Update shared on 18 Dec 2025
Fair value Increased 0.19%Analysts have nudged their price target on AIA Group slightly higher to reflect a modest increase in fair value to approximately $95.32, supported by stable discount rate assumptions and unchanged expectations for long term revenue growth, profit margins, and future valuation multiples.
Valuation Changes
- The fair value estimate has risen slightly, increasing from HK$95.14 to approximately HK$95.32 per share.
- The discount rate remains unchanged at 6.9 percent, indicating a stable risk and return framework.
- Revenue growth expectations are effectively unchanged at around negative 0.26 percent, suggesting a flat outlook in real terms.
- Net profit margin assumptions remain stable at about 33.75 percent, reflecting consistent profitability expectations.
- The future P/E has risen slightly, moving from 17.25x to about 17.30x, implying a modestly higher valuation multiple on expected earnings.
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