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COVER CorporationTSE:5253 Aktienübersicht

Marktkapitalisierung JP¥114.4b
Aktienkurs
JP¥1.74k
JP¥1.91k
8.9% unterbewertet intrinsischer Abschlag
1Y-13.1%
7D21.6%
Wert des Portfolios
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COVER Corporation

TSE:5253 Lagerbericht

Marktkapitalisierung: JP¥114.4b

5253 Community Fair Values

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Top Community Narratives

JP¥1.91k
FV
8.9% unterbewertet intrinsischer Abschlag
13.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
29
users have viewed this narrative
1users have liked this narrative
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4users have followed this narrative

COVER Corporation Wettbewerber

Preisentwicklung & Leistung

Zusammenfassung der Höchst- und Tiefststände sowie der Veränderungen der Aktienkurse für COVER
Historische Aktienkurse
Aktueller AktienkursJP¥1,743.00
52-Wochen-HochJP¥2,365.00
52-Wochen-TiefJP¥1,311.00
Beta0.89
1 Monat Veränderung20.29%
3 Monate Veränderung3.14%
1 Jahr Veränderung-13.11%
3 Jahre Veränderung-12.28%
5 Jahre Veränderungn/a
Veränderung seit IPO24.50%

Aktuelle Nachrichten und Updates

Narrativ-Update May 18

Large 1 time write downs clears FY27 and F28 for refocused direction

(Fair Value adjusted to 13%, matching in-line with company Net Revenue forecast and accounting for a conservative outlook due to current headwinds.) Multi-model Intrinsic Value estimates: EPV: ¥1291 EV/EBITDA (Relative): ¥1480 P/E (Relative): ¥1150 DCF - EBITDA Exit: ¥2280 DCF - Growth Exit: ¥3640 Major headwinds: Rebounding by salvaging applicable technology from HoloEarth Reallocation of resources, staff or evaluation of necessary workforce reduction SG&A Continues to grow as management believes more talent managers and support staff or needed to make their talent more productive. Several new labor laws and standards came into effect in 2026 directly affecting Entrusted Business Operators (AKA the talent/VTubers) - These laws require companies be in compliance and in some cases, significantly their signed agreements which can significantly affect future terms and agreements made with the company.
Neues Narrativ May 14

Significant headwinds will temper expectations for FY2027

12-month forecast for 2026-2027: 1150-1480 Yen a share DCF 5 year Exit forecast: 2280-3640 Yen a share Cover Corporation's annual fiscal report was soul crushing as missteps from management, wasted production time and unfocused effort all led to a significant amount of waste in workloads and investment potential. Cover's "Metaverse" project with HoloEarth is officially dead in the water and will be discontinued after spending over 3 Billion Yen in development/support costs over the past 2 1/2 years.

Recent updates

Narrativ-Update May 18

Large 1 time write downs clears FY27 and F28 for refocused direction

(Fair Value adjusted to 13%, matching in-line with company Net Revenue forecast and accounting for a conservative outlook due to current headwinds.) Multi-model Intrinsic Value estimates: EPV: ¥1291 EV/EBITDA (Relative): ¥1480 P/E (Relative): ¥1150 DCF - EBITDA Exit: ¥2280 DCF - Growth Exit: ¥3640 Major headwinds: Rebounding by salvaging applicable technology from HoloEarth Reallocation of resources, staff or evaluation of necessary workforce reduction SG&A Continues to grow as management believes more talent managers and support staff or needed to make their talent more productive. Several new labor laws and standards came into effect in 2026 directly affecting Entrusted Business Operators (AKA the talent/VTubers) - These laws require companies be in compliance and in some cases, significantly their signed agreements which can significantly affect future terms and agreements made with the company.
Neues Narrativ May 14

Significant headwinds will temper expectations for FY2027

12-month forecast for 2026-2027: 1150-1480 Yen a share DCF 5 year Exit forecast: 2280-3640 Yen a share Cover Corporation's annual fiscal report was soul crushing as missteps from management, wasted production time and unfocused effort all led to a significant amount of waste in workloads and investment potential. Cover's "Metaverse" project with HoloEarth is officially dead in the water and will be discontinued after spending over 3 Billion Yen in development/support costs over the past 2 1/2 years.
Narrativ-Update Apr 28

Trading Multiple Forecast shows decreased Faire Value

Current P/E models project Cover Corporation's fair price at approximately 1466 JPY with a 6.6% upside. EV / EBITDA models are bearish with Cover's fair price at current levels hovering 1333 to 1376 JPY with a -3.1% upside.
Narrativ-Update Apr 04

