COVER Zukünftiges Wachstum
Future Kriterienprüfungen 5/6
COVER wird ein jährliches Gewinn- und Umsatzwachstum von 29.7% bzw. 11.7% prognostiziert. Der Gewinn pro Aktie wird voraussichtlich wachsen um 30.1% pro Jahr. Die Eigenkapitalrendite wird in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich 24.4% betragen.
Wichtige Informationen
29.7%
Wachstumsrate der Gewinne
30.05%
EPS-Wachstumsrate
| Entertainment Gewinnwachstum | 6.6% |
| Wachstumsrate der Einnahmen | 11.7% |
| Zukünftige Eigenkapitalrendite | 24.40% |
| Analystenabdeckung | Good |
| Zuletzt aktualisiert | 14 May 2026 |
Jüngste Aktualisierungen zum künftigen Wachstum
Recent updates
Large 1 time write downs clears FY27 and F28 for refocused direction
(Fair Value adjusted to 13%, matching in-line with company Net Revenue forecast and accounting for a conservative outlook due to current headwinds.) Multi-model Intrinsic Value estimates: EPV: ¥1291 EV/EBITDA (Relative): ¥1480 P/E (Relative): ¥1150 DCF - EBITDA Exit: ¥2280 DCF - Growth Exit: ¥3640 Major headwinds: Rebounding by salvaging applicable technology from HoloEarth Reallocation of resources, staff or evaluation of necessary workforce reduction SG&A Continues to grow as management believes more talent managers and support staff or needed to make their talent more productive. Several new labor laws and standards came into effect in 2026 directly affecting Entrusted Business Operators (AKA the talent/VTubers) - These laws require companies be in compliance and in some cases, significantly their signed agreements which can significantly affect future terms and agreements made with the company.Significant headwinds will temper expectations for FY2027
12-month forecast for 2026-2027: 1150-1480 Yen a share DCF 5 year Exit forecast: 2280-3640 Yen a share Cover Corporation's annual fiscal report was soul crushing as missteps from management, wasted production time and unfocused effort all led to a significant amount of waste in workloads and investment potential. Cover's "Metaverse" project with HoloEarth is officially dead in the water and will be discontinued after spending over 3 Billion Yen in development/support costs over the past 2 1/2 years.Trading Multiple Forecast shows decreased Faire Value
Current P/E models project Cover Corporation's fair price at approximately 1466 JPY with a 6.6% upside. EV / EBITDA models are bearish with Cover's fair price at current levels hovering 1333 to 1376 JPY with a -3.1% upside.Margin compression will persist through FY 2028
*Effects of joint venture between Cover Corporation and NERD Inc expected to add margin compression no greater than 9% but worth watching given current spending levels.* News and statements made over the past 7 days have raised news doubts regarding the sticker price of Cover Corporation over the next 2-5 years. With new Japanese laws implemented in 2026 upending overwhelming control between talent and company, combined with the joint venture announcement between Cover and private talent management agency NERD Inc., the blindsiding announcement related to their male talent group "Holostars" shortly after the beginning of their new fiscal year shows a winding down of current contracts and expected exits sans further announcements over transition or control of management to a similar joint venture company or agency.Mixed signals; potential hints of year end miss
Q3 delivered a mixed result picture with increased foreshadowing of risk over the next 6 weeks. Total revenue fell short of analyst forecasts while forecasted EPS beat its target.Price cliff ahead! Watch the short selling
Price (Valuation): unchanged Rationale: Valuation update " Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 26%" is severely misleading. Updated "Investor sentiment" is from major short selling ahead of Cover Corporation's Q3 report.Q3 Déjà vu?
Current short term "Fair Value" price maintained at 1.72k. Long term Fair Value and price forecast will depend on the results from their Q3 report.Cover approaching critical Q3 report
Cover continues to lavishly spend while failing to produce any trackable data involving current live services still under development (ie. HoloEarth, Hololive RECORDS, and their (third) attempt at a "Fanclub" premium service).There Are Some Holes In COVER's (TSE:5253) Solid Earnings Release
Investors appear disappointed with COVER Corporation's ( TSE:5253 ) recent earnings, despite the decent statutory...Here's Why We Think COVER (TSE:5253) Might Deserve Your Attention Today
For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to...COVER's (TSE:5253) Earnings Are Built On Soft Foundations
Investors appear disappointed with COVER Corporation's ( TSE:5253 ) recent earnings, despite the decent statutory...Capital Investments At COVER (TSE:5253) Point To A Promising Future
There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Firstly, we'll want to see a...What You Can Learn From COVER Corporation's (TSE:5253) P/E After Its 25% Share Price Crash
COVER Corporation ( TSE:5253 ) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 25...We Think You Should Be Aware Of Some Concerning Factors In COVER's (TSE:5253) Earnings
Following the solid earnings report from COVER Corporation ( TSE:5253 ), the market responded by bidding up the stock...The Price Is Right For COVER Corporation (TSE:5253) Even After Diving 29%
COVER Corporation ( TSE:5253 ) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month...COVER Corporation's (TSE:5253) P/E Is Still On The Mark Following 31% Share Price Bounce
Those holding COVER Corporation ( TSE:5253 ) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 31% in the...With EPS Growth And More, COVER (TSE:5253) Makes An Interesting Case
