held at Neutral.
Narrativ-Update • Mar 09

WSO: Peer Repricing And Higher Dividend Will Support Fuller Future P/E Multiple

Analysts have raised their price targets on Watsco to a range of about $400 to $425, citing higher peer valuations and updated assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E in their models. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Watsco highlight a mix of views, with some price targets raised into the $400 to $425 range and others trimmed.
Narrativ-Update • Feb 23

WSO: Peer Repricing And Dividend Increase Will Support Fuller Future P/E Multiple

Narrative Update on Watsco Our analyst price target for Watsco has been revised to $475 from $450. This reflects updated assumptions on growth, margins, and future P/E in the context of recent Street price target moves, where analysts have adjusted their views while citing shifts in peer valuations.
Narrativ-Update • Feb 09

WSO: Mixed Street Views Will Shape Future P/E And Margin Expectations

Narrative Update Overview The updated analyst price target for Watsco reflects offsetting moves, with one firm lifting its target by $10 and another cutting by $90, as analysts reassess the company’s revenue growth, margins, discount rate, and assumed future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Watsco reflects a split view, with some bullish analysts focusing on upside potential while others lean more cautious.
Narrativ-Update • Jan 25

WSO: Mixed Street Views Will Set Stage For Future Premium P/E

Analysts now set their fair value estimate for Watsco at $450, down $10 from $460. This reflects updated views on its long term P/E assumption, modest tweaks to revenue growth and margin forecasts, and the mixed shifts in recent price targets from firms on the Street.
Narrativ-Update • Jan 11

WSO: Softer HVAC Surveys May Set Stage For Future Rebound

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Watsco to about $460 from around $550, citing softer HVAC survey readings that point to potential earnings pressure over the next couple of quarters and a less robust outlook for revenue growth and margins. At the same time, they are applying a higher discount rate and assuming a richer future P/E multiple.
Narrativ-Update • Dec 26

WSO: Long-Term Upside Will Emerge As Southern Demand Headwinds Ease

Analysts modestly lowered their price target on Watsco to approximately $406.60 per share from prior expectations of stronger upside, citing softer HVAC demand, rising earnings risk over the next two quarters, and tighter profit margins, despite a slightly lower discount rate and a higher assumed future valuation multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary from Street research has turned more cautious on Watsco, with sentiment shifting toward a wait and see stance ahead of upcoming quarterly results.
Narrativ-Update • Dec 12

WSO: Long-Term Fundamentals Will Outweigh Near-Term Southern Demand And Earnings Pressures

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Watsco by about 1 percent, or roughly $2. This reflects a slightly higher discount rate and modestly lower fair value assumptions amid increased near term earnings risk.
Narrativ-Update • Nov 28

WSO: Long-Term Fundamentals Will Offset Near-Term Demand Weakness In South

Analysts have lowered their fair value price target for Watsco from $415.60 to $408.90. This change is attributed to ongoing demand risks and softer earnings projections reflected in recent research updates.
Analyseartikel • Nov 11

Watsco, Inc. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Watsco, Inc. ( NYSE:WSO ) just released its latest quarterly report and things are not looking great. Results look to...
Narrativ-Update • Nov 09

WSO: Market Position And Efficiency Initiatives Will Support Long-Term Upside

Analysts have lowered their price target for Watsco from $437.80 to $415.60. They cite concerns over softer HVAC demand and increased earnings risk in the coming quarters.
Narrativ-Update • Oct 26

Earnings Risk And Weaker Demand Trends Will Shape Future Outlook

Analysts have lowered their price target for Watsco, reducing it from $445 to $437.80. They cite recent survey data that signals weaker demand and a more challenging near-term outlook for the company.
Narrativ-Update • Oct 12

A2L Transition And HVAC Replacement Will Strengthen Future Prospects

Narrative Update on Watsco Price Target Analysts have lowered their price target for Watsco, reducing it from $450 to $425. They cite expectations of slower profit margin growth and slightly lower fair value estimates, even though there are improved revenue growth projections and a marginally lower discount rate.
Analyseartikel • Sep 29

Why You Should Care About Watsco's (NYSE:WSO) Strong Returns On Capital

If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an...
Narrativ-Update • Sep 28

A2L Transition And HVAC Replacement Will Strengthen Future Prospects

The decrease in Watsco’s consensus analyst price target is primarily driven by a modest reduction in its future P/E multiple, with fair value now set at $453.40. Valuation Changes Summary of Valuation Changes for Watsco The Consensus Analyst Price Target has fallen slightly from $464.45 to $453.40.
Narrativ-Update • Sep 13

