AIA Group Zukünftiges Wachstum
Future Kriterienprüfungen 2/6
AIA Group wird ein jährliches Gewinn- und Umsatzwachstum von 12.9% bzw. 3.7% prognostiziert. Der Gewinn pro Aktie wird voraussichtlich wachsen um 14.3% pro Jahr. Die Eigenkapitalrendite wird in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich 17.3% betragen.
Wichtige Informationen
12.9%
Wachstumsrate der Gewinne
14.30%
EPS-Wachstumsrate
| Insurance Gewinnwachstum | 5.6% |
| Wachstumsrate der Einnahmen | 3.7% |
| Zukünftige Eigenkapitalrendite | 17.32% |
| Analystenabdeckung | Good |
| Zuletzt aktualisiert | 04 Aug 2026 |
Jüngste Aktualisierungen zum künftigen Wachstum
Recent updates
Narrative-Update • Jun 22
1299: Dividend Lift And New Bylaws Will Support Stronger Future Returns
Analysts have inched their consolidated price target for AIA Group lower to about HK$104.36 from around HK$104.43, reflecting slightly updated assumptions on long term revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate and future P/E multiples. What's in the News AIA Group approved the adoption of new articles of association at its Annual General Meeting held on 22 May 2026, formalizing updated company bylaws.Narrative-Update • Jun 02
1299: Dividend Hike And Buyback Plan Will Drive Stronger Future Returns
Analysts have made a marginal upward adjustment to the HK$104.43 price target for AIA Group. This reflects fine tuning of fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and forward P/E assumptions, without a change in the overall thesis.Narrative-Update • May 16
1299: Dividend And Buyback Program Will Support Stronger Future Shareholder Returns
Analysts have nudged their AIA Group price target slightly lower to about HK$104.43, reflecting modest revisions to fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News AIA Group plans to propose the adoption of new articles of association at the Annual General Meeting scheduled for 22 May 2026, which would update the company’s governing rules and structure (Key Developments).Narrative-Update • May 02
1299: Dividend Hike And Buybacks Will Support Stronger Shareholder Returns
Analysts have modestly raised their HK$ price target on AIA Group to reflect a fair value estimate of HK$104.46, supported by updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and a forward P/E of 18.14x. What's in the News AIA Group plans to present new articles of association for shareholder approval at the Annual General Meeting scheduled for 22 May 2026, signalling upcoming changes to the company’s governing documents (Key Developments).Narrative-Update • Apr 17
1299: Dividend Hike And Share Buybacks Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have modestly raised their HK$ price target for AIA Group, reflecting updated assumptions on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E that remain broadly consistent with prior expectations. What's in the News AIA Group Limited Board has recommended a 10% increase in the final dividend to HK$1.4408 per share for the year ended 31 December 2025, subject to shareholder approval at the AGM on 22 May 2026, with payment expected on 12 June 2026 to shareholders on the register as of 29 May 2026 and an ex dividend date of 28 May 2026 (Key Developments).Narrative-Update • Apr 01
1299: Share Buybacks And Higher Dividend Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have raised their price target on AIA Group from about HK$100.40 to roughly HK$103.42, citing updated assumptions that now factor in revenue growth of 3.45%, a profit margin of 32.14% and a forward P/E of 17.80x. What's in the News The Board of Directors authorized a share buyback plan on March 19, 2026, as part of AIA Group Limited's capital management approach (Key Developments).Narrative-Update • Mar 18
1299: Stable Margins And Slightly Lower P/E Assumptions Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have made a slight adjustment to their HK$ price target on AIA Group, reflecting updated views on future P/E assumptions, while keeping fair value, discount rate, revenue growth and profit margin estimates effectively unchanged. Valuation Changes Fair Value: HK$100.40 remains unchanged, with no adjustment to the intrinsic value estimate used in the model.Narrative-Update • Mar 03
1299: Higher Profit Margins Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have nudged their price target on AIA Group slightly higher to HK$100.40 from HK$100.20, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and a modestly lower future P/E multiple. Valuation Changes Fair Value: HK$100.20 has been adjusted slightly higher to HK$100.40.Narrative-Update • Feb 16
1299: Higher Future P/E Multiple Will Support Upside Potential
Analysts have slightly raised their fair value estimate for AIA Group from HK$99.80 to HK$100.20, citing updated assumptions on the discount rate, revenue trends, profit margin, and a higher future P/E multiple. Valuation Changes Fair Value: HK$99.80 to HK$100.20, a very small upward adjustment in the modelled estimate.Narrative-Update • Feb 02
1299: Stable Margins And Higher Future P/E Multiple Will Support Upside