Margin compression will persist through FY 2028

*Effects of joint venture between Cover Corporation and NERD Inc expected to add margin compression no greater than 9% but worth watching given current spending levels.* News and statements made over the past 7 days have raised news doubts regarding the sticker price of Cover Corporation over the next 2-5 years. With new Japanese laws implemented in 2026 upending overwhelming control between talent and company, combined with the joint venture announcement between Cover and private talent management agency NERD Inc., the blindsiding announcement related to their male talent group "Holostars" shortly after the beginning of their new fiscal year shows a winding down of current contracts and expected exits sans further announcements over transition or control of management to a similar joint venture company or agency.
Narrativ-Update Feb 12

Mixed signals; potential hints of year end miss

Q3 delivered a mixed result picture with increased foreshadowing of risk over the next 6 weeks. Total revenue fell short of analyst forecasts while forecasted EPS beat its target.
Narrativ-Update Jan 09

Price cliff ahead! Watch the short selling

Price (Valuation): unchanged Rationale: Valuation update " Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 26%" is severely misleading. Updated "Investor sentiment" is from major short selling ahead of Cover Corporation's Q3 report.
Narrativ-Update Jan 08

Q3 Déjà vu?

Current short term "Fair Value" price maintained at 1.72k. Long term Fair Value and price forecast will depend on the results from their Q3 report.
Narrativ-Update Dec 20

Cover approaching critical Q3 report

Cover continues to lavishly spend while failing to produce any trackable data involving current live services still under development (ie. HoloEarth, Hololive RECORDS, and their (third) attempt at a "Fanclub" premium service).
Analyseartikel Nov 20

There Are Some Holes In COVER's (TSE:5253) Solid Earnings Release

Investors appear disappointed with COVER Corporation's ( TSE:5253 ) recent earnings, despite the decent statutory...
Analyseartikel Jun 12

Here's Why We Think COVER (TSE:5253) Might Deserve Your Attention Today

For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to...
Analyseartikel May 21

COVER's (TSE:5253) Earnings Are Built On Soft Foundations

Investors appear disappointed with COVER Corporation's ( TSE:5253 ) recent earnings, despite the decent statutory...
Analyseartikel Apr 30

Capital Investments At COVER (TSE:5253) Point To A Promising Future

There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Firstly, we'll want to see a...
Analyseartikel Apr 08

What You Can Learn From COVER Corporation's (TSE:5253) P/E After Its 25% Share Price Crash

COVER Corporation ( TSE:5253 ) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 25...
Analyseartikel Nov 19

We Think You Should Be Aware Of Some Concerning Factors In COVER's (TSE:5253) Earnings

Following the solid earnings report from COVER Corporation ( TSE:5253 ), the market responded by bidding up the stock...
Analyseartikel Aug 12

The Price Is Right For COVER Corporation (TSE:5253) Even After Diving 29%

COVER Corporation ( TSE:5253 ) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month...
Analyseartikel Jun 24

COVER Corporation's (TSE:5253) P/E Is Still On The Mark Following 31% Share Price Bounce

Those holding COVER Corporation ( TSE:5253 ) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 31% in the...
Analyseartikel May 14

With EPS Growth And More, COVER (TSE:5253) Makes An Interesting Case

For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to...
Analyseartikel Apr 21

Why We're Not Concerned Yet About COVER Corporation's (TSE:5253) 26% Share Price Plunge

COVER Corporation ( TSE:5253 ) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 26...
Analyseartikel Apr 16

COVER Corporation's (TSE:5253) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 68% Above Its Share Price

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, COVER fair value estimate is JP¥3,193 COVER's JP¥1,905 share...
Analyseartikel Mar 07

COVER Corporation's (TSE:5253) Share Price Matching Investor Opinion

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 38.1x COVER Corporation ( TSE:5253 ) may be sending very bearish signals...

Aktionärsrenditen

5253JP EntertainmentJP Markt
7D21.6%0.6%-3.1%
1Y-13.1%-21.6%38.2%

Rendite im Vergleich zur Industrie: 5253 übertraf die Branche JP Entertainment , die im vergangenen Jahr eine Rendite von -21.6 erzielte.

Rendite vs. Markt: 5253 hinter dem Markt JP zurück, der im vergangenen Jahr eine Rendite von 38.2 erzielte.

Preisvolatilität

Is 5253's price volatile compared to industry and market?
5253 volatility
5253 Average Weekly Movement8.4%
Entertainment Industry Average Movement4.9%
Market Average Movement5.0%
10% most volatile stocks in JP Market9.6%
10% least volatile stocks in JP Market2.5%

Stabiler Aktienkurs: Der Aktienkurs von 5253 war in den letzten 3 Monaten im Vergleich zum JP -Markt volatil.

Volatilität im Zeitverlauf: 5253Die wöchentliche Volatilität (8%) war im vergangenen Jahr stabil, liegt aber immer noch höher als bei 75 % der JP Aktien.