A2L Transition And HVAC Replacement Will Strengthen Future Prospects

Watsco’s consensus Analyst Price Target saw a marginal decrease, reflecting minimal changes in both the company’s future P/E and discount rate, with fair value moving slightly from $468.64 to $464.45. What's in the News Watsco, Inc.
Analyseartikel • Jul 21

What You Can Learn From Watsco, Inc.'s (NYSE:WSO) P/E

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 36.3x Watsco, Inc. ( NYSE:WSO ) may be sending very bearish signals at the...
Analyseartikel • Jun 14

Why The 21% Return On Capital At Watsco (NYSE:WSO) Should Have Your Attention

If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Firstly, we'd...
Seeking Alpha • Mar 07

Watsco Is Primed For A Growth Acceleration, And I'm Buying More

Summary Watsco's Q4 results were exceptional, with record sales, expanded margins, and new customer growth, signaling strong future growth potential. The company benefits from long-term tailwinds, regulatory changes, and a strong moat, making it well-positioned for sustained demand and continued market share gains. Watsco's dividend increase by 11% and robust free cash flow growth underscore its commitment to delivering shareholder value and confidence in future performance. Despite potential risks like tariffs and economic uncertainty, Watsco's strategic positioning and operating leverage make it a buy for long-term investors. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Oct 31

Watsco: Primed For Market-Beating Returns Following Q3 Earnings

Summary Watsco reported mixed Q3 results, but sees a stabilizing HVAC equipment market and reason for optimism. The company expects pricing and volumes to increase due to new regulatory requirements. Watsco's moat is strong, and the company continues to take market share. The stock appears undervalued thanks to WSO's long-term free cash flow growth potential. I rate WSO as a buy. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 21

Watsco: Good Growth Prospects, But Premium Valuation Limits Upside

Summary Watsco, Inc. is poised for growth due to technology investments, e-commerce expansion, and favorable HVAC/R industry trends driven by regulatory mandates and tax credits. Despite near-term margin headwinds from A2L refrigerant transition, long-term margins should benefit from higher-efficiency products and SG&A cost management. The stock trades at a significant premium, suggesting growth prospects are already priced in, leading to a neutral rating. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jul 07

Watsco: Overoptimistic Margin Expectations

Summary Watsco is a market leader in the U.S. with a 12% market share with no disruption expected. Network effects create significant barriers to entry, and the industry will continue its consolidation into fewer distributors of HVAC products. The current CEO has led Watsco for 51 years and owns 11.2% of the company. Analyst estimates are too optimistic. Margins might decrease as inflation eases due to the first-in first-out accounting method used. I consider WSO stock to be overvalued by 23%, but will keep it in my watchlist due to its high quality. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 07

Watsco: A Fantastic Dividend Compounder I Just Put On My Watchlist

Summary Watsco Inc. is an industrial distribution giant in the HVAC/R industry, providing products and services in the commercial and residential market. The company focuses on recurring revenue business and avoids competition with HVAC producers by offering technical support, efficient delivery services, and convenient online platforms. Watsco has experienced rapid growth in a highly fragmented market, with impressive revenue and profitability improvements over the years. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Gewinn- und Umsatzwachstumsprognosen

NYSE:WSO - Zukünftige Analystenschätzungen und Finanzdaten der Vergangenheit (USD Millions)
DatumUmsatzGewinneFreier CashflowBargeld aus operativen TätigkeitenDurchschn. Anz. Analysten
12/31/20288,2736326727195
12/31/20277,85753460666310
12/31/20267,49348867072210
3/31/20267,241462694728N/A
12/31/20257,239464535570N/A
9/30/20257,414485517549N/A
6/30/20257,508494394427N/A
3/31/20257,584492460492N/A
12/31/20247,618499743773N/A
9/30/20247,468486661693N/A
6/30/20247,434485781813N/A
3/31/20247,298477679713N/A
12/31/20237,284499526562N/A
9/30/20237,262551442476N/A
6/30/20237,171535377410N/A
3/31/20237,301549591626N/A
12/31/20227,274550536572N/A
9/30/20227,205493354389N/A
6/30/20226,952478307341N/A
3/31/20226,668434257286N/A
12/31/20216,280382324350N/A
9/30/20215,923352460481N/A
6/30/20215,677321336355N/A
3/31/20215,183270437455N/A
12/31/20205,055246518534N/A
9/30/20204,973239496511N/A
6/30/20204,831218512529N/A
3/31/20204,847220307325N/A
12/31/20194,770226N/A336N/A
9/30/20194,689228N/A298N/A
6/30/20194,590224N/A258N/A
3/31/20194,551224N/A265N/A
12/31/20184,547223N/A171N/A
9/30/20184,520226N/A187N/A
6/30/20184,453213N/A252N/A
3/31/20184,396199N/A231N/A
12/31/20174,342191N/A307N/A
9/30/20174,291178N/A325N/A
6/30/20174,303177N/A275N/A
3/31/20174,241168N/A274N/A
12/31/20164,221168N/A282N/A
9/30/20164,211165N/A268N/A
6/30/20164,147161N/A337N/A
3/31/20164,156161N/A280N/A
12/31/20154,113159N/A223N/A
9/30/20154,086157N/A203N/A
6/30/20154,044154N/A136N/A

