Persimmon Zukünftiges Wachstum
Future Kriterienprüfungen 3/6
Persimmon wird ein jährliches Gewinn- und Umsatzwachstum von 12.2% bzw. 5.5% prognostiziert. Der Gewinn pro Aktie wird voraussichtlich wachsen um 12.1% pro Jahr. Die Eigenkapitalrendite wird in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich 10.4% betragen.
Wichtige Informationen
12.2%
Wachstumsrate der Gewinne
12.10%
EPS-Wachstumsrate
| Consumer Durables Gewinnwachstum | 13.6% |
| Wachstumsrate der Einnahmen | 5.5% |
| Zukünftige Eigenkapitalrendite | 10.36% |
| Analystenabdeckung | Good |
| Zuletzt aktualisiert | 04 May 2026 |
Jüngste Aktualisierungen zum künftigen Wachstum
Recent updates
Analyse-Update • Apr 21
PSN: Forward Order Book And Higher Future P E Multiple Will Support Returns
Analysts have trimmed Persimmon's fair value estimate and lowered the average price target by £2.20 to reflect slightly softer assumptions on revenue growth and profit margins, even as recent Street research points to a modest uplift in target prices from £16.00 to £16.10 and from £14.80 to £15.14, along with a higher assumed future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Persimmon offers a mix of cautious tweaks and incremental optimism around valuation, providing a more nuanced picture of how expectations are being reset.Analyse-Update • Apr 06
PSN: Forward Order Book Progress Will Support Future Completion Volumes
Analysts have lifted Persimmon's price target slightly, with recent moves such as Morgan Stanley's increase to £16.10 and Barclays' to £15.14, supported by modestly lower fair value estimates and small adjustments to discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Persimmon points to a mixed but generally constructive view, with several price targets adjusted in a tight range and one downgrade adding a more cautious voice.Analyse-Update • Mar 23
PSN: Forward Order Book And Lower Discount Rate Will Support Upside Potential
Narrative Update The updated analyst price target for Persimmon moves slightly higher to about £16.10 from roughly £16.28, as analysts factor in more cautious revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, partly balanced by modestly higher P/E expectations and recent target lifts from several banks. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Persimmon shows a mix of cautious and constructive views, with modest target changes and at least one downgrade shaping how the market is thinking about valuation, execution and future growth potential.Analyse-Update • Mar 09
PSN: Recent Rating Split And Lower Discount Rate Will Support Upside Potential
Analysts have nudged their target on Persimmon slightly higher, with small improvements in fair value estimates and a modestly lower discount rate supporting the recent £1,514 price target update, while keeping overall growth and margin assumptions broadly unchanged. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Persimmon has been mixed, with some bullish analysts nudging price targets higher while at least one bearish analyst has shifted to a more cautious stance.Analyse-Update • Feb 22
PSN: Mixed Rating Shifts And Modest Assumption Tweaks Will Shape Share Price Resilience
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Persimmon slightly higher to £16.26, reflecting small adjustments to assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth and future P/E. The revised estimate also factors in recent Street research, including a modest price target increase from Citi and a downgrade from Deutsche Bank.Analyse-Update • Feb 07
PSN: Higher Future P/E Assumptions Will Support Share Price Resilience
Narrative Update on Persimmon Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Persimmon higher to £16.23 from £16.14, citing refreshed assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E that collectively support a slightly richer price target despite a recent downgrade and only a modest target increase of 2 GBp from Citi. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary on Persimmon has been mixed, with one downgrade offset by a small target lift.Analyseartikel • Jan 29
At UK£14.50, Is Persimmon Plc (LON:PSN) Worth Looking At Closely?
Persimmon Plc ( LON:PSN ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a significant share price rise of 26% in the past...Analyse-Update • Jan 23
PSN: Higher P/E Assumptions And Revenue Outlook Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Persimmon to approximately £16.14 from about £15.76, citing revised assumptions for revenue growth, discount rate and future P/E that align with recent price target changes and rating actions on the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Persimmon has been mixed, with valuation work and rating actions pointing to both upside potential and execution risks.Analyse-Update • Jan 09
PSN: Contract Discipline And Higher P/E Assumptions Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Persimmon up from £14.63 to about £15.76, citing slightly adjusted assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E, as they refine their models following recent sector research. Analyst Commentary Recent research on a peer in a different sector highlights how markets can react strongly to contract news and changing expectations, which is useful context when thinking about Persimmon's refined fair value range.Analyseartikel • Jan 08
Persimmon Plc (LON:PSN) Doing What It Can To Lift Shares
With a median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of close to 17x in the United Kingdom, you could be forgiven for...