For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to...Why We're Not Concerned Yet About COVER Corporation's (TSE:5253) 26% Share Price Plunge
COVER Corporation ( TSE:5253 ) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 26...COVER Corporation's (TSE:5253) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 68% Above Its Share Price
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, COVER fair value estimate is JP¥3,193 COVER's JP¥1,905 share...COVER Corporation's (TSE:5253) Share Price Matching Investor Opinion
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 38.1x COVER Corporation ( TSE:5253 ) may be sending very bearish signals...Gewinn- und Umsatzwachstumsprognosen
| Datum | Umsatz | Gewinne | Freier Cashflow | Bargeld aus operativen Tätigkeiten | Durchschn. Anz. Analysten |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/31/2029 | 68,000 | 9,900 | 9,500 | 12,600 | 1 |
| 3/31/2028 | 67,285 | 8,840 | 7,797 | 11,010 | 6 |
| 3/31/2027 | 55,535 | 6,772 | 6,000 | 8,937 | 3 |
| 3/31/2026 | 49,330 | 3,016 | 4,669 | 7,204 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 49,219 | 5,709 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 48,051 | 5,438 | 2,802 | 5,335 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 46,614 | 5,632 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 43,401 | 5,559 | 2,810 | 5,285 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 39,804 | 5,289 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 34,994 | 4,600 | 2,731 | 4,881 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 31,440 | 4,136 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 30,166 | 4,137 | 1,069 | 4,765 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 26,874 | 3,852 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 20,451 | 2,508 | 2,504 | 4,866 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 13,663 | 1,244 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 5,724 | 1,220 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Analystenprognosen zum zukünftigen Wachstum
Einkommen vs. Sparrate: 5253Das prognostizierte Gewinnwachstum (29.7% pro Jahr) liegt über der Sparquote (0.8%).
Ertrag vs. Markt: 5253Die Erträge des Unternehmens (29.7% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich schneller wachsen als der Markt JP (8.8% pro Jahr).
Hohe Wachstumserträge: 5253Es wird erwartet, dass die Erträge des Unternehmens in den nächsten 3 Jahren erheblich steigen werden.
Einnahmen vs. Markt: 5253Die Einnahmen des Unternehmens (11.7% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich schneller wachsen als der Markt JP (5.3% pro Jahr).
Hohe Wachstumseinnahmen: 5253Die Einnahmen des Unternehmens (11.7% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als 20% pro Jahr.
Wachstumsprognosen für den Gewinn je Aktie
Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite
Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite: 5253Die Eigenkapitalrendite des Unternehmens wird in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich hoch sein (24.4%)
Wachstumsunternehmen entdecken
Unternehmensanalyse und Finanzdaten Status
| Daten | Zuletzt aktualisiert (UTC-Zeit) |
|---|---|
| Unternehmensanalyse | 2026/05/21 05:24 |
| Aktienkurs zum Tagesende | 2026/05/21 00:00 |
| Gewinne | 2026/03/31 |
| Jährliche Einnahmen | 2026/03/31 |
Datenquellen
Die in unserer Unternehmensanalyse verwendeten Daten stammen von S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Die folgenden Daten werden in unserem Analysemodell verwendet, um diesen Bericht zu erstellen. Die Daten sind normalisiert, was zu einer Verzögerung bei der Verfügbarkeit der Quelle führen kann.
| Paket | Daten | Zeitrahmen | Beispiel US-Quelle * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finanzdaten des Unternehmens | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Konsensschätzungen der Analysten | +3 Jahre |
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| Marktpreise | 30 Jahre |
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| Eigentümerschaft | 10 Jahre |
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| Verwaltung | 10 Jahre |
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| Wichtige Entwicklungen | 10 Jahre |
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* Beispiel für US-Wertpapiere, für nicht-US-amerikanische Wertpapiere werden gleichwertige regulatorische Formulare und Quellen verwendet.
Sofern nicht anders angegeben, beziehen sich alle Finanzdaten auf einen Jahreszeitraum, werden aber vierteljährlich aktualisiert. Dies wird als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) oder Last Twelve Month (LTM) Daten bezeichnet. Erfahren Sie mehr.
Analysemodell und Schneeflocke
Einzelheiten zu dem Analysemodell, mit dem dieser Bericht erstellt wurde, finden Sie auf unserer Github-Seite. Außerdem bieten wir Leitfäden zur Verwendung unserer Berichte und Tutorials auf YouTube an.
Erfahren Sie mehr über das Weltklasse-Team, das das Simply Wall St-Analysemodell entworfen und entwickelt hat.
Metriken für Industrie und Sektor
Unsere Branchen- und Sektionskennzahlen werden alle 6 Stunden von Simply Wall St berechnet. Details zu unserem Verfahren finden Sie auf Github.
Analysten-Quellen
COVER Corporation wird von 9 Analysten beobachtet. 6 dieser Analysten hat die Umsatz- oder Gewinnschätzungen übermittelt, die als Grundlage für unseren Bericht dienen. Die von den Analysten übermittelten Daten werden im Laufe des Tages aktualisiert.
| Analyst | Einrichtung |
|---|---|
| Kazuki Sakaguchi | Daiwa Securities Co. Ltd. |
| Norihiro Miyazaki | Goldman Sachs |
| Yasuyoshi Mimura | Ichiyoshi Research Institute Inc. |