Analystenprognosen zum zukünftigen Wachstum

Einkommen vs. Sparrate: WSODas prognostizierte Gewinnwachstum (16% pro Jahr) liegt über der Sparquote (3.5%).

Ertrag vs. Markt: WSODie Erträge des Unternehmens (16% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als der Markt US (16.8% pro Jahr).

Hohe Wachstumserträge: WSODie Erträge des Unternehmens werden voraussichtlich steigen, jedoch nicht deutlich.

Einnahmen vs. Markt: WSODie Einnahmen des Unternehmens (6.6% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als der Markt US (11.6% pro Jahr).

Hohe Wachstumseinnahmen: WSODie Einnahmen des Unternehmens (6.6% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als 20% pro Jahr.

Wachstumsprognosen für den Gewinn je Aktie

Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite

Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite: WSODie Eigenkapitalrendite des Unternehmens wird in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich hoch sein (21.1%)

Wachstumsunternehmen entdecken

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Unternehmensanalyse und Finanzdaten Status

DatenZuletzt aktualisiert (UTC-Zeit)
Unternehmensanalyse2026/05/21 00:59
Aktienkurs zum Tagesende2026/05/21 00:00
Gewinne2026/03/31
Jährliche Einnahmen2025/12/31

Datenquellen

Die in unserer Unternehmensanalyse verwendeten Daten stammen von S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Die folgenden Daten werden in unserem Analysemodell verwendet, um diesen Bericht zu erstellen. Die Daten sind normalisiert, was zu einer Verzögerung bei der Verfügbarkeit der Quelle führen kann.

PaketDatenZeitrahmenBeispiel US-Quelle *
Finanzdaten des Unternehmens10 Jahre
  • Gewinn- und Verlustrechnung
  • Kapitalflussrechnung
  • Bilanz
Konsensschätzungen der Analysten+3 Jahre
  • Finanzielle Vorausschau
  • Kursziele der Analysten
Marktpreise30 Jahre
  • Aktienkurse
  • Dividenden, Splits und Aktionen
Eigentümerschaft10 Jahre
  • Top-Aktionäre
  • Insiderhandel
Verwaltung10 Jahre
  • Das Führungsteam
  • Direktorium
Wichtige Entwicklungen10 Jahre
  • Ankündigungen des Unternehmens

* Beispiel für US-Wertpapiere, für nicht-US-amerikanische Wertpapiere werden gleichwertige regulatorische Formulare und Quellen verwendet.

Sofern nicht anders angegeben, beziehen sich alle Finanzdaten auf einen Jahreszeitraum, werden aber vierteljährlich aktualisiert. Dies wird als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) oder Last Twelve Month (LTM) Daten bezeichnet. Erfahren Sie mehr.

Analysemodell und Schneeflocke

Einzelheiten zu dem Analysemodell, mit dem dieser Bericht erstellt wurde, finden Sie auf unserer Github-Seite. Außerdem bieten wir Leitfäden zur Verwendung unserer Berichte und Tutorials auf YouTube an.

Erfahren Sie mehr über das Weltklasse-Team, das das Simply Wall St-Analysemodell entworfen und entwickelt hat.

Metriken für Industrie und Sektor

Unsere Branchen- und Sektionskennzahlen werden alle 6 Stunden von Simply Wall St berechnet. Details zu unserem Verfahren finden Sie auf Github.

Analysten-Quellen

Watsco, Inc. wird von 30 Analysten beobachtet. 10 dieser Analysten hat die Umsatz- oder Gewinnschätzungen übermittelt, die als Grundlage für unseren Bericht dienen. Die von den Analysten übermittelten Daten werden im Laufe des Tages aktualisiert.

AnalystEinrichtung
David MantheyBaird
Scott DavisBarclays
Owen FlanaganCleveland Research Company