Analyse-Update • Dec 26
PSN: Strong Balance Sheet And Cash Focus Will Support Premium Earnings Multiple
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Persimmon modestly higher from £17.87 to £18.15. This reflects a slightly richer future earnings multiple, despite tempering assumptions for revenue growth and profit margins alongside a higher discount rate.Analyseartikel • Dec 09
Persimmon (LON:PSN) Will Be Looking To Turn Around Its Returns
If you're looking at a mature business that's past the growth phase, what are some of the underlying trends that pop...Analyse-Update • Nov 28
PSN: Upcoming Contract Wins And Margin Stability Will Support Measured Performance
Analysts have modestly increased their fair value estimate for Persimmon to $14.63, citing improved revenue growth projections and ongoing margin stability based on recent industry research. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst coverage highlights both optimistic and cautious perspectives regarding Persimmon's future performance.Analyseartikel • Nov 20
Are Investors Undervaluing Persimmon Plc (LON:PSN) By 47%?
Key Insights The projected fair value for Persimmon is UK£22.86 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Persimmon is...Analyse-Update • Nov 13
PSN: Future Housing Demand Will Drive Market Share And Earnings Stability
Persimmon's analyst price target was reduced from £14.50 to £13.00, as analysts cite a softer outlook on profit margins and discount rate adjustments, despite stable revenue growth projections. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst updates reflect a cautious but balanced outlook for Persimmon, with valuation adjustments reflecting both stable growth expectations and concerns about profitability.Analyseartikel • Oct 05
Is It Time To Consider Buying Persimmon Plc (LON:PSN)?
Persimmon Plc ( LON:PSN ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a decent share price growth of 12% on the LSE...Analyse-Update • Sep 04
UK Housing Demand Will Fuel Future Market Expansion
Analysts remain split on Persimmon, with bullish sentiment driven by new site openings and an improved operating outlook balancing persistent near-term concerns over affordability and margins, resulting in an unchanged consensus price target of £14.92. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts raise targets and recommendations due to Persimmon's continued success in opening new sites and increasing the number of active sites, which supports growth expectations.Analyseartikel • Sep 02
Market Cool On Persimmon Plc's (LON:PSN) Earnings
Persimmon Plc's ( LON:PSN ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 13.4x might make it look like a buy right now...Analyseartikel • Aug 12
Is Persimmon Plc (LON:PSN) Trading At A 45% Discount?
Key Insights Persimmon's estimated fair value is UK£20.58 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Persimmon is...Analyseartikel • Jul 08
Persimmon's (LON:PSN) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business
If we're looking to avoid a business that is in decline, what are the trends that can warn us ahead of time? Businesses...Analyseartikel • May 17
The Price Is Right For Persimmon Plc (LON:PSN)
There wouldn't be many who think Persimmon Plc's ( LON:PSN ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 16.4x is worth a...
Neue Analyse • Mar 16
Vertical Integration And Brand Diversification Will Strengthen Future Margins
Strong land investment strategy and brand diversification support growth, high margins, and capture different market segments, driving future revenue and operational efficiency.Gewinn- und Umsatzwachstumsprognosen
| Datum | Umsatz | Gewinne | Freier Cashflow | Bargeld aus operativen Tätigkeiten | Durchschn. Anz. Analysten |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 4,328 | 401 | 411 | 381 | 14 |
| 12/31/2027 | 4,055 | 356 | 335 | 313 | 17 |
| 12/31/2026 | 3,833 | 327 | 116 | 142 | 18 |
| 12/31/2025 | 3,751 | 286 | -11 | 30 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 3,569 | 271 | -22 | 21 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 3,387 | 256 | -33 | 12 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 3,294 | 262 | 10 | 48 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 3,201 | 267 | 53 | 85 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 3,051 | 262 | 69 | 100 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 2,901 | 256 | 86 | 115 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 2,837 | 256 | -40 | -7 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 2,773 | 255 | -166 | -130 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 3,044 | 293 | -16 | 21 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 3,316 | 331 | 134 | 171 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 3,566 | 446 | 253 | 287 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 3,816 | 561 | 372 | 402 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 3,637 | 648 | 296 | 324 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 3,458 | 736 | 220 | 246 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 3,534 | 762 | 492 | 515 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 3,611 | 787 | 764 | 785 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 3,795 | 790 | 1,002 | 1,021 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 3,979 | 792 | 1,240 | 1,258 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 3,653 | 715 | 993 | 1,012 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 3,328 | 638 | 747 | 766 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 3,207 | 657 | 550 | 572 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 3,086 | 675 | 354 | 378 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 3,368 | 762 | 473 | 499 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 3,649 | 849 | 593 | 620 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 3,653 | 864 | N/A | 607 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 3,656 | 879 | N/A | 593 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 3,697 | 883 | N/A | 624 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 3,738 | 886 | N/A | 654 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 3,709 | 862 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 3,680 | 837 | N/A | 829 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 3,639 | 812 | N/A | 827 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 3,598 | 787 | N/A | 824 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 3,499 | 749 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 3,401 | 711 | N/A | 755 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 3,269 | 668 | N/A | 726 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 3,137 | 625 | N/A | 698 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 3,098 | 597 | N/A | 618 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 3,059 | 568 | N/A | 538 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 2,980 | 545 | N/A | 516 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 2,902 | 522 | N/A | 494 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 2,805 | 484 | N/A | 480 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 2,708 | 446 | N/A | 466 | N/A |
Analystenprognosen zum zukünftigen Wachstum
Einkommen vs. Sparrate: PSNDas prognostizierte Gewinnwachstum (12.2% pro Jahr) liegt über der Sparquote (3.4%).