Über das Unternehmen

GegründetMitarbeiterCEOWebsite
2016679Motoaki Tanigocover-corp.com

COVER Corporation ist in den Bereichen virtuelle Plattform, VTuber-Produktion und Media Mix tätig. Das Unternehmen bietet VTuber Production, eine Agentur, die VTuber produziert; Media Mix bietet geistiges Eigentum für VTuber durch die Planung und Entwicklung von Merchandise, Lizenzen/Tie-Ins, Comics, Animationen und anderen Aktivitäten; und Metaverse entwickelt Holoearth, das sich auf Sandbox-Spiele konzentriert, die es Nutzern ermöglichen, in einem virtuellen Raum frei zu agieren. Das Unternehmen wurde 2016 gegründet und hat seinen Sitz in Tokio, Japan.

COVER Corporation's Grundlagenzusammenfassung

Wie verhalten sich die Erträge und Einnahmen von COVER im Vergleich zum Marktanteil des Unternehmens?
5253 grundlegende Statistiken
MarktanteilJP¥114.43b
Gewinn(TTM)JP¥3.02b
Umsatz(TTM)JP¥49.33b
37.9x
Kurs-Gewinn-Verhältnis
2.3x
Kurs-Umsatz-Verhältnis

Erträge & Einnahmen

Wichtige Rentabilitätsstatistiken aus dem letzten Ergebnisbericht (TTM)
5253 Gewinn- und Verlustrechnung (TTM)
EinnahmenJP¥49.33b
Kosten der EinnahmenJP¥25.82b
BruttogewinnJP¥23.51b
Sonstige AusgabenJP¥20.49b
GewinnJP¥3.02b

Zuletzt gemeldete Gewinne

Mar 31, 2026

Datum des nächsten Gewinnberichts

k.A.

Gewinn per Aktie (EPS)45.94
Bruttomarge47.65%
Nettogewinnspanne6.11%
Schulden/Eigenkapital-Verhältnis0%

Wie hat sich 5253 auf lange Sicht entwickelt?

Historische Performance und Vergleiche

Unternehmensanalyse und Finanzdaten Status

DatenZuletzt aktualisiert (UTC-Zeit)
Unternehmensanalyse2026/05/21 19:34
Aktienkurs zum Tagesende2026/05/21 00:00
Gewinne2026/03/31
Jährliche Einnahmen2026/03/31

Datenquellen

Die in unserer Unternehmensanalyse verwendeten Daten stammen von S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Die folgenden Daten werden in unserem Analysemodell verwendet, um diesen Bericht zu erstellen. Die Daten sind normalisiert, was zu einer Verzögerung bei der Verfügbarkeit der Quelle führen kann.

PaketDatenZeitrahmenBeispiel US-Quelle *
Finanzdaten des Unternehmens10 Jahre
  • Gewinn- und Verlustrechnung
  • Kapitalflussrechnung
  • Bilanz
Konsensschätzungen der Analysten+3 Jahre
  • Finanzielle Vorausschau
  • Kursziele der Analysten
Marktpreise30 Jahre
  • Aktienkurse
  • Dividenden, Splits und Aktionen
Eigentümerschaft10 Jahre
  • Top-Aktionäre
  • Insiderhandel
Verwaltung10 Jahre
  • Das Führungsteam
  • Direktorium
Wichtige Entwicklungen10 Jahre
  • Ankündigungen des Unternehmens

* Beispiel für US-Wertpapiere, für nicht-US-amerikanische Wertpapiere werden gleichwertige regulatorische Formulare und Quellen verwendet.

Sofern nicht anders angegeben, beziehen sich alle Finanzdaten auf einen Jahreszeitraum, werden aber vierteljährlich aktualisiert. Dies wird als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) oder Last Twelve Month (LTM) Daten bezeichnet. Erfahren Sie mehr.

Analysemodell und Schneeflocke

Einzelheiten zu dem Analysemodell, mit dem dieser Bericht erstellt wurde, finden Sie auf unserer Github-Seite. Außerdem bieten wir Leitfäden zur Verwendung unserer Berichte und Tutorials auf YouTube an.

Erfahren Sie mehr über das Weltklasse-Team, das das Simply Wall St-Analysemodell entworfen und entwickelt hat.

Metriken für Industrie und Sektor

Unsere Branchen- und Sektionskennzahlen werden alle 6 Stunden von Simply Wall St berechnet. Details zu unserem Verfahren finden Sie auf Github.

Analysten-Quellen

COVER Corporation wird von 9 Analysten beobachtet. 6 dieser Analysten hat die Umsatz- oder Gewinnschätzungen übermittelt, die als Grundlage für unseren Bericht dienen. Die von den Analysten übermittelten Daten werden im Laufe des Tages aktualisiert.

AnalystEinrichtung
Kazuki SakaguchiDaiwa Securities Co. Ltd.
Norihiro MiyazakiGoldman Sachs
Yasuyoshi MimuraIchiyoshi Research Institute Inc.