Analysts have nudged their price target for AIA Group higher to US$99.80 from about US$96.78, citing updated fair value estimates along with adjusted assumptions for revenue trends, profit margins and future P/E levels. Valuation Changes Fair Value: nudged higher from US$96.78 to US$99.80, reflecting slightly revised model assumptions.Analyseartikel • Jan 30
AIA Group Limited (HKG:1299) Not Flying Under The Radar
When close to half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 12x, you may consider...Narrative-Update • Jan 19
1299: Stable Margins And Higher Future P/E Multiple Will Support Upside
Analysts have slightly increased their price target for AIA Group to align with a fair value estimate of about $96.78, up from roughly $96.13, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue trends, profit margins and future P/E levels. Valuation Changes The Fair Value Estimate has risen slightly from HK$96.13 to about HK$96.78.Narrative-Update • Jan 05
1299: Stable Margins And Higher P/E Multiple Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for AIA Group up from HK$95.32 to HK$96.13, citing updated assumptions on long term profitability and P/E multiples, while keeping revenue growth and the discount rate broadly unchanged. Valuation Changes The Fair Value Estimate is now set at HK$96.13, compared with the earlier HK$95.32, reflecting a small upward adjustment in the model output.Narrative-Update • Dec 18
1299: Stable Margins And Discount Rate Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have nudged their price target on AIA Group slightly higher to reflect a modest increase in fair value to approximately $95.32, supported by stable discount rate assumptions and unchanged expectations for long term revenue growth, profit margins, and future valuation multiples. Valuation Changes The fair value estimate has risen slightly, increasing from HK$95.14 to approximately HK$95.32 per share.Narrative-Update • Dec 04
1299: Share Buyback And Firm Margins Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on AIA Group, citing a slightly higher fair value estimate of about $95.14, up from roughly $94.44. This change is supported by marginal improvements in projected profit margins and valuation multiples.Analyseartikel • Nov 25
If EPS Growth Is Important To You, AIA Group (HKG:1299) Presents An Opportunity
For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to...Narrative-Update • Nov 20
1299: Share Buyback and Steady Margins Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have raised their price target for AIA Group slightly, increasing the fair value estimate by approximately $0.70 to reflect modest improvements in revenue growth expectations and a stable profit margin outlook. What's in the News Between May 23, 2025 and June 30, 2025, AIA Group completed the repurchase of 87,235,600 shares, representing 0.83% of its shares.Narrative-Update • Nov 03
1299: Share Buyback Momentum And Dividend Actions Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have raised their price target for AIA Group, increasing the fair value estimate from $91.70 to $93.74. This adjustment is based on improved revenue growth projections and a slightly higher anticipated forward price-to-earnings ratio.Analyseartikel • Aug 25
AIA Group (HKG:1299) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.49
AIA Group Limited's ( HKG:1299 ) investors are due to receive a payment of $0.49 per share on 23rd of September. Even...Analyseartikel • Aug 11
Pinning Down AIA Group Limited's (HKG:1299) P/E Is Difficult Right Now
SEHK:1299 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore AIA Group's Fair Values from the Community and select yours When...
Neues Narrative • Mar 16
Expansion Into Mainland China Will Increase Customer Base And Strengthen Long-Term Prospects
Strategic expansion and partnerships in China and Hong Kong diversify channels and enhance high-margin revenue growth.Gewinn- und Umsatzwachstumsprognosen
| Datum | Umsatz | Gewinne | Freier Cashflow | Bargeld aus operativen Tätigkeiten | Durchschn. Anz. Analysten |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 28,803 | 9,334 | N/A | 3,530 | 10 |
| 12/31/2027 | 26,437 | 8,313 | N/A | 3,490 | 12 |
| 12/31/2026 | 23,915 | 7,520 | N/A | 6,200 | 12 |
| 12/31/2025 | 26,215 | 6,234 | 6,714 | 6,970 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 25,853 | 6,145 | 6,542 | 6,799 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 25,490 | 6,056 | 6,369 | 6,628 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 23,979 | 6,446 | 4,698 | 4,946 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 22,467 | 6,836 | 3,026 | 3,263 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 21,730 | 5,832 | 6,080 | 6,359 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 20,992 | 4,828 | 9,133 | 9,455 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 20,375 | 4,296 | 9,863 | 10,187 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 19,757 | 3,764 | 10,593 | 10,919 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 19,454 | 3,901 | 9,501 | 9,717 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 19,151 | 4,038 | 8,409 | 8,514 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 18,458 | 3,685 | 8,945 | 9,191 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 17,764 | 3,331 | 9,481 | 9,867 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 24,079 | 4,528 | 7,259 | 7,910 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 30,393 | 5,725 | 5,037 | 5,953 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 38,375 | 6,576 | 4,153 | 4,931 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 46,357 | 7,427 | 3,269 | 3,909 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 50,633 | 7,127 | 2,581 | 3,047 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 54,909 | 6,827 | 1,892 | 2,185 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 52,880 | 6,303 | 1,998 | 2,271 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 50,851 | 5,779 | 2,103 | 2,357 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 46,970 | 5,298 | 3,647 | 3,863 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 43,089 | 4,817 | 5,191 | 5,368 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 45,517 | 5,398 | 4,180 | 4,353 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 47,945 | 5,979 | 3,168 | 3,337 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 38,528 | 4,051 | N/A | 2,294 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 33,025 | 2,920 | N/A | 1,865 | N/A |
| 11/30/2017 | 38,761 | 6,120 | N/A | 1,451 | N/A |
| 8/31/2017 | 36,151 | 5,572 | N/A | 1,231 | N/A |
| 5/31/2017 | 33,540 | 5,024 | N/A | 1,011 | N/A |
| 2/28/2017 | 30,669 | 4,594 | N/A | 1,188 | N/A |
| 11/30/2016 | 27,797 | 4,164 | N/A | 1,364 | N/A |
| 8/31/2016 | 24,643 | 3,395 | N/A | 1,501 | N/A |
| 5/31/2016 | 21,489 | 2,626 | N/A | 1,638 | N/A |
| 2/29/2016 | 21,988 | 2,696 | N/A | 1,438 | N/A |
| 11/30/2015 | 22,486 | 2,765 | N/A | 1,237 | N/A |
| 8/31/2015 | 24,941 | 3,437 | N/A | 956 | N/A |
Analystenprognosen zum zukünftigen Wachstum
Einkommen vs. Sparrate: 1299Das prognostizierte Gewinnwachstum (12.9% pro Jahr) liegt über der Sparquote (3.1%).
Ertrag vs. Markt: 1299Die Erträge des Unternehmens (12.9% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich schneller wachsen als der Markt Hong Kong (12.4% pro Jahr).
Hohe Wachstumserträge: 1299Die Erträge des Unternehmens werden voraussichtlich steigen, jedoch nicht deutlich.
Einnahmen vs. Markt: 1299Die Einnahmen des Unternehmens (3.7% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als der Markt Hong Kong (8.7% pro Jahr).
Hohe Wachstumseinnahmen: 1299Die Einnahmen des Unternehmens (3.7% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als 20% pro Jahr.
Wachstumsprognosen für den Gewinn je Aktie
Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite
Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite: 1299Die Eigenkapitalrendite des Unternehmens wird in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich niedrig sein (17.3%).
Wachstumsunternehmen entdecken
Unternehmensanalyse und Finanzdaten Status
| Daten | Zuletzt aktualisiert (UTC-Zeit) |
|---|---|
| Unternehmensanalyse | 2026/08/07 07:49 |
| Aktienkurs zum Tagesende | 2026/08/07 00:00 |
| Gewinne | 2025/12/31 |
| Jährliche Einnahmen | 2025/12/31 |
Datenquellen
Die in unserer Unternehmensanalyse verwendeten Daten stammen von S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Die folgenden Daten werden in unserem Analysemodell verwendet, um diesen Bericht zu erstellen. Die Daten sind normalisiert, was zu einer Verzögerung bei der Verfügbarkeit der Quelle führen kann.
| Paket | Daten | Zeitrahmen | Beispiel US-Quelle * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finanzdaten des Unternehmens | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Konsensschätzungen der Analysten | +3 Jahre |
|
|
| Marktpreise | 30 Jahre |
| |
| Eigentümerschaft | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Verwaltung | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Wichtige Entwicklungen | 10 Jahre |
|
* Beispiel für US-Wertpapiere, für nicht-US-amerikanische Wertpapiere werden gleichwertige regulatorische Formulare und Quellen verwendet.
Sofern nicht anders angegeben, beziehen sich alle Finanzdaten auf einen Jahreszeitraum, werden aber vierteljährlich aktualisiert. Dies wird als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) oder Last Twelve Month (LTM) Daten bezeichnet. Erfahren Sie mehr.
Analysemodell und Schneeflocke
Details zum Analysemodell, mit dem dieser Bericht erstellt wurde, finden Sie auf unserer Github-Seite; außerdem bieten wir Leitfäden zur Nutzung unserer Berichte und Tutorials auf Youtube an.
Erfahren Sie mehr über das Weltklasse-Team, das das Simply Wall St-Analysemodell entworfen und entwickelt hat.
Metriken für Industrie und Sektor
Unsere Branchen- und Sektionskennzahlen werden alle 6 Stunden von Simply Wall St berechnet. Details zu unserem Verfahren finden Sie auf Github.
Analysten-Quellen
AIA Group Limited wird von 40 Analysten beobachtet. 14 dieser Analysten hat die Umsatz- oder Gewinnschätzungen übermittelt, die als Grundlage für unseren Bericht dienen. Die von den Analysten übermittelten Daten werden im Laufe des Tages aktualisiert.
| Analyst | Einrichtung |
|---|---|
| Mark William Kellock | Barclays |
| Tianjiao Yu | Bernstein |
| Michael Li | BofA Global Research |