Ertrag vs. Markt: PSNDie Erträge des Unternehmens (12.2% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich schneller wachsen als der Markt UK (12.2% pro Jahr).
Hohe Wachstumserträge: PSNDie Erträge des Unternehmens werden voraussichtlich steigen, jedoch nicht deutlich.
Einnahmen vs. Markt: PSNDie Einnahmen des Unternehmens (5.5% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich schneller wachsen als der Markt UK (4.4% pro Jahr).
Hohe Wachstumseinnahmen: PSNDie Einnahmen des Unternehmens (5.5% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als 20% pro Jahr.
Wachstumsprognosen für den Gewinn je Aktie
Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite
Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite: PSNDie Eigenkapitalrendite des Unternehmens wird in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich niedrig sein (10.4%).
Wachstumsunternehmen entdecken
Unternehmensanalyse und Finanzdaten Status
| Daten | Zuletzt aktualisiert (UTC-Zeit) |
|---|---|
| Unternehmensanalyse | 2026/05/08 10:50 |
| Aktienkurs zum Tagesende | 2026/05/08 00:00 |
| Gewinne | 2025/12/31 |
| Jährliche Einnahmen | 2025/12/31 |
Datenquellen
Die in unserer Unternehmensanalyse verwendeten Daten stammen von S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Die folgenden Daten werden in unserem Analysemodell verwendet, um diesen Bericht zu erstellen. Die Daten sind normalisiert, was zu einer Verzögerung bei der Verfügbarkeit der Quelle führen kann.
| Paket | Daten | Zeitrahmen | Beispiel US-Quelle * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finanzdaten des Unternehmens | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Konsensschätzungen der Analysten | +3 Jahre |
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| Marktpreise | 30 Jahre |
| |
| Eigentümerschaft | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Verwaltung | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Wichtige Entwicklungen | 10 Jahre |
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* Beispiel für US-Wertpapiere, für nicht-US-amerikanische Wertpapiere werden gleichwertige regulatorische Formulare und Quellen verwendet.
Sofern nicht anders angegeben, beziehen sich alle Finanzdaten auf einen Jahreszeitraum, werden aber vierteljährlich aktualisiert. Dies wird als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) oder Last Twelve Month (LTM) Daten bezeichnet. Erfahren Sie mehr.
Analysemodell und Schneeflocke
Einzelheiten zu dem Analysemodell, mit dem dieser Bericht erstellt wurde, finden Sie auf unserer Github-Seite. Außerdem bieten wir Leitfäden zur Verwendung unserer Berichte und Tutorials auf YouTube an.
Erfahren Sie mehr über das Weltklasse-Team, das das Simply Wall St-Analysemodell entworfen und entwickelt hat.
Metriken für Industrie und Sektor
Unsere Branchen- und Sektionskennzahlen werden alle 6 Stunden von Simply Wall St berechnet. Details zu unserem Verfahren finden Sie auf Github.
Analysten-Quellen
Persimmon Plc wird von 34 Analysten beobachtet. 18 dieser Analysten hat die Umsatz- oder Gewinnschätzungen übermittelt, die als Grundlage für unseren Bericht dienen. Die von den Analysten übermittelten Daten werden im Laufe des Tages aktualisiert.
| Analyst | Einrichtung |
|---|---|
| Jonathan Bell | Barclays |
| Rajesh Patki | Barclays |
| Emily Biddulph | Barclays |